<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" version="2.0" xmlns:itunes="http://www.itunes.com/dtds/podcast-1.0.dtd" xmlns:googleplay="http://www.google.com/schemas/play-podcasts/1.0"><channel><title><![CDATA[The Chatter by Zerodha]]></title><description><![CDATA[A newsletter where we dig through what India’s biggest companies are saying and bring you the most interesting bits of insight, whether about the business, its sector, or the wider economy.]]></description><link>https://thechatter.zerodha.com</link><image><url>https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Vb3U!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5b5f6218-2762-4281-a539-683ae1a62b1f_1280x1280.png</url><title>The Chatter by Zerodha</title><link>https://thechatter.zerodha.com</link></image><generator>Substack</generator><lastBuildDate>Mon, 06 Jul 2026 18:00:19 GMT</lastBuildDate><atom:link href="https://thechatter.zerodha.com/feed" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml"/><copyright><![CDATA[Zerodha]]></copyright><language><![CDATA[en]]></language><webMaster><![CDATA[thechatterbyzerodha@substack.com]]></webMaster><itunes:owner><itunes:email><![CDATA[thechatterbyzerodha@substack.com]]></itunes:email><itunes:name><![CDATA[Zerodha]]></itunes:name></itunes:owner><itunes:author><![CDATA[Zerodha]]></itunes:author><googleplay:owner><![CDATA[thechatterbyzerodha@substack.com]]></googleplay:owner><googleplay:email><![CDATA[thechatterbyzerodha@substack.com]]></googleplay:email><googleplay:author><![CDATA[Zerodha]]></googleplay:author><itunes:block><![CDATA[Yes]]></itunes:block><item><title><![CDATA[Global Chatter: Micron, SpaceX, Palantir & More]]></title><description><![CDATA[Edition #2]]></description><link>https://thechatter.zerodha.com/p/global-chatter-micron-spacex-palantir</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://thechatter.zerodha.com/p/global-chatter-micron-spacex-palantir</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Zerodha]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 05 Jul 2026 05:01:07 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CxYN!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F152b271b-aa9c-4528-850b-0180d4c95885_2400x1350.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!CxYN!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F152b271b-aa9c-4528-850b-0180d4c95885_2400x1350.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" 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class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Welcome to the second edition of Global Chatter &#8212; a fortnightly newsletter where we dig through what the world&#8217;s biggest companies are saying and bring you the most interesting insights, whether about their businesses, industries, global trends, or the broader economy. We read through major global earnings calls, shareholder letters, investor presentations, and management interviews so you don&#8217;t have to.</p><p>From Big Tech and semiconductors to global banks, consumer giants, energy majors, and industrial leaders, Global Chatter is our attempt to cut through the noise and surface the conversations that actually matter.</p><p>We&#8217;re always looking to make Global Chatter more useful and insightful&#8212;so if you have ideas on how we can improve or innovate the format further, we&#8217;d love to hear them.</p><p>In this edition, <em><strong>we have covered 6 companies across 5 diversified industries.</strong></em></p><div><hr></div><h1><span>Semiconductors &amp; AI Technology</span></h1><ul><li><p><span>Micron Technology</span></p></li><li><p><span>NVIDIA</span></p></li></ul><h1><span>Advanced Data Integration &amp; Analytics</span></h1><ul><li><p><span>Palantir</span></p></li></ul><h1><span>IT Services &amp; Consulting</span></h1><ul><li><p><span>IBM</span></p></li></ul><h1><span>Food Services &amp; Facilities Management</span></h1><ul><li><p><span>Sodexo SA</span></p></li></ul><h1><span>Aerospace &amp; Space Technology</span></h1><ul><li><p><span>SpaceX Corporation</span></p></li></ul><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://in.micron.com/about"><span>Micron Technology | Semiconductors</span></a></h2><p><span>Micron Technology is a leading American multinational semiconductor company that designs and manufactures computer memory and data storage products, including DRAM, NAND, and High Bandwidth Memory (HBM).</span></p><p><span>[</span><a href="https://in.investing.com/news/transcripts/earnings-call-transcript-micron-tops-q3-2026-estimates-shares-jump-146-93CH-5469649"><span>Concall</span></a><span>]</span></p><div><hr></div><p><span>On demand visibility for High Bandwidth Memory (HBM), management said customer demand remains well ahead of available capacity, even several years out.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;The demand that we have for our HBM products&#8212;HBM3E, HBM4 and beyond&#8212;is far in excess of our ability to supply. Through these Strategic Customer Agreements, we&#8217;re discussing demand over a multi-year horizon, even beyond 2027 and into 2028. We are able to get very high-confidence demand from customers that is well above what we can support. Even when we sign multi-year agreements, the committed volumes are still less than what customers actually want. Our demand for HBM, not just in 2027 but even in 2028, is well above our ability to supply.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Sumit Sadana, Chief Business Officer</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Mark Murphy updated Micron&#8217;s industry outlook following stronger-than-expected AI demand.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Today we indicated that we expect market tightness to continue beyond 2027. Part of the reason is that we have increased our estimate for the HBM total addressable market. Previously, we expected it to cross $100 billion in 2028. We now see the HBM TAM easily crossing $100 billion in 2027.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Mark Murphy, Chief Financial Officer</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Asked about long-term DRAM and NAND bit demand growth, management explained why it is no longer providing multi-year CAGR forecasts.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;For the foreseeable future, shipment growth for bits is not really determined by demand anymore. It&#8217;s actually determined by supply. Demand is so much above the industry&#8217;s ability to supply that supply growth will determine shipment growth far more than demand growth. Our expectation is that supply growth will continue to remain short of what is needed to meet demand, and we don&#8217;t really see when supply will be able to catch up.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Sumit Sadana, Chief Business Officer</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management explained the structure of the new Strategic Customer Agreements (SCAs), highlighting their long-term nature and financial protection.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;These Strategic Customer Agreements cannot be cancelled. There is no provision that allows a customer to walk away. Outside of automotive, these are generally five-year take-or-pay agreements. Customers commit to annual volumes and are obligated to pay whether or not they take delivery. Prices are negotiated within agreed floor and ceiling bands, and there are premium provisions for higher-performance products. The one provision that does not exist is any customer&#8217;s ability to walk away from these agreements.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Sumit Sadana, Chief Business Officer</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management described the financial commitments supporting the new contract model.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;The agreements we have already signed aggregate to more than $22 billion in total cash and related financial commitments, of which the cash alone is almost $18 billion. As we expand these agreements toward our target of covering roughly half of the company&#8217;s revenue, the cash associated with them will increase significantly.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Sumit Sadana, Chief Business Officer</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>On memory architecture trends, management expects LPDRAM to gain share as hyperscalers focus on power efficiency.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We continue to expect LPDRAM usage to grow over time as a percentage of DRAM consumption in data centers. Micron has been a pioneer in LPDRAM for the data center, first with the technology and first with SO-DIMM products. We have strong customer engagement and expect to remain the recognized leader in this space because LPDRAM helps reduce power consumption, improve performance and reduce memory footprint.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Sumit Sadana, Chief Business Officer</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management discussed the cost implications of new fabs and the industry&#8217;s transition toward higher-performance memory.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Higher-performance solutions such as HBM require more silicon per bit, and greenfield fabs do not benefit from the same leverage as traditional technology transitions. Both the move to higher-performance products and greenfield investments will increase DRAM bit costs in the near term.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Manish Bhatia, EVP, Global Operations</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>On NAND strategy, management highlighted strong momentum in enterprise storage.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Our enterprise SSD momentum is exceptionally strong. We delivered a $5 billion quarter in enterprise SSDs within our $25 billion data center business. We continue to gain record market share because of the strength of our NAND portfolio.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Sumit Sadana, Chief Business Officer</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Summarizing the company&#8217;s long-term outlook, management said AI and structural industry changes have reshaped the memory market.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;The combination of demand, the structural supply challenges in the industry, AI creating newfound relevance and strategic importance for memory, and now these Strategic Customer Agreements are completely transformative for our business.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Sumit Sadana, Chief Business Officer</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Asked whether the company would increase DRAM exposure given tight market conditions, Sumit Sadana reiterated Micron&#8217;s commitment to maintaining a diversified memory portfolio across end markets.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Our mix in the business, DRAM versus NAND, tends to oscillate between roughly 80% DRAM and 20% NAND, or about 75% DRAM and 25% NAND. We are pretty comfortable with that mix. As it relates to HBM, we have made a strategic decision that our goal is to have our HBM share consistent over time with our DRAM share. We intend to support customers on HBM as well as the non-HBM portion of the DRAM business across all market segments. We definitely believe in the strength of diversity.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Sumit Sadana, Chief Business Officer</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management emphasized that despite AI momentum, Micron continues to value diversification across end markets.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;If you look at the AEBU business and the MCBU business, both of which are non-data-center businesses in our business unit structure, that&#8217;s almost 40% of our company revenue. We like that diversity and will continue to focus on supporting customers across all market segments, including non-HBM DRAM, HBM and NAND.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Sumit Sadana, Chief Business Officer</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>On NAND competitiveness, management highlighted the strength of its enterprise storage portfolio.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We have hit record share after record share in data-center SSDs because of the strength of that portfolio. We are the QLC leader in the world, the first company to introduce Gen 6 drives in volume, and we are also leading with the highest-capacity 245-terabyte SSDs.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Sumit Sadana, Chief Business Officer</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Responding to a question on CXMT and YMTC, management downplayed the competitive threat outside China.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Those companies have certainly grown over the years in terms of their capabilities and market share. However, the overwhelming majority of their output is sold within China. We have not really seen meaningful competition from them outside China.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Sumit Sadana, Chief Business Officer</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management explained how it plans to defend its market position despite increasing competition.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Our focus is on the highest-performing and most complex products in the portfolio. We look for products that are difficult to get right, engage deeply with customers over multiple years, consistently meet or beat time-to-market targets, and maintain leadership in innovation. We also have one of the strongest intellectual property portfolios in the world, with almost 65,000 patents, and we have a long track record of defending that IP.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Sumit Sadana, Chief Business Officer</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>While both memory categories remain supply constrained, management highlighted that DRAM shortages are more acute.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Customers are definitely interested in securing NAND supply, but DRAM is far more constrained and much more difficult to supply in the quantities they need. NAND is very constrained too, but the sense of concern and urgency around DRAM is significantly higher.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Sumit Sadana, Chief Business Officer</span></em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://www.nvidia.com/en-in/"><span>NVIDIA Corporation | Semiconductors &amp; AI Infrastructure</span></a></h2><p><span>NVIDIA Corporation is a technology company that designs GPUs, AI computing platforms, networking solutions, and software for applications across data centers, cloud computing, gaming, robotics, autonomous vehicles, and high-performance computing. In this shareholder address, CEO Jensen Huang discusses the evolution of AI from a research tool to commercial infrastructure, the growing adoption of Agentic AI, the role of Blackwell and Vera Rubin in the company&#8217;s roadmap, and why NVIDIA believes AI infrastructure investment is still in its early stages.</span></p><p><span>[</span><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VMxiSvTFf8o"><span>Reference</span></a><span>]</span></p><div><hr></div><p><span>Management explains that computing has shifted from simple execution to reasoning, which fundamentally changes how hardware is utilized. This transition signals a massive expansion in the utility and market size of computing infrastructure.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;For 60 years, humans wrote software and computers executed instructions. That paradigm has changed. With AI, computers can understand, reason, plan, use tools, and do useful work. AI becomes useful computer is no longer just a tool.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Jensen Huang, President and CEO, NVIDIA</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management is reframing their products as production assets rather than traditional IT expenses. This shift in customer mindset supports higher pricing power as buyers focus on revenue generation potential rather than just hardware cost.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Customers are not buying computers. They&#8217;re building revenue generating AI factories. The architecture of the factory matters. The question is how much revenue the factory can produce and at what cost.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Jensen Huang, President and CEO, NVIDIA</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>NVIDIA is entering the CPU market with a product designed specifically for AI agents rather than human users. This opens a significant new revenue stream and challenges traditional CPU manufacturers in the data center space.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Agents don&#8217;t rent cores but demand ultra fast responses. There will be billions of agents and they will need a CPU built for them. We believe Vera will be one of the most significant product launches in our company&#8217;s history and the orders are already coming in.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Jensen Huang, President and CEO, NVIDIA</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management identifies robotics and autonomous machines as the next major growth driver following the current digital AI boom. This long-term roadmap provides visibility into growth opportunities beyond the current language model trend.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Physical AI is the next wave of growth for Nvidia. Physical AI is agentic AI in the real world. Robots, cars, and factories will perceive, reason, plan, and operate in dynamic environments. Nvidia pioneers this field and builds the full loop.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Jensen Huang, President and CEO, NVIDIA</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>In response to a question about sustainability, management asserted that the shift to AI is a multi-decade structural change rather than a short-term bubble. This long-term perspective is meant to reassure investors about the durability of current growth rates.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;For the first time in 60 years, computing is being reinvented from largely retrieving, storing, and sending information to generating intelligence with AI. ... This buildout will be measured in decades.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Jensen Huang, President and CEO, NVIDIA</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management highlighted that demand is broadening from a few large cloud providers to entire nations and specific industries. This expansion suggests the total addressable market is significantly larger than just the existing tech giants.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;As organizations seek to manufacture intelligence at scale, demand for AI factories will extend far beyond today&#8217;s clouds to enterprises, sovereign nations, and regional AI clouds. NVIDIA&#8217;s uniquely enable and uniquely enables AI factory buildouts.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Jensen Huang, President and CEO, NVIDIA</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Addressing the shift from training to inference, the CEO shared data proving their hardware remains the most cost-effective for running AI models. Maintaining leadership in inference is critical as it becomes the dominant portion of the AI market.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;In semi analysis inference X benchmarks, Blackwell was declared the inference king, delivering the best performance per watt, the lowest cost token and 30 times higher token throughput. ... NVIDIA AI infrastructure delivers the best performance and therefore the best inference economics.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Jensen Huang, President and CEO, NVIDIA</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management confirmed that most of their hardware in the field is already doing inference work, contrary to some market fears. This validates the company&#8217;s competitive position against specialized inference chip competitors.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Today, the vast majority of NVIDIA&#8217;s compute footprint is used for inference, and we are favorably positioned to expand our share, as we demonstrate with our recent announcements with Anthropic and and Apple.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Jensen Huang, President and CEO, NVIDIA</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>The CEO discussed how AI investments are driving broader economic activity and infrastructure upgrades in the US. This deep integration into national industrial strategy provides a layer of political and structural support for the business.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;AI is a once- in a generation opportunity to reindustrialize America with chips and [clears throat] systems manufacturing, bring back advanced manufacturing jobs, upgrade our aging power grid, and invest in sustainable energy. Because of AI, we have the profits and scale to invest in partners.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Jensen Huang, President and CEO, NVIDIA</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>The company reaffirmed its commitment to returning half of its free cash flow to investors. This consistent policy provides a predictable floor for shareholder returns as the company continues to scale.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Supported by our conviction in sustainable market growth and free [clears throat] cash flow generation, we plan to return 50% or more of our free cash flow this year, next year, and beyond, growing both our share repurchases and dividend overtime.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Jensen Huang, President and CEO, NVIDIA</span></em></p></blockquote><h2><a href="https://www.palantir.com/docs/foundry/platform-overview/overview"><span>Palantir | Advanced Data Integration &amp; Analytics</span></a></h2><p><span>Palantir Technologies is a specialized software company that develops advanced data integration, analytics, and AI platforms for governments and large commercial enterprises. Its core systems unify siloed datasets into a single operational &#8220;digital twin,&#8221; enabling organizations to visualize information, make AI-driven decisions securely, and deploy operational software.</span></p><p><span>[</span><a href="https://youtu.be/rzAFOoBT_ig?si=A7Pt-NQf5YGzls1z"><span>Interview</span></a><span>]</span></p><div><hr></div><p><span>Explaining why Palantir partnered with Nvidia, Karp said customers increasingly want ownership and control over every layer of their AI stack.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;If you want to know how this came together from my perspective, there were a lot of technical issues&#8212;who controls the models, who controls the weights, who controls the value of your business. We&#8217;re sitting on critical infrastructure across America, Ukraine and Israel. Everyone who uses LLMs on the battlefield runs on top of our ontology. Our clients are unhappy with the Frontier Labs. There is a level of discomfort and loss of trust. What aligns me with Nvidia, and I think what technical customers want, is control over their compute, their models, their data stack and their alpha. They want to know they own the means of production. It&#8217;s not being transferred to someone else.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Alex Karp, CEO, Palantir</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Karp explained why Palantir&#8217;s ontology layer is critical for deploying AI in regulated environments.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;When you&#8217;re using large language models, everyone technical realizes they&#8217;re a critical resource. To make them valuable in an enterprise, battlefield, regulated or manufacturing context, you have to have what&#8217;s called an application layer. We have this thing called ontology that now everyone&#8217;s copying. It takes a large language model and makes it safe, useful and precise. Safe because it doesn&#8217;t touch your underlying data. Safe because it prevents the large language model from caching your data and replicating your business. Safe because it doesn&#8217;t transfer your IP or your classified information.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Alex Karp, CEO, Palantir</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Karp argued that enterprise customers increasingly fear losing proprietary information when using foundation models directly.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Something has gone completely wrong. The basic view among enterprises in this country is, &#8216;I&#8217;m going to waste my time with tokens, I&#8217;m going to get no value, and they&#8217;re going to get my IP.&#8217;&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Alex Karp, CEO, Palantir</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Responding to criticism that he was targeting OpenAI and Anthropic, Karp emphasized customer trust.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;This is reporting. I&#8217;ve literally called these people against my own interest because I&#8217;m profiting from this. The reality is you may not like us at my former schools, Harvard or Berkeley, but enterprises in this country trust and love us, especially the ones involved in critical infrastructure, both public and private.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Alex Karp, CEO, Palantir</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Karp explained why Palantir&#8217;s software has become the standard for mission-critical AI deployments.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;The whole secret here is the forward-deployed model, the products that have been five years ahead. Everyone said forward deployed engineers were services. They said they didn&#8217;t even know what an ontology was. That&#8217;s the only thing people talk about now. The secret was we delivered the best things for the warfighters.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Alex Karp, CEO, Palantir</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Karp described the shift in enterprise buying preferences.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Our products are completely agnostic. We now sell a product that allows customers to switch from model to model. But we need to rebuild trust. That trust is going to happen where everyone gets to ask and answer basic questions: Who owns the data? Where is it cached? Are the prompts secure? Is this being transferred to you?&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Alex Karp, CEO, Palantir</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Karp explained why foundation models alone are insufficient.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;What I am claiming is it&#8217;s the model plus an application layer plus compute. It is really all three. The reason why everyone is struggling with bad financials and growth while losing money is that clients refuse to pay the true cost. The two places that actually make money&#8212;profit and free cash flow&#8212;are our application layer called ontology and compute.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Alex Karp, CEO, Palantir</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Karp argued that enterprises don&#8217;t need proprietary frontier models if they retain ownership.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We can take an open model and, in either a classified or non-classified context, get it to the point of a frontier model while you control the weights. We can get the frontier application to be exactly the same as a frontier model without the risk of transferring the alpha of your business to somebody else.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Alex Karp, CEO, Palantir</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Karp summarized what he hears from enterprise customers.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Every single enterprise I deal with is livid. They&#8217;re saying, &#8216;I&#8217;m paying for tokens that create no value. These people are stealing the weights and the alpha of my business.&#8217;&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Alex Karp, CEO, Palantir</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Explaining why frustration has grown among enterprise customers.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;The voice of American business is being channeled through me. It is absolutely a problem for this country because we&#8217;re on the cutting edge of every AI technology, but people have triply oversold something. The enterprises are tired of it.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Alex Karp, CEO, Palantir</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Karp challenged investors to verify his claims directly.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;I want everybody watching this, especially investors who think somehow this is working, to pick up the phone and call a CEO in private&#8212;not in public&#8212;and ask whether they&#8217;re livid. I&#8217;m telling you, they&#8217;re twice as livid as me.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Alex Karp, CEO, Palantir</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Karp distinguished between real AI progress and excessive marketing.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;The reality of compute plus ontology plus models is changing the course of history. Ask the Ukrainians. Ask the Israelis. Ask our Department of Defense. Ask the enterprises where this is working. We do not have to oversell what we have. It&#8217;s all being built in this country. We do not have to overhype it.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Alex Karp, CEO, Palantir</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Karp explained why Palantir remains model-agnostic.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We&#8217;re completely agnostic. We prefer a world where there are more hyperscalers and more choices. What is happening among the most technical players is that they&#8217;re saying, &#8216;I want something I own. This is my business. I want to own the GPUs. I want to own my data. I want to own the model. I want to control the alpha.&#8217;&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Alex Karp, CEO, Palantir</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Karp argued that many enterprises believe foundation model providers are extracting value without delivering commensurate business outcomes.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Every enterprise I deal with is livid. They&#8217;re saying, &#8216;I&#8217;m paying for tokens that create no value. These people are stealing the weights and the alpha of my business.&#8217; These models have been irresponsibly oversold. The sales pitch is that they&#8217;re dangerous for everyone, yet somehow they can be given to all of our adversaries, but they can&#8217;t safely be deployed for the Department of Defense or an enterprise without risking the transfer of that enterprise&#8217;s alpha. That&#8217;s not a sustainable model.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Alex Karp, CEO, Palantir</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Asked whether dissatisfaction with Frontier Labs is benefiting Palantir commercially.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;I&#8217;m not here to talk about what happens to other businesses. What I can tell you is that in our business we have more demand than we can supply. We have more business than we can execute. If you look at our financials, you can see exactly where we&#8217;re headed.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Alex Karp, CEO, Palantir</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Discussing AI regulation and cybersecurity, Karp argued against restricting advanced AI for Western governments while allowing adversaries access.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;One of the things we&#8217;re really trying to get the West to do is move away from slogans and look at the technical realities. It makes no sense to restrict powerful models from your own government because you disagree with how the government fights wars, while effectively opening those same capabilities to the rest of the world, including your adversaries.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Alex Karp, CEO, Palantir</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Asked about China&#8217;s AI progress, Karp outlined how he views the global technology landscape.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;There are really two-and-a-half relevant technology centers in the world today: America, China and Israel. I spent half my life in Europe and I want Europe to be relevant, but China is a true peer competitor. China has many advantages, and it would be a mistake to underestimate them.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Alex Karp, CEO, Palantir</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Karp warned against complacency in the United States.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;China doesn&#8217;t have some of the creativity, ingenuity and deep-tech culture that we have. But it is not a foregone conclusion that we win. The biggest problem in this country is that we debate these issues as though we don&#8217;t have adversaries. That&#8217;s simply not true. This is binary. Either they win or we win.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Alex Karp, CEO, Palantir</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Karp argued that long-term public support for AI depends on broader economic benefits.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We have to find ways to make these models raise the standard of living for every American. People need to feel that it isn&#8217;t just those sitting around this table getting richer. Those are real issues, and if we ignore them, we create unnecessary political backlash.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Alex Karp, CEO, Palantir</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Summarizing his argument throughout the interview, Karp said future winners will be those who retain ownership of their AI infrastructure.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;The most technical customers are all asking the same questions: Who owns the GPUs? Who owns the model? Who owns the data? Who owns the alpha? Whoever owns the means of production will own the future.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Alex Karp, CEO, Palantir</span></em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/IBM"><span>IBM | IT Services &amp; Consulting</span></a></h2><p><span>IBM is a global technology leader at the forefront of hybrid cloud, artificial intelligence, and quantum computing. In this conversation, Chairman &amp; CEO Arvind Krishna shares why IBM believes quantum computing is approaching a commercial inflexion point, the strategic importance of world-class scientific talent, and how the company is building the foundation for the next era of computing.</span></p><p><span>[</span><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w0qObNRlcdY"><span>Reference</span></a><span>]</span></p><div><hr></div><p><span>Management is setting realistic expectations regarding the maturity of quantum technology while emphasising that it is no longer a distant concept. This suggests that while near-term commercialisation is still evolving, the structural shift toward quantum computing is much closer than many expect.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We are still in the early days of quantum. Let me acknowledge that it&#8217;s not far out into the future, but it is still early.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Arvind Krishna, Chairman &amp; CEO, IBM</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>The CEO has provided a specific two-to-three-year window for quantum computing to deliver massive commercial advantages. This accelerated timeline points to a faster path toward real-world enterprise adoption.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Two to three years. Ambassador Kwatra mentioned it. We have one quantum computer that is going into Amaravati through an agreement with the state government and the national government.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Arvind Krishna, Chairman &amp; CEO, IBM</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>IBM is expanding its quantum infrastructure through strategic government partnerships while continuing to evaluate additional deployments. These investments are aimed at building the ecosystem required for long-term quantum computing adoption.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We have one quantum computer that is going into Amaravati through an agreement with the state government and the national government. We are also discussing another one. I&#8217;ll leave that location unstated until everything is finalized.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Arvind Krishna, Chairman &amp; CEO, IBM</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>The decision to deploy quantum hardware is driven by the scarcity of specialized mathematical talent globally. IBM believes access to world-class scientific expertise will be a defining competitive advantage in quantum computing.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;The reason we&#8217;re putting it there is because of the talent. Where are you going to find enough people with deep knowledge of mathematics and physics who want to work on translating problems into the unique mathematics that quantum computers can solve?&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Arvind Krishna, Chairman &amp; CEO, IBM</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>IBM is prioritizing specialized, high-impact problem solving over workforce scale. This focus on quality and depth of expertise reflects the company&#8217;s long-term strategy for quantum computing.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;It is not about volume; it is about quality, depth, and the ability to think through extremely difficult problems and deploy them on these systems in unique ways over the next decade.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Arvind Krishna, Chairman &amp; CEO, IBM</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management believes quantum computing has the potential to solve classes of mathematical problems that have challenged researchers for decades, unlocking entirely new possibilities.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Let me give you an example. There are problems involving prime number factorization. For nearly a hundred years, people believed these problems were impossible. Three people from one of the IITs solved one such problem about 15 years ago. We can tap into talent like that to leverage these computers. I think it unlocks all kinds of possibilities.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Arvind Krishna, Chairman &amp; CEO, IBM</span></em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://www.sodexo.com/"><span>Sodexo SA | Food Services &amp; Facilities Management</span></a></h2><p><span>Sodexo SA is a French multinational corporation and global leader in food services and facilities management. Headquartered near Paris, it employs over 426,000 people, serves 80 million consumers daily across 43 countries, and acts as a major driver of corporate operations worldwide.</span></p><p><span>[</span><a href="https://in.investing.com/news/transcripts/earnings-call-transcript-sodexo-lifts-fy-2026-growth-outlook-after-q3-beat-93CH-5480053"><span>Concall</span></a><span>]</span></p><p><span>Responding to a question on sales momentum, management highlighted improving conversion rates and a strengthening pipeline.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;At this stage, we are seeing early encouraging signs on net commercial growth. We have a good pipeline and an improved conversion rate. Overall, when we look at our last 12 months forward-looking net new KPI, it has improved compared with the end of Q2. This improvement is expected to come through progressively in the reported in-year net new revenue. The improvement is really coming from development. Q2 was better than Q1, and Q3 is better than Q2.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; S&#233;bastien de Tramasure, Chief Financial Officer</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Investors questioned why the upgraded FY26 guidance still implied a muted Q4. Management explained the rationale.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Q4 will face tougher comparables. Last year we had a very strong Q4, especially in Energy &amp; Resources in North America, creating a less favorable year-on-year comparison. We also have the normal phasing of net new contract mobilizations and annualization. Overall, we see some uncertainty in the macroeconomic and geopolitical environment. At this stage, we believe it is appropriate to remain prudent for the remaining part of the year. However, we are not seeing any specific deterioration in the business and, based on what we see today, we would currently expect Q4 to be modestly positive.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; S&#233;bastien de Tramasure, Chief Financial Officer</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management attributed the strong performance to higher attendance and increased customer spending across venues.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Overall, we had a very good performance across all the activities of Sodexo Live!&#8212;convention centers, airline lounges and sports venues. We had very good sporting events such as the BNP Paribas Open at Indian Wells, the Miami Open and a very strong beginning of the baseball season with the Seattle Mariners. Attendance was very good across all events. On top of attendance, we were able to capture more revenue through higher spend per capita, driven by our offerings, innovative concepts and brand partnerships. Overall, Sodexo Live! delivered more than 15% organic growth in Q3, definitely above our expectations.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; S&#233;bastien de Tramasure, Chief Financial Officer</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>On pricing and cost inflation, management said there has been no meaningful change in the inflation environment.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We are not seeing any meaningful change in food inflation overall. There is some pressure on energy prices and transportation and logistics costs, but overall this remains under control. Managing inflation is part of what we do. We continue to manage it through product substitution, menu engineering, client discussions and supplier negotiations. Overall, we are monitoring input inflation very closely.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; S&#233;bastien de Tramasure, Chief Financial Officer</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Responding to a question on next year&#8217;s pricing outlook, management expects only modest changes.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We have seen a declining trend in labour inflation. You need to keep in mind that pricing is driven by both food inflation and labour inflation. At this stage, it is fair to expect something quite similar for the beginning of next year, with perhaps some small pressure on food inflation but a declining trend in labour inflation. We do not expect any significant change in the pricing path.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; S&#233;bastien de Tramasure, Chief Financial Officer</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management shared its expectations for customer retention and commented on the latest education selling season.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Based on what we see today, we should land broadly in line with last year, around the 94% retention level. Specifically in U.S. Education, the selling season should be slightly better than last year, but still disappointing. This remains a key focus area. We have new leadership in Education and K-12, and they are building clear action plans around retention, development and preparing for the FY27 selling season.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; S&#233;bastien de Tramasure, Chief Financial Officer</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Responding to a question on AI infrastructure, management highlighted the opportunity in data center construction.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;The data center market is clearly a fast-growing opportunity for us. Today we already provide food services at operational data centers, including 24/7 offerings, convenience services and pantry solutions. More importantly, the construction phase is where we believe we can capture the greatest value. We are actively building our pipeline, and we believe we are well positioned because the capabilities we have developed in Energy &amp; Resources&#8212;operating large camps and remote sites with thousands of workers&#8212;are directly applicable to large data center construction projects.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; S&#233;bastien de Tramasure, Chief Financial Officer</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management highlighted continued resilience in the Healthcare &amp; Seniors segment despite a more cautious outlook elsewhere.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Healthcare &amp; Seniors continues to trend very well. Organic growth was 7.8% in Q3, broadly in line with Q2. The underlying trend remains strong, although we do expect some annualization effects in Q4.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; S&#233;bastien de Tramasure, Chief Financial Officer</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>On a follow-up question, management confirmed there had been no change to the assumptions supporting margin guidance.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;If you look at the bridge we presented at the half-year results, it is exactly the same. There has been no significant change in the different levers supporting the margin outlook.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; S&#233;bastien de Tramasure, Chief Financial Officer</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management explained that the improvement in volumes was driven not only by Sodexo Live! but also by project activity in Energy &amp; Resources.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Volume improved significantly when you compare the year-to-date performance with the first half. The two main reasons were the very strong performance of Sodexo Live!, which was driven by volume, and the additional projects in the Rest of the World, especially in Energy &amp; Resources, which also contributed positively to volumes.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; S&#233;bastien de Tramasure, Chief Financial Officer</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management reiterated that near-term caution will not come at the expense of long-term investments.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Our focus remains on strengthening the business over the medium term. We continue to invest in commercial capabilities, competitiveness, supply and technology while maintaining a close watch over the external environment.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; S&#233;bastien de Tramasure, Chief Financial Officer</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management explained why Sodexo believes it has an edge in winning data centre contracts.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;When you look at what we do in Energy &amp; Resources, we are talking about large camps and remote sites with thousands of workers. It is basically the same offer that we need to address these opportunities in data centre construction.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; S&#233;bastien de Tramasure, Chief Financial Officer</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Responding to a question on foreign exchange, management said the company remains comfortable with its existing assumptions.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We are comfortable maintaining our overall guidance of around a 3% negative currency impact. With the recent evolution of the euro-dollar, we expect a more favourable impact in Q4 compared with Q3, and we should land around this 3% impact for the full year.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; S&#233;bastien de Tramasure, Chief Financial Officer</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management highlighted a favourable trend in one of its largest cost components.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We have seen a declining trend in labour inflation. Pricing reflects both food inflation and labour inflation, and at this stage we do not expect any significant change in the pricing path.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; S&#233;bastien de Tramasure, Chief Financial Officer</span></em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://www.spacex.com/"><span>SpaceX Corporation | Aerospace &amp; Space Technology</span></a></h2><p><span>SpaceX develops reusable launch vehicles, satellite communications infrastructure, and space transportation systems. In this interview, President and COO Gwynne Shotwell discusses why the company chose to go public, how it plans to scale Starship and Starlink, its long-term AI infrastructure strategy, the role of vertical integration, and how management is balancing aggressive innovation with investor expectations in the next phase of the company&#8217;s growth.</span></p><p><span>[</span><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OZkpw9VtOww"><span>Reference</span></a><span>]</span></p><div><hr></div><p><span>The company views mission failures during development as valuable data points rather than purely negative events. Investors should expect occasional public setbacks as a necessary part of the company&#8217;s rapid learning and innovation process.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;I think it&#8217;s actually really important to have failure. If you don&#8217;t have failure, like if a launch goes perfectly, all you&#8217;ve learned is that that launch vehicle on that day worked. You didn&#8217;t get any more data than that, right? So when you have failure, you actually get this treasure trove of data.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Gwynne Shotwell, President &amp; COO, SpaceX</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Starlink&#8217;s growth is currently limited by how many satellites are in orbit rather than a lack of customers. This high demand suggests that revenue will grow automatically as soon as more capacity is launched.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We are actually constrained by capacity in many markets, really important markets. So scaling is actually really quite important to the revenue story for us. Meaning there&#8217;s more demand than you can actually supply right now. There&#8217;s more demand than we can fulfill right now.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Gwynne Shotwell, President &amp; COO, SpaceX</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management believes the mobile phone market is significantly larger than the home internet market for Starlink. Success in this area could dramatically expand the company&#8217;s total addressable market globally.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;I think Starlink Mobile will far exceed Starlink broadband in the home. I think more than half the population, the global population has a cell phone, which is a shocking, but it&#8217;s somewhere, it&#8217;s crazy numbers of people have cell phones. Not everybody is going to need broadband, a Starlink broadband in their home.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Gwynne Shotwell, President &amp; COO, SpaceX</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>SpaceX uses its own satellite launches to refine and prove the reliability of its rockets. This internal demand allows the company to improve its launch technology much faster than competitors who rely only on external customers.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;The more you can fly a vehicle, the more reliable it will be, the safer it will be. Starlink provided that market for Falcon 9. We flew, you know, a hundred Starlink missions in a year, right? The AI satellites will be that same market but for Starship.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Gwynne Shotwell, President &amp; COO, SpaceX</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>The company is deepening its vertical integration by producing its own fuel and solar components. This strategy reduces dependency on third-party suppliers but requires significant upfront capital investment.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We build launch vehicles, we build our launch sites, we write our own software, we&#8217;re producing some of our own propellants for the vehicles right now, too. This seems like a very obvious thing, next step for us. Um, we&#8217;ll have a lot to learn. There&#8217;s a huge amount of equipment that we have to invest in.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Gwynne Shotwell, President &amp; COO, SpaceX</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>SpaceX is betting that space-based data centers will be more efficient than Earth-based ones due to constant solar energy and natural cooling. If successful, this would provide a structural cost advantage for their AI computing services.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;But the most efficient place to put inference compute is on orbit. It&#8217;s always sunny in space. You get sixx the amount of power out of a solar cell in space as you do here on Earth. And cooling is free because space is actually quite cold. So radiative cooling is free.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Gwynne Shotwell, President &amp; COO, SpaceX</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>The company plans to sell excess AI computing power to third parties while keeping enough for its own needs. This creates a flexible revenue stream that helps offset the high cost of maintaining satellite networks.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We will never sell compute capacity that we actually need which is why we wanted the ability to have these contracts be shortterm if necessary but we&#8217;ll keep building. I believe we will continue to provide that capability to others actually.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Gwynne Shotwell, President &amp; COO, SpaceX</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>After years of internal growth, the company is now open to acquiring other businesses, particularly in the AI sector. This indicates a shift toward using the company&#8217;s equity to accelerate technological expansion.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;SpaceX wasn&#8217;t an M&amp;A company for decades. Um and so it&#8217;s kind of a new exciting uh it&#8217;s a new exciting world for us. Um I do think M&amp;A is in the future, especially when you look at uh the AI world.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Gwynne Shotwell, President &amp; COO, SpaceX</span></em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Recommended Reading</h1><p><a href="https://www.dspim.com/media/pages/latest-literature/f33ccff865-1782908590/the-transcript-jun-2026.pdf">DSP shares some of the best content for investors to explore and dive deep into what's happening across the markets.</a> Each edition brings together thought-provoking analysis, key management commentary, and insights into the themes shaping businesses and the economy. From AI and data centers to IT services, cement, and rural demand, the June edition breaks down complex trends into simple, actionable takeaways. If you're looking to understand the bigger picture beyond the headlines, this is a great place to start.</p><div><hr></div><p>That&#8217;s it for now! Your feedback will really help shape how Global Chatter evolves. Drop it down in the comments below!</p><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://thechatter.zerodha.com/p/global-chatter-micron-spacex-palantir?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email&utm_content=share&action=share&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Share&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="https://thechatter.zerodha.com/p/global-chatter-micron-spacex-palantir?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email&utm_content=share&action=share"><span>Share</span></a></p><p>Quotes in this newsletter were curated by Meher, Shahid, Srusti &amp; Kashish.</p><p>Disclaimer: We&#8217;ve used AI tools in filtering and cleaning up these quotes, so there may be some mistakes. Now, if you are thinking why we are using AI, please remember that we are just a small team of 5 people running everything you see on Zerodha Markets &#128556; So, all the good stuff is human, and mistakes are AI.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Chatter: Bajaj, Mahindra, Persistent, Indian Hotels & More]]></title><description><![CDATA[Q4FY26 | Edition #66]]></description><link>https://thechatter.zerodha.com/p/the-chatter-bajaj-mahindra-persistent</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://thechatter.zerodha.com/p/the-chatter-bajaj-mahindra-persistent</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Zerodha]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 03 Jul 2026 12:32:12 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MFIQ!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F99664c47-5abd-4747-9c46-77d75d1c1299_1672x941.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MFIQ!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F99664c47-5abd-4747-9c46-77d75d1c1299_1672x941.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MFIQ!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F99664c47-5abd-4747-9c46-77d75d1c1299_1672x941.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MFIQ!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F99664c47-5abd-4747-9c46-77d75d1c1299_1672x941.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MFIQ!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F99664c47-5abd-4747-9c46-77d75d1c1299_1672x941.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MFIQ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F99664c47-5abd-4747-9c46-77d75d1c1299_1672x941.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MFIQ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F99664c47-5abd-4747-9c46-77d75d1c1299_1672x941.png" width="1456" height="819" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/99664c47-5abd-4747-9c46-77d75d1c1299_1672x941.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:819,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:1082297,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://thechatter.zerodha.com/i/204900325?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F99664c47-5abd-4747-9c46-77d75d1c1299_1672x941.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" 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class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><span>Welcome to the </span><strong>66th edition</strong><span> of The Chatter &#8212; a weekly newsletter where we dig through what India&#8217;s biggest companies are saying and bring you the most interesting bits of insight, whether about the business, its sector, or the wider economy. We read every major Indian earnings call and listen to the interviews so you don&#8217;t have to.</span></p><p>We&#8217;re always eager to improve&#8212;please share your ideas on how else we can innovate &#8220;The Chatter&#8221; format to better serve your needs.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2" target="_blank" href="https://www.tijoristack.ai/concall-monitor/?utm_source=zerodha&amp;utm_campaign=z_marketing" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png" width="1456" height="364" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:364,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:306481,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:&quot;https://www.tijoristack.ai/concall-monitor/?utm_source=zerodha&amp;utm_campaign=z_marketing&quot;,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://thechatter.zerodha.com/i/193793492?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Check out <a href="https://www.tijoristack.ai/concall-monitor/?utm_source=zerodha&amp;utm_campaign=z_marketing">Concall Monitor</a></figcaption></figure></div><p><span>In this edition, we have covered </span><strong>9 companies across 5 industries and 2 podcasts.</strong></p><div><hr></div><h1><span>Auto Ancillary</span></h1><ul><li><p><span>Bajaj Auto Limited</span></p></li><li><p><span>Mahindra &amp; Mahindra Limited</span></p></li><li><p><span>Precision Camshafts</span></p></li></ul><h1><span>Software Services</span></h1><ul><li><p><span>Persistent Systems Limited</span></p></li></ul><h1><span>Tourism &amp; Hospitality</span></h1><ul><li><p>Indian Hotels Company Limited</p></li></ul><h1><span>Engineering &amp; Capital Goods</span></h1><ul><li><p><span>Astral Limited</span></p></li><li><p><span>Thermax</span></p></li><li><p><span>Sterlite Technologies</span></p></li></ul><h1><span>Retail</span></h1><ul><li><p><span>Timex Group India</span></p></li></ul><h1><span>Interviews/Podcasts</span></h1><ul><li><p><span>Zohra Khan</span></p></li><li><p><span>Brad Setser</span></p></li></ul><div><hr></div><h1>Auto Ancillary</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/BAJAJ-AUTO/"><span>Bajaj Auto Limited | Large Cap | Automobiles</span></a></h2><p><span>Bajaj Auto Limited is one of India&#8217;s leading automobile manufacturers with a strong presence across motorcycles, three-wheelers, and electric vehicles, along with a significant footprint in global export markets. In this interview, Rakesh Sharma, Joint Managing Director, discusses the company&#8217;s outlook for FY27, export demand recovery, electric vehicle growth, premiumisation trends, domestic market dynamics, and the factors expected to drive Bajaj Auto&#8217;s growth in the coming quarters.</span></p><p><span>[</span><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vNXTmDnbUSs"><span>Reference</span></a><span>]</span></p><p><span>The company advocates for emission-based regulations rather than mandates for specific technologies like electric vehicles. This suggests a strategic focus on a diversified fuel mix, including CNG and ethanol, alongside their EV investments.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Our position has always been that it is very very important to define the standards of emissions and the environmental burden. But then one must be technology agnostic and actually use the multiple technologies which are available.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Rakesh Sharma, Joint Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>The company reveals that nearly 30% of its domestic revenue is already generated from electric vehicles, highlighting their leadership in the transition. This high revenue contribution proves that Bajaj is not merely experimenting but is fundamentally shifting its business model.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;A company like ours already has 30% of our domestic revenues are electric you know we are at the forefront of the electric development so I&#8217;m not making these comments from a parochial way. But if one has to really balance all these issues out, then we must use the array of options which are available to us and have a solution drawn from that.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Rakesh Sharma, Joint Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management clarifies that their electric vehicle division has already achieved profitability, which is a rare feat in the current EV market. For investors, this eliminates concerns that EV growth is dragging down the company&#8217;s overall margin profile.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;But of course we are at the forefront of electric. We are now a profitable electric company. I think with 30% share of our domestic revenues, it&#8217;s probably one of the highest in the automotive industry.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Rakesh Sharma, Joint Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Export performance was dampened by vendor manpower shortages and logistics bottlenecks rather than a lack of international demand. This suggests that the reported growth numbers are actually below the business&#8217;s true potential capacity.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Yes, actually we were hampered by supply chain issues both on the availability side which is there were interruptions because of the availability of manpower across our vendors and some of our plants as well and logistics for exports the shipping opportunities declined. So I would say exports should have been in an ideal situation closer to 300 thousand units rather than the 250 odd which we have recorded.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Rakesh Sharma, Joint Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management expects a strong second quarter driven by new product launches and increased production capacity for EVs. The resolution of supply chain issues is expected to boost Chetak and e-three-wheeler volumes by at least 10%.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;But it&#8217;s a very very busy quarter for us in quarter two because there are many new launches lined up and I think that will sparkle the business for us and we are finally hoping that there&#8217;ll be some unlock in capacity in our electric three-wheers and the jetak electric scooters which also could have done I would say about 10% odd better but got sort of restricted because of the supply chain issues.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Rakesh Sharma, Joint Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>The company is planning to double its current electric vehicle production capacity to reach 100,000 units monthly. This aggressive expansion signals management&#8217;s high conviction in the pace of consumer adoption for electric two and three-wheelers.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We are taking all measures to progressively double our capacity which is right now 50,000 units per month. We are looking over a period of time to double this capacity because we think that this segment is set to grow very fast.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Rakesh Sharma, Joint Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Strong demand for AI-related electronics is driving up component costs for the automotive sector, leading to anticipated inflation. The company has already mitigated half of this cost increase, suggesting a proactive approach to protecting the bottom line.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;There is this whole suckup which is taking place on the AI side which is driving up the cost of electronics and we are looking our outlook is that there is going to be strong inflation this quarter. We have already taken mitigating actions. We have sort of covered up at least 50% of the inflation.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Rakesh Sharma, Joint Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>The company reiterates a very high shareholder payout ratio of 90% of profits once cash reserve targets are met. This disciplined capital allocation provides high yield visibility for long-term investors through both dividends and buybacks.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;No, no, no. We&#8217;ve already got a policy which is there and it is in practice and that policy says you know 90% of our given a certain level of cash reserves 90% of our profits are distributed through a combination of dividend and buyback. So it&#8217;s pretty spelled out pretty much in detail.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Rakesh Sharma, Joint Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/M&amp;M/"><span>Mahindra &amp; Mahindra Limited | Large Cap | Automobiles</span></a></h2><p><span>Mahindra &amp; Mahindra Limited is one of India&#8217;s leading automotive manufacturers with a strong presence across SUVs, commercial vehicles, tractors, and electric mobility. In this interview, </span><strong><span>Nalinikanth Gollagunta, CEO, Automotive Division</span></strong><span>, discusses the company&#8217;s June sales performance, demand trends across urban and rural markets, electric vehicle adoption, production capacity expansion, pricing outlook, supply chain normalization, and the key factors expected to drive growth through the festive season and the rest of FY27.</span></p><p><span>[</span><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sb4wU21iq8U"><span>Reference</span></a></p><p><span>The company has successfully resolved the labor and supply chain disruptions that were previously affecting production. This fix allows the company to fully capitalize on the strong 28% growth seen in their SUV segment.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;The labor areas we talked about earlier those been largely solved by end of this end of June. So we don&#8217;t expect that to be an issue going forward for us as well at this point in time. demand continues to be quite robust and that kind of reflects in the numbers that we&#8217;ve had 60,393 SUVs in the domestic business for us which is 28% growth so robust growth.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Nalinikanth Gollagunta, CEO, Automotive Division</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>The current sales growth is not limited to a single product or region but is happening across both city and country buyers. This broad demand suggests a healthy and resilient consumer base for their entire vehicle lineup.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Overall we are quite enthused with what we have seen the growth is broad-based across the portfolio the growth is broad-based across rural and urban as well for us so quite a good set of numbers uh in June.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Nalinikanth Gollagunta, CEO, Automotive Division</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>The company has reaffirmed its yearly growth targets of 15-19% for SUVs and over 10% for commercial vehicles. This indicates that management believes the current sales momentum is stable and predictable.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;For the overall year, we are targeting mid to high teams growth in the SUV business and double digit growth on the um CV business as well or light commercial vehicle business. So that&#8217;s in line with what we had originally projected for the year and all the trends we are seeing give us confidence that we&#8217;ll be able to hit these numbers.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Nalinikanth Gollagunta, CEO, Automotive Division</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>New electric vehicle launches are bringing in fresh customers rather than just taking sales away from existing internal combustion models. This category expansion is helping the company significantly increase its total monthly sales volume.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Firstly, EVs and category creation in the sense that anytime a new product comes in, it adds new volumes to the industry doesn&#8217;t necessarily cannibalize the existing products in the market as well. So, we see that happening when we put out our 9S. We were averaging around 4,000 vehicles per month before that. And with the 9S coming in, we are now close to 7,000.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Nalinikanth Gollagunta, CEO, Automotive Division</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>State-level incentives like road tax waivers are becoming a major driver for electric vehicle adoption across India. Continued government support is essential for lowering the total cost of ownership and boosting EV sales.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;The seminal government policies have been very supportive for the industry and now most of the state governments are starting to support this as well with road tax benefits and a few other things coming in depending on which state you&#8217;re looking at. So the Delhi government policy is definitely a welcome step in that direction and we see most of the state governments that we are talking to align with a similar set of policies.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Nalinikanth Gollagunta, CEO, Automotive Division</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>The company expects its monthly electric vehicle sales to stabilize between 7,000 and 8,000 units for the current fiscal year. This establishes a baseline for investors to track the company&#8217;s progress in the green energy transition.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Right now we&#8217;re projecting somewhere in the 7,000 to 8,000 range is what we&#8217;re projecting on a monthly basis. 7,000 to 8,000 EVs per month is what you&#8217;re projecting at least in this fiscal.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Nalinikanth Gollagunta, CEO, Automotive Division</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management plans to raise vehicle prices soon to offset the cumulative cost increases experienced over the last half-year. This move is intended to protect the company&#8217;s profit margins as other competitors in the industry do the same.</span></p><blockquote><p><span>&#8220;While some of the commodity um costs have come down but a lot of some the costs that we have seen build out in the last 6 months um we have passed some of it as an industry to customers but we&#8217;ll have to go take a price hike. We have seen some of the OEMs announced it as well and we&#8217;re looking at seriously taking a price hike in the next couple of weeks or so.&#8221;</span></p><p><span>&#8212; Nalinikanth Gollagunta, CEO, Automotive Division</span></p></blockquote><p><span>Waiting periods for most vehicles have been reduced to a manageable 3 to 5 weeks, reflecting better production efficiency. Investors should note that these wait times may increase as the high-demand festive season approaches.</span></p><blockquote><p><span>&#8220;We are on average anywhere from 3 to 5 weeks is what we see. There could be one or two variants odd variants which might be higher than that but we&#8217;re largely where we want to be in the 3 to 5 week range. My sense is as we get closer to festive it can tighten a little bit.&#8221;</span></p><p><span>&#8212; Nalinikanth Gollagunta, CEO, Automotive Division</span></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/PRECAM/"><span>Precision Camshafts | Micro Cap | Auto Ancillary</span></a></h2><p><span>Precision Camshafts Limited is one of the world&#8217;s leading manufacturers and supplier of camshafts, a critical engine component, in the passenger vehicle segment based on its estimated global market share by volume. The company supplies several varieties of camshafts for passenger vehicles, tractors, light commercial vehicles and locomotive engine applications from its manufacturing facilities in Solapur, Maharashtra.</span></p><p><span>[</span><a href="https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachHis/acb02fd2-c7d2-4ade-82c4-d547e6322122.pdf"><span>Concall</span></a><span>]</span></p><p><span>While discussing business visibility, Karan Shah highlighted the company&#8217;s recent order wins from leading OEMs and said they significantly extend revenue visibility over the coming years.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;As highlighted in our previous earnings call, PCL has secured multiple new business awards from leading OEMs, including Maruti Suzuki, Hyundai, Mahindra &amp; Mahindra, Tata Motors, Renault-Nissan and some other international customers as well. These programs extend our business visibility well into the next decade and represent a cumulative lifetime revenue of approximately &#8377;1,500 crores over and above our existing order book.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Karan Shah, Whole-Time Director, Business Development</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management outlined its medium-term capex plans to support recently won orders and future growth.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Over the next three years, PCL plans to invest over &#8377;100 crores in foundry and machine shop capacity expansion, advanced manufacturing technologies as well as automation. These investments are expected to support incremental revenues of more than 2x the capex, which will be incurred in the coming years.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Karan Shah, Whole-Time Director, Business Development</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Along with capacity expansion, the company is investing in automation to improve efficiency and lower costs.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;In addition to the capacity expansion, we are undertaking significant automation initiatives across the foundry and the machine shop. These projects are expected to generate significant cost savings while improving quality, productivity and efficiency.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Karan Shah, Whole-Time Director, Business Development</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>The company announced an important milestone in its EV business.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;I am pleased to share that we have successfully developed our electric heavy commercial vehicle platform and have already delivered the first vehicle to our customer in this quarter. This agreement marks an important milestone in our electrification journey and validates our capabilities. The vehicle is undergoing customer evaluation and field trials with initial feedback being encouraging.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Karan Shah, Whole-Time Director, Business Development</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Responding to a question on EMOSS, management said European demand remains weak despite operational stability.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;The Europe situation is very volatile right now. There are two wars happening and there are several constraints, a lot of issues on subsidies and so on. Right now, we are stable at the rate at which we are operating. We don&#8217;t see a great amount of growth this year or perhaps even next year. But we are actively working on a lot of new customers and new applications, where any scale-up would happen over the next one-and-a-half years or so.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Karan Shah, Whole-Time Director, Business Development</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>When asked about inorganic growth, management ruled out overseas acquisitions.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Not at all internationally, but we are actively looking in India.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Karan Shah, Whole-Time Director, Business Development</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management explained why margins should improve over time.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;The new projects are all assembled camshafts. They are higher value-added products and therefore higher margin. Along with automation, we expect EBITDA margins to improve, although it would be difficult to quantify that right now.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Karan Shah, Whole-Time Director, Business Development</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management acknowledged near-term pressure on margins from commodity inflation.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;All raw materials, including steel, aluminium, LPG, cutting tools and oils, have increased over the last two to three months due to the Iran war situation. While customers do compensate us, they don&#8217;t fully compensate us immediately, and there can be a time lag between incurring the cost and receiving compensation. So, there will be some margin impact, although we hope this remains a short-term situation.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Karan Shah, Whole-Time Director, Business Development</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Discussing the heavy commercial vehicle platform, management highlighted the opportunity from just one customer.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;The heavy commercial vehicle platform has been delivered to a customer and is undergoing testing. We hope to complete certification over the next six to eight months. We already have an MOU with one customer, where we are looking at an order book of &#8377;60&#8211;70 crores of annualized revenue from just one customer and one product. If we extrapolate this across other customers in similar applications, the opportunity is tremendous.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Karan Shah, Whole-Time Director, Business Development</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management explained why it chose medium and heavy commercial vehicles rather than mainstream logistics.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;There is a clear gap in the market. Today there are OEMs operating in the electric LCV space and OEMs operating in very large trucks and buses. But in the middle segment, from 10 tonnes to 30 tonnes, there are no OEMs present. We are targeting specialized customers where electrification provides immediate ROI and lower total cost of ownership, particularly in public services, infrastructure and utilities.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Karan Shah, Whole-Time Director, Business Development</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>When asked about diversification into defence and aerospace, management reiterated its core strategic focus.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Our whole objective is to become the number one player in the shaft space that we operate in. In India, we are by far the largest. We aim to be the largest in the world and there is still significant headroom for us to grow. One thing is clear: in the camshaft business, we want to be the last man standing and the biggest player in this business.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Karan Shah, Whole-Time Director, Business Development</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management believes global OEMs have become less aggressive on electric vehicles, which supports the outlook for the company&#8217;s traditional camshaft business.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Very clearly, we hear from our OEMs that the EV business direction that was very clear two years ago has reversed, as some of the largest American OEMs have taken a complete U-turn on their EV strategy. I think that helps us significantly.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Karan Shah, Whole-Time Director, Business Development</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Explaining the company&#8217;s EV retrofit model, management highlighted both cost savings and customization benefits.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;If you buy a brand-new electric heavy truck today, it costs around &#8377;1.2&#8211;1.4 crores. Through retrofitting, because we use the existing chassis and body, we can do it at around 70&#8211;75% of that cost. In addition, we can customize battery capacity from 200 kWh all the way to 450 kWh depending on the customer&#8217;s application&#8212;something that a typical OEM does not offer. Also, in the category we operate in, there are currently no new electric trucks available.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Karan Shah, Whole-Time Director, Business Development</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management explained that commodity inflation will be recovered over time, although there could be timing differences.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Most of our customers have agreed to compensate us for this increased cost, which is beneficial to us. However, there might be a time lag because of production cycles, exports and payment timelines.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Karan Shah, Whole-Time Director, Business Development</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management explained that it is avoiding direct competition with large truck OEMs.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We are not trying to go after a logistics play or a transport-of-goods customer. We are targeting specialized customers where electrification has immediate benefits in terms of ROI and total cost of operation. These are niche applications related to public services, infrastructure and utilities.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Karan Shah, Whole-Time Director, Business Development</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Responding to a question on future strategy, management distinguished the Indian market from its European operations.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We do this in Europe, but I think the Indian market does not look like that at this point of time, at least.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Karan Shah, Whole-Time Director, Business Development</span></em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2" target="_blank" href="https://zerodha.com/open-account/?c=ZAPVVI" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-Rwm!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5cb88ccb-3f51-46aa-afa9-7768196e838a_1456x304.webp 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-Rwm!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5cb88ccb-3f51-46aa-afa9-7768196e838a_1456x304.webp 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-Rwm!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5cb88ccb-3f51-46aa-afa9-7768196e838a_1456x304.webp 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-Rwm!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5cb88ccb-3f51-46aa-afa9-7768196e838a_1456x304.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-Rwm!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5cb88ccb-3f51-46aa-afa9-7768196e838a_1456x304.webp" width="1456" height="304" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/5cb88ccb-3f51-46aa-afa9-7768196e838a_1456x304.webp&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:304,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:&quot;https://zerodha.com/open-account/?c=ZAPVVI&quot;,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-Rwm!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5cb88ccb-3f51-46aa-afa9-7768196e838a_1456x304.webp 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-Rwm!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5cb88ccb-3f51-46aa-afa9-7768196e838a_1456x304.webp 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-Rwm!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5cb88ccb-3f51-46aa-afa9-7768196e838a_1456x304.webp 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-Rwm!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5cb88ccb-3f51-46aa-afa9-7768196e838a_1456x304.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><h1>Software Services</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/PERSISTENT/"><span>Persistent Systems Limited | Large Cap | IT Services</span></a></h2><p><span>Persistent Systems is a global technology services firm specializing in digital engineering, cloud transformation, and AI-led enterprise modernization. The company serves a diverse client base across software, healthcare, financial services, and industrial sectors.</span></p><p><span>[</span><a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/5774-28-Jun-2026.pdf"><span>Concall</span></a><span>]</span></p><p><span>Persistent has secured a massive $650 million multi-year contract with an existing US-based technology leader. This provides strong revenue visibility and reinforces the company&#8217;s ability to scale existing client relationships.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;From this deal perspective, this is a net new deal which will add roughly about $125 million plus on an annual basis. Overall, for the period of the contract, it will be roughly about $650 million plus over 6.5 years. This is a true testimony to the relationship and to what we have delivered for this customer over the years.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Sandeep Kalra, CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Persistent is paying a substantial premium to acquire Nagarro through a cash-based voluntary public takeover offer in Germany. The transaction represents a major capital allocation decision to secure a controlling stake in a high-growth asset.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Persistent has agreed to acquire 100% of Nagarro shares at an enterprise value of &#8364;1.27 billion based on &#8364;81 per share in cash. This is a premium of 140% to the undisturbed closing price on June 25, 2026, and 94% to the 3-month volume-weighted average price.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Vineet, CFO</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Nagarro has a large base of small-to-mid-sized clients with very little overlap with Persistent&#8217;s existing customer list. Persistent intends to apply its successful account mining techniques to significantly grow the revenue coming from these individual accounts.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Nagarro has 180 logos that are $1 million plus, but their largest client is less than $50 million. There is very little customer overlap&#8212;less than 10 accounts. If we apply Persistent&#8217;s mining strategies to these high-quality logos, we don&#8217;t necessarily need to hunt for new ones.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Sandeep Kalra, CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>The Nagarro acquisition is structured to be immediately beneficial to earnings per share after adjusting for non-cash accounting charges. This suggests the deal is financially sound and will not dilute shareholder value in the short term.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We anticipate a 70-30 split for goodwill and intangibles, with the latter amortized over 8 years at an interest rate between 4.1% and 4.5%. When we say cash EPS accretive, we mean excluding amortization. If you remove the one-time transition expenses, it will be reported EPS accretive in year one as well.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Vineet, CFO</span></em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1><span>Tourism &amp; Hospitality</span></h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/BSE/INDHOTEL/"><span>Indian Hotels Company Limited (IHCL) | Large Cap | Hotels &amp; Hospitality</span></a></h2><p><span>Indian Hotels Company Limited (IHCL) is India&#8217;s largest hospitality company, with a portfolio spanning luxury, premium, mid-scale, and leisure brands across domestic and international markets. In this interview, </span><strong><span>Puneet Chhatwal, Managing Director &amp; CEO</span></strong><span>, shares his outlook on the hospitality sector, discusses the impact of geopolitical developments on travel demand, explains why domestic demand continues to remain resilient, highlights India&#8217;s untapped tourism opportunity, and outlines how IHCL is building a diversified, capital-light portfolio to sustain long-term growth.</span></p><p><span>[</span><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QBoW-1LnPZ8"><span>Reference</span></a><span>]</span></p><p><span>Management attributes the current high growth rates to a weak comparable period last year and strong underlying demand. The company is confident in achieving its 12-14% growth guidance for the full year, with potential for further upside if external conditions remain stable.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;The base was much lower and the demand continues to stay robust so if the base is lower demand is robust then you see exponential growth uh but it&#8217;s not that um that this is going to be like 20% plus every month going forward what we have guided for we believe in the 12 to 14% for sure and if none of the crisis come our way in the rest of the financial year then it could go even north of 14%.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Puneet Chhatwal, Managing Director &amp; CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>While geopolitical issues are temporarily reducing international visitors, surging domestic travel is more than filling the gap. This shift highlights the resilience of the Indian market and its ability to sustain occupancy despite global travel disruptions.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Of course, the number of foreign tourist arrivals, whether business delegations or tourismdriven demand, that is declining. At the same time, the domestic demand continues to increase both on leisure as well as business front. So I think a lot of that has shifted the demand temporarily.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Puneet Chhatwal, Managing Director &amp; CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>The company is relying on its broad mix of brands and contract types to protect against economic shocks and rising costs. This diversification is a core part of their strategy to maintain stable earnings regardless of volatility in specific travel segments.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;I think we remain relatively confident that we have diversified enough by brand, by geography, by various kinds of contracts that we&#8217;ll be able to mitigate the challenges that come whether through crude prices or through you know increase in costs or lesser number of foreign travel, more domestic more home stays, more you know a lot of that is happening but I think at some point it will also settle down but we are very well prepared and geared for any of these crisis.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Puneet Chhatwal, Managing Director &amp; CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>The company plans to operationalize one new hotel every single week during the current financial year. This aggressive pace of openings is a key driver for market share expansion and top-line growth.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Our not like forlike growth remains very strong. We are well poised to open 50 hotels this year. This is also what we have already you know conveyed to the market and 50 hotels means opening a hotel a week not signing a hotel a week.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Puneet Chhatwal, Managing Director &amp; CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>IHCL has successfully scaled its non-Taj brands like Ginger and Vivanta to substantial sizes within the portfolio. The ability to grow these differentiated brands at scale creates a more balanced revenue stream across various price points.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Each of these new offerings under selections vivanta and gateway have scaled up to more than 50 hotels. Ginger itself is scaled up to almost 250 plus portfolio. So I think what we were not able to achieve in the past as well maybe 20 years ago maybe 15 years ago was scaling up of newer brands.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Puneet Chhatwal, Managing Director &amp; CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>New business segments are delivering high growth and superior profit margins compared to the core business. As these high-margin segments represent a larger share of the total revenue, they should drive overall profitability higher.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;And our new businesses are doing fairly well in terms of a keer of 25% on topline and a 35% plus ebita margin. They are very small percentage of the portfolio but our pi is becoming larger. So if I say 12 to 14% growth of our uh top line, we are talking about at an enterprise level of almost like 1,700,800 crores&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Puneet Chhatwal, Managing Director &amp; CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management identifies international tourism as a major untapped opportunity that has not yet returned to its full potential. Any recovery in global travel to India would provide a significant boost to luxury brand occupancies and rates.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Foreign tourist arrivals in India is at an absolute low amount compared to any other country whether in the region or of the size of our country or of a country which has so much to offer. So I think that is the hidden upside for the sector. Uh and you know our number of foreign tourist arrivals is sub 10 million when a city of Paris alone gets 25.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Puneet Chhatwal, Managing Director &amp; CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>IHCL is increasingly using management contracts rather than asset ownership to expand its footprint. This capital-light approach reduces the company&#8217;s financial risk while allowing it to scale rapidly across all segments of the market.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We have carried the same ethos forward and today we have an offering for all Indians for all customers at all price points. So there was a challenge 2 years ago very few believed that this would be possible and if we were getting distracted but we&#8217;ve been able to build scale and on a capital light model so that we don&#8217;t have huge value at risk.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Puneet Chhatwal, Managing Director &amp; CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Small, strategic capital investments in key locations are yielding outsized returns for the Ginger brand. This suggests that IHCL can drive significant growth without requiring massive amounts of new capital.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Yes, we can continue to grow exponentially in these businesses because the investment level if we were to invest our own money to secure you know flagship destinations trophy assets for a ginger like we have done with Ginger Mumbai airport if we were to do four five of those it&#8217;s not a huge capital investment but it gives exponential growth to the brand. So these brands in this segment are very well positioned to benefit with little capital infusion, little talent infusion to keep growing exponentially.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Puneet Chhatwal, Managing Director &amp; CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>The Ginger brand is targeted to reach over 250 hotels within the next year, illustrating the speed of the company&#8217;s current expansion. Scaling these mass-market brands alongside the luxury Taj brand creates a robust and diverse earnings engine.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Having a brand like Taj which is getting close to 150 hotels portfolio being the pride of the nation and a very strong brand now at the same time we have built Ginger as a brand which should get to 250 plus hotels by not 5 years but in the next 12 months. I think that is a very solid representation of what is possible with the other brands that are following um in our brandscape and are very well poised to make a difference in terms of contribution to the sector to the nation and to our P&amp;L.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Puneet Chhatwal, Managing Director &amp; CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1><span>Engineering &amp; Capital Goods</span></h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/ASTRAL/"><span>Astral Limited | Large Cap | Plastic Products</span></a></h2><p><span>Astral Limited is a leading Indian building materials company specializing in chlorinated polyvinyl chloride (CPVC) piping systems and adhesives. The company is currently reorganizing its operations to separate its piping and chemical businesses into two distinct listed entities to improve focus and capital allocation.</span></p><p><span>[</span><a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/4716-27-Jun-2026.pdf"><span>Concall</span></a><span>]</span></p><p><span>The company is expanding its specialty chemical business via DSS to replace expensive imports and drive higher internal margins. Investors should note the potential for export growth in this segment with relatively low additional capital expenditure.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Now that we have a commercial setup and have started commercial production at DSS, at some stage, we would like to scale up the production facilities at DSS and establish a state-of-the-art chemical facility. Actually, the capex cycles are not very heavy here, but there are significant benefits from using the product in-house, and there is huge potential for export.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Sandeep Engineer, Chairman and Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>The demerger logic is based on the distinct business models and manufacturing processes of the two divisions. Separating them allows the adhesive and paint brands to leverage their consumer-facing synergies more effectively.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Adhesives is completely B2C, whereas pipe has a B2B project component. Secondly, the manufacturing is different&#8212;one is polymer-related and the other is chemical-related. Thirdly, adjectives and paints go hand-in-hand in terms of sales, uses, and the commonality of the applicators.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Sandeep Engineer, Chairman and Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>The company is targeting specialized, high-margin sectors like defense and green energy for its chemical business. This strategy focuses on import substitution, which offers a competitive moat in the Indian industrial market.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Segment-wise, we are focusing on adhesives for renewable energy (wind and solar) and products for defense. Our focus is on making these chemistries in India rather than importing them.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Hiranand Savlani, Chief Financial Officer</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>The newly formed chemical entity will benefit from lower effective tax rates due to past losses and amortization. This should lead to better cash retention and post-tax profitability during the initial years of the demerger.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;The adhesive tax rate will be low initially because of the write-offs we do every year. Plus, we have the accumulated losses of the paint division from the last couple of years. This will provide a benefit, so the tax rate for that entity will be lower than for pipes.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Hiranand Savlani, Chief Financial Officer</span></em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/THERMAX/"><span>Thermax | Mid Cap | Engineering &amp; Capital Goods</span></a></h2><p><span>Thermax offers a wide range of products and solutions for industrial heating, cooling, water management, and pollution control. They design and build boilers, power plants, wastewater treatment systems, and waste heat recovery solutions.</span></p><p><span>[</span><a href="https://youtu.be/FAv9tPV_rn4?si=3hZ10rvpP5f71qCh"><span>Interview</span></a><span>]</span></p><p><span>Speaking about India&#8217;s energy transition and the government&#8217;s increasing focus on energy security, Ashish Bhandari said the Bio-CNG industry is nearing an inflection point and could witness rapid growth once the remaining policy decisions are announced.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;There&#8217;s a very strong realization all around that the pace of energy security development needs to increase. There was a time when it was expected that India could have more than 3,000 biogas plants. Today, we are not even at one-tenth of that number because some of the initial projects struggled to achieve commercial viability, the economics were marginal, and there were policy decisions that the government was still working on. As I understand, in the next couple of months there are some very significant policy decisions expected that can put this industry on a growth path like never before. I expect Bio-CNG to become India&#8217;s next ethanol story, with hundreds of plants coming up across the country.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Ashish Bhandari, Managing Director &amp; CEO, Thermax</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Explaining the long-term market potential, Bhandari highlighted India&#8217;s dependence on imported natural gas and how Bio-CNG can substitute a meaningful portion of demand.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;India today imports more than 50% of its natural gas requirements. Natural gas demand is growing rapidly across city gas distribution, industrial applications and transportation. It is one of the fastest-growing components of India&#8217;s energy mix, and Bio-CNG plants directly address this requirement. Done well, this industry is worth several billion dollars in India&#8212;perhaps even a $10&#8211;20 billion annual opportunity. Overall, I believe as much as 20% of India&#8217;s natural gas needs can eventually be met through domestic Bio-CNG deployment.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Ashish Bhandari, Managing Director &amp; CEO, Thermax</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Discussing execution, Bhandari said the company has significantly improved plant performance after learning from its first set of projects.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We took orders for 14 plants about three years ago. During the first year, it was all about learning&#8212;every day we wondered whether we would really master this technology. But over the last year, our stability has improved tremendously. All our plants are now going through commissioning and performance tests. This plant has successfully completed its performance test, and another large plant in Punjab is currently undergoing the same process. We now understand the technology very well, and we believe the economics are getting very close to making these projects commercially viable.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Ashish Bhandari, Managing Director &amp; CEO, Thermax</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>While Thermax has achieved technological maturity, management believes supportive policy will determine how quickly the industry scales.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;With the last couple of policy decisions expected from the central government, that is really the only thing this industry needs to break out into something special. Hopefully, those decisions will come very soon.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Ashish Bhandari, Managing Director &amp; CEO, Thermax</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Asked about the potential revenue contribution for Thermax, Bhandari outlined both EPC and recurring revenue opportunities.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Our revenue has two parts. One is constructing the plant itself. A typical 20-ton-per-day plant involves a project size of around &#8377;100&#8211;150 crore. Then there is a recurring annuity from operations and maintenance&#8212;running the plant and maintaining it. Going forward, there could also be additional service revenues from sourcing biomass, managing digestate and other related activities. With the right policy decisions that are expected, this could easily become a &#8377;1,000&#8211;2,000 crore business for Thermax.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Ashish Bhandari, Managing Director &amp; CEO, Thermax</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>On the timeline for industry growth, management expressed optimism that the sector is approaching an important inflection point.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We will have to see when the policy decisions come, but I do believe the next two to three years will be very exciting for this industry.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Ashish Bhandari, Managing Director &amp; CEO, Thermax</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Responding to a question on profitability, Bhandari explained that margin expansion will depend on industry growth as well as Thermax&#8217;s ability to differentiate its technology.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;It has two parts. First, it depends on the external environment. If the expected pricing changes and policy support come through, and the industry grows rapidly, the ability to make money also improves. Second, it depends on Thermax&#8217;s ability to build differentiation into the solution. These plants have taught us a tremendous amount, and we are working on at least three major areas of innovation that we believe can provide significant differentiation in Bio-CNG. If both these factors come together, the opportunity to generate attractive margins is significant.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Ashish Bhandari, Managing Director &amp; CEO, Thermax</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management cautioned that while policy support can drive volumes, sustainable profitability will require technological differentiation.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;If the external environment improves but we fail to build differentiation, the volumes will come. However, we will still have to see how profitable that business becomes. We are certainly working towards achieving both.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Ashish Bhandari, Managing Director &amp; CEO, Thermax</span></em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/STLTECH/"><span>Sterlite Technologies | Small Cap | Engineering &amp; Capital Goods</span></a></h2><p><span>Sterlite Technologies, formerly known as Sterlite Optical Technologies, is an industry-leading manufacturer of telecommunication cables. The company has diversified its portfolio to include a range of products such as Optical Fibers, Power Transmission Conductors, and Telecom Cables. It caters to sectors like telecom, defense, oil and gas, and aviation.</span></p><p><span>[</span><a href="https://youtu.be/wig1UrIH0Jw?si=cptGgYaOnksqNm0v"><span>Interview</span></a><span>]</span></p><p><span>On the post-QIP balance sheet, management outlined its leverage target while highlighting the need for a stronger financial position to pursue growth opportunities.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;A big part of the focus for the QIP had been strengthening our balance sheet. We definitely see strong opportunities for growth for the company, both on the telecom side and definitely on the data center side. We are seeing strong growth in opportunities in the US, Europe and increasingly in India. To capture these opportunities, we felt strongly that we need to have a very strong balance sheet. We have close to about &#8377;1,100&#8211;1,200 crores of net debt on our balance sheet and, with this fund raise, we will be in a much stronger position. Going forward, we want to have a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of about 1 to 1.2 times, and with this QIP I think we are well placed within that.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Ankit Agarwal, Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Discussing investment priorities, management said capex will focus on expanding capabilities for both telecom and data center customers.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We&#8217;ve been very clear that we are looking at a good mix of our customers from both the telecom side as well as the data center side. Geographically, we continue to believe that 80% to 85% of our sales will come from the US and Europe, with the balance coming from India. To cater to this growth, we are investing in upgrading our equipment to make sure that we can provide end-to-end solutions. More and more of what we will serve is through the portfolio we have developed called Neurales, and we&#8217;re very excited by how those opportunities are panning out. Currently, we are looking at about &#8377;500 crores of capex for this year and probably similar numbers over the next couple of years.&#8221;</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Providing an update on the order book, management highlighted a major new order win from the US.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;The order book that we had last shared was in the range of about &#8377;7,000 crores. Since then, we&#8217;re very happy to share that we have announced a north of &#8377;10,000 crore order from a large hyperscaler in the US. We continue to see good interest from both the telecom sector as well as the data center segment, and we are continuously upgrading our product portfolio to make sure that we can serve this segment even better going forward.&#8221;</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management explained why it remains optimistic about global fiber demand despite the industry&#8217;s recent inventory correction.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;There&#8217;s definitely strong demand in the market, both on the telecom side and especially from the data center side. There are also new applications where fiber optics are required in good volumes, such as drone applications and first-person-view applications. What&#8217;s also happening is that the amount of fiber required within data centers is increasing because of the shift to higher-capacity requirements, as you&#8217;re moving from 10-kilowatt to 100-kilowatt structures and from 400-gig speeds to 800-gig speeds and even 1.6 terabit speeds. All of this requires a significant increase in fiber optics within data centers.&#8221;</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Alongside AI-driven demand, management cited government-led broadband programs as additional growth drivers.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Going forward, we do see strong demand for fiber optics. In India, we have projects like BharatNet, and in the US there are large government projects being rolled out. Overall, we feel positive about the demand for the fiber optic market.&#8221;</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>On profitability, management linked margin improvement to better capacity utilization and an increasing contribution from higher-value connectivity solutions.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Historically, when we operate at about 70% utilization, we have been able to demonstrate EBITDA margins of around 20%. In addition to that, as we build on our connectivity portfolio, we do see that margins can even be better than that. One thing that we are mindful of is that the current tariffs from India to the US are broadly in the 10% range, which could go up towards around 18% in the near term based on the bilateral discussions that are going on. But, net-net, as we continue to scale up our capacity utilization, the EBITDA margins can be north of 20%.&#8221;</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Responding to a question on the commercialization of the Neurales portfolio, management shared its revenue mix target.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;The Neurales portfolio is getting good interest from customers, both in India as well as globally. We&#8217;ve broadly guided that our enterprise and data center portfolio will move towards 30% of our revenue towards the end of this year. Going forward as well, we see a good mix of our sales between the telecom segment and the data center segment.&#8221;</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management highlighted its technology pipeline and the timeline for commercialization.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;There are three or four very interesting technologies such as hollow-core fiber, multi-core fiber, G654E long-haul fiber, etc., which we are working on. Broadly, over the next one to two years, we do see that some of these solutions will start becoming more meaningful for the company.&#8221;</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management reiterated its geographical strategy despite growing opportunities in India.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Geographically as well, we continue to believe that a strong portion of our sales&#8212;close to 80% to 85%&#8212;will be from the US and Europe, and the balance will be in India.&#8221;</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management emphasized that deleveraging is about enabling future growth rather than simply reducing debt.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;To capture these opportunities, we felt strongly that we need to have a very strong balance sheet, and that gives us options for growth going forward.&#8221;</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management explained one of the structural demand drivers for optical fiber.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;The amount of fiber required within the data centers is increasing because of the shift to higher-capacity requirements, moving from 400-gig speeds to 800-gig speeds and even 1.6-terabit speeds. All of this requires a significant increase in fiber optics within data centers.&#8221;</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management expects the evolving product mix to support profitability over time.</span></p><blockquote><p><span>&#8220;As we build on our connectivity portfolio, we do see that margins can even be better than 20%.&#8221;</span></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Ankit Agarwal, Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1><span>Retail</span></h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/TIMEX/"><span>Timex Group India | Small Cap | Watches &amp; Accessories</span></a></h2><p><span>Timex Group India is a prominent player in the Indian watch market, specializing in the design, manufacturing, and distribution of a wide range of timepieces. The company operates a dual model of local production for mass-market brands and importing high-end luxury labels like Versace and Guess.</span></p><p><span>[</span><a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/304-30-Jun-2026.pdf"><span>Concall</span></a><span>]</span></p><p><span>Management is expanding its manufacturing footprint in Baddi to nearly double its current production capacity. This flexible infrastructure setup allows the company to scale supply rapidly in response to seasonal demand spikes.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We decided on a long-term plan with a separate building on our land in Baddi. The separate building will take our capacity from 6 million to 10 million in a single shift, with a total potential for 15 million. The physical infrastructure will be ready, and I can add assembly lines within 30 to 45 days when needed.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Deepak Chhabra, Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Timex is moving toward localizing production for its higher-volume licensed brands like Guess to improve margins and supply chain efficiency. This transition marks a shift from a pure import model to localized value creation for international brands.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;All our luxury and fashion brands are imported from our subsidiaries because the current volume in those brands does not justify local manufacturing. You need a width of 250 to 350 SKUs per brand, and until you sell half a million units per brand, local supply chain is not beneficial. However, we plan to start making Guess in India next year.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Deepak Chhabra, Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>E-commerce has rapidly become a major revenue driver, growing from a negligible share to nearly half of the business in just four years. The reliance on a direct-to-portal model suggests high operational efficiency in reaching the digital consumer.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Four years ago, online was only 5%. Today it is 40%. We use four models. 1P (First Party) involves selling directly to portals like Flipkart, Amazon, and Myntra. This is our biggest contribution because it is operationally easy.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Deepak Chhabra, Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management highlights that Timex is the only global competitor to Titan in the massive sub-10,000 rupee market segment. Their significantly higher growth rate relative to the market leader suggests they are capturing substantial market share.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;The watch market is a pyramid, and at the bottom, it is just Titan and Timex. There are no global brands selling for less than 10,000 rupees. Titan is roughly 4.5 times our size, but we are growing at a 35% CAGR while they are at 13-14%.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Deepak Chhabra, Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Timex is expanding its portfolio into the bridge-to-luxury segment with a new Swiss-made brand while maintaining its core strength in mass-market watches. This multi-tiered brand strategy aims to capture both the high-volume bottom and high-margin top of the market pyramid.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We will also launch a new entry-price Swiss brand in January, our own brand made in Lugano, priced between 29,999 and 70,000 rupees. The largest share of the Indian market will always be for watches under 10,000 rupees.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Deepak Chhabra, Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>The company is integrating AI into its core business processes to speed up design and optimize marketing spend. These technological investments are intended to sustain growth without further increasing overhead costs.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We are now investing in AI, specifically for product design and marketing. We identify 52 use cases that can be automated through AI to improve turnaround times and analytics. This will help with better capital allocation and efficiency.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Deepak Chhabra, Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Interviews/Podcasts</h1><h2><a href="https://subtextbyzerodha.substack.com/"><span>Zohra Khan | Indian EV infra | Subtext By Zerodha</span></a></h2><p><span>India&#8217;s EV adoption is now less dependent on the vehicles, and more on everything it plugs into &#8212; the charger, the connector, the software, the protocols that charging networks use to talk to one another, and, most importantly, the ageing Indian electricity grid beneath all of it. To make sense of all this, we spoke to Zohra Khan, founder &amp; CEO of IPEC, which designs and manufactures EV chargers for India&#8217;s leading two- and three-wheeler OEMs, to understand what it actually takes to build charging infrastructure at scale in India. <br><br>[</span><a href="https://subtextbyzerodha.substack.com/p/zohra-khan-on-the-business-of-indian"><span>Interview</span></a><span>]</span></p><p><span>The biggest friction in public EV charging isn&#8217;t the hardware &#8212; it&#8217;s the three invisible layers beneath it that have to work in sync for a user to have a seamless experience.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;The first one is the actual physical connector. The second thing is a protocol or software layer &#8212; even if the connector matches, you usually need to also have software interoperability. The third is the actual power grid &#8212; the grid conditions and quality. And this is a very underappreciated topic, because a charger that works very well in other areas like Germany or China might not work well here.&#8221;</span></em></p></blockquote><p><em><span>&#8212; Zohra Khan, Founder &amp; CEO, IPEC</span></em></p><p><span>Two-wheeler and three-wheeler charging still lacks the connector and software standardisation that four-wheelers have, partly because India is leading this segment globally with no existing standard to borrow from.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Countries like India are leading the two-wheeler, three-wheeler EV revolution. So a lot of people are looking at us to define the way forward in terms of what the connectors will be and what the protocols will be.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;Standardization cannot be done in isolation. You need EV OEMs, you need charger OEMs, you also need network operators and infrastructure players. So we&#8217;re trying to bring everybody together.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Zohra Khan, Founder &amp; CEO, IPEC</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>India is technically a power surplus country &#8212; the generation and transmission layers are largely fine. The real problem is in the last mile, and it has been building for years.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;India has a distribution problem. This distribution layer, which is mainly the 11 kV and the 415 volt lines &#8212; a lot of these lines are overloaded. Transformers which are serving these residential areas were probably installed with requirements from ten years ago.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Zohra Khan, Founder &amp; CEO, IPEC</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>The evening peak load problem is where EV charging, air conditioning, and household demand all converge at once &#8212; and where residential transformers are most exposed.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Everybody comes back in the evening and everybody puts on their ACs, chargers, everything. It happens at the same time. So the peak happens all at once. That&#8217;s when the transformer will run hotter, the insulation will age faster, and it&#8217;ll fail prematurely.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;Dynamic load management &#8212; where you have a cloud-based management system onto which multiple chargers are connected, and this system knows what the available load or capacity is, and based on that dynamically decides how much power to distribute &#8212; this is something that has to be done if we don&#8217;t want to be stressing our power grids.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Zohra Khan, Founder &amp; CEO, IPEC</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>The grid that Indian EV chargers have to work with is far more volatile than what most imported chargers are designed for &#8212; and that constraint, counterintuitively, becomes a competitive advantage.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;You can see voltages going less than 200 volts also. It&#8217;ll go up to 300 volts also, even though the nominal voltage should be 240 volts. A lot of the products which are designed for Europe and China do not have a wide input voltage range, because they have more stable grids. So those products come here and they will easily fail.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;A product that is developed for India can work anywhere in the most reliable way &#8212; it&#8217;s massively stress tested. Whether it&#8217;s a Chinese charger or a German-made charger, I would say we&#8217;ll do it better and cheaper.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Zohra Khan, Founder &amp; CEO, IPEC</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Semiconductors and microcontrollers remain the hardest components to localise &#8212; and despite strong progress on other fronts, this bottleneck will persist for at least another three to five years.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;The semiconductors and microcontrollers &#8212; these are currently being imported. India does not have a mature semiconductor ecosystem. That&#8217;ll still take maybe three to five years to reach the kind of industrialization and the kind of price points that exist in the industry today.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;Our DVA is already more than 55%, which means 55% of whatever we build is already localized in India. The remaining is because of these bottlenecks.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Zohra Khan, Founder &amp; CEO, IPEC</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>The next frontier for EV chargers in India isn&#8217;t faster charging &#8212; it&#8217;s bidirectional charging, which turns a vehicle battery into a backup power source, with particular relevance for tier two, tier three, and rural India.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;The bidirectional charger is one product which I&#8217;m especially excited about &#8212; I&#8217;m not only able to use the charger to charge the vehicle, but I can also use this charger to use the energy that&#8217;s stored in the battery to power a small load.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;That&#8217;s a use case that can be used not only in tier one cities, but in tier two, tier three and rural India also, where they might have power outages.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Zohra Khan, Founder &amp; CEO, IPEC</span></em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://subtextbyzerodha.substack.com/"><span>Brad Setser| Global Dollar Cycle|Subtext By Zerodha</span></a></h2><p><span>The role of the dollar, and its influence on global trade, is a complicated story that has constantly changed over time. To make sense of all this, we spoke to Brad Setser, a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations and former US Treasury official, to understand the forces actually driving global capital flows. Our conversation dives deep into why the dollar is currently so strong, how the manufacturing surpluses of China, Korea, and Taiwan quietly finance the American deficit, what China would have to do to rebalance, and what an AI bust would do to the currency.</span></p><p><span>[</span><a href="https://subtextbyzerodha.substack.com/p/brad-setser-on-the-dollar-and-the"><span>Interview</span></a><span>]</span></p><p><span>Dollar strength today has little to do with reserve currency status or safe-haven demand &#8212; it is being driven by investors chasing exceptional returns in US equities, a pattern that only emerged in the last year.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;For most of the period after 2014, through the COVID crisis, the bulk of the flow into the US was not a net flow into the equity market. Think much more Asian insurance companies &#8212; Taiwanese insurance companies, Japanese insurance companies, German insurance companies, Swedish pension funds &#8212; looking for higher returns on bonds.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;Over the past year there have been quite significant flows &#8212; two, three percentage points of GDP, on net, into the US equity market, obviously chasing the run-up in the price of the tech platforms.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Brad Setser, Senior Fellow, Council on Foreign Relations</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>If the AI bubble bursts, the dollar has a long way to fall &#8212; and the current level of dollar strength only makes the potential reversal more severe.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;If the bubble bursts, there&#8217;ll be a big fall-off in new equity inflows, and you&#8217;ll have a bunch of existing investors possibly hedging their existing exposure, which creates additional downward pressure on the dollar.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;We&#8217;re still at levels of the dollar, on a broad basis, that were last seen in the dot-com era &#8212; historically strong dollar levels against the yen, against the yuan on an inflation-adjusted basis, against the Taiwan dollar. The higher you go, the more room there is to fall &#8212; and the dollar is pretty high.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Brad Setser, Senior Fellow, Council on Foreign Relations</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>The biggest source of dollar accumulation in the global economy today is not oil exporters &#8212; it is the manufacturing economies of Northeast Asia, and that will remain true until oil crosses roughly $130 a barrel.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;China&#8217;s running a $1.2 trillion trade surplus. Korea and Taiwan are going to run a surplus of 400 to 500 billion. These are big, big numbers.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;There are a lot more dollars in these manufacturing exporters &#8212; DRAM dollars, chip dollars, Chinese-unwillingness-to-let-your-currency-go-up dollars &#8212; than there are petrodollars.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Brad Setser, Senior Fellow, Council on Foreign Relations</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Major U.S. tech giants have shifted from saving cash to borrowing heavily for AI infrastructure. This massive capital spending is creating a global boom for chip manufacturers and hardware suppliers.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;The second risk, which right now in the US is viewed as an opportunity, is the extent to which the big US technology companies have gone from being net savers to being net borrowers to fund their enormous investments in AI and data centres. That&#8217;s really having a profound impact on the US and the global economy. You look at Korea&#8217;s surplus, you look at the price of memory chips &#8212; you&#8217;re really seeing upward pressure on a bunch of manufacturing sectors globally.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Brad Setser, Senior Fellow, Council on Foreign Relations</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>China&#8217;s current reliance on exports is not a permanent feature &#8212; it is the direct consequence of the property bubble bursting, and investment and exports have historically traded off against each other.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Periods of strong investment have been periods of less reliance on exports. The current period of much weaker investment, driven by property, has been associated with more reliance on exports.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;What&#8217;s unique now is the extent to which China is back to relying on exports &#8212; how it&#8217;s different when an economy as big as China is relying on exports.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Brad Setser, Senior Fellow, Council on Foreign Relations</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>China&#8217;s export machine has proven far more resilient to US tariffs than Washington expected &#8212; and that asymmetry has handed Xi the upper hand in negotiations.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Xi took the tariff punch, absorbed it better than expected. China was ready. Chinese firms were ready. They knew how to set up assembly operations in Vietnam, and China&#8217;s global trade didn&#8217;t suffer.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;The US discovered it was really dependent on China for some critical minerals. China&#8217;s supply controls have been effective. So the US is negotiating from a position of weakness.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Brad Setser, Senior Fellow, Council on Foreign Relations</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>What makes China&#8217;s manufacturing dominance particularly difficult for the rest of the world is that success at the high end has not translated into any retreat from the low end &#8212; leaving every other country squeezed at both levels simultaneously.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;China&#8217;s managed to be competitive at both. That&#8217;s partially because China&#8217;s used a lot of technology and automation in some of the low-end manufacturing sectors, so they&#8217;re no longer as low-end.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Brad Setser, Senior Fellow, Council on Foreign Relations</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Taiwan&#8217;s level of external accumulation has reached numbers normally associated with oil exporters at peak prices &#8212; a scale that is historically unprecedented for a manufacturing economy.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Taiwan has roughly 200% of its GDP invested abroad. Two-thirds of the assets that Taiwan has for the retirement of Taiwanese workers are invested in foreign bonds. That&#8217;s a crazy-high number. And now TSMC is just accumulating dollars on its own balance sheet.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Brad Setser, Senior Fellow, Council on Foreign Relations</span></em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><p style="text-align: justify;">Join us on WhatsApp, where we share interesting soundbites from concalls, articles, and everything else we come across throughout the day. You&#8217;ll also get notified the moment a new video or article drops, so you can read or watch it right away.</p><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.whatsapp.com/channel/0029VbBp3sDDOQIV8rw4Fi12&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Join us&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:&quot;button-wrapper&quot;}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary button-wrapper" href="https://www.whatsapp.com/channel/0029VbBp3sDDOQIV8rw4Fi12"><span>Join us</span></a></p><div><hr></div><p>We&#8217;re always chasing the day&#8217;s biggest stories. But every now and then, we come across a dataset that deserves a closer look than a Daily Brief allows.</p><p>That&#8217;s what <strong>Points &amp; Figures</strong> is for.</p><p>It&#8217;s where we step back from the news cycle and use data visualisations to tell stories about the Indian economy, financial markets, and investing. Stories that are difficult to tell in a ten-minute podcast or a daily newsletter.</p><p>Our latest edition traces how large language model usage changed over the past eighteen months, through the public usage data of one busy AI marketplace.</p><div class="embedded-post-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;id&quot;:203705202,&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://pointsandfigures.substack.com/p/the-state-of-ai-read-through-one&quot;,&quot;publication_id&quot;:9606213,&quot;publication_name&quot;:&quot;Points &amp; Figures by Zerodha&quot;,&quot;publication_logo_url&quot;:&quot;https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dmyy!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6432d8db-0f22-406f-bcfc-3abb274537d1_119x126.png&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;The state of AI, read through one marketplace&quot;,&quot;truncated_body_text&quot;:&quot;Hi, my name is Bhuvan, and welcome to the second edition of Points &amp; Figures.&quot;,&quot;date&quot;:&quot;2026-06-26T14:24:46.470Z&quot;,&quot;like_count&quot;:18,&quot;comment_count&quot;:1,&quot;bylines&quot;:[{&quot;id&quot;:250820523,&quot;name&quot;:&quot;Zerodha&quot;,&quot;handle&quot;:&quot;zerodhaonline&quot;,&quot;previous_name&quot;:&quot;The Daily Brief&quot;,&quot;photo_url&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/6432d8db-0f22-406f-bcfc-3abb274537d1_119x126.png&quot;,&quot;bio&quot;:&quot;A daily digest that simplifies the biggest stories that are moving the Indian markets. Telegram: https://t.me/zerodhamarkets&quot;,&quot;profile_set_up_at&quot;:&quot;2024-07-05T12:47:55.718Z&quot;,&quot;reader_installed_at&quot;:null,&quot;publicationUsers&quot;:[{&quot;id&quot;:2805746,&quot;user_id&quot;:250820523,&quot;publication_id&quot;:2763364,&quot;role&quot;:&quot;admin&quot;,&quot;public&quot;:true,&quot;is_primary&quot;:true,&quot;publication&quot;:{&quot;id&quot;:2763364,&quot;name&quot;:&quot;The Daily Brief by Zerodha&quot;,&quot;subdomain&quot;:&quot;thedailybriefing&quot;,&quot;custom_domain&quot;:&quot;thedailybrief.zerodha.com&quot;,&quot;custom_domain_optional&quot;:false,&quot;hero_text&quot;:&quot;A daily newsletter that dives into the biggest stories happening in the Indian markets and the global business landscape. &quot;,&quot;logo_url&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/02dc9cc8-aa9e-48a6-b9a5-566b092baf7a_1080x1080.png&quot;,&quot;author_id&quot;:250820523,&quot;primary_user_id&quot;:250820523,&quot;theme_var_background_pop&quot;:&quot;#B599F1&quot;,&quot;created_at&quot;:&quot;2024-07-05T12:48:14.687Z&quot;,&quot;email_from_name&quot;:&quot;The Daily Brief by Zerodha&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;Zerodha&quot;,&quot;founding_plan_name&quot;:null,&quot;community_enabled&quot;:true,&quot;invite_only&quot;:false,&quot;payments_state&quot;:&quot;disabled&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:null,&quot;explicit&quot;:false,&quot;homepage_type&quot;:&quot;magaziney&quot;,&quot;is_personal_mode&quot;:false,&quot;logo_url_wide&quot;:null}},{&quot;id&quot;:3307347,&quot;user_id&quot;:250820523,&quot;publication_id&quot;:3247190,&quot;role&quot;:&quot;admin&quot;,&quot;public&quot;:true,&quot;is_primary&quot;:false,&quot;publication&quot;:{&quot;id&quot;:3247190,&quot;name&quot;:&quot;Aftermarket Report by Zerodha&quot;,&quot;subdomain&quot;:&quot;aftermarketreport&quot;,&quot;custom_domain&quot;:&quot;aftermarketreport.zerodha.com&quot;,&quot;custom_domain_optional&quot;:false,&quot;hero_text&quot;:&quot;A quick daily rundown of what's happening in the Indian markets.&quot;,&quot;logo_url&quot;:null,&quot;author_id&quot;:250820523,&quot;primary_user_id&quot;:null,&quot;theme_var_background_pop&quot;:&quot;#FF6719&quot;,&quot;created_at&quot;:&quot;2024-10-28T13:46:20.569Z&quot;,&quot;email_from_name&quot;:&quot;Aftermarket Report&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;Zerodha&quot;,&quot;founding_plan_name&quot;:null,&quot;community_enabled&quot;:true,&quot;invite_only&quot;:false,&quot;payments_state&quot;:&quot;disabled&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:null,&quot;explicit&quot;:false,&quot;homepage_type&quot;:&quot;magaziney&quot;,&quot;is_personal_mode&quot;:false,&quot;logo_url_wide&quot;:null}},{&quot;id&quot;:4996775,&quot;user_id&quot;:250820523,&quot;publication_id&quot;:4898760,&quot;role&quot;:&quot;admin&quot;,&quot;public&quot;:true,&quot;is_primary&quot;:false,&quot;publication&quot;:{&quot;id&quot;:4898760,&quot;name&quot;:&quot;The Chatter by Zerodha&quot;,&quot;subdomain&quot;:&quot;thechatterbyzerodha&quot;,&quot;custom_domain&quot;:&quot;thechatter.zerodha.com&quot;,&quot;custom_domain_optional&quot;:false,&quot;hero_text&quot;:&quot;A newsletter where we dig through what India&#8217;s biggest companies are saying and bring you the most interesting bits of insight, whether about the business, its sector, or the wider economy.&quot;,&quot;logo_url&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/5b5f6218-2762-4281-a539-683ae1a62b1f_1280x1280.png&quot;,&quot;author_id&quot;:250820523,&quot;primary_user_id&quot;:null,&quot;theme_var_background_pop&quot;:&quot;#FF6719&quot;,&quot;created_at&quot;:&quot;2025-05-02T11:49:49.763Z&quot;,&quot;email_from_name&quot;:&quot;The Chatter by Zerodha&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;Zerodha&quot;,&quot;founding_plan_name&quot;:null,&quot;community_enabled&quot;:true,&quot;invite_only&quot;:false,&quot;payments_state&quot;:&quot;disabled&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:null,&quot;explicit&quot;:false,&quot;homepage_type&quot;:&quot;newspaper&quot;,&quot;is_personal_mode&quot;:false,&quot;logo_url_wide&quot;:null}},{&quot;id&quot;:5138247,&quot;user_id&quot;:250820523,&quot;publication_id&quot;:5037186,&quot;role&quot;:&quot;admin&quot;,&quot;public&quot;:true,&quot;is_primary&quot;:false,&quot;publication&quot;:{&quot;id&quot;:5037186,&quot;name&quot;:&quot;What the hell is happening?&quot;,&quot;subdomain&quot;:&quot;whatthehellishappening&quot;,&quot;custom_domain&quot;:null,&quot;custom_domain_optional&quot;:false,&quot;hero_text&quot;:&quot;Nobody has any idea what's happening in the world. \&quot;What the hell is happening?\&quot; is our attempt to make some sense of all the chaos around us.&quot;,&quot;logo_url&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/13cdc515-fdc6-4534-9c4d-6a9b60708e6c_1024x1024.png&quot;,&quot;author_id&quot;:250820523,&quot;primary_user_id&quot;:null,&quot;theme_var_background_pop&quot;:&quot;#FF6719&quot;,&quot;created_at&quot;:&quot;2025-05-16T11:59:49.234Z&quot;,&quot;email_from_name&quot;:&quot;What the hell is happening? by Zerodha&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;Zerodha&quot;,&quot;founding_plan_name&quot;:null,&quot;community_enabled&quot;:true,&quot;invite_only&quot;:false,&quot;payments_state&quot;:&quot;disabled&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:null,&quot;explicit&quot;:false,&quot;homepage_type&quot;:&quot;newspaper&quot;,&quot;is_personal_mode&quot;:false,&quot;logo_url_wide&quot;:null}},{&quot;id&quot;:6196436,&quot;user_id&quot;:250820523,&quot;publication_id&quot;:6074029,&quot;role&quot;:&quot;admin&quot;,&quot;public&quot;:true,&quot;is_primary&quot;:false,&quot;publication&quot;:{&quot;id&quot;:6074029,&quot;name&quot;:&quot;In The Money by Zerodha&quot;,&quot;subdomain&quot;:&quot;inthemoneybyzerodha&quot;,&quot;custom_domain&quot;:null,&quot;custom_domain_optional&quot;:false,&quot;hero_text&quot;:&quot;Let's be real: the trading space is packed with hype and clickbait content that makes it nearly impossible to find what actually matters. Through this newsletter (and our accompanying video series), we're taking the long road to understanding trading.&quot;,&quot;logo_url&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/6432d8db-0f22-406f-bcfc-3abb274537d1_119x126.png&quot;,&quot;author_id&quot;:250820523,&quot;primary_user_id&quot;:null,&quot;theme_var_background_pop&quot;:&quot;#FF6719&quot;,&quot;created_at&quot;:&quot;2025-08-23T09:13:11.171Z&quot;,&quot;email_from_name&quot;:&quot;In The Money by Zerodha&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;Zerodha&quot;,&quot;founding_plan_name&quot;:null,&quot;community_enabled&quot;:true,&quot;invite_only&quot;:false,&quot;payments_state&quot;:&quot;disabled&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:null,&quot;explicit&quot;:false,&quot;homepage_type&quot;:&quot;newspaper&quot;,&quot;is_personal_mode&quot;:false,&quot;logo_url_wide&quot;:null}},{&quot;id&quot;:7139653,&quot;user_id&quot;:250820523,&quot;publication_id&quot;:6995882,&quot;role&quot;:&quot;admin&quot;,&quot;public&quot;:true,&quot;is_primary&quot;:false,&quot;publication&quot;:{&quot;id&quot;:6995882,&quot;name&quot;:&quot;Zerodha Bulletin&quot;,&quot;subdomain&quot;:&quot;zerodhabulletin&quot;,&quot;custom_domain&quot;:null,&quot;custom_domain_optional&quot;:false,&quot;hero_text&quot;:&quot;Zerodha Bulletin is a weekly roundup of everything happening across Zerodha, Rainmatter, Varsity, and our broader ecosystem.&quot;,&quot;logo_url&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/6432d8db-0f22-406f-bcfc-3abb274537d1_119x126.png&quot;,&quot;author_id&quot;:250820523,&quot;primary_user_id&quot;:null,&quot;theme_var_background_pop&quot;:&quot;#FF6719&quot;,&quot;created_at&quot;:&quot;2025-11-20T12:15:32.889Z&quot;,&quot;email_from_name&quot;:&quot;Zerodha Bulletin&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;Zerodha&quot;,&quot;founding_plan_name&quot;:null,&quot;community_enabled&quot;:true,&quot;invite_only&quot;:false,&quot;payments_state&quot;:&quot;disabled&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:null,&quot;explicit&quot;:false,&quot;homepage_type&quot;:&quot;newspaper&quot;,&quot;is_personal_mode&quot;:false,&quot;logo_url_wide&quot;:null}},{&quot;id&quot;:8220827,&quot;user_id&quot;:250820523,&quot;publication_id&quot;:8035371,&quot;role&quot;:&quot;admin&quot;,&quot;public&quot;:true,&quot;is_primary&quot;:false,&quot;publication&quot;:{&quot;id&quot;:8035371,&quot;name&quot;:&quot;Subtext by Zerodha&quot;,&quot;subdomain&quot;:&quot;subtextbyzerodha&quot;,&quot;custom_domain&quot;:null,&quot;custom_domain_optional&quot;:false,&quot;hero_text&quot;:&quot;Making finance, economics, and markets less boring.&quot;,&quot;logo_url&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/959cc05e-9336-4094-9d45-43e04554ef51_400x400.png&quot;,&quot;author_id&quot;:250820523,&quot;primary_user_id&quot;:null,&quot;theme_var_background_pop&quot;:&quot;#FF6719&quot;,&quot;created_at&quot;:&quot;2026-02-16T10:32:01.678Z&quot;,&quot;email_from_name&quot;:&quot;Subtext by Zerodha&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;Zerodha&quot;,&quot;founding_plan_name&quot;:null,&quot;community_enabled&quot;:true,&quot;invite_only&quot;:false,&quot;payments_state&quot;:&quot;disabled&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:null,&quot;explicit&quot;:false,&quot;homepage_type&quot;:&quot;newspaper&quot;,&quot;is_personal_mode&quot;:false,&quot;logo_url_wide&quot;:null}},{&quot;id&quot;:9857418,&quot;user_id&quot;:250820523,&quot;publication_id&quot;:9606213,&quot;role&quot;:&quot;admin&quot;,&quot;public&quot;:true,&quot;is_primary&quot;:false,&quot;publication&quot;:{&quot;id&quot;:9606213,&quot;name&quot;:&quot;Points &amp; Figures by Zerodha&quot;,&quot;subdomain&quot;:&quot;pointsandfigures&quot;,&quot;custom_domain&quot;:null,&quot;custom_domain_optional&quot;:false,&quot;hero_text&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;logo_url&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/6432d8db-0f22-406f-bcfc-3abb274537d1_119x126.png&quot;,&quot;author_id&quot;:250820523,&quot;primary_user_id&quot;:null,&quot;theme_var_background_pop&quot;:&quot;#FF6719&quot;,&quot;created_at&quot;:&quot;2026-06-20T05:09:04.834Z&quot;,&quot;email_from_name&quot;:&quot;Points &amp; Figures by Zerodha&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;Zerodha&quot;,&quot;founding_plan_name&quot;:null,&quot;community_enabled&quot;:true,&quot;invite_only&quot;:false,&quot;payments_state&quot;:&quot;disabled&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:null,&quot;explicit&quot;:false,&quot;homepage_type&quot;:&quot;newspaper&quot;,&quot;is_personal_mode&quot;:false,&quot;logo_url_wide&quot;:null}}],&quot;is_guest&quot;:false,&quot;bestseller_tier&quot;:null,&quot;status&quot;:{&quot;bestsellerTier&quot;:null,&quot;subscriberTier&quot;:null,&quot;leaderboard&quot;:null,&quot;vip&quot;:false,&quot;badge&quot;:null,&quot;subscriber&quot;:null}}],&quot;utm_campaign&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;newsletter&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;,&quot;source&quot;:null}" data-component-name="EmbeddedPostToDOM"><a class="embedded-post" native="true" href="https://pointsandfigures.substack.com/p/the-state-of-ai-read-through-one?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_campaign=post_embed&amp;utm_medium=web"><div class="embedded-post-header"><img class="embedded-post-publication-logo" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dmyy!,w_56,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6432d8db-0f22-406f-bcfc-3abb274537d1_119x126.png" loading="lazy"><span class="embedded-post-publication-name">Points &amp; Figures by Zerodha</span></div><div class="embedded-post-title-wrapper"><div class="embedded-post-title">The state of AI, read through one marketplace</div></div><div class="embedded-post-body">Hi, my name is Bhuvan, and welcome to the second edition of Points &amp; Figures&#8230;</div><div class="embedded-post-cta-wrapper"><span class="embedded-post-cta">Read more</span></div><div class="embedded-post-meta">10 days ago &#183; 18 likes &#183; 1 comment &#183; Zerodha</div></a></div><div><hr></div><p>That&#8217;s it for now! Your feedback will really help shape how The Chatter evolves. Drop it down in the comments below!</p><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://thechatterbyzerodha.substack.com/p/the-chatter-underneath-the-noise?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share&amp;token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjozMDExNzg5MTMsInBvc3RfaWQiOjE3MjY2NDQxNiwiaWF0IjoxNzU3NTk4NjQzLCJleHAiOjE3NjAxOTA2NDMsImlzcyI6InB1Yi00ODk4NzYwIiwic3ViIjoicG9zdC1yZWFjdGlvbiJ9.TFcDJv32XGvO0oFacHaCKP014RVVZ1pAYaVdcBrgrfE&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Share&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:&quot;button-wrapper&quot;}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary button-wrapper" href="https://thechatterbyzerodha.substack.com/p/the-chatter-underneath-the-noise?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share&amp;token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjozMDExNzg5MTMsInBvc3RfaWQiOjE3MjY2NDQxNiwiaWF0IjoxNzU3NTk4NjQzLCJleHAiOjE3NjAxOTA2NDMsImlzcyI6InB1Yi00ODk4NzYwIiwic3ViIjoicG9zdC1yZWFjdGlvbiJ9.TFcDJv32XGvO0oFacHaCKP014RVVZ1pAYaVdcBrgrfE"><span>Share</span></a></p><p>Quotes in this newsletter were curated by Shahid, Meher, &amp; Srusti.</p><p>Disclaimer: We&#8217;ve used AI tools in filtering and cleaning up these quotes so there maybe some mistakes. Now, if you are thinking why we are using AI, please remember that we are just a small team of 5 people running everything you see on Zerodha Markets &#128556; So, all the good stuff is human and mistakes are AI.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Chatter: Infosys, Adani, Tata Motors, Canara & More]]></title><description><![CDATA[Q4FY26 | Edition #65]]></description><link>https://thechatter.zerodha.com/p/the-chatter-infosys-adani-tata-motors</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://thechatter.zerodha.com/p/the-chatter-infosys-adani-tata-motors</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Zerodha]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 25 Jun 2026 12:32:17 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!f4Va!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff480c878-56c6-4215-95d7-39e7b1ef6a62_2400x1350.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a 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srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!f4Va!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff480c878-56c6-4215-95d7-39e7b1ef6a62_2400x1350.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!f4Va!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff480c878-56c6-4215-95d7-39e7b1ef6a62_2400x1350.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!f4Va!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff480c878-56c6-4215-95d7-39e7b1ef6a62_2400x1350.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!f4Va!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff480c878-56c6-4215-95d7-39e7b1ef6a62_2400x1350.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><span>Welcome to the </span><strong>65th edition</strong><span> of The Chatter &#8212; a weekly newsletter where we dig through what India&#8217;s biggest companies are saying and bring you the most interesting bits of insight, whether about the business, its sector, or the wider economy. We read every major Indian earnings call and listen to the interviews so you don&#8217;t have to.</span></p><p>We&#8217;re always eager to improve&#8212;please share your ideas on how else we can innovate &#8220;The Chatter&#8221; format to better serve your needs.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2" target="_blank" href="https://www.tijoristack.ai/concall-monitor/?utm_source=zerodha&amp;utm_campaign=z_marketing" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png" width="1456" height="364" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:364,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:306481,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:&quot;https://www.tijoristack.ai/concall-monitor/?utm_source=zerodha&amp;utm_campaign=z_marketing&quot;,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://thechatter.zerodha.com/i/193793492?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption"><span>Check out </span><a href="https://www.tijoristack.ai/concall-monitor/?utm_source=zerodha&amp;utm_campaign=z_marketing">Concall Monitor</a></figcaption></figure></div><p><span>In this edition, we have covered </span><strong>10 companies across 7 industries.</strong></p><div><hr></div><h1><span>Software Services</span></h1><ul><li><p><span>Infosys</span></p></li></ul><h1><span>Trading</span></h1><ul><li><p><span>Adani Enterprises</span></p></li></ul><h1><span>Auto Ancillary</span></h1><ul><li><p><span>Tata Motors</span></p></li></ul><h1><span>Financial Services</span></h1><ul><li><p><span>Canara Bank</span></p></li><li><p><span>Aadhar Housing Finance</span></p></li></ul><h1><span>FMCG</span></h1><ul><li><p><span>Jyothy Labs</span></p></li></ul><h1><span>Engineering &amp; Capital Goods</span></h1><ul><li><p><span>KEI Industries</span></p></li><li><p><span>Amber Enterprises India</span></p></li><li><p><span>Dhruv Consultancy Services Ltd</span></p></li></ul><h1><span>Healthcare</span></h1><ul><li><p><span>Q-Line Biotech Ltd</span></p></li></ul><div><hr></div><h1>Software Services</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/INFY/"><span>Infosys | Large Cap | Software Services</span></a></h2><p><span>Infosys is a global leader in next-generation digital services and consulting, facilitating clients worldwide in their digital transformation journey. With over 40 years of experience, Infosys leverages cloud and AI technologies to empower businesses with agile digital solutions and continuous improvement.</span></p><p><span>[</span><a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/149-23-Jun-2026.pdf"><span>Concall</span></a><span>]</span></p><p><span>Nandan Nilekani directly addressed investor concerns that AI could reduce the need for traditional IT services companies.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Now, more than 3 years after the launch of generative AI, Infosys is more relevant than ever before and well-positioned for the decade ahead.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;AI will not replace companies like ours; it will amplify those who move with purpose and adapt with speed.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Nandan Nilekani, Chairman</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management believes AI is accelerating spending on core technology transformation projects.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;The AI revolution has made legacy modernization urgent in a way nothing else has, and clients are moving to retire the technical debt accumulated over decades.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Nandan Nilekani, Chairman</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>One of the most important market opportunity disclosures in the AGM.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We recently unveiled our AI-first value framework to help global enterprises unlock AI value at scale.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;This positions Infosys to tap into an AI-first services opportunity of $300 billion to $400 billion by 2030.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Nandan Nilekani, Chairman</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>A strong indicator of AI adoption across the existing client base.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We are already collaborating with 90% of our top 200 clients on their AI journeys.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;Increasingly, they see Infosys as a trusted partner to unlock AI-led value across growth, efficiency, and innovation.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Nandan Nilekani, Chairman</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>One of the most important AI monetization disclosures.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;In Q3 of last year, we shared that approximately 5.5% of our revenue was in AI services, which is approximately $1 billion annualized.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;This is growing at a fast pace.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Salil Parekh, CEO &amp; Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management identified where client spending is currently concentrated.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;The fourth is modernization of technology using agents; we see this as one of the largest areas today where clients are looking to Infosys for help.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Salil Parekh, CEO &amp; Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management highlighted the gap between experimentation and large-scale deployment.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;The AI deployment gap in our large enterprise clients is real, and closing that gap is where the work is.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Nandan Nilekani, Chairman</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>A direct rebuttal to the bear case around AI-led reduction in services demand.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;The preference will be to build versus buy for software.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;All this creates even larger opportunities for us.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Nandan Nilekani, Chairman</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management does not see AI reducing fresher hiring requirements.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We expect the overall volume of work to expand as humans work with AI agents.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;We plan to recruit similar numbers of college graduates this year.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Salil Parekh, CEO &amp; Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Infosys sees execution, not demand, as the biggest AI risk</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Execution risk is our ability to reorient offerings to AI, align sales and delivery teams, transform talent, and adopt new pricing models like outcome-based pricing.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Salil Parekh, CEO &amp; Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management disclosed the breadth of AI activity underway.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We have over 4,800 AI projects and 600 agents.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;We have 16 leadership rankings in the AI space.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Salil Parekh, CEO &amp; Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management explained where long-term value creation lies.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;The value for a large enterprise is to take its own data and populate the model so it results in better intelligence for the enterprise to benefit.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Salil Parekh, CEO &amp; Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Nandan explained that value creation will not come from foundation models alone but from integrating them into mission-critical enterprise software.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;The defining opportunity lies in integrating intelligent AI systems with mission-critical enterprise platforms.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;The greatest value will come from combining the world of models and agents with traditional transaction systems that continue to underpin enterprise operations.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;That convergence is where the next wave of opportunities will emerge.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Nandan Nilekani, Chairman</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>One of the less-discussed AI themes from the AGM.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;The fifth is physical AI, which involves manufacturing and putting software into those manufacturing elements, whether in medical, automotive, or other areas.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Salil Parekh, CEO &amp; Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>A key assumption behind management&#8217;s long-term optimism.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Productivity improvements enable clients to reinvest savings in new IT spending, expanding the addressable market.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Salil Parekh, CEO &amp; Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>One of the few sector-specific outlook comments in the AGM.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We expect acceleration in Financial Services and Energy in FY27.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Salil Parekh, CEO &amp; Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Trading</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/ADANIENT/"><span>Adani Enterprises | Large Cap | Trading</span></a></h2><p><span>Adani Enterprises is a multifaceted company involved in integrated resources management, mining services, and trading activities. It serves as an incubator for emerging businesses in sectors such as new energy, data centers, airports, roads, copper, and digital space.</span></p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/1545-24-Jun-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p><span>Gautam Adani described the recent rights issue as much more than a capital raise, framing it as a vote of confidence in the Group following heightened scrutiny.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Just one example of this belief was our &#8377;25,000 crores rights issue earlier this year. This was more than a capital event. I saw it as a referendum on our credibility.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;It was one of the largest rights issues in the history of India Inc. and your response was very clear. At a time when some tried to create doubt, you answered with conviction. You responded with participation and you provided us the mandate to help keep building India.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Gautam Adani, Chairman</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>One of the biggest capital allocation disclosures. Management highlighted the scale of investment relative to India&#8217;s overall private-sector capex.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;In FY26, we made a record capital investment of more than &#8377;1.5 lakh crores in hard infrastructure.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;To put that in perspective, this represented over 30% of India&#8217;s total new private sector capital expenditure for the year.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;For us, this is more than a financial number. It is a statement of belief.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Gautam Adani, Chairman</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management reiterated one of the country&#8217;s largest announced power expansion plans.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;At Adani Power, we are implementing India&#8217;s largest-ever private sector power capex program of over &#8377;2 lakh crores, with a target of reaching 45 gigawatts of capacity over the next 5 years.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Gautam Adani, Chairman</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Gautam Adani provided additional details on the recently announced nuclear energy entry.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Our entry into nuclear energy through Adani Atomic Energy is another confident step towards securing India&#8217;s long-term energy future.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;With land identified and a 10 gigawatt targeted capacity by 2035, we are positioning ourselves early to serve the growing national demand for clean, round-the-clock power.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Gautam Adani, Chairman</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management outlined its ambitions to build one of India&#8217;s largest AI and cloud infrastructure platforms.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;In digital and industrial infrastructure, our data center business is firmly on the path to building a 3 gigawatt platform by 2030.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;The binding MOU for a gigawatt-scale data center with Google in Visakhapatnam reflects both the scale of the digital demand ahead and the confidence that global technology leaders such as Google, Microsoft, Uber, and Flipkart are placing on us.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Gautam Adani, Chairman</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management highlighted the scale of Adani Ports&#8217; growth ambitions.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Adani Ports handled over 500 million tonnes of cargo in FY26, setting an unmatched benchmark for the nation and creating a clear pathway to 1 billion tonnes by 2030.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Gautam Adani, Chairman</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>The AGM contained one of the clearest articulations of Adani&#8217;s aerospace ambitions.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Our partnerships with Leonardo and Embraer are helping lay the foundation for integrated helicopter and regional aircraft manufacturing ecosystems in India.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;We are building a national aerospace platform that spans manufacturing, MRO, services, and pilot training.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Gautam Adani, Chairman</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Gautam Adani framed the Group&#8217;s long-term strategy around two converging themes.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;The theme of my address this year focuses on accelerating infrastructure and leveraging intelligence.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;These are no longer two separate priorities. They are the twin global engines that must shape India&#8217;s strength.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;Infrastructure gives a nation muscle. Intelligence gives a nation mastery.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Gautam Adani, Chairman</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management argued that its integrated infrastructure portfolio gives it an advantage in supporting AI-led growth.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We are now one of the very few global companies that are not reacting to the future but are prepared for it.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;We have been positioning for this day for years.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Gautam Adani, Chairman</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Gautam Adani explained why the Group believes its business model is difficult to replicate.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Our strength lies in the way our infrastructure pieces connect.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;From mining and power generation to transmission and distribution, to ports and logistics, to data centers and fulfillment centers, and roads to water, we have the ability to connect every critical layer of infrastructure.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Gautam Adani, Chairman</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Gautam Adani closed the strategic section by emphasizing continued investment through volatility.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We built when it was hardest to build.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;We believed when it was hardest to believe.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;And we proved that resilience is a way of life for us.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Gautam Adani, Chairman</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Gautam Adani described the structural changes shaping the Group&#8217;s long-term investment decisions.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We saw early that the world was entering a new era where geopolitical fault lines would deepen, supply chains would fragment, and energy security would return as a strategic priority.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;We saw that the race for technological leadership and sovereignty would be constrained not by ambitions but by infrastructure.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Gautam Adani, Chairman</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management explained why it is investing simultaneously across physical infrastructure and digital infrastructure.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;The first engine, infrastructure, consists of the roads, ports, airports, transmission lines, power plants, renewable parks, gas networks, logistics platforms, cement capacity, water systems, and industrial ecosystems that make national growth possible.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;The second engine, intelligence, involves data centers, the use of AI, automation, predictive systems, digital platforms, real-time analytics, and machine-led decision support to make every one of these assets more responsive.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Gautam Adani, Chairman</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management highlighted the scale of growth in Adani Energy Solutions.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;At Adani Energy Solutions, our transmission order book rose to &#8377;72,000 crores.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;We secured several major projects including the Khavda south-east part HVDC line, reinforcing our position as India&#8217;s only private sector player with a proven HVDC capability.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Gautam Adani, Chairman</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>An unusual comment from an infrastructure developer on supply-chain relationships.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We will build deeper, more stable partnerships where their growth is supported, their margins are protected, and their interests are aligned with ours to help us deliver projects with greater speed, quality, and ownership.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Gautam Adani, Chairman</span></em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2" target="_blank" href="https://zerodha.com/open-account/" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kfFM!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F66bd1b61-8aed-4fb8-972c-fac87a420883_728x152.svg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kfFM!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F66bd1b61-8aed-4fb8-972c-fac87a420883_728x152.svg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kfFM!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F66bd1b61-8aed-4fb8-972c-fac87a420883_728x152.svg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kfFM!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F66bd1b61-8aed-4fb8-972c-fac87a420883_728x152.svg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kfFM!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F66bd1b61-8aed-4fb8-972c-fac87a420883_728x152.svg" width="1456" height="304" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/66bd1b61-8aed-4fb8-972c-fac87a420883_728x152.svg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:304,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:104498,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/svg+xml&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:&quot;https://zerodha.com/open-account/&quot;,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://thechatter.zerodha.com/i/203534396?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F66bd1b61-8aed-4fb8-972c-fac87a420883_728x152.svg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kfFM!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F66bd1b61-8aed-4fb8-972c-fac87a420883_728x152.svg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kfFM!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F66bd1b61-8aed-4fb8-972c-fac87a420883_728x152.svg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kfFM!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F66bd1b61-8aed-4fb8-972c-fac87a420883_728x152.svg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kfFM!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F66bd1b61-8aed-4fb8-972c-fac87a420883_728x152.svg 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><h1>Auto Ancillary</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/TMCV/"><span>Tata Motors | Large Cap | Automobiles</span></a></h2><p><span>Tata Motors Limited is one of India&#8217;s largest automobile manufacturers, with a strong presence across commercial vehicles, passenger vehicles, electric mobility, and global export markets. In this interaction, Girish Wagh discusses how the Middle East crisis disrupted supply chains and exports, the resulting commodity cost pressures, and why the company believes demand in the region remains intact as logistics gradually return to normal.</span></p><p><span>[</span><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=neNcCQaVMlU"><span>Reference</span></a><span>]</span></p><p><span>The company continues to face commodity cost inflation due to higher raw material prices and rupee depreciation, although management expects these pressures to gradually ease.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;The residual impact remains in the form of commodity cost inflation... whether it is on commodities or also it is due to rupee depreciation. I think the impact on commodity cost is still there. I think as we go ahead it should kind of flatten out.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Girish Wagh, Managing Director &amp; CEO, Tata Motors Limited.</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>The Middle East, which normally contributes around 20% of Tata Motors&#8217; international business, saw demand collapse temporarily before beginning to recover as shipments resumed.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Our Middle East used to contribute... depending upon the month, 20 odd% of our total international business demand and in the first two months it came to zero. There were no shipments there, no movement happening there. But I think over the last month or so and this month, the business is getting back on track.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Girish Wagh, Managing Director &amp; CEO, Tata Motors Limited.</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Despite the disruption, management believes underlying demand in the Middle East remains intact and logistics have largely normalized following the reopening of the Strait.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;This month, for example, we will be shipping vehicles to Middle East... the underlying demand is still there. Meanwhile we tried to use some alternate route for reaching vehicles to UAE... Fortunately, because the Strait has opened now, we don&#8217;t have to do that.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Girish Wagh, Managing Director &amp; CEO, Tata Motors Limited.</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management had to utilize more expensive and indirect shipping paths to maintain their market presence in the UAE during the crisis. These higher logistics costs likely weighed on the profitability of the international business segment during that period.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Meanwhile, we used alternate routes to reach the UAE. Those routes were longer, more circuitous, and involved higher costs.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Girish Wagh, Managing Director &amp; CEO, Tata Motors Limited.</span></em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Financial Services</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/CANBK/"><span>Canara Bank | Large Cap | Public Sector Bank</span></a></h2><p><span>Canara Bank is one of India&#8217;s largest public sector banks, headquartered in Bengaluru with a significant domestic and international presence. The bank offers a comprehensive range of financial services, focusing heavily on its Retail, Agriculture, and MSME (RAM) segments to drive sustainable growth.</span></p><p><span>[</span><a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/4459-23-Jun-2026.pdf"><span>Concall</span></a><span>]</span></p><p><span>While the bank saw strong overall profit growth, its core interest margins faced some pressure over the last year. Investors should monitor how the bank balances its growth in lending with the rising costs of deposits.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;When we talk about profitability, the bank grew its net profit by 12.69% year-over-year to 19,187 crores in financial year 2025-26, which is very good, with operating profit growing by 5.19% year-over-year to 33,019 crores. The net interest margin of the bank declined by 22 basis points to 2.51% in March 2026 from 2.73% in March 2025.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Brajesh Kumar Singh, MD and CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>The bank is increasing its investment in technology to stay competitive with digital-first private banks. Higher tech spending should improve customer retention and lower operational costs over time.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;To Hiranand Kotwani, innovation is constant for us. We spend 7-8% on technology and aim to increase this to 10% to enhance customer experience, cyber security, and digital platforms.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Brajesh Kumar Singh, MD and CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>The bank has built a massive gold loan business but is keeping risks low by lending only a fraction of the gold&#8217;s value. This conservative approach protects the bank if gold prices suddenly drop.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Our gold loan portfolio of 2.45 lakh crores represents 18% of our total portfolio, which avoids concentration risk. We maintain a conservative Loan-to-Value (LTV) ratio of around 65%, providing a 35% margin.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Brajesh Kumar Singh, MD and CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management expects its interest margins to bottom out and start improving slightly in the coming year. This forecast is important for investors as it directly impacts the bank&#8217;s core earnings power.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;For Mr. Bhide, our NIM was 2.51% last year. While repo rate changes reprice 50% of our book quickly, deposits have a lag. Our guidance for NIM is 2.52% to 2.60%.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Brajesh Kumar Singh, MD and CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>The bank is actively rebalancing its loan book to favor retail and small business loans over large corporate debt. This shift is designed to create a more stable and higher-yielding portfolio.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;To Mr. Saha, our RAM mix is currently 59%, with 41% corporate. We aim to tilt this more toward RAM for better risk mitigation.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Brajesh Kumar Singh, MD and CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><strong><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/AADHARHFC/"><span>Aadhar Housing Finance | Small Cap | Financial Services</span></a></strong></h2><p><span>Aadhar Housing Finance is a major player in low-income housing finance in India, catering to the home financing needs of the underserved. It focuses on enabling millions to own their first homes by providing a variety of mortgage-related loan products for residential and commercial properties.</span></p><p><span>[</span><a href="https://youtu.be/TA4w9zYSDt4?si=8-BEClsGH8gpNU_j"><span>Interview</span></a><span>]</span></p><p><span>Responding to concerns about reports showing weakness in affordable housing sales, Rishi Anand explained that most industry reports fail to capture the company&#8217;s core customer segments, such as self-construction and resale homes, making them an incomplete indicator of demand.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;There have been multiple reports highlighting a reduction in the supply side of affordable housing. However, when we talk about low-income housing, the situation is quite different. Around 35% of our customers build their own homes through self-construction, and another 35% buy resale properties. These reports generally don&#8217;t capture either of these segments. The remaining 27&#8211;28% purchase low-ticket, newly constructed properties. Therefore, I don&#8217;t believe that the low-income housing segment&#8212;particularly homes priced below &#8377;15 lakh&#8212;can be assessed purely through supply-side reports.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Rishi Anand, MD &amp; CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Asked whether the monsoon could affect housing demand and collections, management explained that self-construction is seasonal, with excessive rainfall having a greater impact than moderate rainfall.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Self-construction is inherently seasonal. Both insufficient rainfall and excessive rainfall can have an impact, although heavy rainfall affects construction activity more significantly. Moderate rainfall is generally positive for self-construction, while excessive rain slows construction. Similarly, during hotter months, self-construction tends to increase because builders need more time for structures to dry. So, excessive rains would have a greater impact on self-construction, whereas moderate rainfall should be beneficial.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Rishi Anand, MD &amp; CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Responding to concerns about borrower stress amid geopolitical uncertainties, management said that collection indicators remain healthy across both salaried and self-employed customers.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;When we talk about stress today, there are two common concerns. One is the potential impact of the West Asia situation. However, the first metric we monitor is the trend in bounce rates. Fortunately, over the last eight quarters, our bounce rates have remained extremely stable across both salaried and self-employed customers. As of today, we are not seeing any signs of stress.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Rishi Anand, MD &amp; CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management explained why potential changes in interest rates are unlikely to materially affect profitability.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Our current expectation is that rates may rise by around 25 basis points during this financial year. However, about 75% of our borrowings and 75% of our assets are on floating rates. Therefore, any movement in rates gets passed through to customers. When rates fall, we pass on the benefit&#8212;as we did in February this year by reducing rates by 15 basis points. Likewise, if rates rise, the increase is passed on.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Rishi Anand, MD &amp; CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Asked about margin sustainability, management reiterated that current NIM levels remain the company&#8217;s comfort zone.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We closed the year with NIMs of around 9.18%. That remains our comfort zone, and we expect to operate around those levels during the current financial year.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Rishi Anand, MD &amp; CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>On the Loan Against Property (LAP) portfolio, management said the current mix is appropriate and well within regulatory limits.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;As a regulated housing finance company, 60% of our balance sheet must comprise individual home loans. Effectively, that translates into a 70:30 mix. Today, our LAP portfolio is around 27%. We believe this is the right level and don&#8217;t intend to move closer to the regulatory threshold. We expect LAP to remain around 27&#8211;28% during the current financial year.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Rishi Anand, MD &amp; CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>On the company&#8217;s FY29 target of &#8377;50,000 crore AUM, management clarified that growth will remain diversified across states.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We operate across 22 states through about 626 branches, and we plan to add another 50 branches. From a risk management perspective, we want to maintain a balanced geographic presence. Across our top three metrics&#8212;AUM, disbursements, and distribution&#8212;we don&#8217;t want any single state to contribute more than 15%. Therefore, we expect our geographical mix to remain broadly stable even over the long term.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Rishi Anand, MD &amp; CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Asked about digital sourcing and AI, management explained that while internal processes are fully digital, customer adoption will be gradual given the company&#8217;s target segment.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Our customers are low-income borrowers at the bottom of the economic pyramid. We don&#8217;t expect them to go online and apply for home loans directly. However, every customer who comes to us is processed digitally. We no longer create physical files. Everything is managed on a technology platform. Internally, we are technologically ready. We can issue a loan sanction within 30 minutes. The customers, however, may take a little longer to adopt fully digital processes.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Rishi Anand, MD &amp; CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management explained why physical distribution continues to be central to its business model, while expressing optimism about gradual digital adoption.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Even today, around 6&#8211;7% of our customers do not own smartphones and still use keypad phones. That&#8217;s the customer segment we serve. Therefore, our extensive branch network remains critical. Having said that, I&#8217;m very optimistic. We are already seeing early signs that our customers are becoming increasingly tech-savvy. We have a customer app through which customers are beginning to submit requests digitally. From a pure digital sourcing perspective, however, we&#8217;re still some distance away. That said, we already use digital platforms extensively for lead generation and sourcing. Direct customer-originated digital applications will take some more time.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Rishi Anand, MD &amp; CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>FMCG</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/JYOTHYLAB/"><span>Jyothy Labs Limited | Mid Cap | Household &amp; Personal Products</span></a></h2><p><span>Jyothy Labs Limited is a leading Indian consumer goods company with a strong presence in fabric care, dishwashing, and personal care segments. The company is widely recognized for its indigenous power brands like Ujala and Exo, alongside a significant manufacturing and pan-India distribution network.</span></p><p><span>[</span><a href="https://files.tijorifinance.com/insight/india/4867/Conference%20Call/CC-Jun26.pdf"><span>Concall</span></a><span>]</span></p><p><span>The company has immediately ceased all business activities related to two major licensed brands following a non-renewal notice. Investors should prepare for a significant hole in the revenue stream starting from the first quarter of fiscal year 2027.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;As instructed by Henkel, from 1st June 2026, Jyothy Labs has stopped manufacturing, marketing, selling, and distribution of Pril and Fa. The company will follow the exit process in line with the provisions of the agreements.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; M. R. Jyothy, Chairperson and Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>To counter the loss of the Pril brand, the company is shifting its entire marketing and production focus to its in-house brand, Exo. The success of this pivot is critical for maintaining the company&#8217;s market share in the high-growth dishwash liquid segment.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Within the Dishwash portfolio, Pril has historically been the anchor brand in liquids, while Exo has been the stronger franchise in bars. Exo Dishwash Liquid has been part of the company&#8217;s portfolio since 2005-2006 and is now being scaled up with renewed focus and investment.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; M. R. Jyothy, Chairperson and Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management is warning that profitability will likely decline in the coming year as they reorganize their product mix and marketing spend. This indicates that fiscal year 2027 will be a period of consolidation rather than aggressive earnings growth.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;The company recognizes that FY 2027 will be a transition year for Dishwash Liquids. Near-term margin softness is expected during this phase.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; M. R. Jyothy, Chairperson and Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management indicated they are looking for acquisitions to fill the revenue gap but will not overpay out of desperation. This suggests a disciplined capital allocation strategy despite the pressure to replace lost volumes quickly.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;As far as inorganic growth opportunities are concerned, Manoj, as you are aware, the company has been looking at various opportunities simply because Pril and Fa have departed, wouldn&#8217;t put us in a situation where we will take any rash decision. So, our fundamental approach to inorganic growth opportunities remains the same.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Pawan Agarwal, Chief Financial Officer</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>The legal dispute involves more than just money; it covers the transfer of assets and how the transition is managed. Investors should watch for updates on this arbitration as it could impact how smoothly the brand handover occurs.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;The core issue is the proper treatment of end-of-term consequences under the license agreement framework, including the business transfer of Pril and Fa brand valuation consideration, associated transition matters, etcetera. So, it&#8217;s a combination of a few issues.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Pawan Agarwal, Chief Financial Officer</span></em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Engineering &amp; Capital Goods</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/KEI/"><span>KEI Industries | Mid Cap | Cables &amp; Wires</span></a></h2><p><span>KEI Industries is one of India&#8217;s leading manufacturers of wires, cables, and EPC solutions, serving infrastructure, real estate, industrial, and power sectors across domestic and international markets. In this interaction, Chairman &amp; Managing Director Anil Gupta discusses the company&#8217;s FY27 growth outlook, export recovery amid Middle East supply chain challenges, and why the rapid expansion of data centres could become a major long-term growth driver for the wires and cables industry.</span></p><p><span>[</span><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=quzIthS1Log"><span>Reference</span></a><span>]</span></p><p><span>Management is projecting more than 20% revenue growth for both the current quarter and the full fiscal year, reflecting confidence in business momentum despite volume numbers still being finalised.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Revenue growth should be more than 20%, both for the quarter and for the full year. Volume growth will be determined only after the month is completed.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Anil Gupta, Chairman &amp; Managing Director, KEI Industries Limited</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Export order bookings have recovered despite ongoing shipment and supply chain disruptions in the Middle East. Management expects exports to remain a key growth driver over the full year.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Export order bookings have recovered and we expect very strong growth for the full year. I can&#8217;t comment quarter-on-quarter because shipment and supply-chain challenges in the Middle East still exist, although dispatches have resumed and the situation is improving every day.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Anil Gupta, Chairman &amp; Managing Director, KEI Industries Limited</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management believes metal price volatility has only a limited short-term impact on profitability, with pricing mechanisms helping normalize margins over the full year.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We don&#8217;t bet on metal prices. They move up and down all the time. Our margins do not depend on metal price movements. There may be a temporary impact of around 0.5% to 1% in a quarter because of inventory, but over the full year these effects normalize.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Anil Gupta, Chairman &amp; Managing Director, KEI Industries Limited</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>KEI believes it is well positioned to benefit from India&#8217;s data centre buildout, supplying nearly the entire range of wires and cables required for these facilities.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We have been supplying to data centres across the country for several years. We believe we cater to nearly 90% of the wires and cables requirement for a data centre, from extra high-voltage to low-voltage cables, copper flexibles and specialty cables. Given the number of data centres being announced, this represents a massive opportunity over the next eight to ten years.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Anil Gupta, Chairman &amp; Managing Director, KEI Industries Limited</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management estimates its current data centre business at around &#8377;400&#8211;500 crore annually and believes it has the potential to grow multiple times over the next decade.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We haven&#8217;t quantified it precisely, but it is roughly &#8377;400&#8211;500 crore annually at present. Over the next eight to ten years, this could grow by as much as ten times from current levels.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Anil Gupta, Chairman &amp; Managing Director, KEI Industries Limited.</span></em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/AMBER/"><span>Amber Enterprises India Limited | Mid Cap | Consumer Durables</span></a></h2><p><span>Amber Enterprises is a prominent original equipment manufacturer for the Indian room air conditioner and consumer electronics industry. The company is strategically diversifying into mobile phone manufacturing and electronic components to reduce its reliance on seasonal cooling products.</span></p><p><span>[</span><a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/7004-20-Jun-2026.pdf"><span>Concall</span></a><span>]</span></p><p><span>The company is entering the mobile manufacturing space to balance its high-volume assembly business with its existing high-margin components segments. This move is specifically designed to generate steady revenue throughout the year and offset the seasonal nature of their air conditioner sales.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;This is also fully consistent with our stated strategy of maintaining the right balance between high-margin value-added businesses and asset-light high-volume low-margin businesses. This collaboration meaningfully diversifies our revenue profile and importantly reduces the seasonal concentration inherent in our room air conditioner business.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Jasbir Singh, Executive Chairman and CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Amber is utilizing a subleasing model for its new mobile production facility to avoid complex regulatory hurdles and high upfront costs. This asset-light approach allows the company to enter a new market without significantly increasing its capital expenditure.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;On the facility side, the manufacturing will be carried out at an existing facility under a sublease arrangement with Oppo India. This structure does not require any Press Note 3 approval. On the capital outlay, consistent with the asset-light nature of this collaboration, capex requirements are very, very minimal.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Jasbir Singh, Executive Chairman and CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>The company has set clear volume targets for its new mobile collaboration, aiming for significant growth within just twenty-four months. Reaching 15 million units would establish Amber as a major player in India&#8217;s mobile manufacturing ecosystem.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;On the scale side, we expect to begin with around 8 million units in year one, followed by a calibrated phase-wise ramp-up. If everything goes as scheduled, we expect to touch the volumes of around 13-15 million in the second year of operations.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Jasbir Singh, Executive Chairman and CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management clarified that while revenue accounting might vary between gross or job-work models, the actual profit generated will remain consistent. Investors should focus on absolute profit figures rather than total revenue when evaluating this specific segment.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;The arrangement is on the bottom-line side, basically not on the top-line side. We have flexibility on the top-line side. It will depend on the Oppo India team. Some models may come on the gross side and some on the other, but the bottom line on the absolute numbers will remain intact.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Jasbir Singh, Executive Chairman and CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Amber has consolidated its position as India&#8217;s leading printed circuit board manufacturer through strategic acquisitions and expert leadership. This dominance in electronics components provides a strong foundation for their expansion into mobile phones and other high-tech sectors.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;The whole PCB division will be headed by Mr. Santosh. He has 25 years of experience in the printed circuit board category. He was earlier heading AT&amp;S, which was previously the largest PCB company. Now Amber has become the largest PCB company with Ascent and Shogini in our fold.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Jasbir Singh, Executive Chairman and CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/DHRUV/"><span>Dhruv Consultancy Services Ltd. | Small Cap | Civil Engineering</span></a></h2><p><span>Dhruv Consultancy Services provides engineering design and project management services for highways, railways, and airports. The company is currently expanding into the wayside amenities sector and international markets to diversify its revenue streams.</span></p><p><span>[</span><a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/32697-23-Jun-2026.pdf"><span>Concall</span></a><span>]</span></p><p><span>A new government rating system has ranked the company as the sixth-best consultant in India for highway projects. This high ranking significantly improves the company&#8217;s ability to win future contracts at better pricing levels.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Recently NHAI has allotted ratings to consultancy firms and based on those ratings, they have revised the eligibility and allotment criteria for projects in the present and future. I am happy to announce that we are number 6 in India among 57 consultants, scoring almost 70 marks out of 100.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Pandurang Dandawate, Chairman</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>The firm is diversifying into managing highway rest stops, which include fuel stations and food courts. This shift moves the business model toward long-term ownership and maintenance rather than just design services.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;This is a bit of a diversification of the business from our core sector of consultancy. For the first time, we have submitted our bids for the wayside amenity business, which is on a BOT or PPP mode with a concession period of 15 years. Basically, we have to invest and develop the wayside amenity and also maintain it.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Pandurang Dandawate, Chairman</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>The new wayside amenity projects will generate consistent income from fuel sales and retail rentals. Management expects high traffic volumes on these routes to drive significant recurring revenue.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We have four types of revenue streams. The first is from the sale of fuel and commissions. Estimated fuel sales are 50 crore per annum on that highway, as it is a busy highway with high commercial traffic connecting South India to North India through Maharashtra.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Pandurang Dandawate, Chairman</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>The majority of the company&#8217;s business comes from major central government highway authorities. This provides a steady pipeline of large-scale infrastructure projects though it maintains a high client concentration.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Broadly, our main client is NHAI, so 70% of our revenue is from NHAI plus MoRTH. MoRTH handles two-lane and four-lane highways, whereas NHAI handles six-lane highways, expressways, and iconic projects.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Pandurang Dandawate, Chairman</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Dhruv is targeting the government&#8217;s ambitious plan to build hundreds of regional airports. Securing these contracts would allow the company to expand its expertise beyond the highway sector.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;I should mention that in this third phase of the NDA government, they have decided to develop 250 plus airports in tier 3 and tier 4 cities across India. We are eyeing significant business starting with DPRs for these small airports and airstrips.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Pandurang Dandawate, Chairman</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>The company is investing in advanced design technology to win higher-value contracts in the Middle East. Success in Saudi Arabia would provide a lucrative new source of international revenue.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We have increased our software bank and provided training to our professional design staff. We have submitted quotations for two or three private assignments in Saudi Arabia and hope to secure at least 50 crore in business there in the next 6 months to 1 year.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Pandurang Dandawate, Chairman</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>The company is focusing its global expansion on projects backed by reputable international financial institutions. This strategy helps ensure payment security and reduces the risks of working in new foreign markets.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;For the last 2 years, we have tried hard to enter the international market, but that turnaround time is about 3 years. We are specific in bidding for projects funded by the ADB, World Bank, or African Development Bank.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Pandurang Dandawate, Chairman</span></em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Healthcare</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/QLINE/"><span>Q-Line Biotech Ltd. | Small Cap | Healthcare - Diagnostics</span></a></h2><p><span>Q-Line Biotech is an Indian in-vitro diagnostics company that develops and manufactures diagnostic reagents and automated laboratory instruments. The company follows a razor-and-blade business model where an expanding installation base of equipment drives high-margin, recurring reagent sales.</span></p><p><span>[</span><a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/59475-23-Jun-2026.pdf"><span>Concall</span></a><span>]</span></p><p><span>Management is moving production to a larger new facility to handle more complex diagnostic categories like molecular testing. This transition to Unit 4 is intended to drive higher margins through improved production scale and a more advanced product mix.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>In the manufactured reagent category, our gross margin is about 60% to 65%. As Unit 4 ramps up, in phase one, we will be shifting all clinical chemistry reagents from our old facility in Delhi to Unit 4 in Lucknow. This is phase one. In phase two, we will be adding rapid, molecular, and other streams.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Ajay Kumar Mahanty, CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Each diagnostic analyzer the company sells or installs has the potential to generate ten times its initial value in recurring reagent sales over its decade-long lifespan. This calculation highlights why growing the installed base of machines is the primary driver of long-term investor value.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>The question on lifetime value&#8212;shortly, it takes approximately 25,000 of average reagents per machine per month, which is about 3 lakhs annually. Through the economic life of about 10 years, that is almost 30 lakhs. That is the kind of revenue potential we have per analyzer.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Saurabh Garg, Chairman and Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>The company is looking to diversify its income by manufacturing products for other global companies and expanding its presence in international markets. This shift towards contract manufacturing could provide a new, high-margin revenue stream starting in late FY27.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>The revenue was around 1.2 crores, but we are expecting more than 5 times that in FY27. Regarding the CDMO business, we have negotiations going on. That will be additional business. We expect traction in CDMO in Q3 and Q4.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Ajay Kumar Mahanty, CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>The business currently relies heavily on government contracts and a single large distributor, which poses a concentration risk. Management plans to reduce this dependency by expanding their private trade business and growing in new geographical regions.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>About 65% is Business-to-Government (B2G) and 35% is trade. Our large distributor is based in UP, so we bill everything to them, but they further supply to Bihar, West Bengal, Odisha, and Haryana. By the end of FY28, we expect the concentration between B2G and others to be 50-50.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Meenal Gupta, CFO</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>The company has successfully localized the manufacturing of a complex European diagnostic instrument and is now planning to export it globally. This move validates their technical expertise and opens up a massive global distribution network through their European partners.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>Successfully re-engineering it here gave us the confidence to export it back to the principals. We are in advanced negotiations with them to sell across the 55-plus countries where they operate. We have three to five more instruments in the pipeline through tech transfer and our own R&amp;D.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Ajay Kumar Mahanty, CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>High utilization of installed analyzers is crucial for the company&#8217;s profitability since the profit is made on the volume of tests run. These utilization figures suggest that their machines are being placed in high-traffic medical facilities where testing volume is consistent.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>At this moment, we have covered more than 1,500. Based on track records and hospital workloads, we expect 100 to 150 samples per day. Per instrument, the average consumption would be 25,000 to 30,000 per month.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Ajay Kumar Mahanty, CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1><strong>Brad Setser on the dollar and the world&#8217;s trade imbalance</strong></h1><p><span>The role of the dollar, and its influence on global trade, is a complicated story that has constantly changed over time. To make sense of all this, we spoke to Brad Setser, Most of Twitter knows Brad is one of the sharpest voices on all things balance-of-payments. He is a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations. He also served at the US Treasury and the National Economic Council.</span></p><p><span>We recorded this conversation while the Iran war was unfolding and oil markets were watching the Strait of Hormuz, and not long after Trump and Xi had met in Beijing to negotiate a trade deal. We used the moment to ask him about the things he thinks about most: why the dollar is really strong, what an AI bust would do to it, how the manufacturing surpluses of China, Korea, and Taiwan quietly finance the American deficit, and what China would have to do to rebalance.</span></p><p>Watch the full podcast episode below, where Brad breaks down the sources of dollar demand and the future of global trade imbalances</p><div id="youtube2-8CMM5uscRm8" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;8CMM5uscRm8&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/8CMM5uscRm8?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p><span>You can also listen to the full conversation on </span><a href="https://open.spotify.com/episode/0lm3fxlpLZpDIafxNsnvkT?si=J8jV9yUaRXS674OGCnn9AA">Spotify</a><span> and </span><a href="https://podcasts.apple.com/in/podcast/brad-setser-on-the-dollar-and-the-worlds-trade-imbalance/id1891672079?i=1000773684926">Apple Podcasts</a><span>. The full transcript of the podcast is below if you prefer to read.</span></p><div class="embedded-post-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;id&quot;:203043893,&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://subtextbyzerodha.substack.com/p/brad-setser-on-the-dollar-and-the&quot;,&quot;publication_id&quot;:8035371,&quot;publication_name&quot;:&quot;Subtext by Zerodha&quot;,&quot;publication_logo_url&quot;:&quot;https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!68wE!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F959cc05e-9336-4094-9d45-43e04554ef51_400x400.png&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;Brad Setser on the dollar and the world's trade imbalance&quot;,&quot;truncated_body_text&quot;:&quot;The standard story about the dollar is a story about safety. The world holds dollars, the telling goes, because the dollar is the reserve currency &#8212; the asset everyone runs to when they are afraid.&quot;,&quot;date&quot;:&quot;2026-06-22T05:43:56.336Z&quot;,&quot;like_count&quot;:7,&quot;comment_count&quot;:0,&quot;bylines&quot;:[{&quot;id&quot;:250820523,&quot;name&quot;:&quot;Zerodha&quot;,&quot;handle&quot;:&quot;zerodhaonline&quot;,&quot;previous_name&quot;:&quot;The Daily Brief&quot;,&quot;photo_url&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/6432d8db-0f22-406f-bcfc-3abb274537d1_119x126.png&quot;,&quot;bio&quot;:&quot;A daily digest that simplifies the biggest stories that are moving the Indian markets. 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is our attempt to make some sense of all the chaos around us.&quot;,&quot;logo_url&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/13cdc515-fdc6-4534-9c4d-6a9b60708e6c_1024x1024.png&quot;,&quot;author_id&quot;:250820523,&quot;primary_user_id&quot;:null,&quot;theme_var_background_pop&quot;:&quot;#FF6719&quot;,&quot;created_at&quot;:&quot;2025-05-16T11:59:49.234Z&quot;,&quot;email_from_name&quot;:&quot;What the hell is happening? by Zerodha&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;Zerodha&quot;,&quot;founding_plan_name&quot;:null,&quot;community_enabled&quot;:true,&quot;invite_only&quot;:false,&quot;payments_state&quot;:&quot;disabled&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:null,&quot;explicit&quot;:false,&quot;homepage_type&quot;:&quot;newspaper&quot;,&quot;is_personal_mode&quot;:false,&quot;logo_url_wide&quot;:null}},{&quot;id&quot;:6196436,&quot;user_id&quot;:250820523,&quot;publication_id&quot;:6074029,&quot;role&quot;:&quot;admin&quot;,&quot;public&quot;:true,&quot;is_primary&quot;:false,&quot;publication&quot;:{&quot;id&quot;:6074029,&quot;name&quot;:&quot;In The Money by Zerodha&quot;,&quot;subdomain&quot;:&quot;inthemoneybyzerodha&quot;,&quot;custom_domain&quot;:null,&quot;custom_domain_optional&quot;:false,&quot;hero_text&quot;:&quot;Let's be real: the trading space is packed with hype and clickbait content that makes it nearly impossible to find what actually matters. 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The world holds dollars, the telling goes, because the dollar is the reserve currency &#8212; the asset everyone runs to when they are afraid&#8230;</div><div class="embedded-post-cta-wrapper"><span class="embedded-post-cta">Read more</span></div><div class="embedded-post-meta">15 days ago &#183; 7 likes &#183; Zerodha</div></a></div><div><hr></div><p>That&#8217;s it for now! Your feedback will really help shape how The Chatter evolves. Drop it down in the comments below!</p><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://thechatterbyzerodha.substack.com/p/the-chatter-underneath-the-noise?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share&amp;token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjozMDExNzg5MTMsInBvc3RfaWQiOjE3MjY2NDQxNiwiaWF0IjoxNzU3NTk4NjQzLCJleHAiOjE3NjAxOTA2NDMsImlzcyI6InB1Yi00ODk4NzYwIiwic3ViIjoicG9zdC1yZWFjdGlvbiJ9.TFcDJv32XGvO0oFacHaCKP014RVVZ1pAYaVdcBrgrfE&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Share&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:&quot;button-wrapper&quot;}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary button-wrapper" href="https://thechatterbyzerodha.substack.com/p/the-chatter-underneath-the-noise?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share&amp;token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjozMDExNzg5MTMsInBvc3RfaWQiOjE3MjY2NDQxNiwiaWF0IjoxNzU3NTk4NjQzLCJleHAiOjE3NjAxOTA2NDMsImlzcyI6InB1Yi00ODk4NzYwIiwic3ViIjoicG9zdC1yZWFjdGlvbiJ9.TFcDJv32XGvO0oFacHaCKP014RVVZ1pAYaVdcBrgrfE"><span>Share</span></a></p><p>Quotes in this newsletter were curated by Meher, Shahid, &amp; Srusti.</p><p>Disclaimer: We&#8217;ve used AI tools in filtering and cleaning up these quotes so there maybe some mistakes. Now, if you are thinking why we are using AI, please remember that we are just a small team of 5 people running everything you see on Zerodha Markets &#128556; So, all the good stuff is human and mistakes are AI.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Chatter: Reliance, Vedanta, Gillette, Prestige & More]]></title><description><![CDATA[Q4FY26 | Edition #64]]></description><link>https://thechatter.zerodha.com/p/the-chatter-reliance-vedanta-gillette</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://thechatter.zerodha.com/p/the-chatter-reliance-vedanta-gillette</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Zerodha]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 19 Jun 2026 12:30:40 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!qSFY!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F622cac2d-0144-4aa6-973c-74de6c1c3cc1_2400x1350.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div 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class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><span>Welcome to the </span><strong>64th edition</strong><span> of The Chatter &#8212; a weekly newsletter where we dig through what India&#8217;s biggest companies are saying and bring you the most interesting bits of insight, whether about the business, its sector, or the wider economy. We read every major Indian earnings call and listen to the interviews so you don&#8217;t have to.</span></p><p>We&#8217;re always eager to improve&#8212;please share your ideas on how else we can innovate &#8220;The Chatter&#8221; format to better serve your needs.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2" target="_blank" href="https://www.tijoristack.ai/concall-monitor/?utm_source=zerodha&amp;utm_campaign=z_marketing" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png" width="1456" height="364" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:364,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:306481,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:&quot;https://www.tijoristack.ai/concall-monitor/?utm_source=zerodha&amp;utm_campaign=z_marketing&quot;,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://thechatter.zerodha.com/i/193793492?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption"><span>Check out </span><a href="https://www.tijoristack.ai/concall-monitor/?utm_source=zerodha&amp;utm_campaign=z_marketing">Concall Monitor</a></figcaption></figure></div><p><span>In this edition, we have covered </span><strong>11 companies across 8 industries.</strong></p><div><hr></div><h1><span>Energy</span></h1><ul><li><p><span>Reliance Industries</span></p></li></ul><h1><span>Metals</span></h1><ul><li><p><span>Vedanta Group</span></p></li></ul><h1><span>FMCG</span></h1><ul><li><p><span>Gillette India Limited</span></p></li></ul><h1><span>Real Estate</span></h1><ul><li><p><span>Prestige Estates</span></p></li></ul><h1><span>Software Services</span></h1><ul><li><p><span>Coforge</span></p></li></ul><h1><span>Engineering &amp; Capital Goods</span></h1><ul><li><p><span>RBM Infracon Limited</span></p></li><li><p><span>Dhara Rail Projects Limited</span></p></li><li><p><span>RMC Switchgears</span></p></li><li><p><span>Finolex Cables</span></p></li></ul><h1><span>Defence</span></h1><ul><li><p><span>BEML</span></p></li></ul><h1><span>IT Services &amp; Distribution</span></h1><ul><li><p><span>Redington</span></p></li></ul><div><hr></div><h1><span>Energy</span></h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/RELIANCE/"><span>Reliance Industries | Large Cap | Energy</span></a></h2><p><span>Reliance Industries is India&#8217;s largest private sector company with diverse operations in hydrocarbons, refining, petrochemicals, renewables, retail, and digital services. It leads in managing a fully integrated Oil-to-Chemicals portfolio and emphasizes inclusive growth by partnering with various stakeholders.</span></p><p><span data-color="rgb(136, 136, 136)" style="color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">[</span><a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/242-19-Jun-2026.pdf"><span>Concall</span></a><span data-color="rgb(136, 136, 136)" style="color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">]</span></p><p><span>This was the biggest announcement of the AGM. Mukesh Ambani confirmed that the Jio Platforms board had approved the DRHP and that it would be filed with SEBI the same day, formally initiating the IPO process.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;With great delight, let me tell you that the board of Jio Platforms has approved the draft red herring prospectus earlier today and it will be filed with SEBI today. This is a deeply emotional moment for me, for the entire Reliance family, and for millions of its shareholders.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;The proposed listing of Jio will demonstrate to the world that India can build technology companies of global scale, global capability, and global value.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Mukesh Ambani, Chairman &amp; Managing Director, Reliance Industries</span></em></p></blockquote><p><em><span>One of the strongest long-term financial outlook statements from Mukesh Ambani. He drew parallels with the doubling of EBITDA achieved over the previous five years.</span></em></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We doubled our EBITDA in the last five years. And as I look to the future, I am absolutely confident in our ability to double, indeed more than double, our consolidated EBITDA over the next five years.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Mukesh Ambani, Chairman &amp; Managing Director, Reliance Industries</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Ambani highlighted AI as potentially as important as the New Energy business and one of Reliance&#8217;s most prolific future growth platforms.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Reliance Intelligence is going to be as transformative and consequential as our new energy business.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;Hence, I envision this business becoming one of Reliance&#8217;s most prolific growth platforms.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Mukesh Ambani, Chairman &amp; Managing Director, Reliance Industries</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Akash Ambani outlined Reliance&#8217;s AI infrastructure ambitions and disclosed timelines and scale.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Reliance Intelligence is building India&#8217;s sovereign AI backbone in Jamnagar.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;The first 120 megawatts will be commissioned by the end of 2026.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Akash Ambani, Managing Director, Jio Platforms</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>One of the most significant disclosures regarding Reliance&#8217;s AI infrastructure capacity.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;As the first 120 megawatts becomes fully operational, this capacity can scale over 2 lakh H100 equivalent GPUs.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;This capacity places Reliance amongst the largest AI infrastructure platforms being built anywhere in the world.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Akash Ambani, Managing Director, Jio Platforms</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Reliance disclosed plans to enter satellite broadband infrastructure through a dual strategy.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Jio is evaluating the development of a sovereign low Earth orbit satellite constellation for India.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;We are also partnering with the leading global constellation providers by leasing satellite capacity.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Akash Ambani, Managing Director, Jio Platforms</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Jio provided a long-term network migration target while discussing future telecom strategy.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Our target is to migrate all subscribers to 5G by 2030, whilst advancing India&#8217;s leadership position in 6G standards.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Akash Ambani, Managing Director, Jio Platforms</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>One of the clearest long-term growth targets announced during the AGM.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;RCPL&#8217;s near-term ambition is to reach 1 lakh crores in revenue by FY30.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;Our long-term ambition is to become one of India&#8217;s largest FMCG companies with a global platform to match.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Isha Ambani, Executive Director, Reliance Retail Ventures</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management highlighted the rapid scaling of the Campa brand.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Campa achieved 4,700 plus crores in gross sales in FY26, having challenged decades-long market leadership.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;It is now India&#8217;s fourth-largest carbonated soft drinks brand with a double-digit market share in key markets.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Isha Ambani, Executive Director, Reliance Retail Ventures</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>One of the largest new-energy disclosures in the AGM.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;The first phase of our 40 GWh annual BESS and cell giga-factory is on track to be commissioned this year.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;We have now committed to scale this up to 120 GWh of annual capacity.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Anant Ambani, Executive Director, Reliance Industries</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Investors have long awaited monetization of Reliance&#8217;s new energy investments.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Commercial revenues from solar modules start rolling in this year.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;From FY27 onwards, new energy will begin contributing meaningfully to Reliance&#8217;s financial performance.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Anant Ambani, Executive Director, Reliance Industries</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>One of the most ambitious targets announced in the AGM.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Reliance aims to become an anchor institution for developing a globally competitive multi-sector export hub with a target to enable 125 to 150 billion dollars in exports by 2032.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;This ambition is not only about creating a larger Reliance; it is about creating a stronger India.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Mukesh Ambani, Chairman &amp; Managing Director, Reliance Industries</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Mukesh Ambani framed AI not merely as a business opportunity but as a strategic imperative for India, alongside energy independence.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Maximum energy self-sufficiency and AI self-sufficiency must become our national missions.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;The success of these missions is critical to the success of Developed India.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Mukesh Ambani, Chairman &amp; Managing Director, Reliance Industries</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>This highlights how Reliance&#8217;s earnings mix has fundamentally changed over the past few years.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Retail and digital businesses contributed nearly half of the FY26 EBITDA.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;Together they are increasingly becoming the primary drivers of Reliance&#8217;s future growth.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Mukesh Ambani, Chairman &amp; Managing Director, Reliance Industries</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>One of the strongest statements regarding Reliance&#8217;s AI ambitions.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Just as Jio made data extremely affordable for every Indian, Reliance Intelligence will disrupt AI economics by making it dramatically more affordable for every Indian by the end of this decade.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Akash Ambani, Managing Director, Jio Platforms</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>One of the strongest operational metrics disclosed for AirFiber.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Home connections are now growing at a phenomenal rate of up to 60,000 per day.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Akash Ambani, Managing Director, Jio Platforms</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>A key monetization statement that could have direct earnings implications.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;As we launch more value-added services such as premium 5G, AI bundled services, and enterprise solutions, our ARPU will grow significantly.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Akash Ambani, Managing Director, Jio Platforms</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management is positioning RCPL as a global consumer products company.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;The rapid growth in our consumer brands business in India has given us the confidence to build a strong and scalable global FMCG business.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Mukesh Ambani, Chairman &amp; Managing Director, Reliance Industries</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>One of the strongest growth disclosures in the AGM.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;RCPL achieved gross revenue of 22,000 crores, doubling year-on-year.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;What took other peers decades, we achieved in just four years.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Isha Ambani, Executive Director, Reliance Retail Ventures</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management highlighted Reliance&#8217;s role in supporting India&#8217;s energy security.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We increased LPG supply four-fold to help the nation tide over the import disruption.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Anant Ambani, Executive Director, Reliance Industries</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>One of the most overlooked but important technology-related disclosures.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We are progressing towards operating Jamnagar as the world&#8217;s first end-to-end autonomous refinery.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;An industrial milestone that will define the next era of global refining.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Anant Ambani, Executive Director, Reliance Industries</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>This shows the scale of the Kutch renewable project.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Once fully operationalized, the integrated hub will generate over 40 billion units of green electricity every year.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;Which is approximately 3% of India&#8217;s annual electricity requirement.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Anant Ambani, Executive Director, Reliance Industries</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>This marks the transition from capex-heavy investment to revenue generation.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;In FY26, this mission moved from construction to commissioning.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;The Dhirubhai Ambani Green Energy Giga Complex at Jamnagar is now one of the world&#8217;s most integrated clean energy manufacturing ecosystems.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Anant Ambani, Executive Director, Reliance Industries</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>One of Mukesh Ambani&#8217;s most important governance comments. He formally indicated that the next generation is now leading Reliance&#8217;s growth engines.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;The next generation leadership of Reliance has now fully assumed operational responsibilities across our businesses.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;They are delivering strong growth while remaining anchored to the values and principles that have shaped Reliance.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Mukesh Ambani, Chairman &amp; Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1><span>Metals</span></h1><h1><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/VEDL/"><span>Vedanta Group | Large Cap | Metals &amp; Mining</span></a></h1><p><span>Vedanta Group is one of India&#8217;s largest natural resources conglomerates with businesses spanning metals, mining, oil &amp; gas, power, and critical minerals. Following the group&#8217;s landmark demerger, Chairman Anil Agarwal outlined an ambitious long-term vision centered on independent business verticals, large-scale expansion in power, steel, and energy, and sustained shareholder value creation through focused, technology-driven companies.</span></p><p><span>[</span><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r0FGn9T2ZHg"><span>Reference</span></a><span>]</span></p><p><span>The demerger is intended to give each business its own identity and management focus, allowing them to pursue growth opportunities independently.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;It is a time it has grown like a banyan tree. So everybody should have his own identity and every company will be like a Vedanta. If we give them independence, each company... I have a vision, each company will be a hundred billion dollar company.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Anil Agarwal, Founder &amp; Chairman, Vedanta Group</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management believes the demerger will be one of the most significant value-creation events for shareholders, with investors receiving stakes in multiple independent businesses.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;This is the best benefit they will ever get for the investment because you will get the four share and each company has the potential to be the same level. So it is a win-win situation... one thing I can promise that I&#8217;m very conscious that we should be dividend paying company and the value must be created for our shareholder.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Anil Agarwal, Founder &amp; Chairman, Vedanta Group</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Vedanta has outlined an ambitious long-term plan to build a 50,000 MW power business, leveraging its resource base and existing infrastructure.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We are just starting as we started everything because demand supply is tremendous... I am very focused on thermal because we have amazing coal deposit... this company should go 50,000 megawatt, part of the nuclear and part of the thermal, technology AI-driven, environmentally friendly.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Anil Agarwal, Founder &amp; Chairman, Vedanta Group</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management sees a significant opportunity to scale its oil and gas business and improve India&#8217;s energy security through higher domestic production.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;For me I&#8217;m looking forward to produce 500,000 barrel and then aiming for million barrel... our cost of production is $10. If 50% energy security is not there in a large country, we&#8217;ll be vulnerable. So it&#8217;s very important for us to be self-sufficient at least 50% for our energy security.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Anil Agarwal, Founder &amp; Chairman, Vedanta Group</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>The company remains highly bullish on steel and believes India has substantial unmet demand despite planned capacity additions across the industry.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;The demand is 300 million ton. Even if everybody comes in, still there&#8217;s a huge gap... we are very keen on electric steel, green steel. So 15 million ton, time to come, is very important. We should start planning for 50 million ton of steel in this country also.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Anil Agarwal, Founder &amp; Chairman, Vedanta Group</span></em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1><span>FMCG</span></h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/GILLETTE/"><span>Gillette India Limited | Large Cap | Personal Care</span></a></h2><p><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">Gillette India is a leading consumer goods company specializing in grooming and oral care with a dominant market share in blades and razors. The company operates iconic brands like Gillette and Oral-B, focusing on product superiority and productivity to drive long-term value.</span></p><p><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">[</span><a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/994-16-Jun-2026.pdf"><span>Concall</span></a><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">]</span></p><p><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">The company has integrated high-frequency data analytics to ensure products remain in stock across various retail points. This serves as a competitive advantage by minimizing lost sales in a complex and fragmented retail market.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">&#8220;Every single day, over 2 million data checks are done to ensure that our consumers can always find their favorite products where and when they are looking for them. We are working to have the systems in place to make our work even more effective and efficient while maintaining the standards that consumers expect of us.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">&#8212; V Kumar, Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">Management highlighted their long-term history of returning cash to shareholders through consistent dividends. This reinforces the company&#8217;s status as a stable, cash-generative business for long-term investment portfolios.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">&#8220;Over the period of 30 years, if we look at it, it is a really consistent dividend payout that we have paid out. Let&#8217;s talk about the external landscape and how we see it evolving.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">&#8212; Vidya Srinivasan, Chief Financial Officer</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">Despite rising competition, the company maintains its dominant position in the shaving market through consistent year-on-year growth. This confirms the durability of their competitive moat and leadership in the core grooming business.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">&#8220;The addressable size for Gillette is significant. At the same time, we have a role to play as market leaders. Gillette continues to be the market leader in the blades and razors segment, and we have grown year-on-year, as you saw in the earlier charts.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">&#8212; Vidya Srinivasan, Chief Financial Officer</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">The Guard brand has significantly expanded the company&#8217;s reach by adding 20 million new consumers in a short period. This massive user acquisition provides a large base for future product upselling and sustainable revenue growth.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">&#8220;Let&#8217;s look at our iconic Gillette Guard portfolio as an example. Over the last 3 years, we have added nearly 20 million new users to the franchise. Even with these efforts, our teams remain committed to following a consumer-first approach, gathering insights, and taking those insights to build superior offerings that delight the consumer, which is what brings brand loyalty in the long term.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">&#8212; Vidya Srinivasan, Chief Financial Officer</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">The Venus brand is growing rapidly as female consumers increasingly adopt razors for at-home hair removal. This high-growth segment represents a significant new revenue stream that helps diversify the company&#8217;s historical male-focus.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">&#8220;Venus already contributes double digits to our grooming business and is growing upwards of 20%. The biggest opportunity remains new user growth. Female hair removal is a diverse segment.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">&#8212; Vidya Srinivasan, Chief Financial Officer</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">The company is expanding beyond blades into the grooming appliances market with a new range of multi-functional trimmers. This strategic move targets the growing trend of facial hair styling among younger Indian consumers.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">&#8220;Gillette Trimmers launched just 2 months ago have four unique product propositions that are designed to offer versatile grooming solutions. This targets the increasing demand for multi-functional devices that cater to both beard styling and body grooming.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">&#8212; Vidya Srinivasan, Chief Financial Officer</span></em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1><span>Real Estate</span></h1><h1><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/PRESTIGE/"><span>Prestige Estates | Large Cap | Realty | Multi-Year Visibility</span></a></h1><p><span>Prestige Estates is one of India&#8217;s leading real estate developers with a strong presence across residential, commercial, retail, hospitality, and emerging asset classes. Management remains confident about housing demand, execution, and future launches, while highlighting a &#8377;65,000 crore unrecognized revenue pipeline, robust sales momentum, and growing opportunities in the data center segment.</span></p><p><span>[</span><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FB6MjgARZAQ"><span>Reference</span></a><span>]</span></p><p><span>The company has a massive backlog of sold units that will be booked as revenue in future periods as construction progresses. This provides investors with significant visibility into the company&#8217;s long-term revenue and profit potential.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Today, we have around &#8377;65,000 crore of sales that have not yet been recognized in the profit and loss account. As we continue selling projects, unrecognized revenue keeps increasing.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Irfan Razack, Chairman &amp; Managing Director, Prestige Group.</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management expects to convert their large sales backlog into reported earnings over a three to four-year horizon. Successful and timely project completion is the key factor that will determine when this value is realized.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We believe this unrecognized revenue will come into the books over the next three to four years, while new projects continue to add to the pipeline. Ultimately, it&#8217;s all about execution and completion.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Irfan Razack, Chairman &amp; Managing Director, Prestige Group.</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Extremely fast sell-through rates for new launches indicate that buyer appetite for the company&#8217;s projects remains very high. High sales velocity is a positive sign for cash flow and reduces the risks associated with carrying unsold inventory.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We recently launched Prestige Gardenia Phase 2, and it was practically sold out within three days. That&#8217;s the kind of demand indicator we look at. Whenever we bring the right product to market, sales continue to be robust.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Irfan Razack, Chairman &amp; Managing Director, Prestige Group.</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>The group is moving into the data center sector, using its previous experience as a contractor to build its own specialized assets. This diversification provides a new growth engine beyond the core residential and commercial business.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Data centres are a significant opportunity. We recently completed a data centre project as a general contractor in Bengaluru. That has given us experience in how these facilities are built.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Irfan Razack, Chairman &amp; Managing Director, Prestige Group.</span></em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1><span>Software Services</span></h1><h1><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/COFORGE/"><span>Coforge | Mid Cap | IT Services | AI Tailwinds &amp; Margin Expansion</span></a></h1><p><span>Coforge is a global IT services company focused on banking, insurance, travel, and digital transformation. Management remains firmly bullish on growth, arguing that AI is creating new demand rather than destroying it, while targeting higher margins, pursuing strategic acquisitions, and outlining a path to potentially reach $5 billion in revenue by 2030.</span></p><p><span>[</span><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qn0_jeXPH6Q"><span>Reference</span></a><span>]</span></p><p><span>Management believes AI will create more work opportunities rather than replacing the company&#8217;s services. This positive outlook counters fears that AI might disrupt the traditional IT services business model.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Management maintains a contrarian view that AI is creating new demand pools and will act as a growth tailwind rather than a headwind. Coforge stated that maintaining its historical growth trajectory along with one meaningful acquisition could potentially take revenue to $5 billion by 2030.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Sudhir Singh, CEO &amp; Executive Director, Coforge Limited</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>There is a plan to reach $5 billion in revenue by 2030 through organic growth and strategic buyouts. This long-term target shows the company&#8217;s high ambition and potential for massive scale.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Coforge stated that maintaining its historical growth trajectory along with one meaningful acquisition could potentially take revenue to $5 billion by 2030. Headcount growth is expected to remain below revenue growth as productivity improves through AI adoption.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Sudhir Singh, CEO &amp; Executive Director, Coforge Limited</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>The recent acquisition of Encora is performing better than expected in terms of cost savings. Successful integration reduces the risk for future acquisitions and proves management&#8217;s ability to execute deals.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;The Encora acquisition has already delivered 25%&#8211;30% G&amp;A synergies, exceeding the original target. Acquisitions remain an important growth lever and management highlighted a strong integration track record.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Sudhir Singh, CEO &amp; Executive Director, Coforge Limited</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Coforge is looking to sign major deals with leading AI model providers soon. These partnerships will give the company better tools to serve clients and stay competitive in the AI race.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Coforge is actively pursuing partnerships with major LLM providers and expects to conclude at least one significant partnership in the coming quarters. Management supports sovereign Indian AI models but does not intend to build foundation models itself, preferring to focus on AI-powered business solutions.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Sudhir Singh, CEO &amp; Executive Director, Coforge Limited</span></em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1><span>Engineering &amp; Capital Goods</span></h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/RBMINFRA/"><span>RBM Infracon Limited | Small Cap | Construction &amp; Engineering</span></a></h2><p><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">RBM Infracon Limited is an integrated energy infrastructure company providing EPC, plant turnaround, and operation and maintenance services for the oil and gas, fertilizer, and power sectors. The company has recently expanded its capabilities into upstream crude oil services and green energy infrastructure both in India and the Middle East.</span></p><p><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">[</span><a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/51029-16-Jun-2026.pdf"><span>Concall</span></a><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">]</span></p><p><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">The company dramatically expanded its asset base this year by investing over 100 crores in new machinery and equipment. This aggressive capex is intended to support the execution of a growing and more complex order book.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">&#8220;FY26 was our biggest year ever for investment in capabilities. Our gross block of property, plant, and equipment has grown from 24 crores to 113.11 crores&#8212;an addition of almost 100 crores in plant, machinery, and equipment in a single year.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">&#8212; Aditya Jaybajrang Mani, Whole-Time Director</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">The company is successfully expanding internationally and into the green energy sector through a new partnership in Oman. Investors should note this as a diversification away from traditional fossil fuel services.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">&#8220;We have concluded an order worth 1.3 million Omani Rial with Acme Cleantech Energy for a green ammonia and green hydrogen project at the Duqm refinery in Oman. We are forming a JV with a local partner in Oman in the next few days. We are expecting a few more packages from this project.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">&#8212; Aditya Jaybajrang Mani, Whole-Time Director</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">The ONGC contract features a profit-sharing model where RBM retains a massive 66% share of all production above a set baseline. This structure provides significant financial upside if the company can successfully boost well output.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">&#8220;For the incremental production from new wells, our commitment is 78 cubic meters. After meeting that top-up of 78 cubic meters per month&#8212;which is about 550 barrels&#8212;any production above that is considered incremental. On that incremental part, 34% goes to ONGC and 66% belongs to us.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">&#8212; Jaybajrang Mani, Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">RBM is entering a semiconductor venture where its primary role will be capturing billions in civil and mechanical infrastructure work. The company will also hold a 30% equity stake, creating a massive potential pipeline for its core construction business.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">&#8220;For this semiconductor project, there is about 2,000 to 3,000 crores in infrastructure work and 3,000 to 4,000 crores in machinery imports. Our first interest is to complete all the infrastructure work. I will also be a partner with a 30% stake.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">&#8212; Jaybajrang Mani, Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">Management anticipates a massive surge in demand for refinery maintenance services in the Middle East over the next two years. RBM is positioning its workforce to capture this regional boom in plant shutdowns and pipeline work.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">&#8220;Over the next 2 years, there will be so much work in the Gulf that you might not find enough people in India. Many refineries are seeking maintenance and shutdowns. We will handle pipelines and equipment maintenance.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">&#8212; Jaybajrang Mani, Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/DHARARAIL/"><span>Dhara Rail Projects Limited | Small Cap | Railway Services</span></a></h2><p><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">Dhara Rail Projects Limited provides specialized maintenance, repair, and installation services for Indian Railways&#8217; rolling stock and electrical systems. The company operates an asset-light model and focuses on high-growth areas like Vande Bharat train maintenance and overhead equipment servicing.</span></p><p><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">[</span><a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/59501-16-Jun-2026.pdf"><span>Concall</span></a><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">]</span></p><p><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">The roll-out of high-tech Vande Bharat trains creates complex maintenance needs that play to the company&#8217;s technical strengths. Expanding into new geographic railway zones provides a clear path for volume growth beyond their current markets.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">&#8220;The prevalence of Vande Bharat trains, which require high-technology intensity in their coaches, will also help Dhara. While we have a deep presence pan-India, we are increasing our footprint in zones where we previously had lower presence.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">&#8212; Shashank Velaya, Management</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">Almost the entire current order book is composed of direct contracts rather than sub-contracts. Investors should expect better profitability as the company no longer has to share its earnings with original equipment manufacturers.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">&#8220;Out of the 184 crore order book, 95% consists of direct contracts; only about 5% is through other OEMs. Direct bidding definitely offers better margins because we have direct access to the customer. When we quote through an OEM, the margin is split, so we receive less.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">&#8212; Tejas Mehta, Chairman and Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">Maintenance is a recurring business that generates steady income long after the initial construction of railway assets is finished. This makes the company&#8217;s revenue more stable and predictable than traditional construction firms.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">&#8220;Once the Railways spends money and an asset is built, it must be maintained for 15 to 20 years. Infrastructure spending happens once, but maintenance is recurring and cumulative. The company can scale faster than overall railway infrastructure spending.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">&#8212; Tejas Mehta, Chairman and Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">A majority of the company&#8217;s revenue comes from high-margin annual maintenance contracts. This mix supports overall profitability and provides a steady stream of predictable, recurring income.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">&#8220;It fluctuates, but right now it is approximately 60% from AMCs and 40% from non-AMC work. The AMC business generates the higher margins.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">&#8212; Tejas Mehta, Chairman and Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">Working directly for the government eliminates the risk of total payment default, though the timing of cash receipts can vary. Direct bidding gives the company more control over its financial relationship with the Indian Railways.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">&#8220;This is sovereign work, and the government pays us. Payments can sometimes be delayed, but there is no existential risk. Major challenges and risks are mitigated by the fact that Dhara is doing more direct bidding.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">&#8212; Shashank Velaya, Management</span></em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/BSE/RMC/"><span>RMC Switchgears | Nano Cap | Engineering &amp; Capital Goods</span></a></h2><p><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">RMC Switchgears Limited is an ISO 9001:2008 certified company specializing in designing and manufacturing Enclosures of Energy Meters, LT/HT Distribution Boxes and Panels, Junction Boxes, Feeder Pillars, and other Power Distribution and Circuit Protection Switchgears. They use Mild Steel, Stainless Steel, Sheet Moulding Compound (SMC), and Bulk Moulding Compound (DMC) materials in their fabrication process.</span></p><p><span>[</span><a href="https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachHis/b637bcf5-1757-4d88-b10f-5ff1639b6109.pdf"><span>Concall</span></a><span>]</span></p><p><span>PulseBox was the single biggest opportunity discussed during the call. While management clarified that this is not guidance, it believes the addressable market is substantial.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Within this, management estimates that approximately 75 lakh transformers may represent a realistic, addressable opportunity for PulseBox-type deployment.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;This represents a potential addressable market opportunity for at least Rs. 50,000 crore plus for the Indian market.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Ankit Agarwal, Whole-Time Director &amp; CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management used this example to demonstrate real-world effectiveness.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Within 7 days, we gave them around 388 alarms.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;There were two or three critical alarms because of which they have shifted the transformer, they have replaced the transformer before anything adverse could have happened.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Ankit Agarwal, Whole-Time Director &amp; CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management tied future growth to India&#8217;s power infrastructure buildout.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;The Government of India has announced the transmission investment in transmission infrastructure of around Rs. 9 lakh crore till 2032.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;Transmission line has become a really very big bottleneck.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Ankit Agarwal, Whole-Time Director &amp; CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>PulseBox is being positioned directly into the government&#8217;s grid-modernization push.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;The Indian government is going under a phase two of RDSS modernization.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;The Indian government is focusing on how we can digitalize the infrastructure of electricity in India.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;That is where our PulseBox sits.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Ankit Agarwal, Whole-Time Director &amp; CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>This is the macro thesis underpinning the company&#8217;s long-term strategy.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Till 2047, power is one sector that we believe will grow multi-fold in the next, I think, 15 years.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Ankit Agarwal, Whole-Time Director &amp; CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management explicitly acknowledged that B2G concentration affects working capital.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We want to increase more of B2B, and we want to reduce B2G.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;The only idea behind is if we can control the debtor days.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Ankit Agarwal, Whole-Time Director &amp; CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>This is one of the clearest diversification initiatives discussed.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We are eyeing on some going into medium voltage and high voltage.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;That is the part where we can sell this product to the solar power plants, solar generation plants, thermal plants.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Ankit Agarwal, Whole-Time Director &amp; CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>This clarifies a previously discussed diversification strategy.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We are not going ahead with the water management now anymore.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;We are focusing on energy now.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Ankit Agarwal, Whole-Time Director &amp; CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>An interesting perspective on growth and tender eligibility.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;In the last 4 years, we have gone from Rs. 40 crore to Rs. 410 crore.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;Going Rs. 400 crore to Rs. 4,000 crore would be comparatively easier.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;Once you have Rs. 400 crores, then you can participate in much more bigger tenders.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Ankit Agarwal, Whole-Time Director &amp; CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>This is perhaps the clearest articulation of the strategic transformation underway. Management wants to move from competing on price to solving utility problems through technology.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Currently, I would say that we would be considered as an EPC company in a red ocean market.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;Where the competition decides everything, where the price decides everything.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;Now we are focusing only on technology.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Ankit Agarwal, Whole-Time Director &amp; CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>This comment reveals the philosophy behind PulseBox and future R&amp;D investments.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;What we have felt when we had done our first project of Maharashtra, that solving problem of a customer should be the ideal thing for a company to do.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;And that is where you can build a company, build an institution.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Ankit Agarwal, Whole-Time Director &amp; CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>One of the strongest explanations of the product&#8217;s value proposition.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Smart meters cannot directly solve this problem.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;They only do energy auditing.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;They can&#8217;t stop it.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;My PulseBox will be able to stop it, will be able to cut the current as soon as it detects the issue.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Ankit Agarwal, Whole-Time Director &amp; CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management highlighted a significant difference in utility response time.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;A smart meter will tell after 30 days.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;The PulseBox will react on the same time, in real time.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Ankit Agarwal, Whole-Time Director &amp; CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>This is a notable industry observation and forms the basis for PulseBox&#8217;s market opportunity.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Grid has been modernized, substations have been modernized, smart meters have been installed.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;The only LT layer which we are focusing on is left.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;Putting technology on it will help the utilities.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Ankit Agarwal, Whole-Time Director &amp; CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Useful insight into RMC&#8217;s R&amp;D strategy.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We have developed this technology through our domestic and international teams.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;This is the outcome of that effort.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Ankit Agarwal, Whole-Time Director &amp; CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>One of the most interesting strategic comments in the call.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;The product will always be made in India, but the technology will always be from a Western country.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;Because they are the innovators, we are the producers.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Ankit Agarwal, Whole-Time Director &amp; CEO</span></em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/FINCABLES/"><span>Finolex Cables | Small Cap | Engineering &amp; Capital Goods</span></a></h2><p><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">Finolex Cables Limited, established in 1958, is India&#8217;s largest and leading manufacturer of electrical and telecommunication cables. It has recently diversified into the fast-moving electrical goods (FMEG) segment with the aim of becoming a complete electrical products company. The company is principally engaged in the manufacturing of Electricals Cables, Communication Cables &amp;amp; other electrical appliances.</span></p><p><span>[</span><a href="https://youtu.be/vzOT3wWM288?si=94mjGljuYjnD2J8f"><span>Interview</span></a><span>]</span></p><p><span>On growth prospects for Finolex Cables&#8217; largest segment, the electrical cables business, amid copper price volatility.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;It depends a little bit on where copper is going to be with the kind of volatility that we have seen. Last year there was quite a bit of volatility. Copper prices went up close to 25% or so and we had to keep pace with that change in commodity prices. What then the market will bear is not something that I want to predict at this point in time. But yeah, provided things are normal, double-digit growth is not impossible.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Mahesh Viswanathan, CEO, Finolex Cables</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>On the communication cables business and the impact of the company&#8217;s integrated glass manufacturing facility.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We are backward integrated and our glass factory is now fully operational. We should get the benefit of making our own glass from the next quarter onwards once the factory stabilizes.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Mahesh Viswanathan, CEO, Finolex Cables</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>On upcoming capacity additions in fiber manufacturing.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We currently have a glass capacity of about 100 tonnes, which translates to 4 million fiber kilometers. We have a current draw capacity of about 4 million fiber kilometers, which we are increasing to 8 million fiber kilometers and that should be ready in a month or two&#8217;s time. So from the second half we should be having enhanced capacities.&#8221;</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>On managing rising metal costs and pricing strategy.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Our policy has been that we treat metal prices as a pass-through. Whether there&#8217;s a price increase on the commodity side or a decrease on the commodity side, we pass it on to the customer. There might be a small lag.&#8221;</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>On long-term profitability of the electrical cables business.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;In the long run, what one can expect is a blended average of somewhere around 12%. That should be something that is sustainable.&#8221;</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>On the impact of a large new competitor entering the industry.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We know that they are coming, so we are preparing ourselves to handle that challenge.&#8221;</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>On whether the new entrant could replicate the disruption seen in the paints industry.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;What strategy they would follow is not fully transparent as yet. I&#8217;m not sure if they will do a repeat of the paints business or they would try something else.&#8221;</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>On how the industry structure could evolve over time.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Long term, I think there would be some consolidation. Today you have quite a few smaller players and those probably would get consolidated one way or the other. I think there is enough space and market for five or six of the larger players to continue to operate with reasonable market share among themselves.&#8221;</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>On whether the new entrant poses a major threat.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;It would be a challenge, but then we are prepared. We are ready for it.&#8221;</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>On the company&#8217;s long-term ambitions in the FMEG segment despite recent underperformance.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;A few years ago we put out a statement saying that we would like to see this first reach a level of &#8377;500 crore and then we would like to scale it up from there. Our faith in that segment still continues.&#8221;</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>On why the FMEG business has fallen short of expectations.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We realize that there are things that we need to work on. It could be on the distribution side. It could be on the product mix. It could also be on the overall strength of the team that is handling this.&#8221;</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>On the company&#8217;s approach to inorganic growth.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We have looked at a few, but the ask has been fairly high. I am okay with multiples of bottom line, but I&#8217;m not so sure about multiples on the top line and that seems to be the trend that the bankers are working towards nowadays.&#8221;</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>On the use of the company&#8217;s large cash balance.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We are definitely interested in acquisitions and inorganic growth.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>forums and I don&#8217;t think I should be commenting on that.&#8221;</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>On how the company is functioning despite the promoter dispute.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;As far as the company is concerned, it&#8217;s run by a board. Matters that can be handled at the board level are being handled at the board level.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Mahesh Viswanathan, CEO, Finolex Cables</span></em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1><span>Defence</span></h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/BEML/"><span>BEML | Small Cap | Defence</span></a></h2><p><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">BEML Limited, originally Bharat Earth Movers Limited, is a Public Sector Undertaking founded in 1964 in Bangalore. It operates in three major business verticals: Mining &amp; Construction, Defence, and Rail &amp; Metro.</span></p><p><span data-color="rgb(136, 136, 136)" style="color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">[</span><a href="https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachHis/65efdcc5-1d39-4b8d-ae3c-10781cafefb5.pdf"><span>Concall</span></a><span data-color="rgb(136, 136, 136)" style="color: rgb(136, 136, 136);">]</span></p><p><span>This is one of the strongest indicators of revenue visibility and execution certainty.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;The current year, we started with the 5,500 crore order book executable order for the year.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;First time in the history of the company, we are at this situation.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Shantanu Roy, Chairman &amp; Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>This provides a sense of the scale of tenders and opportunities currently visible to BEML.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;If you look at the orderbook pipeline, this year we have an opportunity size of around 40,000 crore.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;Which mainly consists of 70% from the rail and metro, 20% from the defense, 5% from mining, 5% from exports.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Shantanu Roy, Chairman &amp; Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>A key revenue growth driver for FY27. Rail &amp; Metro execution is expected to double this year</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;This year we are expecting an execution from Rail Metro of at least 2,000 crores.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Shantanu Roy, Chairman &amp; Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management is signaling a structural shift away from mining-led revenue dependence.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Rail metro should account for very shortly 40%, 45%.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;Rail metro and defense put together should do somewhere around 65% to 70%.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Shantanu Roy, Chairman &amp; Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management is positioning BEML as one of the few Indian companies capable of building 350 kmph trainsets.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;The seven corridors which have been announced.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;So seven corridors, it will all be 350 KMph aluminum.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;We have already started preparing for aluminum almost for a year.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Shantanu Roy, Chairman &amp; Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>BEML is actively pursuing metro and mining opportunities outside India.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Now we are targeting two more rolling stock metro opportunities, one in Tel Aviv and the other is in Dublin.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Shantanu Roy, Chairman &amp; Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>One of the largest defence opportunities discussed in the meeting.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We are one of the three shortlisted bidders for the AMCA project.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;The ticket size is 15,000 crores.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Shantanu Roy, Chairman &amp; Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>BEML continues to aggressively invest in indigenous product development.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Sustainable number for R&amp;D spend should be around 7%.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;We have already reached 6.25% of the revenue in last year.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;We have already some 40 odd products lined up.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Shantanu Roy, Chairman &amp; Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management sees exports as not just a growth opportunity but also a profitability lever.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Suppose we plan for a EBITDA of around 20% for exports.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;If the dollar further goes up, it will go up to 25% also.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Shantanu Roy, Chairman &amp; Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>One of the most ambitious diversification plans disclosed during the meeting.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;It should, because the tunnel boring machine requirement is huge.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;The ship to shore crane manufacturers in the country.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;We are looking at around 80 to 100 ship to shore cranes.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Shantanu Roy, Chairman &amp; Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>A key milestone for India&#8217;s indigenous bullet train program.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;We expected that the first car body will be out by August.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Shantanu Roy, Chairman &amp; Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Management views mining electrification as a major international opportunity.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;The EV trucks, they will open a big market for us in the exports.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;The dump trucks.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Shantanu Roy, Chairman &amp; Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Excellent insight into management&#8217;s portfolio strategy.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Mining is a fast turnaround product and gives us quick cash.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;Whereas defense, it&#8217;s a long gestation period.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Shantanu Roy, Chairman &amp; Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span>Perhaps the most important margin-related statement in the meeting.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span>&#8220;Break even now it&#8217;s somewhere near Rs. 4,000 crores.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8220;Any sales revenue we do above that number, it results in exponential contribution to the bottom line.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span>&#8212; Shantanu Roy, Chairman &amp; Managing Director</span></em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1><span>IT Services &amp; Distribution</span></h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/REDINGTON/"><span>Redington | Mid Cap | IT Services &amp; Distribution</span></a></h2><p><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">Redington is a leading global technology distributor that connects international brands with thousands of resellers across India, the Middle East, and Asia. The company is currently pivoting from hardware distribution to an orchestration model focused on software, cloud services, and cybersecurity.</span></p><p><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">[</span><a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/4691-17-Jun-2026.pdf"><span>Concall</span></a><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">]</span></p><p><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">Customers now prefer to pay for software as a monthly subscription rather than buying it once upfront. This shift requires Redington to manage long-term relationships rather than just individual deliveries.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">&#8220;The first is the consumption models moving from perpetual licenses to flexible, outcome-based subscriptions. The customer&#8217;s choice to subscribe for a service rather than owning a license is a major shift. The second part is about platform-led distribution.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">&#8212; Sayantan, Global Head of SSG</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">Management is targeting $5 billion in revenue for the software segment with healthy margins. If they can sell more high-end services, the profit margins could exceed their current 6% target.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">&#8220;Overall, in the next 3 years, we expect to achieve a revenue of about $5 billion with a gross margin range between 5.5% and 6%. If the professional services mix improves, this can definitely be better than 6%.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">&#8212; S.V. Krishnan, Director - Finance</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">For certain software sales, the company only records the profit as revenue instead of the full contract value due to accounting rules. Investors should note that the actual cash moving through the business is higher than the reported revenue figures suggest.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">&#8220;There is a portion relating to renewals, subscriptions, and vendor-led services where IFRS rules dictate we cannot take the full invoice value as revenue. The spread, or gross margin, becomes our revenue. If you take SSG as 100%, this piece is about 5% of the mix.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">&#8212; Management, Q&amp;A Section</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">Redington is outperforming global trends in hardware, which makes it harder for the software segment to become the dominant part of the company. They are aiming for software to eventually make up one-quarter of total group revenue.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">&#8220;In FY26, our hardware business grew at 17%, whereas hardware distribution globally is de-growing by 2-3%. If hardware continues to grow at 15-20% and software grows at 30-35%, the ratio could remain in the 17-25% range. Our aspiration is for SSG to reach about 25% of our business in the coming years.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">&#8212; Management, Q&amp;A Section</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">Redington is avoiding expensive custom consulting and instead building standardized service packages that can be sold many times. This strategy is designed to grow service revenue by 7 to 10 times without needing a massive army of employees.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">&#8220;We are not an IT-ITES company; we aren&#8217;t doing bespoke million-dollar custom deals. We are creating &#8216;productized services&#8217; for AI, cloud, and security that complement our partners. Our goal is to multiply professional services 7-10x over the next few years.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">&#8212; Management, Q&amp;A Section</span></em></p></blockquote><p><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">A major 5-year deal with Amazon Web Services highlights Redington&#8217;s importance as a top-tier global partner. This long-term contract provides a strong foundation for future growth in the cloud and AI sectors.</span></p><blockquote><p><em><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">&#8220;We are among the few partners globally to enter into a multibillion-dollar, 5-year Strategic Collaboration Agreement with AWS. This commitment focuses on partner enablement, GenAI adoption, and new customer acquisition across SMBs, startups, and the public sector.&#8221;</span></em></p><p><em><span data-color="rgb(17, 24, 39)" style="color: rgb(17, 24, 39);">&#8212; Kalyan Pola, Principal Partner Development Manager, AWS</span></em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><p>That&#8217;s it for now! Your feedback will really help shape how The Chatter evolves. Drop it down in the comments below!</p><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://thechatterbyzerodha.substack.com/p/the-chatter-underneath-the-noise?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share&amp;token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjozMDExNzg5MTMsInBvc3RfaWQiOjE3MjY2NDQxNiwiaWF0IjoxNzU3NTk4NjQzLCJleHAiOjE3NjAxOTA2NDMsImlzcyI6InB1Yi00ODk4NzYwIiwic3ViIjoicG9zdC1yZWFjdGlvbiJ9.TFcDJv32XGvO0oFacHaCKP014RVVZ1pAYaVdcBrgrfE&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Share&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:&quot;button-wrapper&quot;}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary button-wrapper" href="https://thechatterbyzerodha.substack.com/p/the-chatter-underneath-the-noise?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share&amp;token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjozMDExNzg5MTMsInBvc3RfaWQiOjE3MjY2NDQxNiwiaWF0IjoxNzU3NTk4NjQzLCJleHAiOjE3NjAxOTA2NDMsImlzcyI6InB1Yi00ODk4NzYwIiwic3ViIjoicG9zdC1yZWFjdGlvbiJ9.TFcDJv32XGvO0oFacHaCKP014RVVZ1pAYaVdcBrgrfE"><span>Share</span></a></p><p>Quotes in this newsletter were curated by Meher, Shahid, &amp; Srusti.</p><p>Disclaimer: We&#8217;ve used AI tools in filtering and cleaning up these quotes so there maybe some mistakes. Now, if you are thinking why we are using AI, please remember that we are just a small team of 5 people running everything you see on Zerodha Markets &#128556; So, all the good stuff is human and mistakes are AI.</p><div><hr></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Chatter: TCS, IFB, Gulf Oil, Hinduja & More]]></title><description><![CDATA[Q4FY26 | Edition #63]]></description><link>https://thechatter.zerodha.com/p/the-chatter-asian-paints-nmdc-indigo-ea1</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://thechatter.zerodha.com/p/the-chatter-asian-paints-nmdc-indigo-ea1</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Zerodha]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 12 Jun 2026 13:04:25 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l72j!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc908f9a5-27c8-43b1-a819-233b3fa49641_2400x1350.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l72j!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc908f9a5-27c8-43b1-a819-233b3fa49641_2400x1350.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l72j!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc908f9a5-27c8-43b1-a819-233b3fa49641_2400x1350.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l72j!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc908f9a5-27c8-43b1-a819-233b3fa49641_2400x1350.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l72j!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc908f9a5-27c8-43b1-a819-233b3fa49641_2400x1350.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l72j!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc908f9a5-27c8-43b1-a819-233b3fa49641_2400x1350.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l72j!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc908f9a5-27c8-43b1-a819-233b3fa49641_2400x1350.png" width="1456" height="819" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/c908f9a5-27c8-43b1-a819-233b3fa49641_2400x1350.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:819,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:440166,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://thechatter.zerodha.com/i/201716388?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc908f9a5-27c8-43b1-a819-233b3fa49641_2400x1350.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l72j!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc908f9a5-27c8-43b1-a819-233b3fa49641_2400x1350.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l72j!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc908f9a5-27c8-43b1-a819-233b3fa49641_2400x1350.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l72j!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc908f9a5-27c8-43b1-a819-233b3fa49641_2400x1350.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l72j!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc908f9a5-27c8-43b1-a819-233b3fa49641_2400x1350.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Welcome to the <strong>63rd edition</strong> of The Chatter &#8212; a weekly newsletter where we dig through what India&#8217;s biggest companies are saying and bring you the most interesting bits of insight, whether about the business, its sector, or the wider economy. We read every major Indian earnings call and listen to the interviews so you don&#8217;t have to.</p><p>We&#8217;re always eager to improve&#8212;please share your ideas on how else we can innovate &#8220;The Chatter&#8221; format to better serve your needs.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2" target="_blank" href="https://www.tijoristack.ai/concall-monitor/?utm_source=zerodha&amp;utm_campaign=z_marketing" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png" width="1456" height="364" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:364,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:306481,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:&quot;https://www.tijoristack.ai/concall-monitor/?utm_source=zerodha&amp;utm_campaign=z_marketing&quot;,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://thechatter.zerodha.com/i/193793492?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Check out <a href="https://www.tijoristack.ai/concall-monitor/?utm_source=zerodha&amp;utm_campaign=z_marketing">Concall Monitor</a></figcaption></figure></div><p>In this edition, we have covered <strong>11 companies across 7 industries.</strong></p><div><hr></div><h1>Software Services</h1><ul><li><p>TCS</p></li><li><p>Hinduja Global Solutions</p></li></ul><h1>Engineering &amp; Capital Goods</h1><ul><li><p>Everest Kanto Cylinder</p></li><li><p>Greenleaf Envirotech</p></li><li><p>Gulf Oil Lubricants India Limited</p></li></ul><h1>Auto Ancillary</h1><ul><li><p>Tenneco Clean Air India Ltd.</p></li></ul><h1>Consumer Durables</h1><ul><li><p>IFB Industries</p></li><li><p>Srigee DLM Ltd</p></li></ul><h1>FMCG</h1><ul><li><p>Apex Frozen Foods</p></li></ul><h1>Information Technology</h1><ul><li><p>Dev Information Technology</p></li></ul><h1>Services</h1><ul><li><p>CMR Green Technologies</p></li></ul><div><hr></div><h1>Software Services</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/TCS/">TCS | Large Cap | Software Services</a></h2><p>Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) is a global IT services company with deep industry expertise. They offer a wide range of services including application development, digital transformation, AI, data and cloud services, engineering, cybersecurity, and products.</p><p>[ <a href="https://www.youtube.com/live/BlFkbPS-c7I?si=_44IoJ1GkFjr2iYU">Video</a> ]</p><p>On AI&#8217;s impact on the overall technology market.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The total addressable market which is $1.6 trillion will go to $3 trillion. I believe eventually it will keep spreading towards the entire GDP in different markets.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; </em>N Chandrasekaran, Chairman</p></blockquote><p>On why TCS is investing in infrastructure despite historically being asset-light.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;This is a necessary thing to be able to play an end-to-end full-stack AI solution game.&#8221;</em></p></blockquote><p>On the operating model of future businesses.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The metrics change for every department. How do we attract the best talent? How well we deploy AI agents? How well we work between AI and humans?&#8221;</em></p></blockquote><p>On cybersecurity as a business opportunity.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Cybersecurity and data privacy has a lot of opportunity and it is a big threat to all industries, all companies.&#8221;</em></p></blockquote><p>Chandrasekaran was asked whether AI is genuinely a growth opportunity for TCS or merely another technology cycle.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;As I have mentioned, I am of the firm belief that every technology disruption enhances tech spending and is a significant opportunity for a company like TCS. But the magnitude of the possibility of AI is going to be so huge that, in my firm belief, it is the biggest opportunity TCS has had so far.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; N Chandrasekaran, Chairman</em></p></blockquote><p>Explaining why growth has moderated despite AI optimism.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;You will know that we have faced technology disruptions and every time there is a technology disruption there is a transition time because the clients pause the adoption of technology and you will see a slowness as growth.&#8221;</em></p></blockquote><p>On investor concerns around IT sector valuations and growth.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I think we have seen the worst of the last couple of years and I believe AI growth will be significant.&#8221;</em></p></blockquote><p>Providing actual AI revenue data.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;If you look at the last four quarters, in Q2 it was $1.5 billion annualized. In Q3 $1.8 billion and in Q4 it is $2.3 billion. It is a CAGR of 22%.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;On an annualized basis, I expect the AI-driven revenues to grow 100% on a year-on-year basis.&#8221;</em></p></blockquote><p>Estimating AI&#8217;s share in future revenues.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In my opinion, the answer to the question how much of the revenue will be AI-based in the next five years&#8212;I think by 2028 to 2030, 100% of the revenue will have a component of AI.&#8221;</em></p></blockquote><p>Explaining how TCS is preparing for the AI era.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The company is making a lot of investments not only in human talent, in producing assets, in building an AI operating system of sorts which will have AI agents for every industry and for integrating every company&#8217;s new solutions to the traditional IT footprint.&#8221;</em></p></blockquote><p>Discussing infrastructure investments.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The company has made the decision to invest in an AI data center and not only the one which we are setting up in India, but we are also investing in building the sovereign cloud.&#8221;</em></p></blockquote><p>Explaining his vision of human-AI collaboration.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;If the company has half a million employees, the day is not far when the company will have half a million agents.&#8221;</em></p></blockquote><p>One of the clearest statements on employment.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Will it definitely lead to decrease in hiring? Absolutely. The company will not be hiring the kind of numbers that it used to hire.&#8221;</em></p></blockquote><p>Balancing concerns around automation.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;That does not mean there are no future opportunities. Once the transition happens, the AI world will produce so much more opportunities. There will be new talent that will be required.&#8221;</em></p></blockquote><p>On concerns regarding the US business.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I have no doubt that the US will continue to be our largest market and we do not face any employment visa-related issues.&#8221;</em></p></blockquote><p>On capital allocation.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;There is absolutely no hesitation on the part of the company and the board to allocate and fund large acquisitions.&#8221;</em></p></blockquote><p>On balancing profitability and expansion.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The company does not choose to sacrifice growth at the cost of margin.&#8221;</em></p></blockquote><p>On long-term profitability.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;My firm belief is that this industry can comfortably operate at 25%. In fact, TCS has operated at 28% and growth is not being sacrificed.&#8221;</em></p></blockquote><p>On how organizations will be managed in the AI era.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;If the HR department of the company had a metric on their ability to hire large numbers of talent, that metric will go away.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; N Chandrasekaran, Chairman</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/HGS/">Hinduja Global Solutions Limited | Mid Cap | BPM &amp; Digital Services</a></h2><p>Hinduja Global Solutions is a global business process management and digital services company. The company provides customer experience, digital transformation, and AI-led solutions across sectors including BFSI, healthcare, retail, and public services. It also operates a media business through NXTDIGITAL, which includes digital television and broadband services.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijorifinance.com/insight/india/4742/Conference%20Call/CC-Jun26.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>Despite flat reported revenues, management pointed to new client additions as the most significant forward-looking indicator for the business.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;FY2026 has been our strongest year ever, with 79 new clients signed on across BPM and Digital services.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;I feel this is the best year we ever had on new logos. With these signings, we are entering FY2027 with meaningful revenue visibility.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Venkatesh Korla, Global CEO, HGS / Mahesh Kumar Nutalapati, Global CFO, HGS</em></p></blockquote><p>The company&#8217;s proprietary AI deployment model is built around a 90-day production commitment rather than open-ended pilots, with shared risk as a key differentiator.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Realized AI is HGS&#8217;s operating model for deploying AI in production. Not experimentation. It&#8217;s a risk that is shared and not transferred to the customer. We pick one client process, identify the problem, and solve it. And we take it from zero to production in 90 days.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Venkatesh Korla, Global CEO, HGS</em></p></blockquote><p>AgentX, the company&#8217;s agentic AI platform, has moved beyond pilots and is now embedded in live client operations across 23 customers.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Today, AgentX&#8482; is moving from capability to scale. We now have 23 active customers and 21 AI assistants in production.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;Importantly, these are not pilots anymore. They are embedded into real workflows in client operations.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Venkatesh Korla, Global CEO, HGS</em></p></blockquote><p>The broadband enterprise business, CelerityX, delivered significant growth and is being positioned as a primary engine for the media segment going forward.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;CelerityX, which is the enterprise broadband business that we developed barely a year and a half ago, revenues have increased for the enterprise business by 2x this year. The total contract value has increased by 5x.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Vynsley Fernandes, Whole Time Director, HGS &amp; CEO, NXTDIGITAL Media Business</em></p></blockquote><p>The company signed an MoU with the Uttar Pradesh government for Project Ganga, a large-scale broadband rollout targeting two million households through locally trained digital entrepreneurs.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Project Ganga is basically a large-scale digital inclusion initiative in the state to be able to provide that connectivity.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;When the project is completed, over 2 million households across the state of Uttar Pradesh will get connected with high-speed broadband over the next two to three years.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Vynsley Fernandes, Whole Time Director, HGS &amp; CEO, NXTDIGITAL Media Business</em></p></blockquote><p>A positive shift in broadband customer behaviour is visible, with more users opting for higher-speed plans at the point of sign-up, reflecting improved affordability and rising data consumption.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;About a year ago, 10.7% of our users were in the high-speed segment above 100 Mbps, and this has now risen to 15%.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;From 54% last year, entry-level plan subscribers have dropped to 46%, signalling that more consumers are adopting a higher base plan at start.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Vynsley Fernandes, Whole Time Director, HGS &amp; CEO, NXTDIGITAL Media Business</em></p></blockquote><p>The company&#8217;s net treasury and cash surplus of Rs. 5,346 crores gives management the flexibility to fund strategic investments without compromising shareholder returns.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Net treasury and cash surplus stood at around Rs. 5,346 crores, which gives us enough flexibility for us to invest behind the realized AI framework and Project Ganga without compromising returns.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Mahesh Kumar Nutalapati, Global CFO, HGS</em></p></blockquote><p>Despite a negative standalone EPS for FY2026, management recommended a dividend as a signal of confidence in the company&#8217;s trajectory.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We see improved performance and as we have the company generating profitability this year through its deployed assets, we think that with the improved performance and future outlook, we are recommending to declare dividends to share the value with the shareholders.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;There&#8217;s enough cash assets in the company and we are not concerned about shortage of funds as we go through the transformation.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Venkatesh Korla, Global CEO, HGS</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Engineering &amp; Capital Goods</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/EKC/">Everest Kanto Cylinder | Micro Cap | Engineering &amp; Capital Goods</a></h2><p>Everest Kanto Cylinder (EKC) is a company with manufacturing units in India and the Middle East. They manufacture various industrial cylinders for gases like oxygen, hydrogen, nitrogen, among others, as well as allied products. EKC also produces CNG cylinders for vehicles and beverage cylinders. They are involved in the manufacturing of a wide range of industrial equipment.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachLive/8116cf3f-1271-407d-aee6-25b4b7a79a45.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>Investors questioned the prolonged weakness in the Dubai operations. Management acknowledged operational challenges but emphasized that demand remains intact and order visibility is improving.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Definitely there will be improvement. Even in this difficult situation, we are working at around 50% and the order book is improving.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;The order book is there. Only thing is that the Middle East situation on shipment and other things are difficult.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;Hopefully, this year should be a better year.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Puneet Khurana, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Investors raised concerns about higher LNG costs and rising CNG prices. Management believes the economics of CNG remain attractive relative to petrol.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The PV market mainly will depend on how the petrol prices move.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;Customer I do not think will leave CNG if the prices are still not moved up so much.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;The increase is not so substantial.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;There should not be much impact on the PV sales.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Puneet Khurana, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Given Everest Kanto&#8217;s larger exposure to commercial vehicles, management was asked whether higher gas prices could hurt fleet adoption.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Yes, even on the commercial segment, commercial segment is also continuing good.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Puneet Khurana, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p> Management provided an update on the ongoing GST matter.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our cases, we (industry) have also made a representation to the government in this regard, seeking a clarification on the HSN of the product manufactured.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;So, we are very positive on the same.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;Timeline can be between 6 months to a year.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sanjiv Kapur, Whole-Time Director &amp; CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>During the opening remarks, management highlighted a favorable shift in product mix.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We also saw encouraging traction in higher value-added segments such as semiconductors and defence, which contributed positively to our product mix and supported overall margin expansion.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Puneet Khurana, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Management remains constructive on growth prospects in North America.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The US business maintained steady momentum during the year, supported by a healthy order pipeline and growing opportunities in clean energy and specialised industrial applications.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Puneet Khurana, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The company outlined its broader strategic opportunity set beyond automotive CNG.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Beyond CNG-led mobility, opportunities across industrial gases, compressed biogas, hydrogen, semiconductors and defence are expanding the addressable market for high-pressure gas storage and transportation solutions.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Puneet Khurana, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>While EV adoption continues, management believes gas-based mobility will continue to play an important role in India&#8217;s energy transition.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Over the medium to long term, India is expected to remain a multi-fuel economy, with gas playing an important role in mobility and the broader energy transition.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Puneet Khurana, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Management highlighted an important industry trend supporting long-term cylinder demand.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;As per industry reports, CNG accounted for nearly 22% of passenger vehicle sales in FY2026, emerging as the second-largest fuel type in the segment for the second consecutive year and staying ahead of diesel.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Puneet Khurana, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>This suggests growth is becoming more diversified beyond automotive CNG cylinders.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our India business continued to witness strong demand across both CNG and industrial gas applications, with industrial applications seeing a healthy increase during the year.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Puneet Khurana, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Management made it clear that logistics disruptions are the bottleneck.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The order book is there.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;Only thing is that the Middle East situation on shipment and other things are difficult.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Puneet Khurana, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/GREENLEAF/">Greenleaf Envirotech | Small Cap | Environmental Infrastructure &amp; Services</a></h2><p>Greenleaf Envirotech is a Gujarat-based environmental infrastructure company specialising in wastewater treatment, environmental engineering, laboratory services, and compliance consulting. Over 15 years, it has built long-term relationships with clients like L&amp;T, Reliance, Tata Motors, and Maruti Suzuki. The company is now transitioning from a pure EPC model toward owning and operating environmental infrastructure, while expanding into ESG consulting and circular economy services.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/57998-09-Jun-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>Management described the company&#8217;s multi-service model not as a diversification strategy but as different stages of the same value chain, designed to deepen and extend client relationships over time.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our laboratory business allows us to engage with customers before a project begins. Our consulting and compliance services help them navigate regulatory requirements. Our engineering and EPC capability help create the infrastructure. Our O&amp;M services allow us to remain involved long after project commissioning.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;The objective is not to participate in single projects. The objective is to build long-term customer relationships across multiple stages of the environmental journey.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Kalpesh Gopti, Chairman &amp; MD, Greenleaf Envirotech</em></p></blockquote><p>Management provided clear margin discipline guidance, with a hard floor on project bids that anchors the profitability outlook.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;For new orders, we generally bid for projects at a 15% to 20% gross margin. We are not taking any project below a 15% gross margin. So, we will always maintain between 15% and 20% EBITDA for all projects, both existing and new.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Kalpesh Gopti, Chairman &amp; MD, Greenleaf Envirotech</em></p></blockquote><p>The CETP model carries a 25 to 30-year operational runway with inflation-linked pricing after the initial two-year commitment period, and capacity can be doubled in Phase 2.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Currently in Phase 1, we have developed a capacity for 4,000 textile machines, but in Phase 2, we can increase that up to 8,000. So, this project will continue to serve the textile industries in that particular region for approximately 25 to 30 years.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;The monthly charges are only committed for the first 2 years, and thereafter we can increase them based on inflation and our costs.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Kalpesh Gopti, Chairman &amp; MD, Greenleaf Envirotech</em></p></blockquote><p>Management sees no meaningful increase in competitive intensity, pointing instead to a massive expansion of government spending on water infrastructure as a demand tailwind that benefits all serious EPC players.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The Ministry of Jal Shakti has allotted around 94,000 crores in this financial year for the development of water and wastewater-related infrastructure. This gives a huge opportunity to all EPC players. So, I do not see an increase in competition.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Kalpesh Gopti, Chairman &amp; MD, Greenleaf Envirotech</em></p></blockquote><p>Court-ordered industrial closures for non-compliance are creating a new category of forced private-sector demand for wastewater treatment infrastructure, independent of government budgets.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In a textile industry cluster in Jodhpur, the High Court ordered the closure of 300 industries because they were discharging untreated water into the river. All of them now have to adopt this wastewater treatment infrastructure, which will create opportunities for a company like ours.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Kalpesh Gopti, Chairman &amp; MD, Greenleaf Envirotech</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/GULFOILLUB/">Gulf Oil Lubricants India Limited | Mid Cap | Lubricants</a></h2><p>Gulf Oil Lubricants India is a leading lubricant manufacturer serving automotive, industrial, and OEM customers across India. The company is focused on gaining market share through volume-led growth, capacity expansion, and new opportunities in emerging segments such as data-centre cooling fluids.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aX1NpG2gnFk">Reference</a>]</p><p>The company significantly outperformed industry growth in FY26, driven by strong execution across segments and continued market share gains. Management expects the growth momentum to continue despite a challenging macroeconomic environment.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In the year we grew 10.5% but quarter 4 was about 14% growth. Volume for us has always been more than 2x of the industry but happy to share that quarter 4 went into 3x plus. Most of our segments we are seeing positive and our strategies are well working in the market.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ravi Chawla, MD &amp; CEO, Gulf Oil Lubricants India Limited</em></p></blockquote><p>Management highlighted unprecedented cost inflation across key raw materials but believes pricing actions and operational discipline will help protect profitability. The company continues to actively manage margins while maintaining growth.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We&#8217;ve seen unprecedented cost increase right from packaging material to our base oils which go similar to crude and chemicals which are additives. There has been significant increases happening on a monthly basis and we are passing on what the cost increase is and trying to manage our margins.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ravi Chawla, MD &amp; CEO, Gulf Oil Lubricants India Limited</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is investing ahead of demand with a major capacity expansion program designed to support future growth. Management expects the new capacity to support business requirements for the next several years while enabling continued market share gains.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Both our plants are actually working on a three shift basis. So we are adding capacity of 70%. Given the growth we have normally which is 2 to 3x of the industry, this capacity enhancement will help and meet our next three four years plans.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ravi Chawla, MD &amp; CEO, Gulf Oil Lubricants India Limited</em></p></blockquote><p>Management believes supply chain reliability is becoming a critical competitive advantage. The company&#8217;s strong sourcing capabilities and OEM relationships position it well to navigate ongoing market volatility.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are also in a very good position supply-wise in terms of getting the supply chain right and able to meet the need of our B2B customers. We have about 40 plus OEMs and that is very important to get the supply security because that is what customers and our business partners look for.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ravi Chawla, MD &amp; CEO, Gulf Oil Lubricants India Limited</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is preparing for emerging opportunities in data-center cooling through specialized liquid-cooling products. While the addressable market remains small today, management expects the segment to grow and is already engaged in product validation with customers.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have two products ready. We are now talking to actual data centers to put our product in terms of validation. We will make a play in that and hopefully be able to announce some sort of tie-ups in a few months.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ravi Chawla, MD &amp; CEO, Gulf Oil Lubricants India Limited</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Auto Ancillary</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/TENNIND/">Tenneco Clean Air India | Small Cap | Auto Ancillary</a></h2><p>Tenneco Clean Air India Ltd. (TCAIL), founded in 1979 and part of U.S.-based Tenneco Group, designs and manufactures clean air, powertrain, and suspension solutions for Indian and global OEMs. It leads in CT, OH, and PV segments and exports across major global markets.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachLive/fee9494d-4106-4ae2-95c9-f2fa28f0e8ff.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>One of the most important comments from the call. The company highlighted that its current order book already provides complete visibility on its internal FY28 revenue plan and supports double-digit growth over the medium term.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;As of March 31, 2026, our lifetime order book stands at INR124,000 million after accounting for net additions and programs that commenced production this year.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;This provides 100% visibility of our FY2028 internal revenue target and underpins a double-digit growth trajectory over the medium term.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Arvind Chandrasekharan, Whole-Time Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company expects exports to become a key pillar of growth driven by China+1 diversification, technology parity and cost competitiveness.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Clearly, exports is going to be a very key vector of growth for us beyond content per vehicle.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;Our exports are coming in way stronger than our current level of exports.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;They&#8217;re coming in very strong on both the Clean Air Powertrain side and also on the shock absorber side.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Arvind Chandrasekharan, Whole-Time Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>This was one of the boldest product-related statements made during the call.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are hopefully targeting somewhere about 50% of that to be able to disrupt.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;The OEM interest has been very, very significant.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;The feedback has been fantastic.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Arvind Chandrasekharan, Whole-Time Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management suggested that customer interest has accelerated beyond the initial launch customer.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The traction is so good that we have three to four OEMs that are already interested in our product.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;This covers Indian OEMs, Japanese and also Korean OEMs... and also European OEMs.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Arvind Chandrasekharan, Whole-Time Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>This is arguably the biggest regulatory growth opportunity discussed during the call.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The addressable market, if you look at CAFE 3 and BS7, is as much as 1,300 to 1,400 crores of additional content per vehicle.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;That&#8217;s something that we&#8217;re going to target.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Arvind Chandrasekharan, Whole-Time Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Tenneco has historically not supplied Clean Air products to the largest passenger vehicle OEM in India, limiting growth. That changes with a new gasoline particulate filter program.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have already secured entry into the supplier panel for this largest PV OEM in India.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;Due to CAFE norms with a Gasoline Particulate Filter.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;We&#8217;re hoping that once we enter the panel, our growth will increase quite a bit.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Arvind Chandrasekharan, Whole-Time Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Contrary to concerns that electrification may hurt Clean Air suppliers, Tenneco believes hybrids are a net positive.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>For hybrid vehicles... our content can go from X to 1.5 to even 2X.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;Hybrid vehicles actually can have the effect of taking our content from X to 1.5 to even 2X.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Arvind Chandrasekharan, Whole-Time Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management offered a notable industry view on powertrain evolution.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The markets in the US and Europe are sliding back from an EV to more of a compromise.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;They&#8217;re going more to a hybrid or a range extender solution.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Arvind Chandrasekharan, Whole-Time Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management views the weaker rupee as a structural advantage for export competitiveness.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;A depreciation of the rupee can also be a blessing in disguise.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;It makes our products more competitive.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;I see this as an immediate 15% to 20% improvement in our ability to compete in the global market.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Arvind Chandrasekharan, Whole-Time Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management explained why it consistently delivers industry-leading ROCE and margins.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The flexibility is so unique and everything is so standardized.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;That gives us a unique competitive advantage.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;The time to market is faster, the cost of that product is less, the margins are better, and the capital efficiency is the highest.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Arvind Chandrasekharan, Whole-Time Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management explicitly linked future export growth to global OEMs diversifying sourcing away from China.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Many of the OEMs from a China plus one diversification or let&#8217;s call it supply chain diversification standpoint are looking to India as a source for products, and we are also benefiting from that.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Arvind Chandrasekharan, Whole-Time Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>This is an important enabler for exports because Indian facilities can now manufacture products meeting global standards, achieving technology parity with Europe in key product categories, .</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;India is now equal in technology, whether you look at Clean Air exhaust systems or with shock absorbers.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;The same essential products can be exported.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Arvind Chandrasekharan, Whole-Time Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management stressed that the significance lies in entering the supplier panel of a major Japanese OEM.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;It was difficult to get into this particular customer bearings for a very long time.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;The fact that we have been able to enter the supplier panel is very strategic for us.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;Which means we can now grow with this Japanese customer in a bigger way.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Arvind Chandrasekharan, Whole-Time Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Useful insight into why management is excited about CV and off-highway opportunities.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;If the car typical passenger vehicle exhaust system is at X, a commercial system exhaust could be somewhere between 3X to 4X.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Arvind Chandrasekharan, Whole-Time Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>One of the most striking content-per-vehicle observations from the call.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Some of the real low volume applications like construction equipment can be even like 10 to 15X.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;Because they really need very, very strong aftertreatment.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Arvind Chandrasekharan, Whole-Time Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>This is effectively management&#8217;s long-term thesis for the suspension business.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Cars moved to SUVs, but the premiumization of SUVs never happened.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;But that&#8217;s changing dramatically.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;This is where Tenneco comes in.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Arvind Chandrasekharan, Whole-Time Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management ruled out competing purely on price in new categories.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;If we do enter the two-wheeler market for Clean Air or for suspension, it will be something that brings something unique to that segment.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;We don&#8217;t have to play a commodity price game.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Arvind Chandrasekharan, Whole-Time Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management tied localization directly to profitability.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Localization is very important because that&#8217;s where our profit margins come from.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Arvind Chandrasekharan, Whole-Time Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company intends to maintain very high local sourcing levels even as it introduces new technologies.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Currently, our localization is about 89%, 90% level.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;We want to keep that.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Arvind Chandrasekharan, Whole-Time Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Consumer Durables</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/IFBIND/">IFB Industries | Mid Cap | Consumer Durables</a></h2><p>IFB Industries is a diversified manufacturer best known for its premium front-load washing machines, with a growing presence in air conditioners, microwaves, refrigerators, and dishwashers. The company also runs an engineering division supplying fine-blanked components to the automotive industry. IFB has been investing in capacity expansion and portfolio premiumization as it pushes deeper into the home appliances market.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/762-10-Jun-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>The new MD and CEO of the Home Appliances Division, in his first earnings call, outlined a back-to-basics agenda centred on distribution intensity, SKU rationalisation, and plugging trade scheme leakages rather than new strategic initiatives.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;My priority is to ensure the processes the team already put into place are tightened further. We are focusing on improving cost structures, managing the dealer network, and plugging leakages in trade schemes.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;We have identified approximately 10,500 outlets that contribute the most volume. Now we must maximize placement and extraction from those outlets.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sandeep Joseph Abraham, MD &amp; CEO, Home Appliances Division, IFB Industries</em></p></blockquote><p>Commodity and forex pressures have continued into the new financial year, with a Rs. 49 crore negative impact already visible in April and May alone, partially offset by Rs. 29 crores of cost measures and Q1 price increases.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Raw material costs are increasing further, including both commodities and forex. April and May are seeing a negative impact that has not yet been fully offset by our cost initiatives.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;For April and May, the cumulative negative impact from commodities and forex was approximately 49 crores.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sandeep Joseph Abraham, MD &amp; CEO, Home Appliances Division, IFB Industries</em></p></blockquote><p>The company&#8217;s 23% front-loader market share is understated because IFB does not currently compete in the 12 kg segment, which has grown to represent 13% of the overall market. Launches in the 13 kg and 14 kg categories are planned for later this year.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our front loader market share is about 23%. This is despite not operating in the 12 kg category, which is 13% of the market. If you exclude that 12 kg segment, our share would be about 25.5% to 26%.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;We will be plugging that gap this year by launching 13 kg and 14 kg products.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sandeep Joseph Abraham, MD &amp; CEO, Home Appliances Division, IFB Industries</em></p></blockquote><p>The brand is management&#8217;s primary confidence anchor for expanding into new categories, with the argument that established outlet relationships from washing machines reduce the entry barrier for ACs and refrigerators.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In categories where we have entered, we have achieved significant share because our products are well-received. The IFB umbrella brand stands for quality products and service, which is our biggest asset.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;If we have succeeded in washing machines, microwaves, and dishwashers, we believe customers will see an IFB AC as a great investment.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sandeep Joseph Abraham, MD &amp; CEO, Home Appliances Division, IFB Industries</em></p></blockquote><p>The Engineering division is targeting 20% to 25% revenue growth over the next two to three years, supported by capacity additions and new product lines including EV battery packs, motorcycle chains, and brake discs mandated under new legislation.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Over the next 2 to 3 years, we plan for 20% to 25% growth in existing business. We are also adding new revenue streams like EV battery packs, motorcycle chains, and brake discs, which have become mandatory under new legislation.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Jayanto Patnaik, Engineering Division, IFB Industries</em></p></blockquote><p>The engineering division&#8217;s new order win target for FY2027 has been raised to Rs. 350 crores, more than double last year&#8217;s Rs. 153 crore actual, with management attributing the FY2026 miss to the long validation cycles inherent in the B2B automotive supply chain.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Order maturity in the Engineering business takes time. Supplies only start after a 7 to 8-month validation period for drawings and samples.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;For FY27, we have a 350 crore target for new orders. Many are already in the validation stage.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Jayanto Patnaik / Amit Ghosh, Engineering Division, IFB Industries</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/BSE/SRIGEE/">Srigee DLM | Nano Cap | Consumer Durables</a></h2><p>Srigee DLM provides end-to-end plastic manufacturing solutions with a design-driven approach to enhance functionality and manufacturability. They serve both OEM and ODM clients, offering comprehensive services in the plastic manufacturing industry.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.tijoristack.ai/">Concall</a>]</p><p>Management attributed growth constraints primarily to lack of manufacturing space rather than lack of demand.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The performance we achieved is based on our existing capacity utilization, which is over 100%.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;When we expand, the rent we are currently paying will be saved and become income.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;Moreover, with more space, we can add more customers and products.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Suresh Kumar Singh, Whole-Time Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The expansion is the central growth driver for the next phase of the business.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are moving to a new facility with a plot size of 10,850 square meters, which is 4 times our current size.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Suresh Kumar Singh, Whole-Time Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Management sees polymer compounding as one of the biggest growth opportunities within the company.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We plan to expand this in this year when we move to the new facility.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;Our plan is to increase production capacity to 150 metric tons.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;We are eyeing approximately a 3x expansion in this polymer compounding sector.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Suresh Kumar Singh, Whole-Time Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Management indicated that while mobile assembly is not the largest revenue contributor yet, it generates the best profitability.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;If you ask which segment has the highest margins among the four verticals, it would be mobile phone assembly.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Suresh Kumar Singh, Whole-Time Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Management suggested current volumes represent only a small share of the potential opportunity.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Samsung is currently assembling more than 10 lakh phones and my contribution is not even 10%.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;My customer told me that if I provide more space, they will increase my business.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Suresh Kumar Singh, Whole-Time Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Management acknowledged dependence on a few customers and intends to diversify.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Last year, 95% of revenue came from these top customers, which has now gone down to 91%.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;It is in our focus area to reduce this and ensure an equitable distribution among customers.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Suresh Kumar Singh, Whole-Time Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Management proactively stocked raw materials ahead of price spikes linked to geopolitical tensions.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The major impact is on the polymer business.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;We made very large purchases of polymer in February and March to nullify the effect of the war.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;In March, polymer prices shot up 3 times.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Suresh Kumar Singh, Whole-Time Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Management sees the business as a double-margin opportunity.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I am already saving 10 rupees there.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;That 10% saving becomes my income.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;My linkages with other customers will allow me to sell the product in a trading format.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;This is a double benefit for me.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Suresh Kumar Singh, Whole-Time Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Management is looking beyond coolers and mobile assembly for diversification.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are expecting a hand blender segment and a home appliances segment.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;Yes, we will do something beyond coolers.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;We are in talks regarding the hand blender segment and the mixer-grinder segment.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Suresh Kumar Singh, Whole-Time Director</em></p></blockquote><p>A proactive inventory decision driven by geopolitical concerns.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We knew the impact would hit polymer prices, so we rushed to buy as much material as possible.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Suresh Kumar Singh, Whole-Time Director</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>FMCG</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/APEX/">Apex Frozen Foods | Micro Cap | FMCG</a></h2><p>Apex Frozen Foods Limited is a leading exporter of processed L. Vannamei and Black Tiger shrimp, with a strong presence in the value chain. The company has strategically focused on backward integration and value addition, positioning itself as a premier supplier of high-quality shrimp.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachHis/638da13e-0c04-4db2-a96d-4c895a7353c1.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>This is arguably the biggest strategic shift in Apex&#8217;s business model. The company has spent years diversifying away from U.S. dependence, and FY26 marks an inflection point.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;For the first time in Apex&#8217;s history, non-U.S. export markets became the largest contributor to sales in FY &#8216;26, accounting for almost 52% of the total sales mix.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Chowdary Karuturi, Managing Director &amp; CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>While the U.S. market faced tariffs and logistics disruptions, Europe continued to absorb additional volumes.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Despite softness in the U.S. market, we were able to maintain our volumes close to last year&#8217;s levels of 10,300 metric tons, backed by robust performance in the non-U.S. markets, mainly European Union, which grew 19% year-on-year in FY &#8216;26 and 15% year-on-year in Q4 FY &#8216;26.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Chowdary Karuturi, Managing Director &amp; CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>This is one of the strongest forward-looking comments on the call and indicates management&#8217;s internal expectations.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have originally envisaged, of course, growth by almost 30% in volume terms.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;But we need to see how that goes between quarters.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Chowdary Karuturi, Managing Director &amp; CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management suggested the recovery is no longer theoretical and is already visible in the order book.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are getting back our orders into the U.S. already post removal or rather reduction of tariffs to 10%, because all the shrimp supplying countries are on the same level playing field as far as the tariff is concerned.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Chowdary Karuturi, Managing Director &amp; CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>This provides a timeline for one of the biggest structural catalysts discussed on the call.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I think UK will be the first one to implement sometime soon, very soon and followed by EU more towards maybe the end of this calendar year.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Chowdary Karuturi, Managing Director &amp; CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>FTAs were repeatedly cited as a critical medium-term growth catalyst.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;They will definitely help us to gain more volumes out of the EU, especially.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;We are well placed with regard to having a good market share and actually growing them further also in the European Union.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Chowdary Karuturi, Managing Director &amp; CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>This suggests the company can grow significantly without major capacity expansion.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We still have a good headroom for growth because of our overall utilization of capacities also being currently at only at 30% for the full year.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Chowdary Karuturi, Managing Director &amp; CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management highlighted approvals for new geographies beyond traditional markets.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Both our facilities, one after the other, are also getting approved for newer markets like Russia also.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;We are definitely looking on multiple fronts, not just the traditional markets.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Chowdary Karuturi, Managing Director &amp; CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>A key strategic lesson management says it learned from recent disruptions.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Since we cannot depend on just one market excessively, which has already been taught to us as a lesson, that&#8217;s one of the reasons why diversification also helps us.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Chowdary Karuturi, Managing Director &amp; CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>Important for modeling profitability and export economics.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We believe it&#8217;s going to remain around that level.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;Between 5%, 5.5% to 6%.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Chowdary Karuturi, Managing Director &amp; CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management highlighted that vessel availability is a larger issue than costs.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;More than the cost increase, it is becoming a little bit of challenge with regard to support from the shipping lines.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;Equipment is not available because of the crisis in the Middle East.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Chowdary Karuturi, Managing Director &amp; CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management repeatedly highlighted forex gains as a meaningful earnings driver.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The net gain of foreign exchange difference in the current year was quite high, mainly attributed to the depreciation of the exchange rate currency currently.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Chowdary Karuturi, Managing Director &amp; CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>An important comment on industry pricing behavior and margin retention.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;It&#8217;s not really a point that there is a depreciation in the currency, it will be passed on to the customer.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Chowdary Karuturi, Managing Director &amp; CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>One of the more useful disclosures for analysts tracking industry pricing.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;For last year, it was $9.5 to $9.7.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;But now currently, it is around $9.1 per kilo.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Chowdary Karuturi, Managing Director &amp; CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>This was a notable industry observation and counters concerns about farmer distress.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Comparing India&#8217;s farm gate pricing to many other countries, we are still higher, actually, at this point.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;We are paying higher prices to the farmers in the country compared to many other countries.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Chowdary Karuturi, Managing Director &amp; CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>This can affect quarterly volume recognition even if demand remains intact.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our shipments do get postponed by anywhere between, let&#8217;s say, 3 to 5 days.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;Which means it is spillover to the next week.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Chowdary Karuturi, Managing Director &amp; CFO</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Information Technology</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/DEVIT/">Dev Information Technology | Small Cap | IT Services</a></h2><p>Dev Information Technology is an Ahmedabad-based end-to-end IT services company founded in 1997, offering cloud, AI, blockchain, cybersecurity, enterprise applications, and managed IT services. The company serves a mix of Indian government agencies, domestic corporates, and international clients, with a growing focus on Microsoft technologies. FY26 was deliberately a consolidation year, as management chose to prioritize the India market over exports amid geopolitical uncertainty, while simultaneously laying the groundwork for a North America push through the Xduce Infotech partnership.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/29882-09-Jun-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>The company&#8217;s most significant strategic move in FY2026 was the Xduce partnership, which gives Dev IT its first meaningful onsite presence in North America and the UK after nearly three decades as a purely offshore business.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Dev IT was totally an offshore business and we wanted to have our onsite presence so that we can have onsite and offsite hybrid business styles as well as acquire more enterprise-level customers from the North America and UK regions.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;Xduce, being a company with over 20 years of presence in the USA and in the UK, is extremely focused on enterprise-led customer acquisition.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Jaimin Shah, Managing Director &amp; CEO, Dev Information Technology</em></p></blockquote><p>Management provided a clear revenue-sharing model for joint deals, with the bulk of the economics flowing back to Dev IT as the offshore delivery engine.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;For all non-India matters, it will be front-ended by Xduce, and their entire offshore development will be done by Dev IT. The split will be 20:80. So 80% comes to Dev IT and 20% remains with Xduce.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Jaimin Shah, Managing Director &amp; CEO, Dev Information Technology</em></p></blockquote><p>Achieving all six Microsoft Solution Partner designations puts Dev IT in a small group globally and is already translating into inbound enterprise deal flow that would not have been accessible otherwise.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;When I asked ChatGPT about North America, it was around 5% of the total Microsoft partner ecosystem that had achieved all six competencies. So that is the uniqueness.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;One of our customers, which is a leading sugar processing company in Texas, approached us through the Microsoft platform because we have achieved these competencies. We were able to close that 600,000 to 700,000 dollar business, which is significant for Dev IT prior to the Xduce integration.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Jaimin Shah, Managing Director &amp; CEO, Dev Information Technology</em></p></blockquote><p>Management&#8217;s revenue guidance for FY2027 is flat at around Rs. 200 crores, with meaningful growth expected only from FY2028 as international integrations mature.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are expecting around 200 crores worth of revenue for the current year. For next year, we are expecting around 15-20% growth from the current year.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Jaimin Shah, Managing Director &amp; CEO, Dev Information Technology</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Services</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/CMRGREEN/">CMR Green Technologies | Small Cap | Metal Recycling</a></h2><p>CMR Green Technologies is one of India&#8217;s leading recycled aluminium manufacturers, serving automotive and industrial customers through a circular-economy business model. Speaking after the company&#8217;s strong stock market debut following an IPO that was subscribed over 127 times, management outlined its growth plans, sustainability advantages, and expansion into newer aluminium recycling segments.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cUWaz4womvw">Reference</a>]</p><p>Management believes recycled aluminium is positioned at the center of the global decarbonization trend due to its dramatically lower carbon footprint compared to primary aluminium. Combined with aluminium&#8217;s infinite recyclability and growing consumption across industries, the company sees a long runway for sustained growth in the recycling sector.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Recycled aluminium has the biggest decarbonization impact. The carbon generation is only 290 kgs against 16,000 kgs in the case of primary aluminium. So there is a very strong focus whenever we talk about sustainability and decarbonization. Aluminium comes in as number one.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Mohan Agarwal, CMD, CMR Green Technologies</em></p></blockquote><p>Management remains highly optimistic about the future of the recycling industry, viewing the existing stock of aluminium in use as a perpetual source of raw material. This structural advantage, coupled with decades of industry experience, underpins the company&#8217;s confidence in long-term growth.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;There is a huge amount of aluminium in use today. All of which is going to come back into recycling not once but a number of times. So it&#8217;s a mine above the earth. We will keep getting more and more feed and we&#8217;ll keep producing more and more recycled products for our customers. I am ever so bullish on growth.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Mohan Agarwal, CMD, CMR Green Technologies</em></p></blockquote><p>Management indicated that current cash generation is sufficient to fund ongoing capital expenditure requirements. However, becoming a listed company provides the flexibility to pursue significantly larger growth opportunities in the future without being constrained by internal resources alone.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Basically, our business generates enough cash to fund our capex, but whenever we get a large opportunity going forward, one of the reasons for becoming a public company is that we can look for larger growth opportunities. Something that we had been kind of leaving in the past, being constrained by our ability to pursue those large opportunities. But being a public company, we should be able to now pursue those larger opportunities as they come, and we can always come back to the market to raise primary when we need it.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Mohan Agarwal, CMD, CMR Green Technologies</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><p>That&#8217;s it for now! Your feedback will really help shape how The Chatter evolves. Drop it down in the comments below!</p><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://thechatterbyzerodha.substack.com/p/the-chatter-underneath-the-noise?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share&amp;token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjozMDExNzg5MTMsInBvc3RfaWQiOjE3MjY2NDQxNiwiaWF0IjoxNzU3NTk4NjQzLCJleHAiOjE3NjAxOTA2NDMsImlzcyI6InB1Yi00ODk4NzYwIiwic3ViIjoicG9zdC1yZWFjdGlvbiJ9.TFcDJv32XGvO0oFacHaCKP014RVVZ1pAYaVdcBrgrfE&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Share&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:&quot;button-wrapper&quot;}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary button-wrapper" href="https://thechatterbyzerodha.substack.com/p/the-chatter-underneath-the-noise?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share&amp;token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjozMDExNzg5MTMsInBvc3RfaWQiOjE3MjY2NDQxNiwiaWF0IjoxNzU3NTk4NjQzLCJleHAiOjE3NjAxOTA2NDMsImlzcyI6InB1Yi00ODk4NzYwIiwic3ViIjoicG9zdC1yZWFjdGlvbiJ9.TFcDJv32XGvO0oFacHaCKP014RVVZ1pAYaVdcBrgrfE"><span>Share</span></a></p><p>Quotes in this newsletter were curated by Meher, Shahid, &amp; Srusti.</p><p>Disclaimer: We&#8217;ve used AI tools in filtering and cleaning up these quotes so there maybe some mistakes. Now, if you are thinking why we are using AI, please remember that we are just a small team of 5 people running everything you see on Zerodha Markets &#128556; So, all the good stuff is human and mistakes are AI.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Chatter: Asian Paints, NMDC, IndiGo, Glenmark & More]]></title><description><![CDATA[Q4FY26 | Edition #62]]></description><link>https://thechatter.zerodha.com/p/the-chatter-asian-paints-nmdc-indigo</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://thechatter.zerodha.com/p/the-chatter-asian-paints-nmdc-indigo</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Zerodha]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 05 Jun 2026 13:02:38 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ci09!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e348f3f-d139-4cfa-9444-a09da96eca11_2400x1350.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a 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srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ci09!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e348f3f-d139-4cfa-9444-a09da96eca11_2400x1350.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ci09!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e348f3f-d139-4cfa-9444-a09da96eca11_2400x1350.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ci09!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e348f3f-d139-4cfa-9444-a09da96eca11_2400x1350.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ci09!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e348f3f-d139-4cfa-9444-a09da96eca11_2400x1350.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Welcome to the <strong>62nd edition</strong> of The Chatter &#8212; a weekly newsletter where we dig through what India&#8217;s biggest companies are saying and bring you the most interesting bits of insight, whether about the business, its sector, or the wider economy. We read every major Indian earnings call and listen to the interviews so you don&#8217;t have to.</p><p>We&#8217;re always eager to improve&#8212;please share your ideas on how else we can innovate &#8220;The Chatter&#8221; format to better serve your needs.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2" target="_blank" href="https://www.tijoristack.ai/concall-monitor/?utm_source=zerodha&amp;utm_campaign=z_marketing" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png" width="1456" height="364" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:364,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:306481,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:&quot;https://www.tijoristack.ai/concall-monitor/?utm_source=zerodha&amp;utm_campaign=z_marketing&quot;,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://thechatter.zerodha.com/i/193793492?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Check out <a href="https://www.tijoristack.ai/concall-monitor/?utm_source=zerodha&amp;utm_campaign=z_marketing">Concall Monitor</a></figcaption></figure></div><p>In this edition, we have covered <strong>14 companies across 10 industries.</strong></p><div><hr></div><h1>Building Materials</h1><ul><li><p>Asian Paints</p></li></ul><h1>Metals</h1><ul><li><p>NMDC Limited</p></li></ul><h1>Aviation</h1><ul><li><p>Interglobe Aviation Limited</p></li><li><p>Dreamfolks Services Ltd</p></li></ul><h1>Healthcare</h1><ul><li><p>Glenmark Pharmaceuticals</p></li><li><p>Wockhardt</p></li></ul><h1>Retail</h1><ul><li><p>Bata India Ltd</p></li></ul><h1>Engineering &amp; Capital Goods</h1><ul><li><p>Cummins India</p></li><li><p>Siemens</p></li><li><p>Titagarh Rail Systems Limited</p></li></ul><h1>Software Services</h1><ul><li><p>Happiest Minds Technologies</p></li></ul><h1>FMCG</h1><ul><li><p>Tilaknagar Industries Limited</p></li></ul><h1>Media &amp; Entertainment</h1><ul><li><p>Signpost India Limited</p></li></ul><h1>Software Services</h1><ul><li><p>Meta Infotech Limited</p></li></ul><div><hr></div><h1>Building Materials</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/ASIANPAINT/">Asian Paints | Large Cap | Building Materials</a></h2><p>Asian Paints is a company that manufactures and distributes a wide range of paints for decorative and industrial use. They are present in various segments including Interior Wall Finishes, Exterior Wall Finishes, Enamels, and Wood Finishes. They also offer products related to home decor, bath fittings, kitchen, and wardrobe, along with providing services like waterproofing, wall coverings, and adhesives.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachLive/2a71cf39-800d-4765-8131-5d78e54925ce.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>One of the most important outlook comments from the call. Despite a tougher pricing environment and elevated competition, management remains confident of sustaining healthy volume growth.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We expect at least some part of this demand to sustain in the market. And we have been seeing some early shoots in the months of April and May.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;Going forward, we are still looking at least a high single-digit volume growth in terms of what we would kind of achieve.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;We are still confident that demand conditions should continue giving us closer to high single-digit volume growth in the band of about 8-10%.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amit Syngle, Managing Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management revealed that raw material inflation and currency depreciation have created much higher cost pressures than what has been passed on through pricing.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We feel that the impact is much higher, maybe closer to about 20% or so. We have passed on around 11%.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;We are looking at further price increases, which might happen in the market, as we go ahead.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;At the same time, we do not intend to look at passing out the entire impact so that we can maintain a balance between inflation in the market and what we can really absorb.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amit Syngle, Managing Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>This is perhaps the clearest commentary on the current competitive environment. Management indicated that discounting continues aggressively across the market.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Despite the inflationary environment that we are seeing and despite the price increases that we have taken, we have not seen any let-up in terms of the discounting in the market.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;The discounting intensity stays whether it is retailers, whether it is contractors, whether it is other stakeholders.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;When I mentioned competitive intensity, I meant about the whole area of discounting, which, according to us, will continue.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amit Syngle, Managing Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Asian Paints highlighted the strategic significance of its VAM-VAE project, which should strengthen innovation capabilities and reduce dependence on imports.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Today, worldwide, there are very limited players who are making VAM-VAE, and for us, it is a signature project.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;We expect to commission first phase in the first half of this year.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;The VAM-VAE project will bring to us very strong innovation capabilities in the market and really change the fabric of the market from the area of looking at green paints in a strong manner.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amit Syngle, Managing Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management sees infrastructure spending, manufacturing investments and government capex driving stronger growth in industrial coatings.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Industrial coatings will continue to grow much higher than decorative, given the investment happening in the infrastructure and Government spending that is happening in this area.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amit Syngle, Managing Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company highlighted strong traction from builders, factories and government-led infrastructure projects.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;This has been stellar in terms of how it has been able to do.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;This has now become a very strong growth vehicle, from the point of view of a builder segment, the factory segment and the government segment.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amit Syngle, Managing Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management indicated that demand recovery is broad-based but rural markets are currently growing faster.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We got good growth both in rural and urban centers across.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;Rural was a little bit ahead of urban growth of what we could really get in.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amit Syngle, Managing Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Premium and luxury categories continue to gain traction despite a challenging macro environment.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The premiumization strategy has been working very well.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;It improved the mix, and the PreLux categories have moved quite well improving the mix.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amit Syngle, Managing Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company remains cautious on raw materials and geopolitical developments heading into FY27.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have seen obviously very high volatile macro conditions in the market.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;The geopolitical situation is very dicey.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;We have already seen a very high inflation in the market and that is something which is to be watched out day in day out.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amit Syngle, Managing Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management is not expecting competition to ease despite industry-wide price hikes and inflationary pressures. In fact, it expects a more crowded market going forward.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The competitive intensity in the market is going to be strong, and we feel that it is something that will continue.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;We have the consolidated players now who have been trying to align and come out with a unified strategy. We also have newer competition in the market, and the existing players are also equally intense in the market.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;We feel that the competitive intensity will continue to grow in terms of how we see the year ahead.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amit Syngle, Managing Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Despite concerns around inflation and geopolitical uncertainty, management is seeing healthy secondary demand in the early part of FY27.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have been seeing some early shoots in the months of April and May.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;We expect at least some part of this demand to sustain in the market.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amit Syngle, Managing Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Asian Paints is increasingly targeting airports, ports, tunnels and large infrastructure assets.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have moved very strongly into parallel spaces where we looked at large builders, large factories, large hospitality areas and also the whole area of the government.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;Today every airport, every port, every tunnel which we are approaching and looking at participating in the growth story.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;We think this is a very high-growth segment.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amit Syngle, Managing Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Despite challenges in the home d&#233;cor segment, management remains committed to building a broader home-improvement platform.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have been struggling a little bit in this area over a period of time, and this is one strong zone which we are not leaving so easily.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;We are today the number one integrated home player.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amit Syngle, Managing Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Metals</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/NMDC/">NMDC Limited | Large Cap | Mining - Iron Ore</a></h2><p>NMDC Limited is India&#8217;s largest iron ore producer and a Navratna public sector enterprise under the Ministry of Steel. The company operates highly mechanized iron ore mines and is currently diversifying into coal production and critical minerals to reach a 100 million tonne capacity target.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijorifinance.com/insight/india/2889/Conference%20Call/CC-Jun26.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>The company is aggressively accelerating its spending to build the infrastructure needed for its massive capacity expansion. This surge in capital expenditure confirms management&#8217;s commitment to reaching their 100 million tonne goal.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The capex this year has been around INR3,300 crores, which is an all-time high capex because if you leave out the land acquisition this time, and we hope that this year we&#8217;ll be able to substantially increase our capex, almost double the capex now because all our expansion plans right now are on the ground.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amitava Mukherjee, Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The successful opening of the new Deposit 4 mine marks a critical milestone in adding fresh production capacity. Investors should watch for the July commencement as a catalyst for volume growth in the current fiscal year.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Deposit 4, as you know, we have already opened and we are now installing the infrastructure. We hope to have commercial mining commencing on July, that&#8217;s in Q2. And this year, I think the guidance would be around 1 million ton out of Deposit 4.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amitava Mukherjee, Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>NMDC is introducing a new strategy to sell &#8216;branded&#8217; iron ore with highly consistent specifications. This product differentiation could allow the company to charge premium prices and improve profit margins.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;NMDC would be the first company in 3 years&#8217; time will be selling branded iron ore and board has already sanctioned an investment proposal for INR3,000 crores approximately for making a blending yard at Vizag where we will be making this blended iron ore of a consistent quality which India has never seen.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amitava Mukherjee, Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Improvements in railway infrastructure are set to significantly boost the amount of ore NMDC can transport to its customers. Resolving these logistics bottlenecks is essential for the company to convert its increased production into actual sales.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Once it is done and now also you see we are doing on an average more than 20 rakes and on peak around 23, 24, 25, 26 rakes. The capacity of course will increase to around 40 million ton immediately once it is done from the present 28 to 30.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amitava Mukherjee, Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Management is actively looking to purchase mineral assets in foreign countries to diversify their portfolio. This move into global markets represents a new phase of growth and potential risk for the company&#8217;s capital allocation.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;But I think overall the capex on acquisition, the back of the envelope calculation is wherever we stand today as of today, we should be spending INR2,000 crores to INR3,000 crores on acquisition of assets abroad this year.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amitava Mukherjee, Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The company has started the new fiscal year with strong momentum, showing 15% growth in production during the first two months. This early outperformance gives investors confidence that the full-year target of 60 million tonnes is achievable.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;So we have already touched almost 10 million tons in the first two months as against 8. something, 8.2 or something last year. This month itself I think we&#8217;ve already declared to the stock exchange I guess, so I can say this today&#8217;s first, we have done 5.3 million ton against what we did 4.4-million-ton last year.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amitava Mukherjee, Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>NMDC&#8217;s ore possesses a unique chemical advantage that makes it essential for steelmakers, even those who own their own mines. This high product quality ensures that the company will face strong, consistent demand regardless of competition.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our phosphorus content is 0.05. No one else in India has that. So you will always need my ore as a blend even if you have full capacity.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amitava Mukherjee, Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Aviation</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/INDIGO/">Interglobe Aviation Limited | Large Cap | Airlines</a></h2><p>Interglobe Aviation operates IndiGo, India&#8217;s largest passenger airline with a dominant market share in the domestic aviation sector. The company is currently expanding its international footprint using a mix of low-cost and hybrid service models.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/6590-29-May-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>Large currency losses and one-time operational costs led to a net loss for the full year. Investors should note that without these non-cash and one-time items, the underlying business remained profitable.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The primary driver of the loss was the significant impact of foreign exchange movement where the rupee has depreciated by more than 11% against the US dollar in just 12 months, one of the steepest declines in many years. Additionally, we reported exceptional items in Q3 and Q4 on account of costs of the December disruption and the new labor contract.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Gaurav Negi, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>The number of planes grounded due to engine issues is finally expected to decrease by the end of the calendar year. This improvement will allow the airline to put more of its existing fleet back into service.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;On the AOG situation, our Pratt &amp; Whitney related groundings are currently in the 40s and are expected to trend downwards by the end of the year to the 30s. At this point, we do not have further guidance from the OEMs beyond this point.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Gaurav Negi, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management is using its cash reserves to buy aircraft outright and pay off debt through a specialized entity in GIFT City. Owning more aircraft instead of leasing them reduces long-term costs and strengthens the company&#8217;s balance sheet.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;During the year, we have announced a capital investment of $820 million in the GIFT City entity to be deployed primarily towards acquisition of aviation assets, and we have prepaid loans of 19 aircraft. With this, we now have 36 aircraft as unencumbered assets in our book, aggregating more than 95 billion rupees of book value.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Gaurav Negi, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>The airline is prioritizing the removal of expensive, temporary leased planes from its fleet to improve profit margins. Replacing these with more fuel-efficient, company-owned aircraft will help lower operating expenses.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our immediate attempt is to first phase out the damp leases because those tend to be more expensive both in terms of the cost, because there is an inherent markup, plus some of them are not the latest technology and consequently consume more fuel. That&#8217;s the first space that we are addressing.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Gaurav Negi, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management is successfully raising ticket prices to offset higher fuel and currency costs without seeing a drop in passenger numbers. This suggests that travel demand in India remains very strong despite higher costs for consumers.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;For the moment, as we take the fares up, the market appears inelastic to these hikes in fares. We will deal with this on a daily basis and see where we go.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Rahul Bhatia, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>IndiGo maintains a significant cash reserve to protect the business against the high volatility typical of the aviation industry. Any cash beyond this safety net is being redirected toward buying aircraft and engines.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;That said, I mentioned in my opening statement that it&#8217;s always prudent to keep at least 20-25% of your overall top line as a safety net. That&#8217;s been our stated strategy; we are sitting on around 20,000 crores to 25,000 crores of cash as a safety net.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Gaurav Negi, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is tripling its currency hedging target to protect itself from future fluctuations in the US dollar. This move aims to prevent the massive foreign exchange losses that impacted this year&#8217;s earnings.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We intend to hedge up to $3 billion. A large part is going to be $1 billion toward the short-term cash flow hedges for the 12-month period, and the remaining $2 billion will be spread over a 2 to 5-year period.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Gaurav Negi, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>International flights that were disrupted by geopolitical tensions are now mostly back in service. Full restoration of these routes by June will allow the company to capture high demand during the upcoming peak travel season.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Approximately two-thirds of those 160 flights are now operating and we intend to scale back to full capacity by the end of June, which rolls into a peak period for the Middle East in Q2. That is how things have shaped up.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Gaurav Negi, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>IndiGo is evolving from a pure low-cost carrier into a hybrid model that includes long-haul international flights. The incoming CEO&#8217;s experience with similar transitions at other global airlines will be critical for this shift.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Now, we are adding some mutation to it with the XLRs, and possibly the A350s in the future, and that will be a hybrid model. This is something Willie Walsh is well experienced with; he did that at Aer Lingus.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Rahul Bhatia, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/DREAMFOLKS/">Dreamfolks Services Ltd. | Small Cap | Travel Support Services</a></h2><p>Dreamfolks Services is India&#8217;s largest airport services aggregator platform, providing access to an global network of lounges, spas, and travel-related services. The company acts as a technology-led bridge between global card networks, banks, and service providers to manage travel and lifestyle benefits.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/47343-29-May-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>The credit card industry in India is shifting away from unlimited lounge access toward spending-based rewards and diverse lifestyle perks. Dreamfolks is adjusting its service catalog to match these new bank requirements for personalized customer benefits.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;This year witnessed significant structural changes across the credit card ecosystem in India. First, a broad transition from unlimited lounge access models to spend-based access frameworks. Second, a meaningful transformation in how banks are redesigning their customer value proposition, moving beyond cluttered domestic airport lounges to more personalized, lifestyle-oriented benefit programs.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Liberatha Kallat, Chairperson and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is evolving from a simple lounge aggregator into a comprehensive lifestyle and travel platform. By offering a wider variety of services like spa treatments and hotel upgrades, the company aims to become a more integrated partner for banks.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Today, we are not just enabling lounge access; we are powering end-to-end customer engagement for our partners through a diversified, technology-led ecosystem spanning travel, lifestyle, wellness, and curated experiences. A defining highlight of this transformation has been the significant expansion of our lifestyle services portfolio, such as spa at leading wellness centers, access to members-only social clubs, room upgrades at star hotels, airport transfers, beauty at star hotels, and coffee at top brands in malls.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Liberatha Kallat, Chairperson and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The acquisition of 10-11 Hospitality allows Dreamfolks to own and operate its own railway lounges directly. This move is expected to improve profit margins and provide better control over the customer experience in the railway sector.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;First, we acquired 10-11 Hospitality in November 2025. This acquisition provides direct ownership and operational control over premium railway lounge infrastructure, enhancing service quality, improving unit economics, and reducing reliance on third-party operators.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Liberatha Kallat, Chairperson and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The company&#8217;s international expansion is showing significant momentum with triple-digit volume growth in global lounge usage. Reaching over 1,000 global touchpoints suggests the company is successfully scaling outside its core Indian market.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Transaction volumes from our global lounge program have exhibited a strong growth of 140% year-on-year, validating the strength of our international strategy and the quality of our platform. Moreover, our global lounge network now covers over 1,000 airport touchpoints.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Liberatha Kallat, Chairperson and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Dreamfolks is launching a direct-to-consumer membership program to diversify its revenue beyond business partners. This new platform targets travelers directly with a broad suite of lifestyle benefits beyond just airport services.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;An important chapter of the year has been our entry into the D2C segment through Dreamfolks Club 2.0, our enhanced membership platform. This offering has evolved from an airport-centric proposition into a comprehensive travel and lifestyle membership encompassing global lounges, access to members-only clubs, golf, wellness, dining, and other curated experiences.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Liberatha Kallat, Chairperson and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Management is focusing on increasing business with current clients rather than just searching for new ones. By selling more services to existing partners, the company hopes to grow revenue more efficiently without high acquisition costs.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;One of our key priorities this year has been to deepen engagement with our existing banking and card network partners rather than simply pursuing new client acquisition. We believe that the strength of our existing relationships represents a significant untapped potential.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Liberatha Kallat, Chairperson and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Profitability is currently under pressure as the company transitions away from its heavy reliance on the domestic Indian lounge market. Management remains optimistic that new services and global expansion will eventually lead to higher growth than before.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;While near-term profitability has been affected by the structural transition in our domestic business, which used to contribute more than 90%, we believe with the rapid adoption of new-age lifestyle services and deeper integration in the global and railway lounge business segment, we should be able to grow bigger than ever. Despite these headwinds, our balance sheet remains strong and resilient.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Liberatha Kallat, Chairperson and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is making progress in securing international clients in key markets like the Middle East and Southeast Asia. Management expects to announce new contract wins soon, supporting their rapid global volume growth.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;To answer your question, I may not be able to specifically tell you who the clients are, but we do have many clients; otherwise, this 140% growth would not have come. The Middle East and Southeast Asia definitely remain our focus. You will soon hear from us when we sign the contracts as to what kind of clients we have added in this entire year.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Liberatha Kallat, Chairperson and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>High receivable balances at the end of the year were a point of concern for investors. Management clarified that they have successfully collected a significant portion of these debts after the quarter ended, improving cash flow.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;On December 31, there were some dues receivable from debtors. However, post March 31, we have done significant collection and that number has reduced to a large extent.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Shekhar Sood, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Dreamfolks maintains an aggressive revenue target for its railway business over the next five years. To reach this goal, they plan to expand to at least 50 lounges as Indian railway stations undergo modernization.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Yes, our plan of 500 crores in 5 years remains clear and intact, and we are growing significantly in railways. We should have not less than 50 lounges to really bring that scale and multiplying factor. We currently have 100% lounge cover as far as railway lounges are concerned in India.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Liberatha Kallat, Chairperson and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The current fiscal year is viewed as a period of adjustment as the domestic industry changes and global networks are built. Investors should expect a return to break-even profitability in about a year as these new investments mature.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;FY27 is a transition time for us. We are working through a complete industry change in the India market. Globally, we are still onboarding more lounges to create a tier-one network. Yes, it is a transition moment in FY27, but we should start seeing the break-even maybe a year later.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sandeep Sonawane, Chief Business Officer</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Healthcare</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/GLENMARK/">Glenmark Pharmaceuticals | Mid Cap | Pharmaceuticals </a></h2><p>Glenmark Pharmaceuticals is a research-led global pharmaceutical company with a growing focus on branded and speciality therapies. Following the landmark AbbVie licensing deal, management is accelerating its transition toward innovation-led growth, targeting a larger branded portfolio, expanding global brands like Ryaltris, and maintaining healthy margins across key markets.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sWkxUAXaooI">Reference</a>]</p><p>The Glenmark 3.0 plan explicitly targets a higher percentage of branded revenue to reduce reliance on commodity generics. This transition is intended to improve the long-term predictability and quality of the company&#8217;s earnings profile.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The branded business is central to Glenmark 3.0 strategy. Today branded portfolio is 60% of our revenue and we are well in place to take it, in the next four years, to 70%.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Anurag Mantri, Executive Director &amp; Global CFO, Glenmark Pharmaceuticals</em></p></blockquote><p>The licensing deal with AbbVie represents a major external validation of the company&#8217;s internal drug discovery efforts. This shift toward high-value innovation could lead to higher valuation multiples and more licensing income in the future.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The defining moment for Glenmark was that AbbVie out-licensing deal on ISB 2001. That transaction validated our innovation platform. We are moving forward on a validated innovation platform.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Anurag Mantri, Executive Director &amp; Global CFO, Glenmark Pharmaceuticals</em></p></blockquote><p>Ryaltris is the centrepiece of the company&#8217;s global respiratory franchise and a key driver of high-margin branded sales. Scaling this single product to $200 million would provide a substantial and predictable revenue stream for years to come.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Ryaltris continues to be a strong brand for us across the markets. More than 50 countries we have launched and that will continue to be a, if you see, $200 million we are targeting plus.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Anurag Mantri, Executive Director &amp; Global CFO, Glenmark Pharmaceuticals</em></p></blockquote><p>Setting a margin target above 21% indicates management&#8217;s confidence in operational efficiency and a better product mix. This guidance provides a clear set of KPIs for investors to monitor as the company executes its growth strategy.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;From here we will get to &#8377;17,000 to &#8377;18,000 crore of revenues in FY27 and the margin guidance is around 21% to 22%.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Anurag Mantri, Executive Director &amp; Global CFO, Glenmark Pharmaceuticals</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/WOCKPHARMA/">Wockhardt | Small Cap | Pharmaceuticals</a></h2><p>Wockhardt is a research-driven pharmaceutical company focused on innovative therapies, vaccines, and biotechnology products. Following regulatory approvals for its novel antibiotic Zenic, management is preparing for a major transformation from a traditional pharma business into a global innovation-led organization with ambitions far beyond a single product launch.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E9-BOJBle2Y">Reference</a>]</p><p>Management is projecting a massive revenue target for Zaynich that is several times larger than the company&#8217;s current total sales. If achieved, this would fundamentally change the company&#8217;s valuation and scale.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I know my peak is 1.5 to 2 billion for the life of the product.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Dr. Habil Khorakiwala, Founder &amp; Chairman, Wockhardt Limited</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is moving away from being a standard manufacturer of cheap medicines to a high-value research firm. Investors need to evaluate the company based on its intellectual property rather than just its manufacturing capacity.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are fundamentally getting into a transformation or metamorphosis inside. It will be a very different organization 5 years from today.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Dr. Habil Khorakiwala, Founder &amp; Chairman, Wockhardt Limited</em></p></blockquote><p>Because many large drug companies have stopped making new antibiotics, Wockhardt faces very little competition in this specific medical field. This lack of competition gives the company a unique advantage in a critical area of healthcare.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Similarly, if large pharmaceutical companies worldwide don&#8217;t have the research molecule of their own, where is their business? So there is a white space we see worldwide.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Dr. Habil Khorakiwala, Founder &amp; Chairman, Wockhardt Limited</em></p></blockquote><p>The high profit margins of new patented drugs are expected to outweigh the costs of hiring more people and doing more research. This suggests that the company&#8217;s overall profitability will grow even as it spends more money on growth.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;It will improve despite the investments, despite the change, etc. From wherever it is, at least 10% higher, three years and four years.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Dr. Habil Khorakiwala, Founder &amp; Chairman, Wockhardt Limited</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Retail</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/BATAINDIA/">Bata India Ltd. | Mid Cap | Footwear</a></h2><p>Bata India is a leading footwear retailer with a vast distribution network spanning company-owned stores, franchises, and multi-brand outlets. The company is currently focused on premiumization, inventory optimization through data-driven merchandising, and expanding its digital presence.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/32-03-Jun-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>Management is scaling a data-driven inventory management system to cover the majority of their stores by the end of the quarter. This initiative is already delivering better sales performance compared to stores not yet using the system.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our plan is to take it [Zero-Based Merchandising] to almost 75-80% of the network by this quarter-end. It did show delta growth, which is the measure we use, and was mid-single digits better than the rest of the network.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Gunjan Shah, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Bata is using its physical stores as hubs to ship online orders, which helps sell through existing inventory more efficiently. While this improves turnover, it requires the company to speed up its supply chain to keep store shelves stocked.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Within the last 4 months since December, we have had 700-plus stores fulfilling online orders, thereby leveraging the same inventory for a better sales turnover. What that does is put pressure on ensuring we can replenish stores much faster.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Gunjan Shah, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Bata has significantly cut down its inventory levels over the last two years to improve efficiency. Surprisingly, they have managed to keep more popular sizes and styles in stock even while holding less total inventory.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Inventory continues to reduce. It is now 28% down over 2 years consecutively year-on-year and 13% down over last year. This is despite the fact that availability has gone up by almost 1,000 basis points.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Gunjan Shah, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is shutting down older manufacturing units to lower its long-term operating costs. This strategy has already resulted in a 10% reduction in employee expenses this quarter, which should provide a permanent boost to margins.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Historically, we have been trying to improve the structural cost by closing plant operations. From a quarterly perspective, our employee cost is lower by about 10%, and this benefit is flowing to the employee cost line item on a structural basis.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amit Agarwal, Director of Finance and CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company plans a massive expansion of its franchise network, aiming to add nearly 300 new stores in the coming year. This asset-light model allows the brand to grow faster without spending as much of its own capital.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are expanding through the franchise route, which has now crossed 700 stores. Our goal in the next 12 months is to get very close to 1,000 stores. We are also expanding through SIS [shop-in-shop].&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Gunjan Shah, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Bata is developing a new strategy to attract younger shoppers by focusing heavily on trendy sneakers. This project is a key priority to ensure the brand remains relevant as consumer tastes shift toward casual footwear.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The single largest piece specifically regarding younger consumers is our proposition from a sneakers perspective. That work is currently in progress. We are working on how to bring that to life for consumers and the kind of product portfolio we need, as there is a big overlap between younger consumers and the sneaker world.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Gunjan Shah, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Engineering &amp; Capital Goods</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/CUMMINSIND/">Cummins India | Large Cap | Engineering &amp; Capital Goods</a></h2><p>Cummins India operates through four business units: Engine, Power Systems, Components, and Distribution. It manufactures, trades, and sells engines for commercial vehicles and industrial equipment, ranging from 60 HP. The company also provides generator sets and related technologies for various on-highway and off-highway applications.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachLive/5fc0ce89-0765-417a-b55b-fdf1efa7d419.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>This was one of the most important disclosures on the call. Cummins highlighted that data centers have become a major contributor to its domestic power generation business, reflecting the rapid build-out of digital infrastructure in India.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The data center business contribution, so for the full year, the data center business would have contributed between 30% to 35% of our overall power generation domestic revenue, and for the quarter, approximately 35%.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Shveta Arya, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Management indicated that demand visibility has improved significantly over the last six months, particularly from colocation players.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Inquiry pipeline right now after October last year has picked up in industry. Both Hyperscalers, more than that, Colo players. So the inquiry velocity definitely increased quite a lot since October last year, and we continue to see that.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Shveta Arya, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>While Cummins guided for moderate growth, management clarified that the caution is driven more by macro uncertainties and supply constraints than by weak demand.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;From a domestic demand perspective, for now, we still see robust demand. We are watching what&#8217;s happening largely to the economy and everybody else in the country. Commodity prices are increasing, inflation is likely to hit.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;That is why that brings us a little bit of caution despite the fact that our demand, inquiries and order book are robust today.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Shveta Arya, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Management highlighted labour shortages, commodity inflation and geopolitical disruptions as key operational challenges.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have been taking quite a few supply constraints and not just us, the industry has been facing quite a few supply constraints.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;We are all facing labor shortage issues at our supplier and commodity pricing has hit our suppliers, fuel cost increments have hit on suppliers.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Shveta Arya, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>After a weak period in mining and mixed performance in industrial segments, management is seeing a recovery in key sectors.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Railway has performed very well and we continue to see robust demand on the railway side. That is the segment where we have a good order book and it continues to be so.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;In the last 6 months, mining has picked up, and so our order book has started building up.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Shveta Arya, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Management pushed back against concerns that increasing competition in imported large-engine categories could pressure margins.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;It is not just about the cost and the pricing of these engines and gensets.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;It is the whole value proposition that we provide to the customers.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;We continue to see our customers valuing that.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Shveta Arya, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Cummins Inc. is investing heavily in global data-center engine capacity, which should support future demand.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Your first hypothesis that this will crunch in both timelines for us is correct because we are adding capacity as our parent has mentioned, and this largely goes towards engines that go into data center market.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Shveta Arya, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Management confirmed that demand is currently outpacing industry capacity additions.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The lead times have increased because we need to appreciate that the data center demand through the world at this point in time is very high.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;So, the lead times have in the last few years increased.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Shveta Arya, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The company believes existing investments and productivity improvements can support growth.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;For now, no major capital expenditure plan.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;The continuous capital that we have been investing in the last 5 years, we will continue to invest that.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Shveta Arya, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>While current revenue contribution is small, management sees BESS becoming part of future backup power solutions.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Over the longer-term period, we do remain very positive on the outlook of battery energy storage systems.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;We see it becoming part of the overall backup power solution for our customers.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Shveta Arya, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Management sees substantial upside if India&#8217;s data-center buildout accelerates to levels seen in global markets.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The pockets of opportunity for us will be if India data center market starts growing at the pace at which US and China.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;That would present to us a very, very good opportunity, which is not happening yet today.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Shveta Arya, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Cummins India is committed to evaluating localization opportunities for larger engine sizes (like 95-liter) as the data center market evolves to maintain its margins and support growth.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The way we look at it, you&#8217;re right, yes, the 95 - liter is imported. So the India market is still largely on the 60 liter. And as the market moves, we always evaluate what is that we can do more in India. So going forward, the way we look at it and our outlook is that we continuously evaluate what more can we do in India. We like to keep our margins intact for growth.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Shveta Arya, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Beyond data centers, Cummins is seeing healthy demand from several end-markets that require reliable backup power.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have been seeing demand from manufacturing, specifically a lot of solar cell manufacturing plants being set up, pharma.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;Quick commerce, their dark stores are being set by quick commerce players. We&#8217;ve been seeing demand there.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Shveta Arya, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Management believes its current product portfolio is sufficient to address expected demand over the next few years.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;From Colo players, we do not have a product gap.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;For the next 3 years, we see the demand for that note from Colo players.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Shveta Arya, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>While Cummins attempts to pass through cost increases, management acknowledged that inflation remains a challenge across the supply chain.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Yes, we have been seeing commodities increase.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;There is always a challenge because we would have generated orders prior to the period of commodity increase.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;With a little bit of lag and a little bit of challenge, we pass it on to the market.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Shveta Arya, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Unlike the COVID period, current constraints are primarily due to global demand outstripping manufacturing capacity.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;At this point in time, the supply chain impact on the imported nodes is largely because demand on these nodes is coming from all across the world.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;The demand is moving far higher than the pace of addition of capacity.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Shveta Arya, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>While optimistic on the market opportunity, Cummins acknowledged that local sourcing capabilities are not yet established.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;For this product, we do not have a local supply chain yet.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;We are working towards that, but we do not have a local product yet.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Shveta Arya, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/SIEMENS/">Siemens | Large Cap | Engineering &amp; Capital Goods</a></h2><p>Siemens is a global technology company specializing in industry, infrastructure, digital transformation, transportation, and electrical power generation. It aims to enhance efficiency, quality, flexibility, and speed through its diverse portfolio and market-oriented structure. With global technology leadership and local expertise, Siemens is well-positioned to support sustainable growth.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachLive/f8a31e42-7fdf-46ab-8ac9-a4540a097f8b.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>Management highlighted that the investment cycle is no longer limited to emerging sectors like semiconductors and batteries. Traditional industries are also showing strong capex momentum.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We do see a growth in cement, steel, pharmaceuticals, etc., also happening during the last couple of months.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;I would not say we are yet at the peak on the private sector CapEx, but we definitely see a real pickup in the last couple of months.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sunil Mathur, Managing Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management repeatedly identified data centres as one of the strongest growth opportunities across its portfolio.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;It is one of the fastest-growing portfolio elements for us.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;This is one of the fastest growing businesses as well.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;We do believe this is an opportunity or a sector that will grow much faster than it has been growing in the past.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sunil Mathur, Managing Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>One of the most useful disclosures on the call, providing a sense of the growing contribution of the data-centre vertical.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I think it&#8217;s in the range of around 12 to 15.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sunil Mathur, Managing Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Siemens believes industry projections may still underestimate the eventual scale of the opportunity.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The official number right now is 1.5 going up to 9.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;I believe this will probably go to 18-20.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;In the next couple of years, we see a very strong push for data centres here in the country.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sunil Mathur, Managing Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Despite concerns around inflation, commodity prices and geopolitical tensions, management remains constructive on demand.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We do not see a slowdown in private CapEx yet.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;We do not see a slowdown in public CapEx yet.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;From the demand perspective, we do not see a slowdown. Quite to the contrary, we see a pickup.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sunil Mathur, Managing Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>While the direct impact on Siemens may be limited, management expects customers to benefit significantly from increased trade.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We believe for our customers and therefore indirectly for us, there will be a huge impact coming out of that.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;0.5 to 1 percent impact on GDP over the next couple of years.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sunil Mathur, Managing Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management highlighted a recent semiconductor order as evidence of Siemens&#8217; ability to provide end-to-end factory solutions.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We also were able to receive an order from a leading semiconductor player for their OSAT facility in Gujarat.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;This is where we combine really the power of Siemens together.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;To provide a comprehensive solution that starts with software design, design of the product, design of the factory, design of the processes.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sunil Mathur, Managing Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Electrification remains one of the strongest growth themes in the company&#8217;s Smart Infrastructure portfolio.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;A lot of ordering happening in the entire electrification space.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;This is a growth, very clearly a large growth area.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;That is growing extremely well.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sunil Mathur, Managing Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Siemens is seeing broad-based capex activity across multiple manufacturing industries.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Chemicals are doing well.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;Pharma is growing well.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;Food and beverages is growing well also.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sunil Mathur, Managing Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management highlighted improving demand trends within the automotive sector.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Automotive is beginning to pick up.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;Two-wheelers are doing much better than four-wheelers.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;The four-wheelers are also picking up as well.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sunil Mathur, Managing Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>While most verticals remain strong, management flagged some softness in steel-related investments.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Some slowdown in metals, in other words, in steel, a little bit.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;We are not sure whether this is short term or whether this is more systemic.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sunil Mathur, Managing Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management explained why Digital Industries remains heavily import-dependent despite currency volatility.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;PLCs, you need a minimum volume, which runs into millions, to make a factory actually viable.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;Right now, as we speak, we do not see substantial opportunities for localization in the DI space here in the country.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sunil Mathur, Managing Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>While management remains positive on demand, it repeatedly flagged inflation as the key variable to watch over the next few quarters.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;What impact the strong depreciation of the Rupee will have, the high increases in commodities will have on inflation and consequently on interest rates and consequently on ordering, we are not yet able to foretell.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;This is something over the next 3 to 6 months we will be watching very, very carefully.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sunil Mathur, Managing Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>This is one of the strongest localization achievements disclosed by management and demonstrates execution capabilities in railways.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have been able to deliver, as we mentioned, over 90% localization in about 2 years.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;We are very satisfied with the progress over here.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sunil Mathur, Managing Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management proactively built inventory to avoid disruptions and protect customers from supply-chain shocks.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We increased our inventory levels also based on the West Asia crisis.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;To safeguard our customers and also be able to continue with manufacturing and supply to our customers.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Wolfgang Wrumnig, Executive Director &amp; CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>Investors were concerned that imported content was driving the margin decline. Management clarified that commodities are the larger issue.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The real impact in smart infra is not out of foreign exchange.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;It is primarily out of commodities, which is copper and silver and aluminium.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sunil Mathur, Managing Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management provided a rare quantitative assessment of current capex momentum.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I would say 8 to 10 on an average percentage growth.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;I am talking CapEx in the segments that I spoke about.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sunil Mathur, Managing Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/TITAGARH/">Titagarh Rail Systems Limited | Mid Cap | Railways</a></h2><p>Titagarh Rail Systems is a leading Indian provider of railway freight wagons, passenger coaches, and metro trains. The company specializes in integrated rail transit solutions, including the manufacturing of propulsion systems and specialized components for domestic and international markets.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijorifinance.com/insight/india/4936/Conference%20Call/CC-Jun26.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>Titagarh is pivotally shifting its business mix to focus more on high-value passenger rail and metro contracts. This transition is expected to improve the company&#8217;s overall margin profile and create a more diversified revenue stream.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In the next three years, we expect the revenue contribution from the passenger rail segment to equal or exceed that of our freight segment. This shift is intentional as passenger contracts typically offer higher visibility and better margins. Our recent investments in the Bangalore and Kolkata metro projects are proof of this transition.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Anil Kumar Agarwal, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management is repositioning the company from a basic manufacturer to an advanced technology player. This focus on engineering and R&amp;D is intended to qualify the company for lucrative high-speed rail and advanced transit projects.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Titagarh is no longer just a metal fabrication company; we are becoming a technology-led engineering firm. The focus is on R&amp;D and digital manufacturing to meet the evolving standards of the railway industry. This evolution is critical for our participation in high-speed rail projects in the future.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Umesh Chowdhary, Vice Chairman &amp; Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is funding its major expansion projects using its own cash reserves rather than taking on new debt. Maintaining a net debt-free status while expanding capacity reduces financial risk and enhances shareholder value.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our balance sheet remains very lean, and we are net debt-free at the standalone level. The capital expenditure for the wheel plant and metro expansion is being funded largely through internal accruals. We intend to maintain this financial discipline even as we scale up our passenger rail capacity.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Anil Kumar Agarwal, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>By making its own train motors and wheels, the company is protecting itself from international supply delays and costs. This move toward self-sufficiency is a direct driver of better profit margins in their passenger train division.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The backward integration into propulsion systems and wheels is a key differentiator for us now. By manufacturing these critical components in-house or through JVs, we are insulating ourselves from global supply chain shocks. This strategy is also helping us improve our overall EBITDA margins in the passenger segment.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Umesh Chowdhary, Vice Chairman &amp; Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is actively bidding for projects in Africa and Southeast Asia to reduce its dependence on the Indian government. International expansion provides a safeguard against potential slowdowns in the domestic railway budget.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;On the export front, we are seeing traction in the African and Southeast Asian markets for our specialized wagons. While Indian Railways remains our primary customer, diversifying our geographical footprint is essential for long-term risk management. We have already submitted bids for two international metro projects.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Umesh Chowdhary, Vice Chairman &amp; Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Software Services</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/HAPPSTMNDS/">Happiest Minds Technologies | Small Cap | Software Services</a></h2><p>Happiest Minds Technologies focuses on providing a holistic digital experience to customers through services like digital business, product engineering, and security. With an end-to-end digital solution approach, the company offers transformative solutions, customer-centric strategies, and innovative services in areas like RPA, SDN, IoT, and cloud, enabling clients to enhance interactions and efficiency.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachHis/846824c2-f591-48cc-ac0b-103a7fb502f9.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>This was the most important forward-looking statement on the call. Despite a mixed macro environment, Happiest Minds is maintaining one of the stronger growth outlooks in the industry, supported by pipeline growth and AI-led demand.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Importantly, during Q4, we saw a record pipeline growth of 27%, which gives us increasing confidence in our FY27 outlook.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;Based on this momentum, the Board has reconfirmed FY27 growth guidance of 12.5%, while we continue to remain aspirational about a 15% growth trajectory.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Joseph Anantharaju, Co-Chairman &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management is significantly scaling AI capabilities to meet rising enterprise demand.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are in the progress of building a dedicated 1,000 AI and generative AI focused team by end of FY27 to support growing customers&#8217; demand to build generative AI solutions.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sridhar Mantha, CEO &#8211; Generative AI Business Services (GBS)</em></p></blockquote><p>Management believes the market has entered a new phase where customers are demanding measurable outcomes rather than pilots.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Enterprises have moved decisively from AI experimentation towards scale deployment.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;The challenge today is not access to the AI models or the quality of the AI models, but integrating AI securely into the enterprise workflows and driving measurable operational outcomes.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sridhar Mantha, CEO &#8211; Generative AI Business Services (GBS)</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is productizing its AI experience into a reusable enterprise platform.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We recently announced the launch of our enterprise AI platform.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;The platform is designed to help enterprises accelerate AI adoption in a secure, scalable and enterprise-ready manner while reducing execution complexity and implementation risk.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Joseph Anantharaju, Co-Chairman &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management emphasized that AI is not only a customer offering but also transforming internal delivery models.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The reason for us to actually go heavily on the AI first as a strategy is not what we build for the customers, but also how we build for the customers.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;Fundamentally, it is changing every service offering that we are having.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sridhar Mantha, CEO &#8211; Generative AI Business Services (GBS)</em></p></blockquote><p>Management highlighted meaningful AI deployment experience rather than experimentation.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Today, we have 50 use cases identified and already implemented.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sridhar Mantha, CEO &#8211; Generative AI Business Services (GBS)</em></p></blockquote><p>The company highlighted the stability of its revenue base.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our repeat business is 92%.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;That varies between 92% to 94% depending on the quarter.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Joseph Anantharaju, Co-Chairman &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management highlighted organizational differentiation in AI investments versus peers.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;If you really look at it, Kuber, I think Happiest Minds is the only company that has a separate business unit for generative AI.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;What that allows us to do is to just focus on the space.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Joseph Anantharaju, Co-Chairman &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management suggested that AI is no longer a future opportunity but a present revenue opportunity.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;As we speak from an AI and generative AI perspective -- GBS, we do have money sitting on the table.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;We don&#8217;t look at this as really being headwinds.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Joseph Anantharaju, Co-Chairman &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Internal AI adoption has progressed meaningfully and is beginning to influence delivery models.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Relay Build, which is on the AI product side, at this point, we already have 40% adoption within our internal projects and the customer projects and everywhere.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sridhar Mantha, CEO &#8211; Generative AI Business Services (GBS)</em></p></blockquote><p>Management described a shift from building applications to building the infrastructure layer that enables future AI agents.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are actually creating MCP servers wrapping their 900 APIs so that new Agentic AI solutions can be developed.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;This is an example where creating the necessary Agentic infrastructure for the new Agentic solutions to be further developed.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sridhar Mantha, CEO &#8211; Generative AI Business Services (GBS)</em></p></blockquote><p>Management shared a real-world example of productivity gains from AI-led software development.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Traditional software development methods require 6 months to build such an application.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;We won this project because we are able to actually complete the project in 3 months and deliver to the customer.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sridhar Mantha, CEO &#8211; Generative AI Business Services (GBS)</em></p></blockquote><p>An interesting sector-specific observation that could become a future growth driver.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are additionally seeing signs of revival in the education sector, driven by GenAI adoption.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;We are capitalizing on with our Eduweave platform repeatable solutions.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Joseph Anantharaju, Co-Chairman &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Highlights Happiest Minds&#8217; efforts to position itself within the evolving GenAI ecosystem.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;When they started a formal partnership program, we became one of the early partners for them.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;So we closed a partnership with Anthropic in the last quarter.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sridhar Mantha, CEO &#8211; Generative AI Business Services (GBS)</em></p></blockquote><p>An interesting strategic decision that contrasts with many peers who launched AI platforms immediately after ChatGPT&#8217;s emergence.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We didn&#8217;t want to build a broader enterprise AI platform 2 years back because everything is in total flux.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;What we did is we wanted to wait so that we gain sufficient experience.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;All the knowledge and experience that we gained is what prompted us to start thinking about as well as start developing and creating the enterprise AI platform.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sridhar Mantha, CEO &#8211; Generative AI Business Services (GBS)</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>FMCG</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/TI/">Tilaknagar Industries Limited | Small Cap | Beverages - Alco</a></h2><p>Tilaknagar Industries is a leading Indian manufacturer of alcoholic beverages, primarily focused on the prestige and premium brandy segments. The company owns the iconic Mansion House brand and recently expanded its portfolio through the acquisition of the Imperial Blue whisky business.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/929-30-May-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>The company has reached a major scale milestone following the successful integration of its newly acquired whisky brand. This growth demonstrates strong market demand for their flagship products and newly added assets.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;One, we achieved a volume of almost 20 million cases in FY26 with only 4 months of Imperial Blue business under our ownership. Second, Mansion House Brandy crossed the volume benchmark of 10 million cases in FY26, cementing its position as India&#8217;s largest P&amp;A brandy.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amit Dahanukar, Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Management is changing how they report financial results to better match industry standards. While this makes top-line revenue look smaller, it will artificially increase reported profit margins without changing the actual money earned.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Before the acquisition of the Imperial Blue business, we used to present the selling expenses such as discounts, schemes, and similar incentives to customers and distributors under the head of other expenses. However, from Q4 FY26 and going forward, we will show this as a reduction from the gross revenue itself. This change will have a negative impact on reported revenue and gross margins, but will have a positive impact on EBITDA margins and PAT margins.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amit Dahanukar, Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>A massive increase in internal production capacity at the Prag Distillery will reduce reliance on third-party suppliers. This move is expected to save the company 10 crore rupees every year in bottling costs alone.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The capacity has now increased from 6 lakh cases per annum to 36 lakh cases per annum. This expansion is a testament to Tilaknagar&#8217;s push towards safeguarding supplies and demonstrating execution capabilities towards long-term capacity planning. On the back of this expansion, Tilaknagar Industries expects savings in bottling cost to the tune of 10 crores per annum.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amit Dahanukar, Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is successfully moving the management of the Imperial Blue brand from a third-party service back into its own control. This transition is ahead of schedule and will allow for better operational control and higher profits.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;75% of the IB business has exited TSMA by the end of Q4 FY26. For the states where we have exited TSMA in Q4 FY26, we have already started full-fledged operations at Tilaknagar Industries units. Now, only three states remain under TSMA, and we expect to transition them over the course of the next few quarters with an outer date of March 2027.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ameya Deshpande, Strategy Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management clarified that potential trade deals lowering import taxes will benefit consumers through lower prices but won&#8217;t directly boost the company&#8217;s profit margins. This means future earnings growth must come from sales volume or internal efficiency rather than tax breaks.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Any reduction in custom duty, keeping aside price action that we ourselves may or may not take, will have no impact on the margins as such. That will have a direct impact on the MRP but not on our revenues or our cost structures. From that perspective, custom duty change on account of the potential UK FTA does not have any impact on our margins.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ameya Deshpande, Strategy Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management is focusing on lowering production costs by optimizing how and where products are bottled. This specific operational change is a key pillar of their strategy to increase the profit earned on every case sold.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;There will be multiple optimization initiatives we are running on the supply chain side as well, especially regarding bottling. Remember that Imperial Blue was a Pernod brand, and Pernod had bottling units which were often dedicated to their own volume where all kinds of brands used to get done. You will see benefits coming out of bottling charges.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ameya Deshpande, Strategy Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Raw material inflation is currently putting pressure on profitability in the short term. While the full-year outlook remains positive, investors should expect slightly weaker margins in the first quarter results.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In Q1, it would be incorrect of me to say that we will expand on these margins. You may see some level of short-term impact, but from a full-year perspective and going forward, you should go with the guidance provided.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ameya Deshpande, Strategy Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Recent government policy changes have lowered the retail price of the company&#8217;s main brands in Karnataka. Based on historical trends, this price drop is expected to trigger a significant increase in sales volumes.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;With the reduction in MRP, we expect a further uptick in volumes going forward. Just to give a reference point, the last time a price reduction took place in Karnataka for our portfolio&#8212;from 257 to 235 rupees per nip, which was around 22 rupees&#8212;we saw significant growth beyond just high teens in that state.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ameya Deshpande, Strategy Officer</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Media &amp; Entertainment</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/SIGNPOST/">Signpost India Limited | Small Cap | Advertising</a></h2><p>Signpost India is a leading digital out-of-home and transit media enterprise that manages large-scale advertising assets across Indian metro networks, airports, and bus shelters. The company focuses on technology-integrated media solutions and long-term public infrastructure contracts to drive recurring revenue.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/57894-03-Jun-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>The company intentionally selects projects with long durations to ensure high revenue visibility and stability. Focusing on transit and digital assets aligns the business with secular growth in urban infrastructure.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;When we pitch for projects, our cautious call is to take up responsibility for projects that have a longevity of 7+ years. When we see an opportunity, it is mostly in a transit medium or a data-led medium centered around digital.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Shripad Ashtekar, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The firm has achieved a rapid national expansion, scaling its geographic presence eightfold since its public listing. This massive increase in inventory square footage provides the capacity for significant future revenue growth.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our footprint has grown from 4 cities at the time of our 2024 listing to 32 cities. We added approximately 866,000 square feet this year across metro, transit, and digital assets, including a significant expansion of the Bangalore Metro network.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Shripad Ashtekar, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The Indian advertising industry is undergoing a structural shift toward digital out-of-home media. Signpost&#8217;s heavy investment in digital screens positions it to benefit from this segment&#8217;s projected market share gains.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Digital revenue rose from 700 crores in 2024 to 1,220 crores in 2025, now accounting for 18% of total OOH revenue&#8212;a share expected to reach 25% by 2028. The installed base of digital screens crossed 223,000 in 2025, a 21% growth in a single year.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Syed Haseeb Arfat, Chief Business Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>To address high receivables, the company is moving toward billing for partial campaign completions rather than waiting for total project sign-offs. This transition is expected to significantly reduce the cash flow cycle by the third quarter.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have pushed for milestone-based billing. Whatever compliance we get from a specific region or city, those funds will be clocked into the account immediately rather than waiting for a full check. This is a measured approach.&#8221;</em></p></blockquote><p>New infrastructure projects typically face a half-year lag before achieving optimal advertiser utilization. The strong early performance in Bangalore Metro suggests that these large-scale investments are gaining traction faster than anticipated.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Any new asset in a new geography requires a maturity period of 4-6 months. The growth from the numbers you mentioned will start resulting in better yields than what we have seen. For example, in the Bangalore Metro, where we have 67 stations, we are seeing growth of 18-25%, which is higher than expected.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Shripad Ashtekar, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Signpost&#8217;s national scale serves as a barrier to entry for smaller, localized competitors who cannot handle multi-city campaigns. This capability allows the company to act as a consultant to major brands, commanding higher loyalty and better pricing.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our differentiation lies in direct relationships with brands through solution-based and advisory-led discussions rather than commodity delivery. It is hard for a local agency to serve a client who wants to deliver across 10-500 cities at once.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Shripad Ashtekar, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Software Services</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/BSE/METAINFO/">Meta Infotech Limited | Small Cap | Cybersecurity</a></h2><p>Meta Infotech is a leading provider of enterprise cybersecurity solutions, specializing in cloud, network, and identity security for critical sectors like BFSI and healthcare. The company is currently executing a strategic shift toward high-margin managed services and international expansion to drive its next phase of growth.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/58626-03-Jun-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>Meta Infotech is moving beyond its traditional base in Mumbai to establish a presence in major Indian tech hubs. This wider footprint is a key part of their plan to find new customers and diversify their geographic risk.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;For 27 years, we were predominantly a Mumbai-based company in terms of sales. We have added Delhi, Bangalore, Chennai, and Hyderabad. We are soon going to add Pune as well, coming up in a month or two. That is the geographical expansion.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Venu Gopal Peruru, Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is making a conscious choice to walk away from high-volume, low-profit product sales. By focusing on higher-quality deals, they aim to raise their overall operating margins and improve the health of their balance sheet.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Going forward, we are going to drop all product business that is low-margin. Anything with less than 5% margin, we will drop and focus on services instead. Because of one particular large order, our PAT and EBITDA percentages were reduced significantly.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Venu Gopal Peruru, Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Management plans to more than double the revenue share of services over the next few years. This shift is the primary mechanism they intend to use to reach their ambitious profit growth targets.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Over a period of 3 years, our focus is to achieve a 25% to 30% contribution from services because we are going to reduce low-margin product revenue. That is how we are targeting 4x PAT in FY29. The services revenue was 36 crores last year, and we expect that value to increase by a minimum of 25%.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Venu Gopal Peruru, Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The company uses a specific strategy of replacing expensive senior staff with well-trained juniors to keep labor costs under control. This systematic training approach helps them manage high industry attrition without eroding their profit margins.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;If they complete 4 years and demand a 100% hike, we let them go and replace them with a package of 7 to 8 lakhs instead of paying them 18 lakhs. We maintain our costs by replacing senior guys with juniors who have 80% to 90% of the capability after 3 months. For every three engineers at a customer site, we provide one extra junior engineer at no cost to mitigate attrition or leaves.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Venu Gopal Peruru, Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The weak cash flow reported in the latest results was due to one-time tax payments and inventory that hadn&#8217;t yet been converted to cash. Management expects cash flow to stabilize now that these specific timing issues have passed.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Operating cash flow was affected by a tax payment of around 5 crores. Also, there was inventory of around 20 crores in March, which mostly rolled over in April. It is a timing issue and has been resolved.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Paresh, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company has updated its billing terms to protect itself from fluctuations in the value of the US dollar. This change ensures that future profits will not be wiped out by sudden shifts in exchange rates.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Previously, the contract did not mention INR costs clearly, and we had to execute based on old rates. It took six months to get approval for adjusted rates. Now, all our contracts are conversion-agnostic. We are signing customers at spot plus 2.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Venu Gopal Peruru, Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><p>That&#8217;s it for now! Your feedback will really help shape how The Chatter evolves. Drop it down in the comments below!</p><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://thechatterbyzerodha.substack.com/p/the-chatter-underneath-the-noise?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share&amp;token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjozMDExNzg5MTMsInBvc3RfaWQiOjE3MjY2NDQxNiwiaWF0IjoxNzU3NTk4NjQzLCJleHAiOjE3NjAxOTA2NDMsImlzcyI6InB1Yi00ODk4NzYwIiwic3ViIjoicG9zdC1yZWFjdGlvbiJ9.TFcDJv32XGvO0oFacHaCKP014RVVZ1pAYaVdcBrgrfE&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Share&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:&quot;button-wrapper&quot;}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary button-wrapper" href="https://thechatterbyzerodha.substack.com/p/the-chatter-underneath-the-noise?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share&amp;token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjozMDExNzg5MTMsInBvc3RfaWQiOjE3MjY2NDQxNiwiaWF0IjoxNzU3NTk4NjQzLCJleHAiOjE3NjAxOTA2NDMsImlzcyI6InB1Yi00ODk4NzYwIiwic3ViIjoicG9zdC1yZWFjdGlvbiJ9.TFcDJv32XGvO0oFacHaCKP014RVVZ1pAYaVdcBrgrfE"><span>Share</span></a></p><p>Quotes in this newsletter were curated by Meher, Shahid, Kashish &amp; Srusti.</p><p>Disclaimer: We&#8217;ve used AI tools in filtering and cleaning up these quotes so there maybe some mistakes. Now, if you are thinking why we are using AI, please remember that we are just a small team of 5 people running everything you see on Zerodha Markets &#128556; So, all the good stuff is human and mistakes are AI.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[How are Indian companies making money off GLP-1?]]></title><description><![CDATA[Plotlines #7]]></description><link>https://thechatter.zerodha.com/p/how-are-indian-companies-making-money</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://thechatter.zerodha.com/p/how-are-indian-companies-making-money</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Zerodha]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sat, 30 May 2026 05:16:05 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uOcn!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2c39b157-5e98-44b3-a891-67f18ffef35c_2560x1440.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a 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class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><em>Hi, I&#8217;m <a href="https://www.linkedin.com/in/kashishkap00r/">Kashish</a> and I work on Plotlines.</em></p><p style="text-align: justify;"><em>It builds on Chatter, but with a more structured lens. Instead of looking at management commentary from earning concalls in isolation, we track a single theme across companies and over time to connect the dots. The goal is to piece together how narratives evolve, and surface the deeper structural shifts shaping industries.</em></p><p style="text-align: justify;"><em>For today&#8217;s episode, we wanted to know how are Indian pharma companies planning to make money off of the GLP-1 trend?</em></p><div id="youtube2-a6hTpwvR96s" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;a6hTpwvR96s&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/a6hTpwvR96s?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2" target="_blank" href="https://www.tijoristack.ai/concall-monitor/?utm_source=zerodha&amp;utm_campaign=z_marketing" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DvhQ!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd94e0e1f-b28a-482b-a25a-7f2e3246c7b8_8192x2048.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DvhQ!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd94e0e1f-b28a-482b-a25a-7f2e3246c7b8_8192x2048.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DvhQ!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd94e0e1f-b28a-482b-a25a-7f2e3246c7b8_8192x2048.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DvhQ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd94e0e1f-b28a-482b-a25a-7f2e3246c7b8_8192x2048.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DvhQ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd94e0e1f-b28a-482b-a25a-7f2e3246c7b8_8192x2048.png" width="1456" height="364" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/d94e0e1f-b28a-482b-a25a-7f2e3246c7b8_8192x2048.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:364,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:306481,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:&quot;https://www.tijoristack.ai/concall-monitor/?utm_source=zerodha&amp;utm_campaign=z_marketing&quot;,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://thechatter.zerodha.com/i/193780467?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd94e0e1f-b28a-482b-a25a-7f2e3246c7b8_8192x2048.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DvhQ!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd94e0e1f-b28a-482b-a25a-7f2e3246c7b8_8192x2048.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DvhQ!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd94e0e1f-b28a-482b-a25a-7f2e3246c7b8_8192x2048.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DvhQ!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd94e0e1f-b28a-482b-a25a-7f2e3246c7b8_8192x2048.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DvhQ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd94e0e1f-b28a-482b-a25a-7f2e3246c7b8_8192x2048.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Check out <a href="https://www.tijoristack.ai/concall-monitor/?utm_source=zerodha&amp;utm_campaign=z_marketing">Concall Monitor</a></figcaption></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>On the evening of 20 March 2026, hours before Novo Nordisk&#8217;s Indian patent on semaglutide formally expired, Natco Pharma announced that its generic vial would sell for &#8377;1,290 a month. The original drug, at innovator pricing, had been going for roughly &#8377;16,000. By the next morning, six more domestic firms had piled in. By the end of the week, thirteen companies had launched twenty-six brands. Within a month, more than fifty were on the market or in the queue.</p><p>The interesting question isn&#8217;t who launched &#8212; almost everyone did. The interesting question is what each company is actually <em>doing</em>: whether they&#8217;re making the drug, selling it, both, or simply renting out their distribution to someone who has already done the harder work. The same molecule, the same patent cliff, the same 250-million-strong pool of potential patients &#8212; and six very different ways to make money off all of it.</p><p>Over the last four quarters, we read through earnings calls from 27 listed Indian pharma companies &#8212; more than 140 calls in total &#8212; to map what each one is actually up to. Here&#8217;s what we found.</p><p>A note on the prize before we get there. India&#8217;s GLP-1 market &#8212; semaglutide plus Eli Lilly&#8217;s tirzepatide &#8212; was worth about &#8377;571 crore in 2024. By February 2026, on a rolling twelve-month basis, it had jumped to &#8377;1,446 crore, with the anti-obesity slice alone more than doubling. But that figure is the market the <em>innovators</em> built: until 21 March, semaglutide was still on patent, so almost all of it was Novo&#8217;s and Lilly&#8217;s branded money.</p><p>Three estimates of where it goes from here: Systematix sees a &#8377;5,000-crore incremental opportunity across India, Brazil and Canada combined over the next 12-15 months; <a href="https://www.careratings.com/uploads/newsfiles/1773129818_Indian%20GLP%20Industry.pdf">CareEdge</a> expects India alone to reach &#8377;5,000 crore by 2030; and Jefferies, more bullish, sees a market north of $1 billion in India.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!x961!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e55f622-7bdc-4bb9-8fd4-106e48c5e350_1185x655.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!x961!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e55f622-7bdc-4bb9-8fd4-106e48c5e350_1185x655.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!x961!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e55f622-7bdc-4bb9-8fd4-106e48c5e350_1185x655.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!x961!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e55f622-7bdc-4bb9-8fd4-106e48c5e350_1185x655.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!x961!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e55f622-7bdc-4bb9-8fd4-106e48c5e350_1185x655.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!x961!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e55f622-7bdc-4bb9-8fd4-106e48c5e350_1185x655.png" width="1185" height="655" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/8e55f622-7bdc-4bb9-8fd4-106e48c5e350_1185x655.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:655,&quot;width&quot;:1185,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!x961!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e55f622-7bdc-4bb9-8fd4-106e48c5e350_1185x655.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!x961!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e55f622-7bdc-4bb9-8fd4-106e48c5e350_1185x655.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!x961!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e55f622-7bdc-4bb9-8fd4-106e48c5e350_1185x655.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!x961!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e55f622-7bdc-4bb9-8fd4-106e48c5e350_1185x655.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption"><a href="https://www.careratings.com/uploads/newsfiles/1773129818_Indian%20GLP%20Industry.pdf">Source</a></figcaption></figure></div><p>Set against those projections, what the new entrants have actually booked is almost nil. Cipla&#8217;s Yurpeak &#8212; itself an innovator launch, Lilly&#8217;s tirzepatide sold under a Cipla brand &#8212; did &#8377;14 crore in its first month. Eris&#8217;s liraglutide, an older off-patent GLP-1, does about &#8377;1 crore a month. Every generic semaglutide launched only in the last week of March, so a full quarter of post-launch sales simply doesn&#8217;t exist yet. What follows is a description of strategy, not of a profit pool that has already formed.</p><h2><strong>A primer &#8212; what it is, who makes it, how it&#8217;s sold</strong></h2><p>Start with what the drug actually does, because that&#8217;s what explains the gold rush.</p><p>GLP-1 &#8212; glucagon-like peptide-1 &#8212; is a hormone your gut releases after you eat. It nudges the pancreas to put out insulin, tells the brain that you&#8217;re full, and slows down how quickly the stomach empties. Drugs like semaglutide are engineered copies of that hormone, tuned to last a week in the body instead of a few minutes. Take one injection a week and your appetite quietly shrinks, your blood sugar steadies, and the weight comes off &#8212; often 15% of body weight or more.</p><div class="callout-block" data-callout="true"><p style="text-align: center;">Sidenote: We discussed about GLP-1 in depth in this podcast.</p></div><div id="youtube2-R8rI5Ieb2lo" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;R8rI5Ieb2lo&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/R8rI5Ieb2lo?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p>Now, the cast.</p><p><strong>The two innovators.</strong> Two foreign drugmakers built the entire global GLP-1 market between them.</p><p><strong>Novo Nordisk</strong>, a Danish company, makes <strong>semaglutide</strong> &#8212; the molecule everyone is now copying. Novo sells it under three brand names: <strong>Ozempic</strong> (an injection, for type 2 diabetes), <strong>Wegovy</strong> (the same molecule at higher doses, for obesity), and <strong>Rybelsus</strong> (an oral tablet). When people say &#8220;Ozempic&#8221; colloquially, they usually mean semaglutide in general.</p><p><strong>Eli Lilly</strong>, an American company, makes <strong>tirzepatide</strong> &#8212; a different molecule that works on the same biological pathway but has shown stronger weight-loss results in trials. Lilly sells it under one global brand, <strong>Mounjaro</strong>. In India, Lilly has partnered with Cipla to market it under a separate brand, <strong>Yurpeak</strong>.</p><p><strong>What &#8220;going off patent&#8221; actually means.</strong> A patent gives the original drugmaker an exclusive selling window. When it expires &#8212; the industry calls this the &#8220;loss of exclusivity&#8221;, or LOE &#8212; other companies can legally make and sell copies, called generics. Semaglutide&#8217;s Indian patent expired on 21 March 2026. Tirzepatide&#8217;s runs until at least 2030. So semaglutide is now fair game. Tirzepatide is still legally Lilly&#8217;s alone.</p><p><strong>Pens vs vials &#8212; why the device matters.</strong> Semaglutide is an injection a patient takes once a week, for years on end. How it&#8217;s packaged changes the economics entirely.</p><p>A <strong>vial</strong> is a glass bottle of the liquid drug. To inject, the patient &#8212; or a clinic nurse &#8212; has to draw the right dose into a separate syringe. Vials are cheap to manufacture but fiddly to use: dosing errors are common, and most patients won&#8217;t self-inject from one.</p><p>A <strong>pen</strong> is a pre-loaded injector with a dial. The patient turns the dial to the prescribed dose, presses the pen against the skin, and pushes a button. It costs three to six times more to make than a vial. But it&#8217;s dramatically easier to use &#8212; and adherence, patients sticking with the therapy long enough for it to actually work, depends almost entirely on the device.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6s2Z!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3ef2db0f-5156-4a94-8720-6259ea2b1e69_750x500.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6s2Z!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3ef2db0f-5156-4a94-8720-6259ea2b1e69_750x500.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6s2Z!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3ef2db0f-5156-4a94-8720-6259ea2b1e69_750x500.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6s2Z!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3ef2db0f-5156-4a94-8720-6259ea2b1e69_750x500.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6s2Z!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3ef2db0f-5156-4a94-8720-6259ea2b1e69_750x500.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6s2Z!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3ef2db0f-5156-4a94-8720-6259ea2b1e69_750x500.png" width="750" height="500" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/3ef2db0f-5156-4a94-8720-6259ea2b1e69_750x500.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:500,&quot;width&quot;:750,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6s2Z!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3ef2db0f-5156-4a94-8720-6259ea2b1e69_750x500.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6s2Z!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3ef2db0f-5156-4a94-8720-6259ea2b1e69_750x500.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6s2Z!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3ef2db0f-5156-4a94-8720-6259ea2b1e69_750x500.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6s2Z!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3ef2db0f-5156-4a94-8720-6259ea2b1e69_750x500.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption"><a href="https://aipakengineering.com/insulin-vial/">Vial vs Catridge filled Pens</a></figcaption></figure></div><p>Hold that distinction in your head. It does most of the work in Bets 1 and 6.</p><h2><strong>Bet 1 &#8212; Be there on day one with a generic pen</strong></h2><p>The default play: show up on 21 March with a branded generic, fight for share through the sales force, and ride the volume.</p><p>Almost every Indian pharma company took some version of this bet &#8212; Sun, Dr Reddy&#8217;s, Lupin, Zydus, Alkem, Natco, Cipla, Glenmark, Torrent, Mankind, Eris. The interesting thing is that nobody priced the same way. Within ten days of launch, the Indian generic semaglutide market had split into three distinct price tiers &#8212; and the tier a company chose determined who its patient was.</p><p><strong>The cheapest tier was vials.</strong> Natco opened at &#8377;1,290 a month for a vial; Glenmark&#8217;s GLIPIQ launched even lower, at &#8377;325 a week. These prices are roughly a tenth of Novo&#8217;s. The trade-off: patients can&#8217;t easily self-inject from a vial, so this tier really only works in clinics where staff can manage the dosing &#8212; or with the small fraction of patients comfortable handling a syringe.</p><p><strong>The middle tier was affordable pens</strong> &#8212; Alkem, Zydus, Natco&#8217;s own pen device &#8212; in the &#8377;1,800-4,500-a-month range. Same molecule as the vial, but in the easy-to-use injector. This is where the mass-market volume will likely settle once price competition has done its work.</p><p><strong>The premium tier was high-end pens with patient support wrapped around them</strong> &#8212; Dr Reddy&#8217;s at &#8377;4,200, Sun at &#8377;2,960-7,400 depending on dose. These companies are betting that better device design, a branded experience and patient education can justify a premium even after generics have flooded the market.</p><p>Same drug, &#8377;325 a week to &#8377;7,400 a month. Different patients, different doctors, different settings.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>Sun Pharma plans to be in market on day-one of a generic launch. We have already received the regulators&#8217; approval for both the indication of chronic weight management as well as treatment of type 2 diabetes under the brand name Noveltreat and Sematrinity respectively.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Kirti Ganorkar, Managing Director, Sun Pharma | Q3 FY26</p></blockquote><p>The honest part of this bet is that everyone running it knows exactly what it looks like. Crowded. Loud. Margin-thin within a few quarters.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>There&#8217;s a mad rush in the market. Every company is launching. And if at this particular time, you launch, you will be lost somewhere.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Rajeev Juneja, Vice Chairman &amp; MD, Mankind Pharma | Q4 FY26</p><p>&#8220;<em>I am not going to tell you that we are going to make a lot of money in India, I will never say that, I actually agree with you, it will be very competitive.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Rajeev Nannapaneni, Vice Chairman &amp; CEO, Natco Pharma | Q2 FY26</p></blockquote><p>So why run it anyway? Two reasons. The market is so big that even a thin slice is real money. And being absent on day one means being absent forever &#8212; Indian doctors tend to stick with whichever brand they wrote first. That&#8217;s why Lupin, Dr Reddy&#8217;s and Sun all set internal targets to rank top-three among generics from week one.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>Our goal is very clear to be at Top 3 player in this as generic Semaglutide and I think we&#8217;re well on track.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Nilesh Gupta, Managing Director, Lupin | Q4 FY26</p></blockquote><p>The early post-launch read suggests Torrent has surprised everyone. The single decision that won it that share was launching the oral version alongside the injectable &#8212; something no other generic did at scale.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>Torrent held 38% share among generic players as per the Pharmatrac April data set, with 28% share in the injectable format and 100% share in the oral format.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Aman Mehta, Management, Torrent Pharmaceuticals | Q4 FY26</p></blockquote><p>In rupee terms, even Torrent&#8217;s standout is small &#8212; about &#8377;17 crore of monthly sales against a quarterly revenue base of roughly &#8377;3,000 crore. For now, the point of Bet 1 is defensive: don&#8217;t let the competitor own the diabetes prescription pad. The money comes later.</p><h2><strong>Bet 2 &#8212; Don&#8217;t fight the generics, sell the original</strong></h2><p>Here&#8217;s the counter-bet. If the generic market is going to be a knife fight at &#8377;1,290 a month, why be in it at all? Instead, partner with the <em>original</em> drugmaker, sell their actual product at a premium, and lean on their global data and their device.</p><p>Emcure took this bet hardest. In late 2025, it signed an exclusive deal with Novo Nordisk to launch <strong>Poviztra</strong> in India. Poviztra is the same drug as Wegovy &#8212; Novo&#8217;s semaglutide for obesity &#8212; just sold under a different brand name in India by Emcure. The molecule is identical. The device is identical (Novo&#8217;s own pen). And the data behind it is the same global trial evidence Novo has been collecting for years.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>It was after a fierce competition there were at least 8 or 9 companies who were interested in partnering with Novo Nordisk and they selected Emcure. And we became the only company to launch the innovator drug in the game-changing semaglutide category.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Satish Mehta, MD &amp; CEO, Emcure Pharmaceuticals | Q3 FY26</p></blockquote><p>The logic is straightforward. Post-LOE, you have 17 generic semaglutide brands fighting for shelf space, and none of them have Novo&#8217;s vast trial record &#8212; the evidence on how the drug behaves in patients who also carry other conditions, what the industry calls comorbidities. So Emcure&#8217;s pitch to doctors is simple: this is the actual Wegovy, just at a more accessible price than the imported original.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>If you look at the construct of this deal, obviously, post-LOE, we anticipate a very crowded market in India. And so the ability to partner with Novo and launch this brand ahead of the competition and allowing ourselves to shape the market and have brand recall versus being lost in the crowd probably 4, 5 months down the line is something that we feel strongly will allow us to succeed.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Vikas Thapar, President, Corporate Development, Emcure | Q2 FY26</p></blockquote><p>Cipla ran a different version of the same bet &#8212; and arguably the cleaner one. Rather than partnering with Novo on semaglutide, which is now copyable, Cipla partnered with Eli Lilly on tirzepatide, launching <strong>Yurpeak</strong> in India in late 2025. Yurpeak is Lilly&#8217;s Mounjaro, marketed in India by Cipla under a different name.</p><p>The crucial difference is the patent. Tirzepatide&#8217;s Indian patent runs until at least 2030, so Cipla isn&#8217;t fighting any generic competition at all. It&#8217;s selling a still-patented innovator drug, at innovator-adjacent prices, into a country where Mounjaro became the second-largest pharmaceutical retail product within a year of launch. It helps that tirzepatide mimics two gut hormones rather than one &#8212; GIP as well as GLP-1 &#8212; which is why its trials show even bigger weight loss.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>Tirzepatide is the first and only dual agonist of GIP and GLP-1, which makes it a very unique proposition. And while both products have been launched by the respective innovators, you can see from the uptake that Tirzepatide uptake is far ahead.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Achin Gupta, Global COO, Cipla | Q2 FY26</p><p>&#8220;<em>As you see from IQVIA data, last month the molecule was clocking upwards of Rs. 130 crores a month. So, our efforts are primarily focused on that.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Achin Gupta, MD &amp; Global CEO Designate, Cipla | Q3 FY26</p></blockquote><p>Yurpeak&#8217;s &#8377;14 crore in its first month annualises to about &#8377;168 crore at the launch run-rate. Small against Cipla&#8217;s quarterly revenue &#8212; but it&#8217;s a healthy margin on a molecule that is still on patent, while the rest of the industry slugs it out at near-cost prices.</p><p>Both Emcure and Cipla are making the same wager: don&#8217;t try to be the cheapest. Try to be the only one allowed to sell the real thing.</p><h2><strong>Bet 3 &#8212; Differentiate the device</strong></h2><p>A third group accepted that they&#8217;d be launching a generic, but decided to win share through a better pen rather than a lower price.</p><p>Zydus went furthest here. The standard semaglutide regimen forces patients to switch devices as the dose climbs &#8212; one pen for the first four weeks at the starter dose, another at the next level, another for maintenance. Three different disposable pens over the first few months. Zydus built a single reusable pen with a 15 mg / 3 ml cartridge that handles every dose.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>We have a new formulation where it&#8217;s a very significant ease to the patient in terms of use. Also, there is a very meaningful benefit in terms of cost because today, we have in, typically for weight loss, you have to shift from the first four weeks to the next four weeks with a different dose and that means a different pen device. For us, we have a&#8230;. and we don&#8217;t need to make any changes from the initial dosing to the higher dosing.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Dr. Sharvil Patel, Managing Director, Zydus Lifesciences | Q3 FY26</p></blockquote><p>The clever part is what Zydus did next. Instead of trying to take share alone, it licensed the same pen to Lupin and Torrent under semi-exclusive co-marketing deals. Three of the strongest sales forces in India, all pushing the same differentiated device.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>This being a highly competitive product with the multiple launches, we believe that the best strategy would be to launch with more players to create more share of voice and more impact for the new formulation with the customers.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Dr. Sharvil Patel, Managing Director, Zydus Lifesciences | Q4 FY26</p></blockquote><p>The arithmetic is striking. Lupin&#8217;s, Torrent&#8217;s and Zydus&#8217;s generic injectable market in April 2026 &#8212; 57% of all generic semaglutide sales in India &#8212; all flow back to Zydus&#8217;s Ahmedabad production lines. The device was the moat and partnerships with others was the distribution.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>The product from Zydus is a unique pen and I think that&#8217;s differentiation in the market as well. Our patient support program is pretty solid as well. So, a so good start. I think we&#8217;re the number two company as a generic one, the number three as a product itself.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Nilesh Gupta, Managing Director, Lupin | Q4 FY26</p></blockquote><p>Sun Pharma&#8217;s differentiation was an auto-injector &#8212; a pen designed so the needle stays hidden and the injection happens automatically when the patient holds it against the skin. Same molecule, same dose; what changes is the patient&#8217;s experience.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>The product has been received very well by the doctor community and one of the differentiating points is our auto-injector as well as the pen system which was appreciated by the doctors and patients equally well.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Kirti Ganorkar, Managing Director, Sun Pharma | Q4 FY26</p></blockquote><h2><strong>Bet 4 &#8212; Sit out the rush</strong></h2><p>Mankind Pharma did something none of its peers did. It launched a pen, then deliberately refused to compete on price, refused to launch the cheaper vial, and started pointing its energy elsewhere.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>In this competitive market, we have launched our GLP Pen. And we are not in a hurry to launch vials. We are not in a hurry to cut down the prices.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Rajeev Juneja, Vice Chairman &amp; MD, Mankind Pharma | Q4 FY26</p></blockquote><p>This is the contrarian bet. The logic: when 50 companies are fighting over the same molecule at falling prices, the better business isn&#8217;t winning that fight. It&#8217;s selling all the <em>other</em> things patients on GLP-1 also need.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>We are focusing on GLP-1. It&#8217;s a long term and a large opportunity for any Indian company to ignore that. But we are also focusing on adjacent and supportive therapies like vitamins and minerals and protein, which is going to grow better in the time to come.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Sheetal Arora, CEO, Mankind Pharma | Q4 FY26</p></blockquote><p>The numbers suggest the basket strategy is already working. Mankind&#8217;s anti-diabetes portfolio grew 14.4% in Q3 FY26 &#8212; about 1.9 times the market, excluding new GLP-1 launches. Chronic-care now contributes 39.3% of its domestic business. The semaglutide pen launched into an existing chronic-care engine, not into a vacuum.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>What we&#8217;re doing, we are basically working on the adjacent therapies like vitamins, minerals, protein side because ultimately, a company which would be selling the complete portfolio will be having a better advantage. So our approach is a bit different than the rest of the people actually.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Rajeev Juneja, Vice Chairman &amp; MD, Mankind Pharma | Q4 FY26</p></blockquote><p>There&#8217;s a longer game behind it, too. Mankind has a novel molecule, MKP10241 &#8212; a small-molecule oral obesity drug &#8212; in Phase II trials in Australia. Nothing for FY27 or FY28. But it&#8217;s the kind of asset that can turn a defensive GLP-1 launch into an offensive franchise if it works.</p><h2><strong>Bet 5 &#8212; Export the molecule</strong></h2><p>For companies with international footprints, the Indian market is the appetiser. The main course is everywhere else the innovator is still supply-constrained &#8212; Brazil, Canada, the Middle East, parts of Europe.</p><p>Dr Reddy&#8217;s is the most aggressive here, with 26 GLP-1 products in the pipeline and a plan to launch across 87 countries.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>First of all, I see that as many, many years of opportunity. Actually, we are entering a decade of GLP-1 products. Obviously, it&#8217;s going to change and evolve. The full portfolio of GLP-1 for the company is 26 products.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Erez Israeli, CEO, Dr. Reddy&#8217;s Laboratories | Q1 FY26</p></blockquote><p>Different companies are betting on different geographies. Torrent&#8217;s whole international strategy hinges on Brazil &#8212; a market whose regulator, ANVISA, is so strict about semaglutide that pharmacies have to keep physical copies of every prescription.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>Each prescription for Semaglutide has to be issued in two copies. And with the indication on the prescription and the pharmacy is required to maintain extensive records, including a copy of each prescription.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Sanjay Gupta, Executive Director, International Business, Torrent | Q1 FY26</p><p>&#8220;<em>Roughly the market is $1 billion for Semaglutide. You can divide it into the injectable at 75% and oral at roughly 25%. Currently, the Ozempic market is declining very fast and Wegovy is growing very fast. There are no generic launches in Brazil as of today.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Management, Torrent Pharmaceuticals | Q4 FY26</p></blockquote><p>Biocon is going direct in Europe &#8212; selling its own generic liraglutide, an older GLP-1 drug, in the Netherlands rather than through a partner &#8212; and out-licensing semaglutide to Ajanta Pharma for 26 countries across Africa, the Middle East and Central Asia.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>We launched generic Liraglutide for diabetes and obesity in the Netherlands as our first &#8216;direct-to-market&#8217; GLP-1 in the EU. We also signed an out-licensing agreement with Ajanta Pharma to market our vertically integrated drug product, Semaglutide, in 26 countries across Africa, Middle East and Central Asia.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Kiran Mazumdar Shaw, Executive Chairperson, Biocon Group | Q3 FY26</p></blockquote><p>Biocon&#8217;s cost edge here is structural. The company spent years building fermentation-based capacity to make its peptides &#8212; growing them in living cells &#8212; rather than taking the more common route of stitching them together through synthetic chemistry. At scale, fermentation brings the cost of the active ingredient down from roughly $200 a gram to between $20 and $50 &#8212; a 4-10x advantage rivals can&#8217;t easily replicate. In a generic market that will eventually be priced like a commodity, that&#8217;s the difference between making money and not. In the September 2025 quarter, Biocon&#8217;s generics business grew 24% year-on-year to &#8377;774 crore, with margins on its biosimilars &#8212; near-copies of complex biological drugs &#8212; expanding to 28% at the operating-profit (EBITDA) level.</p><p>Lupin is leaning on South Africa and Brazil. Emcure picked up Quebec through a Dr Reddy&#8217;s partnership. Zydus is taking its differentiated pen to 20-plus markets.</p><p>The wrinkle is that this bet has been slower than anyone expected. Canada &#8212; meant to be the first big market after the patent expired &#8212; stalled for most of the year, with Health Canada clearing no generic GLP-1 at all. Dr Reddy&#8217;s, after a Notice of Non-Compliance in October 2025,<a href="https://www.canada.ca/en/health-canada/news/2026/04/canada-becomes-the-first-g7-country-to-approve-a-generic-version-of-semaglutide.html"> finally won approval</a> &#8212; the first one through. For most of the year, the picture looked like this:</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>Of course, the review cycle is long drawn, especially in markets such as Canada, where we have not seen a single generic GLP being approved, including liraglutide, which has not been approved by Health Canada.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Siddharth Mittal, CEO &amp; MD, Biocon | Q3 FY26</p></blockquote><p>The export bet has a cleaner economic logic than the domestic one. Innovator pricing abroad is still high, generic competition is thin, and the &#8377;5,000-crore incremental opportunity Systematix talks about is, in the analysts&#8217; own framing, largely an export number &#8212; concentrated in far fewer hands than the domestic chaos suggests.</p><h2><strong>Bet 6 &#8212; Sell the shovels</strong></h2><p>In any gold rush, some people decide not to dig. They sell the shovels.</p><p>In Indian GLP-1, the shovel-sellers split into two distinct camps. One is making the pens for everyone else launching this year. The other is making the chemical raw materials for the <em>next</em> generation of drugs, the ones nobody has launched yet. Both businesses are quietly more profitable than selling the generic itself.</p><h3><strong>Sub-part A &#8212; Make the pens for everyone else</strong></h3><p>Semaglutide is a hard drug to manufacture. It&#8217;s a 31-amino-acid lipidated peptide &#8212; a chemically intricate chain that most Indian small-molecule drugmakers can&#8217;t produce consistently at industrial scale. And even the companies that <em>can</em> make the active ingredient often can&#8217;t fill it into pens themselves, because cartridge fill-finish &#8212; the sterile step of loading the drug into the device &#8212; needs specialised, isolator-based sterile lines. There are perhaps three or four such facilities in the whole country.</p><p>So a separate set of companies decided not to launch generics at all. They decided to make the pens for everyone who is.</p><p>OneSource Specialty Pharma is the dominant player. It&#8217;s what the industry calls a CDMO &#8212; a contract development and manufacturing organisation, a company that builds a drug end-to-end for others to sell under their own labels. And the pitch is exactly that end-to-end-ness: develop the formulation, fill the cartridge, assemble the pen, serialise the box.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>Our biggest value proposition to our customers is end-to-end we supply. Not only we do development for them, we will do commercial manufacturing for fill finish for cartridge, pack it, put it in the box, serialize it. So the box which a patient opens at home is the box coming out of one source site.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Neeraj Sharma, CEO &amp; MD, OneSource Specialty Pharma | Q2 FY26</p></blockquote><p>The scale is real. OneSource has signed up more than twenty customers &#8212; and has stopped taking new ones. Capacity is being scaled from 40 million units in FY26 to 220 million in FY27. Its customer base holds roughly two-thirds of the Indian generic semaglutide market by value. Several customers have paid capacity-reservation fees up front; others are on take-or-pay contracts, which means they owe OneSource for the reserved capacity whether or not they actually take the product.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>And today as we speak, our customer base total as on end of April holds almost two-thirds of the Indian market share by value of the generic market&#8230; We are the first and the only CDMO partner for the first three generic Semaglutide approvals in all the highly regulated markets, US and Canada.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Neeraj Sharma, CEO &amp; MD, OneSource Specialty Pharma | Q4 FY26</p></blockquote><p>Gland Pharma is running the same play with cartridges &#8212; capacity expanded from 40 million to 140 million units a year, eight GLP-1 contracts signed, six or seven more in the pipeline.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>In the GLP-1 space, we have made significant progress with eight contracts already signed and an additional 6-7 expected to be signed soon. Our current cartridge capacity now stands at 140 million units. Our approach remains disciplined and value-focused, positioning this as a strong mid-to-long-term opportunity with meaningful upside.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Srinivas Sadu, Executive Chairman, Gland Pharma | Q4 FY26</p></blockquote><p>The neat thing about this bet is that these companies don&#8217;t care who wins the Indian launch war. Whoever ends up selling the pen &#8212; they made it.</p><h3><strong>Sub-part B &#8212; Make the building blocks for the next wave</strong></h3><p>Go one layer deeper. The fill-finish CDMOs need cartridges, the cartridges need an active ingredient, and that active ingredient is a peptide that has to be synthesised from raw chemical pieces. <em>That&#8217;s</em> where the second group of shovel-sellers sits.</p><p>A quick definition. A <strong>peptide</strong> is a chain of amino acids &#8212; essentially a small protein. Semaglutide itself is a 31-amino-acid peptide. To make a peptide drug, you take individual amino acids, chemically &#8220;protect&#8221; them so they don&#8217;t react in the wrong places, link them together in the right order, and then strip the protections off at the right time. The whole thing get assembled like Lego into the final drug.</p><p>Divi&#8217;s Laboratories made the most interesting choice here. It flatly refused to make generic GLP-1s. Instead, it sells the Lego pieces &#8212; fragments and amino acids &#8212; to the original innovators like Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly, who use them to build <em>their own</em> peptide drugs.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>Divi has strategically decided that we will not look at generic part of peptide synthesis. We are right now fully occupied with the amount of CS projects we have. So, we do not want to venture into that mode.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Dr. Kiran S. Divi, Whole-Time Director &amp; CEO, Divi&#8217;s Laboratories | Q2 FY26</p></blockquote><p>The economics are very different from Sub-part A. Divi&#8217;s makes its own protected amino acids in-house &#8212; dull to describe, but it gives the company a grip on cost and on impurity that pure peptide assemblers don&#8217;t have. It has earmarked roughly &#8377;700-800 crore per project for three new dedicated peptide units. Custom synthesis &#8212; what it calls its innovator-facing business &#8212; already accounts for 56% of Divi&#8217;s revenue, and that segment grew 23% year-on-year in Q2 FY26.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>The one unique thing about Divi&#8217;s is, we manufacture our own protected amino acids, which gives us both in natural and unnatural, which gives us an edge over everyone, because we control our quantities, we control our cost, we control our impurity profile.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Dr. Kiran S. Divi, Whole-Time Director &amp; CEO, Divi&#8217;s Laboratories | Q2 FY26</p></blockquote><p>The trade-off is clean. The branded generics are scrapping over a fragmented Indian retail market. Divi&#8217;s is selling shovels to the prospectors who still own the gold mine.</p><p>Neuland is running a similar bet, but framing it bigger. The global peptide CDMO market, in its telling, has gone from a $1-1.5 billion category to $5-6 billion in just a few years &#8212; and most of that explosion is downstream of GLP-1&#8217;s success, which has made innovators want to develop the <em>next</em> generation of peptide drugs.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>What used to be a $1 or $1.5 billion market space is now a $5 or $6 billion market space and it is growing very rapidly because more and more drugs are coming out into the market, which are peptides.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Saharsh Davuluri, Vice-Chairman &amp; MD, Neuland Laboratories | Q1 FY26</p><p>&#8220;<em>It&#8217;s not just about the weight loss drugs that have been commercialized, but it&#8217;s also about the next gens, not just from the large companies, but other companies as well. So there is a plethora of development candidates, which are peptides.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Saharsh Davuluri, MD &amp; CEO, Neuland Laboratories | Q4 FY26</p></blockquote><p>Laurus Labs, Syngene, Piramal Pharma and Shilpa Medicare are all running variations of this bet. Different scales, different positioning, but the same thesis: don&#8217;t bet on which generic semaglutide wins in India &#8212; bet on the entire peptide modality, globally, over the next decade.</p><h2><strong>A coda &#8212; the diagnostics tag-along</strong></h2><p>There&#8217;s one more bet, and it isn&#8217;t pharma at all. If millions of new patients go on a powerful weekly injection, somebody has to test their bloodwork. Diagnostic labs see the GLP-1 boom as a downstream opportunity.</p><p>Metropolis Healthcare is the most explicit about it:</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>On the GLP-1 front, the receptor agonist market in India is currently valued at USD 110 million in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 500 million by 2030. This shift is likely to drive higher demand for regular monitoring of glucose, lipids, liver, kidney, and cardiac parameters.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Ameera Shah, Chairperson, Metropolis Healthcare | Q1 FY26</p></blockquote><p>Dr Lal PathLabs is less convinced &#8212; at least so far:</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>Patient volume growth is partly a factor of the improved collection and lab network we have put in place. It is definitely not driven by GLP-1.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Shankha Banerjee, CEO, Dr Lal PathLabs | Q4 FY26</p></blockquote><p>A bet that&#8217;s real but small. The kind of thing that shows up in the numbers two or three years from now, not next quarter.</p><h2><strong>A footnote on what&#8217;s </strong><em><strong>not</strong></em><strong> a bet &#8212; the next-generation Indian molecules</strong></h2><p>Beneath the semaglutide land grab, three Indian companies are quietly building their own proprietary metabolic drugs &#8212; ones that could end up mattering more than any generic launch.</p><p>Sun Pharma has GL0034 (also called Utreglutide), an in-house GLP-1 molecule now in global Phase II trials for both Type 2 diabetes and MASH, a form of fatty liver disease. Mankind has MKP10241, a small-molecule oral obesity drug, in Phase II in Australia. Lupin is developing its own oral semaglutide in-house and has partnered with China&#8217;s Gan &amp; Lee on Bofanglutide, a novel fortnightly GLP-1 agonist.</p><p>None of these reach the market for two to four years. None move FY27 earnings. But they&#8217;re the only assets in the listed Indian pharma universe that could turn GLP-1 from a defensive franchise into an offensive one.</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>TL;DR</strong></h2><p>Semaglutide came off patent in India on 21 March 2026, and within a week thirteen companies had launched twenty-six generic brands. But the synchronised launch hides six different answers to the same question &#8212; how do you actually make money off this molecule? Most went for the generic pen and split into price tiers; Eris reframed it as a metabolic drug for &#8220;thin-fat&#8221; India; Emcure and Cipla skipped the generic fight and sold the innovators&#8217; own products; Zydus won by licensing a better pen to its rivals; Mankind sat out the price war; Dr Reddy&#8217;s, Torrent and Biocon chased exports; and OneSource, Gland, Divi&#8217;s and Neuland sold the shovels. The point isn&#8217;t that everyone launched &#8212; it&#8217;s that almost no one chose to compete head-on with the company next door. Combined listed-player revenue is still just &#8377;100-130 crore a month. The real money is two years out, and most of it will be made outside India.</p><div><hr></div><p>That&#8217;s it for now! Your feedback will really help shape how The Chatter evolves. Drop it down in the comments below!</p><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://thechatterbyzerodha.substack.com/p/the-chatter-underneath-the-noise?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share&amp;token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjozMDExNzg5MTMsInBvc3RfaWQiOjE3MjY2NDQxNiwiaWF0IjoxNzU3NTk4NjQzLCJleHAiOjE3NjAxOTA2NDMsImlzcyI6InB1Yi00ODk4NzYwIiwic3ViIjoicG9zdC1yZWFjdGlvbiJ9.TFcDJv32XGvO0oFacHaCKP014RVVZ1pAYaVdcBrgrfE&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Share&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:&quot;button-wrapper&quot;}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary button-wrapper" href="https://thechatterbyzerodha.substack.com/p/the-chatter-underneath-the-noise?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share&amp;token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjozMDExNzg5MTMsInBvc3RfaWQiOjE3MjY2NDQxNiwiaWF0IjoxNzU3NTk4NjQzLCJleHAiOjE3NjAxOTA2NDMsImlzcyI6InB1Yi00ODk4NzYwIiwic3ViIjoicG9zdC1yZWFjdGlvbiJ9.TFcDJv32XGvO0oFacHaCKP014RVVZ1pAYaVdcBrgrfE"><span>Share</span></a></p><p>Disclaimer: We&#8217;ve used AI tools in filtering and cleaning up these quotes &amp; narratives so there maybe some mistakes. Now, if you are thinking why we are using AI, please remember that we are just a small team of 5 people running everything you see on Zerodha Markets &#128556; So, all the good stuff is human and mistakes are AI.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Chatter: ONGC, Divi's, LG, Pinelabs & More]]></title><description><![CDATA[Q4FY26 | Edition #61]]></description><link>https://thechatter.zerodha.com/p/the-chatter-ongc-divis-lg-pinelabs</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://thechatter.zerodha.com/p/the-chatter-ongc-divis-lg-pinelabs</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Zerodha]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 29 May 2026 13:53:48 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WUob!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1babac65-7f9f-40a2-b6b4-b2e4c9f39a50_2400x1350.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a 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srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WUob!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1babac65-7f9f-40a2-b6b4-b2e4c9f39a50_2400x1350.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WUob!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1babac65-7f9f-40a2-b6b4-b2e4c9f39a50_2400x1350.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WUob!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1babac65-7f9f-40a2-b6b4-b2e4c9f39a50_2400x1350.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!WUob!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1babac65-7f9f-40a2-b6b4-b2e4c9f39a50_2400x1350.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Welcome to the <strong>61st edition</strong> of The Chatter &#8212; a weekly newsletter where we dig through what India&#8217;s biggest companies are saying and bring you the most interesting bits of insight, whether about the business, its sector, or the wider economy. We read every major Indian earnings call and listen to the interviews so you don&#8217;t have to.</p><p>We&#8217;re always eager to improve&#8212;please share your ideas on how else we can innovate &#8220;The Chatter&#8221; format to better serve your needs.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2" target="_blank" href="https://www.tijoristack.ai/concall-monitor/?utm_source=zerodha&amp;utm_campaign=z_marketing" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png" width="1456" height="364" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:364,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:306481,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:&quot;https://www.tijoristack.ai/concall-monitor/?utm_source=zerodha&amp;utm_campaign=z_marketing&quot;,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://thechatter.zerodha.com/i/193793492?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Check out <a href="https://www.tijoristack.ai/concall-monitor/?utm_source=zerodha&amp;utm_campaign=z_marketing">Concall Monitor</a></figcaption></figure></div><p>In this edition, we have covered <strong>13 companies across 9 industries.</strong></p><div><hr></div><h1>Energy</h1><ul><li><p>Oil and Natural Gas Corporation Limited</p></li></ul><h1>Retail</h1><ul><li><p>Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Limited</p></li><li><p>Redtape Limited</p></li><li><p>V2 Retail Limited</p></li></ul><h1>Auto</h1><ul><li><p>Amara Raja Energy &amp; Mobility Ltd</p></li><li><p>Ashok Leyland</p></li></ul><h1>Consumer Durables</h1><ul><li><p>LG Electronics India</p></li></ul><h1>Healthcare</h1><ul><li><p>Divi&#8217;s Laboratories</p></li><li><p>Aarti Pharmalabs Limited</p></li></ul><h1>Aerospace &amp; Defence</h1><ul><li><p>Aequs Limited</p></li></ul><h1>Financial Services</h1><ul><li><p>Pine Labs</p></li></ul><h1>Engineering &amp; Capital Goods</h1><ul><li><p>Bajel Projects Limited</p></li></ul><h1>Real Estate</h1><ul><li><p>AGI Infra</p></li></ul><div><hr></div><h1>Energy</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/ONGC/">Oil and Natural Gas Corporation Limited | Large Cap | Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production</a></h2><p>ONGC is India&#8217;s largest state-owned energy company, contributing significantly to the country&#8217;s domestic crude oil and natural gas production. The group operates across the entire energy value chain through major subsidiaries like HPCL, MRPL, and its international arm, ONGC Videsh.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/232-27-May-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>The company is receiving premium pricing for natural gas produced from new wells, which is linked to 12% of international crude prices. This pricing policy incentivizes the company to invest more in exploration to replace older, lower-priced gas fields.</p><blockquote><p><em>In fact, I do not think there is any local market in the world that pays more than 12% of the oil price. LNG is different because liquefaction costs are involved, but for new wells, India is likely the highest-paying market for onshore production. That also proves the government&#8217;s intention is to leave more money with E&amp;P operators to fund further production and exploration.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Arun Kumar Singh, Chairman and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management expects nearly all of its gas production to eventually qualify for higher &#8216;new-well&#8217; pricing as old reserves deplete. This shift toward high-margin gas will significantly improve the company&#8217;s long-term cash flow and profitability.</p><blockquote><p><em>It is a matter of time&#8212;perhaps 4 to 6 years maximum&#8212;before almost 80-90% of ONGC gas becomes new-well gas under the current policy. You can factor that price into your calculations; at a crude price of 90 dollars, we get 10.8 dollars. We value gas more than oil in the local market for various reasons, primarily because managing gas is less cumbersome, which keeps more money in our pocket.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Arun Kumar Singh, Chairman and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The petrochemical subsidiary, OPaL, is showing strong signs of financial recovery and is expected to grow its core earnings significantly this year. A successful turnaround here reduces the financial burden on the parent company and improves consolidated margins.</p><blockquote><p><em>Regarding OPaL, we promised a turnaround and have almost achieved it. Our EBITDA reached 1,206 crores last year, although it was impacted in March when gas was diverted to LPG production. We expect this year&#8217;s EBITDA to reach 1,500-2,000 crores.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Arun Kumar Singh, Chairman and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>International production from the Sakhalin project has fully recovered to levels seen before geopolitical disruptions began. This stability in overseas assets is vital for the company&#8217;s diversified production goals.</p><blockquote><p><em>Regarding OVL and our subsidiaries, we are back in Sakhalin and it is at full blast. Production is at pre-Ukraine levels. Sakhalin is our top asset within OVL.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Arun Kumar Singh, Chairman and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is investing in a new port joint venture to lower its transportation costs and improve logistics for its petrochemical products. This strategic move strengthens the company&#8217;s infrastructure and market reach in northern India.</p><blockquote><p><em>Finally, we approved a new joint venture with the Gujarat Maritime Board to create a port at Dahej. Dahej is the closest port to the densely populated northern parts of the country, making it the most cost-effective for transportation. It will also serve our interests for OPaL and LPG, particularly with the 8 million tonne Kandla-Gorakhpur pipeline.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Arun Kumar Singh, Chairman and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is rebranding its identity to focus on gas, which now offers better profit margins than oil. Increasingly, new gas projects will benefit from free-market pricing rather than government-capped rates.</p><blockquote><p><em>The macro picture is that gas is currently more lucrative for us. We should call ourselves a gas and oil company, rather than an oil and gas company. New gas, even from APM blocks like the DSF, is subject to free pricing and is not governed by the 12% slope.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Arun Kumar Singh, Chairman and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The government has recently allowed the company to retain full market prices for oil without imposing windfall taxes or price discounts. This policy shift significantly increases the company&#8217;s earnings potential during periods of high global oil prices.</p><blockquote><p><em>Despite the crisis and losses to OMCs, they didn&#8217;t apply SAED. Previously, we had to provide discounts up to 2 lakh crores. This time, we got flat Brent prices even at 140 dollars. As an ONGC investor, this is the best outcome.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Arun Kumar Singh, Chairman and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>A large one-time loss was recorded this quarter due to the mandatory return of an unproductive exploration block to the government. This is an accounting write-off and does not reflect a decline in the company&#8217;s ongoing operational health.</p><blockquote><p><em>The Q4 abnormality was due to a block the government took away (DSF-4). We had drilled a well but didn&#8217;t develop it due to commerciality issues. Since the asset was lost, we had to write off about 1,800 crores. That was a one-off item, not the normal process.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Arun Kumar Singh, Chairman and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company has committed to a new major offshore development in Brazil, securing its production pipeline for the 2030s. This long-term project helps ensure the durability of the company&#8217;s international energy portfolio.</p><blockquote><p><em>Regarding BM-C-34 in the Sergipe-Alagoas basin, the FID has been taken and the FPSO has been contracted. We are moving ahead with development. OVL&#8217;s net share of production should be 1.3 million tonnes per annum, starting in 2030 for oil and 2031 for gas.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Arun Kumar Singh, Chairman and CEO</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Retail</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/ABFRL/">Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Limited | Mid Cap | Retail - Apparel</a></h2><p>Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Limited is a leading Indian fashion conglomerate with a vast brand portfolio including Louis Philippe, Van Heusen, and Allen Solly. The company operates over 1,200 stores and has significantly expanded into the ethnic wear and digital-first brand segments.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/5775-26-May-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>The integration of TCNS is showing progress with significant improvements in underlying sales growth and product relevance. Investors should watch for these gains to translate into sustained bottom-line profitability for the ethnic segment.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Within premium ethnic wear brands, TCNS continued with its profitability improvement journey during the year. The business delivered 7% like-to-like growth in Q4 and 10% like-to-like growth in FY26, supported by a sharper product proposition, refreshed collections, and new launches that resonate well with consumers.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Jagdish Bajaj, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>The digital-first brand portfolio, TMRW, has secured substantial funding to fuel its growth without immediate further strain on the parent company. This funding cushion is vital as the company aims to reach segment-level profitability by FY29.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;As you are aware, with the equity issuance of Rs 440 crore during the year and more recent fund tie-up of Rs 500 crore through NCDs, TMRW is now adequately funded with Rs 800 crore cash to pursue its aggressive growth plans. This balanced approach should help drive long-term growth, improve operating leverage, strengthen the overall margin profile, and build a solid foundation for sustained profitability over time.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Jagdish Bajaj, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>Input costs are rising, and the company plans to pass these on to consumers through mid-to-high single-digit price hikes. Investors should monitor whether these price increases impact overall volume growth in the coming quarters.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are experiencing something like 3-4% inflationary pressure as far as raw materials are concerned. To fully counter it, we would take price increases between 5-8% depending on the category. We are still evaluating and we do not have a firm view on whether we will pass on all of it or some part of it.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ashish Dixit, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The digital brands under the TMRW umbrella are expected to hit profitability in three years, supported by their current cash reserves. Reaching a 1,500 crore run rate provides the necessary scale to begin improving the segment&#8217;s bottom line.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Regarding profitability for TMRW, we had indicated FY29 as the year in which we expect the TMRW portfolio level&#8212;the sum of all brands&#8212;to become profitable. We feel 800 crores is a substantial amount of cash for a business which is already on a run rate of 1,500 crores. With scale, we will drive profitability.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ashish Dixit, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/REDTAPE/">Redtape Limited | Mid Cap | Footwear</a></h2><p>Redtape Limited is a leading Indian lifestyle brand specializing in footwear, apparel, and accessories with a significant retail presence across tier-2 and tier-3 cities. The company operates an omnichannel model through over 550 stores and dominant positioning on major e-commerce marketplaces like Flipkart and Myntra.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/56906-26-May-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>Management is seeing a permanent move by small-town consumers toward branded footwear. This trend, supported by tax benefits, provides a long-term volume growth runway for the company&#8217;s core product range.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The Indian consumer, especially in tier-2 and tier-3 towns where the majority of our stores sit, is making a clear and steady shift towards organized branded products. The GST reduction on footwear below 2,500 was a meaningful volume catalyst for us, specifically because nearly all our products sit in that bracket. What I want to emphasize, though, is that the volumes we saw were not simply a one-time GST-led pull-forward.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Arvind Verma, Whole Time Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is expanding beyond shoes into clothing and high-margin accessories to increase how much each customer spends. This diversification strategy helps attract a wider audience, including women, which could drive future revenue growth.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Apparel is the category that widens our addressable market and lifts basket size. We are investing meaningfully behind women&#8217;s apparel as well and will push this further in FY27. Accessories gave us a revenue of 75 crores throughout the year, small in absolute terms today, but growing the fastest and carrying the highest margin profile.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Arvind Verma, Whole Time Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The company&#8217;s long-term supply contracts protect it from sudden increases in raw material costs. This allows them to maintain stable prices and margins even when inflation affects the wider market.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Although there is some pressure in the market, we work on a system where there is a 6-month design-to-production ratio. When the POs are released almost 6 months in advance, and once we have opened an LC, the vendor cannot come back and say there is a shift in the price range. That will not impact us much in the near future.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Arvind Verma, Whole Time Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Redtape is using its strong cash generation to rapidly pay down debt and strengthen the balance sheet. This reduction in borrowing costs should lead to higher net profits for shareholders over time.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;If you look at our numbers, our debt outstanding has considerably gone down by 200 crores from September to March. Also, operating cash flow has increased; we currently have 175 crores in operating cash flow. As far as the inventory is concerned, we are planning to get it down to 150 days.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Vivek Agnihotri, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>The company has an ambitious plan to nearly double its store count while expanding into new geographic regions. This suggests a high level of confidence in the scalability of their brand across all of India.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are planning to add almost 200 to 250 stores. The size would be between 500 to 1,500 square feet. We will maintain the same ratio of 25% to 35% COCO stores, with the rest being FOFO. We are now moving into South and West India.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Arvind Verma, Whole Time Director</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/V2RETAIL/">V2 Retail Limited | Small Cap | Retail</a></h2><p>V2 Retail is a leading value fashion retailer in India primarily targeting Tier 2 and Tier 3 cities with affordable apparel. The company operates a network of over 325 stores and has demonstrated aggressive growth in the value fashion segment.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/4748-29-May-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>Management has temporarily increased inventory levels as a precautionary measure against global supply chain disruptions. Investors should expect working capital levels to normalize once geopolitical pressures ease and inventory returns to the 90-100 day target.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Lastly, due to geopolitical tension, we have increased our safety stock in the month of March for seamless availability of stock, which has resulted in higher inventory levels in the month of March. Once the situation normalizes, we will reduce our safety stock. We are looking to maintain inventory at 90 to 100 days and creditors at 45 days.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Akash Agarwal, Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is accelerating its physical expansion with plans to open up to 200 new stores in the upcoming year. Crucially, this growth is currently self-funded through internal cash flows, reducing the immediate need for equity dilution.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;For this year, the target would be anywhere between 170 to 200 stores, completely dependent on how we are performing and how the momentum continues. ... For at least this financial year, we are covered with internal accruals and the cash on the balance sheet.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Akash Agarwal, Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management intends to prioritize debt over equity for any future capital needs due to their strong balance sheet. This approach signals a commitment to avoiding further shareholder dilution while pursuing aggressive growth.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;No, our debt-to-equity ratio is very healthy, so we have the option of getting more debt on the books. I think that will be our first preference even if we need some cash for future expansion.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Akash Agarwal, Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company plans to pass through rising raw material costs to consumers rather than absorbing them in their margins. This pricing power is essential for maintaining gross margins in the 28% to 30% range amid inflationary pressures.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Yes, we have seen some movement in yarn prices and that would have to be transferred to the customer. We will maintain our gross margins and prices might go up in the future by 3% to 4%.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Akash Agarwal, Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management has set a high bar by guiding for 50% revenue growth over the next two years. They are positioning the company to capture the structural shift from unorganized to organized retail in India&#8217;s growing economy.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are guiding for at least 50% revenue growth over the next 2 years. ... India is poised to grow at 5% to 6% GDP in the next 20 years and if you look at organized retail, it is poised to grow at 9% to 10%. We want to capture most of that market.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Akash Agarwal, Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>While aggressive expansion initially pulls down the average sales per square foot, new stores are starting at a healthy 70% of mature store levels. The company&#8217;s overall productivity is expected to rise as this massive wave of new stores reaches maturity over the next few years.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We opened 130 new stores and the new stores start at about 70% of the sales per square foot of old stores. ... As they mature, you will see the growth in company PSF as well.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Akash Agarwal, Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company has shortened its lease lock-in periods to provide more flexibility in closing underperforming stores. This accounting and operational change reduces long-term liability risks while aligning more closely with industry standards.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We changed the policy last quarter. We decided we would look at at least 2 to 3 years of performance for a new store before deciding whether to continue operating it. Our lock-ins and leases are about 1 year and the vendor lock-in is 11 years.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Akash Agarwal, Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Auto</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/ARE&amp;M/">Amara Raja Energy &amp; Mobility Ltd. | Large Cap | Auto Components &amp; Equipments</a></h2><p>Amara Raja is a leading Indian manufacturer of lead-acid batteries for automotive and industrial applications under the popular Amaron brand. The company is currently undergoing a strategic transformation to establish a significant presence in the lithium-ion cell and battery energy storage sectors.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/4-26-May-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>The company continues to rely heavily on its traditional lead-acid business while the new energy segment is still in its early stages of revenue contribution. This high concentration highlights the continued importance of legacy battery demand to fund future technology shifts.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;During Q4 FY26, we achieved a consolidated revenue of approximately 3,530 crores. That is a growth close to 16% over the previous year. Of this revenue, about 92% came from our lead-acid battery business, and the rest is from the new energy business.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Y. Delli Babu, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management is maintaining stable double-digit margins in the core business despite rising input costs and a shift toward lower-margin original equipment manufacturer sales. This profitability is critical as these cash flows are needed to support the company&#8217;s massive transition to lithium-based technologies.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;At the lead-acid battery business level, we sustained operating margins of about 12% despite tremendous cost pressures at the raw material level and in operating costs. Raw material costs, particularly for alloys and sulfuric acid, increased substantially during the quarter due to ongoing geopolitical conflicts. Additionally, we saw a higher OEM mix during the current quarter, with growth upwards of 30% in both four-wheeler and two-wheeler OEMs, which impacts overall margins.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Y. Delli Babu, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is aggressively shifting its capital allocation towards the new energy business, with nearly 75% of next year&#8217;s budget focused on lithium projects. This significant investment confirms the management&#8217;s commitment to transforming the company&#8217;s primary business model.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In the coming year, we will spend between 1,500 and 1,700 crores in capex. Approximately 400 crores will go toward the lead-acid battery business, and the remaining 1,100 to 1,200 crores will be for the new energy business.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Y. Delli Babu, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management is pivoting their short-term new energy focus toward the stationary storage market, which is seeing more immediate domestic demand than electric vehicles. This adjustment ensures that their upcoming cell manufacturing capacity has a ready market as soon as production begins.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;A major strategic change is the increased focus on ESS. Earlier, we focused largely on EV, expecting it to drive short-term growth. While EV momentum remains steady and remains the largest long-term opportunity, the ESS market has accelerated due to the renewable energy drive in India.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Vikramaditya Gourineni, Executive Director - New Energy Business</em></p></blockquote><p>The company has maintained its timeline for its first major lithium cell production line despite the complexity of the project. Using a pilot plant first is a deliberate strategy to minimize technical risks before scaling up to mass production.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The first 2 gigawatt hour line, Giga-1, remains on target to start production in June 2027. We consciously chose to build R&amp;D and pilot production first, and our experience with the customer qualification plant will help smooth the learning curve for Giga-1 and future mass manufacturing facilities.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Vikramaditya Gourineni, Executive Director - New Energy Business</em></p></blockquote><p>Geopolitical tensions have forced the company to transition from licensed Chinese technology to internal research and development for their lithium cells. This shift increases the execution risk for their Gigafactory but ensures they maintain control over their intellectual property and supply chain.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Since then, technology sharing and licensing from China have been disrupted by their government, affecting all technical tie-ups. We face challenges working directly on technology licensing with Chinese entities right now. As I mentioned, while we took what we could from earlier cooperation, our product development efforts for NMC, LFP, and future chemistries are now largely driven by our teams in India.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Vikramaditya Gourineni, Executive Director - New Energy Business</em></p></blockquote><p>Inflation is hitting non-lead inputs like plastics and sulfur significantly, adding cost pressure beyond just metal prices. The company&#8217;s ability to pass these specific costs through to customers will be a key determinant of their margin performance in the coming year.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Plastics account for almost 10% of our raw material cost, and we could see a 40% price increase if current momentum continues. Sulfur is driving up acid prices, and fuel costs are increasing inbound and outbound freight.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Y. Delli Babu, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Domestic cell manufacturing currently faces a significant cost disadvantage compared to Chinese imports due to the absence of a local raw material ecosystem. The business case for the Gigafactory relies heavily on potential government mandates for local sourcing to create a protected market.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We estimate a &#8216;China plus $15 to $20&#8217; gap because we lack a local material supply chain and scale. However, we anticipate that the government will mandate localization in sectors like energy storage where they are the primary buyer, similar to solar equipment.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Vikramaditya Gourineni, Executive Director - New Energy Business</em></p></blockquote><p>Management believes that raw material constraints will make hybrid vehicles a more practical medium-term solution for India than pure electric vehicles. This perspective justifies their continued investment in traditional lead-acid technology as part of a multi-chemistry strategy.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;India cannot leapfrog directly into EVs because we cannot replace oil imports with a total dependency on imported raw materials for batteries. This means hybrids will likely accelerate, and we have solutions for all levels of hybridization.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Harsha Vardhana Gourineni, Executive Director - Automotive and Industrial</em></p></blockquote><p>While the largest automotive manufacturers are building their own internal battery supply chains, a significant middle-tier market remains open for third-party cell suppliers. This competitive landscape defines the target customer base for Amara Raja&#8217;s future Gigafactory production.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Regarding customers doing their own cells, large OEMs like Tata or Ola are doing so, but most OEMs we are in touch with do not have plans to localize cells and are looking to players like us. While some OEMs are moving pack assembly in-house, there are still many opportunities where they require both cell and pack from us.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Vikramaditya Gourineni, Executive Director - New Energy Business</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/ASHOKLEY/">Ashok Leyland | Mid Cap | Auto Ancillary</a></h2><p>Ashok Leyland specializes in manufacturing commercial vehicles, components, and diesel engines for industrial, genset, and marine applications. Its foundry division produces automotive parts like cylinder blocks, heads, and tractor housings, serving the automotive industry.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.tijoristack.ai/">Concall</a>]</p><p>The company achieved its highest-ever annual LCV volume in FY26, outperforming the industry with significant market share gains in Q4.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Ashok Leyland&#8217;s domestic LCV volume for Q4 was at 21,801 units, higher by 23% year-over-year, with growth better than that of the industry. LCV Vahan market share for Q4 was 12.8% with a gain of 90 basis points on a year-over-year basis. For the full year, LCV volume was 74,322 units, higher by 12% year-over-year, and full-year LCV Vahan market share stood at 12.7%, higher by 80 basis points year-over-year. This is the highest ever annual volume recorded in LCV.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Shenu Agarwal, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company expects the tipper, multi-axle, and tip-trailer segments, driven by mining, infrastructure, and construction projects, to be the fastest-growing CV categories this year.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;This year, we think the tipper segment and the multi-axle segment would be the fastest-growing segments, followed by the tip-trailer segment. Anything connected with mines, infrastructure projects, or construction projects should show tremendous promise this year.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Shenu Agarwal, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The industry is expected to maintain pricing discipline and implement multiple price hikes throughout the year to manage commodity cost challenges without significantly impacting demand.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I think the current situation should add to that discipline. There would be a challenge on the commodity cost side. The industry, to the extent possible, should use their judgment to see how much can be passed on to the market without affecting demand. Generally speaking, we are hoping the industry looks at taking multiple price hikes during the year.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Shenu Agarwal, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The defense business has its strongest ever order pipeline exceeding 1,500 crores, ensuring very strong growth for at least the next two to three years.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;But our order pipeline in defense is the strongest ever. It is above 1,500 crores for the orders in hand due for execution and supply. We also hope to receive many more orders during the year. For defense, we are very sure that for at least the next two to three years, we will show very strong growth.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Shenu Agarwal, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The CEO believes any temporary dip in CV demand due to macroeconomic factors will likely transform into pent-up demand later, given strong industry fundamentals.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;My feeling is that even if there is a setback, this demand is not going to go away permanently. It is going to convert into pent-up demand. The reason I say that is because fundamentally the situation is very strong on the ground. The sentiment is strong. People have huge expansion plans. The aging of the fleet is at its highest. The rate cut has really improved the economics and the TCO of the fleet. When fundamentals are strong, even if there is a temporary dip because of a macroeconomic factor, that will end up becoming pent-up demand for the industry.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Shenu Agarwal, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is adopting a phased approach to EV battery manufacturing, starting with packs for captive use, expanding to external automotive demand, and eventually considering cell manufacturing.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;No, we are starting with the pack first. It is a phased approach that we are adopting. So we are starting with the pack for captive consumption and also for energy storage systems. In the second phase, we will expand the pack capacity to get into non-captive demand on the automotive side. And then in the third phase, we will look at cell manufacturing.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Shenu Agarwal, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Export volumes are anticipated to decline in Q1 due to ongoing international logistics issues, although conditions are improving.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Now, of course, export volumes may still be affected because of the international logistics situation... So exports might drop, I would say, in Q1, although things are now coming back to normalcy as we speak.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Shenu Agarwal, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Despite market sentiment around rising diesel prices impacting some logistics, the underlying demand for MHCV and LCV remains strong, supported by GST rationalization and fleet replacement needs.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In May, we are not seeing any significant slowdown on either the MHCV or LCV side. However, there is a kind of sentiment attached to the diesel oil prices that is there in the market, which is affecting current logistics operations in many routes and areas. However, I think the resilience of demand based on GST and on the replacement factor is acting very, very strongly.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Shenu Agarwal, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Ashok Leyland approaches the new fiscal year with cautious optimism, acknowledging positive CV demand drivers but also potential macroeconomic headwinds like commodity and diesel price volatility.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Looking forward, we are entering the new fiscal year with cautious optimism. Demand drivers for commercial vehicles remain positive overall. However, we are mindful of macroeconomic headwinds such as global economic uncertainty, commodity price volatility, and diesel price increases.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Shenu Agarwal, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Consumer Durables</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/LGEINDIA/">LG Electronics India | Mid Cap | Consumer Durables</a></h2><p>LG Electronics India Ltd, a leading home appliances &amp; consumer electronics manufacturer since 1997, serves B2C &amp; B2B markets in India and abroad. It offers diverse products, installation, and repair services, with strong distribution, manufacturing units, and extensive service centres.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachLive/6dc06418-7ec0-4b39-ba7e-bb6af356c694.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>LG India&#8217;s FY27 growth strategy, EXCEL, focuses on export expansion, new factory capability, market leadership, and localization.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Looking ahead to FY27, we have established a clear roadmap for our future growth strategy. We call this strategy EXCEL. This stands for EX: Export expansion, C: Capability of new factory production, E: Expansion of market leadership, brand and new business, and L: Localization.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Soonjoo Seo, Investor Relations Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>LG India&#8217;s localization rate reached 55.2% in FY26, with a target to increase by 1-2% annually to improve cost competitiveness and manage forex volatility.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;This year, our localization rate reached 55.2%, an improvement of about 1.4% points year-on-year. We are targeting an annual increase of more than 1% to 2% points going forward. We expect this to contribute to stronger cost competitiveness and more stable management of foreign exchange volatility.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Soonjoo Seo, Investor Relations Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Dishwashers became a significant growth driver in Q4 FY26 due to increasing urban consumer adoption.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our dishwashers business also emerged as an important growth driver this quarter, gaining meaningful traction as urban consumers increasingly embrace the convenience it offers.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Aditya Bhasin, Head, Investor Relations</em></p></blockquote><p>LG maintained its absolute leadership in the premium television segment with a 60% OLED market share as of March 2026.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In the premium television segment, LG maintained absolute leadership with an OLED market share of 60.0% as of YTD March 2026.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Aditya Bhasin, Head, Investor Relations</em></p></blockquote><p>Q4 FY26 margin decline was primarily due to 5.6% Rupee depreciation and significant temporary strategic channel promotion investments (1.1% impact).</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;However, the rupee depreciated almost by 5.6% year-on-year in this quarter, creating a meaningful headwind on our import cost. The single largest contributor was our channel promotion investments, which impacted margins by approximately 1.1%. These were temporary strategic investments made to separate our channel partners, drive sell-out, and strengthen our market position during this quarter, and build confidence among our channel partners.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Atul Khanna, Chief Accounting Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>LG India expects margin recovery and early double-digit EBITDA margins in FY27 due to implemented price hikes, rationalized promotions, and strong summer demand.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Looking ahead, with the price hikes now in place across categories, promotional intensity rationalizing, hot summer going on, we are confident of recovering our margins for financial year &#8216;27 and to deliver our early double digit EBITDA margins for &#8216;27 full year.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Atul Khanna, Chief Accounting Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>AC demand is strong, refrigerators are trending towards larger and more energy-efficient models, and French door refrigerator market share rapidly grew from 5% to 14% by March 2026.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;ACs are very well supported by the summer demand, and we will surely deliver good growth over last year . Refrigerator demand is also steady and moving as per expectations . Customers are choosing larger and more energy - efficient models, which is a very positive signal for us . Our French door refrigerators are also doing extremely well. We launched these products in the month of November, and our market share jumped from 5% to 14% by March 2026 and we will become number one player for French door refrigerator very soon .&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sanjay Chitkara, Co-Chief Sales &amp; Marketing Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>LG India is entering the new INR 3000 crore chest freezer market with five competitively priced models, aiming to generate new revenue streams.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;On chest freezer, this is entirely a new category for LG India. And we are launching a strong range for five models in the upcoming quarter at very competitive prices. Currently the chest freezer market sizes is roughly around INR 3000 crores. And it will create new business revenue for us in the near term.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sanjay Chitkara, Co-Chief Sales &amp; Marketing Officer</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Healthcare</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/DIVISLAB/">Divi&#8217;s Laboratories | Large Cap | Healthcare</a></h2><p>Divi&#8217;s Laboratories is a pharmaceutical company specializing in the manufacture of Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients (APIs), Intermediates, and Nutraceutical ingredients, with a strong focus on exports. The company offers custom synthesis services to support innovator pharma companies in developing their patented products, from clinical trials to late life cycle management.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachLive/935b6619-ebf7-48e4-bb29-d5197eadec03.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>Management acknowledged a challenging operating environment due to geopolitical tensions, logistics bottlenecks, and raw material inflation. Despite these uncertainties, the company remains confident about growth prospects and reiterated its long-standing growth aspiration.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;As historically that we always look for a double-digit growth in our revenues, and that&#8217;s what we would also say today.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;With the change in scenarios, I would say it&#8217;s difficult to project, but we would say it would remain stable.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Nilima Prasad Divi, Whole-Time Director (Commercial)</em></p></blockquote><p>The company provided one of its strongest comments on the impact of the Middle East conflict. Several suppliers have declared force majeure, and availability of solvents and intermediates has tightened significantly. However, Divi&#8217;s says operations remain uninterrupted.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Yes, we are having difficulty in sourcing material, but we are not having any production stoppages at our end.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;The impact is there on multiple products, not just on solvents. We are reviewing this on a quarter-on-quarter basis, and we are trying to secure every month for the next 3 months, how -- to make sure that our production is continuously running for the next 3 months.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Nilima Prasad Divi, Whole-Time Director (Commercial)</em></p></blockquote><p>Management highlighted that geopolitical disruptions have materially impacted global logistics. Freight costs, shipping timelines, and availability of containers remain under pressure.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;During this period, a number of suppliers invoked force majeure clauses, while freight rates across both ocean and air transportation started increasing considerably.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;Freight-related cost pressures are expected to continue in the near term, and we have incorporated these factors into our planning for the coming quarters.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Nilima Prasad Divi, Whole-Time Director (Commercial)</em></p></blockquote><p>Divi&#8217;s indicated that demand remains healthy across its core generic portfolio. The challenge continues to be pricing rather than volumes.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Generics has slight pricing pressure, but our customers also understand what&#8217;s happening in the market and they have been very understanding and we have been in constant discussion in how to manage the pricing at both end.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;We have not lost any volumes or any supply or have any supply issues with any of our customers.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Dr. Kiran S. Divi, CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Divi&#8217;s clarified that recent growth has come from existing products and not from upcoming patent-expiry opportunities.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The volume has been picked up. We had steady growth in volume, and our customer base has been quite steady in the generic business.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;This is from our existing portfolio itself. While we are still waiting for our customers to launch our new portfolio, what we have told you in 2026-&#8217;27, as the products come off patent.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Dr. Kiran S. Divi, CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company emphasized that most major generic APIs are covered by contracts containing raw material pass-through mechanisms.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Most of our APIs on the generic segment are backed by long-term contracts, which have variability clauses, which protects us from such situations.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;These are reviewed -- based on the contracts, some of them would be reviewed every 3 months. There is a clause where it directly impacts on the raw material plus.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Dr. Kiran S. Divi, CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>This is perhaps the strongest strategic statement on the peptide opportunity made by management during the call.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have several 3,000-liter SPPS, which by far in India nobody has.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;We are quite strong and committed towards this segment, and we are targeting to be one of the largest global players in the world.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Dr. Kiran S. Divi, CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Divi&#8217;s highlighted meaningful commercial traction in iodine-based contrast media with global innovators.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are working with most of the top players in the market at this point who are innovators.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;In the Iodine base, we are already in commercial sales.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Dr. Kiran S. Divi, CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Divi&#8217;s continues transferring pre-chemistry and backward integration activities into Unit 3 to free up GMP capacity at existing facilities.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Operations at Unit 3 have been steadily progressing, and the facility is now playing an increasingly important role in our overall operations by supporting our backward integration capacity.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;Through the year, we have gradually transferred select activities from Unit 1 and Unit 2, freeing up GMP space.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Dr. Kiran S. Divi, CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management cautioned investors against expecting immediate monetization from recently completed projects.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The cycle is typically when we do an innovative product, we completely depend on the customer&#8217;s timeline.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;We have seen time cycles all the way from 6 months... or we have seen as long as 3 years.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;To be optimistic, we believe we would like to be in the 2-year range.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Dr. Kiran S. Divi, CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Despite port congestion, freight bottlenecks, and supply-chain challenges, management stated that customer deliveries remained unaffected during the quarter.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;No, we haven&#8217;t had any loss of revenue because of the logistics issues in the last quarter.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Nilima Prasad Divi, Whole-Time Director (Commercial)</em></p></blockquote><p>Unlike previous supply-chain disruptions, Divi&#8217;s is not seeing meaningful stockpiling behavior from customers. Management attributes this to its reputation for reliable delivery.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our supply chain model is pretty stable. We proactively make sure that the material reaches our customer in time, and that&#8217;s what Divi&#8217;s has been known for and that we deliver on time to the customers.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;I don&#8217;t think they are stocking up any material that they are foreseeing the shortage.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Nilima Prasad Divi, Whole-Time Director (Commercial)</em></p></blockquote><p>Management acknowledged that margins remain below historical peak levels because of pricing pressure and higher input costs.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The two key things that we see, the margins going more than 32% historic figure. One is the generic pricing pressure for sure.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;The second one is mainly the cost of materials that has increased.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;That&#8217;s something we dearly wish for that we also go back to 38%, which also depends on the market conditions.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Nilima Prasad Divi, Whole-Time Director (Commercial)</em></p></blockquote><p>To mitigate supply disruptions and ensure uninterrupted production, Divi&#8217;s is proactively building inventory.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Most of the increase in inventory, I would say you might be seeing from the Q1 of next year.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8220;We are securing material and we are storing material to make sure that we are efficiently manufacturing and supplying our customers.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Nilima Prasad Divi, Whole-Time Director (Commercial)</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/AARTIPHARM/">Aarti Pharmalabs Limited | Small Cap | Pharmaceuticals</a></h2><p>Aarti Pharmalabs manufactures active pharmaceutical ingredients, intermediates, and xanthine derivatives for global regulated and non-regulated markets. The company also provides contract development and manufacturing organization (CDMO) services with specialized focus on late-phase and commercial molecules.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/51170-26-May-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>Aarti is diversifying its research capabilities into complex molecules like peptides to future-proof its CDMO pipeline. While these investments won&#8217;t boost immediate earnings, they expand the addressable market for high-value contracts.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have decided to invest in the R&amp;D of peptides and oligonucleotides. This investment in new R&amp;D technologies will not yield immediate results but has good potential in the future, and we would like to explore these newer technologies.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Rashesh Gogri, Chairman</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is executing a 50% capacity expansion in its xanthine division to meet growing demand. Investors should watch for the volume ramp-up over the next year to validate the capital expenditure investment.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The xanthine derivatives expansion is progressing as planned with current capacity being 6,000 metric tons per annum, and the incremental capacity will be available for production at the end of the current quarter. The ramp-up to 9,000 metric tons per annum will happen gradually over the next few quarters.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Rashesh Gogri, Chairman</em></p></blockquote><p>Management believes their ability to offer a China-independent, backward-integrated supply chain is a key competitive advantage for global innovators. This strategic positioning is critical for winning market share in the evolving &#8216;China Plus One&#8217; global sourcing landscape.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Why we get shortlisted is due to our manufacturing capabilities, our unique ability to scale up production from kilo labs and put up assets, and our unique ability to do a backward integrated play where China dependence is reduced. Apart from the balance sheet, these are the factors that play a part.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Rashesh Gogri, Chairman</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Aerospace &amp; Defence</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/AEQUS/">Aequs Limited | Small Cap | Aerospace &amp; Defence</a></h2><p>Aequs Limited is a precision manufacturing specialist operating in the aerospace and consumer sectors with large-scale production clusters in India, the US, and France. The company focuses on vertically integrated manufacturing for global OEMs, producing complex aerostructures, engine components, and consumer electronics.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/59478-26-May-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>The company is committing to a massive ten-year investment to create a dedicated hub for engine and landing gear components in Tamil Nadu. This move aims to establish a unique domestic supply chain that can handle complex aerospace parts from start to finish.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In February 2026, we signed an MOU with the government of Tamil Nadu to invest 1,900 crores over 10 years for new vertically integrated aerospace manufacturing ecosystem within a new aerospace and defense park at Hosur across 250 acres in the SIPCOT Shoolagiri Industrial Park. This will be India&#8217;s first fully vertically integrated aero-engine and landing gear components manufacturing ecosystem.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Arvind Melligeri, Executive Chairman and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Aequs is shifting its product mix toward more sophisticated aviation components that require specialized technical skills. These complex parts are harder for competitors to replicate and usually result in higher profits and longer contracts.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are also actively moving up the value chain into landing gear and engine components, where our integrated forging, machining and surface treatment capabilities deliver significant competitive advantage. These are higher complexity, higher value parts that command better margins and deeper customer relationships.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Rajiv Kaul, Co-founder and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>To counter the loss of Hasbro, the company has secured a long-term deal with Mattel to fill its production capacity. Management believes this transition will prevent any major negative impact on their consumer division&#8217;s growth.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Yes, we have signed a long-term agreement with Mattel and both sides are fully beneficial to scaling volumes. We also expect Mattel volumes to absorb the capacity impact from Hasbro. More broadly, we continue to engage with large strategic customers across the consumer segment and remain confident that overall growth for the business will not be materially impacted.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Rajiv Kaul, Co-founder and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Management is aggressively spending on new equipment because global clients require their suppliers to have large-scale production capacity. Failing to expand could result in losing major contracts to international competitors who can handle higher volumes.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Customers want us to have a meaningful share of their requirements, and collectively we are committed to scaling operations and absorbing more work in India. If we do not scale, the customers will look for alternates. There is a timeline we must follow, and we are committed to seeing utilization increase, which is why we guided for EBITDA break-even in Q4.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Arvind Melligeri, Executive Chairman and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Procuring specialized metals for aerospace is becoming increasingly difficult, with some materials taking over a year to arrive. This extreme lead time forces the company to plan its inventory and cash flow much further in advance than usual.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Titanium, superalloys, and some steels currently have some of the longest lead times in the industry. Certain tough steels have lead times as high as 65 to 75 weeks. Titanium is typically a 52-week lead time.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Arvind Melligeri, Executive Chairman and CEO</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Financial Services</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/PINELABS/">Pine Labs | Mid Cap | Financial Services</a></h2><p>Pine Labs is a leading merchant commerce platform that provides offline and online payment solutions along with risk management and consumer credit products. The company serves over 2 million merchant touchpoints across India, Southeast Asia, and the Middle East.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/59126-26-May-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>The company has issued strong revenue guidance for the next fiscal year and expects profit margins to expand. Investors should note the management&#8217;s confidence in translating higher sales directly into better bottom-line earnings.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We think we will be able to grow at about 21% to 23.5% on a year-on-year basis as far as revenue is concerned. We have already shown how we see the flow-through between revenue, contribution margin, and adjusted EBITDA in our business, so we definitely feel confident that we will be able to significantly improve our adjusted EBITDA going into FY27.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amreesh Rau, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>The online payment gateway business is growing much faster than the core offline segment and has captured major market share. Securing the largest e-commerce and quick-commerce players provides a stable and high-volume foundation for digital growth.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In the online space, we are making very good progress; we have grown that business almost by 60% on a year-on-year basis. All three quick-commerce companies and all three e-commerce companies are today using Pine Labs as a platform.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amreesh Rau, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Pine Labs is successfully exporting its Indian technology stack to emerging markets across Asia and the Middle East. This international expansion is diversifying the company&#8217;s income and providing valuable foreign currency revenue.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;What we have delivered here in India and the tech stack we have created for the Indian market is extremely relevant in markets like the Philippines, Vietnam, or the UAE. You are seeing very strong progress and we are getting dollar-based revenues from our international business.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amreesh Rau, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>The company has aggressively adopted artificial intelligence to automate almost all of its software development work. This significant operational change is expected to lower long-term costs and accelerate the delivery of new features.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;89% of all new code written within Pine Labs over the last two quarters has been completely AI-generated. It does two things for us: one, it provides tremendous efficiency as we build new products, and two, our legacy platforms are being updated and improved as we speak.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amreesh Rau, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Competitive pressure is easing as some rivals find the hardware-heavy payments business unprofitable or shift focus toward lending. This consolidation allows Pine Labs to win large corporate contracts that require specialized technology rather than credit products.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are seeing newcomers pull out because it is not economically viable for them. Second, some competitors&#8217; large revenue models are built around financial services and lending rather than payment-based revenues. An OMC does not need a loan today, so that is not a segment they want to address.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amreesh Rau, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>A significant portion of the company&#8217;s growth is driven by increasing the number of active terminals rather than just deploying hardware. Higher activation rates indicate better utilization of the existing network and improved returns on investment.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;About 25-30% of growth comes from activating merchants and stores. In our deck, we show the ratio of POS machines activated for flow and transactions improved from 21% a year ago to 30%. This will continue to add to our growth.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amreesh Rau, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Pine Labs is launching blockchain-based settlement tools to speed up international money transfers. This new product line targets global pain points in cross-border payments and represents a major push into future-ready financial infrastructure.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are seeing stablecoins used for faster movement in person-to-person, person-to-merchant, and bulk remittances. Second is programmable money, where money can be used only for a specific service. We will start sales activities for this in the next month. This is entirely for global markets and nothing to do with India.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amreesh Rau, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>The company has deepened its relationship with large oil marketing companies by providing automation and loyalty programs beyond simple payments. These long-term, multi-layered contracts provide high revenue visibility and make the service harder for competitors to replace.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The petroleum segment is one of our oldest. We do fuel pump automation, forecourt controllers, and integration. Second is payment infrastructure deployment. Third is transaction or flow-based revenues. Fourth is loyalty services; for Indian Oil, we are managing the entire Extra Power loyalty card program for the next five years.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amreesh Rau, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Engineering &amp; Capital Goods</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/BAJEL/">Bajel Projects Limited | Small Cap | Power Transmission &amp; Distribution</a></h2><p>Bajel Projects is a specialized engineering, procurement, and construction company that focuses on building power transmission infrastructure like substations and high-voltage lines. Originally a part of Bajaj Electricals, the firm now operates as an independent entity executing domestic and international projects alongside its own tower manufacturing facilities.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/57747-29-May-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>India&#8217;s massive push for renewable energy is creating a huge demand for new power transmission lines to connect green energy sources to the grid. This multi-year roadmap suggests a steady pipeline of work for specialized infrastructure companies for the rest of the decade.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;India&#8217;s power sector continues to be one of the most attractive markets globally. The country is targeting roughly 900 gigawatts of non-fossil fuel-based installed capacity by 2030, which represents a significant increase from current levels. To enable this transition, the Central Electricity Authority (CEA) has outlined a transmission roadmap requiring approximately 114,687 circuit kilometers of transmission lines and 1,274,185 MVA of transformation capacity.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Rajesh Ganesh, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Geopolitical tensions and rising oil prices have recently slowed down the company&#8217;s expansion plans in the Middle East. Additionally, the business remains vulnerable to price spikes in essential raw materials like steel and aluminum which can impact project costs.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Towards the end of the year, the US-Iran conflict further stretched global supplies with crude oil reaching over $100 a barrel, giving rise to overall inflation. This conflict also resulted in a slowdown of our plans in the Middle East and North Africa region. As an EPC company, Bajel remains exposed to the vagaries of market fluctuations in aluminum, zinc, and steel prices.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Rajesh Ganesh, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company has gained significant momentum recently by winning its first major international order and bidding on a massive pool of new projects. This strong pipeline of pending and potential contracts provides high visibility for future revenue growth.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Post March 2026, we have secured orders exceeding 1,000 crores, including our first order from the Middle East and North Africa region valued at approximately 400 crores for the construction of a 500 kV overhead transmission line. We are currently L1 or in advanced stages of negotiation with customers on orders worth over 2,000 crores. We are also actively pursuing opportunities worth 22,000 crores.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Rajesh Ganesh, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Bajel is significantly increasing its internal manufacturing capacity for power towers to better control its supply chain and meet growing demand. While they are investing for growth, management is becoming more cautious about the global economic environment heading into the next year.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our manufacturing facility at Ranjangaon near Pune is being expanded to 110,000 to 120,000 metric tons per annum. Once operational, the expanded facility will significantly enhance our captive capability and ability to serve both domestic and international demand. The macroeconomic optimism that characterized FY26 has been considerably tempered as the world enters FY27.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Rajesh Ganesh, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>A large temporary spike in unpaid bills at the end of the year was caused by a single major customer delaying payment, which has since been resolved. This suggests the recent increase in debt was a timing issue rather than a permanent problem with getting paid.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Also, one marquee customer held back payments in the last fortnight of March of around 225 crores. We have collected most of both of these since then. The other increase is part of the EPC cycle where final retention amounts increase as you do projects.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Nitesh Bhandari, CFO</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Real Estate</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/BSE/AGIIL/">AGI Infra | Small Cap | Realty | Premium Housing Shift Fuels Growth Ambitions</a></h2><p>AGI Infra is a Punjab-based real estate developer focused on residential communities and commercial projects. As buyers increasingly gravitate toward premium housing and community living, the company is expanding into larger markets while targeting faster profit growth than revenue growth over the next five years.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TG-ViX-oHjY">Reference</a>]<br><br>AGI is moving into Tier-1 locations in Punjab where property prices and demand are significantly higher. This geographic expansion is the primary driver for the company&#8217;s rising profit margins and better brand positioning.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The company expanded from Jalandhar into Ludhiana over the last few years and is now moving toward Chandigarh and New Chandigarh, where management expects further margin improvement. Management attributed recent margin expansion partly to moving from smaller towns into larger cities, where realizations and profitability are higher.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sukhdev Singh Khinda, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Punjab&#8217;s real estate market is maturing as buyers move up the value chain toward luxury amenities and gated communities. This premiumization allows the company to command higher prices and better unit economics.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;According to management, the concept of community living is gaining rapid acceptance across Punjab, particularly in Jalandhar and Ludhiana. The company is observing a clear consumer shift from affordable housing toward premium and luxury housing segments as purchasing power improves.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sukhdev Singh Khinda, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Owning land outright reduces the project costs and eliminates the need to share profits with third-party landowners. The current land bank provides a decade-long development pipeline, ensuring long-term revenue predictability.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;AGI Infra follows a self-owned land model and primarily develops projects on land owned by the company rather than relying heavily on joint development agreements. Management highlighted that the company owns approximately 164 acres of land reserves, providing visibility for development over the next 8&#8211;10 years.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sukhdev Singh Khinda, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Management is forecasting healthy top-line growth but expects profitability to grow even faster due to operating leverage and higher-margin projects. This mismatch between revenue and profit growth targets suggests a focus on increasing capital efficiency.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Looking ahead, management expects revenue growth to compound at approximately 18&#8211;20% annually over the next five years. Profit growth is expected to outpace revenue growth, with management targeting a profit CAGR of around 25&#8211;27% over the same period.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sukhdev Singh Khinda, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><p>That&#8217;s it for now! Your feedback will really help shape how The Chatter evolves. Drop it down in the comments below!</p><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://thechatterbyzerodha.substack.com/p/the-chatter-underneath-the-noise?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share&amp;token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjozMDExNzg5MTMsInBvc3RfaWQiOjE3MjY2NDQxNiwiaWF0IjoxNzU3NTk4NjQzLCJleHAiOjE3NjAxOTA2NDMsImlzcyI6InB1Yi00ODk4NzYwIiwic3ViIjoicG9zdC1yZWFjdGlvbiJ9.TFcDJv32XGvO0oFacHaCKP014RVVZ1pAYaVdcBrgrfE&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Share&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:&quot;button-wrapper&quot;}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary button-wrapper" href="https://thechatterbyzerodha.substack.com/p/the-chatter-underneath-the-noise?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share&amp;token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjozMDExNzg5MTMsInBvc3RfaWQiOjE3MjY2NDQxNiwiaWF0IjoxNzU3NTk4NjQzLCJleHAiOjE3NjAxOTA2NDMsImlzcyI6InB1Yi00ODk4NzYwIiwic3ViIjoicG9zdC1yZWFjdGlvbiJ9.TFcDJv32XGvO0oFacHaCKP014RVVZ1pAYaVdcBrgrfE"><span>Share</span></a></p><p>Quotes in this newsletter were curated by Meher, Shahid &amp; Srusti.</p><p>Disclaimer: We&#8217;ve used AI tools in filtering and cleaning up these quotes so there maybe some mistakes. Now, if you are thinking why we are using AI, please remember that we are just a small team of 5 people running everything you see on Zerodha Markets &#128556; So, all the good stuff is human and mistakes are AI.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Global Chatter: Nvidia, Samsung, Cloudflare & More]]></title><description><![CDATA[Edition #1]]></description><link>https://thechatter.zerodha.com/p/global-chatter-nvidia-samsung-cloudflare</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://thechatter.zerodha.com/p/global-chatter-nvidia-samsung-cloudflare</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Zerodha]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 24 May 2026 04:30:59 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5Rc-!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F38ad241c-2178-46fb-a5dd-d801acdc0b50_2400x1350.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a 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stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Welcome to the first edition of Global Chatter &#8212; a fortnightly newsletter where we dig through what the world&#8217;s biggest companies are saying and bring you the most interesting insights, whether about their businesses, industries, global trends, or the broader economy. We read through major global earnings calls, shareholder letters, investor presentations, and management interviews so you don&#8217;t have to.</p><p>From Big Tech and semiconductors to global banks, consumer giants, energy majors, and industrial leaders, Global Chatter is our attempt to cut through the noise and surface the conversations that actually matter.</p><p>We&#8217;re always looking to make Global Chatter more useful and insightful&#8212;so if you have ideas on how we can improve or innovate the format further, we&#8217;d love to hear them.</p><p>In this edition, we have covered <strong>11 companies across 10 diversified industries.</strong></p><div><hr></div><h1>AI Computing</h1><ul><li><p>Nvidia</p></li></ul><h1>Electronics &amp; Semiconductors</h1><ul><li><p>Samsung Electronics</p></li></ul><h1>Technology Conglomerate</h1><ul><li><p>Alphabet Inc.</p></li><li><p>Baidu Inc.</p></li></ul><h1>E-Commerce</h1><ul><li><p>Amazon.com, Inc.</p></li></ul><h1>Design &amp; Product Development Platform</h1><ul><li><p>Figma Inc.</p></li></ul><h1>Consumer Packaged Goods</h1><ul><li><p>Unilever PLC</p></li></ul><h1>Chemical &amp; Material Conglomerate</h1><ul><li><p>Mitsubishi Chemical</p></li></ul><h1>Cloud Services &amp; Cybersecurity</h1><ul><li><p>Cloudflare, Inc.</p></li></ul><h1>Retail</h1><ul><li><p>Walmart</p></li></ul><h1>Software</h1><ul><li><p>Zoom Communications</p></li></ul><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://www.nvidia.com/en-in/">Nvidia | AI Computing</a></h2><p>Nvidia is a technology company that designs high-performance processors, most notably Graphics Processing Units (GPUs). Originally built to render video game graphics, these chips are now the global standard for powering artificial intelligence (AI), data centers, robotics, and autonomous vehicles.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.investing.com/news/transcripts/earnings-call-transcript-nvidia-q1-2027-beats-expectations-stock-rises-93CH-4702696">Transcript</a>]</p><p>Jensen made it clear that NVIDIA&#8217;s growth should exceed hyperscaler CapEx growth because the company is now exposed to multiple AI infrastructure categories beyond traditional cloud players. This is a major signal on long-term TAM expansion.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We should be growing faster than hyperscale CapEx&#8230; The first category is hyperscalers&#8230; The second category is all of the AI native clouds&#8230; enterprise, industrial companies, sovereign AI clouds&#8230; hundreds of thousands of companies with smaller installations. That category is going to continue to grow at incredible pace.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Jensen Huang, President &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management reiterated its view that AI infrastructure spending is still in the early innings and could expand dramatically over the decade.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The CapEx is at $1 trillion and it&#8217;s growing towards $3 trillion-$4 trillion&#8230; If they don&#8217;t have the compute, they won&#8217;t have the revenues. Compute is revenues. Compute is profit.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Jensen Huang, President &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Jensen characterized current AI demand as fundamentally different from prior cycles because AI workloads are now directly monetizable.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;This was an extraordinary quarter. Demand has gone parabolic. The reason is simple: agentic AI has arrived. AI can now do productive and valuable work. Tokens are now profitable.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Jensen Huang, President &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>NVIDIA sees CPUs for agentic AI orchestration as a major new market opportunity beyond GPUs.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Vera opens a brand-new $200 billion TAM for NVIDIA, a market we have never addressed before.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Jensen Huang, President &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Jensen outlined how CPUs will play a much larger role in orchestrating AI agents and tool usage.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The harness runs on CPU, and the tool use runs on CPUs&#8230; The world is going to have billions of agents&#8230; Every one of those agents are going to spin off sub-agents&#8230; All of the orchestration essentially runs on CPUs.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Jensen Huang, President &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Jensen suggested adoption for Rubin will be broader and faster than Blackwell.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Every single frontier model company will jump on Vera Rubin from the get-go&#8230; Vera Rubin is off to a tremendous start, and it&#8217;ll surely be more successful than even Grace Blackwell.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Jensen Huang, President &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>NVIDIA highlighted Anthropic as a major incremental customer and capacity consumer.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The amount of capacity that we&#8217;re going to bring online for Anthropic this year and next year is going to be quite significant. Very significant.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Jensen Huang, President &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Jensen indicated that enterprise, sovereign AI, and industrial AI infrastructure may become larger than hyperscaler demand over time.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Long term&#8230; industrial and enterprise&#8230; represents some $50 trillion-$80 trillion of the world&#8217;s economy&#8230; I expect the second category to be larger over time.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Jensen Huang, President &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>NVIDIA believes robotics and physical AI will become a major incremental growth vector beyond data centers.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The next wave is physical AI, with billions of autonomous and robotic systems operating in the physical world.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Jensen Huang, President &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Jensen described a structural change in computing economics that favors NVIDIA&#8217;s architecture.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The economics of cloud computing of the past was $ per core&#8230; The economics of AI of the future is tokens per $ or $ per token.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Jensen Huang, President &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>NVIDIA is expanding CUDA beyond AI models into enterprise software ecosystems.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We&#8217;re accelerating all of the world&#8217;s tools so that it runs on CUDA&#8230; Cadence, Synopsys, Siemens, Adobe&#8230; because agents use these tools and they want things to happen quickly.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Jensen Huang, President &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Physical-world AI deployments require localized compute infrastructure.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Many industrial companies, there&#8217;s no choice but to put the computer where the context is, where the action is&#8230; You can&#8217;t put that in the cloud.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Jensen Huang, President &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Jensen framed AI as the first technology wave capable of digitizing industries untouched by traditional IT.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The rest of the $100 trillion industry that has not been impacted by IT in the last 30 years, it&#8217;s about to be impacted by AI.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Jensen Huang, President &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Jensen argued that AI has transformed compute from a cost center into a direct revenue-generating asset, which structurally changes infrastructure spending behavior.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;SaaS didn&#8217;t use to use as much compute, but AI requires a tremendous amount of compute&#8230; Compute is revenues. Compute is profit.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Jensen Huang, President &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>NVIDIA believes AI-native infrastructure providers cannot realistically build their own vertically integrated stacks, strengthening NVIDIA&#8217;s moat.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;AI native clouds don&#8217;t build chips, don&#8217;t design their own chips, they can&#8217;t really assemble unrelated parts together into an AI factory&#8230; NVIDIA&#8217;s architecture is so perfect for them.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Jensen Huang, President &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management repeatedly emphasized that NVIDIA is unique because it controls the entire AI stack.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;NVIDIA is quite unique in the sense that we are the only company that builds all of the technology components&#8230; in an extreme co-design way, in a complete end-to-end way, in a full stack way.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Jensen Huang, President &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>NVIDIA expects AI demand to move from a handful of hyperscalers to hundreds of thousands of enterprises globally.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The rest of the industry represents a couple of 250,000 companies around the world&#8230; in the future, it&#8217;ll be hundreds of thousands of companies.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Jensen Huang, President &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Countries increasingly want localized AI infrastructure for regulatory and security reasons.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Everybody wants to build it in a different way&#8230; It could be because of confidential computing. It could be because of national security reasons.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Jensen Huang, President &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>AI-RAN is emerging as a future infrastructure opportunity extending beyond traditional data centers.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Every single base station, every single radio network would become an AI-powered radio network.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Jensen Huang, President &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Jensen described agentic AI as potentially creating a computing explosion larger than the internet era.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The world is going to have billions of agents&#8230; every one of those agents are going to spin off sub-agents.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Jensen Huang, President &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>While CPUs orchestrate agents, NVIDIA emphasized that the core &#8216;thinking&#8217; layer still relies on GPUs.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;All of the thinking happens on GPUs.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Jensen Huang, President &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Jensen suggested industrial and enterprise AI could ultimately dwarf hyperscaler AI economics.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Industrial and enterprise&#8230; represents some $50 trillion-$80 trillion of the world&#8217;s economy.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Jensen Huang, President &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>NVIDIA expects robotics and physical-world automation to accelerate rapidly this decade.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I&#8217;m hoping that within the next 5 years, physical AI and robotics segment is going to grow incredibly fast.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Jensen Huang, President &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Security and compute isolation are becoming increasingly important for enterprise AI deployments.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Vera Rubin is the world&#8217;s first platform with end-to-end confidential computing.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Jensen Huang, President &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><strong><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Samsung_Electronics">Samsung Electronics | Electronics &amp; Semiconductors</a></strong></h2><p>Samsung Electronics is a South Korean multinational tech giant and the flagship subsidiary of the Samsung Group, recognized globally for its consumer electronics and semiconductors.</p><p>[<a href="https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SSU.SG/earnings/SSU.SG-Q1-2026-earnings_call-547962.html">Transcript</a>]</p><p>Management attributed the record performance primarily to AI-driven semiconductor demand and stronger mix in high-value products. The scale of profitability improvement was extraordinary, with margins doubling sequentially.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Total revenue reached a new record high of KRW 134 trillion, up by 43% from the record set one quarter ago. Operating profit also reached a new all-time high of KRW 57 trillion, up 185% QoQ, and the operating margin expanded from 21% in the previous quarter to 43%.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Soon-Cheol Park, EVP, Head of Corporate Management Operations, and CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management believes AI infrastructure expansion remains the key structural driver for memory demand and pricing.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We expect memory price to stay on the current upward trend driven by ongoing expansion in AI infrastructure.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Soon-Cheol Park, EVP, Head of Corporate Management Operations, and CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company confirmed that hyperscalers and AI customers are now locking in longer-duration contracts because of tightening supply conditions.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Major customers are quite confident in future AI and AI-related demand&#8230; we have been pursuing multi-year supply agreements&#8230; and have already signed finalized contracts with some customers.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Jaejune Kim, EVP of Memory Business</em></p></blockquote><p>This was one of the strongest signals from the call regarding the intensity of the AI memory cycle and supply tightness.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Customers who are concerned about supply shortages are actually bringing forward their demand for 2027 already&#8230; the supply-demand gap is looking to widen further in 2027 versus this year.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Jaejune Kim, EVP of Memory Business</em></p></blockquote><p>The company acknowledged that available supply is materially below customer demand despite aggressive capacity planning.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We also have very tight inventory and available supply is far short of customer demand. In fact, our demand fulfillment rate is now at a record low.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Jaejune Kim, EVP of Memory Business</em></p></blockquote><p>Samsung confirmed extremely strong customer demand for next-generation AI memory products.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The differentiated performance of our HBM4 has led to concentration of demand, and our production-ready capacity is fully booked and sold out.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Jaejune Kim, EVP of Memory Business</em></p></blockquote><p>Samsung is rapidly transitioning toward next-generation HBM products, reflecting accelerating AI infrastructure upgrades.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;HBM4 sales are expected to exceed 50% of total HBM sales from the third quarter onwards and also account for roughly half on a full year basis.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Jaejune Kim, EVP of Memory Business</em></p></blockquote><p>Management believes the spread of agentic AI is accelerating memory demand structurally across servers and storage.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;With the spread of agentic AI, token processing is increasing in volume&#8230; and the AI ecosystem is growing even faster than ever.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Jaejune Kim, EVP of Memory Business</em></p></blockquote><p>Management acknowledged an unusual market inversion caused by the rapid spike in commodity DRAM pricing.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;It is true that conventional DRAMs have higher margins versus HBM&#8230; this has resulted in inversion of margins between HBM and conventional DRAM.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Jaejune Kim, EVP of Memory Business</em></p></blockquote><p>The company signaled a long-term strategic approach rather than chasing temporary pricing arbitrage.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;If we were to focus our product portfolio on conventional DRAM, looking to achieve short-term performance only, this could potentially pose constraints on the build-out of the underlying AI infrastructure itself.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Jaejune Kim, EVP of Memory Business</em></p></blockquote><p>Supply constraints are being driven by long fab lead times and AI demand growth outpacing industry capacity additions.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;When you consider the lead time involved for new fab expansions, supply growth is expected to remain constrained within the industry for the time being.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Jaejune Kim, EVP of Memory Business</em></p></blockquote><p>The company outlined one of the largest investment programs globally across semiconductors and future technologies.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The company plans to invest over KRW 110 trillion in facilities and R&amp;D to strengthen our strategic production basis for future.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Soon-Cheol Park, EVP, Head of Corporate Management Operations, and CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company framed humanoid robotics as a major future strategic growth area.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Through the development of humanoid robots&#8230; we aim to innovate manufacturing productivity and daily experiences.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Soon-Cheol Park, EVP, Head of Corporate Management Operations, and CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>Samsung Foundry highlighted accelerating customer engagement in advanced AI-related processes.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We continued to expand our customer base and deepen engagement across high-performance computing applications, sustaining a solid order momentum throughout the quarter.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Sukchae Kang, EVP and Head of Sales and Marketing Office for Foundry</em></p></blockquote><p>Management suggested upcoming leading-edge foundry wins could become visible soon.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are in active talks with multiple large-scale AI and HPC customers on 2 nm process projects. Expect to secure more visible results in the near future.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Sukchae Kang, EVP and Head of Sales and Marketing Office for Foundry</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is positioning itself for the next phase of AI infrastructure networking demand.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are developing not only silicon photonics components, but also technology for the CPO or co-packaged optics business based on advanced processes and three-D packaging.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Sukchae Kang, EVP and Head of Sales and Marketing Office for Foundry</em></p></blockquote><p>Management believes storage demand is becoming increasingly critical in AI inference architectures.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;NVIDIA proposed an architecture&#8230; that extends AI inference data storage beyond HBM to NAND-based storage rather than relying solely on HBM. This will likely lead to rising demand for high performance storage.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Jaejune Kim, EVP of Memory Business</em></p></blockquote><p>Management repeatedly emphasized that the pace of AI ecosystem expansion is exceeding earlier assumptions.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The spread of agentic AI is likely to accelerate at a much faster pace than initially expected.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Jaejune Kim, EVP of Memory Business</em></p></blockquote><p>Samsung sees AI demand spilling over from HBM into conventional server infrastructure.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We expect that the demand for DRAM and SSD for conventional servers will increase more sharply than previously anticipated.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Jaejune Kim, EVP of Memory Business</em></p></blockquote><p>The magnitude of pricing acceleration reflects one of the strongest memory upcycles in recent years.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our blended ASP rose by low 90% range QoQ for DRAM, high 80% QoQ for NAND.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Jaejune Kim, EVP of Memory Business</em></p></blockquote><p>AI-driven server demand is materially transforming the profitability profile of the memory business.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our memory business set another all-time high in quarterly performance following the previous quarter.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Jaejune Kim, EVP of Memory Business</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is aggressively advancing the roadmap beyond HBM4.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have been accelerating development of next-gen HBM4E products with pin speed of 16 Gbps and bandwidth of 4.0 TB per second.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Jaejune Kim, EVP of Memory Business</em></p></blockquote><p>AI workloads are broadening demand beyond DRAM and HBM toward high-performance storage.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;This will likely lead to rising demand for high performance storage, such as TLC-based PCIe Gen 6 SSDs.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Jaejune Kim, EVP of Memory Business</em></p></blockquote><p>The company continues to push aggressively into next-generation process leadership.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The development of the 1.4 nm process is progressing as planned.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Sukchae Kang, EVP and Head of Sales and Marketing Office for Foundry</em></p></blockquote><p>Management provided a concrete commercialization timeline for advanced foundry nodes.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In the second half, we will start mass production of the second-generation 2 nm process.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Sukchae Kang, EVP and Head of Sales and Marketing Office for Foundry</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is intentionally reducing dependence on mobile markets.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are actively pursuing structural transformation by diversifying our application portfolio beyond mobile into AI HPC, automotive, and aerospace sectors.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Sukchae Kang, EVP and Head of Sales and Marketing Office for Foundry</em></p></blockquote><p>AI networking bandwidth requirements are creating new infrastructure opportunities.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are seeing growing demand for high bandwidth and low power data transmission, which has led to a rapid rise in demand for silicon photonics.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Sukchae Kang, EVP and Head of Sales and Marketing Office for Foundry</em></p></blockquote><p>Even amid weaker unit shipments, AI-enabled premium devices are supporting value growth.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The smartphone market is expected to decline in shipments due to rising costs, while revenues are projected to grow driven by expansion of super premium products.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Seong Cho, EVP and Head of Strategic Marketing Office for Mobile Experience</em></p></blockquote><p>Rising memory and component costs are pressuring downstream device margins.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Cost pressure on key components in Q2 are expected to intensify&#8230; a decline in profitability appears inevitable.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Seong Cho, EVP and Head of Strategic Marketing Office for Mobile Experience</em></p></blockquote><p>AI data center expansion is creating a fast-growing adjacent opportunity in thermal management.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The data center cooling market is projected to grow from $4.7 billion in 2024 to $16.6 billion by 2030.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Sang-Jik Lee, EVP and Head of Sales Marketing Team of DA</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><strong><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alphabet_Inc.">Alphabet Inc. | Technology Conglomerate</a></strong></h2><p>Alphabet Inc. is an American multinational technology conglomerate holding company and the parent organization of Google LLC. Headquartered in Mountain View, California, it was formed in 2015 to restructure Google into a decentralized portfolio of businesses.</p><p>[<a href="https://s206.q4cdn.com/479360582/files/doc_events/2026/Apr/29/Alphabet-2026_Q1_Earnings_Transcript.pdf">Transcript</a>]</p><p>This was one of the biggest disclosures of the quarter and signals massive forward demand for AI infrastructure and enterprise AI workloads. Management highlighted that backlog growth was driven by both enterprise AI contracts and TPU hardware agreements.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Google Cloud&#8217;s backlog nearly doubled sequentially, reaching $462 billion at the end of the first quarter. The increase was driven by strong demand for our enterprise AI offerings and the inclusion of TPU hardware sales&#8230; The majority of the backlog is related to typical GCP contracts.&#8221;<br><br>&#8212; Anat Ashkenazi, SVP and CFO, Alphabet and Google</em></p></blockquote><p>Alphabet sharply increased capital expenditure guidance amid unprecedented AI compute demand internally and externally. The company also explicitly guided for another significant increase in 2027 CapEx.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are updating our full year 2026 CapEx guidance range to $180 to $190 billion&#8230; We are seeing unprecedented internal and external demand for AI compute resources&#8230; As a result, we expect our 2027 CapEx to significantly increase compared to 2026.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Anat Ashkenazi, SVP and CFO, Alphabet and Google</em></p></blockquote><p>Sundar explicitly acknowledged ongoing capacity shortages, implying AI demand is materially ahead of supply.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Obviously, we are compute constrained in the near term. And as an example, our Cloud revenue would have been higher if we were able to meet the demand.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Sundar Pichai, CEO, Alphabet and Google</em></p></blockquote><p>Management confirmed enterprise AI products are now the primary growth driver for Google Cloud, not traditional infrastructure.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our Enterprise AI solutions have become our primary growth driver for Cloud for the first time. In Q1, revenue from products built on our gen AI models grew nearly 800% year over year.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Sundar Pichai, CEO, Alphabet and Google</em></p></blockquote><p>Alphabet is now commercializing TPUs beyond Google Cloud, including direct deployments into customer-owned data centers.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We will begin to deliver TPUs to a select group of customers in their own data centers in a hardware configuration to expand our addressable market opportunity.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Sundar Pichai, CEO, Alphabet and Google</em></p></blockquote><p>Enterprise adoption of Gemini accelerated materially during the quarter, supported by partners and large corporate deployments.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Gemini Enterprise is seeing tremendous momentum, with 40% growth quarter over quarter in paid monthly active users.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Sundar Pichai, CEO, Alphabet and Google</em></p></blockquote><p>Management emphasized that AI Overviews and AI Mode are expanding overall Search engagement rather than cannibalizing it.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;AI continues to drive Search usage, and queries are at an all time high.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Sundar Pichai, CEO, Alphabet and Google</em></p></blockquote><p>The company highlighted major inference efficiency gains despite rolling out more advanced AI features into Search.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Since upgrading AI Overviews and AI Mode to Gemini 3, we have reduced the cost of core AI responses by more than 30%, thanks to continued hardware and engineering breakthroughs.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Sundar Pichai, CEO, Alphabet and Google</em></p></blockquote><p>Sundar described agentic consumer workflows as a major future monetization and engagement layer within Search.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I think bringing agentic workflows to consumers in a way that it&#8217;s easy for them to do, including in the context of Search, I see as a huge opportunity ahead.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Sundar Pichai, CEO, Alphabet and Google</em></p></blockquote><p>Sundar strongly differentiated Google from peers by emphasizing ownership across chips, models, infrastructure, tools, and applications.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are unique in the market because of our vertically optimized AI stack&#8230; the fact that we own frontier models, own the silicon, really helps us stay ahead of the curve.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Sundar Pichai, CEO, Alphabet and Google</em></p></blockquote><p>Sundar hinted that premium AI-powered Search experiences may increasingly shift toward subscription monetization.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;As we serve more and more valuable use cases, there are going to be use cases where people will want to use the most powerful model, and there may be different ways to accomplish that.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Sundar Pichai, CEO, Alphabet and Google</em></p></blockquote><p>Google believes Gemini is expanding the universe of monetizable Search queries.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The understanding that we have with Gemini on intent has significantly expanded our ability to deliver Ads on longer, more complex searches that were previously really difficult to monetize.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Philipp Schindler, SVP and CBO, Google</em></p></blockquote><p>AI-native ad products are scaling rapidly across Google&#8217;s advertiser base.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;More than 30% of our customers&#8217; Search spend now uses AI enabled campaigns AI Max or Performance Max.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Philipp Schindler, SVP and CBO, Google</em></p></blockquote><p>Management pushed back against fears that AI will shrink Search economics, arguing instead that AI expands use cases and engagement.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I think the way to think about it is really to think about the expansionary moment we see here for Search.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Philipp Schindler, SVP and CBO, Google</em></p></blockquote><p>Management directly stated that AI features are increasing engagement and repeat usage behavior within Search.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;People love our AI experiences like AI Mode and AI Overviews, and they&#8217;re coming back to Search more.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Sundar Pichai, CEO, Alphabet and Google</em></p></blockquote><p>The scale milestone highlights how rapidly AI infrastructure demand is transforming Google Cloud&#8217;s business profile.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Cloud accelerated again this quarter due to strong demand for our AI products and infrastructure. Revenue grew 63%, exceeding $20 billion for the first time.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Sundar Pichai, CEO, Alphabet and Google</em></p></blockquote><p>AI developer adoption continues to scale rapidly across Google&#8217;s ecosystem.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our first party models now process more than 16 billion tokens per minute via direct API use by our customers, up from 10 billion last quarter.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Sundar Pichai, CEO, Alphabet and Google</em></p></blockquote><p>Google claims it improved Search performance materially even while integrating compute-intensive AI functionality.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Even as we have brought new AI features into our results page, we have reduced Search latency by more than 35% over the past five years.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Sundar Pichai, CEO, Alphabet and Google</em></p></blockquote><p>This marks a major shift away from traditional cloud infrastructure growth drivers.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our Enterprise AI solutions have become our primary growth driver for Cloud for the first time.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Sundar Pichai, CEO, Alphabet and Google</em></p></blockquote><p>Existing enterprise customers are scaling AI workloads materially faster than originally forecast.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Customers outpaced their initial commitments by 45%, accelerating over last quarter.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Sundar Pichai, CEO, Alphabet and Google</em></p></blockquote><p>Gemini-powered targeting is materially improving monetization efficiency in Maps.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In Maps, we are using Gemini to ensure &#8216;Promoted Pins&#8217; are deeply relevant&#8230; This work is improving ads relevance by nearly 10% leading to significant increase in user engagement.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Philipp Schindler, SVP and CBO, Google</em></p></blockquote><p>Google highlighted concrete advertiser performance gains from AI-powered campaigns.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Hilton EMEA&#8230; captured one third more clicks for a fifth of the spend, while simultaneously increasing the average booking value by 55%.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Philipp Schindler, SVP and CBO, Google</em></p></blockquote><p>More conversational and intent-rich queries are expanding monetizable search inventory.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Etsy saw a 10% search volume uplift, with 15% of those queries being net new to their business.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Philipp Schindler, SVP and CBO, Google</em></p></blockquote><p>Management said the company is redesigning advertising specifically for AI-native search experiences.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We aren&#8217;t just bringing existing ad formats into AI experiences, we are reinventing ads for this new era.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Philipp Schindler, SVP and CBO, Google</em></p></blockquote><p>AI-powered commerce flows are increasingly integrated directly inside Search and Gemini.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Shoppers can now review product recommendations, compare options and complete streamlined checkout for eligible purchases, directly within AI Mode and Gemini.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Philipp Schindler, SVP and CBO, Google</em></p></blockquote><p>AI compute demand is heavily shifting spending mix toward server infrastructure.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Approximately 60% of our investment in technical infrastructure this quarter was in servers.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Anat Ashkenazi, SVP and CFO, Alphabet and Google</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><strong><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Baidu">Baidu Inc. | Technology Conglomerate</a></strong></h2><p>Baidu, Inc. is a Chinese multinational technology company specializing in Internet services and artificial intelligence. It holds a dominant position in China&#8217;s search engine market, and provides a wide variety of other internet services such as Baidu App, Baidu Baike, iQIYI, Baidu Tieba, and ES File Explorer.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.investing.com/news/transcripts/earnings-call-transcript-baidu-q1-2026-sees-ai-business-boost-93CH-4695964">Transcript</a>]</p><p>Management highlighted that demand is moving beyond model training into large-scale inference and production deployment. This is important because inference demand is structurally larger and stickier than training demand.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have seen a remarkable strong enterprise demand for AI infrastructure, both training and inference, with inference showing particularly strong momentum&#8230; It tells us that customers have moved beyond training models and are now running AI across more parts of their business and accelerating pace.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Dou Shen, EVP in charge of Baidu AI Cloud Group (ACG)</em></p></blockquote><p>This marks a major business mix transition away from traditional online marketing dependence. Management framed it as a structural inflection point.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In Q1&#8230; our Baidu core AI-powered business&#8230; already exceeded 50% of our total revenue for the first time. This is an important milestone reflecting both AI growing contribution and a more diversified revenue base.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Haijian He, Chief Financial Officer (CFO)</em></p></blockquote><p>Management clearly stated that AI infrastructure is not just a growth driver but also a margin expansion driver because of higher technical barriers and tight supply.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;GPU Cloud usually carries better margin profiles than a traditional CPU cloud&#8230; GPU Cloud is technically more complex, with much higher barriers to entry&#8230; demand remains very strong while high-quality supply is relatively tight.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Dou Shen, EVP in charge of Baidu AI Cloud Group (ACG)</em></p></blockquote><p>Baidu believes the revenue mix shift toward AI infrastructure and MaaS will durably improve cloud profitability.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;As GPU Cloud takes a larger and larger share of our total cloud infrastructure revenue, we believe the blended margins for our cloud improve structurally, and that&#8217;s a durable ongoing trend.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Dou Shen, EVP in charge of Baidu AI Cloud Group (ACG)</em></p></blockquote><p>Robin Li reiterated Baidu&#8217;s long-standing thesis that AI monetization will accrue primarily at the application layer rather than foundation models themselves.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have always believed that models ultimately create value through applications. We have consistently taken an application-driven approach.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Robin Li, Co-founder &amp; Chief Executive Officer (CEO)</em></p></blockquote><p>Management sees AI-assisted coding becoming a foundational AI capability with broad commercial potential.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are enhancing coding capabilities to better support vibe coding, enabling users to build applications through natural language. As coding becomes an increasingly foundational capability in the AI era, this will be a growing area of focus.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Robin Li, Co-founder &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Robin Li suggested the AI industry will eventually shift from token pricing toward outcome- and productivity-based monetization models.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Today, token-based pricing is more common&#8230; Over time, AI applications and agents will become more capable of completing real tasks like a human being&#8230; In the future, people will pay for agents or applications, and the market for this should be much larger than tokens.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Robin Li, Co-founder &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Baidu sees digital humans emerging as a major AI-native application opportunity, especially in commerce.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In e-commerce live streaming, they are proving increasingly effective at driving engagement and conversion with performance in many cases comparable to or even better than human hosts.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Robin Li, Co-founder &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Baidu believes international robotaxi markets may ultimately be significantly more profitable than domestic China operations because of higher pricing environments.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Apollo Go has already achieved UE breakeven in its largest operational city in China, despite very low fare levels&#8230; As we expand globally, the pricing environment becomes much more attractive. We believe our overseas operations have the potential to deliver much stronger profitability.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Robin Li, Co-founder &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Baidu emphasized its scale advantage in robotaxis and framed operational experience as a core moat.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Apollo Go remains a global leader. We&#8217;ve completed over 22 million cumulative rides as of April.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Robin Li, Co-founder &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management believes the total addressable market outside China and the U.S. may ultimately exceed the China domestic opportunity.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The overall international market, outside of U.S. and China, is also bigger than China domestic market.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Robin Li, Co-founder &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Baidu believes Chinese AI chips may struggle in frontier training but can compete effectively in inference.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Domestic chips are still catching up with the most advanced global products in certain frontier training scenarios. Inference is an area where domestic chips can be highly relevant and competitive.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Dou Shen, EVP in charge of Baidu AI Cloud Group (ACG)</em></p></blockquote><p>The company believes industry demand is structurally shifting from training toward inference-heavy workloads.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We&#8217;re seeing a structural shift in AI compute demand from training-heavy to a growing mix of inference.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Dou Shen, EVP in charge of Baidu AI Cloud Group (ACG)</em></p></blockquote><p>Baidu emphasized that Kunlun&#8217;s advantage is not the chip alone but integration across the AI stack.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Kunlun is not just a standalone chip product. It&#8217;s a critical part of Baidu&#8217;s full-stack AI capabilities&#8230; We can continuously optimize across the entire stack, improving model efficiency, reducing inference costs.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Dou Shen, EVP in charge of Baidu AI Cloud Group (ACG)</em></p></blockquote><p>Baidu is seeing rapidly rising usage across its model-as-a-service platform, reflecting expanding enterprise AI adoption.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We&#8217;re seeing continued growth in token consumption from external customers.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Dou Shen, EVP in charge of Baidu AI Cloud Group (ACG)</em></p></blockquote><p>AI infrastructure demand is no longer limited to internet and technology sectors.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We keep winning new ones too, including industries that historically won&#8217;t have users of AI and cloud computing, like retail and IP-based consumer brands.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Dou Shen, EVP in charge of Baidu AI Cloud Group (ACG)</em></p></blockquote><p>Robin Li argued that the AI industry is entering an application-first phase after years dominated by model breakthroughs.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Over the past three years, the biggest AI moments were driven by model breakthroughs&#8230; this year is different. For the first time, it is an agent, an AI application that has captured the world&#8217;s attention.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Robin Li, Co-founder &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management framed AI-powered search as one of the biggest long-term monetization opportunities globally.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Search&#8230; is our largest consumer-facing product, and one we have been consistently transforming with AI&#8230; enabling search to deliver more intelligent, structured, and genuinely helpful answers at scale.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Robin Li, Co-founder &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management stressed that AI capex is being evaluated through profitability and long-term margin lenses.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We care a lot about ROI of these investments, and I believe what we are building today will shape our margin structure for the years to come.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Haijian He, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>Baidu acknowledged that demand growth is still significantly ahead of local chip manufacturing maturity.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Domestic AI chips still face near-term challenges around capacity and supply chain maturity&#8230; demand is growing faster than supply.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Dou Shen, EVP in charge of Baidu AI Cloud Group (ACG)</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><strong><a href="http://amazon.com">Amazon.com, Inc. | E-commerce, Cloud Computing &amp; AI</a></strong></h2><p>Amazon.com, Inc. is an American multinational technology company focused on e-commerce, cloud computing, digital streaming, and artificial intelligence. Headquartered in Seattle, Washington, it stands as one of the world&#8217;s largest and most valuable technology brands</p><p>[<a href="https://www.investing.com/news/transcripts/earnings-call-transcript-amazons-q1-2026-results-exceed-expectations-93CH-4647388">Transcript</a>]</p><p>Andy Jassy framed the current AI cycle as a foundational technological shift that will reshape nearly every software application and business workflow. He also reiterated that Amazon plans to invest aggressively for years despite near-term capital intensity.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We do view this as truly a once in a lifetime opportunity, where every application that we know of is gonna be reinvented. There are so many new applications that none of us have ever imagined or dreamed we could build that are starting to be built and will be built&#8230; I expect that we will invest a significant amount of capital over the coming years to pursue that opportunity.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Andy Jassy, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Amazon disclosed one of the largest cloud backlogs globally, with management emphasizing that the pipeline is broad-based rather than concentrated among a few AI labs. The disclosed figure also excludes the recently announced Anthropic agreement.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The backlog, for Q1 is $364 billion. That does not include the recent deal that we announced with Anthropic for over $100 billion. There&#8217;s reasonable breadth in that as well. It&#8217;s not just one customer or two customers.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Andy Jassy, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management highlighted that AWS growth has reaccelerated sharply even at a $150 billion annualized revenue run rate, driven by both AI and core cloud demand.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We&#8217;re really pleased with the growth that we&#8217;re seeing in AWS right now. You know, 28% year-over-year, fastest growth rate in 15 quarters for us. Haven&#8217;t grown at this pace since we were about half the size. Growing 28% on a $150 billion annual run rate basis is not simple to do.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Andy Jassy, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management noted that AI demand is creating second-order growth effects across AWS core infrastructure and compute usage.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;As AI growth is exploding, it turns out that it leads to a lot of core growth as well. You know, all the post-training, all the reinforcement learning, all the agentic actions and tool usage that these agents are using.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Brian Olsavsky, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Amazon believes its custom silicon stack provides a structural competitive advantage in AI infrastructure economics.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Because we have an unusual collection of chips, we have the leading CPU chip in Graviton, and we have the leading price performance, silicon, AI chip in Trainium, it means that we&#8217;re really unusually well-positioned for the inflection that we&#8217;re seeing and the type of growth that we&#8217;re experiencing.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Brian Olsavsky, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Andy Jassy confirmed that Amazon may commercialize Trainium infrastructure beyond AWS cloud consumption, potentially opening a new hardware revenue stream.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I expect over time there&#8217;s a good chance we&#8217;re gonna sell racks over the next couple years.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Andy Jassy, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Andy described a major architectural shift from stateless chatbots toward persistent AI agents with memory and identity.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I think the future of using these models is a stateful model, a stateful API&#8230; when you&#8217;re building agents, you&#8217;re building AI applications, you don&#8217;t wanna start anew every time you interact with the model.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Andy Jassy, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Amazon&#8217;s AI shopping assistant is scaling meaningfully, supporting the company&#8217;s broader push into agentic commerce.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;You see the monthly active users up over 115% in Rufus and the engagement up over 400% year-over-year.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Andy Jassy, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management believes conversational AI shopping experiences may actually expand monetization opportunities rather than reduce ad inventory.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I actually believe that we&#8217;re gonna like this for advertising. I think it&#8217;s gonna be good for customers, and it&#8217;s gonna be good for our business.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Andy Jassy, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Amazon expects conversational shopping to create more opportunities for product discovery and sponsored recommendations.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In that process of having multi-turns, there are multiple opportunities to surface relevant products to customers, many of which will be organic and some of which will be sponsored.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Andy Jassy, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management acknowledged severe supply constraints across AI-related infrastructure components.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The cost of these components, particularly memory, has skyrocketed. We&#8217;re just in a stage where there&#8217;s just not enough capacity for the amount of demand.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Andy Jassy, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Enterprises struggling to secure infrastructure supply are increasingly moving workloads into AWS.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;One of the interesting things that we see right now&#8230; is that it is a further impetus pushing companies who have on-premises infrastructure into the cloud.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Andy Jassy, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Andy described major productivity gains already emerging from agentic coding and AI-assisted software development.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Normally that would&#8217;ve taken 40 or 50 people about 1 year to do, and we took 5 really smart people, AI forward-thinking people building on agentic coding tools, and those 5 people rebuilt it in 65 days.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Andy Jassy, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management believes AI will fundamentally reshape interfaces, workflows, and interaction models across Amazon&#8217;s businesses.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;All of these customer experiences we know are gonna be completely reinvented. They&#8217;re gonna have different interfaces, they&#8217;re gonna have different ways that people interact with them.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Andy Jassy, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Consumer and enterprise demand for always-on connectivity is becoming a major strategic opportunity.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Increasingly, we see very large demand for consumers to have direct-to-device.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Andy Jassy, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management suggested today&#8217;s AI shopping assistants still struggle with reliability and personalization.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The experience just hasn&#8217;t gotten great with these third-party horizontal agents yet. They&#8217;re not often able to get the pricing right or the product information right.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Andy Jassy, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>The company expects consumers to increasingly prefer AI shopping assistants embedded within trusted retailers.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;If you&#8217;re going to a particular retailer that you like to do business with&#8230; if they have a great agentic shopping assistant, you&#8217;re gonna often start there.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Andy Jassy, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Amazon expects AI-powered advertising tools to broaden the advertiser base.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I think they&#8217;re gonna be a lot more advertisers with the rise of what&#8217;s happening in AI.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Andy Jassy, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Agentic coding tools are dramatically reducing engineering labor requirements and timelines.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;That is a very different world of operating, and that&#8217;s the world I think we&#8217;re heading to over the next few years.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Andy Jassy, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><strong><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Figma">Figma Inc. | Design &amp; Product Development Platform</a></strong></h2><p>Figma, Inc.is a San Francisco-based technology company that develops a cloud-based, AI-powered digital design and product development platform. Founded in 2012 by Dylan Field and Evan Wallace, it allows teams to collaboratively design, prototype, and build digital products entirely in web browsers.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.fool.com/earnings/call-transcripts/2026/05/15/figma-fig-q1-2026-earnings-call-transcript/">Transcript</a>]</p><p>Teams buying AI add-ons are already generating materially higher ARR, reinforcing the monetization thesis around AI tooling.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Teams that are purchasing AI credit add-ons on Pro have an average ARR of over 3x more than teams that had not purchased add-ons.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Dylan Field, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management sees node-based editing and agent workflows as a core future interface paradigm for AI-powered product creation.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We really believe in the paradigm of node-base editing and the ways that you can create workflows where agents and models are working on the same canvas and you can move between the outputs of the various surfaces.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Praveer Melwani, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Customers are increasingly using Make beyond experimentation and into real production workflows.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We&#8217;ve been really impressed by the way that our users have stretched the platform to create everything from tools to prototypes to beautiful website designs to actual ship software.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Dylan Field, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Figma acknowledged that some initial technical decisions limited scalability and functionality, but claims these issues have now been corrected.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Some of the early technical decisions that we made did constrain us in ways that are obvious in hindsight&#8230; We&#8217;ve corrected those. If you haven&#8217;t tried Make recently, please try it again. It is already so much better.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Dylan Field, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management believes the AI market is entering a new phase where enterprises are increasingly focused on governance and spend efficiency.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The third chapter seems to be, let&#8217;s put some limits on this because this is real spend&#8230; customers are looking to have more control.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Dylan Field, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is building infrastructure to reduce inference costs while maintaining performance.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;That includes things like routing queries across models based on task complexity, leveraging our model-agnostic architecture to optimize across providers and investing in first-party models trained on Figma&#8217;s design corpus.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Praveer Melwani, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Dylan Field framed AI as a structural tailwind for design platforms because coding itself is becoming easier and more automated.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;As code becomes more commoditized and easier to write, design is clearly the layer above code&#8230; We expect this space to continue to heat up and to be the battleground for how software gets built.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Dylan Field, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management sees some AI-native tools as complementary partners while acknowledging competitive overlap with others.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Many of them will be tools that we can integrate with and will actually be complementary&#8230; Others will be more direct competitors.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Dylan Field, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>The company believes real-time collaborative editing infrastructure remains difficult to replicate even in the AI era.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Performant multiplayer canvas&#8230; is something that people underestimate how hard it is to get those mechanics right and to really execute with quality on.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Dylan Field, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Concerns that credit enforcement would sharply reduce usage appear unfounded based on early results.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;As of the end of April&#8230; 75% of the org and enterprise users who were previously over their credit limits&#8230; continued to consume credits.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Praveer Melwani, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Dylan Field believes current developer-centric AI interfaces are temporary and will evolve toward richer visual workflows.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I don&#8217;t think that anyone would tell you that an IDE or a terminal is where people are going to gravitate towards long term&#8230; workflows will shift in that direction.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Dylan Field, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is seeing meaningful traction in bidirectional workflows between code and visual interfaces.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We&#8217;ve been glad to see the usage&#8230; from models and code to the canvas&#8230; and also on the MCP side&#8230; that&#8217;s growing tremendously.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Dylan Field, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Figma is seeing broader deployment and deeper organizational adoption rather than isolated tool usage.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Customers are going bigger. They&#8217;re going broader with Figma than ever before.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Praveer Melwani, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Figma reported unusually strong expansion in its paid base, signaling that AI features are materially improving conversion dynamics.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our paid customer base grew 54% year-over-year with the long tail of Pro team conversions up over 150% in Q1 compared to the same quarter last year.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Dylan Field, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>AI is driving not only seat growth but also cross-platform and add-on monetization.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;All the components that helped us orchestrate strength&#8230; TAM expansion, seat expansion, product expansion, tier expansion as well as pricing, we&#8217;re all kind of kicking into high gear.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Praveer Melwani, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Figma is building higher-value enterprise offerings around AI governance and deployment support.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We&#8217;re deepening our investments in stuff like our Governance+ add-on as well as advisory services.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Praveer Melwani, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Dylan Field framed the emergence of AI-native design competitors as evidence of the size of the opportunity rather than purely a threat.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We expect this space to continue to heat up and to be the battleground for how software gets built.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Dylan Field, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Unlike some ecosystem partners, management explicitly acknowledged Anthropic as a serious long-term competitor.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Obviously, we can&#8217;t dismiss them&#8230; They have the ability to train first-party models and couple those with their own products if they choose to.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Dylan Field, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management repeatedly emphasized convergence across workflows as the company&#8217;s strategic direction.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The ability to bring the best of AI and design and code and freeform direct manipulation together, all in one place, in one platform&#8230; will ultimately create flow.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Dylan Field, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management acknowledged that manual editing still outperforms AI in certain workflows, signaling a hybrid future rather than full automation.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;There are some workflows in Figma Design that are 10 or 100x faster than AI.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Dylan Field, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>While manual workflows remain strong in some cases, AI is already delivering large productivity gains elsewhere.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;There are some workflows with AI that are way faster than if you&#8217;re going to do it manually and really try to do some bulk editing task.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Dylan Field, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management sees Assistant as a key future adoption catalyst.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;As we move to a world where Assistant expands in the alpha and ultimately comes out of alpha, more of our customers will be able to get those benefits.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Dylan Field, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://www.unilever.com/">Unilever PLC | Consumer Packaged Goods</a></h2><p>Unilever is a British multinational FMCG company headquartered in London. Formed in 1930, it generates over &#8364;50 billion in annual turnover and produces over 400 brands&#8212;including Dove, Knorr, Lifebuoy, and Axe&#8212;that are used by an estimated 3.7 billion people globally every day.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.investing.com/news/transcripts/earnings-call-transcript-unilevers-q1-2026-reveals-strong-volume-growth-93CH-4647991">Transcript</a>]</p><p>Management emphasized that the company is maintaining its strategic focus on volume growth even as commodity inflation accelerates sharply. This is important because staples companies historically shift toward price-led growth in inflationary periods.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are confident in delivering above 2% volume growth. If you look at the last 9 quarters&#8230; our average volume growth has been 2.5%. We had a good start to the year with 2.9% in the first quarter&#8230; We expect pricing to accelerate along the year&#8230; We expect the H1 our growth to be led by volume. We expect better balance between volume and price in the second half of the year.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Fernando Fernandez, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>The Middle East crisis and rising oil-linked input costs have significantly worsened the inflation outlook.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our expectation for the full year inflation is in the range of about EUR 750 million-EUR 900 million&#8230; This will be about EUR 350 million-EUR 500 million higher than our prior expectations when we began the year.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Srinivas Phatak, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>Inflation is concentrated heavily in Home Care and emerging markets, creating both risks and pricing opportunities.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Fifty percent of the total net inflation for us is coming through in Home Care, and 70% of that is actually focused around the emerging markets.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Srinivas Phatak, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management acknowledged that cost inflation can no longer be absorbed entirely through productivity and efficiency.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Pricing will be needed in selected markets and categories, notably Home Care&#8230; It will be calibrated. It will be done in a competitive manner. Our priority will be to really protect the consumer value while also taking care of our financial model.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Srinivas Phatak, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company believes its resilient supply chain could help gain market share as local competitors struggle with shortages.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are seeing some shortage in some local players, particularly in India and Southeast Asia, that can support our volumes&#8230; resilient supply chain like the one of Unilever can build some competitive advantage to drive more volume.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Fernando Fernandez, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>India emerged as one of the strongest-performing markets, with strength across categories and channels.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;India accelerated to 7% with 6% volume growth&#8230; In powders, we&#8217;ve actually hit record shares&#8230; in body washes, we have actually gained about 400 basis points of share.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Srinivas Phatak, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>Unilever is structurally reorganizing its India business around newer channels.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have put in a new organization to really address our quick commerce and e-commerce and omni-channel capability. That is functioning well.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Srinivas Phatak, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>Strong market share gains and liquids penetration are driving structural growth in Home Care.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We achieved the highest ever share in laundry powders&#8230; We are increasing our position in liquids strongly&#8230; We have had double-digit volume growth in Brazil in fabric cleaning, in Vietnam, in Arabia, in Turkey.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Fernando Fernandez, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management reiterated that EM exposure is a structural advantage versus peers.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our strength in emerging markets is definitely a long-term competitive advantage given the exposure they give us to better population growth rate [and] wealth expansion.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Fernando Fernandez, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management believes weakness in Wellbeing and Foods is temporary.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We expect our performance in U.S. accelerating from quarter two onwards.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Fernando Fernandez, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>The rise of telehealth and GLP-1-linked hair-loss products is increasing CAC in supplements.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have seen particularly telehealth platforms in the U.S. significantly investing in the cross-selling of GLP-1 injectables and hair fall products.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Fernando Fernandez, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management suggested the recent low-inflation environment was temporary and expects the historical pricing model to normalize again.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In the long run, our combined category and geographical footprint offer around 2% market volume growth and around 2%-3% pricing&#8230; situation has changed now&#8230; We expect the same to play out in the long run.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Fernando Fernandez, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management believes smaller local competitors may struggle with inflation and supply constraints, potentially aiding share gains.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Classically in a category such as Home Care, this actually works in our favor&#8230; a lot of the local players get constrained both from a supply perspective as well as cash.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Srinivas Phatak, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is assuming significantly elevated oil prices in its planning assumptions.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our working assumption for all these costs is really crude at around EUR 100.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Srinivas Phatak, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management wants to avoid sharp consumer shocks while still protecting margins.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;There will be frequent price increases, but in small doses&#8230; ensuring that we get the right balance of giving value to the consumer while protecting our margin.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Srinivas Phatak, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>Unilever expects advertising costs to soften if industry-wide inflation intensifies.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;History shows that when there is significant commodity inflation, there tends to be media deflation.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Fernando Fernandez, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Dove continues to emerge as one of the strongest global consumer brands within staples.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Dove is now close to a EUR 7 billion brand, and it has delivered more than 6% growth for 14 consecutive quarters.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Fernando Fernandez, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management highlighted how older brands are being reinvented through digital and creator-led strategies.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Vaseline&#8230; is now building real momentum with younger consumers&#8230; delivering more than 100% growth in TikTok Shop in Southeast Asia.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Fernando Fernandez, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management does not expect Europe to become a major growth contributor in the near future.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We don&#8217;t expect Europe to become a key engine of growth in the future.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Fernando Fernandez, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>China has stabilized after a prolonged slowdown, especially in foodservice.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;China returned to mid-single digit growth&#8230; We are seeing the out-of-home channel in China picking up.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Fernando Fernandez, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Lean channel inventory suggests current growth is real demand-driven rather than stock-loading.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our distributor covers are one of the minimums we have in history.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Fernando Fernandez, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management pushed back against concerns of artificial demand inflation from channel stocking.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have not seen any significant stocking&#8230; nothing of material impact at all.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Fernando Fernandez, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management admitted leadership depth in North America had lagged peers historically.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;For many, many years, we have been lacking leadership at the top of the organization coming from North America, and this has to change.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Fernando Fernandez, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://www.mcgc.com/english/">Mitsubishi Chemical | Chemical &amp; Material Conglomerate</a></h2><p>The Mitsubishi Chemical Group is a global Japanese chemical and materials conglomerate headquartered in Marunouchi, Chiyoda, Tokyo. Led by CEO Manabu Chikumoto, the company focuses on high-performance chemicals, advanced materials, healthcare, and industrial gases to achieve sustainable, eco-friendly solutions.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.investing.com/news/transcripts/earnings-call-transcript-mitsubishi-chemical-q4-2025-misses-eps-stock-rises-93CH-4696473">Transcript</a>]</p><p>Management described FY26 as a reset year involving aggressive restructuring, impairments, and portfolio exits. The company framed the weak earnings as a deliberate cleanup for future growth.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;These results reflect our strong determination to fully carry out what must be done by FY 2025 for the company&#8217;s future growth. As a result, we made decisive structural reforms such as Sustainable Growth, the withdrawal of the coke and carbon materials business, ethylene restructuring in Western Japan, dissolution of overseas MMA joint ventures, and voluntary retirement and the Next-stage Support Program.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Manabu Chikumoto, President &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company acknowledged major execution issues in its Soarnol expansion project in the U.K., forcing a large impairment.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In our Soarnol business, which is one of the company&#8217;s growth drivers, we recorded substantial impairment loss of approximately JPY 30 billion following the review of the plant construction in the U.K.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Manabu Chikumoto, President &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management publicly accepted accountability for execution failures and governance lapses.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We determined that it was necessary to take responsibility for our failure to uphold the three disciplined approaches in business operations&#8230; I, as the President and CEO, and Egawa&#8230; responsible for the Soarnol business, will take a 20% voluntary reduction in compensation for six months.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Manabu Chikumoto, President &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Carbon fiber composite parts for robotaxis are becoming a meaningful growth driver.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We expect profit contributions from the full-scale shipment of carbon fiber composite parts for robotaxis&#8230; shipments next year may triple or increase fourfold.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Minoru Kida, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>Semiconductor materials and synthetic quartz businesses are emerging as key growth engines.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We do see a lot of inquiries related to semiconductor business&#8230; synthetic quartz, precision cleaning services, and rigid photoresists are expected to see strong growth.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Manabu Chikumoto, President &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Mitsubishi Chemical is structurally pivoting away from commodity chemicals toward high-value specialty businesses.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;By capturing steady growth in our Specialty Materials businesses, core operating income will increase substantially.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Manabu Chikumoto, President &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company quantified geopolitical downside risks tied to energy and supply chain disruptions.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;If the current situation persists through September, we estimate a downside impact of approximately JPY 18 billion on forecast core operating income for FY 2026.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Minoru Kida, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>More than half the projected geopolitical impact comes from MMA operations.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;MMA derivatives is JPY 10 billion&#8230; more than half of the JPY 18 billion impact. Supply chain disruptions in the Middle East are the biggest issue.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Minoru Kida, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>Operational restructuring and rationalization became a major earnings support amid weak markets.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Cost reduction contributed a positive JPY 62.2 billion, with both industrial gases and chemicals accumulating savings across their respective businesses.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Minoru Kida, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>EV-related demand softness continues to pressure some specialty businesses.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Volume was negatively impacted by lower demand for EV electrolytes, mainly in Europe and U.S.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Minoru Kida, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>Petrochemical utilization rates remain weak despite some stabilization.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Before the war, cracker utilization in Japan was approximately 75%&#8230; we were able to continue at around 80% utilization.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Manabu Chikumoto, President &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management emphasized advanced materials as the long-term growth platform.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Composite, semiconductor-related, and gallium nitride are areas where we expect significant increase in volume over the next fiscal year.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Manabu Chikumoto, President &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company linked future carbon composite growth not only to EVs but also to autonomous mobility and robotics.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In the carbon fiber business, operations will begin in full scale for existing mobility applications, but also business related to robotaxis and a new type of mobility solution.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Manabu Chikumoto, President &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Beyond robotaxis, management highlighted growing traction in aerospace and drone-related opportunities.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Drones&#8230; we&#8217;re getting new inquiries for aviation- and space-related projects, and that is also starting to shape up.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Minoru Kida, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>Industrial activity in developed markets remains soft across several end markets.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Demand in Europe and the U.S. was generally weak&#8230; particularly in industrial gases.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Minoru Kida, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>Mitsubishi Chemical is centralizing procurement and logistics to structurally reduce costs.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We&#8217;ve been buying from different places; we try to centralize procurement&#8230; logistics as well&#8230; we&#8217;ve been shipping from different places, but we&#8217;re trying to consolidate that.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Manabu Chikumoto, President &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Demand for synthetic quartz and related semiconductor materials is running ahead of current capacity.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are currently expecting to sell to the extent we can in our current capacity.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Manabu Chikumoto, President &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management is renegotiating customer contracts to reduce lag effects from raw material volatility.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We&#8217;ve been discussing with customers&#8230; for some customers we could refer to the previous month so that we can shorten the time lag.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Manabu Chikumoto, President &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Operational productivity helped offset inflationary energy costs in the industrial gas business.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Earnings increased due to cost reductions driven by productivity improvement initiatives across each region.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Minoru Kida, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>The rebound thesis is centered almost entirely on successful scaling of high-value specialty businesses.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We expect increased sales in businesses positioned as growth drivers, including polyester film for MLCCs, Soarnol, semiconductor-related businesses, and composite parts mainly for robotaxis.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Minoru Kida, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>After two years of restructuring, the company believes the platform for earnings recovery is now in place.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Having thoroughly completed our structural reforms over the past two years, and with the growth of Specialty Materials, we expect a significant increase in profits.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Minoru Kida, CFO</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><strong><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cloudflare">Cloudflare, Inc. | Cloud Services &amp; Cybersecurity</a></strong></h2><p>Cloudflare, Inc., is an American technology company headquartered in San Francisco, California, that provides a range of internet services, including content delivery network services, cloud cybersecurity, DDoS mitigation, and ICANN-accredited domain registration.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.fool.com/earnings/call-transcripts/2026/05/07/cloudflare-net-q1-2026-earnings-call-transcript/">Transcript</a>]</p><p>This is one of the most important long-term structural observations from the call, implying a major change in Internet economics.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Looking at the growth in nonhuman traffic, somewhere in 2027 we think it will surpass human traffic and will not slow down.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Matthew Prince, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Cloudflare is seeing a massive increase in AI-driven requests, which management believes structurally benefits its network architecture.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Today, we are seeing hundreds of billions of agentic requests per month, growing exponentially&#8230; We are setting the rails and the guardrails for that, which is driving our Act One business.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Matthew Prince, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management suggested that Cloudflare&#8217;s original focus on APIs and application traffic positioned it perfectly for the AI-agent era.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We wanted to get in front of the most essential traffic: APIs and applications&#8230; In this new world of agentic commerce and agentic transactions, our approach is showing its wisdom and durability.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Matthew Prince, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management believes the advertising-based Internet business model is breaking and AI agents may require an entirely new payment infrastructure.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;One is microtransactions for requests agents make&#8212;fractions of pennies&#8230; some percentage of those could carry a micro-payment because they drive infrastructure load.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Matthew Prince, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Unlike hyperscalers, Cloudflare claims it can run AI inference much more efficiently through intelligent routing and utilization optimization.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Across most hyperscalers, GPU utilization rates are in the single digits. We are steadily getting our GPU utilization to approach our CPU utilization&#8212;up in the 70% to 80% range.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Matthew Prince, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is increasingly behaving like an AI orchestration platform rather than just a CDN/security provider.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;AI Gateway allows you to route different requests based on the right model for the right task&#8230; If we have a task we can evaluate as relatively simple, we can route it to a model running on our own infrastructure and deliver it at essentially no marginal cost.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Matthew Prince, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>AI coding adoption inside Cloudflare is exploding, but the company claims its infrastructure stack gives it structural cost advantages.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;As usage has gone up&#8212;600% in the last quarter&#8212;we have seen costs go up, but not nearly as much as some others.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Matthew Prince, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management hinted that internal AI workflow infrastructure could become future commercial products.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;You might see us increasingly take some of the tools we have built internally and make those available to other companies&#8230; almost every successful product started as something we needed ourselves.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Matthew Prince, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Cloudflare believes regulatory fragmentation globally strengthens its competitive positioning versus hyperscalers.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are uniquely positioned for a world with increasing regulatory&#8212;or even practical&#8212;requirements around keeping data in particular jurisdictions.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Matthew Prince, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management positioned Cloudflare&#8217;s distributed edge network as a unique moat in sovereign AI infrastructure.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We can do that with a level of granularity no hyperscaler can match.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Matthew Prince, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>As AI agents proliferate, Cloudflare sees rising demand for fine-grained data access controls.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;You want to make sure they only have access to what they should&#8230; That will be a bigger tailwind to that space.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Matthew Prince, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Cloudflare added developers at a historically unprecedented rate, reflecting strong AI-native adoption momentum.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We added 1 million developers to our platform last quarter&#8212;almost as many as in all of last year&#8212;which is extraordinary.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Matthew Prince, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Cloudflare&#8217;s lightweight compute architecture is gaining traction for agentic AI workloads.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;One large AI studio went from essentially zero Dynamic Workers to over 1 million in 15 days running across the platform.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Matthew Prince, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management sees next-generation AI infrastructure requiring lighter and faster execution environments.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Containers are too slow and heavy to respond to incredibly fast agentic workloads.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Matthew Prince, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Historically free CDN traffic is increasingly monetizing through AI/developer tooling adoption.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;What is fascinating is that a giant pool of free customers turned out to be developers&#8230; you are seeing a lot of that free traffic turning into paid traffic.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Matthew Prince, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Agentic workflows could massively increase transaction intensity across the Internet.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;If I look for a digital camera, I might visit five sites; my agent might visit 5,000.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Matthew Prince, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management believes the Internet&#8217;s current business model is unsustainable in the AI era and expects major structural change.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We think the business model of the Internet&#8212;historically advertising&#8212;is about to change dramatically over the next five years.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Matthew Prince, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management repeatedly emphasized that the company is already internally operating in ways most enterprises have not yet adapted to.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have always lived a little bit in the future&#8230; I think you are going to see companies across every industry start to realize the gains they can get from these tools.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Matthew Prince, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management contrasted its strategy with traditional CDN peers focused on bandwidth-heavy traffic like streaming.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Traditional CDNs chased things that drove lots of bandwidth&#8212;video streaming, live events&#8230; We never saw ourselves that way.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Matthew Prince, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>AI agents generate transactional and API-heavy traffic, which Cloudflare believes is economically superior to commodity bandwidth traffic.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We wanted to get in front of the most essential traffic: APIs and applications.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Matthew Prince, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management suggested infrastructure efficiency&#8212;not raw GPU ownership&#8212;will determine future AI economics.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Watch for when we publish blog posts about how we get more utilization across our fleet of GPUs&#8230; that is real IP we are inventing.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Matthew Prince, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>This is a major claim versus hyperscaler economics, implying materially better ROI on AI infrastructure.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are steadily getting our GPU utilization to approach our CPU utilization.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Matthew Prince, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>The company explicitly differentiated its economics from cloud infrastructure leasing models.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The hyperscalers&#8217; business is to buy a server and then lease that server back ideally for five times or more what they paid for it.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Matthew Prince, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Agentic commerce could structurally increase Internet request volumes.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Agents are not going to watch reruns of the Super Bowl; they will drive transactional traffic to real ecommerce sites.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Matthew Prince, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Cloudflare&#8217;s consumption-style enterprise contracts are showing strong renewal behavior.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We had our highest-ever renewal rate last quarter, and that includes pool-of-funds deals up for renewal.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Thomas Seifert, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Cloudflare is becoming infrastructure for AI-content monetization negotiations.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Media execs tell me they are signing better AI deals because we gave them tools to control who has their content.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Matthew Prince, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management wants to extend AI monetization beyond large publishers to the &#8216;long tail&#8217; of the web.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We want to make sure we make real progress and see the first revenue we can then pass back to the long tail of the Internet to help ensure a healthy ecosystem for content creators.&#8221;<br>&#8212; Matthew Prince, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Walmart">Walmart | Retail | AI &amp; New Profit Streams Drive Growth</a></h2><p>Walmart is one of the world&#8217;s largest retailers with a growing digital and marketplace presence. Beyond strong sales growth, management highlighted how AI, memberships, and newer businesses are becoming increasingly important drivers of future earnings.</p><p>[<a href="https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/WMT/earnings/WMT-Q1-2027-earnings_call-560261.html">Transcript</a>]</p><p>New business areas like advertising and membership fees now make up a significant portion of total profits. These high-margin revenue streams are making the company&#8217;s earnings more diverse and sustainable over the long term.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Alternative profit streams including advertising and membership now account for roughly one-third of operating income.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; John David Rainey, CFO, Walmart</em></p></blockquote><p>The services that support third-party sellers and brands had their best quarter yet. The rapid growth of these auxiliary services is fundamentally transforming Walmart into a higher-margin business ecosystem.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Advertising, marketplace and fulfillment services recorded their strongest quarter.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; John David Rainey, CFO, Walmart</em></p></blockquote><p>Their new AI tool is being used by many more people and is leading to significantly larger shopping orders. This tech investment is starting to pay off by making the shopping experience more personalized and efficient.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Sparky AI weekly active users increased over 100% and users generated 35% higher average order values.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; John Furner, CEO, Walmart</em></p></blockquote><p>Wealthier customers are still spending well, but those with lower incomes are starting to cut back on their purchases. This highlights a split in the economy that Walmart is navigating by offering products at multiple price points.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;High-income consumers remain resilient while lower-income consumers show signs of stress.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; John Furner, CEO, Walmart</em></p></blockquote><p>Management is cautious that rising energy costs could keep product prices high for the rest of the year. This is a risk for investors to watch as it could impact profit margins and consumer spending.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Higher fuel prices may lead to higher retail inflation in Q2 and the second half.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; John David Rainey, CFO, Walmart</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zoom_(software)">Zoom Communications | Software | AI Becoming the New Growth Engine</a></h2><p>Zoom Communications is a global communications platform offering video, phone, workplace, and customer engagement solutions. Management highlighted a bigger transition underway as AI moves beyond meetings into workflows, customer experience, and new monetization opportunities across the platform.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.fool.com/earnings/call-transcripts/2026/05/21/zoom-zm-q1-2027-earnings-call-transcript/">Transcript</a>]</p><p>Management believes AI is evolving beyond meeting summaries into workflow execution and becoming central to how customers use Zoom. The company is repositioning itself from a communications platform toward a workflow and AI platform.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Today, when you schedule a Zoom call, you can attach a meeting with a workflow. Meaning during the meeting, we generate My Notes. After the meeting is over, a workflow will automatically take over to get something done for you. Customer really like that vision, focus on the conversation to completion. Without a customer AI Companion, we really cannot transform our business from conversation-centric business to completion-centric.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Eric Yuan, CEO, Zoom</em></p></blockquote><p>Management attributes stronger enterprise growth not to one-time demand but to structural changes including AI monetization, product expansion, and moving upmarket.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;From an enterprise perspective, what we&#8217;re seeing is very durable growth. Clearly product diversification, AI monetization, moving up market, moving into new channels, all the things that we&#8217;ve said, and working on churn as well. All the things that we&#8217;ve said would be durable elements with investors, we&#8217;re seeing the fruits of.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Michelle Chang, CFO, Zoom</em></p></blockquote><p>Management highlighted that product strength, AI integration, and combined communications capabilities are helping Zoom win market share.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Look at our top 10 deals. In eight out of 10 deals, we are replacing some other CCaaS vendors. Look at the entire CCaaS market is pretty big, and we&#8217;re replacing almost every one of them. Because of our product, rich feature and innovation, and also the AI, plus our UC and CC combined in a story.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Eric Yuan, CEO, Zoom</em></p></blockquote><p>Management highlighted customer experience as the clearest and strongest AI revenue opportunity in the near term.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Clearly, the area where we have the most momentum, and you hear that even reflected in our three priority wording, is to scale the clear signal that we have in customer experience.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Michelle Chang, CFO, Zoom</em></p></blockquote><p>Management shared that customers increasingly discuss Zoom in the same AI conversation as infrastructure and platform players.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;For now, in my view, and I talk to so many customers, for now they all view like NVIDIA or the OpenAI and Zoom as AI company.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Eric Yuan, CEO, Zoom</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><p>That&#8217;s it for now! Your feedback will really help shape how Global Chatter evolves. Drop it down in the comments below!</p><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://thechatter.zerodha.com/p/global-chatter-nvidia-samsung-cloudflare?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email&utm_content=share&action=share&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Share&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="https://thechatter.zerodha.com/p/global-chatter-nvidia-samsung-cloudflare?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email&utm_content=share&action=share"><span>Share</span></a></p><p>Quotes in this newsletter were curated by Meher, Shahid, Srusti &amp; Kashish.</p><p>Disclaimer: We&#8217;ve used AI tools in filtering and cleaning up these quotes so there maybe some mistakes. Now, if you are thinking why we are using AI, please remember that we are just a small team of 5 people running everything you see on Zerodha Markets &#128556; So, all the good stuff is human and mistakes are AI.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Chatter: Tata Steel, LIC, Vodafone, BPCL & More]]></title><description><![CDATA[Q4FY26 | Edition #60]]></description><link>https://thechatter.zerodha.com/p/the-chatter-tata-steel-lic-vodafone</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://thechatter.zerodha.com/p/the-chatter-tata-steel-lic-vodafone</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Zerodha]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 22 May 2026 12:19:39 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nf0X!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F106bf4b9-2f01-47cf-b238-311cde05c63f_2400x1350.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nf0X!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F106bf4b9-2f01-47cf-b238-311cde05c63f_2400x1350.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nf0X!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F106bf4b9-2f01-47cf-b238-311cde05c63f_2400x1350.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nf0X!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F106bf4b9-2f01-47cf-b238-311cde05c63f_2400x1350.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nf0X!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F106bf4b9-2f01-47cf-b238-311cde05c63f_2400x1350.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nf0X!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F106bf4b9-2f01-47cf-b238-311cde05c63f_2400x1350.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nf0X!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F106bf4b9-2f01-47cf-b238-311cde05c63f_2400x1350.png" width="1456" height="819" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/106bf4b9-2f01-47cf-b238-311cde05c63f_2400x1350.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:819,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:512301,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://thechatter.zerodha.com/i/198813639?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F106bf4b9-2f01-47cf-b238-311cde05c63f_2400x1350.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nf0X!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F106bf4b9-2f01-47cf-b238-311cde05c63f_2400x1350.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nf0X!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F106bf4b9-2f01-47cf-b238-311cde05c63f_2400x1350.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nf0X!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F106bf4b9-2f01-47cf-b238-311cde05c63f_2400x1350.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nf0X!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F106bf4b9-2f01-47cf-b238-311cde05c63f_2400x1350.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Welcome to the <strong>60th edition</strong> of The Chatter &#8212; a weekly newsletter where we dig through what India&#8217;s biggest companies are saying and bring you the most interesting bits of insight, whether about the business, its sector, or the wider economy. We read every major Indian earnings call and listen to the interviews so you don&#8217;t have to.</p><p>We&#8217;re always eager to improve&#8212;please share your ideas on how else we can innovate &#8220;The Chatter&#8221; format to better serve your needs.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2" target="_blank" href="https://www.tijoristack.ai/concall-monitor/?utm_source=zerodha&amp;utm_campaign=z_marketing" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png" width="1456" height="364" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:364,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:306481,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:&quot;https://www.tijoristack.ai/concall-monitor/?utm_source=zerodha&amp;utm_campaign=z_marketing&quot;,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://thechatter.zerodha.com/i/193793492?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Check out <a href="https://www.tijoristack.ai/concall-monitor/?utm_source=zerodha&amp;utm_campaign=z_marketing">Concall Monitor</a></figcaption></figure></div><p>In this edition, we have covered <strong>15 companies across 12 industries.</strong></p><div><hr></div><h1>Logistics</h1><ul><li><p>VRL Logistics Limited</p></li></ul><h1>Healthcare</h1><ul><li><p>Mankind Pharma Limited</p></li><li><p>Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Limited</p></li></ul><h1>Metals</h1><ul><li><p>Godawari Power And Ispat Ltd</p></li><li><p>Hindalco Industries Limited</p></li><li><p>Tata Steel</p></li></ul><h1>Engineering &amp; Capital Goods</h1><ul><li><p>RITES Limited</p></li></ul><h1>Energy</h1><ul><li><p>Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited</p></li></ul><h1>Auto Ancillary</h1><ul><li><p>Bosch Limited</p></li></ul><h1>Information Technology</h1><ul><li><p>BlackBuck Limited</p></li></ul><h1>Financial Services</h1><ul><li><p>Life Insurance Corporation of India</p></li></ul><h1>Diversified</h1><ul><li><p>Grasim Industries</p></li></ul><h1>Telecom</h1><ul><li><p>Vodafone Idea Limited</p></li></ul><h1>Personal Care</h1><ul><li><p>Honasa Consumer Ltd</p></li></ul><h1>Defence</h1><ul><li><p>Bharat Electronics Limited</p></li></ul><div><hr></div><h1>Logistics</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/VRLLOG/">VRL Logistics Limited | Small Cap | Transport &amp; Logistics</a></h2><p>VRL Logistics is one of India&#8217;s largest surface transport and logistics providers, specializing in parcel and less-than-truckload (LTL) services. The company operates a massive network of over 1,200 branches and owns a private fleet of nearly 6,000 vehicles, focusing on service quality and network density.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/5728-19-May-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>The company keeps its drivers as direct employees rather than contractors to ensure service reliability in a labor-short market. This approach is a strategic advantage that allows them to maintain high service levels that justify premium pricing.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We continue to view these increases as investments in our people, particularly given the industry-wide shortage of skilled drivers, where VRL&#8217;s on-role driver model remains a key competitive advantage. Despite these changes, we were able to achieve EBITDA margins of over 21% during the current quarter.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sunil Nalavadi, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>VRL is actively passing on rising fuel costs to customers through targeted price hikes rather than broad blanket increases. This tactical approach helps protect margins without scaring away price-sensitive volume on competitive routes.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Yes, of course, diesel prices are increasing and it affects every operator. Ultimately, whatever additional cost comes, it needs to be passed on to the customers. During recent movements, we have not increased rates generally to pass on those expenses, but in selective routes where we were offering some discounts or where volume growth is coming, we identified those routes and made rate tweaks where required.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sunil Nalavadi, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is continuing to invest heavily in owning its own hubs and warehouses to reduce long-term rental costs. While this requires significant upfront capital, it creates a more efficient and stable operating structure.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Going forward, the mix will be similar: around 100-150 crores for vehicles and 200 plus crores for land and buildings. On a full-year basis, we are expecting 300-350 crores of capital expenditure.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sunil Nalavadi, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>After a year of shutting down non-performing locations, VRL is pivot back to expansion with a target of 100 net new branches. This expansion into untapped markets is expected to be a primary driver for the targeted volume growth in FY27.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In the current year, we are expecting 100 plus new branches to be opened. ... Going forward, closures will be fewer. We are expecting net additions of at least 100 branches in the coming year.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sunil Nalavadi, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>The fleet size is set to expand significantly in the coming months with the addition of 400 new trucks. Increasing the owned fleet reduces reliance on expensive third-party hires, which should improve operating margins.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Scrappage will not be at that level, but there will be additions. As we planned earlier, we intend to add 500 vehicles. We have already added 100 plus, and the remaining 400 will be added before December.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sunil Nalavadi, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management dismisses the threat of the Dedicated Freight Corridor (DFC) taking away their business. Because VRL focuses on fragmented parcel loads rather than single-product full trucks, the railways are not a direct competitor for their core service.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;No, DFC is directly related to full truckloads. The commodity mix we carry is not directly linked with railway services, so the impact of DFC will not be significant on our volumes.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sunil Nalavadi, CFO</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Healthcare</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/MANKIND/">Mankind Pharma Limited | Large Cap | Pharmaceuticals &amp; Drugs</a></h2><p>Mankind Pharma is a leading Indian pharmaceutical company with a dominant position in domestic formulations and a strong presence in consumer healthcare. The company is strategically shifting its focus toward high-margin chronic and specialty therapies following the significant acquisition of Bharat Serums and Vaccines.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/50669-20-May-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>Mankind is rapidly increasing its market share in chronic disease treatments, which now account for nearly 40% of its business. Investors should value this shift as chronic therapies offer more predictable, long-term revenue compared to seasonal medicines.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Mankind&#8217;s chronic share increased by 120 basis points year-on-year to approximately 40% during the quarter and 190 basis points to approximately 39% for the full year FY26. We expect this growth momentum to continue. We witnessed a 1.1x outperformance of the IPM in cardiac and a 2.1% outperformance in anti-diabetic, excluding GLP-1, in FY26.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Rajeev Juneja, Vice Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The company achieved its highest organic growth rate in the domestic market since acquiring Bharat Serums and Vaccines. This indicates that the core business is performing strongly on its own merits rather than relying solely on the acquisition boost.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In Q4 FY26, our domestic revenue grew 13.4% year-on-year to 2,886 crores. More importantly, our organic growth excluding OTC stood at 10.1%, the highest level since the BSV acquisition. This growth was broad-based, driven by improving execution across therapies, sustained momentum in chronic therapies, and strong traction in the BSV domestic portfolio.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sheetal Arora, Chief Executive Officer and Whole-time Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is ramping up capital investment to build a state-of-the-art biotechnology manufacturing plant. This move signals a significant long-term commitment to high-growth biological drugs and complex pharmaceuticals.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;As highlighted by Rajeev, in line with our enhanced focus on R&amp;D and specialized products, we are setting up a new biotech facility in Vadodara. Accordingly, our capex guidance for FY27 is expected to be in the range of 6% to 7% of FY27 revenue.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ashutosh Dhawan, Global Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Despite minor quarterly variations, management insists that the long-term potential for chronic care in India remains massive and untapped. This focus provides a durable growth engine for the company for many years to come.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;There is no pressure on chronic therapy because it is a long-term growth story. We believe the chronic growth trajectory remains sustainable over the long term. India continues to remain significantly under-penetrated in therapies like diabetes, obesity, cardio-care, and respiratory.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, Executive Team</em></p></blockquote><p>Management is taking a cautious, non-traditional approach to the trending weight-loss drug market to avoid getting lost in a crowded field. This strategy suggests they are prioritizing long-term market positioning over immediate, short-term hype.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Regarding GLP-1, there is a massive push in the market and every company is launching. At this time, a new launch could easily get lost. We have always been a contrarian organization; we look at what others are doing and often choose a different path.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, Executive Team</em></p></blockquote><p>Investors should prepare for a significant jump in the company&#8217;s tax rate as historical tax exemptions expire. This will put pressure on net profit growth in the short term, even if operational earnings remain strong.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;For FY27, the expected tax rate will be in the range of 25% to 26%. The 80-IC exemption we have been enjoying ended with FY26. That is why our effective rate was in the 15-16% range previously.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ashutosh Dhawan, Global Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/APOLLOHOSP/">Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Limited | Large Cap | Healthcare Services</a></h2><p>Apollo Hospitals is a premier integrated healthcare provider in India, operating a vast network of hospitals, retail pharmacies, and digital health platforms. The company specializes in high-end tertiary and quaternary care while expanding its reach through primary clinics and diagnostics.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/1052-21-May-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>Apollo is progressing with the legal separation of its pharmacy and digital businesses into a standalone entity. This move aims to simplify the corporate structure and highlight the independent value of its retail healthcare platform for investors.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;During the year, we also announced a strategic restructuring of the omni-channel pharmacy and digital health business, which is an important step towards sharpening focus on unlocking long-term value across our integrated healthcare platform. The NCLT-convened meeting of the shareholders is now being called for on June 24 to obtain the requisite shareholder approval, consequent to which we are hopeful the demerger process is completed by Q4 FY27 as planned earlier.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sunita Reddy, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Management has successfully reduced hospital stay times by using better technology and surgical methods. Shorter stays allow the company to treat more patients per bed, which directly increases the profit potential of existing facilities.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The average length of stay reduced to 3.19 days from 3.3 days in the corresponding quarter, a decline of 3.3%. This reduction was driven by significant adoption of robotics, minimally invasive surgeries, enhanced recovery and discharge protocols, and stronger clinical pathway standardization across the network. Importantly, the improvement in ALOS [Average Length of Stay] has been achieved while continuing to manage a higher acuity and complex case mix.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sunita Reddy, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is merging its maternity vertical with Cloudnine to create a market leader in mother and child care. This transaction allows Apollo to monetize a specific asset at a high valuation while maintaining a stake in the segment&#8217;s future growth.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Apollo Cradle &amp; Fertility and Cloudnine would combine to create one of India&#8217;s largest integrated mother, maternity, and fertility care platforms. AHLL&#8217;s mother and child fertility business is valued at 1,550 crores through a combination of cash and a 9.9% equity stake in the combined entity. AHLL will become the largest non-financial shareholder in the combined platform and will have board representation through a nominee director.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sunita Reddy, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Apollo is significantly expanding its footprint by adding 1,400 new beds in major Indian cities. This capacity growth is essential for capturing rising demand in high-revenue medical specialties like cancer care and robotics.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In total, these additions will bring approximately 1,400 operating beds, all in key metro markets. This will position us strongly as we move into FY27 and beyond, as they represent nearly 25% capacity addition in these markets. Alongside capacity expansion, we continue to deepen our clinical leadership through investments in high acuity specialties, oncology, robotics, and advanced care pathways.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sunita Reddy, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The company expects its new hospital launches to create a temporary 140 crore rupee loss during the startup phase. Investors should anticipate these initial costs as the company ramps up its large-scale expansion projects.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;On the first one, yes, we are sticking to our assumption that we will have a 140 crore loss. Most of this will actually occur in the fourth quarter where we would have opened almost all of the facilities. For the second question, let me pass it to Madhivanan.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management</em></p></blockquote><p>Management expects the digital health business to reach profitability as early as the first quarter of the new fiscal year. Achieving this milestone would remove a major drag on the company&#8217;s overall consolidated earnings.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;While Q1 is a slightly more seasonal quarter for us, we expect that we should be very close to break-even, or break-even very soon, within Q1 itself. We are on course. Thanks for that.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Madhivanan Balakrishnan, CEO of Apollo HealthCo</em></p></blockquote><p>Increasing the sale of in-house pharmacy brands is a key strategy to boost profit margins in the retail business. Private labels offer higher margins than third-party medicines, supporting better long-term earnings for the HealthCo division.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have growth potential in private labels coming out of the storefront, which is the Apollo Pharmacy store. We believe further headroom is available on the private label side and that would be EBITDA accretive. On the expenses side, you have seen digital losses coming down as we believe we will be close to break-even in Q1.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sanjeev Gupta, CFO of Apollo HealthCo</em></p></blockquote><p>Proceeds from the maternity business deal will be reinvested into expanding clinics and diagnostic centers. This network acts as a patient funnel, bringing more people into the Apollo ecosystem before they require major hospital treatments.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The cash we receive, 150 crores, will be deployed into primary care. We have built a primary care platform that includes clinics and diagnostics. We believe we have to be leaders in this platform because it serves as a funnel to Apollo and looks after customers who are currently not in our system or are not yet very sick.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sunita Reddy, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The company expects its entire new hospital expansion to become profitable by the 2028 fiscal year. Knowing the 50-55% occupancy target gives investors a clear benchmark to track the success of these new investments.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Typically, we break even at a 50-55% occupancy level for the cluster. Some hospitals will reach break-even by Q4 of this coming fiscal year while others will still be in a burn mode. For FY28, we believe the new hospital cluster as a whole should be break-even.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; A. Krishnan, Group CFO</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Metals</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/GPIL/">Godawari Power And Ispat Ltd. | Mid Cap | Iron &amp; Steel</a></h2><p>Godawari Power &amp; Ispat is an integrated steel manufacturer specializing in iron ore mining, pellet production, and power generation. The company is currently executing a major diversification strategy into battery energy storage systems and value-added steel products.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/4625-20-May-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>The company maintained high profitability margins despite a general decline in market prices for steel products. This suggests the business has strong operational efficiency and a cost-effective manufacturing model.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Despite soft realization, GPIL delivered a good set of numbers with revenue remaining steady and EBITDA and PAT margins strong at 23% and 15% respectively. On the operational front, GPIL delivered a strong performance in FY26, successfully achieving its production targets across key segments. Sponge iron, structural rolled products, and ferro alloys surpassed their targets with production exceeding 100% of planned levels.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sanjay Bothra, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management secured a critical regulatory approval to more than double their iron ore mining capacity. This expansion ensures long-term raw material security and supports the company&#8217;s ambitious growth targets.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I am pleased to share that GPIL received environmental approval and consent to operate from the CECB in February 2026 for the capacity enhancement of the Ari Dongri mines from 2.35 to 6 million tons. The ramping up of the capacities has already begun in a phased manner with full-scale operation targeted from FY28. The iron ore beneficiation plant capacity expansion at the Ari Dongri mines, increasing capacity tenfold to 6 million tons, is targeted for commissioning by Q3 FY27.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sanjay Bothra, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>A new integrated steel plant is being planned to broaden the company&#8217;s product range. This move marks a major step toward becoming a larger player in the high-grade structural steel market.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The board has approved the setting up of a 1 million ton integrated steel plant for manufacturing structural steel and wire rods. Land acquisition and environmental approval are in place while the consent to establish is awaited. Discussions with equipment suppliers and project engineering are underway with construction expected to begin in October 2026.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sanjay Bothra, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management clarified that while they are mining more ore, lower recovery rates from certain types of rock affect the final output. Understanding these technical recovery limits is essential for investors to accurately forecast future pellet production.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The actual mining will be close to about 4 to 4.25 million tons this year. With a 1.5 million ton portion being Banded Magnetite Quartzite where the recovery will be less than 50%, about 0.75-0.8 million tons of iron ore will be wasted as tailings. So the actual iron ore mining production will be about 4 to 4.25 million tons, but the guidance we have given is the net usable iron ore coming to the plant for making pellets, which is about 3.4 million tons.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Abhishek Agrawal, Executive Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Higher diesel prices are currently inflating transportation costs and pressuring short-term mining margins. The plan to switch to electric trucks is a strategic move to permanently lower operating expenses and insulate the company from fuel price swings.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;This year, because of the diesel escalation and the shortage all over because of the war, our transportation cost is already up by 200-250 rupees. We have started talking to the transporters as we want to convert the entire fleet to EV trucks to have a substantial saving on the diesel side. This year, the guidance will be on similar levels, which is about 3,000-3,200 rupees, but from Q3 and Q4 onwards, we can see a substantial reduction in the pricing of mining.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Abhishek Agrawal, Executive Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The company has set a target to quintuple its revenue in less than five years through massive new business segments. This indicates a high-risk, high-reward phase as the company transitions from a mid-sized steel player to a large industrial group.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;If you see the Battery Energy Storage System, which is about 20 gigawatt-hours, considering about 16 gigawatt-hours from there, we see a top line of about 15,000 crores. From the new steel plant, we see a top line of about 6,000 crores. From the CRM, we see a top line of about 3,000-4,000 crores. With the pellet capacity crossing 4 million tons this year, put together&#8212;the current complex and the projects we have already announced&#8212;we see a top line reaching close to about 30,000 crores in the next 4 to 5 years.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Abhishek Agrawal, Executive Director</em></p></blockquote><p>While the battery storage business has lower percentage margins than iron ore, its massive scale is expected to generate significant new cash flows. Investors should view this as a volume-driven profit engine rather than a high-margin specialty niche.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;A 4-4.5 lakh rupees per megawatt-hour margin on a 16 gigawatt-hour line comes to about 700-800 crores if everything goes well. Still, if you consider a very conservative figure of 7-8% on 80 lakhs per megawatt-hour, we do about 4 lakh rupees of net margin, and based on that, you can multiply for a 16-18 gigawatt-hour line. That is how we have planned it for the phase one 20 gigawatt-hour line.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Abhishek Agrawal, Executive Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Management has designed supply contracts to protect the company from volatile lithium and raw material prices. This index-based pricing strategy helps stabilize project margins even if global supply chain costs fluctuate.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The way we have priced the entire supply of cells is index-based, where we have captured few important components which contribute to the manufacturing. If the market goes up, the supplier will pass on the price to us, and if the market goes down, it will be vice versa. Ultimately, any substantial increase in the cell price will be passed on to the buyers in the Indian market to maintain margins.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Abhishek Agrawal, Executive Director</em></p></blockquote><p>A significant portion of the quarter&#8217;s profit came from selling older inventory at higher market prices. Investors should recognize that this gain is a one-time benefit and may not repeat in future quarters.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have roughly gained 20 crores on account of unsold pellet stock carried from last quarter and sold during this quarter. That higher realization was roughly 20 crores on 90,000 tons.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Dinesh Gandhi, Executive Director</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/HINDALCO/">Hindalco Industries Limited | Large Cap | Aluminium</a></h2><p>Hindalco is a global leader in aluminium and copper, operating as one of the world&#8217;s largest integrated aluminium producers through its subsidiary Novelis. The company specializes in producing high-value rolled aluminium products for the beverage packaging, automotive, and aerospace industries.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/319-19-May-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>Management is restarting the fire-damaged Oswego facility earlier than expected, which will help normalize supply chains. This early restart reduces the duration of production constraints and supports immediate margin recovery.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I am also pleased to let everyone know we have already started commissioning the Oswego hot mill and we will have coils coming off the mill within the next few weeks, well ahead of our previous guidance of the end of June. In the fourth quarter, adjusted EBITDA per ton increased 10% year-over-year to 544, reflecting solid demand, cost discipline, and benefits from our high-recycled content business model amid favorable scrap market conditions.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Steve Fisher, President and Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>The company&#8217;s massive expansion project in Alabama is entering its final commissioning phase. This facility is critical for capturing growth in the supply-constrained North American market and improving long-term unit profitability.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Finally, we continue to make excellent progress on our strategic growth investment in Bay Minette, Alabama. The cold mill began commissioning in March and we remain firmly on track for full plant commissioning later this calendar year. This investment positions us to support the under-supplied North American market today and capture future growth while strengthening our ability to serve customers with low-carbon, high-value aluminum solutions.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Steve Fisher, President and Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management has increased their total savings target due to faster-than-expected progress in operational streamlining. This upgrade suggests that margins will be more resilient even if market conditions become challenging.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are now targeting 350 to 400 million in total structural cost reductions by the end of FY28, up from our original estimate of 300 million. The work is delivering sustainable results, but these actions are not just about cost. They are about creating a simpler, more efficient operating model that leverages automation, improves throughput, and ultimately strengthens margins.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Dev Ahuja, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Capital expenditure will remain at peak levels for another year as major projects are completed. Investors should monitor leverage levels until these growth investments begin generating cash flow in late fiscal 2027.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Looking ahead to fiscal 2027, we expect total capital expenditures to be at a similar level to fiscal 2026 as we complete peak spending at Bay Minette and carry out the necessary repairs at Oswego. Full year CapEx is expected to be in the range of 2.1 to 2.4 billion including approximately 350 million for maintenance capital.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Dev Ahuja, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>The completion of the Bay Minette plant is the primary driver for reaching the company&#8217;s target of $600 EBITDA per ton. Reaching this milestone would represent a structural shift in the company&#8217;s earnings power.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Overall, this facility meaningfully strengthens our U.S. manufacturing footprint and is a significant contributor to achieving a long-term consolidated company adjusted EBITDA per ton above 600 dollars. In summary, our strong fourth quarter adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA per ton results reflect the positive underlying market fundamentals from favorable demand trends and scrap market conditions to the success of our cost efficiency program.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Steve Fisher, President and Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management expects a rapid return to full production capacity once the Oswego hot mill restarts. This quick recovery is vital for satisfying pent-up demand and maintaining market share in core sectors.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are very encouraged by the progress at Oswego. We anticipate that we will be able to roll coils off the hot mill in the next few weeks. From that point in time, we believe we will ramp up the overall facility very quickly, which will help to support the overall constrained market in North America, both for automotive and beverage packaging.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Steve Fisher, President and Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Extensive hedging protects the company&#8217;s European and Brazilian operations from volatile energy costs. This risk management strategy provides more predictable margins despite global energy price fluctuations.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are hedged almost to the extent of two-thirds in regions like Europe looking forward. For this quarter, we were close to 100% hedged already. So we are not seeing such a negative impact as such at this point in time. This applies to Europe where the sensitivity to energy prices is pretty significant, but even in some other markets like Brazil, we take energy hedges well over 50%.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Dev Ahuja, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>The company expects to move from a period of heavy investment to a period of positive cash generation by the end of the fiscal year. This transition is a key milestone for deleveraging and strengthening the balance sheet.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The thing I am most excited about is that we are now finally turning the corner to get to a positive free cash flow cycle. I hope that is not lost on you because as we finish Oswego, we start getting insurance recoveries. As we finish Bay Minette in the later part of this year, with our underlying operating free cash flow of over 1 billion, we are getting onto a positive free cash flow cycle starting from the fourth quarter of this fiscal.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Dev Ahuja, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Current high margins have been aided by lower scrap prices resulting from the company&#8217;s own reduced production activity. Investors should be aware that scrap spreads may normalize once production returns to full capacity.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Scrap availability is not a challenge in any of the regions. Right now, we are benefiting from multiple factors. The fact that our facilities are not operating at full capacity in the U.S. means we are not buying as much as we would normally, which reduces pressure on scrap prices. Our not competing in the scrap market is making conditions easier.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Dev Ahuja, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management asserts that volume declines are purely due to internal supply disruptions rather than a loss of customers. This implies that sales should recover fully once operational issues are resolved.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are not losing market share. Right now, we are impacted because of our inability to supply, but we are not losing any contracts. The 73 kilotons we reported is the direct impact of the fire. When you rapidly reset supply chains globally to prioritize customers impacted by the fire, it is not the most efficient way to run mills. As Oswego starts up and we get back to a normal cadence, we will be gaining market share.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Dev Ahuja, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/TATASTEEL/">Tata Steel | Large Cap | Iron &amp; Steel</a></h2><p>Tata Steel is a major global steel producer with a dominant presence in India and operations across Europe. The company is vertically integrated from iron ore mining to high-value downstream products serving the automotive, retail, and construction sectors.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/338-16-May-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>The company is successfully scaling its Indian operations through major capacity expansions at Kalinganagar. This growth is essential for the company as it shifts its focus toward higher production volumes in its most profitable domestic market.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The performance is a cumulative impact of multiple decisions and disciplined execution over the last few years and positions us well for the next phase of growth and value creation. India for us is a key anchor of our growth strategy, with annual crude steel production and deliveries increasing 8% year-on-year to around 23 million tons. And the successful ramp-up of the 5 million tons per annum expansion at Kalinganagar, alongside the commissioning of the downstream facilities, reflects our value-led growth strategy for India.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Mr. Narendran, CEO and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Despite cutting fixed costs in half in the UK, cheap imports have kept the business in a loss-making position. New government trade protections are expected to finally level the playing field and help the UK operations become profitable again.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Over the last 2 years, we have reduced fixed cost by about 50% from a base of approximately 1 billion pounds in FY24. However, weak demand conditions and the influx of low-cost imports have continued to weigh on performance with EBITDA losses of around 98 pounds per ton. The revised framework therefore has the potential to materially improve the operating conditions and performance.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Mr. Chatterjee, Executive Director and CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management has aggressively moved debt from foreign currencies to Indian Rupees to protect the company from a weakening Rupee. This strategy reduces the risk of debt costs spiking due to exchange rate volatility.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;As a result the overseas debt has come down from about 50% of the total debt in 2021 to 18% of the total debt in 2025-26. By FY28 it will go down further when our overseas dollar bonds are repaid. The only overseas debt that will remain is the working capital line for our overseas businesses.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Mr. Chatterjee, Executive Director and CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company will not commit to major new spending in the Netherlands until environmental and regulatory disputes are settled. Management is ensuring they have long-term legal certainty before risking more shareholder capital in Europe.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Actually some of these are prerequisites to be resolved before we undertake any large investments. So, while the point is very valid, I think that&#8217;s precisely the conversation that we are having at this point of time with the various stakeholders. It is not that the coke and gas plant shutdown affects the plant or the volumes as such because there are alternative ways to do that.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Mr. Chatterjee, Executive Director and CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>Tata Steel has secured enough land and sites to potentially double its Indian production capacity to 60 million tons. This provides a long-term growth pipeline that was previously restricted by land availability at their older plant.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;So while we have the optionality to grow the upstream, even with the existing sites between Kalinganagar, Meramandali and Neelachal plus Jamshedpur at 11 million tons, we already have the optionality to grow to 45-50 million tons in India. Once we start the Maharashtra site which was also announced, that potentially adds another 6-10 million tons. So that optionality is available for Tata Steel which was not there 10 years back when we were operating largely out of Jamshedpur.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Mr. Narendran, CEO and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>A vague regulatory letter regarding environmental permits in the Netherlands forced the company to disclose a &#8216;material uncertainty&#8217; in their financial reports. Management is pushing for a clear, timed plan to close old facilities safely rather than facing an abrupt shutdown.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;If a letter lands which does not articulate that sequential path for a planned, controlled, and safe manner, then it creates an unhandleable uncertainty. That&#8217;s why it has been flagged here. I share your concern and that is also our concern in some ways because that is precisely what we want to do. The coke ovens are 40-50 years old.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Mr. Chatterjee, Executive Director and CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>Tata Steel is moving away from joint ventures in India to gain full control over its production and supply chain. Owning 100% of these businesses allows them to capture all available cost savings and operational efficiencies.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We believe that in our home market, we should ideally be by ourselves because this is our core market, this is where our strength is, this is where we have a strong franchise and hence we actually want to build capacities by ourselves in India. I just wanted to say that actually we think there is power in consolidation and in fact we are buying out our JV partners in India because the synergies that we see in the marketplace in Manufacturing Excellence and supply chain actually make us very clear that if we have to leverage the power of size, it has to be consolidated rather than fragmented.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Mr. Narendran, CEO and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Management is warning that raw material costs will rise in the first quarter of the new fiscal year. These higher input prices for coal and iron ore will put immediate pressure on profit margins across their global operations.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In terms of coal, the delta increase we expect in Q1 for India over Q4 is 15 dollars per ton. In Netherlands, it is about 10 dollars a ton. As you know in UK, we don&#8217;t buy coal. The iron ore increase in Netherlands is expected to be about 5 dollars per ton, Q1 over Q4.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Mr. Narendran, CEO and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The company expects to sell significantly more steel this year as major new expansion projects in India come fully online. This increased volume is a key driver for expected revenue growth in the near term.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The volume will be at least 2 million tons better in this financial year compared to the previous financial year, with most of it coming in India. This is largely because the Kalinganagar ramp up is pretty much complete. Ludhiana is only 0.5 million tons in this; we have not taken the full Ludhiana volume because it is still being ramped up, but you will have pretty much the full Kalinganagar volume.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Mr. Narendran, CEO and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Management is deliberately shifting its sales mix away from basic steel toward specialized products like packaging and galvanized steel. These premium products offer more stable pricing and better profit margins compared to generic steel commodities.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The objective is to sell less hot-rolled in the market and sell more value-added products. By selling hot-rolled you are always under pressure on prices and international prices; it&#8217;s a commodity you&#8217;re selling to the tube makers. We feel with less hot-rolled in the mix and more cold-rolled, galvanized, packaging steel, and more value-added products, we would be better equipped to deal with the cyclicality which is inherent in the business.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Mr. Narendran, CEO and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>External delays in getting high-power electricity to the new UK furnace have slowed the project, but management is finding ways to work around the bottleneck. They plan to run trials early so they can ramp up production faster once the full power connection is finally live.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;While as Kaushik said there is currently a visible delay of about 12 months on the electricity supply, what we are trying to see is to get at least some connection, one line, as soon as the plant is ready so that we can do some trials. We can test out some of the equipment so that we don&#8217;t waste that time waiting for the full electricity connection. Then what we are planning to do is a ramp-up that we had scheduled after the commissioning; we are seeing how to compress that to make sure that we catch up on the project IRR that we had targeted.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Mr. Narendran, CEO and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The company expects that producing raw steel will become less profitable as iron ore costs rise in India. To protect long-term earnings, they are investing heavily in downstream processing where profits are higher and more stable.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Strategically we feel it is not just about steelmaking capacity. Let&#8217;s understand one thing, the cost of iron ore in India is going up. The value pools will shift. Value pools are not necessarily upstream going forward. Some of those value pools will shift downstream.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Mr. Narendran, CEO and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Engineering &amp; Capital Goods</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/RITES/">RITES Limited | Mid Cap | Civil Construction</a></h2><p>RITES Limited is a leading Indian public sector enterprise providing multidisciplinary engineering and consultancy services in the transport and infrastructure sectors. The firm specializes in railway project management, rolling stock exports, and technical consultancy across multiple verticals.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/5698-20-May-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>A large portion of the company&#8217;s orders are very new and have not reached peak billing yet. This provides a clear view of where growth will come from as these projects start being built this year.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The order book currently stands at 9,400 crores. A substantial portion, more than 50% of it, is very young, which is about 12-18 months old. These are the orders which will start generating revenue in this FY.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Rahul Mithal, Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is winning more work by bidding against others instead of being directly chosen. While this shows they are competitive, it also means they will earn less profit on each project.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;As these competitive orders start generating revenue&#8212;if you compare the mix of the order book at the end of the financial year on March 31, 63% is competitive. If you count the fresh order inflow, it is about 70%+. The margins across all our streams on the new orders are much lower.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Rahul Mithal, Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Turnkey projects make total sales look much larger, but the actual work remains basic consulting. This helps explain why overall profit percentages look lower even though the company doesn&#8217;t need to spend much on equipment.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Let me be clear: we are not a construction company. We are a project management consultancy company. While the order size in a turnkey project is large&#8212;and that is why it is a large portion of the order book&#8212;our scope of work remains the same.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Rahul Mithal, Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>RITES is starting to ship a large order of train coaches to Bangladesh after a long break in exports. This is good news because exports usually bring in higher profits and help the business grow again.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;With the execution of the Mozambique order, we have a 1,750 crore export order balance. One of the key elements of this is the 200 coaches for Bangladesh. They are fully on track.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Rahul Mithal, Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The energy management part of the business is growing and sending a lot of cash back to the main company. This steady income helps RITES keep paying high dividends to its shareholders.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;REMCL has grown by 16% and profits have grown by 19%. Total revenue was 163 crores and profit was 90 crores. It gave a substantial dividend to us of about 42 crores.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Rahul Mithal, Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>RITES is winning new work in areas like airports and shipbuilding, not just railways. This variety of work makes the company&#8217;s income safer because they aren&#8217;t relying on only one industry.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In the last 1.5 months, we have received fresh orders across railways, various PSUs, private sidings, highways, ports, bridges, and airports. We received a large order for airport consultancy and another for a shipbuilding cluster. I do not see our strike rate for fresh orders or execution slowing down.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Rahul Mithal, Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Energy</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/BPCL/">Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited | Large Cap | Refineries</a></h2><p>BPCL is a leading Indian central public sector undertaking under the ownership of the Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas. It operates major refineries in Mumbai, Kochi, and Bina while managing a vast retail network and expanding into upstream exploration and green energy.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/352-20-May-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>BPCL is aggressively ramping up its intake of Russian crude to fill supply gaps caused by Middle Eastern disruptions. This procurement pivot provides supply security through mid-2026 but links the company&#8217;s cost structure to the availability of Russian discounts.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have increased our Russian crude procurement from 25% in Q3 to 31% in Q4 and it continues to increase to fill up our supply gaps in the light of the current situation. Further, we have diversified to eight new grades of crude during the year covering four geographical regions. I would also like to assure stakeholders that crude supplies have been secured through July 2026.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; V.R.K. Gupta, Director Finance</em></p></blockquote><p>Lengthy procurement delays for a critical production vessel have forced a significant impairment charge on the Brazil upstream asset. This write-down reflects the lower present value of future cash flows due to the project&#8217;s delayed start date.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The major impairment is for the Brazil project. In fact, it took almost 3 years to finalize the FPSO tender. Since the project delay is happening in Brazil, that was the reason there is a need for impairment, assuming all other parameters remain at the same assumptions.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; V.R.K. Gupta, Director Finance</em></p></blockquote><p>Management is targeting an increase in retail market share to 32% through aggressive network expansion and digital convenience initiatives. Success in this area would improve the company&#8217;s competitive positioning relative to other public and private oil marketers.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our endeavor is to reach at least a 32% market share in the retail segment over a period of time. These two initiatives are our long-term strategy to increase our retail market share to around 32% in a couple of years. We are also bringing more initiatives to provide greater convenience to customers.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; V.R.K. Gupta, Director Finance</em></p></blockquote><p>The company plans to fund its massive capital expenditure program while keeping its leverage below a strict 1:1 debt-to-equity limit. This commitment to fiscal discipline provides a safety net for investors as the company enters a high-investment cycle.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our long-term projection is that debt-to-equity will not exceed 1:1 at the group level even with all planned capex. Once projects are completed, new cash flows will come in, and the debt-to-equity should return to a normal level in a couple of years. We ensure debt-to-equity does not cross 1:1 at its peak.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; V.R.K. Gupta, Director Finance</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is justifying investments in low-yield renewable projects by integrating them directly into refinery operations to lower energy costs. This strategy allows the company to meet environmental mandates while capturing internal cost savings that traditional metrics might overlook.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;For renewables, returns may only be around 8-9%, but we have net-zero objectives. While returns are mathematically lower, using this renewable power within our refineries makes the returns much higher than purchasing power externally. It meets both net-zero and profitability goals.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; V.R.K. Gupta, Director Finance</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Auto Ancillary</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/BOSCHLTD/">Bosch Limited | Large Cap | Auto Components</a></h2><p>Bosch Limited is a leading supplier of technology and services in the areas of mobility solutions, industrial technology, and consumer goods in India. It is a flagship company of the Bosch Group in India and maintains a dominant presence in diesel and gasoline fuel injection systems.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/350-21-May-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>Global geopolitical instability, especially in West Asia, and fragile supply chains, despite eased semiconductor shortages, remain significant headwinds for the company.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Significant global headwinds continue to demand our attention. The heightened geopolitical instability, particularly in West Asia, continues to pose a material risk to energy price stability and has created volatility in key shipping and logistics routes. While the acute semiconductor shortages of the past have eased, the overall supply chain environment remains fragile.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Guruprasad Mudlapur, Managing Director and Chief Technology Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Bosch&#8217;s cautiously optimistic, flattish outlook for FY27 is primarily due to potential economic headwinds from the West Asia conflict and crude oil prices, but they retain the capacity to ramp up if conditions improve.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are a bit cautiously optimistic. We are cautious because of the potential headwinds in front of us, specifically the West Asia conflict now going on, which could have a serious impact on crude oil prices. If the pass-throughs are high, there could be a negative impact on the economy. Therefore, we want to be cautious. We have currently maintained a flattish outlook, but that does not mean we have issues ramping up when required or going much beyond that, just like the year we just closed.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Guruprasad Mudlapur, Managing Director and Chief Technology Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>The significant growth in the two-wheeler business was primarily driven by increased sales of exhaust gas sensors due to the implementation of OBD2 norms.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The two-wheeler business grew by 63.4%, mainly on account of higher sales of exhaust gas sensors due to the ramp-up of OBD2 norms implementation from April 1, 2025.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Guruprasad Mudlapur, Managing Director and Chief Technology Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Bosch is actively preparing customers for TREM Phase 3 regulations and spearheading ADAS adoption in commercial vehicles, ensuring partners&#8217; compliance with new regulations rolling out from April 2026 to October 2027.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;For the upcoming TREM Phase 3 regulations, we are ensuring our customers will be fully prepared by actively aligning with OEMs for the rollout scheduled in April 2026. In parallel, we are spearheading the adoption of ADAS in commercial vehicles. Our proactive approach positions our partners to comply seamlessly as this important regulation takes effect starting in January 2027 for new commercial vehicle models and extending to all commercial vehicles by October 2027.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Guruprasad Mudlapur, Managing Director and Chief Technology Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>The two-wheeler and powersports division achieved a significant surge in demand post-GST reforms, successfully scaling production despite supply chain pressures and maintaining 100% delivery to OEMs.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Moving to our two-wheeler and powersports division, we saw a significant surge in demand following the recent GST reforms. Our operational team successfully scaled production to meet this demand. Importantly, it was achieved while managing ongoing supply chain pressures. We maintained our 100% delivery commitment to all OEMs, ensuring zero production disruptions.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Guruprasad Mudlapur, Managing Director and Chief Technology Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Bosch expects a continuous increase in content per vehicle, a trend that is anticipated to persist in the upcoming fiscal year, even with a flattish volume outlook.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The first part on content per vehicle is a constant increase; this is happening and we have discussed this a couple of times in the past. This is a trend that continues all the time for us, and we expect this trend to continue in the upcoming fiscal year.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Guruprasad Mudlapur, Managing Director and Chief Technology Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>The market for advanced air-processed braking and suspension systems in India is nascent, with global markets currently driving demand due to existing legislation, but Indian adoption is expected within two years.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In India, this is very nascent. The air-processed braking and suspension systems market in India is a brand-new portfolio. It is something that we see upcoming in the coming years. However, the interest currently is largely global, as many countries already have legislation and are adopting fully electronically controlled software-driven modules for air compression, suspension, and braking.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Guruprasad Mudlapur, Managing Director and Chief Technology Officer</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Information Technology</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/BLACKBUCK/">BlackBuck Limited | Mid Cap | Software</a></h2><p>BlackBuck operates India&#8217;s largest digital platform for truckers, providing essential services including tolling, fueling, and vehicle tracking. The company manages a network of over 10,000 touchpoints to digitalize the highly fragmented trucking industry across the country.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachLive/1e600823-5b6e-451b-9fd7-3a7db8566a33.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>Blackbuck anticipates short-term headwinds on trade movement and growth due to the West Asia conflict, which will impact the heavy truck intercity movement sector.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;So we believe that the west Asia conflict which is a widespread conflict not only for us but for the whole Indian economy will have short -term headwinds with anticipated drag on trade movement and which obviously because most of our revenue comes from flow throughs but we continue to climb on our revenues that will be consistent but maybe create a drag on our short -term growth.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Rajesh Kumar Naidu Yabaji, Chairman, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company&#8217;s fuel business faces a direct impact from the temporary suspension of the loyalty program by Oil Marketing Companies.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;One small narrative on that which is a very direct impact is as you know that we have a fuel business which is basically built on top of the loyalty program which OMC&#8217;s work on and they have suspended their loyalty program temporarily.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Rajesh Kumar Naidu Yabaji, Chairman, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The vehicle finance business manages 600 crores in assets with partners, adhering to an asset-light model where Blackbuck&#8217;s own book is primarily used for new experiments and launching partnerships.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Close to 600 crores is the assets managed by our partners overall in our books. About 10 percentage is basically on our books. Their strategy remains constant. Basically, whenever we onboard a new partner for the new partner&#8217;s confidence we do a co -lending book together. And any new experiments so if you see our book large part of the book is new experiments as well. So, anything we want to launch, or we want to see we first perfected on our book. So, our book we will only use for newer experiments and to probably launch new partnerships. So, we continue to build the vehicle finance on asset light model as we have always articulated the last 3 years the strategy remains same.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Rajesh Kumar Naidu Yabaji, Chairman, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The vehicle finance business is expected to become cash flow positive and transition out of investment mode into a core business by the end of the current fiscal year.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Vehicle finance business probably by the end of this financial year would no longer be in the investment mode and would start probably churning cash flows which will also enable us to move that into a core business kind of a trajectory from a narrative perspective.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Rajesh Kumar Naidu Yabaji, Chairman, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>All of Blackbuck&#8217;s businesses, including new growth initiatives, are managed to be contribution margin positive, ensuring profitability scales with order volume and avoids negative market behavior.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;So, in trucking business what we&#8217;ve understood over the years is that building a business with negative contribution creates a lot of negative behaviour and sentiment amongst the market participants because the nature is at the end of the day it&#8217;s a B2B relationship right. So, most or all our businesses across regardless they are new or experiments or whatever we are always contribution margin positive. We make money on every order we do so if orders scale our profitability converges.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Rajesh Kumar Naidu Yabaji, Chairman, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Blackbuck explains that profit percentage is a complex outcome of core business profitability (X) minus fluctuating growth investments (Y), making it challenging to predict a stable percentage.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;profit percentage is actually again a much more further outcome because we generate X in core, we invest Y. Now we see rapid growth, we increase Y, right? X largely follows the secular trend which I was mentioning, follows the operating leverage construct, follows the growth construct. Y is all independent on that quarter need and probably subsequent two three quarters, right? So I would say that it&#8217;s hard to put a number to this, but the way to look at it is that it&#8217;s an outcome metric and it is determined by X + Y and X minus Y in fact Y is a negative sign and then depending on what Y is your X comes and X divided by overall net revenue is a percentage. So that&#8217;s why you see because the overall revenue growth happens and then there is increase in burn also and then you have a profit which also increases. So, it&#8217;s a pretty much composite metric, right? X minus Y by total R, right? RX plus RY. So that&#8217;s how you should look at it.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Rajesh Kumar Naidu Yabaji, Chairman, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Financial Services</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/LICI/">Life Insurance Corporation of India | Large Cap | Life Insurance</a></h2><p>Life Insurance Corporation of India is the country&#8217;s largest life insurance provider, maintaining a dominant market share through its massive agency network. The company is currently undergoing a strategic shift to increase the proportion of high-margin non-participating products in its portfolio.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/40413-21-May-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>The company is seeing explosive growth in non-participating products, which do not share profits with policyholders and are generally more lucrative for the insurer. This rapid growth suggests LIC&#8217;s strategy to rebalance its product mix toward higher profitability is working.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Since then, our non-participating APE has increased from 10,581 crore rupees to 15,214 crore rupees, reflecting an increase of 43.78% on a year-on-year basis. At this point, I would like to take you back to our nine-month results for the period ended December 31, when our comparable non-participating APE share within individual business was 36.46%.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sanjay Bajaj, Head of Investor Relations</em></p></blockquote><p>LIC has finally reached a key milestone in diversifying its distribution beyond its traditional agent network. Successful growth in the bancassurance channel reduces the company&#8217;s over-reliance on individual agents for new business.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I would like to say that for long, since our listing, we have quite literally harbored an ambition to cross the level of 5,000 crores through bancassurance and alternate channels. And this financial year, we achieved the same, and we are very happy about it.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, Executive Leadership</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is aggressively expanding its rural footprint through female insurance representatives to tap into under-penetrated markets. This grassroots expansion strategy supports the long-term goal of reaching every household in India by 2047.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our objective is to appoint at least one Bima Sakhi in every Gram Panchayat. We would like to inform you that out of 2,44,876 Gram Panchayats, we have covered 59% of Gram Panchayats by recruiting Bima Sakhis in 1,43,924 Panchayats up to March 31, 2026.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, Executive Leadership</em></p></blockquote><p>A small portion of the company&#8217;s total sales is now generating more than half of its new business value. This reveals how critical the shift toward non-participating products is for LIC&#8217;s future earnings power.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;For the non-participating business, the individual non-participating contribution to the VNB is significant; 22.7% is the proportion of APE, which is contributing to the extent of 53% of VNB. The remaining comes from the group business.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, Executive Leadership</em></p></blockquote><p>Management is prioritizing the quality of business over sheer volume by moving away from low-ticket microfinance sales that had poor persistence. This strategic trade-off should lead to a more stable and profitable book of business over time.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;It was a conscious decision to move away from those initiatives and concentrate on bigger ticket sizes. The decline is largely attributed to the microfinance side; the overall bancassurance universe remains intact.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Hemant Buch, Executive Director Marketing, Bancassurance and Alternate Channels</em></p></blockquote><p>Large payouts for old policies are currently occurring, which explains the high maturity claims being reported. These are legacy obligations that are being cleared, allowing the company to replace old liabilities with modern, higher-margin products.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have had individual policies with assured benefits sold in big numbers 25 years back that are maturing now. One cohort of policies called Jeevan Shree is maturing, and the number of policies and the ticket size are significantly high.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, Executive Leadership</em></p></blockquote><p>Management is carefully balancing the fixed returns offered to customers with the company&#8217;s ability to hedge those risks. This prudent approach to product pricing protects LIC against long-term interest rate risks.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have to take a conscious call for non-participating products where everything is guaranteed. We believe giving best value to the customer is the starting point for business growth. Our non-participating products have provided competitive returns, leading to a major uptick.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, Executive Leadership</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Diversified</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/GRASIM/">Grasim Industries | Large Cap | Diversified</a></h2><p>Grasim Industries is a leading Indian conglomerate with dominant positions in viscose staple fiber, chemicals, and building materials. The company has recently diversified into high-growth consumer sectors including decorative paints and B2B e-commerce platforms.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/221-20-May-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>The company has quickly moved up the ranks to become the third-largest player in the Indian decorative paints market. Investors should note the management&#8217;s confidence in soon becoming the second-largest player by leveraging their existing distribution networks.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our revenue market share expanded by approximately 90 basis points quarter-on-quarter, strengthening our position as the number three player in the organized decorative paint sector. The FY26 revenue market share expanded by 370 basis points over FY25. When you combine Birla Opus with our Birla White putty business only, we are now nearing the number two position in Indian decorative paints.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Himanshu Kapania, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>External global conflicts and currency issues have caused a massive spike in the cost of raw materials for the paint division. This creates a significant risk to short-term profitability as the company tries to manage these rising expenses.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;A large percentage of decorative paint raw material and the entire packaging material is linked to crude derivatives. The volatile geopolitical environment and steep depreciation of our currency against the dollar have resulted in the spiraling of cost of goods to as high as 20% to 25% of COGS, and we are still counting the impact. This level of increase is unprecedented, and even now, raw material prices are unstable and unpredictable.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Himanshu Kapania, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The B2B e-commerce segment, Birla Pivot, is growing at a rapid pace and is close to hitting its full-year targets. This validates the company&#8217;s decision to enter the digital procurement space for building materials.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our revenue for Q4 FY26 more than doubled on a year-on-year basis. This business is within a striking distance of our annual revenue guidance of 8,500 crore. Now, in a business that is barely a few years old, doubling revenue is not just growth; it is validation.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Himanshu Kapania, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The cement division has significantly improved its efficiency and lowered production costs over the last two years. These cost savings act as a buffer that helps maintain profit margins even when cement prices are volatile.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Over the past 2 fiscal years, FY25 and FY26 combined, we have delivered cumulative efficiency gains of 185 per ton. This is not just a coincidence; it is the result of sustained focus on fuel mix optimization, logistics efficiency, and operational excellence across our plants. These structural cost levers give us confidence that margins will continue to improve even in a competitive pricing environment.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Hemant Kadel, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management is seeing a long-term shift toward eco-friendly fabrics that is driving high demand for their fiber products. This trend suggests a durable, long-term growth path for the Cellulosic Fiber division.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Let me set the stage with a powerful fact: cellulosic fiber is the fastest-growing segment in the Indian fiber basket, expanding at a CAGR nearly two times that of other fibers. This is not a temporary blip; this is a structural shift driven by sustainability, cotton constraints, and rising consumer demand for eco-friendly fabrics.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Hemant Kadel, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management explicitly stated that gaining market share and hitting revenue targets are more important right now than showing a profit in the paint business. Investors should expect continued high spending as the company chases the number two market position.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In the sequence of profitability, I want to repeat our order of priority. Our first priority is to become the number two decorative paints operator in India. Second is the 10,000 crore target, and third is profitability. We have always used all three words together, but they are in that sequence.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Himanshu Kapania, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Data shows that the longer a dealer stays with Grasim, the more product they sell, reaching levels comparable to established competitors. This maturing dealer network suggests that revenue will naturally increase as more recently added dealers gain experience.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Incrementally, for our older dealers who have spent more than 18 months with us, our counter share is significantly higher&#8212;as high as 25% to 50% in those outlets&#8212;and their throughput matches legacy paint operators. As a dealer becomes older and their comfort with the entire range of products increases, they tend to achieve similar throughput to a legacy dealer.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Himanshu Kapania, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is using dividends from its cement subsidiary to pay its own shareholders and fund its financial services arm. This allows the company to use its own generated cash specifically to grow the new paint and e-commerce ventures.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Net of tax we receive from our subsidiaries, specifically cement, we prefer to allocate that fund to dividends for our existing shareholders and toward maintaining our stake in Aditya Birla Capital. The entire revenue and EBITDA generated within Grasim itself will be reinvested in the growth of Grasim&#8217;s own businesses.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Himanshu Kapania, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The B2B e-commerce business is expected to stop losing money and reach break-even by the end of the next fiscal year. This provides a clear timeline for when this segment will stop being a drag on overall corporate earnings.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Regarding the profitability path for Birla Pivot, our growth momentum was shared in the opening comments and has been far ahead of the guidance we gave. Our goal for FY27 is to exit with EBITDA break-even, and we are well on that path. It might even happen a little sooner.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sandeep Kumaravelli, CEO, Birla Pivot</em></p></blockquote><p>The electrical insulator business is seeing high demand, with new capacity already being fully utilized by customers. Management is taking a disciplined approach to expansion, focusing on efficiency rather than building massive new plants all at once.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In polymer long-rod, we recently expanded capacity and those units are sold out. We are looking at further increasing capacity in hollow composite. We are bullish on the segment, but we are not planning to suddenly double or triple capacity. Our aim is to gain operational efficiency from existing assets and make incremental investments.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Jayant Dhobley, Business Head, Chemicals &amp; Insulators</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Telecom</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/IDEA/">Vodafone Idea Limited | Mid Cap | Telecommunication Services</a></h2><p>Vodafone Idea is a major Indian telecom operator providing mobile voice and data services nationwide under the &#8216;Vi&#8217; brand. The company is currently executing a large-scale capital expenditure program to expand 4G capacity and accelerate its 5G rollout.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/4708-18-May-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>The government has significantly reduced the company&#8217;s outstanding regulatory dues after a formal reassessment exercise. This reduction provides much-needed long-term clarity for the company&#8217;s cash flow planning and balance sheet health.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our AGR dues have been finalized as 64,046 crores as of December 31, 2025&#8212;a reduction from the earlier frozen figure of 87,695 crores. The structured repayment schedule provides significant long-term clarity for the cash flow. The payment schedule till FY35 remains unchanged.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Akshat Kishore, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>The core promoter group is injecting fresh capital into the business to support its recovery phase. Investors should view this as a signal of continued promoter confidence despite the company&#8217;s historical financial challenges.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In addition, the Aditya Birla Group has also committed to infuse an additional equity of 4,730 crores. These developments reaffirm the strong and continued commitment of the promoter group to our long-term growth.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Akshat Kishore, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>The company has finally halted its long-standing trend of losing subscribers and actually saw growth in the final months of the quarter. This stability is a critical turning point for the company&#8217;s ability to generate sustainable revenue growth.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I am particularly pleased to share that during the quarter, we were able to stabilize our subscriber base to 192.8 million customers vis-a-vis last quarter, a first since the merger. More importantly, we have registered improvement in subscriber numbers for the first time post-merger in the month of February, which has continued into March as well.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Akshat Kishore, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management is correlating their heavy network investment over the last 18 months directly with the stabilization of the subscriber base. Sustained capital expenditure in broadband towers is essential for the company to remain competitive with larger peers.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Over the last six quarters, we have deployed over 16,000 crores and added approximately 30,000 unique broadband towers and expanded capacity by adding over 1,26,000 new broadband layers. We have always maintained that consistent and right investment has been key in stemming our subscriber losses, and we are now witnessing tangible outcomes as 4G coverage and 5G presence deepens across circles.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Akshat Kishore, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Expansion of the 4G network into new territories is the primary driver behind the company&#8217;s increasing average revenue per user. By providing better coverage, the company can successfully transition more users to higher-paying data plans.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The combination of investment in the network, addition of sites, increased capacity, and improved population coverage&#8212;we have added roughly 48 million more population to our LTE network&#8212;is reflected in this strong ARPU growth. We intend to maintain this growth.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Akshat Kishore, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>A third of the company&#8217;s user base still uses basic feature phones, representing a massive internal pool for future data growth. Converting these legacy users to smartphones is a low-cost way for the company to boost its revenue.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Almost 67% of our customers are now on smartphones, while 33% are on feature phones. That is a big lever for us to push, as the opportunity is available to upgrade those customers.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Akshat Kishore, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management is currently negotiating a significant 35,000 crore credit facility to fund their three-year expansion plan. Closing this bank funding is the most critical hurdle for the company to achieve its network upgrade targets.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Regarding the debt raise, we have maintained our capex target of 45,000 crores over the next three years. We are looking at a 25,000 crore funded facility and a 10,000 crore non-funded facility. We are deeply engaged with an SBI-led consortium of PSU, private, and foreign banks.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Akshat Kishore, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is intentionally slowing down its pace of new customer acquisitions to focus on high-value users who are less likely to leave. This strategic shift aims to improve the quality of the subscriber base and reduce the costs associated with customer churn.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We reduced acquisitions from 21.8 million in Q2 to 19.1 million in Q4 by design to focus on quality rather than quantity. This produces better churn and retentivity.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Akshat Kishore, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management has set an ambitious target to reach 35% cash margins through a combination of subscriber growth and higher industry prices. Success depends on the company&#8217;s ability to turn its network investments into consistent revenue gains.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;If we achieve double-digit revenue growth, the cash EBITDA margin should be north of 35%. The levers are customer growth, ARPU improvements, industry pricing architecture, and reduced churn from capex implementation.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Akshat Kishore, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management admits that inconsistent network quality in some areas leads to lower active subscriber ratios compared to peers. This highlights the urgent need for the planned capital expenditure to provide a more reliable service for multi-SIM users.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Regarding VLR, because network experience can sometimes be patchy, it results in higher churn. We have a proportion of customers moving in and out of the network, which lowers the VLR.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Akshat Kishore, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>The company faces a massive 1 lakh crore funding requirement for investments and debt payments over the next three years. Management believes their combined cash sources and projected earnings growth will be enough to meet these significant financial commitments.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Adding spectrum payments of 49,000 crores and debt servicing of 5,000-6,000 crores, the total requirement is about 1 lakh crore. Combined with income tax refunds and the recent promoter infusion, we are very confident in our ability to fulfill all obligations over the next three years.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Tejas, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>The leadership team believes the company&#8217;s survival phase has ended and is now pivotting toward aggressive growth. They are staking their recovery on a tripling of earnings fueled by massive infrastructure spending.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our three-year targets are unambiguous: sustained net customer addition, double-digit revenue growth, and tripling the EBITDA. We are backing these targets with 45,000 crores of investment, strong promoter commitment, and a leadership team that has emerged intact from the most challenging conditions. The worst is behind us.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Akshat Kishore, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Personal Care</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/HONASA/">Honasa Consumer Ltd. | Mid Cap | Personal Care</a></h2><p>Honasa Consumer is a digital-first beauty and personal care company that builds and scales brands like Mamaearth and The Derma Co. The company utilizes a multi-brand strategy and an omni-channel distribution network to target the premiumization trend among Indian consumers.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/52528-21-May-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>Honasa&#8217;s core strategy across all brands is premiumization, targeting the aspirational demands of the emerging middle class with differentiated products, a trend expected to persist for decades.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our underlying hypothesis for all our brands has been premiumization. we exist because we felt the emerging middle class was not being served with differentiated, aspirational brand propositions that make them feel they are moving forward in life. All the businesses we have built tap into the premiumization trend, which we expect to continue for decades.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Varun Alagh, Co-Founder, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Honasa proactively implemented calibrated price increases in Q1 to offset rising crude, packaging, and raw material costs, and does not anticipate further hikes at current crude price levels.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We foresaw the impact of crude prices and the war scenario on our packaging and raw material prices. In line with that, we have executed calibrated price increases where competition has done the same... At this point, given where crude is, we do not expect further price increases; what we have done should cover the current inflation.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Varun Alagh, Co-Founder, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Honasa employs a &#8220;horses for courses&#8221; strategy, investing in specific brands to capitalize on shifting consumer trends (e.g., actives, hydration), currently prioritizing The Derma Co due to strong tailwinds in the actives segment.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our strategy is to have &#8220;horses for courses&#8221;&#8212;different brands standing for sharp propositions. Depending on how consumer sentiments change&#8212;whether toward naturals, hydration, or actives&#8212;we will change our investment gears using the right brand chassis. Right now, there is a strong tailwind for actives, so we are doubling down on The Derma Co. As Aqualogica becomes material enough, we will share more.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Varun Alagh, Co-Founder, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Honasa projects Mamaearth to achieve a double-digit CAGR over the next five years, driven by significant share gain opportunities in focus categories and expansion from 200,000 to potentially 500,000 retail outlets.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are fairly confident of delivering a double-digit CAGR on the brand over the next 5 years. We see a lot of share gain opportunities across our focus categories, such as face wash, shampoo, and other categories of interest. We also see distribution gain opportunities, given the brand is only in 200,000 outlets and can potentially reach 500,000 outlets over the next 3 to 5 years.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Varun Alagh, Co-Founder, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>The Derma Co&#8217;s strong performance is attributed to timely recognition of the actives segment trend and effective execution based on Mamaearth&#8217;s learnings, demonstrating Honasa&#8217;s capability to build another 1,000 crore brand.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The Derma Co... has benefited from being in the actives segment, which we recognized at the right time. By executing correctly and finding the right fundamentals based on what we learned from Mamaearth, we have been able to scale that brand strongly. We double down on talking about it to show the replicability of our playbooks and our ability to build another 1,000 crore brand.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Varun Alagh, Co-Founder, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Defence</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/BEL/">Bharat Electronics Limited | Large Cap | Aerospace &amp; Defence</a></h2><p>Bharat Electronics Limited is a premier Indian defense public sector undertaking that specializes in advanced electronic products for the military. The company is a lead integrator for radars, missile systems, and communication electronics under the government&#8217;s self-reliance initiatives.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/38-20-May-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>Management is actively developing new-age technologies like quantum communication and drones through collaborations with startups and academia. These proof-of-concepts serve as the foundation for future high-value electronic warfare and secure communication contracts.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;For drone technology or quantum technologies, whether it is QKD or quantum-safe communication, we are working on all these four pillars of development. We have done good hands-on work on these technologies, and a few proof-of-concepts have also been provided to our defense users. We are totally geared up to tap into all these technologies through these four spectrums of work.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Manoj Jain, Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is making significant investments in high-performance computing hardware to support AI-driven defense applications. This strategic spending ensures BEL has the digital infrastructure needed to process complex data for modern combat systems.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The underlying technology is AI, which requires a very good computing infrastructure, whether it is CPUs or GPUs. We have invested heavily in that, on the order of a minimum of 100+ crores in the last 2 years, and at least around 100-200 crores worth of investments are in different stages of approval. That is the main capex required.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Manoj Jain, Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Despite global supply chain concerns, semiconductors represent less than one-fifth of the company&#8217;s material costs. This relatively low exposure helps insulate the company&#8217;s overall profit margins from international price volatility.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Semiconductors per se represent around 17-19% of our material cost or value of production. Therefore, a semiconductor cost increase&#8212;if it happens&#8212;only affects that portion. Overall, it may not affect our margins that much.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Manoj Jain, Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>BEL is positioned to secure a majority share of the electronics work for India&#8217;s upcoming large-scale submarine manufacturing project. This involvement secures a long-term revenue stream as the naval modernization program progresses.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In this P-75I program, there will be a foreign component because the foreign partner is working with MDL and, indirectly, with us... I can tell you that more than 50-60% of the electronics in this program will be from BEL. We are in a very advanced stage of discussion with MDL and their foreign partner.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Manoj Jain, Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Electronics constitute nearly a third of the total value for major platforms like submarines. This high percentage highlights the significant addressable market for BEL within multi-billion dollar platform orders.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I cannot give an exact figure, but typically around 25-30% comes from the electronics portion. In this particular case, because there is a foreign element and it is not totally homegrown, the ratio may vary by about 5% on either side.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Manoj Jain, Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>BEL&#8217;s growth strategy relies on a mix of steady base orders and periodic massive contracts. This recurring cycle of big-ticket items allows the company to sustain high revenue growth over long periods despite year-to-year fluctuations.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We mentioned last year that we receive a fixed set of regular orders every year, and then every 3-4 years we receive big-ticket projects. Those big-ticket projects maintain our healthy order book and growth rate. This year we expect the QRSAM order.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Manoj Jain, Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is targeting massive government data center projects as a primary non-defense growth engine. Success in this vertical could significantly diversify revenue and reduce dependence on the defense budget alone.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are in advanced discussions for these projects, which could be valued between 2,000 crores and 10,000 crores. We expect the first segments to bring in 1,000-5,000 crores of business.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Manoj Jain, Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>By replacing expensive imported parts with local designs, BEL is effectively capturing higher profit margins. This focus on local manufacturing is the primary driver behind the company&#8217;s recent margin expansion.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Indigenizing critical technology, modules, and subsystems has helped us. We have created a separate indigenization cell in BEL to monitor our internal developments and those of our MSME and startup partners. The faster we indigenize, the more profitable we will be.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Manoj Jain, Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>BEL is far exceeding the government&#8217;s minimum localization requirements, with most programs being over 80% indigenous. This high level of local content mitigates currency risk and supports the national &#8216;Atmanirbhar Bharat&#8217; policy.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Government policy now requires a minimum of 60% in all new projects. We are currently at roughly 80-85% indigenization for most programs. In some cases, it touches 90%.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Manoj Jain, Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>BEL is entering the development phase for India&#8217;s next-generation fighter jet, the AMCA, alongside L&amp;T. Participation in such high-profile R&amp;D programs ensures the company&#8217;s electronics will be standard on the final production aircraft.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We expect the formal RFP to be received by the consortium&#8212;with L&amp;T as the lead bidder and BEL as a partner&#8212;within the next 15 days to 1.5 months. Regarding development, the project is run by ADA (Aeronautical Development Agency) under DRDO. We will be the DCPP partner for the five prototypes.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Manoj Jain, Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><p>That&#8217;s it for now! Your feedback will really help shape how The Chatter evolves. Drop it down in the comments below!</p><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://thechatterbyzerodha.substack.com/p/the-chatter-underneath-the-noise?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share&amp;token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjozMDExNzg5MTMsInBvc3RfaWQiOjE3MjY2NDQxNiwiaWF0IjoxNzU3NTk4NjQzLCJleHAiOjE3NjAxOTA2NDMsImlzcyI6InB1Yi00ODk4NzYwIiwic3ViIjoicG9zdC1yZWFjdGlvbiJ9.TFcDJv32XGvO0oFacHaCKP014RVVZ1pAYaVdcBrgrfE&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Share&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:&quot;button-wrapper&quot;}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary button-wrapper" href="https://thechatterbyzerodha.substack.com/p/the-chatter-underneath-the-noise?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share&amp;token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjozMDExNzg5MTMsInBvc3RfaWQiOjE3MjY2NDQxNiwiaWF0IjoxNzU3NTk4NjQzLCJleHAiOjE3NjAxOTA2NDMsImlzcyI6InB1Yi00ODk4NzYwIiwic3ViIjoicG9zdC1yZWFjdGlvbiJ9.TFcDJv32XGvO0oFacHaCKP014RVVZ1pAYaVdcBrgrfE"><span>Share</span></a></p><p>Quotes in this newsletter were curated by Meher, Shahid, Srusti &amp; Kashish.</p><p>Disclaimer: We&#8217;ve used AI tools in filtering and cleaning up these quotes so there maybe some mistakes. Now, if you are thinking why we are using AI, please remember that we are just a small team of 5 people running everything you see on Zerodha Markets &#128556; So, all the good stuff is human and mistakes are AI.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Has AI broken the Indian IT model?]]></title><description><![CDATA[Plotlines #6]]></description><link>https://thechatter.zerodha.com/p/has-ai-broken-the-indian-it-model</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://thechatter.zerodha.com/p/has-ai-broken-the-indian-it-model</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Zerodha]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sat, 16 May 2026 04:24:49 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!f82e!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faeae07ba-de2b-4e84-b121-466d94a22edb_2560x1440.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 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class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><em>Hi, I&#8217;m <a href="https://www.linkedin.com/in/kashishkap00r/">Kashish</a> and I work on Plotlines.</em></p><p style="text-align: justify;"><em>It builds on Chatter, but with a more structured lens. Instead of looking at management commentary from earning concalls in isolation, we track a single theme across companies and over time to connect the dots. The goal is to piece together how narratives evolve, and surface the deeper structural shifts shaping industries.</em></p><p style="text-align: justify;"><em>Today, we cover how AI is changing the rules of Indian IT services industry. This edition couldn&#8217;t have happened without the help of my colleague, and in-house IT sector expert, <a href="https://www.linkedin.com/in/pranavmanie/">Pranav Manie</a>, so a huge shoutout to him.</em></p><div id="youtube2-vYy6HnfnTcw" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;vYy6HnfnTcw&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/vYy6HnfnTcw?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2" target="_blank" href="https://www.tijoristack.ai/concall-monitor/?utm_source=zerodha&amp;utm_campaign=z_marketing" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DvhQ!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd94e0e1f-b28a-482b-a25a-7f2e3246c7b8_8192x2048.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DvhQ!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd94e0e1f-b28a-482b-a25a-7f2e3246c7b8_8192x2048.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DvhQ!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd94e0e1f-b28a-482b-a25a-7f2e3246c7b8_8192x2048.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DvhQ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd94e0e1f-b28a-482b-a25a-7f2e3246c7b8_8192x2048.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DvhQ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd94e0e1f-b28a-482b-a25a-7f2e3246c7b8_8192x2048.png" width="1456" height="364" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/d94e0e1f-b28a-482b-a25a-7f2e3246c7b8_8192x2048.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:364,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:306481,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:&quot;https://www.tijoristack.ai/concall-monitor/?utm_source=zerodha&amp;utm_campaign=z_marketing&quot;,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://thechatter.zerodha.com/i/193780467?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd94e0e1f-b28a-482b-a25a-7f2e3246c7b8_8192x2048.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DvhQ!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd94e0e1f-b28a-482b-a25a-7f2e3246c7b8_8192x2048.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DvhQ!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd94e0e1f-b28a-482b-a25a-7f2e3246c7b8_8192x2048.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DvhQ!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd94e0e1f-b28a-482b-a25a-7f2e3246c7b8_8192x2048.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DvhQ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd94e0e1f-b28a-482b-a25a-7f2e3246c7b8_8192x2048.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Check out <a href="https://www.tijoristack.ai/concall-monitor/?utm_source=zerodha&amp;utm_campaign=z_marketing">Concall Monitor</a></figcaption></figure></div><div><hr></div><p style="text-align: justify;">For nearly three decades, the Indian IT services pitch was simple to draw on a whiteboard. Take work that costs $150 an hour in New York, route it to engineers who cost a fraction of that in Bengaluru, keep the spread, and scale by adding more engineers. The model was so durable that the listed Indian IT industry &#8212; <a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/TCS/">TCS</a>, <a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/INFY/">Infosys</a>, <a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/WIPRO/">Wipro</a>, <a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/HCLTECH/">HCL</a>, <a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/TECHM/">Tech Mahindra</a> and the next tier &#8212; grew into a $250-billion-plus export machine on the back of it.</p><p>FY26 was the year that loop got publicly disowned by the people running the companies. Not because clients stopped buying services &#8212; bookings, by and large, held up &#8212; but because management itself began naming the model&#8217;s mortality on earnings calls. Some called it deflation. Some called it accretive. Some called it disruption they were inflicting on themselves before someone else did it to them. The vocabulary varied. The shape underneath did not. What follows is FY26 in the words of the operators, across five fractures in the old way of doing business.</p><h3><strong>[1] Revenue and headcount come apart</strong></h3><p>The first fracture is the load-bearing one. For three decades, headcount was a leading indicator for revenue at every Indian IT major. In FY26, the link visibly broke. Here is HCL&#8217;s CEO C. Vijayakumar, in plain numbers:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;If you see our revenue in the last couple of years, we have grown 4%-5% and our headcount has not grown. So, that gives you a sense there is some non-linearity playing out. Even this quarter, in revenue growth and headcount, there is at least 1.5% or 1% difference.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; C. Vijayakumar, CEO &amp; MD, HCL Technologies | Q2 FY26</p></blockquote><p>Two years of growth without bodies. The word the industry has started using is &#8220;non-linearity&#8221; &#8212; a clean piece of jargon that translates to: the old equation, where one more engineer billed one more set of hours, no longer governs how revenue is made. Mphasis says the same thing in its own language:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;This naturally means that there is certain amount of de-linkage between revenue growth and headcount growth, which, again, we&#8217;ve been seeing for the last few quarters.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Nitin Rakesh, CEO, Mphasis | Q2 FY26</p></blockquote><p>The most uncomfortable version of the same point came earlier in HCL&#8217;s year, when Vijayakumar was asked what happens to the people whose work is now being automated:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Of course, we have had a good amount of people released due to the productivity improvements. Now, not all of them are readily redeployable because the requirements for some of the entry level or lower end skills are being addressed through Automation and other elements.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; C. Vijayakumar, CEO &amp; MD, HCL Technologies | Q1 FY26</p></blockquote><p>&#8220;Released&#8221; is the operative word. So is &#8220;not readily redeployable.&#8221; The Indian IT majors employ a combined two million people. Even small percentage shifts in redeployability translate to large absolute numbers of careers that have to find a new direction.</p><p>Infosys is the outlier &#8212; but the way it&#8217;s framed is the more interesting part. CEO Salil Parekh confirmed Infosys had added 13,000 people through the first three quarters and would keep adding:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;For the year, we have added ~13,000 net headcount for the first three quarters. My sense is, we will continue to add headcount as we go through. And it sort of comes back a little bit to an earlier discussion we were having, which is there is a macro element and there is an AI element.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Salil Parekh, CEO &amp; MD, Infosys | Q3 FY26</p></blockquote><p>Read carefully, that&#8217;s not a defence of the old model &#8212; it&#8217;s a hedge that the macro is still hungrier for engineers than AI is yet capable of replacing them. The decoupling is happening at HCL and Mphasis already. At Infosys it is, for the moment, being absorbed.</p><p>The cleanest data point on the decoupling, though, comes from a company that didn&#8217;t appear in this set of calls. Coforge &#8212; a mid-cap that has had the strongest growth print in the listed Indian IT universe this year &#8212; grew revenue roughly 30% in FY26 while its employee cost base grew only around 20%. The gap between the two lines is the entire thesis of this section, expressed in a single income statement. Coforge management hasn&#8217;t framed this on a call the way HCL&#8217;s Vijayakumar has, but the numbers describe the same phenomenon: the unit of revenue is detaching from the unit of labour.</p><h3><strong>[2] The margin paradox &#8212; same phenomenon, two stories</strong></h3><p>The strangest thing about FY26 is that the same productivity gain shows up on one CFO&#8217;s slide as a discount the company is forced to give clients, and on another&#8217;s as a price premium the company is finally able to charge. The cleanest illustration of the dichotomy is that Infosys&#8217;s own CFO articulated both views on the same earnings call.</p><p>On the accretive side, Jayesh Sanghrajka pointed out that Infosys&#8217;s pricing has actually firmed up &#8212; and credited AI for it:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In terms of pricing, I think pricing environment for us has remained stable. On the contrary, actually, most of our growth this year has been pricing-led because the volumes have been softer. And that in a way corroborates with the fact that the AI revenue are coming at a better pricing.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Jayesh Sanghrajka, CFO, Infosys | Q4 FY26</p></blockquote><p>And then, a few questions later on the same call, on the deflationary side:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Market is competitive. As I said, the competitive intensity in the market has gone up and the productivity will get passed back to the client largely.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Jayesh Sanghrajka, CFO, Infosys | Q4 FY26</p></blockquote><p>Both statements are true. New AI-led work commands premium pricing because clients are still figuring out what it&#8217;s worth. Existing services, where the productivity savings are quantifiable and the competition can match the offer, give the savings back. The phrase &#8220;AI is accretive&#8221; and &#8220;AI is deflationary&#8221; describe the same underlying economics applied to two different parts of the book.</p><p>HCL has taken the most explicit deflationary view in the industry &#8212; to the point of pre-announcing the revenue it expects to lose:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I think we are being very transparent. We are telling the clients, if you allow us to use AI Force and use all the recipes that we&#8217;ve created, we will showcase to you the optimization that is possible. And it will mean some reduction in revenue for us. And we are okay with that.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; C. Vijayakumar, CEO &amp; MD, HCL Technologies | Q1 FY26</p></blockquote><p>By the end of the year, Vijayakumar had put numbers to it. A $100-million deal in the old shape, he said, was now closing for closer to $80 million:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I mean, $100 million deal would be much lesser today - maybe 80 million, just on a rough ballpark. So, deal TCV is flat. But technically, it does require at least 25%, 30% more effort to convert and get to the same number.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; C. Vijayakumar, CEO &amp; MD, HCL Technologies | Q4 FY26</p></blockquote><p>And, taking a longer view, he sized the structural drag on HCL&#8217;s own portfolio:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;If we look at the industry today and categorize it, 40% of the industry runs the risk of being disrupted by AI and can shrink 3% to 5% CAGR for a few years and can eventually be 25% of the enterprise spend... The 3% to 5% deflation that I mentioned in the AI disrupted services, based on the mix of services that we have, it would translate to 2% to 3% for our portfolio.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; C. Vijayakumar, CEO &amp; MD, HCL Technologies | Q4 FY26</p></blockquote><p>To make room for that pivot, HCL ran a restructuring program through the year. The cost showed up plainly on the Q4 P&amp;L: a reported operating margin of 16.5%, against an underlying 17.7% &#8212; a 120-basis-point drag the company chose to absorb in a single year.</p><p>Mphasis sits in the accretive camp, and Nitin Rakesh has been the most forceful about why:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The good news though is that because we have this approach, we are at least not playing the pricing game alone when it comes to winning business. We are playing the Savings-Led Transformation game, and while we win business, we don&#8217;t have to sacrifice profitability of those deals because we are using this as a leverage.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Nitin Rakesh, CEO, Mphasis | Q2 FY26</p></blockquote><p>TCS, predictably more measured, made the same point on revenue productivity but flagged the timing wrinkle &#8212; early-stage AI delivery still carries investment costs that distort margin comparisons:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;On the AI and data part, the revenue productivity is definitely much better than the TCS average or the traditional business, both at onsite and offshore. Margins, I will not call out because there would be investments which would be temporary or in the initial phase, so it wouldn&#8217;t be like-to-like for comparison.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Samir Seksaria, CFO, TCS | Q4 FY26</p></blockquote><p>The two camps are not actually contradicting each other. They are describing different ends of the same portfolio: new AI work prices well because it&#8217;s scarce and unmeasured; old work that has been re-priced under AI savings clauses gives margin back. The companies whose CFOs say &#8220;accretive&#8221; are the ones whose mix is tilted, today, toward the new end. The ones who say &#8220;deflation&#8221; are sizing the headwind from the old end. FY27 will tell us which dominates as the new work scales and the old work gets re-papered.</p><p>There is, however, a related move that two of the larger players have begun making &#8212; and it is the most concrete signal yet that they are willing to defend pricing with the one lever services firms rarely pull: walking away from deals. HCL&#8217;s Vijayakumar disclosed in Q4 that the company had voluntarily declined to chase a meaningful share of available pipeline:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have lost some deals which are voluntary losses. We have walked away from some deals which will not make sense and that would have easily contributed at least $1 billion more to this number. It&#8217;s only prudent to be a little bit more careful about this...&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; C. Vijayakumar, CEO &amp; MD, HCL Technologies | Q4 FY26</p></blockquote><p>A billion dollars of foregone TCV is a serious admission for an industry that has measured its quarterly press releases in TCV growth for two decades. Tech Mahindra has been making the same call, and saying so explicitly:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have stayed extremely disciplined in large deals. So we have stayed disciplined so that large deals don&#8217;t end up creating a problem for us in the future, or doing large deals that don&#8217;t make business sense. Clients don&#8217;t want us to do deals that don&#8217;t make sense either, right?&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Mohit Joshi, MD &amp; CEO, Tech Mahindra | Q4 FY26</p></blockquote><p>Tech Mahindra&#8217;s CFO Rohit Anand confirmed the same posture, in CFO language:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We&#8217;re extremely conscious on what margins and the risk profile we sign it up... [we&#8217;ve] been very selective not just on the two large deals that we&#8217;ve announced but even on the deals that we&#8217;ve been ramping up for the last 3-4 quarters. Our as-sold margins on each of these deals from a portfolio perspective are accretive.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Rohit Anand, CFO, Tech Mahindra | Q4 FY26</p></blockquote><p>Notably absent from this chorus is Infosys, which spoke of &#8220;financial discipline&#8221; and a &#8220;margin protection programme&#8221; through FY26 but did not, on its Q4 call, name any deals it had walked away from. The question this raises is not whether HCL and Tech Mahindra are bluffing &#8212; both have given up real TCV to make the point &#8212; but whether either of them can keep doing it through FY27. Walking away from a billion dollars of deals is a luxury in a year where reported growth was already supported by macro tailwinds and currency. If FY27 starts with softer demand and the competitive set begins matching whatever pricing HCL refused, the discipline will be tested in a way it wasn&#8217;t this year. Investors should watch quarterly TCV disclosures with that filter on: is the deflation in deal sizes coming because AI is shrinking the work, or because HCL and Tech Mahindra are choosing not to take it? Through FY26, both stories have been true. They may not stay true together.</p><h3><strong>[3] The pricing reframe</strong></h3><p>If the labor-hours model is in retreat, what replaces it? The honest answer from FY26 is: no one knows yet, but everyone is auditioning a candidate. The sharpest reframe came from Tech Mahindra&#8217;s CEO Mohit Joshi &#8212; the most transparent any large-cap Indian IT services chief executive has been about the pricing logic of the AI era:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The way of thinking about running an AP function for our client, for instance, in the age of AI, is thinking about the work overall in terms of the number of service tokens that you will deliver to a client. So a service token in the context of an AP could be a sub-process of AP that you need to deliver for a telco. And as the combination of human labour and digital labour changes over time, and as the pricing for digital labour changes over time, the result is very transparent to the client.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Mohit Joshi, MD &amp; CEO, Tech Mahindra | Q4 FY26</p></blockquote><p>The &#8220;token&#8221; framing is borrowed, deliberately, from how large language models are priced. A unit of work, abstracted from how it gets done. Whether the work is performed by a human in Pune, an agent on a GPU, or some blend of both, the client buys outcomes by the token. Notice what it strips away: the offshoring rate-card. There is no longer a &#8220;billing rate&#8221; in the traditional sense.</p><p>Mphasis has taken a different route to the same destination &#8212; selling the savings, not the hours:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Clients are also asking us to not just show me on a PPT or tell me but actually show me in a live sandbox environment in many cases. So, think of this as &#8216;RFPs are turning into hackathons&#8217;, and that&#8217;s their yardstick of who can deliver on what they&#8217;re promising versus not. So, it has in a way become a lot more about the ability to showcase through execution.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Nitin Rakesh, CEO, Mphasis | Q2 FY26</p></blockquote><p>That sentence is worth pausing on. RFPs &#8212; request for proposals &#8212; have been the industry&#8217;s procurement language for thirty years. A multi-hundred-page document goes out, vendors respond with a multi-hundred-page document back, the decision is made on the document. If RFPs are being replaced by live sandbox demonstrations, the selling motion itself has changed: showing the working AI agent in the room beats describing it. The salesforce that wins is the one with engineering in the field, not slideware in the back office.</p><p>Infosys, more cautiously, hinted that pricing is in transition without committing to where it lands:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Over a longer period of time, on the back of AI, etc., we may expect some part of newer pricing models emerging. It could be outcome-based pricing model. It could be pod-based or studio-based pricing model, etc. So there are various new pricing models that are emerging as we speak. I do not think over the next year or so the entire model is going to change.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Jayesh Sanghrajka, CFO, Infosys | Q1 FY26</p></blockquote><p>&#8220;Pod-based&#8221; and &#8220;studio-based&#8221; are worth unpacking briefly. A pod is a small dedicated team &#8212; sometimes ten people, sometimes three plus an agent stack &#8212; billed as a unit rather than per head. A studio is a longer-running engagement priced on capacity and outcomes. Both share a common property: the client never sees an hourly rate.</p><h3><strong>[4] From labour to platforms and IP</strong></h3><p>If the work is no longer priced by the hour, where is the leverage? Every CEO in the brief converged on roughly the same answer: stop being a pure services firm, start owning intellectual property and platforms that get embedded into client environments. HCL&#8217;s Vijayakumar said it most directly:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We believe this industry will have to evolve from being a pure labor-based service provider to people plus IP and platform-based service provider. When you have the platform as a third-party platform, there is very little leverage, very little stickiness that we can build. And we can really deliver very good quality vertical IP solutions, which can be replicated across customers.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; C. Vijayakumar, CEO &amp; MD, HCL Technologies | Q2 FY26</p></blockquote><p>The argument is structural. A consultancy that uses someone else&#8217;s platform &#8212; Microsoft&#8217;s, Salesforce&#8217;s, ServiceNow&#8217;s, OpenAI&#8217;s &#8212; is renting leverage. A consultancy that builds its own platform, even a narrow vertical one, captures the leverage. HCL&#8217;s AI Force is the lead exhibit; by the end of FY26, the company reported $155 million in quarterly Advanced AI revenue, up from a $100-million annual milestone just two quarters earlier.</p><p>Wipro, in the most explicit organizational signal of the year, set up a separate business unit around the same thesis:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;As intelligence becomes industrialized and widely accessible, we are making a deliberate strategic pivot to stay ahead. We have launched a dedicated AI-native business and platforms unit to expand beyond a services-only model to a services-as-a-software approach. This unit will operate with dedicated leadership, focused investments and a distinct operating model to accelerate enterprise-grade agentic AI solutions.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Srini Pallia, CEO &amp; MD, Wipro | Q4 FY26</p></blockquote><p>&#8220;Services-as-a-software&#8221; is the phrase to watch. It is the inverse of &#8220;software-as-a-service&#8221; &#8212; instead of subscription software that requires services around it, the service itself is delivered as software that runs continuously. The CEO described the resulting structure as a &#8220;dual engine&#8221;: traditional services on one side, AI-native platforms on the other.</p><p>Tech Mahindra is making the same move under a different label &#8212; rebranding entire service lines rather than spinning up a new unit:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are repurposing our application development and maintenance services to agentic development and modernization services and it&#8217;s not just a name change, right. It&#8217;s not just a name change because it&#8217;s about how are we driving value to the customers. Now, how are we bringing that experience in the agentic form to our customers for building application agentic development is something that we are very, very focused on...&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Atul Soneja, COO, Tech Mahindra | Q4 FY26</p></blockquote><p>TCS has stated the destination in the largest terms:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;With AI, TCS aspires to be the World&#8217;s largest AI-led Tech Services company. This aspiration is powered by capitalizing on AI-led renewals, vendor consolidation and cost optimization deals resulting in market share gains; using new-age services and adjacencies that enable enterprises to &#8216;Get ready for AI&#8217;; becoming a full-stack AI services player &#8212; Infrastructure to Intelligence &#8212; thereby delivering maximum ROI to clients on their AI investments; and building new revenue streams such as building AI infrastructure.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; K. Krithivasan, CEO &amp; MD, TCS | Q4 FY26</p></blockquote><p>The most provocative version of the labour-to-IP thesis, though, came from Infosys&#8217;s co-founder and chairman Nandan Nilekani, in a line that pointed at something even further out &#8212; the threat to the SaaS industry the IT services companies have spent twenty years serving:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;As AI becomes a bigger part of the spend, the balance of advantage is moving towards &#8216;build&#8217; rather than &#8216;buy&#8217;. If you see some of the concerns about what will happen to SaaS companies and all that, it is because of this, that building applications has become so simple that very often you may just build, or you may replace something that you have, which you bought, with something to be built.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Nandan Nilekani, Chairman, Infosys | Q3 FY26</p></blockquote><p>If Nilekani is right, the next chapter is not just IT services repricing labour. It is enterprise software being eaten by the same wave &#8212; and the consultancies that ride it being the ones that own the new application stack, not the old one.</p><h3><strong>[5] Where the new money is</strong></h3><p>The closing fracture is the most underappreciated one in the brief. The growth pocket nobody had on their bingo card eighteen months ago has turned out to be the building, running, and feeding of AI itself &#8212; what HCL calls &#8220;Day-1 services&#8221;:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The real acceleration in what we are seeing is not necessarily in deploying AI within enterprises, but really &#8216;Day-1&#8217; services, which are foundational for enabling AI, like a lot of work in our engineering services. Like I mentioned about custom silicon for edge inferencing, it is a big area with a lot of companies across multiple industry verticals. This is not restricted to semiconductor industry.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; C. Vijayakumar, CEO &amp; MD, HCL Technologies | Q3 FY26</p></blockquote><p>Edge inferencing is the act of running AI models on the device &#8212; a car, a sensor, a factory floor controller &#8212; rather than in a centralized data center. Custom silicon is the chip designed to do that efficiently. Both used to be niche semiconductor specialties. In HCL&#8217;s telling, they have become mainstream IT services work because every industrial company building AI capability now needs both. By Q4, HCL had a concrete deal to point to:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;A global technology major selected HCLTech for another AI Factory program worth over $100 million. The HCLTech solution will fast-track the client&#8217;s requirements of building and operating next-generation AI data centers to support cutting-edge AI workloads using the latest GPU technologies. A global semiconductor major selected HCLTech&#8217;s AI engineering services to support ASIC development across multiple advanced node chips, strengthening its position in Physical AI.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; C. Vijayakumar, CEO &amp; MD, HCL Technologies | Q4 FY26</p></blockquote><p>TCS made the most striking infrastructure announcement of the year &#8212; a move into the data centre business itself:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The promise we see in our HyperVault Business &#8212; which has made significant progress this quarter on its journey to build out 1 GW of capacity. This includes winning customer commitments, land parcel finalizations and partnering agreements.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; K. Krithivasan, CEO &amp; MD, TCS | Q4 FY26</p></blockquote><p>One gigawatt of data centre capacity, for context, is a serious number. Indian data center capacity in early 2026 totals roughly 1.4 GW. TCS, a services company, has signalled it intends to build something approaching the size of the entire existing Indian colocation industry &#8212; and intends to sell that capacity to AI workloads.</p><p>The more interesting move underneath HyperVault, though, is what TCS is positioning around it. The company&#8217;s stated aspiration of being a &#8220;full-stack AI services player &#8212; Infrastructure to Intelligence&#8221; reads, at first, like investor-day boilerplate. Read against the HyperVault build-out, it describes a sequence no other Indian IT firm is set up to deliver: an AI lab buys compute from TCS, then turns to TCS again for GPU operations, then cloud management, then the model fine-tuning and red-teaming work that Wipro and Tech Mahindra are doing on a project basis. Each successive layer is more services-intensive and more margin-rich than the layer below it. Owning the data centre at the bottom of the stack gives TCS a contractual reason to be in the conversation at every layer above it. That is structurally accretive in a way that running someone else&#8217;s GPUs cannot be &#8212; and, for now, no other Indian IT firm has the balance sheet, the customer book, and the infrastructure muscle to attempt the full stack the way TCS is.</p><p>Wipro and Tech Mahindra are working a different end of the same picture &#8212; getting paid to run models for the model-makers themselves:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In my first example, a leading global technology company has engaged Wipro to help run and improve its frontier AI models. Wipro will manage the end-to-end operation of these AI models from training, governance and evaluation to domain-specific validation. In fact, this engagement will be done through a specialized global delivery platform.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Srini Pallia, CEO &amp; MD, Wipro | Q4 FY26</p><p><em>&#8220;When we look at our BPS services, for example, close to one-tenth of our current business in BPS is working with technology players, high-tech players creating their AI models, continuously fine-tuning them and managing them over a period of time. And more and more work we are doing on the BPS side is actually towards that now.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Atul Soneja, COO, Tech Mahindra | Q4 FY26</p></blockquote><p>For a layer of context here: BPS &#8212; Business Process Services &#8212; used to be the lowest-margin, most automatable layer of the Indian IT stack. The fact that one-tenth of Tech Mahindra&#8217;s BPS book is now training and fine-tuning AI models for hyperscalers is a sentence that would have read as nonsense three years ago. The hyperscalers, ironically, have become the buyers that need the most armies of humans &#8212; to label data, evaluate outputs, and red-team models.</p><p>HCL has put the cleanest framework on what comes next &#8212; a three-bucket split of its own portfolio:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We will see differential growth rates in all the three different categories: AI disrupted, AI amplified, and AI native or Advanced AI services. We really look forward to growing our AI-native services in the 25% to 30% range. And that will truly be the validation of how we are evolving as a company.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; C. Vijayakumar, CEO &amp; MD, HCL Technologies | Q4 FY26</p></blockquote><p>Three buckets, three growth rates. AI disrupted shrinks. AI amplified grows in line with the business. AI native compounds at 25-30%. The whole question for FY27 is whether the third bucket gets big enough, fast enough, to outrun the drag from the first.</p><h3><strong>What it adds up to</strong></h3><p>The Indian IT services industry spent FY26 publicly admitting that its core business is changing shape &#8212; and putting numbers, language, and organisational decisions behind that admission. The vocabulary fractured into deflation and accretion, tokens and pods, disrupted and native &#8212; but the underlying movement was a single one. The companies that used to sell engineering hours by the thousand are now trying to sell platforms by the licence, savings by the contract, and infrastructure by the gigawatt. None of them have completed the pivot. All of them have started it. FY27 is the year the math becomes legible &#8212; when the new revenue mix is large enough to either validate the bet or expose the gap.</p><h3><strong>What to Watch</strong></h3><ul><li><p><strong>HCL&#8217;s 2-3% portfolio deflation forecast:</strong> Vijayakumar has put a number on the headwind; track whether reported FY27 revenue mix bears it out, and whether AI-native services growth (targeted at 25-30%) is fast enough to offset it.</p></li><li><p><strong>TCS HyperVault &#9;execution:</strong> 1 GW is a number large enough to reshape the Indian data centre market. Watch for customer commitments converting to live capacity, partnership announcements with GPU vendors, and the first revenue &#9;disclosure.</p></li><li><p><strong>Tech Mahindra&#8217;s &#9;&#8220;service tokens&#8221; pricing:</strong> No client has yet been named signing a token-priced contract. The first concrete deal at a stated token rate will be the signal that the reframe is real.</p></li><li><p><strong>Infosys headcount additions in FY27:</strong> Salil Parekh hedged &#8220;we will continue to add&#8221; &#8212; but the gap between Infosys&#8217;s hiring posture and HCL/Mphasis&#8217;s de-linkage narrows with every quarter of productivity gain. Watch the net adds &#9;in Q1 and Q2.</p></li><li><p><strong>Whether any IP/platform business crosses 10% of group revenue:</strong> HCL&#8217;s Advanced AI sits around 4-5% on a $13-billion run-rate; Infosys put its AI Hexagon at 5.5% in Q3. The 10% line is when &#8220;we&#8217;re pivoting&#8221; becomes &#8220;we have pivoted.&#8221;</p></li></ul><div><hr></div><p>That&#8217;s it for now! Your feedback will really help shape how The Chatter evolves. 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Now, if you are thinking why we are using AI, please remember that we are just a small team of 5 people running everything you see on Zerodha Markets &#128556; So, all the good stuff is human and mistakes are AI.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Chatter: Titan, Dixon, JSW Steel, Cipla & More]]></title><description><![CDATA[Q4FY26 | Edition #59]]></description><link>https://thechatter.zerodha.com/p/the-chatter-titan-dixon-jsw-steel</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://thechatter.zerodha.com/p/the-chatter-titan-dixon-jsw-steel</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Zerodha]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 15 May 2026 11:51:31 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PGCJ!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6ea3161c-b194-4822-ad6d-49f5b5a30f89_2400x1350.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PGCJ!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6ea3161c-b194-4822-ad6d-49f5b5a30f89_2400x1350.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PGCJ!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6ea3161c-b194-4822-ad6d-49f5b5a30f89_2400x1350.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PGCJ!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6ea3161c-b194-4822-ad6d-49f5b5a30f89_2400x1350.png 848w, 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srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PGCJ!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6ea3161c-b194-4822-ad6d-49f5b5a30f89_2400x1350.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PGCJ!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6ea3161c-b194-4822-ad6d-49f5b5a30f89_2400x1350.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PGCJ!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6ea3161c-b194-4822-ad6d-49f5b5a30f89_2400x1350.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PGCJ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6ea3161c-b194-4822-ad6d-49f5b5a30f89_2400x1350.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Welcome to the <strong>59th edition</strong> of The Chatter &#8212; a weekly newsletter where we dig through what India&#8217;s biggest companies are saying and bring you the most interesting bits of insight, whether about the business, its sector, or the wider economy. We read every major Indian earnings call and listen to the interviews so you don&#8217;t have to.</p><p>We&#8217;re always eager to improve&#8212;please share your ideas on how else we can innovate &#8220;The Chatter&#8221; format to better serve your needs.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://thechatter.zerodha.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption"></p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2" target="_blank" href="https://www.tijoristack.ai/concall-monitor/?utm_source=zerodha&amp;utm_campaign=z_marketing" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png" width="1456" height="364" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:364,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:306481,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:&quot;https://www.tijoristack.ai/concall-monitor/?utm_source=zerodha&amp;utm_campaign=z_marketing&quot;,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://thechatter.zerodha.com/i/193793492?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Check out <a href="https://www.tijoristack.ai/concall-monitor/?utm_source=zerodha&amp;utm_campaign=z_marketing">Concall Monitor</a></figcaption></figure></div><p>In this edition, we have covered <strong>13 companies across 10 industries.</strong></p><div><hr></div><h1 style="text-align: justify;">Hotel</h1><ul><li><p>The Indian Hotels Company Limited</p></li></ul><h1>FMCG</h1><ul><li><p>Tata Consumer Products</p></li><li><p>Shree Renuka Sugars</p></li></ul><h1>Engineering &amp; Capital Goods</h1><ul><li><p>Dixon Technologies (India) Ltd</p></li></ul><h1>Healthcare</h1><ul><li><p>Cipla Limited</p></li></ul><h1>Metals</h1><ul><li><p>JSW Steel</p></li></ul><h1>Consumer Durables</h1><ul><li><p>Voltas</p></li></ul><h1>Financial Services</h1><ul><li><p>Muthoot Finance</p></li></ul><h1>Retail</h1><ul><li><p>Titan Company</p></li><li><p>PNGS Reva Diamond Jewellery Ltd</p></li></ul><h1>Building Materials</h1><ul><li><p>Cera Sanitaryware</p></li><li><p>Berger Paints</p></li></ul><h1>Defence</h1><ul><li><p>Paras Defence &amp; Space Technologies</p></li></ul><div><hr></div><h1 style="text-align: justify;">Hotel</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/INDHOTEL/">The Indian Hotels Company Limited | Large Cap | Hotels &amp; Resorts</a></h2><p>The Indian Hotels Company Limited is India&#8217;s largest hospitality firm, operating iconic brands like Taj, Vivanta, SeleQtions, and Ginger. The company is strategically transitioning toward an asset-light business model to drive scalable growth and sustainable profitability.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/382-11-May-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>The company is heavily shifting toward managing hotels for others rather than owning the buildings themselves. This strategy allows them to grow quickly and maintain high profit margins without needing massive amounts of capital.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our capital-light strategy continues to be a defining competitive advantage with 68% of our operating portfolio and 93% of our pipeline under management or asset-light formats. This enables disciplined expansion with superior returns. Even as we invested meaningfully for future growth, we delivered an EBITDA margin of 35%, reflecting operating discipline and structural efficiency.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Puneet Chhatwal, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management plans to spend over 1,000 crores every year to upgrade their current hotels and invest in new technology. They are also buying smaller companies to enter new parts of the travel market and grow their income sources.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Even going forward, we will continue to invest 1,000 to 1,200 crores annually to strengthen our existing competitive advantages and, at the same time, build new ones. Alongside this, we deployed over 500 crores across four strategic acquisitions, expanding our presence into high-growth adjacencies and strengthening future revenue streams.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Puneet Chhatwal, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The low-cost Ginger brand and the homestay business, ama, are showing exceptionally high profit levels and rapid expansion. These brands are proving that the company can succeed in mid-scale and luxury homestay markets, not just luxury hotels.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The flagship Ginger hotel at Mumbai Airport crossed the milestone of 100 crores in revenue for the first time, while delivering an industry-leading EBITDA margin of 56%. Qmin expanded its footprint to over 100 outlets, while ama crossed the milestone of 375 bungalows in its portfolio with 85 villas signed during the year.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Puneet Chhatwal, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company aims to have 250 Ginger hotels in its network within the next year to dominate the mid-scale market. They also expect to charge higher prices at their flagship hotels now that major renovations are finished.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;As I have mentioned on a few occasions, we expect the Ginger brand itself to have a total portfolio of 250 hotels, either under development or in operation, by the end of FY27. Fourth, renovated inventory across key assets is expected to create further upside through improved pricing power and guest experience.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Puneet Chhatwal, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>FMCG</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/TATACONSUM/">Tata Consumer Products | Large Cap | FMCG</a></h2><p>Tata Consumer Products is a prominent global player in the food and beverage industry, managing an extensive portfolio of tea, coffee, salt, and water products. The company combines long-standing heritage brands with a growing presence in high-growth, health-oriented categories across India and international markets.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/377-08-May-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>Management is highlighting the strong momentum in their newer, high-growth food brands which are now becoming significant revenue contributors. This shift reduces the company&#8217;s dependence on the slower-growing traditional tea business and improves the overall growth profile.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Growth businesses crossed the 4,000 crore mark, growing 24% in this year. For the quarter, growth has come back to where it should be with 33%. Sampann grew 69% in Q4 and 46% for the full year.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sunil D&#8217;Souza, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management believes their brand strength allows them to raise prices if raw material costs rise. This pricing power provides a safety net for protecting profit margins even in an inflationary environment.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Regarding our portfolio, I think we have a fairly balanced mix of slightly stronger commodities and a piece of highly processed food. So far, we have not seen a big impact on the margins per se. We have enough in our equity across all the categories to take price increases to mitigate margin impacts.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sunil D&#8217;Souza, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is dominating the tea category on modern digital platforms compared to its traditional competitors. Success in these high-growth channels suggests the brand is successfully capturing younger, tech-savvy consumers.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;For quick-comm and e-comm, Nielsen does have a panel and gives us data. We are market leaders in tea on quick-comm and e-comm. I would urge you to go through different annual reports and analyst calls to pick up numbers and do comparisons on tea.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sunil D&#8217;Souza, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Stable raw material costs for tea are allowing the company to keep prices competitive without hurting profits. This stability makes earnings more predictable for the near term.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I&#8217;ve stopped trying to forecast commodities too far ahead, but for this year, tea prices have trended well. They are roughly in the same ballpark as this period last year, so it is largely benign. That&#8217;s why we gave off pricing to remain competitive.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sunil D&#8217;Souza, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Using digital platforms as a testing ground allows the company to fail fast and cheap before committing to a nationwide physical rollout. This agile strategy reduces the risk of expensive product flops in traditional retail stores.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;E-comm and quick-comm allow us to test-market in a city at low risk and cost before rolling out to modern trade and GT. As long as the playbook is clear, I don&#8217;t see an issue. There are still many white spaces in food and beverage, especially in nutrition, health, and premium categories.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sunil D&#8217;Souza, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is hitting the limits of its current manufacturing capabilities due to high demand. Investing in new capacity shows management&#8217;s confidence in sustained future volume growth.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our Vietnam plant is running at 99% utilization, and we&#8217;ve started a project to expand capacity there which should be online in early 2027. The board has also approved capacity expansion for tea extracts, as we are running out of capacity there.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sunil D&#8217;Souza, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/RENUKA/">Shree Renuka Sugars | Mid Cap | Sugar | Lower Output, Falling Stocks &amp; Export Curbs in Focus</a></h2><p>Shree Renuka Sugars is one of India&#8217;s leading integrated sugar and ethanol companies with operations spanning sugar production, refining, and renewable energy. A sharp drop in output estimates, declining stock levels, and fading hopes of export policy relief are now raising bigger questions around supply and the industry&#8217;s pricing outlook.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L1PpgU457tM">Reference</a>]</p><p>National sugar production estimates have been significantly lowered due to poor crop yields and inflationary pressures. Investors should monitor how this supply shortfall impacts domestic procurement costs and overall revenue targets.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In fact the production has actually plummeted down to less than 28 million tons and it could actually be something like 27.75 million tons and with food inflation moving northwards this was very much on the cards. My take is it&#8217;s on the right track.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Atul Chaturvedi, Executive Chairman.</em></p></blockquote><p>Indian sugar inventory levels are projected to drop sharply as exports drain the remaining surplus. Lower closing stocks generally lead to firmer domestic prices, which can improve the profitability of the company&#8217;s milling business.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;But having said this I think as far as export is concerned a back of the envelope calculation tells us that anything between 8 to 9 lakh tons may actually have gone or may be in the process of going out. So that would mean that the closing stock which was estimated at around 4.5 million tons earlier may actually come down to less than 3.5 million tons.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Atul Chaturvedi, Executive Chairman</em></p></blockquote><p>The government is unlikely to lift sugar export bans soon because broader food inflation remains a sensitive political issue. Investors should expect the company to focus primarily on domestic sales and ethanol for the near term.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Honestly speaking I don&#8217;t think there will be any rethink because sugar is not the only food component which seems to be moving northward in terms of inflationary impact. I don&#8217;t think the government&#8217;s going to rethink on this at this point of time or in the next foreseeable future.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Atul Chaturvedi, Executive Chairman</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Engineering &amp; Capital Goods</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/DIXON/">Dixon Technologies (India) Ltd. | Large Cap | Consumer Electronics (EMS)</a></h2><p>Dixon Technologies is a leading Indian electronics manufacturing services company providing design-led solutions for consumer durables, home appliances, and mobile phones. The firm operates as a major contract manufacturer for global and domestic brands, scaling aggressively into backward integration for electronic components.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/5754-12-May-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>Dixon reported strong annual growth with revenues nearing 50,000 crores and a 20% increase in net profit. This performance shows the company&#8217;s ability to scale its business significantly while maintaining steady bottom-line growth.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Revenues for the year ended March 31, 2026, were 48,893 crores against 38,880 crores in the same period last year, which is a growth of 26%. EBITDA, excluding exceptional gains for the year, was 1,887 crores against 1,528 crores in the same period, representating growth of 23%. PAT, after minority interest, excluding exceptional gains for the year, was 845 crores against 706 crores in the same period last year, which is a growth of 20%.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Atul Lall, Vice Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is more than doubling its camera module production capacity to support its main smartphone customers. This move into more complex component manufacturing will likely lead to higher value capture per device produced.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We will be expanding the capacities of camera modules in our subsidiary, Qutek, which is an MSIPS beneficiary for smartphones, from 70 million annually to around 180-190 million annually over the next 15-18 months, largely catering to our anchor customer smartphone volumes. This is in addition to deepening the level of manufacturing and capturing more value-added depth.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Atul Lall, Vice Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Dixon expects its IT hardware segment to triple in revenue this year due to a massive increase in orders. Successfully stabilizing production in Chennai positions the company to dominate the local manufacturing of laptops and desktops.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The segment delivered a healthy performance for the quarter under review and we expect 3x growth in revenues in the current fiscal against last year, with a huge uptick in order books from all customers. Our dedicated IT hardware products manufacturing unit in Chennai has successfully stabilized mass production of laptops and all-in-ones and has secured orders for desktops from one of our customers.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Atul Lall, Vice Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is planning to enter the server and data center hardware market to diversify its IT portfolio. This expansion into high-value enterprise equipment is incentivized by favorable government policies and tax breaks.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are also in discussion with our JV partner to participate in the fast-growing server opportunity and to move from end-client IT hardware into data center and enterprise infrastructure hardware. This is supported by strong government policy tailwinds on server manufacturing and backward integration, including a clear push on localization and a tax holiday framework.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Atul Lall, Vice Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Management has secured new lighting export contracts with major retail chains in the US and Europe. These global wins demonstrate that Dixon&#8217;s manufacturing scale is becoming competitive on an international level beyond the Indian market.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have received two export orders from one of the largest US chains and a European retail chain for strip lights, which will start getting executed in Q2, and we are also in discussion for other product categories. Further building on our share in the B2B space for bulbs, battens, and downlighters, we are significantly increasing our volumes on other niche products.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Atul Lall, Vice Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Dixon is working with consultants to enter high-margin sectors like aerospace and defense through potential acquisitions. Moving into these specialized fields could significantly improve the company&#8217;s overall profit margins compared to standard consumer electronics.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have partnered with a leading global management consulting firm to design a comprehensive multi-year strategic roadmap to build a scaled, specialty, high-margin EMS business, including M&amp;A opportunities focused on the aerospace, defense, automotive, medical, and industrial verticals. This initiative is focused on identifying the most attractive high-growth and high-value products in these segments.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Atul Lall, Vice Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Management estimates that a successful deal with Vivo could add over 20 million mobile units to their annual production. This potential volume represents a massive growth trigger for the mobile division once government approvals are finalized.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;It depends on the timelines. On an annualized basis, it would be 67% of what Vivo sells. Last year, Vivo sold almost 35 million units, so another 20-22 million units can be added on an annualized basis.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Atul Lall, Vice Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is projecting at least 15-17% organic revenue growth for next year, even without including potential gains from the Vivo partnership. This guidance suggests strong demand across their existing client base despite a flat overall smartphone market.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Bharat, I usually do not give guidance, but without the Vivo numbers, we are targeting almost 56,000 crores next year, with mobile volume being flat. If Vivo comes in, it is a major trigger. Without Vivo, we feel the company will keep growing at 15-17%.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Atul Lall, Vice Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The new display business is expected to generate up to 6,000 crores in revenue with much higher margins than the core assembly business. This segment is key to shifting Dixon from a pure assembler to a high-value component manufacturer.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In phase one, we are setting up a capacity for 24 million mobile displays and 2.4 million automotive and IT product displays. The first line being installed is for IT and automotive displays, with trials in Q3 and commercial production in Q4. Once we achieve 80-90% utilization, we target revenue of almost 5,500 crores to 6,000 crores with mid-teen double-digit margins.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Atul Lall, Vice Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Healthcare</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/CIPLA/">Cipla Limited | Large Cap | Pharmaceuticals</a></h2><p>Cipla is a prominent global pharmaceutical company with a leading presence in the Indian, North American, and South African markets. The firm specializes in complex generic medications, particularly in respiratory and chronic therapies, while aggressively expanding into biosimilars and AI-led operational transformation.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/59-13-May-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>Management is highlighting that the Indian business has reached a major scale milestone while the US business has hit a technological turning point. This performance validates the company&#8217;s dual focus on home-market dominance and advanced manufacturing in the West.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In India, we crossed the significant threshold, with the business surpassing 12,500 crores in revenues, underscoring the strength and resilience of our domestic franchise, which is our largest franchise. In North America, the successful generic Ventolin approval from our US facility marked an important strategic inflection point and reinforced our R&amp;D capabilities.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Achin Gupta, MD and Global CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The approval of generic Ventolin marks Cipla&#8217;s first commercial inhaler product made directly in the United States. This de-risks their supply chain by proving they can handle complex manufacturing outside of their primary Indian sites.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Notably, we received regulatory approval for the first AB-rated generic Ventolin with CGT, representing the first commercial MDI product to be manufactured from our US facility. This milestone reinforces our growing confidence and capability to deliver complex generics, not just from India, but also from our US manufacturing facility.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Achin Gupta, MD and Global CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Cipla is positioning itself to capture a significant share of the massive biologics market as patents expire over the next ten years. Management views recent regulatory shifts as a tailwind that makes this complex space more accessible for generic players.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We see biosimilars as a very large and underpenetrated opportunity, and with the recent change in some of the guidelines, we believe this to be an upcoming almost 200 billion dollar opportunity, with around 100 such biologics expected to lose exclusivity over the next decade.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Achin Gupta, MD and Global CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company&#8217;s primary use of cash will be for high-tech product development rather than physical infrastructure. Investors can expect the current high-investment phase for facilities to taper off as the company reaches sufficient manufacturing scale.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our number one deployment is R&amp;D to accelerate the pipeline in respiratory, peptides, and differentiated products. We will step up on biosimilars, aiming for six to eight internal assets supplemented by inorganic opportunities. Capex has increased over the last 3 years, but that cycle should reduce after another year as we have built enough capacity.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Achin Gupta, MD and Global CEO</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Metals</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/JSWSTEEL/">JSW Steel | Large Cap | Metals</a></h2><p>JSW Steel, a leading steel company in India, has a strategic collaboration with JFE Steel of Japan to produce high-value special steel products for various industries. Known for excellence in business and sustainability practices.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/163-14-May-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>JSW Steel asserts that India&#8217;s 11.5% safeguard duty is balanced and lower than global protection levels (25-50%), thus mitigating the risk of withdrawal despite domestic price advantages.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;India is one of the more balanced countries with respect to protection as you see it worldwide today. We are seeing protection between 25% to 50% in various parts of the world. Every country is trying to safeguard their shores from trade flows which can be adverse for that country and that is becoming very critical to the supply chain resilience of the country. In India, with an 11.5% safeguard duty, I think we are far lower than what the rest of the world is.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Jayant Acharya, Joint MD and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>JSW Steel anticipates a total capex of approximately 226,000 crores (126,000 crores existing plan + 100,000 crores incremental) between now and FY33 to reach its 62 million ton capacity target, including JV equity and other investments.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Currently, as we have given you the capacity expansion plans, our capex plans are at 126,000 crores as of now. Incrementally, to be at a 62 million ton capacity plus investment for equity for the joint venture and our mining, other investments, and downstream facilities, our sense is that we would require another 100,000 crores between now and FY33.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Swayam Saurabh, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>JSW Steel&#8217;s limited gas-linked production minimizes the risk of volume disruption from gas shortages, though it may impact production costs.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our exposure to the gas-linked production is very limited in the overall production. However, it does have an impact on the cost of production. We have ensured and we continue to ensure that there won&#8217;t be any production disruption by virtue of non-availability of gas unless it becomes too severe in coming months. Our portion of the gas-linked steel production is very small.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Jayant Acharya, Joint MD and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>India&#8217;s nation-building phase is expected to drive steel demand growth beyond GDP, increasing its global consumption share from 9% to 16% within a decade.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;India is going through a nation-building phase with steel being a key building block for growth. This creates a long runway for steel demand to outpace the real GDP growth in the country. India as the second steel producer and consumer will continue to increase its share of global steel consumption from about 9% currently to 16% in a decade.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Jayant Acharya, Joint MD and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>JSW Steel is targeting a total capacity of 78 million tons in India by FY32, comprising 62 million tons from existing sites and an additional 16 million tons from its JFE and POSCO joint ventures.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are now announcing a target of 62 million tons by FY32, which can be achieved through our existing sites. In addition to this, the joint ventures of JFE and POSCO will have a cumulative capacity of 16 million tons by FY32, taking the total capacity in India along with joint ventures to 78 million tons.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Jayant Acharya, Joint MD and CEO</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Consumer Durables</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/VOLTAS/">Voltas | Mid Cap | Consumer Durables</a></h2><p>Voltas Limited, India&#8217;s largest air conditioning company and a global engineering solutions provider, offers services in air conditioning, refrigeration, electro-mechanical projects, and engineering products for various industries. It operates as an EPC contractor in domestic and international markets including the Middle East and Singapore, serving sectors such as mining, water management, construction equipment, and textile industry.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/355-14-May-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>The AC industry experienced a 10-12% de-growth in FY26, but Voltas anticipates a 15-20% market growth in the next year due to the weak base.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The industry had a difficult year last year with a de-growth of roughly 10-12%. Total primary sales for the industry were 14.3 million units. We expect the market to grow 15-20% next year because of the weak base.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; K V Sridhar, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Following a weak previous year, Voltas observed strong positive traction in April and May, driven by a severe heatwave across India, leading to rapid secondary sales movement.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Compared to the weak summer and unseasonal rains last year, we have seen very positive traction in April, which has continued into May. There is a serious heatwave in many parts of the country. Positive growth is occurring and secondaries are moving fast.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; K V Sridhar, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Voltas experienced record high sales in March, with April and May also performing strongly, indicating a positive outlook for the current quarter.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;March was a superb month and our record high in our history. April was also extremely buoyant and very close to that number. May is also looking good. ... We feel this will be a very good quarter.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; K V Sridhar, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>For 40-50% of its domestic and some international projects order books, Voltas has price variation clauses that allow commodity, material, and labor cost increases to be passed through, thus protecting margins.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Regarding margins, 40-50% of our domestic and some international order books have proper price variation clauses. Variations in commodities, materials, and labor are pass-through. We do not see an impact on margins there.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; K V Sridhar, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Commercial Air Conditioning (CAC), a B2B segment with significant growth potential (12-15% industry growth), is a key focus for Voltas&#8217;s capex and is anticipated to be a major growth engine alongside RAC and CR.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Commercial air conditioning (CAC) is a B2B business driven by offices, restaurants, and the manufacturing sector... We are under-leveraged here, and it represents a huge headroom for growth. Much of our capex is going into CAC, as it is likely to be our next growth engine alongside RAC and CR.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; K V Sridhar, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Voltas implemented a 7-8% price hike for new products, followed by another increase for pre-war commodity prices, and anticipates passing through double-digit inflation as current stocks deplete.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The blended increase of 7-8% mentioned earlier was purely on account of new table products. We took another rate increase for commodity prices that rose pre-war. ... We are talking about double-digit inflation. It will be passed through as costs hit us.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; K V Sridhar, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Despite intense competition from 60 brands, Voltas differentiates itself through the Tata trust, extensive distribution, and a refreshed marketing campaign.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We know current competition is severe; almost 60 brands operate in this space. But what we bring to the table is the Tata trust, plus the fact that our distribution reach is phenomenal. You would have also noticed that we have refreshed our entire marketing campaign this time.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Mukundan Menon, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Elevated inventory levels in Q4 FY26 were a strategic move for summer preparedness, new launches, and supply chain resilience, with normalization expected as demand increases.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Inventory levels during the quarter remained moderately elevated, primarily driven by proactive readiness for the peak summer season, strategic stocking for new product launches, and precautionary planning in response to supply chain volatility and geopolitical disruptions. However, the inventory build-up was calibrated and aligned with anticipated demand trends, with gradual normalization expected as seasonal demand momentum strengthens.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; K V Sridhar, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East caused operational disruptions for Voltas&#8217;s international projects, but the company mitigated risks through crisis management and safety protocols.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In the international projects business, geopolitical tensions and the Middle East conflict created operational disruptions across travel, logistics, site execution, and commercial settlements. Despite these challenges, Voltas responded with agility and discipline by activating dedicated crisis response teams, implementing employee safety protocols, strengthening travel controls and evacuation readiness, and establishing a rigorous daily monitoring framework...&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; K V Sridhar, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Financial Services</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/MUTHOOTFIN/">Muthoot Finance | Large Cap | Financial Services</a></h2><p>Muthoot Finance specializes in providing quick, affordable, and secure gold-backed financing with flexible repayment options and attractive interest rates. Alongside gold loans, the company offers personal and business loans, expanding its presence across the country.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/6575-14-May-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>Muthoot Finance recorded its highest-ever consolidated gold loan AUM, growing 54% year-over-year, indicating strong business expansion.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have achieved the highest-ever consolidated gold loan AUM for Muthoot Finance and its subsidiaries at 1,65,000 crores. This is historic growth, representing an increase of 57,000 crores or 54% over the last year. The consolidated AUM stands at 1,65,000 crores.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; George Alexander Muthoot, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>RBI&#8217;s suggested reduction in gold imports will not impact Muthoot Finance, as the company finances household ornaments, not gold purchases, and a large existing public gold stock ensures continued business prospects.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Because we do not finance gold purchases, bullion, or bars, this does not affect Muthoot. We only finance household ornaments. There are reportedly about 25,000 to 30,000 tons of gold held by the Indian public. We believe there are good prospects for this business going forward, regardless of restrictions on new gold imports.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; George Alexander Muthoot, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The decline in overall customer count is due to attrition in ultra-small loan segments, which is offset by growth in medium and high-value customer segments, maintaining total loan volume.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;As explained earlier, we lost about 5 lakh customers in the 0 to 10,000 bucket and another 8 lakh in the 10,000 to 30,000 bucket. However, since the total volume is maintained, it means we grew in the 50,000 to 2 lakh segments. Ultra-small loan customers may leave, but that doesn&#8217;t significantly impact us...Medium and high-value customers are continuing to grow with Muthoot.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; George Alexander Muthoot, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Muthoot Finance has the flexibility to adjust rates to attract more customers but does not currently see an urgent need, as it maintains diverse loan schemes and a comfortable ROA.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have the flexibility to reduce rates; we typically guide for a medium-term ROA of around 3.5%. We already offer various schemes with yields ranging from as low as 12% up to 23%. If we feel the need to step up the lower-yield portfolio to acquire customers, we will, but as of today, we don&#8217;t see a pressing need.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; George Alexander Muthoot, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Muthoot Finance increased its interest rates by 0.5% to 1% across specific loan types, directly contributing to the rise in yields this quarter.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Last quarter, we increased our rates by about 0.5% to 1% across certain loan types, which is why the yield has gone up.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; George Alexander Muthoot, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Despite new competitors with deeper pockets, Muthoot Finance views its specialized focus and experience in the operationally intensive gold loan business as a key differentiator.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Competition is present and new players are entering...we are a specialized gold loan company. The new players, despite deep pockets or lower costs of funds, are not focused exclusively on gold loans. This is an operationally intensive and challenging business, which new players often realize only after some time.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; George Alexander Muthoot, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Tonnage decline for Muthoot Finance is attributed to existing customers pledging less gold for the same loan amount due to higher gold prices, and the company is shifting its customer base towards higher ticket sizes despite a drop in small-ticket customer count.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In Muthoot Finance, we are an established player with legacy accounts. The tonnage change is proportional to the churn of existing loans, which happens roughly every 4 months. When a loan is churned at a higher LTV because gold prices rose, the customer needs to pledge less gold for the same loan amount...For a large company like Muthoot Finance, it is harder to grow the customer count rapidly. We have lost about 15 lakh customers in the 0 to 30,000 ticket size range, but we added customers in the 50,000, 1 lakh, and 2 lakh ticket size segments.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; George Alexander Muthoot, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Despite regulatory NPA classification, the loans are fully recoverable due to a low loan-to-value (LTV) of 58% on the collateralized gold, indicating strong underlying asset quality.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The LTV on this NPA bucket, including accrued interest, is only about 58%. This means the loans are 100% recoverable. It is an NPA from a regulatory standpoint, but the underlying collateral value far exceeds the principal and interest.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; George Alexander Muthoot, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Muthoot Finance has adapted to the new RBI LTV framework by updating software and rolling out new products, leveraging the increased flexibility for product tailoring while already adhering to regulations for a decade.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have maintained LTV at regulated rates for over a decade. The new options for 80% or 85% LTV give us more room to tailor products. We have updated our software and rolled out new products in line with these regulations.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; George Alexander Muthoot, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Retail</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/TITAN/">Titan Company | Large Cap | Retail</a></h2><p>Titan Company, India&#8217;s leading lifestyle company, offers watches, jewelry, eyewear, wearables, Indian dress wear, fragrances, and fashion accessories. With a focus on superior customer experience, Titan has established leading positions in the jewelry, watches, and eyewear categories, driven by trusted brands.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachLive/1a3bc0e3-c7ff-4887-a18a-f73fd400e8ca.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>Titan achieved its best-ever Q4 top-line growth with strong performance across all businesses and brands.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have ended the year with a superlative Quarter 4 top-line growth, perhaps our best-ever in the recent past. All our businesses have grown very well, and all our brands have enhanced their visibility and equity in the quarter and the full year that went by.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ajoy Chawla, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Titan has sufficient gold inventory and alternative plans to mitigate short-term gold supply concerns for its jewelry brands.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;So, we are at least not concerned in the short term as far as gold supply is concerned. For Titan, Tanishq and Caratlane perspective.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ashok Sonthalia, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>The company does not anticipate an increase in gold loan costs in the short term due to extended loan tenures.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;So, we don&#8217;t see any increase in cost in gold loans, at least in the short term.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ashok Sonthalia, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Titan has formalized transfer pricing arrangements from FY26, treating international subsidiaries as low-risk distributors, resulting in a transfer pricing adjustment of approximately &#8377;80 crores in standalone books.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Although we had a transfer pricing arrangement from the start of international business, we formalized that from &#8216;25-26, where we are now treating all our subsidiaries as low-risk distributors. And that Titan as a parent company is in a way ensuring that a certain amount of basic profit is there and that transfer pricing adjustment in the standalone books is about &#8377;80 crores plus minus&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ashok Sonthalia, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Jewellery division saw an 8% resurgence in buyer growth in Q4, driven by customers buying due to rising gold rates and advancement of wedding purchases.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;So, very clearly, we have seen resurgence in buyer growth in Quarter 4 and what we have reported is 8% versus a flattish for the period prior to that. Now, two clear types of buyers, those who are waiting on the sidelines to buy and pretty much we have seen gold rates go up from festive onwards... And there are many customers who were waiting on the sidelines who came in to buy in Quarter 4.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Arun Narayan, CEO, Jewellery Division</em></p></blockquote><p>The company believes its sustained investment in the gold exchange program will continue to drive buyer growth, particularly for wedding purchases and collection updates.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We think so. We believe so. That&#8217;s why we are sustaining the investment behind exchange. It&#8217;s very relevant for wedding buyers. It&#8217;s also relevant for others who are looking at updating their collection of jewellery.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Arun Narayan, CEO, Jewellery Division</em></p></blockquote><p>Jewellery margins face pressure from rising gold prices, despite efforts in product mix engineering and lightweight jewelry, making it challenging to assure margin sustainability if gold prices continue to increase.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;But if gold continues to go up, we may have to keep making effort... But beyond a point, there will be impact on margin, and that is visible.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ashok Sonthalia, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Consumers are increasingly accepting current high gold prices, with recent small cool-offs bringing buyers back due to an expectation of long-term upward trajectory.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Yes. Actually, all of the above. Because I think people have started accepting gold at this level... Because there seems to be an acceptance that in the medium to long term, it&#8217;s again going to go back to its trajectory of upward movement.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Arun Narayan, CEO, Jewellery Division</em></p></blockquote><p>The 15-20% growth target for the jewellery division is supported by fundamental tailwinds like industry formalization, the rise of organized players with stronger balance sheets, brand trust, and India&#8217;s overall economic growth story.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;See, the fundamentals of jewellery category and the industry formalizing and therefore organized players growing more rapidly... I think that formalization of the industry continues to be a very strong underlying factor for growth, interest in the category because of its preciousness, and thirdly, the India growth story. Therefore, the 15 % to 20 % is something that we ought to do&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ajoy Chawla, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The high investment-led orientation, particularly towards gold coins, along with plain gold and diamond sales, significantly influences and impacts the company&#8217;s overall margins.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Coins play the role these days because investment-led orientation is high and that and plain gold and diamond these are the three broad categories which interplays and impact the margin.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ashok Sonthalia, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>The company views competition as &#8220;business as usual&#8221; and is confident in its playbook to deliver sustained results, indicating no significant concern about increasing competitive intensity.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I think competition now has become business as usual. Nothing and I think we have shown that we have got a playbook to kind of, to deliver sustainable, sustained results. So, it is not something that we are so concerned about.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Arun Narayan, CEO, Jewellery Division</em></p></blockquote><p>TEAL business is poised for strong growth driven by India&#8217;s manufacturing boom, government incentives, investments in sectors like aerospace and defense, and the global &#8220;China Plus One&#8221; strategy.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I think the TEAL business has some good growth tailwinds or opportunities sitting in front. A lot of India manufacturing coming in, a lot of investments, aerospace sector, defense, infrastructure, electronic chips. So, manufacturing itself, because of partly government-led incentives, as well as the fact that internationally, many clients are choosing to have a China Plus One strategy.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ajoy Chawla, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/PNGSREVA/">PNGS Reva Diamond Jewellery Ltd. | Small Cap | Diamonds &amp; Jewellery</a></h2><p>PNGS Reva Diamond Jewellery Ltd. is a specialized retailer of branded natural diamond jewelry operating through an asset-light retail model. The company leverages a mix of exclusive brand outlets and shop-in-shop formats to serve customers across various price points in the premium segment.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/59099-11-May-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>The company has designed its inventory to attract new buyers with low-cost items while maintaining high-value collections for special events. This tiered pricing strategy is intended to keep customers coming back more often and spending more over time.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our product basket spans from entry-level offerings of 15,000 to 35,000 aimed at customer acquisition, to everyday wear between 35,000 to 1.5 lakh which drives repeat purchases. This structured portfolio enables us to cater to diverse customers and their needs for various occasions while also creating a strong lifestyle play within a single brand, driving higher wallet share and repeat engagement.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amit Moda, Whole-time Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management is using aggressive buyback and exchange terms to convince customers that diamonds are a safe investment rather than just a luxury expense. High exchange values encourage existing customers to trade up to more expensive items in the future.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;A key differentiator for us is our robust buyback and exchange policy, where we offer up to 90% of the diamond price in case of buyback and 100% of the diamond value in case of an exchange sale. This enhances customer trust, provides liquidity and flexibility, and positions diamond jewellery not only as a discretionary purchase but also as a store of value, thereby encouraging repeat purchases.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amit Moda, Whole-time Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company uses a low-cost expansion strategy by renting spaces and partnering with its parent group rather than buying real estate. This approach allows the business to grow faster and generate better returns on the money it invests.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our two-format approach comprising shop-in-shop with our parent company, P. N. Gadgil &amp; Sons and their ecosystem, and exclusive brand outlets (EBOs), enables us to effectively balance capital efficiency with brand building while maintaining strong operational control. This is an asset-light, low capex vanilla model across both formats. These models support a higher return on capital employed.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amit Moda, Whole-time Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company saw massive 40% growth in sales from its existing locations during the fiscal year. This suggests strong demand and brand acceptance within their current store network.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In the last year we have seen SSG of around 40% in these existing SIS units. Looking at the SIS count, in FY25 there were 30 SIS, and in FY26 there are 34 SIS. For those 30 SIS that were there at the start of the year, the top line was around 313 crore in FY26.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amit Moda, Whole-time Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company believes lab-grown diamonds are not a serious threat because they lack the resale value that Indian consumers prize. By focusing exclusively on natural diamonds, they aim to preserve the brand&#8217;s image as a provider of long-term wealth.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Recently, a very good national level brand introduced lab-grown diamond outlets where they explain to customers that there is no resale value to lab-grown diamonds, only to the gold content. It is very clear in the market that there is no resale or buyback value for lab-grown diamonds. Because our buyback policy relies on the rarity and increasing value of natural diamonds over time, I do not see it as a threat.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amit Moda, Whole-time Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is currently keeping its prices low to gain market share and build its reputation. As the brand becomes more famous, they plan to raise prices to match the much higher margins typical of luxury jewelry competitors.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Gross margins may improve in the future because right now we are not charging for brand value in diamond pricing. It is priced like a family jeweler would, with 30-35% gross margin loading. Over time, we will start loading brand value once our brand settles in the market, as this industry has gross margins between 30% to 35% or even as high as 40-42%.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amit Moda, Whole-time Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is shifting toward opening its own independent stores because they are significantly cheaper to build than the large showrooms used by their parent company. This strategy allows the firm to expand its footprint using less capital while maintaining better control over growth.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We moved to EBOs specifically to avoid being limited by their passive expansion, as they require 90 to 120 crore to set up one store, which is very high capex. When we set up an EBO, it requires around 20 to 25 crore per store. That expansion delivers better numbers at lower capex.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amit Moda, Whole-time Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>A significant budget has been set aside for marketing to ensure new stores gain traction quickly. Management is committed to consistent brand spending to support their expansion into Northern India.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We plan to spend around 2 crore for every EBO, whether in or out of Maharashtra, spent over 12 to 18 months. It will not be a bulk spend but targeted region-wise. We will be spending around 3% to 4% of the top line each year on branding.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amit Moda, Whole-time Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Building Materials</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/CERA/">Cera Sanitaryware | Small Cap | Building Materials</a></h2><p>Cera Sanitaryware Limited, founded in 1980, is a leading provider of premium bathroom solutions known for innovative products like water-saving twin-flush WCs. The company manufactures and sells building products in Gujarat, along with utilizing wind and solar power. Offering a wide range of products including showers, steam cubicles, whirlpools, sanitaryware, and faucets, CERA appeals to customers seeking stylish and modern lifestyle products.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachLive/991607fa-9014-4a1b-a9ca-72af41740669.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>Management highlighted that the retail segment, which had remained sluggish since FY24, is now showing sustained improvement. This recovery is expected to continue through FY27.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Since Q3 of the current financial year, we have started seeing an improvement in the retail demand, and we saw this sustaining through Q4 also. If we see the month of April also, we have seen a good surge in retail&#8230; We are hopeful that going forward, the kind of demand recovery that we have seen in the retail segment should continue in the full year of FY27.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Deepak Chaudhary, VP Finance &amp; Investor Relations</em></p></blockquote><p>Despite input inflation and sector challenges, management is guiding for a strong recovery-driven growth year across categories.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;With the demand trend continuing to grow upward, we expect the overall growth of around 18% to 20% next year&#8230; In sanitaryware, we expect 12% growth&#8230; and in faucetware, we expect growth of 18%.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Vikas Kothari, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company has aggressively raised prices to offset unprecedented brass cost inflation.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Over a period of two months, we have taken a price increase of 12% in the case of sanitaryware and 16% in the case of faucetware&#8230; Brass prices have increased nearly 29%&#8211;30% year-on-year.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Deepak Chaudhary, VP Finance &amp; Investor Relations</em></p></blockquote><p>Elevated brass prices and trade discounts continue to weigh on profitability despite price hikes.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;EBITDA margins stood at 15.2% in Q4 FY26 as compared to 18.3% in Q4 FY25. This decline was primarily driven by continued pressure on gross margins led by elevated brass input costs and higher trade discounts.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Vikas Kothari, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>Gas supply disruptions in Morbi are affecting unorganized manufacturers, potentially benefiting Cera.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Players who are not having their own manufacturing facility and are sourcing mostly from Morbi will find it a little tough&#8230; So, we anticipate that the current situation would be playing well for us going forward in Q1 and Q2.&#8221;<br><br> &#8212; Deepak Chaudhary, VP Finance &amp; Investor Relations</em></p></blockquote><p>The company remains relatively protected from industry-wide gas disruptions due to favorable sourcing arrangements.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Cera has remained relatively insulated from these disruptions. This is supported by our continued gas sourcing arrangement, including supplies from GAIL at relatively subsidized rates.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Deepak Chaudhary, VP Finance &amp; Investor Relations</em></p></blockquote><p>Strong faucetware demand has pushed utilization beyond rated capacity, necessitating incremental expansion.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Capacity utilization during the quarter stood at 106% for faucetware&#8230; We are undertaking capacity expansion to increase the production capacity to 5 lakh pieces per month.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management</em></p></blockquote><p>Adequate inventory levels enabled uninterrupted servicing despite supply-side challenges.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Adequate inventory levels played a critical role in ensuring uninterrupted market supplies and meeting customer demand during this period.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Vikas Kothari, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>Cera is reducing outsourcing dependency amid supply disruptions.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have also undertaken a drive for internalizing the kind of products which were currently outsourcing from Morbi.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Deepak Chaudhary, VP Finance &amp; Investor Relations</em></p></blockquote><p>Premiumization continues to strengthen within the portfolio mix.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;From a product mix perspective, 41% of sales were from premium segment, 38% from mid-segment, and 21% from entry-level products.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Vikas Kothari, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>After years of increasing contribution, project mix is expected to stabilize as retail recovers.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Going forward, we expect that the proportion of retail and project should now remain stable at 60% for retail and 40% for the project business.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Deepak Chaudhary, VP Finance &amp; Investor Relations</em></p></blockquote><p>Unlike sanitaryware and faucetware, the tiles business remains vulnerable due to outsourcing dependence.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Tiles will be impacted&#8230; it is essentially totally driven by outsourcing. If the plants do not open up and we are not able to get procuring material from outside, the tiles portion during Q1 will be impacted.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Deepak Chaudhary, VP Finance &amp; Investor Relations</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/BERGEPAINT/">Berger Paints | Large Cap | Paints | Margin Strength Holds Despite Cost Pressures</a></h2><p>Berger Paints is one of India&#8217;s leading paint manufacturers with a strong presence across decorative and industrial coatings. Despite rising crude-linked input costs and an uncertain demand environment, the company is seeing improving consumption trends, stronger product mix, and believes margins may remain more resilient than expected.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RDa5h_9Xqzs">Reference</a>]</p><p>The company believes its current pricing is sufficient to manage existing input costs related to crude oil. This provides clarity on pricing stability, which is essential for maintaining volume growth without hurting profitability.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have built in the current crude prices already. As of now there will not be any need for further price increases. However, if crude prices go up further, we will have to look for further price increases, but as of now we are covered.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Abhijit Roy, MD &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management expects to maintain current EBITDA margins if raw material prices remain stable in the near future. This guidance suggests that the current level of profitability is sustainable under prevailing market conditions.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;At the EBITDA percentage level more or less it should be similar to what it was in quarter four. We are expecting that if raw material prices hold at these levels, we should be able to hold up at those levels in terms of EBITDA margin.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Abhijit Roy, MD &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company anticipates that total revenue will grow in the double digits, supported by recent price hikes and solid volume demand. This outlook signals a healthy balance between expansion in sales quantity and realized price per unit.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Because of price increases we will have a double-digit value growth and possibly a mid to high single-digit volume growth. As of now we should have somewhere around the high single-digit mark in terms of volume growth and double-digit value growth.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Abhijit Roy, MD &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is shifting its sales toward newer, high-margin products to improve its overall profitability profile. A focus on premium or specialized products is a key driver for long-term margin improvement and competitive differentiation.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;There are some interesting products which we have introduced which are margin accretive. Some of them are doing quite well and therefore the mix profile is improving.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Abhijit Roy, MD &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Defence</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/PARAS/">Paras Defence &amp; Space Technologies | Small Cap | Aerospace &amp; Defense | Strong Order Visibility Ahead</a></h2><p>Paras Defence &amp; Space Technologies is a niche Indian engineering company specializing in high-end defense and space applications across optics, defense electronics, and emerging anti-drone systems. While Q4 delivered a sharp jump in growth, management believes the bigger story lies ahead, with a rapidly expanding order pipeline, rising anti-drone opportunities, and expectations of a meaningful scale-up over the next few years.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZE1rHYWHCZI">Reference</a>]</p><p>Management anticipates winning enough new business to potentially double their current order book within half a year. Such a rapid expansion in the backlog suggests a significant scaling of the business operations.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The upcoming order inflow that we are expecting in the next 3 to six months is huge. We will almost double our order book.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amit Mahajan, Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The company&#8217;s investment in anti-drone technology has started to pay off with meaningful revenue contributions. This diversification into modern electronic warfare indicates a move toward higher-technology products.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The refreshing part of the business is the anti-drone subsidiary is coming into the game now. They&#8217;ve started clocking handsome revenues from the last financial year.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amit Mahajan, Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Management is confident that the high growth seen in the recent quarter will continue into the next fiscal year. This optimism is backed by a combination of current contracts and a strong pipeline of pending bids.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The upcoming year the growth momentum will be sustained. The reasons for that is the opportunities that we have on hand, the order book that we already have and the order book that we are expecting in the next 3 to 6 months.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amit Mahajan, Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The company has crossed a major milestone with an order book exceeding 1,000 crores. A large influx of new orders is expected shortly, providing clear visibility for revenue growth.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The order book currently stands at very close to 1,000 crores thousand plus crores and the upcoming order inflow that we are expecting in the next 3 to six months is huge.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amit Mahajan, Director</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><p>That&#8217;s it for now! Your feedback will really help shape how The Chatter evolves. Drop it down in the comments below!</p><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://thechatterbyzerodha.substack.com/p/the-chatter-underneath-the-noise?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share&amp;token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjozMDExNzg5MTMsInBvc3RfaWQiOjE3MjY2NDQxNiwiaWF0IjoxNzU3NTk4NjQzLCJleHAiOjE3NjAxOTA2NDMsImlzcyI6InB1Yi00ODk4NzYwIiwic3ViIjoicG9zdC1yZWFjdGlvbiJ9.TFcDJv32XGvO0oFacHaCKP014RVVZ1pAYaVdcBrgrfE&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Share&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:&quot;button-wrapper&quot;}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary button-wrapper" href="https://thechatterbyzerodha.substack.com/p/the-chatter-underneath-the-noise?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share&amp;token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjozMDExNzg5MTMsInBvc3RfaWQiOjE3MjY2NDQxNiwiaWF0IjoxNzU3NTk4NjQzLCJleHAiOjE3NjAxOTA2NDMsImlzcyI6InB1Yi00ODk4NzYwIiwic3ViIjoicG9zdC1yZWFjdGlvbiJ9.TFcDJv32XGvO0oFacHaCKP014RVVZ1pAYaVdcBrgrfE"><span>Share</span></a></p><p>Quotes in this newsletter were curated by Meher, Shahid &amp; Srusti.</p><p>Disclaimer: We&#8217;ve used AI tools in filtering and cleaning up these quotes so there maybe some mistakes. Now, if you are thinking why we are using AI, please remember that we are just a small team of 5 people running everything you see on Zerodha Markets &#128556; So, all the good stuff is human and mistakes are AI.</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>We&#8217;re now on <a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/marketsbyzerodha/">Reddit</a>!</strong></h2><p>We love engaging with the perspectives of readers like you. So we asked ourselves - why not make a proper free-for-all forum where people can engage with us and each other? And what&#8217;s a better, nerdier place to do that than Reddit?</p><p>So, do join us on the subreddit, chat all things markets and finance, tell us what you like about our content and where we can improve! Here&#8217;s the <a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/marketsbyzerodha/">link</a> &#8212; alternatively, you can search r/marketsbyzerodha on Reddit.</p><p>See you there!</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Chatter: Meesho, Marico, L&T, Bajaj & More]]></title><description><![CDATA[Q4FY26 | Edition #58]]></description><link>https://thechatter.zerodha.com/p/the-chatter-meesho-marico-l-and-t</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://thechatter.zerodha.com/p/the-chatter-meesho-marico-l-and-t</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Zerodha]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 08 May 2026 13:35:04 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mltk!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7311f45f-2f87-447f-9cd6-e6cd7d6c4c00_2400x1350.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" 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class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Welcome to the <strong>58th edition</strong> of The Chatter &#8212; a weekly newsletter where we dig through what India&#8217;s biggest companies are saying and bring you the most interesting bits of insight, whether about the business, its sector, or the wider economy. We read every major Indian earnings call and listen to the interviews so you don&#8217;t have to.</p><p>We&#8217;re always eager to improve&#8212;please share your ideas on how else we can innovate &#8220;The Chatter&#8221; format to better serve your needs.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2" target="_blank" href="https://www.tijoristack.ai/concall-monitor/?utm_source=zerodha&amp;utm_campaign=z_marketing" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png" width="1456" height="364" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:364,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:306481,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:&quot;https://www.tijoristack.ai/concall-monitor/?utm_source=zerodha&amp;utm_campaign=z_marketing&quot;,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://thechatter.zerodha.com/i/193793492?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Check out <a href="https://www.tijoristack.ai/concall-monitor/?utm_source=zerodha&amp;utm_campaign=z_marketing">Concall Monitor</a></figcaption></figure></div><p>In this edition, we have covered <strong>17 companies across 9 industries.</strong></p><div><hr></div><h1 style="text-align: justify;">Retail</h1><ul><li><p>Meesho</p></li><li><p>Shoppers Stop Limited</p></li><li><p>Marico Limited</p></li><li><p>Godrej Consumer Products</p></li></ul><h1 style="text-align: justify;">Chemicals</h1><ul><li><p>Garware Hi-Tech Films</p></li></ul><h1 style="text-align: justify;">Financial Services</h1><ul><li><p>Punjab National Bank</p></li><li><p>BSE Limited</p></li></ul><h1 style="text-align: justify;">Automotives</h1><ul><li><p>Bajaj Auto Limited</p></li><li><p>Mahindra &amp; Mahindra</p></li></ul><h1 style="text-align: justify;">Real Estate</h1><ul><li><p>Aditya Birla Real Estate Ltd.</p></li><li><p>Raymond Realty Ltd.</p></li></ul><h1 style="text-align: justify;">Energy</h1><ul><li><p>Adani Power</p></li></ul><h1 style="text-align: justify;">Healthcare</h1><ul><li><p>Dr. Lal PathLabs</p></li></ul><h1 style="text-align: justify;">Metal</h1><ul><li><p>Lloyds Metals &amp; Energy Ltd</p></li></ul><h1 style="text-align: justify;">Engineering &amp; Capital Goods</h1><ul><li><p>Bharat Forge</p></li><li><p>Larsen &amp; Toubro Limited</p></li><li><p>Polycab India Limited</p></li></ul><div><hr></div><h1 style="text-align: justify;">Retail</h1><h2 style="text-align: justify;"><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/MEESHO/">Meesho | Mid Cap | Retail</a></h2><p style="text-align: justify;">Meesho Ltd. is an online marketplace enabling small businesses and individual sellers to reach customers nationwide through a zero-commission, asset-light model. It offers affordable fashion, home, beauty, and lifestyle products to millions of users across India.</p><p style="text-align: justify;">[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/59535-06-May-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Meesho anticipates that high inflation could act as a tailwind for value-focused companies like itself, as tighter consumer budgets generally lead to increased market share for affordable options, although overall spending might see some headwinds.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Typically, if you look at times like these&#8212;and there is a fair amount of history from the 1970s until now&#8212;value-focused companies actually tend to gain share when inflation goes high because budgets are tighter for people across the board. That potentially is a tailwind. Now, of course, there might be a headwind in terms of the absolute amount that people are spending, and some of these might act in a counter fashion. We will see how this progresses, but a high-inflationary environment for value-focused players is generally a tailwind.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Vidit Aatrey, Chairman, Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Meesho Mall is strategically focused on serving &#8220;mass India&#8221; by offering value brands and packs to a broad customer base, rather than exclusively premium users, enabling popular brands to reach previously inaccessible online consumers.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Yes, so I think we are scaling Meesho Mall for affordable brands, or I would say value brands or value packs of all the brands that you know. We have seen a lot of progress over the last 1 year. A lot of mass brands that are popular in India have scaled their selection on Meesho and they find that they&#8217;re able to reach a customer for the first time that they could not reach earlier and sell selection online for the first time that they could not sell earlier. Everyone is seeing a lot of potential there. So it is going to be a big focus for us. Meesho Mall is not just focused on the premium customer. It is going to be focused on anyone who cares about value.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Vidit Aatrey, Chairman, Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Meesho emphasizes that contribution margin is the most relevant metric for assessing business trajectory, as a higher mix of prepaid orders, while reducing revenue per order, is beneficial due to lower costs and stable contribution margins.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;From our business standpoint, the right number to consider from a trajectory standpoint is contribution margin. As I was explaining earlier regarding prepaid versus cash on delivery orders, if you start getting a higher mix of prepaid orders, which is fundamentally good for the platform, you would see that the revenue per order would decline. But the contribution margin would remain the same because the lower cost of serving a prepaid order is what we pass back to our consumers in the form of lower pricing.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Dhiresh Bansal, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Users who have been on the platform for three years or more tend to exhibit a significantly higher purchase frequency, typically making 15 or more orders annually.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I don&#8217;t have the specific number of frequency off the top of my head but in general as users mature on the platform their frequency in a 3-year time period starts going up to 15 times or more, so I would suspect for the FY24 and before cohort it will be a similar number.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Vidit Aatrey, Chairman, Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Customer acquisition cost (CAC) has decreased due to technological investments and AI-powered product enhancements like the Vani voice agent, which effectively reduce user friction despite the challenges of acquiring customers in deeper Indian markets.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The CAC reduction is happening due to the investments that we&#8217;ve done historically in terms of technology, in terms of improving the value proposition from a price perspective as well. In fact, as you go deeper into India, on a like-for-like basis, CACs only go up because you have to convince a certain user more in order to transact. But with the improvements in products that we&#8217;ve made through AI and otherwise, that barrier threshold has come down. Vani, for instance, our voice agent, or other investments we&#8217;ve done in terms of algorithms as well have reduced that friction between a user installing the app and placing their first order and that&#8217;s the reason why CAC continues to be in a fairly limited zone.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Vidit Aatrey, Chairman, Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">While BNPL is in its nascent stage, the primary driver for the reduction in cash-on-delivery (COD) transactions has been the increasing adoption of prepaid orders, supported by lower costs and consumer discounts, with BNPL expected to contribute more significantly in the future.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I think BNPL is still fairly early in its life cycle. Right now the key initiatives that we&#8217;ve had within our prepaid products, which is payment before delivery, the cost of prepaid orders coming down and us passing consequently some of them back to our consumers with better prepaid discounts has been the driving force so far in terms of cash on delivery share coming down or prepaid share increasing. Going forward as we continue to invest behind BNPL and we&#8217;re seeing good early signs there, that will become a driver but at this point in time it is more direct prepaid share increasing.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Dhiresh Bansal, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2 style="text-align: justify;"><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/SHOPPERS/">Shoppers Stop Limited | Mid Cap | Retail Stores</a></h2><p style="text-align: justify;">Shoppers Stop is a leading Indian retailer specializing in premium apparel, beauty products, and lifestyle accessories through its extensive departmental store network. The company also manages a high-growth beauty distribution arm and is expanding into the value-fashion segment via its InTune brand.</p><p style="text-align: justify;">[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/4538-06-May-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p style="text-align: justify;">The core department store business has reached a significant revenue milestone while delivering its best same-store sales growth in ten years. This suggests a successful recovery and stabilization of the flagship format after years of stagnant growth.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The departmental store business crossed 5,000 crores revenue for the first time, which is a big milestone for us. At the start of the year, we had given a guidance of mid-single digit LFL and I am very happy to share that we ended the year with 4.7%, which is our highest ever LFL in a decade, particularly after two consecutive flat-ish LFL sales for FY24 and FY25.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Kavindra Mishra, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company&#8217;s top-tier loyalty program is seeing record high enrollment and extremely high retention rates among its wealthiest customers. This strong retention provides a stable foundation for future revenue and proves the brand&#8217;s resilience in the premium segment.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The premium end of our loyalty, which is our black card program, has reported the highest ever 67,000 new recruitments and highest ever renewals of 66,000, with the renewal rate being an impressive 74%. Demonstrating deep value proposition from a customer perspective besides personalized service standards helped us to increase the loyalty base to 13.5 million.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Kavindra Mishra, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The beauty distribution segment is growing at an exceptional pace and has become a dominant player in the Indian market. This diversification adds a high-growth revenue stream that complements the traditional retail store model.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our beauty distribution business continued its strong growth trajectory, generating revenue of 426 crores, which is equivalent to 650 crores of GMV, with a stellar 81% growth year-over-year and delivering a three-year CAGR of 90%. This would make us the largest beauty distributor in the country.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Kavindra Mishra, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Operational improvements and better inventory management have led to the highest cash generation in nearly a decade. This increased liquidity allows the company to self-fund its growth initiatives and reduce reliance on debt.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I am very happy to state that because of strong operational efficiency, we were able to generate cash from operations of 301 crores. This is the highest in the last 8 years, supported by working capital optimization of 155 crores.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Kavindra Mishra, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management is balancing new store openings with the modernization of existing high-performing locations. The strategy focuses on maximizing productivity from current assets where they have already seen proven sales uplifts.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We plan to add 9 departmental stores and 35 to 40 InTune stores in this financial year. This includes the renovation of marquee stores. We have seen with both Inorbit Malad and Juhu that once we renovate our marquee stores, the throughput really increases.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Kavindra Mishra, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management has set a high bar for sales productivity improvements before resuming aggressive expansion in the value segment. Investors should watch for this 25-30% productivity jump as a signal that the business model is ready to scale.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In the case of InTune, as I mentioned, right now we are not looking at opening stores in H1. The SPSF should go up by another 25-30% for us to be confident. We need to see that over a couple of quarters rather than just one or two months.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Kavindra Mishra, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Renovating major existing stores is yielding massive productivity gains without increasing the fixed rent or staff costs. This high operating leverage means that extra sales from these stores will fall heavily to the bottom line.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are seeing that once we renovate marquee stores, our sales productivity goes up 35-40%. Of course, because that cost is fixed. That is why we are excited about renovating our five big stores this year.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Kavindra Mishra, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company is warning of potential stock delays in the second half of the year due to global supply chain issues. However, they believe their size and relationships with major brands will protect them better than smaller competitors.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Second is on supply chain uncertainties. They may cause some intermittent disruptions in merchandise availability, particularly in H2. However, given our diversified sourcing and scale, we are confident of effectively managing and mitigating this risk.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Kavindra Mishra, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management is prioritizing overall profit over just hitting a specific percentage of private label sales. Their success with the new &#8216;InTune Girlz&#8217; brand shows they can successfully compete with international brands in niche categories.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We look at the profitability of the business rather than just private brand contribution. We just launched InTune Girlz, a private brand for the girls&#8217; business, and it is doing really well. We started with five stores and expanded to 69, and the throughputs are higher than any of the international girls&#8217; brands.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Kavindra Mishra, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2 style="text-align: justify;"><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/MARICO/">Marico Limited | Large Cap | FMCG</a></h2><p style="text-align: justify;">Marico Limited is a prominent Indian consumer goods company specializing in hair care, edible oils, and healthy foods. It operates flagship brands like Parachute and Saffola across India and several international markets in South Asia and Africa.</p><p style="text-align: justify;">[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/3891-05-May-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p style="text-align: justify;">The price of coconut oil, a major raw material, has dropped significantly, allowing the company to lower prices for consumers. This move is intended to drive higher sales volume and gain market share starting in the next quarter.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;With copra prices having corrected by about 35% from peak levels and expected to remain range-bound from here on, we have passed on the benefit to consumers through some selective pricing actions. As pricing stabilizes, we expect a recovery in consumption with a pickup in volume growth, which will be evidently visible from Q1 FY27 itself.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Saugata Gupta, MD and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company&#8217;s digital brands have reached a significant sales milestone and are becoming increasingly profitable. Investors should note the shift from high-growth spending to a focus on sustainable double-digit profit margins.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The digital-first portfolio of premium personal care exited FY26 at a 1,100+ crores ARR. The scale-up of this portfolio is being accompanied by a structural improvement in profitability as we aim to exit FY27 at double-digit EBITDA margins and eventually mid-teen EBITDA margins by FY30.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Saugata Gupta, MD and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Marico is actively reducing its reliance on traditional commodities to protect itself from price swings. This portfolio shift aims to make the company&#8217;s earnings more stable and predictable over the long term.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;By FY30, we expect to have substantially transformed the portfolio, resulting in lowering the share of commodity-linked businesses from more than 70% to 50% over a decade. To sum up, we have delivered on our aspirations across key performance parameters while navigating a highly volatile input cost environment and strengthening the underlying growth drivers of the business.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Saugata Gupta, MD and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management has set a clear target to reach 15,000 crores in revenue next year with strong profit growth. They plan to achieve this through technology investments and selling more high-end products.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;At a consolidated level, we will aim to deliver double-digit revenue growth to cross 15,000 crores in revenue and high-teen EBITDA growth, subject to stable macros. Over the medium term, our strategy remains anchored in driving profitable growth through expansion of the total addressable market, sharper portfolio choices, accelerated premiumization, and continued investments in digital media analytics, automation, and AI capabilities.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Saugata Gupta, MD and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company&#8217;s recent acquisitions are already contributing healthy profits rather than burning cash. This immediate financial benefit supports the management&#8217;s higher profit growth targets for the next fiscal year.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Two of the three acquisitions&#8212;Cosmiq and Skinetics&#8212;are profitable. Skinetics is in the mid-20s and Cosmiq is in the high teens. Additionally, Plix, a large part of our digital business, is experiencing an upward trajectory in operating margins.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Saugata Gupta, MD and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company is focusing on traditional neighborhood stores (General Trade) because it is harder for competitors to enter that space. Strengthening this retail network creates a durable barrier that protects Marico&#8217;s long-term sales.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We invested in Setu because GT creates significant employment and is a source of competitive advantage since entry barriers are decreasing in modern trade but remain in GT. This systematic investment helps our distribution partners and increases their viability, helping us grow consistently regardless of state-specific consumption.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Saugata Gupta, MD and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company is intentionally cutting low-profit products in its foods business to improve overall health. This strategy prioritizes quality earnings and better focus over simply reporting higher sales numbers.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Overall Foods growth was affected because True Elements was lapping a high base and we took SKU rationalization calls on low-margin products there. Additionally, Plix is pivoting toward personal care, so its contribution to Foods growth is decreasing. We expect teen growth in True Elements in FY27.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Saugata Gupta, MD and CEO</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2 style="text-align: justify;"><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/GODREJCP/">Godrej Consumer Products | Large Cap | FMCG</a></h2><p style="text-align: justify;">Godrej Consumer Products is a leading FMCG company with a strong presence across home care, personal care, and household insecticides in India and international markets. While the company delivered healthy volume-led growth in Q4, rising commodity costs and crude-linked inflation are expected to keep margins under pressure in the near term, making pricing power and cost control the key factors to watch ahead.</p><p style="text-align: justify;">[<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mMTB18-RzTo">Reference</a>]</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Rising costs for oil-based raw materials are making it difficult for the company to maintain current profit levels. This suggests investors should expect near-term pressure on margins until commodity prices stabilise.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Commodity inflation and crude-linked input costs are expected to keep near-term margins under pressure.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Asif Malbari, CFO, Godrej Consumer Products Ltd.</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company is responding to higher costs by selectively raising product prices and optimising expenses. These measures are aimed at protecting profitability despite inflationary pressure.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Management has taken calibrated price hikes and cost optimisation measures to offset inflation.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Asif Malbari, CFO, Godrej Consumer Products Ltd.</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The home insecticide category continues to perform strongly, contributing meaningfully to both revenue growth and profitability. Management sees this segment as a key growth driver going forward.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Home insecticides continue to perform strongly and remain an important growth and margin driver.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Asif Malbari, CFO, Godrej Consumer Products Ltd.</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">International operations are showing signs of stabilisation after a prolonged weak phase. Management expects overseas profitability to improve meaningfully in the next fiscal year.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;International business showed signs of stabilisation, with management expecting profit recovery next year.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Asif Malbari, CFO, Godrej Consumer Products Ltd.</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Despite risks from inflation and weather-related disruptions, management remains confident about sustaining growth momentum across categories and markets.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Management remains confident about growth despite inflationary and weather-related uncertainties.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Asif Malbari, CFO, Godrej Consumer Products Ltd.</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1 style="text-align: justify;">Chemicals</h1><h2 style="text-align: justify;"><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/GRWRHITECH/">Garware Hi-Tech Films | Small Cap | Chemicals</a></h2><p style="text-align: justify;">Garware Hi-Tech Films Limited is a manufacturer of specialized solar control films for architectural and automotive applications, paint protection films (PPF) for automotive applications, and high-end BOPET films for industrial applications.</p><p style="text-align: justify;">[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/361-07-May-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p style="text-align: justify;">The company achieved record-high profitability in Q4 FY26, driven by strong operating leverage, improved pricing, and a better product mix.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Q4 was the highest-ever profitability quarter in our history. EBITDA stood at 157 crores, up 29% on a year-on-year basis, with margins expanding to 26.2%. Profit after tax stood at 108 crores, up 39.1% year-on-year, a clear reflection of our operating leverage, improved realization, and a stronger product mix.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Deepak Joshi, Director of Sales and Marketing</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company anticipates maintaining an export-heavy revenue mix of 75-80% exports to 20-25% domestic, despite domestic market growth, due to overall company expansion targets.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;While the domestic market will grow, it will ultimately be a ratio between 75-25 or 80-20 between exports and the domestic market. That ratio will continue because of the overall growth we are targeting for the company.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Deepak Joshi, Director of Sales and Marketing</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management sees a large untapped opportunity in architectural films, privacy solutions, and smart surfaces.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The sky is the limit for architectural business&#8230; We offer safety, security, decoration, and privacy-on-demand switchable films&#8230; We want this technology in every standard home in India and eventually abroad.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Garware&#8217;s presence across 90+ countries helped reduce concentration risk during geopolitical disruptions.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Garware supplies over 90 countries. When the US is in trouble, Europe helps. When there is an issue in one region, another performs well.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The MENA region is a key growth driver, with current sales of $15 million projected to grow at a 25-30% CAGR to $20-22 million this year, supported by a newly established subsidiary and dedicated team.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We consider the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region a primary growth driver. Currently, sales there are roughly 15 million dollars. We expect 25-30% CAGR, targeting 20-22 million dollars this year. We have a separate team in the Middle East recruited from top competition. The subsidiary has already been completed.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Deepak Joshi, Director of Sales and Marketing</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Sun control films are the company&#8217;s fastest-growing and largest revenue segment, with unique and advanced manufacturing capabilities providing a significant competitive advantage.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our growth has been phenomenal. 50% of our revenues come from sun control, making it our number one product and fastest-growing segment. Building a sun control line is one of the toughest challenges. Our lines are so advanced that others cannot compete with our operations, which are built by our own team. We have unique operations with sun control machines that no one else in the world possesses.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Deepak Joshi, Director of Sales and Marketing</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Garware has largely passed through raw material inflation, preserving margins.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We discussed cost increases with our customers in a healthy and ethical way and were able to secure price increases&#8230; We have been able to pass on the maximum amount.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1 style="text-align: justify;">Financial Services</h1><h2 style="text-align: justify;"><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/PNB/">Punjab National Bank | Large Cap | Public Sector Bank</a></h2><p style="text-align: justify;">Punjab National Bank is one of India&#8217;s largest public sector banks, providing a wide range of retail, corporate, and agricultural financial services. The bank is currently executing a strategic shift toward digital-first lending and high-yield retail and MSME segments to improve its margins and asset quality.</p><p style="text-align: justify;">[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/4444-05-May-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p style="text-align: justify;">The bank is signaling a bottoming out of net interest margins after facing pressure from sticky deposit rates. This forward guidance suggests that recent loan repricing and mix shifts will drive profitability improvements in the coming quarters.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We expect the margins to improve moving forward and our NIM to witness a Q-o-Q increase from the level of Q4 FY26. We expect our global NIM to remain in the range of 2.6% to 2.7% for financial year 26-27.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ashok Chandra, MD and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management highlighted that nearly 70% of the current loan book consists of newer loans sanctioned under stricter post-2020 underwriting standards. This significantly lower delinquency rate in the fresh portfolio supports a more stable long-term asset quality outlook.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The outstanding in these loans as on March 31 is 8.75 lakh crore, which is close to 69.5% of our total outstanding loan book. The NPA in this book is hardly 5,034 crore, which is only 0.40% of the disbursed amount under fresh underwriting.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ashok Chandra, MD and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">PNB is successfully scaling its digital lending capabilities, with digital loans now accounting for a substantial portion of new volumes. This shift helps the bank lower its cost of acquisition while speeding up the credit delivery process.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have sanctioned and disbursed more than 20,873 crore through digital mode in Q4 to 4.8 lakh customers. Every third loan is being sanctioned in digital mode in our bank.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ashok Chandra, MD and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The bank has proactively created a floating provision buffer to manage the transition to Expected Credit Loss (ECL) accounting standards. This financial preparation reduces the risk of a sharp capital hit when the new regulatory guidelines take effect.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have enough cushion to take care of any requirement that arises from the implementation of ECL from April 1, 2027. That is the first thing. Second, keeping in view the additional provision likely to come, we have already kept 2,045 crore precisely for floating provisions.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ashok Chandra, MD and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The bank is deliberately pivoting its portfolio away from low-yield corporate lending toward the Retail, Agri, and MSME (RAM) sectors. This rebalancing is intended to enhance overall portfolio yields and improve interest income growth.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are doing these activities so that the dependency on corporate loans, which is currently around 46% to 47%, can be brought down to 40% in the long term, and 42% in the short term. We want the RAM share to reach 60% in the long run and around 58% in this financial year.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ashok Chandra, MD and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">PNB plans to completely phase out its Inter-Bank Participation Certificate (IBPC) portfolio, which has traditionally been a low-margin business. Replacing these assets with higher-yielding direct loans will contribute to the bank&#8217;s net interest margin expansion strategy.<br><em>IBPC (Inter-Bank Participation Certificate) is a mechanism through which one bank temporarily sells participation in a pool of loans to another bank for liquidity, risk-sharing, or priority-sector compliance purposes, with or without transfer of credit risk.</em></p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are going to replace all those low-rate IBPC assets. We expect a further reduction of 18,000 to 20,000 crore. We want to completely exit the IBPC business.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ashok Chandra, MD and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management noted that the incremental cost of acquiring new deposits has begun to trend downward. This reduction in funding costs is a critical lever for the bank to meet its margin expansion targets in the upcoming fiscal year.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Since new deposits are being gathered at a lower cost, we expect improvements in our NIM during Q1 and Q2. I expect about a 5 basis point improvement in the cost of deposit.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ashok Chandra, MD and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The bank highlighted a significant 145 basis point yield advantage in MSME lending compared to corporate lending. This data point reinforces why the bank is prioritizing MSME growth to drive better bottom-line performance.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The corporate yield is 7.55% and the MSME yield is 9%. Our global domestic yield is 8.23%. The corporate loan book gives us a lower yield than the domestic average.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ashok Chandra, MD and CEO</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2 style="text-align: justify;"><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/BSE/">BSE Limited | Large Cap | Stock Exchange &amp; Allied Services</a></h2><p style="text-align: justify;">BSE Limited is India&#8217;s leading stock exchange and the oldest in Asia, providing a platform for trading in equity, debt instruments, derivatives, and mutual funds. It also offers essential market infrastructure services through its subsidiaries, including clearing, settlement, and index services.</p><p style="text-align: justify;">[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/5628-07-May-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p style="text-align: justify;">BSE has seen its derivative segment more than double in size over the last year as trading activity shifts toward its platforms. This high growth in premium turnover suggests that the exchange is successfully capturing a larger slice of the lucrative F&amp;O market.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The BSE index derivatives segment continued to demonstrate strong momentum in FY26 with average daily premium turnover reaching a record of 19,523 crores compared to 8,978 crores in FY25, translating into a robust year-on-year growth of approximately 118%. This sustained expansion reflects deeper market participation and improving liquidity.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sundararaman Ramamurthy, MD and CEO, BSE Limited</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management is expanding its product lineup with new sector-specific derivatives to attract specialized traders. Diversifying the product suite beyond broad market indices is a key strategy to increase the stickiness of its trading volumes.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Based on market feedback, derivatives on the BSE Focused IT index will be launched from May 11, 2026, further expanding and strengthening our monthly derivatives suite. The launch of derivatives on the Focused IT index will provide participants an additional hedging tool to manage their portfolio risk effectively.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sundararaman Ramamurthy, MD and CEO, BSE Limited</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Revenue from co-location services has more than doubled, driven by higher demand for high-speed trading and a new fee structure. This high-margin revenue stream provides a stable income base that is less volatile than general transaction charges.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;For FY26, co-location revenues increased to 171 crores compared to 74 crores in FY25, reflecting strong growth, healthy utilization levels in the country, and the benefit of the revised throttle charges framework introduced in July 2025. Co-location remains a strategically important part of our diversification agenda.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sundararaman Ramamurthy, MD and CEO, BSE Limited</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">BSE is moving beyond equity trading by launching a National Pension System platform to capture a wider range of retail financial savings. This shift toward becoming a &#8216;super gateway&#8217; for wealth management opens up new long-term growth avenues for the company.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are evolving from being India&#8217;s senior mutual fund distributor into the country&#8217;s definitive super gateway for long-term wealth. With STAR NPS, we now capture the entire financial life cycle of the Indian investor from their first SIP to their final pension.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sundararaman Ramamurthy, MD and CEO, BSE Limited</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">BSE&#8217;s clearing arm has significantly upgraded its tech capacity to handle high-frequency trading with minimal delays. This infrastructure upgrade is crucial for attracting large institutional players who require high throughput and low latency.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;As far as ICCL, ICCL has been adding members, both big and small. I had stated that ICCL has significantly increased its technological capability to handle around 29,000 trades per second per broker and a peak of 59,000 with a small latency of one second, which is a big number.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sundararaman Ramamurthy, MD and CEO, BSE Limited</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company has cut its quarterly profit contribution to the Settlement Guarantee Fund in half after reaching safe reserve levels. This reduction will directly boost bottom-line margins and improve earnings quality for shareholders.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We had initially decided that as BSE, in order to prevent any sudden jerks in the P&amp;L, we would voluntarily contribute a specified stipulated percentage of our profits into SGF every quarter. At the point of time when we reviewed, we had already touched the threshold of more than 150 crores. We have crossed it and in this situation, we are reducing the contribution requirement per quarter from 5% to 2.5%.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sundararaman Ramamurthy, MD and CEO, BSE Limited</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management is maintaining a flexible approach to pricing, leaving the door open for fee adjustments based on market conditions. This optionality is a significant lever for future revenue growth as the exchange gains more market power.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;As far as the cost is concerned, we always believe in charging appropriate amounts at appropriate points of time considering multiple factors including the volumes that we are making, the cost of trading, the affordability, and what will be easy for the members, etc. These are subject to revisions and review and as and when we feel the appropriate time has come for either an upward or downward revision, we will consider doing it.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sundararaman Ramamurthy, MD and CEO, BSE Limited</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The exchange is focused on shifting trading volume from high-risk daily expiries to more stable monthly contracts. Success in this transition will lead to more sustainable and predictable revenue patterns for the exchange.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In the coming months and years, I see that more such participants who have a long-term view on the market will be participating in an even bigger way with Sensex contracts, which will bring in those types of monthly volumes which we are looking forward to. One of the recent contracts introduced is Bankex, which as you would be seeing is showing some traction with respect to monthly contracts.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sundararaman Ramamurthy, MD and CEO, BSE Limited</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">BSE is currently exploring a new strategy for entering the commodity derivatives market with a unique value proposition. While not immediate, this expansion represents a major untapped market opportunity for the exchange&#8217;s next growth phase.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We want to create a value proposition for the market by thinking about some unique selling proposition, not just the expiry day alone as a differentiator. Do we have anything immediately on our mind and on the cards to implement? No. But some thought processes are on and our sincere wish is that very soon we should be able to come out with consolidated views and take the commodity agenda forward.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sundararaman Ramamurthy, MD and CEO, BSE Limited</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The growth of BSE&#8217;s cash market share is currently being held back by a lack of progress in automated order routing across exchanges. Investors should watch for regulatory shifts here, as a breakthrough could unlock significant volume gains for BSE.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;But unfortunately, what we are understanding is that the applications for Smart Order Routing (SOR), which people send to both the exchanges, while we have cleared them, are still pending for more than 6 months at the other exchange. Because of this, Smart Order Routing has not taken off and clients are not able to be exchange agnostic and take the best prices available at BSE.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sundararaman Ramamurthy, MD and CEO, BSE Limited</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">BSE is aggressively targeting foreign institutional investors to close the participation gap between it and its competitors. Higher FPI participation is critical for improving market depth and the overall quality of trading volumes.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our FPI count has grown from 100 to 520, which is commendable, but we have set a target for ourselves of around 800 FPIs. We are already at around 5-6% while in the market generally we find the participation is around 9%. So that is a target for us to reach around 9% of FPI participation.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sundararaman Ramamurthy, MD and CEO, BSE Limited</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">BSE is productively deploying accumulated cash into significant capacity increases (500 crores gross block) and rapidly growing technology investments, noting that the technology budget might need to double due to rising hardware costs.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The accumulated cash is being used productively. In the last 2 years, we have built a gross block of around 500 crores for capacity increases. BSE is a rapidly growing company that requires significant technology investment. The current year&#8217;s technology budget appears underpriced. We set 300 crores, but with the global situation, the price of memory and hardware is increasing; the investment requirement to &#8216;keep the lights on&#8217; and grow is almost doubling.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sundararaman Ramamurthy, MD and CEO, BSE Limited</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1 style="text-align: justify;">Automotives</h1><h2 style="text-align: justify;"><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/BAJAJAUTO/">Bajaj Auto Limited | Large Cap | Automobiles - Two &amp; Three Wheelers</a></h2><p style="text-align: justify;">Bajaj Auto is a prominent Indian multinational manufacturer of motorcycles and three-wheelers, ranking as one of the world&#8217;s largest in both categories. The company operates across diverse segments including mass-market commuters, premium performance bikes, and an expanding portfolio of electric vehicles.</p><p style="text-align: justify;">[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/4946-06-May-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Record export revenues highlight the company&#8217;s ability to drive high-value growth even when traditional volume peaks in markets like Nigeria remain under recovery. This performance provides a significant hedge against domestic market fluctuations and improves overall dollar realization.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Exports business unit: Starting off with that, the business unit crossed the 600,000 units mark for the second consecutive quarter, clocking 25% growth year-over-year. This has resulted in the highest-ever quarterly revenue from exports. In FY26, we recorded our second highest-ever performance in volume terms, but at USD 2.2 billion, it was the highest-ever performance in revenue terms.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Rakesh Sharma, Joint Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management is targeting a 10 percent increase in monthly export volumes as demand stabilizes across Latin America and Asia. Investors should monitor geopolitical stability in the Middle East as it represents a primary risk to achieving this upgraded target.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Overall, the exports business has established a sustained growth momentum. We are looking at moving the exports needle to 220,000 units per month this quarter, up from the 200,000 levels. And this is despite some loss of business in the Gulf region&#8212;we are of course hoping that there will be no further disruptions due to the geopolitical issues in the Middle East.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Rakesh Sharma, Joint Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The rapid success of new Pulsar variants confirms that management&#8217;s aggressive product refresh strategy is effectively defending and gaining market share. High consumer acceptance of these variants suggests strong pricing power in the critical 150cc plus motorcycle segment.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Sequential gains in market share are being made month-on-month driven by the performance of our refreshed Pulsar portfolio. 10 new variants and updates have been introduced in the period of October to March and they now contribute to 50% of our sales. It signals very good acceptance.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Rakesh Sharma, Joint Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The electric vehicle business has reached a significant scale where it contributes nearly one-fifth of domestic revenue with healthy profitability. This transition indicates that the company is successfully pivoting away from internal combustion reliance without sacrificing its margins.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In totality, our two-wheeler and three-wheeler electric business is actually now the largest in the auto industry, accounting for almost 20%+ of our domestic revenues and contributing double-digit EBITDA percentage.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Rakesh Sharma, Joint Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management anticipates a sharp deceleration in domestic motorcycle growth due to multiple external headwinds affecting consumer sentiment. The focus shifts to premium segments, which are proving to be more resilient than the entry-level mass market.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The demand environment has softened in April due to general inflation, increased prices of our vehicles, LPG shortages, manpower migration, and the LPG shortage-led effect on the consumer sentiment. This is bound to slow down the motorcycle category from its rocking 20% growth in Q4 to an estimated 7-9% in the near term. But having said that, the great thing from our point of view is that we expect this growth to come almost entirely from the 125cc plus segment and even more so from the 150cc plus segment which should grow at twice the industry rate&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Rakesh Sharma, Joint Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Achieving double-digit margins in the EV portfolio is a critical milestone that addresses long-standing investor concerns about the cost of electrification. The profitability of e-three-wheelers provides a financial cushion while the Chetak e-scooter reaches a break-even point.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Underpinning the margin delivery was a significant development that we have made on our electric portfolio, which hit double-digit EBITDA margins in its entirety for the very first time in the course of this year. The improvements came on the back of rising scale of the very popular and profitable electric three-wheelers and the improving unit economics of Chetak, which has now reached EBITDA neutral as a portfolio.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Dinesh Thapar, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management warns that mandatory price hikes are eroding the benefits of previous government tax cuts for consumers. This price sensitivity could further pressure volume growth if inflationary trends persist into the upcoming festive season.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;What this means is that depending on the product group, the benefit which the GST rate cut had given to the customer&#8212;almost 30-40% of that could get rolled back. So obviously, it will have some impact on the demand. Secondly, there is already some adverse sentiment which has set in.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Rakesh Sharma, Joint Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Demand for Chetak scooters is currently outstripping the existing supply chain capacity. A planned massive expansion in manufacturing capacity signals management&#8217;s confidence in long-term EV adoption and their intent to capture higher market share.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Yes, with Chetak we have not been able to fulfill the demand that has been there for one reason or the other. ... We are taking steps, there is some serious work going on to see how and where we should expand capacity in a quantum manner and once we are done with that exercise we&#8217;ll be happy to talk to you guys about it. But yes, we have now reached a position where we think a substantive increase in capacity in Chetak is needed.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Rakesh Sharma, Joint Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The strategic decision to lead with premium models in Brazil aims to build brand prestige before pursuing mass-market volumes. This high-margin approach should lead to better long-term profitability as the company expands its manufacturing footprint in South America.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Regarding Brazil, it has done quite well. At this point of time we are so small in Brazil, which is a very big opportunity as a very large country. We have taken a top-down approach; our approach has been to keep the brand forward rather than volume forward and the way it&#8217;s manifesting is that we have launched our highest-end models over there first.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Rakesh Sharma, Joint Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Structural changes in Indian mobility, such as increased inter-town commuting and road network expansion, are driving high demand for larger-format three-wheelers. This trend turns a traditionally slow segment into a major growth driver for the company&#8217;s commercial vehicle division.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;And I&#8217;ve been saying even though it&#8217;s a humble vehicle, I&#8217;ve been saying that we are sitting on the threshold of very large growth in three-wheelers. ... This is being driven by people now wanting to travel between towns even for work to escape the rental requirements. It is now very possible for a person to stay in their hometown and work in the neighboring town and take a shared three-wheeler to commute.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Rakesh Sharma, Joint Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company is executing a large-scale capital return through a massive buyback alongside substantial dividends. This aggressive payout policy reflects a high degree of confidence in the company&#8217;s internal cash generation and balance sheet strength.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Given that the buyback is now 5,600 crores, we will get started straight away with the process of seeking shareholder approval. And then this is essentially the process which will run now and likely culminate by the end of July with the SEBI filing. I would expect that payouts would essentially happen sometime in the second week of July, likely.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Dinesh Thapar, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company anticipates sharply inflationary commodity costs in Q1, with significant price increases across key metals and tight material availability.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Looking ahead to Q1, the commodity environment has moved to being sharply inflationary, almost hyper I would say, with the prospect of material availability on the aluminum alloys and polymers front also being very tight... To put that in some context, many of you would be aware from publicly disclosed numbers, steel is almost up 15%, copper 20%, while aluminum and noble metals are all up in the range from 35 to 45%.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Dinesh Thapar, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2 style="text-align: justify;"><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/M&amp;M/">Mahindra &amp; Mahindra | Large Cap | Auto &amp; Auto Components</a></h2><p style="text-align: justify;">Mahindra &amp; Mahindra is a leading Indian conglomerate with a dominant presence in the domestic utility vehicle, tractor, and commercial vehicle markets. The group also operates significant businesses in IT services, financial services, logistics, and real estate through its various subsidiaries and &#8216;growth gems.&#8217;</p><p style="text-align: justify;">[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/349-05-May-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p style="text-align: justify;">The group&#8217;s smaller and emerging businesses are contributing meaningfully to overall profit growth, helping Mahindra outperform despite slower growth in its core farm segment.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;If at some point in time I had mentioned to you that if auto profit growth is 33% and farm profit growth is 13% for the year, what number would you say for the Mahindra Group? I don&#8217;t think any of us would have said 35% at that point in time. But with auto at 33% and farm at 13%, the Mahindra Group is still at 35% for the year.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Dr. Anish Shah, Group CEO and MD, Mahindra &amp; Mahindra</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management highlighted that the group&#8217;s &#8216;growth gems&#8217; are scaling rapidly and are now becoming meaningful contributors to both earnings and valuation.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our growth gems collectively have increased profit by 50% year-over-year. These are not small numbers now. They have to be larger, so if you look at the average of 35% with auto at 33% and farm at 13%, others have to contribute in a meaningful way.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Dr. Anish Shah, Group CEO and MD, Mahindra &amp; Mahindra</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company is using uncertainty as an opportunity to expand aggressively while competitors remain cautious, supported by a strong cash position.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our theme is going to be &#8216;Accelerate in Uncertainty.&#8217; There is uncertainty, and we don&#8217;t expect that to go away. But we are best poised to take advantage of it with the talent we have, the foundation we&#8217;ve built, the strength of our businesses, and, of course, the cash that we have.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Dr. Anish Shah, Group CEO and MD, Mahindra &amp; Mahindra</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">M&amp;M is quantifying the direct financial impact of artificial intelligence across multiple businesses, with AI expected to contribute meaningfully to revenue and lending growth.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;For FY27, we are tracking a delivery of 4,100 crores in terms of revenue impact from AI. At Mahindra Finance, we expect to have 10,000 crores more in disbursements because of AI. This reduces fraud and enhances revenue.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Dr. Anish Shah, Group CEO and MD, Mahindra &amp; Mahindra</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management laid out aggressive long-term growth ambitions across automotive, finance, technology, and real estate businesses over the next five years.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Looking at the next 5 years, between FY20 and FY31, we expect Auto revenue to grow 8 times, Farm revenue 3 times, TechM revenue 1.5 to 2 times, and Mahindra Finance AUM 5 times. Residential pre-sales are expected up 14 times.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Dr. Anish Shah, Group CEO and MD, Mahindra &amp; Mahindra</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company is significantly expanding its SUV and EV manufacturing capacity alongside an aggressive new product pipeline.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We will hit 60,000 ICE and 22,000 EV capacity by the beginning of FY28. The Nagpur plant is on track to start in mid-2028. We are planning 10 new LCV launches and 10 new ICE SUVs plus 6 new BEVs by FY31.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Rajesh Jejurikar, ED and CEO of Auto and Farm, Mahindra &amp; Mahindra</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management indicated that demand remains stronger than production capacity in the SUV segment, reflecting strong pricing power and customer demand resilience.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Capacity is a bigger constraint than demand right now. Regarding fuel prices, our customers at the 12-15 lakh price point are less sensitive to small increments in monthly fuel costs.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Rajesh Jejurikar, ED and CEO of Auto and Farm, Mahindra &amp; Mahindra</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The Aerospace and Real Estate businesses are scaling rapidly and could become major long-term value creators for the group.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In Aerospace, we got a billion dollars of orders in the last 12 months. Our aspiration is to be among the top 5 aerostructures companies in the world. Real estate profit today is roughly 5 times the average of the last 10 years.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Dr. Anish Shah, Group CEO and MD, Mahindra &amp; Mahindra</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1 style="text-align: justify;">Real Estate</h1><h2 style="text-align: justify;"><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/ABREL/">Aditya Birla Real Estate Ltd. | Mid Cap | Real Estate</a></h2><p style="text-align: justify;">Aditya Birla Real Estate is the real estate arm of the Aditya Birla Group, operating primarily under the Birla Estates brand. The company develops premium residential and commercial projects across key Indian markets, including MMR, Bengaluru, NCR, and Pune.</p><p style="text-align: justify;">[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/29-07-May-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Management observes a divergence in the housing market where luxury homes are selling much better than affordable ones. This trend justifies the company&#8217;s strategic focus on high-end developments in major metro areas.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The real estate sector continues to benefit from these largely supportive conditions, strengthening the sector&#8217;s long-term growth trajectory. In terms of industry performance, residential demand remained stable in Q4 FY26. However, the premium and luxury segments continue to outperform, while affordable and mid-income demand softened.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; R. K. Dalmia, MD, Aditya Birla Real Estate Ltd.</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company is entering the Mumbai redevelopment market with a significant first project in a high-demand suburb. Success in this segment could provide a steady stream of high-value projects without the high cost of outright land purchases.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We announced our maiden redevelopment project in Khar with a GDV potential of Rs. 1,700 crores. Discussions with several more societies are progressing well, and we remain optimistic about concluding additional partnerships in the months ahead. This segment will further contribute to our growth going forward.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; R. K. Dalmia, MD, Aditya Birla Real Estate Ltd.</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">A major luxury project in Mumbai is facing potential delays due to the timing of regulatory approvals. Investors should monitor this timeline as the launch is a critical driver for the company&#8217;s near-term revenue goals.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Regarding the launch for Birla Niara Tower C, it is really touch and go. We are pursuing the approvals very hard. We are expecting launch in the first half or H1, but it is possible that by the time we launch, it may spill over to Q3.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; K. T. Jitendran, MD and CEO, Birla Estate</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company maintains a very liquid balance sheet with over 2,300 crores in cash and investments. This financial strength allows them to acquire prime land and fund construction without relying heavily on debt.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;For land acquisition, we have a very strong cash balance. Our operating cash flow is positive. We have almost 1,000 crores of mutual fund balances at a consolidated level and almost 1,300 crores of cash and RERA balances.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; K. U. Shah, CFO, Birla Estate</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The management has acknowledged that their long-term sales milestone of 15,000 crores might be delayed by a year. This transparency helps investors set more realistic expectations for the company&#8217;s growth scaling timeline.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Looking at the current trajectory, it is possible that the 15,000 crore target might slip from FY28 to FY29. We will try our level best, but a slip to FY29 is a definite possibility for the reasons you mentioned. Our attempt will be to continuously stack up our pipeline and deliver.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; K. T. Jitendran, MD and CEO, Birla Estate</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2 style="text-align: justify;"><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/RAYMOND/">Raymond Realty Ltd. | Mid Cap | Real Estate</a></h2><p style="text-align: justify;">Raymond Realty is the real estate development arm of the Raymond Group, focusing on premium residential and mixed-use projects across the Mumbai Metropolitan Region. The company leverages an asset-light model through Joint Development Agreements while developing its significant 100-acre legacy land bank in Thane.</p><p style="text-align: justify;">[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/59138-06-May-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p style="text-align: justify;">The company has successfully hit its diversification target early, reducing its reliance on a single micro-market in Thane. This transition to a more balanced portfolio across various Mumbai regions reduces geographic risk for investors.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The most strategic milestone for the last year was the structural shift in our portfolio mix. We had previously communicated a target of a 50-50 mix between our own land in Thane and new JDAs by FY27. I am very happy to report that we have achieved this milestone one year ahead of schedule in FY26.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Harmohan Sahni, MD and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company&#8217;s expansion into Joint Development Agreements has created a significant revenue runway without requiring heavy upfront capital for land. This strategy allows for rapid scaling and presence in high-value markets like Bandra and Kandivali.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our JDA portfolio now comprises 7 projects with a combined revenue potential of approximately 17,000 crores based on current prices. This includes our most recent addition in Kandivali added in FY26. Our execution engine has been firing on all cylinders across the MMR.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Harmohan Sahni, MD and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">While initial reporting for new projects shows lower margins, the company maintains a strict 20% internal threshold for all new contracts. This suggests that the current blended margins are a factor of accounting timing rather than poor project economics.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;When we launch a project, the initial EBITDA margin is low. However, when we contract a deal, we do not look at anything less than a 20% margin. It may start in single digits for the first 6 months and then creep up.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Harmohan Sahni, MD and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company is prioritizing rapid growth and project acquisition over immediate cash retention, leading to expected negative cash flow in the near term. Investors should view this as a strategic investment into scaling the business for future earnings.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;For the next 2 years, we will likely be cash negative on an overall basis as we reinvest internal accruals to grow our portfolio. Growth has a price, and cash flow is that price, but you get it back through P&amp;L and balance sheet growth.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Harmohan Sahni, MD and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Despite high growth and significant project launches, the company is maintaining a conservative debt profile relative to its equity. Staying well below the 1:1 internal ceiling provides a safety buffer against market downturns.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We ended FY26 at 0.6 debt-to-equity. We have an internal discipline not to exceed 1:1, and we will stay within that.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Harmohan Sahni, MD and CEO</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1 style="text-align: justify;">Energy</h1><h2 style="text-align: justify;"><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/ADANIPOWER/">Adani Power | Large Cap | Energy</a></h2><p style="text-align: justify;">Adani Power Limited (APL) is India&#8217;s largest private sector thermal power producer, operating across multiple states. The company focuses on leveraging technology and innovation to make India a power-surplus nation, ensuring the supply of quality and affordable electricity nationwide.</p><p style="text-align: justify;">[<a href="https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachLive/b911cbe7-0c95-4b62-abd1-39d097e31fb5.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Adani Power has secured revenue visibility by tying up 95% of its operating capacity under long-term and medium-term PPAs, mitigating market volatility risks.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Furthermore, we have ensured revenue visibility for our current operations with 95% of our operating capacity now tied up under long-term and medium-term PPA. This strategy provides stability and derisks our business from short-term market volatility.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; S. B. Khyalia, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Adani Power is expanding its focus internationally into thermal, hydro, and transmission sectors, including a new 570 MW hydropower plant SPV in Bhutan.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are expanding our area of focus beyond the Indian territory. We will evaluate internal projects in thermal, hydro, and transmission sectors and invest in attractive opportunities that qualify. We have recently incorporated an SPV in Bhutan setting up a 570-megawatt hydro power plant.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; S. B. Khyalia, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company is strategically positioning itself for future growth by exploring nuclear power projects in India, including site identification and necessary approvals.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are also aligning ourselves to the emerging long-term opportunities in the power sector, such as nuclear power. We have incorporated several SPVs in India for investment in nuclear power projects. We are identifying sites for these projects and seeking necessary approvals.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; S. B. Khyalia, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Outstanding payments from Bangladesh have decreased with regular collections, and an expert has been appointed to resolve the dispute regarding the undisputed amount.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;As regards to collection is concerned, the outstanding has gone down. And therefore, we are getting regular payments from the Bangladesh. As regards to the other issue probably which you are asking or seeking details about the undisputed amount and its regulation process. So as a part of the process, we have appointed an expert who is going to hear both the parties soon.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; S. B. Khyalia, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Adani Power is not facing domestic coal shortages, and while imported coal prices are impacted by geopolitical issues, the pass-through mechanism mitigates financial impact.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;So far, there is no coal shortage that we are facing, since the domestic coal supply is not directly impacted by the geopolitical issue and the production of coal in India is sufficient. So, we are not really having any issue as far as domestic coal availability is concerned. As far as imported coal is concerned, there is some impact on the price because of increase in bunker fuel, et cetera. The shipping cost has gone slightly high, but since it is passed through, we will not get impacted by that.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; S. B. Khyalia, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">There are significant PPA opportunities in the market, with approximately 13 GW of bids and an additional 4 GW recently issued by Gujarat.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Upcoming PPAs in the market, we have almost 13 gigawatt. Particularly, it is from Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, Uttarakhand, West Bengal, and Gujarat. There are PPA bids in the market for 13.8 gigawatt Further, Gujarat has also issued the latest bidding document of another 4,000 megawatts.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Dilip Jha, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company expects merchant power prices to decline with increasing renewable energy penetration, leading to a strategy of securing more long-term PPAs to mitigate this risk.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;But we feel, we are of the view that when more and more renewables will get added, the prices of merchant are bound to go down. So that is the risk which we are trying to mitigate by signing long-term PPAs more and more. So, risk is visible.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; S. B. Khyalia, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Adani Power aims to achieve INR50,000 crore in EBITDA conservatively by FY 2031, potentially even by 2030 if current plans are executed without unforeseen challenges.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;So, Bharat Bhai, we should be in a position to achieve INR50,000 crore conservatively by FY 2031. If what we have planned today, if we could achieve that and let&#8217;s say, no issues arise during this period related to like what presently we have et cetera. In that case, we can touch this even in 2030.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; S. B. Khyalia, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company sees significant long-term strategic opportunities in India&#8217;s nuclear energy sector, aligned with the country&#8217;s ambitious target to expand nuclear capacity from 9 GW to 100 GW.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;But strategically, if you see as a country target for nuclear energy going from 9 gigawatt to 100-gigawatt addition is there. So maybe we will have a huge opportunity of the area or the global scenario also, the things are in place, opportunity in the market.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Dilip Jha, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1 style="text-align: justify;">Healthcare</h1><h2 style="text-align: justify;"><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/LALPATHLAB/">Dr. Lal PathLabs | Small Cap | Healthcare</a></h2><p style="text-align: justify;">Dr. Lal Pathlabs Limited is a leading provider of diagnostic and healthcare services in India. The company operates a vast network across the country, offering a wide range of tests for patient diagnosis, disease prevention, monitoring, and treatment. They cater to individual patients, hospitals, healthcare providers, and corporate clients.</p><p style="text-align: justify;">[<a href="https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachLive/e9fbf8bd-fd52-4d89-813a-1d42d3c15af6.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p style="text-align: justify;">The Middle East war has not yet impacted raw material costs or availability due to existing inventory and long-term contracts, but potential supply chain impacts could arise if the conflict persists beyond 3-4 months.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Bino, as of now, no, because we are, obviously, we have ample sufficient inventory for the next 3 - 4 months, and we have long - term contracts as well. Having said that, I cannot comment, I mean, what happens after 3 - 4 months. If this war continues, obviously, there will be some impact on our supply chain. I mean, because we import most of our reagents and consumables also, there are linkages with oil and all that stuff. But as of now, we are able to maintain. But yes, in the future, I do not have visibility right now.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ved Prakash Goel, Group CFO and CEO, International Business</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The incorporation of a Dubai subsidiary is part of a 3-5 year international expansion strategy, aiming for on-ground operations in new geographies, including the Middle East, beyond existing presence in Nepal and Bangladesh.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;As I mentioned on the last call as well that we are making inroad to our international expansion. It is not something immediate, but over a period of, let us suppose, next 3 - 5 years, we are looking to expand a few of the geographies. Right now, we have an on ground presence in Nepal and Bangladesh. But we are looking at some of the new geography on ground operations, including the Middle East. This incorporation is in line with that expansion plan.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ved Prakash Goel, Group CFO and CEO, International Business</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Delhi NCR&#8217;s sustained double-digit growth is attributed to strong brand equity, channel activation, improved service levels, added testing locations to enhance turnaround time, and a focus on specialized portfolios.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I think, firstly, on Delhi NCR, I think it has a lot to do with maybe all the things that you said because we have got a very strong brand equity and presence. We have just tried to activate all our channels, including our own infrastructure, our partners as well as improved our service levels. I think I had mentioned in one of the previous calls, we have also added a few testing locations in Delhi NCR to improve the turnaround time. And a lot of work is happening on the specialized portfolio as well. It is an all - around effort, which is carrying on. And then we are seeing results and that is how Delhi NCR growth at double digits is getting sustained.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Shankha Banerjee, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Despite 39% of revenue from Tier 3+ geographies, the realization per patient is not dilutive because the company employs a cluster-based pricing strategy, maintaining consistent prices within regions.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I think this is a discussion we have been pondering in the last quite a few of these calls and you see close to 39% of our revenues is now coming from Tier 3 plus geographies, and we have a realization, which is in front of you. So obviously, it cannot be dilutive and I think I have tried to explain it in the past as well. The way we run our pricing is actually in clusters. So it is not as if I move from a city like Lucknow to, let us say, a city or a town, which is smaller nearby, the pricing is going to change. The pricing in that cluster is actually the same.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Shankha Banerjee, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1 style="text-align: justify;">Metal</h1><h2 style="text-align: justify;"><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/BSE/LLOYDSME/">Lloyds Metals &amp; Energy Ltd | Mid Cap | Iron &amp; Steel</a></h2><p style="text-align: justify;">Lloyds Metals &amp; Energy is a major Indian iron ore mining and sponge iron manufacturing company. It is currently executing a large-scale vertical integration strategy to become an integrated steel producer while diversifying into copper and cobalt mining.</p><p style="text-align: justify;">[<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2fCW-ivSDIw">Reference</a>]</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Management is seeing strong demand traction in both steel and iron ore markets, while guiding for a sharp increase in iron ore and pellet sales in FY27.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Price inflation is there. In fact, the market is very, very steady upward. There&#8217;s a very good demand traction both in steel and therefore in iron. The projection for this year is around 27 million tons of sales around 7 and a half million tons to 8 million tons of pellet sales.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Rajesh Gupta, MD, Lloyds Metals &amp; Energy Ltd.</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company expects its steel plant to be commissioned by the end of the year, marking a major transition toward becoming a fully integrated steel producer.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;And to add to that, we will be having around 800,000 tons of DR sales as well as around 150,000 tons of steel sales. It will be commissioned by the end of this year.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Rajesh Gupta, MD, Lloyds Metals &amp; Energy Ltd.</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management highlighted that copper and cobalt assets could become meaningful long-term contributors as production scales up over the coming years.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;That&#8217;s right. Yes that&#8217;s right. We anticipate around 10,000 tons this year from the sura assets. And around which will be ramped up to 30,000 tons ultimately.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Rajesh Gupta, MD, Lloyds Metals &amp; Energy Ltd.</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company plans to continue aggressive expansion through large-scale capex while maintaining relatively controlled debt levels.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We invested 8,000 crores this year FY26 and this year should be around 12,000 crores. Last 3 years we have invested around 30,500 crores. Our net debt is only 4,000 crores even now.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Rajesh Gupta, MD, Lloyds Metals &amp; Energy Ltd.</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management hinted at a potential future IPO for its mining and infrastructure business to unlock valuation upside.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Being a more steady business we think that the valuation should be given a better multiple and at some point of time we would go in for an IPO. The detailing is yet being done and is on the drawing board but that&#8217;s not off the cards.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Rajesh Gupta, MD, Lloyds Metals &amp; Energy Ltd.</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1 style="text-align: justify;">Engineering &amp; Capital Goods</h1><h2 style="text-align: justify;"><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/BHARATFORG/">Bharat Forge | Large Cap | Auto &amp; Defence</a></h2><p style="text-align: justify;">Bharat Forge is a global manufacturing and engineering company with leadership across automotive forgings, industrial components, defence, and aerospace systems. While strong demand in North American trucks, defence, and data centre-linked exports is driving aggressive FY27 growth guidance, the bigger shift appears to be the company&#8217;s push toward high-technology manufacturing beyond traditional automotive markets.</p><p style="text-align: justify;">[<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=22joqUmRCE4">Reference</a>]</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Management is projecting strong growth across both automotive and defence businesses, indicating robust demand visibility across core segments.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I think the automotive segment, including the industrial segment, we are likely to see a growth of almost 25% plus. Including the industrial side of the growth and the defence business, we are likely to see a growth of about 50%.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Baba Kalyani, Chairman &amp; Managing Director, Bharat Forge</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company is seeing strong demand from the US truck market and rapidly growing opportunities linked to data centre infrastructure.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;As far as the automotive and industrial business is concerned, there&#8217;s a strong growth in the US truck market. That&#8217;s one part. Second, there&#8217;s a strong growth in the data centre business, especially for people who supply standby power equipment to data centres.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Baba Kalyani, Chairman &amp; Managing Director, Bharat Forge</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Bharat Forge believes raw material inflation will not materially impact margins due to pass-through arrangements, while technology initiatives are helping reduce operational costs.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;As far as raw materials are concerned, it&#8217;s a direct pass through, so it&#8217;s not a problem for us, and our customers understand it. Using a lot of technology, including AI and digital technology, we are reducing our cost quite substantially.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Baba Kalyani, Chairman &amp; Managing Director, Bharat Forge</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management is targeting meaningful cost reductions through AI and digital technologies, particularly in defence product development.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are targeting by next year at least a 5 to 7% cost reduction. We are using a lot of AI and digital technologies to design our new product, especially in the defence sector.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Baba Kalyani, Chairman &amp; Managing Director, Bharat Forge</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The use of AI in product development is sharply reducing the time required to design and launch defence products, improving speed-to-market.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are using a lot of AI and digital technologies to design our new product, especially in the defence sector. What normally would take two to three years to make, we are able to make it in less than one year.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Baba Kalyani, Chairman &amp; Managing Director, Bharat Forge</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management is actively exploring expansion opportunities in defence and aerospace while also building internal explosives manufacturing capabilities.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are looking at inorganic growth largely in the defence and aerospace sector going forward. We are setting up our own explosives facility.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Baba Kalyani, Chairman &amp; Managing Director, Bharat Forge</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company expects a new technology-led export business to become a meaningful contributor by FY27, reducing dependence on traditional automotive markets.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Going forward for FY27, it&#8217;ll be roughly close to 100 million dollars in terms of exports of components to these companies, which we were not doing before, and I think this will only keep going up. We are trying to build a large technology-based component business going forward.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Baba Kalyani, Chairman &amp; Managing Director, Bharat Forge</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management emphasised that Bharat Forge is consciously diversifying beyond automotive into higher-technology manufacturing segments.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We don&#8217;t want to be dependent only on the automotive market, although that&#8217;s a big market for us.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Baba Kalyani, Chairman &amp; Managing Director, Bharat Forge</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2 style="text-align: justify;"><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/LT/">Larsen &amp; Toubro Limited | Large Cap | Engineering &amp; Construction</a></h2><p style="text-align: justify;">Larsen &amp; Toubro is a leading Indian multinational engaged in technology, engineering, construction, manufacturing, and financial services. The company executes large-scale turnkey EPC projects and high-tech manufacturing across global markets, particularly in India and the Middle East.</p><p style="text-align: justify;">[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/348-05-May-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p style="text-align: justify;">The company maintains a massive 3 trillion rupee order book in the Middle East despite ongoing regional geopolitical tensions. This concentration highlights both the company&#8217;s dependency on the region for growth and its proactive management of supply chain risks.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;On the Middle East situation, we would like to clarify that all our project sites are functioning as of today. All our employees and workforce are safe and none of our projects have been cancelled. The Middle East remains a strategically significant market for Larsen &amp; Toubro, and as of March 31, 2026, we have an order book of almost 3 trillion coming from the region. While we do anticipate some near-term impact on execution, primarily due to supply chain constraints, we are working closely with our clients on alternate routes and logistic arrangements to ensure minimal disruption.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; P. Ramakrishnan, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Project award deferments in the Middle East are subsiding as bidding resumes, and L&amp;T is actively negotiating with clients to mitigate the material increases in logistics and insurance costs.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;While we did observe some deferments in project awards during the period when the conflict was most active, the bidding activity since then has resumed and we do not foresee cancellations of projects in which we are actively participating. In terms of input costs, the most significant impact has been in logistics and insurance, which have increased materially. We engage in active discussions with the clients to seek appropriate relief for such costs.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; P. Ramakrishnan, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">High costs from finishing older projects dragged down margins in the energy division during the final quarter. Management anticipates a recovery in profitability as the portfolio shifts toward newer, more favorably priced contracts.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The energy segment margin in Q4 FY26 is at 6.5% as compared to 8.2% in Q4 of the previous year. Cost overruns and close-out costs in legacy projects impacted the segment margin. As mentioned in the previous quarter, we expect the margin to improve in this segment after a couple of quarters.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; P. Ramakrishnan, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">L&amp;T is aggressively scaling its real estate business, which saw pre-sales double over the past year. The structural consolidation suggests the company is preparing this segment for a potential future value-unlocking event or independent listing.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In parallel, the Realty business has also more than doubled its pre-sales to 94 billion in FY26, aided by successful launches in Noida and Panvel. The primary focus of the Realty business was to create a simplified and scalable structure through consolidation of all the group real estate undertakings under a single platform.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; P. Ramakrishnan, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company is committing substantial capital to future-tech sectors like green hydrogen and semiconductors to diversify its long-term revenue streams. While these investments are large, they signal a shift toward becoming a technology-led industrial conglomerate.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Within new businesses over the plan period, we envisage a capital outlay of approximately 50 billion toward industrial electronics, 30 billion into the semiconductor business largely for proprietary IPs, 150 billion in green hydrogen, and around 100 billion toward the data center business. The pace and scale of data center investments may change depending on final partnership structures.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; P. Ramakrishnan, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">L&amp;T is actively managing supply chain risks and increased logistics costs by seeking customer agreement for reimbursements, otherwise slowing project progress, as alternative routes and declining costs offer some relief.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The biggest risk is the supply chain, but it is continuously getting better. There are more movements now between the GCC countries and some alternate routes have opened up. Of course, the cost is high, so we are taking a very measured approach. If the customer agrees to the increased logistics cost to keep the project progressing, then we proceed. If not, we find other ways and we are carefully calibrating that. We are not going ahead and incurring the cost unless the customer is ready to reimburse; otherwise, we are slowing down and will move the material when the cost comes down.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; P. Ramakrishnan, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">L&amp;T is shifting toward a modular manufacturing model to reduce the complexity and risk of working at overseas sites. This strategy allows them to bid for global projects while keeping high-value engineering and fabrication within their controlled facilities.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We will try to reduce site intensity, becoming geography agnostic by manufacturing items in our fabrication shops in India and the Middle East and shipping them globally. For example, we handled an EPC contract for a urea plant in Australia where most parts were modularly fabricated in our Kattupalli yard and shipped, with only commissioning work done locally.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; P. Ramakrishnan, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management believes the period of margin pressure from old, low-margin energy contracts is finally coming to an end. The conclusion of these &#8216;legacy&#8217; jobs should lead to visible margin expansion in the energy segment in the coming quarters.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have had legacy projects at terminal stages of completion. Most of these are nearly finished or in the handover phase, with only the defects liability period remaining. We believe those projects are concluded and we should not see further cost creeps.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; P. Ramakrishnan, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">L&amp;T is targeting the high-computing data center market by developing AI-enabled facilities for global hyperscalers and quantum computing clients, aiming for 200 MW capacity, rather than just traditional real estate development.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;There are two distinct business models for data centers. One is developing real estate and collecting yields based on tenancy, which we are not excited about. We want our data centers to be AI-enabled, with servers and GPUs to enable high computing. Global hyperscalers and quantum computing organizations would be our clients. The current thinking is to create 200 MW of data center capacity over time.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; P. Ramakrishnan, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Despite the focus on diversification, L&amp;T remains heavily reliant on the Middle East to meet its double-digit growth targets. This region is expected to remain a primary driver of the company&#8217;s order book for the foreseeable future.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;International orders should continue to contribute around 50% of the total. Middle East will continue to be our core market. We cannot provide that level of growth without the Middle East. We are very optimistic about that region.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; P. Ramakrishnan, CFO</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2 style="text-align: justify;"><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/POLYCAB/">Polycab India Limited | Large Cap | Electrical Equipment</a></h2><p style="text-align: justify;">Polycab India is the largest manufacturer of wires and cables in India with a growing presence in the fast-moving electrical goods sector. The company operates an extensive distribution network across India and exports products to over 90 countries globally.</p><p style="text-align: justify;">[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/5794-06-May-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Management is moving forward with a massive investment plan to expand manufacturing capacity while maintaining a very strong cash position. This suggests the company is well-prepared to fund its own growth without needing to take on significant debt.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We remain on track to execute our planned capex program of 60 billion to 80 billion rupees over the next five years, which will further enhance our capabilities, scale, and innovation. We have also strengthened our balance sheet with net cash increasing to 41.9 billion rupees, reflecting disciplined cash flow management.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Shashank Jagani, Head of Strategy and Investor Relations</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The vast majority of the company&#8217;s investment budget is being funneled back into its core cable business. This focused spending plan aims to cement their market leadership while keeping small portions for developing their consumer goods division.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Regarding capex focus areas in FY27, per Project Spring guidance, around 90% will go into cable and wire capacity expansion alone. About 5% will go into backward integration and another 3-4% may go into FMEG expansion.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Shashank Jagani, Head of Strategy and Investor Relations</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company is rebuilding its sales infrastructure in the U.S. to boost international sales and diversify its revenue away from the domestic market. Investors should watch for increased export contributions to help stabilize earnings during local slowdowns.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Additionally, we have reestablished our distribution network in the United States, which we believe will enhance our reach and further strengthen our export business over time. EBITDA margin for the wires and cable business stood at 13.1%.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Shashank Jagani, Head of Strategy and Investor Relations</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company sees a wide range of industrial and high-tech sectors driving long-term demand for its core products. This broad demand base reduces the risk of being overly dependent on any single industry for growth.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Sectors like utilities, metals, semiconductors, oil and gas, manufacturing, logistics; all of this is going to convert into strong demand for cable and wires. Also, there are new demand pockets which are yet to fully unfold or we are yet to fully exploit the opportunity there. Areas like defense and data centers are yet to pick up in a big way.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Shashank Jagani, Head of Strategy and Investor Relations</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The solar products business achieved two-fold year-on-year growth, becoming the largest category in the FMEG portfolio, driven by structural tailwinds.</p><p style="text-align: justify;"><em>Polycab&#8217;s solar business provides integrated rooftop and distributed solar solutions &#8212; including solar cables, inverters, PV modules, and balance-of-system components &#8212; leveraging its electrical distribution ecosystem.</em></p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our solar products business was a standout performer, delivering two-fold year-on-year growth and emerging as the largest category within the FMEG portfolio.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Shashank Jagani, Head of Strategy and Investor Relations</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Polycab is currently using about three-quarters of its available manufacturing space while simultaneously building more. This strategy ensures they have the physical capacity to meet sudden jumps in demand without losing orders to competitors.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In terms of capacity utilization, on a full-year basis, we were at mid-70s, around 75%. There is room for growth there, plus we are adding capacity. Looking at our capex guidance, we have already pumped 1,500 crore in this financial year, which will add to our capacity.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Shashank Jagani, Head of Strategy and Investor Relations</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company is entering the extra-high-voltage cable market, which is a specialized segment currently reliant on imports. Successfully launching this capacity will allow Polycab to compete for high-value infrastructure projects and improve margins.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;EHV is very much on track. Capacity is expected to come on stream by the end of this calendar year. In FY28, we can see some addition in revenue from EHV because it is a tender-based business and we see a ready market. About 50% of domestic consumption today is coming from imports.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Shashank Jagani, Head of Strategy and Investor Relations</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Polycab protects itself from supply shortages and cost spikes by manufacturing many of its own raw material compounds. This vertical integration provides a major competitive edge in cost control and supply chain reliability.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We completely pass on all raw material prices, be it aluminum, copper, or PVC. There has been no challenge. Regarding the availability of XLPE and other compounds, thanks to our backward integration, we typically purchase only raw resins and do compounding in-house.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Shashank Jagani, Head of Strategy and Investor Relations</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company was able to quickly adjust its sales prices to match the rising cost of metals like copper and aluminum. This speed in adjusting prices is crucial for maintaining stable profit margins when commodity markets are volatile.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In the very first fortnight of January, we were able to pass on everything, so we were completely in tandem with the raw material price throughout the quarter. There is nothing we are withholding; we have completely passed it on.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Shashank Jagani, Head of Strategy and Investor Relations</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">High raw material prices, like PVC increasing 60-80% in early March, and geopolitical conflict negatively impacted distributor lifting and primary sales, reflecting broader industry sentiment.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our business model is such that 90% of our business happens through channels. The trade sentiment itself, with all the raw material prices going up &#8212; even PVC prices went up by 60% to 80% in the first fortnight of March &#8212; plus the sentiment from the West Asia conflict, there was definitely some impact in terms of lifting from our distributors.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Shashank Jagani, Head of Strategy and Investor Relations</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2>Kyle Chan on China&#8217;s industrial power and entrepreneurship</h2><p>If you&#8217;ve been tuning in lately, you&#8217;d know we&#8217;re hosting a lot more podcasts with experts we admire and read.</p><p>We recently spoke to Kyle Chan, one of the sharpest minds we read to understand China - we&#8217;ve often featured his insights on The Daily Brief. Our conversation dives deep into the dynamics that shape China&#8217;s manufacturing landscape. It goes into the nature of Chinese entrepreneurship, how China&#8217;s price wars affect innovation (and vice versa), why China&#8217;s policies are far less all-knowing than people assume, and how China wields its manufacturing prowess as a geopolitical power. Do give it a listen!</p><div id="youtube2-jjk-7RRKiE0" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;jjk-7RRKiE0&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/jjk-7RRKiE0?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><div><hr></div><p>That&#8217;s it for now! Your feedback will really help shape how The Chatter evolves. Drop it down in the comments below!</p><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://thechatterbyzerodha.substack.com/p/the-chatter-underneath-the-noise?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share&amp;token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjozMDExNzg5MTMsInBvc3RfaWQiOjE3MjY2NDQxNiwiaWF0IjoxNzU3NTk4NjQzLCJleHAiOjE3NjAxOTA2NDMsImlzcyI6InB1Yi00ODk4NzYwIiwic3ViIjoicG9zdC1yZWFjdGlvbiJ9.TFcDJv32XGvO0oFacHaCKP014RVVZ1pAYaVdcBrgrfE&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Share&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:&quot;button-wrapper&quot;}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary button-wrapper" href="https://thechatterbyzerodha.substack.com/p/the-chatter-underneath-the-noise?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share&amp;token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjozMDExNzg5MTMsInBvc3RfaWQiOjE3MjY2NDQxNiwiaWF0IjoxNzU3NTk4NjQzLCJleHAiOjE3NjAxOTA2NDMsImlzcyI6InB1Yi00ODk4NzYwIiwic3ViIjoicG9zdC1yZWFjdGlvbiJ9.TFcDJv32XGvO0oFacHaCKP014RVVZ1pAYaVdcBrgrfE"><span>Share</span></a></p><p>Quotes in this newsletter were curated by Meher, Shahid, Srusti &amp; Kashish.</p><p>Disclaimer: We&#8217;ve used AI tools in filtering and cleaning up these quotes so there maybe some mistakes. Now, if you are thinking why we are using AI, please remember that we are just a small team of 5 people running everything you see on Zerodha Markets &#128556; So, all the good stuff is human and mistakes are AI.</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>We&#8217;re now on <a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/marketsbyzerodha/">Reddit</a>!</strong></h2><p>We love engaging with the perspectives of readers like you. So we asked ourselves - why not make a proper free-for-all forum where people can engage with us and each other? And what&#8217;s a better, nerdier place to do that than Reddit?</p><p>So, do join us on the subreddit, chat all things markets and finance, tell us what you like about our content and where we can improve! Here&#8217;s the <a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/marketsbyzerodha/">link</a> &#8212; alternatively, you can search r/marketsbyzerodha on Reddit.</p><p>See you there!</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Chatter: Reliance, Infosys, VBL, Hind Zinc & More]]></title><description><![CDATA[Q4FY26 | Edition #57]]></description><link>https://thechatter.zerodha.com/p/the-chatter-reliance-infosys-vbl</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://thechatter.zerodha.com/p/the-chatter-reliance-infosys-vbl</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Zerodha]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sat, 02 May 2026 04:31:06 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9S1F!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F73318664-5af8-42d3-9e49-3c115053f88c_2400x1350.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" 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srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9S1F!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F73318664-5af8-42d3-9e49-3c115053f88c_2400x1350.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9S1F!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F73318664-5af8-42d3-9e49-3c115053f88c_2400x1350.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9S1F!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F73318664-5af8-42d3-9e49-3c115053f88c_2400x1350.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9S1F!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F73318664-5af8-42d3-9e49-3c115053f88c_2400x1350.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Welcome to the <strong>57th edition</strong> of The Chatter &#8212; a weekly newsletter where we dig through what India&#8217;s biggest companies are saying and bring you the most interesting bits of insight, whether about the business, its sector, or the wider economy. We read every major Indian earnings call and listen to the interviews so you don&#8217;t have to.</p><p>We&#8217;re always eager to improve&#8212;please share your ideas on how else we can innovate &#8220;The Chatter&#8221; format to better serve your needs.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2" target="_blank" href="https://www.tijoristack.ai/concall-monitor/?utm_source=zerodha&amp;utm_campaign=z_marketing" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png" width="1456" height="364" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:364,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:306481,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:&quot;https://www.tijoristack.ai/concall-monitor/?utm_source=zerodha&amp;utm_campaign=z_marketing&quot;,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://thechatter.zerodha.com/i/193793492?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Check out <a href="https://www.tijoristack.ai/concall-monitor/?utm_source=zerodha&amp;utm_campaign=z_marketing">Concall Monitor</a></figcaption></figure></div><p>In this edition, we have covered <strong>12 companies across 8 industries.</strong></p><div><hr></div><h1>Energy</h1><ul><li><p>Reliance Industries</p></li></ul><h1>FMCG</h1><ul><li><p>Varun Beverages Limited</p></li></ul><h1>Tourism &amp; Hospitality</h1><ul><li><p>Mahindra Holidays &amp; Resorts India Limited</p></li></ul><h1>Software Services</h1><ul><li><p>Infosys Limited</p></li></ul><h1>Healthcare</h1><ul><li><p>Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd.</p></li></ul><h1>Financial Services</h1><ul><li><p>Piramal Finance Ltd</p></li><li><p>Bandhan Bank</p></li><li><p>Tata Capital</p></li><li><p>Bajaj Finance</p></li></ul><h1>Metals</h1><ul><li><p>Motherson Sumi Wiring India</p></li><li><p>Hind Zinc</p></li></ul><h1>Real Estate</h1><ul><li><p>Mindspace Business</p></li></ul><div><hr></div><h1>Energy</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/RELIANCE/">Reliance Industries | Large Cap | Energy</a></h2><p>Reliance Industries is India&#8217;s largest private sector company with diverse operations in hydrocarbons, refining, petrochemicals, renewables, retail, and digital services. It leads in managing a fully integrated Oil-to-Chemicals portfolio and emphasizes inclusive growth by partnering with various stakeholders.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.ril.com/sites/default/files/2026-04/24042026_RIL_Media_Analyst_Call_Transcript_Q4_FY2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>Revenue per user is naturally rising by about 5% annually as customers upgrade to better data plans on their own. This organic growth provides a steady revenue lift even in periods where the company does not officially raise its phone plan prices.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;So, you should expect some increase in the ARPU even without any tariff increases and we spoke about this 4% to 5% kind of number that we have been observing over the last few quarters.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Anshuman Thakur, Head of Strategy, Reliance Jio Infocomm Limited</em></p></blockquote><p>Retail profit margins have been slightly pressured because fast home delivery services cost more to operate than traditional in-store shopping. However, management believes this is necessary to capture a larger share of total consumer spending.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Now, that is obviously reflected in the margins also. If you have looked at my margins, they have come down a bit because my hyper local deliveries are growing pretty rapidly. Internally, we look at the big box growth from the same box how much I am able to deliver.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Dinesh Taluja, CFO &amp; Corporate Development, Reliance Retail</em></p></blockquote><p>Reliance&#8217;s refineries are specifically designed to process heavy, complex crude oils that are often cheaper than standard light oils. The availability of heavy Venezuelan crude allows the company to lower its raw material costs and improve its refining spreads.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;So Venezuelan crude typically tends to be very heavy. It is a very heavy oil, and US of course is lighter crude. Canadian is heavy. That is actually a positive for us.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Srinivas Tuttagunta, COO &#8211; Refining &amp; Marketing, Reliance Industries Limited</em></p></blockquote><p>Reliance is aggressively expanding its battery manufacturing capacity to become a global leader outside of China. This large-scale investment positions the company to capture the growing demand for energy storage and electric vehicle batteries.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;On the battery as again, I had mentioned last time that we are now scaling the capacity to 100 gigawatt hours, where the equipment, the production line, equipment orders have already been placed. That effectively makes us one of the largest non-China LFP manufacturer globally.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Karan Suri, Senior Vice President - New Energy, Reliance Industries Limited</em></p></blockquote><p>The signing of a massive green ammonia contract with a major global partner validates the commercial potential of Reliance&#8217;s new energy business. This move provides a clear path for future revenue as the company transitions toward sustainable fuels.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We had a very significant event in the last quarter where we have signed probably one of the world&#8217;s largest green ammonia supply contract with Samsung C&amp;T. This effectively demonstrates the confidence that the off-takers have in our integrated green energy and green chemicals ecosystem.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Karan Suri, Senior Vice President - New Energy, Reliance Industries Limited</em></p></blockquote><p>While high naphtha prices are hurting many Asian chemical producers, Reliance is insulated because most of its raw materials come from other sources like ethane. This structural advantage allows the company to maintain profitability even when global oil prices are highly volatile.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;And of course as I have said earlier, also in these meetings, our feedstock is roughly about 75% of the line comes from non-naphtha sources. So, this situation was pretty good to be situation for us.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amit Chaturvedi, President &#8211; Petrochemicals, Reliance Industries Limited</em></p></blockquote><p>Reliance Retail has reached the 1,000 large-format store mark at a speed that surpasses any other retailer in global history. This rapid scaling demonstrates the company&#8217;s aggressive strategy to dominate India&#8217;s organized grocery and supermarket sector.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In our understanding, this is the fastest ever roll out any retailer globally has reached to the milestone of 1000 big box stores. The growth is quite broad-based across categories.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Dinesh Taluja, CFO &amp; Corporate Development, Reliance Retail</em></p></blockquote><p>Individual data usage on the Jio network has reached exceptionally high levels and is projected to keep climbing as AI applications become more common. Higher data consumption typically supports long-term revenue growth and justifies the massive investments made in 5G infrastructure.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Per capita data consumption increased to 42.3 GB per month, and this continues to see very healthy growth. And we are expecting this to keep growing like this with more use cases coming in now within AI-enabled use cases.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Anshuman Thakur, Head of Strategy, Reliance Jio Infocomm Limited</em></p></blockquote><p>Management contrasted the strong macro setup through most of the year with the sudden disruption in March driven by energy markets. This sets the tone for how external shocks impacted performance.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The first 11 months seemed fairly robust&#8230; domestic activity was fairly strong, consumption tailwinds were decent&#8230; energy prices were range bound. And then you go into March&#8230; almost doubling of prices&#8230; the concern for everybody is the supply shock and its impact on industry and consumer confidence&#8230; rupee depreciation is also an area of concern.</em></p><p><em>&#8212; V Srikanth, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>Despite a reported decline, management emphasized that the operating environment was extremely challenging and numbers understate the disruption.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Oil-to-Chemicals down 4%&#8230; but that number does not capture how difficult the environment was&#8230; physical inability to get crude, logistics cost, insurance cost, volatility&#8230; and under recoveries on fuel retailing&#8230; I am very happy with the quality of performance.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; V Srikanth, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>Rising data usage continues to be a structural tailwind for telecom monetization.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Total data traffic increased to 241 exabytes for the year&#8230; around 66 exabytes for this quarter&#8230; that is 31% increase year-on-year&#8230; per capita data consumption continues to grow.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Anshuman Thakur, Head of Strategy, Jio Platforms</em></p></blockquote><p>Jio is embedding AI across its network stack, which could improve efficiency and customer experience.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;AI-first network&#8230; we have been implementing intelligence, AI automations, energy optimization&#8230; we should see good results coming out of these in the next few quarters.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Anshuman Thakur</em></p></blockquote><p>Retail continues to scale strongly, though profitability is impacted by investments in quick commerce.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We had the highest ever revenues of Rs.98,000 Crores&#8230; EBITDA at Rs.6,900 Crores&#8230; EBITDA margin at 7.9%&#8230; hyperlocal commerce continues to grow steadily.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Dinesh Taluja, CFO, Reliance Retail</em></p></blockquote><p>Quick commerce is seeing exponential growth and driving transaction volumes.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We had a 30% growth in average daily orders quarter-on-quarter and 300% growth year-on-year&#8230; transactions grew 39% for the full year.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Dinesh Taluja</em></p></blockquote><p>Reliance is positioning its retail model differently from pure quick commerce players.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We do not look at dark store or walk-in store&#8230; every store in my network can deliver&#8230; ultimately, I am looking at wallet share of the customer&#8230; dark stores only fill gaps.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Dinesh Taluja</em></p></blockquote><p>Reliance Consumer Products is scaling rapidly across categories and geographies.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We closed our revenue of Rs.22,000 Crores&#8230; Q4 revenue of Rs.7,350 Crores&#8230; both delivered two times growth over last year&#8230; categories growing across the board.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ashutosh Goyal, CFO, Reliance Consumer Products</em></p></blockquote><p>Campa has scaled rapidly to become a significant player in beverages.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Campa delivered a revenue of Rs.4,700 Crores&#8230; making it the fourth largest carbonated soft drink brand in the country in a very short span of time.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ashutosh Goyal</em></p></blockquote><p>The Strait of Hormuz disruption created one of the biggest supply shocks in recent history.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Dubai crude has surged to $168&#8230; never before kind of a price&#8230; totally unprecedented&#8230; we have never seen even during earlier crises this kind of shortage.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Srinivas Tuttagunta, COO &#8211; Refining &amp; Marketing</em></p></blockquote><p>RIL&#8217;s ability to process diverse crude types helped mitigate supply disruptions.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have processed more than 200 grades of crude oil&#8230; that flexibility stood in good stead&#8230; we could source crude from Venezuela, Russia, Brazil, Mexico and keep operations near capacity.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Srinivas Tuttagunta, COO &#8211; Refining &amp; Marketing</em></p></blockquote><p>Apart from crude price spikes and logistics disruptions, the downstream business also faced pricing constraints, which further impacted margins. This is important as it shows pressure was not just upstream-driven.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We also had under-recoveries on fuel retailing because prices could not be fully passed on&#8230; so that also added to the pressure on the O2C business during the quarter.&#8221;<br>&#8212; V Srikanth, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>While revenues grew, ARPU expansion remained constrained due to pricing stability, indicating monetization still has headroom.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;ARPU growth has been moderate because we have not taken tariff increases&#8230; growth is largely volume and usage-led.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Anshuman Thakur, Head of Strategy, Jio Platforms</em></p></blockquote><p>Beyond mobility, Jio is scaling home broadband aggressively, which could drive incremental ARPU and stickiness.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Fixed broadband continues to scale well&#8230; and will be a key growth driver going forward.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Anshuman Thakur</em></p></blockquote><p>Operational resilience ensured high utilization even during extreme supply-side disruptions.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Despite all these disruptions, we were able to operate our refinery at near full capacity.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Srinivas Tuttagunta, COO &#8211; Refining &amp; Marketing</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>FMCG</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/VBL/">Varun Beverages Limited | Large Cap | Beverages</a></h2><p>Varun Beverages is one of the largest franchisees of PepsiCo in the world outside the United States, producing and distributing a wide range of carbonated and non-carbonated drinks. The company operates an extensive manufacturing and distribution network across India and several international markets in Africa and South Asia.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/5727-27-Apr-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>VBL has completed its entry into the South African market by acquiring a major local producer. This expansion allows the company to apply its efficient business model to a new high-potential region for long-term growth.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We consummated the acquisition of Tiza in South Africa through Bevco, strengthening our manufacturing footprint and route-to-market capabilities in Africa&#8217;s largest soft drink market. The acquisition is expected to generate meaningful operational and commercial synergies over time.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ravi Jaipuria, Chairman</em></p></blockquote><p>While global earnings per case rose, the company saw a small dip in India as they gave customers more product for the same price to attract new buyers. This strategy focuses on gaining a larger share of the market even if it slightly lowers the revenue per bottle in the short term.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;At the consolidated level, net realization per case improved by 1.6% year-over-year, supported by improved realizations in international territories primarily due to favorable currency movement. In India, realization per case declined by a marginal 1.5% primarily due to volume growth initiatives such as upsizing of packs and selected price point launches in target markets to onboard new consumers.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Raj Gandhi, President and Whole-Time Director</em></p></blockquote><p>A significant portion of sales now comes from healthier drink options, aligning the company with modern consumer trends. Despite rising costs globally, the company improved its profit margins by buying raw materials early before prices went up.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;-In line with our focus on healthier offerings, the mix of low-sugar and no-sugar products increased to approximately 63% of consolidated sales volume during the quarter. Gross margins improved by 62 basis points to 55.2%, supported by early stocking of key raw materials despite an inflationary input environment.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Raj Gandhi, President and Whole-Time Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Management is maintaining high inventory levels to protect their international operations from global supply chain risks. This massive stock provides a competitive advantage because they won&#8217;t be forced to raise prices as quickly as their rivals.</p><blockquote><p><em>First of all, in our international markets, our effect on raw material will be practically zero or perhaps a couple of points, because we are well-stocked for this quarter and the next quarter as well. We normally carry six months of inventory internationally. So, our impact will be practically very low, which actually gives us an edge over our competition because I do not think competition carries anywhere close to six months of inventory.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ravi Jaipuria, Chairman</em></p></blockquote><p>High-margin segments like dairy are growing rapidly and earning three times more per unit than standard soft drinks. This shift toward premium products helps maintain overall profits even when costs for other products rise.</p><blockquote><p><em> Vivek, in fact, we have premiumized a lot of products. For instance, in our dairy business, which grew by 70%, the realization is 3 times higher than the normal portfolio. So, the focus is to compensate from within the system itself for the major part.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Raj Gandhi, President and Whole-Time Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is improving its profitability by shifting production to larger, modern factories and closing older, expensive ones. These structural changes allow them to produce drinks at a much lower cost per bottle as sales volumes rise.</p><blockquote><p><em>Utilization is definitely helping as volumes go up. We are using the bigger plants more and we have shut down a couple of small, old, high-cost plants. Overall efficiencies and cost-cutting are helping.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ravi Jaipuria, Chairman</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Tourism &amp; Hospitality</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/MHRIL/">Mahindra Holidays &amp; Resorts India Limited | Mid Cap | Hotels &amp; Resorts</a></h2><p>Mahindra Holidays &amp; Resorts India Limited is a leading player in the leisure hospitality sector, operating vacation ownership memberships under the flagship brand Club Mahindra. The company manages a diverse portfolio of resorts across India and international locations, focusing on family-oriented holiday experiences and domestic tourism.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijorifinance.com/insight/india/4918/Conference%20Call/CC-Apr26.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>The company added a record 900 rooms in FY26 and plans to accelerate this expansion by adding over 1,000 keys in the upcoming fiscal year. This aggressive capacity growth supports the management&#8217;s long-term vision of scaling the domestic hospitality business.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;If I look at the other measure of growth in the business, I think our network expansion continues at a good pace. We are expanding inventory while focusing on quality. During the year, we added about 900 keys. Our total inventory today is about 6,228 keys. As we go into FY27, we are looking to build on this and we expect more than 1,000 keys to be added in FY27.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Manoj Bhat, MD and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company has fully written down its equity investment in its European subsidiary following continued geopolitical and economic challenges in Finland. While this creates a one-time accounting loss, the company maintains a very strong cash balance to fund domestic operations.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;This quarter, as Manoj mentioned, we have taken an impairment charge of 234 crores towards equity investment in the entity driven by the HCR business outlook. Excluding this one-off charge, our PAT was 55.4 crores. Our total cash position continues to be healthy at about 1,446 crores as of March 31, 2026.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Bimal Agarwal, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>The launch of the Keystone product has successfully shifted the sales mix toward longer 10-year membership plans. This increase in tenure improves long-term revenue visibility and strengthens the company&#8217;s deferred revenue pipeline.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;New sales have jumped up roughly 20%, holding the number we mentioned in December. This is led by a few factors. One is that we are seeing more adoption of the 10-year product. Previously, our largest product was the 5-year plan; now it is the 10-year plan. It is trending in the right direction.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Manoj Bhat, MD and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management is initiating a strategic review of its European operations to explore partnerships or other long-term options. In the interim, they are focusing on fixing credit availability for customers in Finland to revive sales performance.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Long-term, this is the year we will start looking at strategic options for the business. Any geopolitical improvement in the Ukraine situation would be positive for Finland, but we are not building that into our projections. For FY27, we are addressing the credit situation. We are onboarding new partners to help with sales conversions because many people are not getting loans to buy the product.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Manoj Bhat, MD and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is deploying AI tools to track guest sentiment and personalize hospitality services in real-time. Improving the guest experience through technology is a key lever for driving higher on-site spending and member upgrades.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;For engagement, we launched an integrated AI sentiment meter in December. It tracks all interactions across channels, allowing our front office and sales staff to personalize offerings. This is helping us create more engaging and curated experiences for our guests.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Manoj Bhat, MD and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is pursuing a capital-light expansion strategy, with most new room additions being leased rather than owned. This approach allows MHRIL to scale rapidly without heavy debt or depleting its cash reserves for land acquisition.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;No. Only about 25-30% of the room additions will be owned; the balance will come from capital-light models, such as leases. Even this year, we had a normalized cash flow from operations of 300 crores plus. Capital is not a constraint.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Manoj Bhat, MD and CEO</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Software Services</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/INFY/">Infosys Limited | Large Cap | IT Services</a></h2><p>Infosys is a global leader in next-generation digital services and consulting, assisting clients in over 50 countries to navigate their digital transformation. The company leverages its AI-first core and cloud-enabling platforms, Topaz and Cobalt, to deliver high-scale business solutions and operational efficiency.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijorifinance.com/insight/india/149/Conference%20Call/CC-Apr26.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>The company achieved significant growth in large deal signings, reaching nearly $15 billion for the full fiscal year. This robust order book suggests strong market demand and provides a high level of revenue visibility for future quarters.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We had strong growth in financial services, the communications industry, manufacturing industry, and for the Europe geography for the full year. Large deals were strong for the full year; we had 14.9 billion dollars of large deals. This is a growth of 24% over the prior year. For Q4, we were at 3.2 billion dollars, a strong showing for the quarter.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sunil Parekh, CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Only 50% of the newly won contracts have reached full execution, leaving significant revenue potential to be realized in the coming year. The company expects profit margins to improve as these deals scale and employee utilization rises toward more optimal levels.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;About half of it [net new deals] has already ramped up, and the other half will ramp through the year, so we will continue to get benefits from that in FY27 as well. Utilization levels today are not optimum; there is room to improve from where we are currently.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, Leadership Team</em></p></blockquote><p>Infosys is commanding premium pricing for its specialized AI services, which helps offset the falling prices in standard IT maintenance. This shift toward high-value consulting is critical for the company to maintain its overall profit margins in a competitive market.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The pricing dynamics are definitely better for some of the AI and transformation-led services. There is a consultative aspect and high expertise involved, so while pricing can be tight, it is certainly better than pure-play commoditized IT services. Where we see challenges is in legacy work or areas where AI-led productivity gains are already well understood by the client, which leads to downward pressure on pricing.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, Leadership Team</em></p></blockquote><p>A specific manufacturing client in Europe will create a notable 1% drag on total company growth due to project cancellations and unfavorable deal terms. This specific headwind, combined with an aggressive shift to offshore delivery, is a key factor in the company&#8217;s modest growth outlook.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;To repeat what I said earlier, between a 70 basis point and 1% impact will come from the European client, which is a combination of a deal that did not meet our return expectations and ramp-downs due to the challenging macro environment in that sector. As for the reduction in onsite mix, we expect a 40-50 basis point impact based on the exit trajectory, and we believe there could be further improvement there.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, Leadership Team</em></p></blockquote><p>Traditional project volumes are no longer the primary driver of growth, as AI automation allows the company to do more with less labor. This transition toward &#8216;flatter&#8217; volumes suggests that future earnings growth will depend more on specialized pricing rather than simply hiring more people.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We do see some deflation from existing services, and a large part of that is being offset by new AI-driven services. At this point, volumes for the last year have remained flattish. As we go forward, we continue to see volumes remain flatter or marginally positive, which is baked into our guidance.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, Leadership Team</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Healthcare</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/SUNPHARMA/">Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd. | Large Cap | Pharmaceuticals</a></h2><p>Sun Pharmaceutical Industries is a leading Indian multinational pharmaceutical company that specializes in specialty and generic medicines. It maintains a strong global presence across over 100 countries, with a significant focus on therapeutic areas like dermatology and oncology.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/2757-27-Apr-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>Management contrasts the current cash-based Organon deal with the previous stock-funded Ranbaxy acquisition. This highlights a strategy to avoid shareholder dilution while leveraging a strong balance sheet for massive scale.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;At that point in time, we were of course a much smaller company, but at that time we were also buying another company which was almost 80% of our company in terms of size. We did not pay for that acquisition through cash, but we paid for that acquisition through a much more expensive currency; we paid through our stock. The dilution to Sun Pharma shareholders was close to 20%.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Dilip Shanghvi, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Management acknowledges the significant debt required for the merger but emphasizes that the 2.3x EBITDA ratio remains manageable. Investors should see this as a temporary departure from their conservative fiscal history to fund transformative growth.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;This debt, even though large in terms of overall size, is still going to be 2.3x the combined company EBITDA. We have a focused effort toward finding a way to minimize the debt by finding a way to repay it as early as possible. All of you who have been tracking the company for a long time know that we have been either a low-debt or a significant cash-positive company for a long time.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Dilip Shanghvi, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The merger grants Sun a strong foothold in China, the world&#8217;s second-largest pharma market, which currently generates nearly $1 billion for Organon. This geographical expansion diversifies Sun&#8217;s revenue streams away from US and Indian markets.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Organon&#8217;s presence in China is substantial, with FY25 revenues of more than $800 million. They have eight large brands, including Propecia, Follistim, and Zetia. The business is growing despite many generics and being part of the Volume-Based Procurement (VBP) system.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Kirti Ganorkar, CEO, India Business</em></p></blockquote><p>The company plans to proactively manage Organon&#8217;s existing high debt burden through strategic refinancing and negotiations with bondholders. Successful debt restructuring will be critical for maintaining the company&#8217;s credit rating and financial flexibility.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Organon has a gross debt of about $8.5 billion and with cash of close to $900 million, the net debt is something we would be looking at refinancing. Our thought is to work with the existing bondholders to see if there is a possibility for a swap.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Jayashree Samar, Head of Finance</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Financial Services</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/PEL/">Piramal Finance Ltd | Mid Cap | NBFC</a></h2><p>Piramal Finance is a diversified financial services firm focusing on retail lending, housing finance, and wholesale funding. It operates a wide-reaching network across India, utilizing a tech-enabled platform to serve customers in urban and rural markets.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/1188-27-Apr-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>The credit rating upgrade will significantly reduce interest expenses over the next three-year churn cycle. Lower funding costs should directly improve net interest margins and provide a competitive pricing edge.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Domestic credit rating upgrades from AA to AA+ have the potential to lower our cost of borrowing by 50-80 basis points once we turn our current borrowings out and replace them with new borrowings. The AA+ rating also offers us access to certain parts of the lending market we could not access before, thus enhancing our ability to continue delivering industry-leading AUM growth.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Vikas Singla, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>Using AI to keep headcount flat while doubling the loan book demonstrates a highly scalable business model. Investors should view this as a structural improvement in long-term margin potential through technology.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our AUM has doubled in this period, whereas our operations staff and headcount has remained roughly flat. This compares well with the best of global elite enterprise-scale companies in terms of token usage for high-frequency agent AI and processing of massive amounts of document data.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Anand Piramal, Executive Chairman</em></p></blockquote><p>The company has proactively tightened lending in sectors vulnerable to Middle Eastern geopolitical tensions. This defensive stance helps mitigate potential spikes in defaults if global supply chains remain disrupted.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have originally taken SMEs in the S&amp;B sector as the epicenter of potential vulnerability and impact, but we have since expanded our watch list to include a broader set of sensitive sectors, including travel and logistics, textiles, gems and jewelry, food processing, etc. As of now, risk metrics here all appear contained. Bounce rates in these vulnerable sectors in April have come in at the same levels as March.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Jayaram Sridharan, MD and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Massive early repayments in the wholesale book indicate that the underlying real estate projects are highly liquid and successful. This de-risks the balance sheet and provides surplus cash to redeploy into higher-yielding retail segments.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In fact, due to these significant repayments, almost 50% of the contractual repayments due to us in FY27 have already been paid by our borrowers to us today. While strong rates of repayments continue to be a major growth segment for us, it also highlights that the portfolio is doing very well and is performing well ahead of our underwriting.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; S. Natkarni, CEO, Wholesale Lending</em></p></blockquote><p>Increasing the proportion of unsecured loans is a deliberate strategy to hike the overall portfolio yields. If credit costs remain controlled, this shift will be the primary driver of consolidated margin expansion in FY27.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Regarding the levers on the growth book NIM itself, there are two main factors. One is exactly what you said, which is the product mix on the asset side, specifically an increase in unsecured lending. We have previously guided that we would like unsecured to be about 400-500 basis points larger in our mix compared to where it is right now.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Jayaram Sridharan, MD and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is moving into higher-quality borrower segments that were previously inaccessible due to higher funding costs. This diversification reduces the overall risk profile of the mortgage book while leveraging the new, lower cost of funds.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have already seen signs of this in our high-ticket LAP and mass affluent housing disbursements. Those are more AA+ like businesses, and we have been building that muscle in anticipation. We were purely a mid-prime player in the past; now you will see a bit more of a prime-like portfolio.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Jayaram Sridharan, MD and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management remains open to acquisitions but maintains a disciplined, value-oriented approach to capital allocation. This strategy protects shareholders from the risks of overpaying for growth through expensive, transformational deals.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We remain quite interested in M&amp;A. Piramal has a DNA of doing mergers and acquisitions. However, we are value-based acquirers. We have limited interest in buying perfect assets at fully priced-in values. We would rather find something that might be a little imperfect but is priced at a value.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Jayaram Sridharan, MD and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management expects the impact of geopolitical disruptions to have a lagging effect on credit quality, potentially appearing in the second quarter. Providing this timeline allows investors to track specific leading indicators like bounce rates for early signs of stress.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I do not think there was any chance of seeing it in Q4, and I do not expect it in Q1 either. But in Q2, we should watch. July or August is when you might see that outcome. That is why bounce rates are important to watch.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Jayaram Sridharan, MD and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The new focus on rural and gold lending branches is highly capital efficient compared to urban expansion. This allows the company to rapidly grow its physical footprint without negatively impacting the overall expense-to-assets ratio.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;A gold branch takes about one-third of the operating expense of a regular urban branch on an annual basis. A rural branch takes about one-tenth of the investment of an urban branch. These categories are much cheaper than our full-service branches.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Jayaram Sridharan, MD and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Using one-time gains to aggressively write down assets helps create a cleaner and more conservative balance sheet for the future. This reduces the risk of unexpected negative surprises from the legacy portfolio in subsequent quarters.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The markdowns we took this quarter were to make good use of the one-time gains we had. We had 1,500 crores in bounty and we wanted to strengthen the balance sheet rather than taking it all through the P&amp;L. Suffice it to say, this helped us clean up the legacy book nicely and created pockets of conservatism.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Jayaram Sridharan, MD and CEO</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/BANDHANBNK/">Bandhan Bank | Mid Cap | Private Bank | Asset Quality Recovery &amp; Margin Stability</a></h2><p>Bandhan Bank&#8217;s latest quarter hints at a stronger comeback than the market expected. With margins improving, key stress areas showing signs of easing, and management sounding confident about the road ahead, the bigger question now is whether this is just a good quarter, or the beginning of a much larger turnaround.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cWZvhzq4bvA">Reference</a>]</p><p>The bank reports a stabilising credit environment, with expectations for loan provision costs to drop significantly in the future. Lowering credit costs is essential for the bank to improve its net earnings and return on equity metrics.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Credit cost exited Q4 at 2 percent with guidance to improve toward 1.6 to 1.7 percent.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Partha Pratim Sengupta, MD &amp; CEO.</em></p></blockquote><p>The bank has set a clear medium-term profitability target for its return on assets, signalling confidence in its operational efficiency. This outlook provides investors with a concrete benchmark for the bank&#8217;s earnings recovery over the next few years.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;ROA guidance remains 1.5 to 1.6 percent exit by FY27.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Partha Pratim Sengupta, MD &amp; CEO.</em></p></blockquote><p>Management is seeing interest margins improve as the bank lowers its cost of borrowing while maintaining better asset quality. This supports stronger core profitability.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;NIM improvement driven by lower cost of funds and better asset quality.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Partha Pratim Sengupta, MD &amp; CEO.</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/TATACAP/">Tata Capital | Large Cap | Financial Services</a></h2><p>Tata Capital Ltd, the flagship financial arm of the Tata Group, is a leading diversified NBFC. Its core business includes retail, SME, and corporate lending, along with wealth management, insurance distribution, and private equity services.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachLive/e8fffd9f-763c-41aa-bf88-35cad0863389.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>Management is using artificial intelligence to drastically speed up the loan approval process for small businesses. This automation helps the company handle more business efficiently and should lower operating costs over time.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our underwriting assist platform, amongst the first in the industry, has reduced credit memo preparation time from 2 days to 20 minutes in our SME business, thereby improving productivity of the underwriting team by 30%. The adoption rate of underwriting assist platform today stands at 85%.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Rajiv Sabharwal, Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>The motor finance business intentionally shrank its total loan book to focus on profitability and quality over size. Management expects this division to start growing again soon now that the internal cleanup is finishing.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The AUM stood at INR25,390 crores, a sequential decline of 4% reflecting our fitness-first approach. Even though positive growth in AUM is lagging by about a quarter, underlying momentum is improving. Disbursements grew 32% sequentially in quarter 4 and we expect this to build as business stabilizes.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Rajiv Sabharwal, Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Current global conflicts in West Asia have not yet caused major supply chain disruptions for the company&#8217;s business clients. Most borrowers are currently able to pass higher costs to their customers, which protects their ability to repay loans.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;When we talk to clients who are there in the SME or the large corporate side, they have stocks of raw materials and which is helping them tide over this situation. Similarly, they are saying that raw material is available and they are able to produce. There&#8217;s been some impact on their cost structures, but as most of them are saying that they are able to pass this on.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Rajiv Sabharwal, Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Improving loan performance has given management the confidence to start lending more in high-yield unsecured categories like personal and business loans. This strategic shift is expected to boost the company&#8217;s overall interest earnings next year.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;So we&#8217;ve seen significant drop which has been happening and that&#8217;s the reason we&#8217;ve started looking at increasing our disbursements in each of these businesses. We started activating the same post quarter 1 and if you look at those numbers, our disbursements in each of the unsecured businesses, whether it&#8217;s personal loans, business loans, or microfinance business, is increasing and that&#8217;s an increasing trend in every quarter.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Rajiv Sabharwal, Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is being extra careful when lending to small and medium businesses that might be affected by global economic shifts. This proactive monitoring helps the company avoid future losses in its SME portfolio.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In terms of our assessment, we feel that we should be more careful in certain parts of the MSME business and this is where our messaging to our credit team is that you should look at some segments within the MSME and try to understand more, more from the working capital cycle at this point of time and availability of raw material. So our caution as far as impact of the war is there, it&#8217;s more on the MSME segment.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Rajiv Sabharwal, Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>The vehicle financing unit is successfully diversifying by funding more brands outside of Tata Motors. By focusing more on used and smaller commercial vehicles, they are reducing their reliance on the volatile heavy truck market.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In the Motor Finance business, our non-Tata OEM share in new commercial vehicle disbursements for quarter 4 has reached 26%, reflecting early success in our multi-OEM strategy. We are increasing exposure to used commercial vehicles and small and mid-commercial vehicles while reducing our heavy commercial vehicle concentration.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Rajiv Sabharwal, Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/BAJFINANCE/">Bajaj Finance | Large Cap | Financial Services</a></h2><p>Bajaj Finance is a financial services company specializing in lending, partnerships, payments, and deposits. With a diverse portfolio catering to retail, SMEs, and commercial clients in urban and rural India, the company also offers various financial products.</p><p>[<a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/BAJFINANCE/">Concall</a>]</p><p>After a period of rapid post-COVID expansion and subsequent adjustment, management views the current state as a sustainable &#8216;cruise&#8217; phase. Investors can expect a more predictable, high-ROE growth profile moving forward as the business matures.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Over the last 18 months, we have calibrated those responses. From here, you should see us in a cruise mode. At 5,10,000 crores, we are a significant player with a fiduciary responsibility to remain resilient. We intend to deliver a 20-22% ROE and a 22-24% balance sheet growth.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, Executive Leadership</em></p></blockquote><p>The gold loan segment is being aggressively scaled and is expected to triple its contribution to the overall loan book within the next year. This diversification into secured, high-margin lending provides a buffer against volatility in unsecured retail segments.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The gold loan portfolio continued to witness strong momentum, growing by 115%. That business now contributes 3.5% of overall AUM. We foresee the gold loan portfolio probably crossing 10% of total AUM by FY27.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Rajeev Jain, Vice Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Management intentionally slowed MSME lending over the past year to manage risk and clean up the portfolio. The projected return to double-digit growth by mid-FY27 suggests that management now views the segment&#8217;s credit environment as stabilizing.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;MSME continued to see muted growth, growing by only 6% on account of a set of proactive risk actions we have been taking since Q2 FY26. We expect it should return to double-digit growth or the company growth momentum between Q2 and Q3 of FY27.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Rajeev Jain, Vice Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>A small, legacy vehicle financing portfolio has been disproportionately hurting the company&#8217;s asset quality metrics. The planned run-down of this book by late 2026 should provide an automatic tailwind for improved credit performance and lower overall provisioning.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The captive two-wheeler and three-wheeler business now contributes less than 1% of AUM, but in Q4 it accounted for 13% of GNPA and 5% of overall credit cost. This book will wind down to less than 1,500 crores by September 2026, which will lead to further improvement in GNPA and lower credit costs for FY27.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Rajeev Jain, Vice Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is transitioning nearly all customer interactions to automated AI interfaces to drive operational leverage. This shift is designed to dramatically lower the cost of servicing millions of customers while maintaining high engagement levels.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;On customer engagement, 27 AI voice and text bots are now live, and all customer engagement will move into a bot interface by June 2026. Any communication across any channel, whether for sales, service, or debt management, will have a text bot embedded in it.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Rajeev Jain, Vice Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Management is seeing immediate cost benefits from AI deployment, specifically in call center operations where bots are significantly cheaper than human agents. These efficiency gains directly support the goal of reducing the opex-to-NTI ratio over time.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Consumers and employees will start to experience the benefits this year. An AI call center agent is one-third of the cost. We had 5,000 outbound voice agents, and we have optimized that; 30% are now AI voice agents.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, Executive Leadership</em></p></blockquote><p>A large portion of new loan volume is coming from the existing customer base, which lowers the cost of acquisition and provides more reliable risk profiles. This internal ecosystem is a key competitive moat that drives superior economics compared to pure-play lenders.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;For the open architecture two-wheeler business, 50% of customers are existing customers. For new car financing, about 43% to 45% of volume comes from existing customers. Given our 120 million customer franchise, focusing on the existing base provides better risk management and operating leverage.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, Executive Leadership</em></p></blockquote><p>AI is already delivering tangible operational leverage, especially in loan processing capacity.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;During the peak of Diwali, we processed 600,000 loans in a single day&#8230; without AI our capacity was 100,000&#8230; next Diwali we might process close to a million loans in a day.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Metals</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/MSUMI/">Motherson Sumi Wiring India | Mid Cap | Mixed Q4, Copper-Led Margin Pressure</a></h2><p>Motherson Sumi Wiring India is a leading manufacturer of automotive wiring harnesses and electrical distribution systems, supplying major OEMs across ICE, EV, hybrid, and CNG platforms. The company delivered healthy revenue growth in Q4, but margins remained under pressure due to elevated copper prices and forex impact. Management believes this pressure is temporary, but the key question is whether margin recovery will meaningfully improve if commodity costs stay elevated.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=38hc7J4wHlM">Reference</a>]</p><p>Short-term costs like copper price spikes and currency fluctuations reduced the company&#8217;s profit margins this quarter. These pressures are expected to be temporary as the company will recover these costs from customers over the coming months.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Margins were impacted mainly by temporary copper price increases and forex mix. Copper cost impact is expected to be offset over the next 3 to 6 months through customer pass-through arrangements.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Anurag Gahlot, COO, Motherson Sumi Wiring</em></p></blockquote><p>The company has contractual agreements to pass on raw material price increases to clients with a slight time lag. This structure protects the long-term earnings potential of the core business despite short-term volatility in metal prices.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Copper cost impact is expected to be offset over the next 3 to 6 months through customer pass-through arrangements. Management remains confident that the underlying profitability of the core business remains stable.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Anurag Gahlot, COO, Motherson Sumi Wiring</em></p></blockquote><p>New manufacturing facilities are currently increasing production levels to meet market demand. As these plants reach higher capacity utilization, the resulting efficiency gains will likely support overall margin improvement.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Greenfield plants are ramping up and management expects margin improvement as volumes increase. Management remains confident that the underlying profitability of the core business remains stable.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Anurag Gahlot, COO, Motherson Sumi Wiring</em></p></blockquote><p>Electric vehicles and hybrid models now make up nearly nine percent of the company&#8217;s sales. Since these vehicles require more complex and valuable wiring systems, this shift improves revenue potential per vehicle sold.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;EV contribution stands near 8.5 percent of Q4 revenue with management highlighting EV and hybrid platforms as content accretive. This contribution is expected to grow as more platforms launch.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Anurag Gahlot, COO, Motherson Sumi Wiring</em></p></blockquote><p>Leadership believes the fundamental drivers of the business and profit margins remain intact. This suggests recent financial headwinds are temporary rather than structural.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Management remains confident that the underlying profitability of the core business remains stable. The company continues to see strong demand across various automotive segments.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Anurag Gahlot, COO, Motherson Sumi Wiring</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/HINDZINC/">Hind Zinc | Large Cap | Metals</a></h2><p>Hindustan Zinc, a Vedanta Group company, is the world&#8217;s largest integrated zinc producer and a top global silver producer. It excels in mining critical minerals and metals with a diversified portfolio, known for operational excellence, innovation, and sustainability. The company integrates mining to marketing, ensuring efficiency and high-quality zinc, lead, silver, and value-added products.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachLive/682ed8fa-0d50-482f-997e-3a71523c0975.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>Management is actively diversifying the business by entering the critical minerals segment with specific projects for potash and rare earths. This expansion reduces the company&#8217;s dependence on zinc and lead while tapping into high-growth sectors like energy transition.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;On our journey to becoming a multi-metal enterprise, we have secured three critical mineral blocks: potash, tungsten, and rare earths. We have established clear timelines with work now underway.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Arun Misra, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Hindustan Zinc achieved its lowest quarterly production cost in years due to internal efficiency and better pricing for by-products. Maintaining a low-cost structure ensures that the company remains highly profitable even if global metal prices face future volatility.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;On the cost front, despite a volatile geopolitical environment, we achieved the lowest quarterly zinc cost of production excluding royalty since underground transition at $903 per ton, reflecting a decline of 9.0% year-on-year and 4.0% quarter-on-quarter. The reduction was driven by a combination of factors: lower power cost, improved by-product realization, and operating leverage benefits from increased volume.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Arun Misra, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management has locked in specific prices for a portion of their 2027 production to protect against market price drops. This hedging strategy provides a level of earnings certainty for investors regardless of short-term price swings in the global market.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;For the Q1, for the zinc, it is a hedge at 20 KT spread between the April to June at a average price of $3,100, and silver is hedged 25 tons at a average price of $57. For the full year FY27, 71 KT is hedged at an average price of $3,225 per ton and silver is hedged at 59 tons at a average price of $60 per troy ounce.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sandeep Modi, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management is using a flexible production strategy that allows them to prioritize the most profitable metal based on current market prices. This ability to shift focus between zinc, lead, and silver helps protect margins when individual commodity prices are volatile.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;And if the lead metal prices fall while zinc prices are up, which happened last year, then we&#8217;ll tilt our production towards more of zinc, less of lead. And we will sell the lead MIC which is made surplus this way. And then produce silver whatever is possible through the zinc maximization route at the same time recover silver through the lead MIC sale.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Arun Misra, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>The shift toward renewable energy is not just for sustainability but is a core part of the company&#8217;s cost-reduction strategy. Moving to 70% renewable power could permanently lower production costs by $25 per ton, making the company even more competitive.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;So we earlier said that every 2% renewable energy increase will have a $1 cost reduction. We still stand by it given the long-term coal prices. So if we move from 20% to 70%, we can see the further potential of $25 per ton cost reduction.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sandeep Modi, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is choosing to keep most of its silver production unhedged to benefit from potential price increases. This strategy reflects management&#8217;s belief in strong silver demand and their comfort with existing high profit margins.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Given that 58%, 59% kind of EBITDA margin of the company, we believe that and silver being a by-product, we believe that it&#8217;s not worthwhile to experiment and do the hedging beyond 10%. And every company has a philosophy. Either you have the Indian counterparts in the other metal business who has the 40% to 60% hedge for the many of the quarters.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sandeep Modi, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Real Estate</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/MINDSPACE/">Mindspace Business | Micro Cap | REIT</a></h2><p>Mindspace Business Parks REIT (MINDSPACE) is a leading Indian commercial real estate investment trust with a portfolio of over million sq. ft. of office space, reporting a strong 95.7% committed occupancy as of March 2026. It focuses on Grade-A business parks in key markets like Mumbai, Pune, Hyderabad, and Chennai.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/40224-29-Apr-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>Management pushed back against the &#8220;AI reduces office demand&#8221; narrative, highlighting empirical evidence of growth.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The AI narrative has been running for the last 3 years&#8230; office demand has grown 18%, 16%, 15% year-on-year&#8230; There is no evidence of mass vacancy increases&#8230; AI increases productivity&#8230; productivity drives growth&#8230; and talent needs space.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ramesh Nair, CEO &amp; Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>AI-driven work is increasing demand for premium office spaces, aligning with Mindspace&#8217;s portfolio positioning.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;AI will accelerate the flight to quality&#8230; companies will seek upgraded spaces, stronger amenities, and better sustainability credentials&#8230; for a portfolio like ours&#8230; this shift works firmly in our favor.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ramesh Nair, CEO &amp; Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>India remains a key destination for global companies, supporting long-term office demand.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Rupee depreciation has made India more attractive to GCCs&#8230; in dollar terms, Indian office rents have effectively held flat while infrastructure and talent have strengthened.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management</em></p></blockquote><p>Macroeconomic pressures are increasing the cost of construction materials across the board. While the company is well-positioned, these rising costs and geopolitical tensions have led to slightly slower lease closures in the short term.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Oil-driven inflation and rising input costs are real. Steel is up 2%, RMC and cement is up 8%, paints are up 15%, tiles are up 10%, and PVC pipes are up 16%. We observed some slowdown in decision-making on a few deals.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ramesh Nair, CEO and MD</em></p></blockquote><p>The REIT is expanding into data centers, which could become a meaningful revenue driver.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are the only REIT with data centers in our portfolio&#8230; once complete, our data center portfolio will span approximately 1.7 million square feet.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management</em></p></blockquote><p>Significant pre-leasing ensures future occupancy and rental growth.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have pre-leased 2 million square feet&#8230; including 0.8 million to a healthcare GCC at &#8377;110 and 0.7 million at &#8377;121 per square foot.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Management</em></p></blockquote><p>Occupancy has reached historic highs, indicating tight supply-demand dynamics.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Committed occupancy reached 95.7%, the highest we have ever reported since listing&#8230; up from 93% in FY25.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management</em></p></blockquote><p>While macro risks are causing delays in leasing decisions, underlying demand remains intact.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We observed some slowdown in decision-making on a few deals&#8230; Global headwinds and travel disruptions may delay some transactions in the near term&#8230; When the pent-up demand releases, we are positioned to capture it.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management</em></p></blockquote><p>Industry data points to strong structural demand for office spaces, especially from GCCs and global firms.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;India&#8217;s office market posted a quarterly record 21.5 million square feet of gross leasing&#8230; GCCs expanded their footprint by 43% year-on-year&#8230; Pan-India vacancy dropped to a 5-year low of 14.7%.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management</em></p></blockquote><p>By reinvesting in property upgrades, the REIT ensures that tenants are less likely to move and more willing to pay higher rents upon renewal. This cycle of building and upgrading is central to their strategy for long-term compounding of returns.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Modernized assets drive stickiness, stickiness drives renewals, and renewals drive rental growth. We are not just building parks, we are building ecosystems where businesses grow and people belong.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ramesh Nair, CEO and MD</em></p></blockquote><p>Because market rents have risen so quickly, lease expiries are currently viewed as a positive development that allows for significant price hikes. This situation has enabled the company to achieve very high rental spreads during the recent quarter.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Right now, given where the market is today, we are not complaining about tenants exiting because it is giving us a massive upside; otherwise, we would not be achieving the 40% mark-to-market that we did this quarter.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ramesh Nair, CEO and MD</em></p></blockquote><p>While the extreme rental growth of the past year may moderate due to corporate budget limits, the lack of available space in Hyderabad continues to support high prices. This supply crunch ensures that the company&#8217;s existing assets in the city remain highly valuable.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We definitely see rentals going up in the next year, though not by the 25% we saw last year because companies will have their budget restrictions. But regarding the Hyderabad market&#8212;I wish we had more space to give. Everything is gone.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ramesh Nair, CEO and MD</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><p>That&#8217;s it for now! Your feedback will really help shape how The Chatter evolves. Drop it down in the comments below!</p><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://thechatterbyzerodha.substack.com/p/the-chatter-underneath-the-noise?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share&amp;token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjozMDExNzg5MTMsInBvc3RfaWQiOjE3MjY2NDQxNiwiaWF0IjoxNzU3NTk4NjQzLCJleHAiOjE3NjAxOTA2NDMsImlzcyI6InB1Yi00ODk4NzYwIiwic3ViIjoicG9zdC1yZWFjdGlvbiJ9.TFcDJv32XGvO0oFacHaCKP014RVVZ1pAYaVdcBrgrfE&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Share&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:&quot;button-wrapper&quot;}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary button-wrapper" href="https://thechatterbyzerodha.substack.com/p/the-chatter-underneath-the-noise?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share&amp;token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjozMDExNzg5MTMsInBvc3RfaWQiOjE3MjY2NDQxNiwiaWF0IjoxNzU3NTk4NjQzLCJleHAiOjE3NjAxOTA2NDMsImlzcyI6InB1Yi00ODk4NzYwIiwic3ViIjoicG9zdC1yZWFjdGlvbiJ9.TFcDJv32XGvO0oFacHaCKP014RVVZ1pAYaVdcBrgrfE"><span>Share</span></a></p><p>Quotes in this newsletter were curated by Meher, Shahid &amp; Srusti.</p><p>Disclaimer: We&#8217;ve used AI tools in filtering and cleaning up these quotes so there maybe some mistakes. Now, if you are thinking why we are using AI, please remember that we are just a small team of 5 people running everything you see on Zerodha Markets &#128556; So, all the good stuff is human and mistakes are AI.</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>We&#8217;re now on <a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/marketsbyzerodha/">Reddit</a>!</strong></h2><p>We love engaging with the perspectives of readers like you. So we asked ourselves - why not make a proper free-for-all forum where people can engage with us and each other? And what&#8217;s a better, nerdier place to do that than Reddit?</p><p>So, do join us on the subreddit, chat all things markets and finance, tell us what you like about our content and where we can improve! Here&#8217;s the <a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/marketsbyzerodha/">link</a> &#8212; alternatively, you can search r/marketsbyzerodha on Reddit.</p><p>See you there!</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[How India's E-waste rules found their teeth?]]></title><description><![CDATA[Plotlines #5]]></description><link>https://thechatter.zerodha.com/p/how-indias-e-waste-rules-found-their</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://thechatter.zerodha.com/p/how-indias-e-waste-rules-found-their</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Zerodha]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 26 Apr 2026 05:59:19 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z3g6!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc65e5d55-8c1c-4d7d-b38d-ac8351da5fc9_2560x1440.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" 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stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p style="text-align: justify;"><em>Hi, I&#8217;m <a href="https://www.linkedin.com/in/kashishkap00r/">Kashish</a> and I work on Plotlines.</em></p><p style="text-align: justify;"><em>It builds on Chatter, but with a more structured lens. Instead of looking at management commentary from earning concalls in isolation, we track a single theme across companies and over time to connect the dots. The goal is to piece together how narratives evolve, and surface the deeper structural shifts shaping industries.</em></p><div id="youtube2-YO75ZZ7-Yuc" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;YO75ZZ7-Yuc&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/YO75ZZ7-Yuc?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><p><em>Today, we cover evolution of India&#8217;s E-waste rules.</em></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2" target="_blank" href="https://www.tijoristack.ai/concall-monitor/?utm_source=zerodha&amp;utm_campaign=z_marketing" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DvhQ!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd94e0e1f-b28a-482b-a25a-7f2e3246c7b8_8192x2048.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DvhQ!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd94e0e1f-b28a-482b-a25a-7f2e3246c7b8_8192x2048.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DvhQ!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd94e0e1f-b28a-482b-a25a-7f2e3246c7b8_8192x2048.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DvhQ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd94e0e1f-b28a-482b-a25a-7f2e3246c7b8_8192x2048.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DvhQ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd94e0e1f-b28a-482b-a25a-7f2e3246c7b8_8192x2048.png" width="1456" height="364" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/d94e0e1f-b28a-482b-a25a-7f2e3246c7b8_8192x2048.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:364,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:306481,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:&quot;https://www.tijoristack.ai/concall-monitor/?utm_source=zerodha&amp;utm_campaign=z_marketing&quot;,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://thechatter.zerodha.com/i/193780467?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd94e0e1f-b28a-482b-a25a-7f2e3246c7b8_8192x2048.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DvhQ!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd94e0e1f-b28a-482b-a25a-7f2e3246c7b8_8192x2048.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DvhQ!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd94e0e1f-b28a-482b-a25a-7f2e3246c7b8_8192x2048.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DvhQ!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd94e0e1f-b28a-482b-a25a-7f2e3246c7b8_8192x2048.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DvhQ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd94e0e1f-b28a-482b-a25a-7f2e3246c7b8_8192x2048.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Check out <a href="https://www.tijoristack.ai/concall-monitor/?utm_source=zerodha&amp;utm_campaign=z_marketing">Concall Monitor</a></figcaption></figure></div><div><hr></div><p style="text-align: justify;">Every year, India throws away the equivalent of a small mountain of electronics. In FY 2024&#8211;25, the Central Pollution Control Board counted 13.97 lakh tonnes of e-waste &#8212; discarded phones, televisions, refrigerators, cables, batteries &#8212; generated across the country. That&#8217;s up from 7.08 lakh tonnes in 2017&#8211;18. Almost double in seven years. By total volume, India is now the third-largest e-waste generator in the world, behind only China and the United States.</p><p style="text-align: justify;">The rules to handle this have technically existed since 2012. But having rules and enforcing them have been, for most of that time, entirely different propositions. The story of India&#8217;s e-waste framework is the story of a government that kept tightening its grip &#8212; through mandatory targets, customs enforcement, a digital certificate trading platform, and now a <a href="https://www.eco-business.com/news/why-are-electronics-giants-taking-indias-e-waste-rules-to-court/">minimum floor price contested in court</a> &#8212; until the industry, reluctantly, started moving. What follows is that story, told through the people building and paying for the new system.</p><h2 style="text-align: justify;">The Paper Tiger (2012&#8211;2016)</h2><p style="text-align: justify;">The first iteration of India&#8217;s e-waste rules arrived in 2012 and operated on an optimistic principle: that producers of electronics would voluntarily take responsibility for what happened to their products at end of life.</p><p style="text-align: justify;">It did not work.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>In India, the EPR policy first came into picture in 2012 where it was voluntarily compliance. Not taken very seriously, right, so no producer essentially wanted to do anything.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Nitin Gupta, Founder and CEO, Attero Recycling | Aug 2025</p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Extended Producer Responsibility is the idea that the company which profits from selling a product should bear responsibility for what happens to it when the consumer is done. As a principle, it&#8217;s intuitive. As a regulatory mechanism, it requires enforcement. The 2012 rules provided the principle without the enforcement.</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Four years later, the government upgraded from voluntary to mandatory.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>And then the government actually made it mandatory compliance in 2016. Still nobody did anything...&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Nitin Gupta, Founder and CEO, Attero Recycling | Aug 2025</p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The 2016 rules set escalating collection targets &#8212; 10% of historical sales in the first year, stepping up to 70% by 2022&#8211;23. But the rules had a structural gap: verification. Producers self-reported their compliance. Penalties were modest. The informal sector &#8212; hundreds of thousands of waste pickers, kabadiwalas, and crude dismantling units operating across Indian cities &#8212; continued to handle the overwhelming majority of e-waste, exactly as it always had.</p><h2 style="text-align: justify;">Enforcement finds its teeth (2016&#8211;2022)</h2><p style="text-align: justify;">The breakthrough came not from environmental enforcement but from trade logistics.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>...then the checking of EPR compliance was handed over to customs. So as an OEM, you could not import a product or a subassembly or a component without EPR compliance. That&#8217;s when a lot of OEMs started taking it seriously...&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Nitin Gupta, Founder and CEO, Attero Recycling | Aug 2025</p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">India&#8217;s electronics industry runs on imported components. A company that couldn&#8217;t clear customs couldn&#8217;t sell. Tying EPR compliance to import clearance was the enforcement lever that actually worked &#8212; because the cost of non-compliance was no longer an abstract penalty. It was a supply chain shutdown.</p><p style="text-align: justify;">The rules continued tightening. In 2019, the scope of products covered under EPR expanded from 21 categories to 30. The E-Waste Management Rules 2022 &#8212; notified in November 2022, effective April 1, 2023 &#8212; expanded that further to over 100 product categories, adding tablets, GPS devices, modems, air purifiers, medical equipment, solar PV panels and modules, and laboratory instruments, among others.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>So back in 2019 it was 30 products covered under EPR, then they made it 100 products. Then they introduced a platform for trading of these EPR certificates as well and now they&#8217;ve introduced the minimum floor pricing right which is in contention in the courts because some OEMs have opposed it.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Nitin Gupta, Founder and CEO, Attero Recycling | Aug 2025</p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The trajectory is worth pausing on: from 21 to 30 to 100+ products; from voluntary to mandatory to customs-enforced; from self-reporting to a digital certificate trading market with a government-set price floor. Each step was a tightening of the system.</p><h2 style="text-align: justify;">What the rules actually ask for?</h2><p style="text-align: justify;">Before getting into how industry has responded, it&#8217;s worth explaining the mechanics &#8212; because EPR certificates are doing a lot of work in this story and the concept is less intuitive than it sounds.</p><p style="text-align: justify;">An EPR certificate is proof that a certain quantity of e-waste has been collected and scientifically processed by an authorized recycler. Under the E-Waste Management Rules 2022, every producer &#8212; any company that manufactures or imports electronics &#8212; must meet annual recycling targets based on what it sold in prior years. The current target is 60% of historical sales volume, stepping up to 70% by FY 2025&#8211;26 and 80% by FY 2027&#8211;28.</p><p style="text-align: justify;">A producer can meet its target one of two ways: run its own collection and recycling program, or buy EPR certificates from authorized recyclers who have already done the processing. This certificate-trading mechanism transforms a compliance obligation into a market. CPCB launched its EPR Electronic Trading and Settlement Platform (EPRETP) to host it. Certificates are denominated in kilograms, priced by category, and valid for two years.</p><p style="text-align: justify;">As of 2024&#8211;25, EPR certificate prices for e-waste range from roughly &#8377;10 to &#8377;50 per kilogram, with a minimum floor price of &#8377;22/kg established by government amendment in March 2024.</p><p style="text-align: justify;">The floor price is the live controversy in the system. The logic: without a price floor, certificates could collapse toward zero, making it economically irrational for formal recyclers to invest in infrastructure. The counterargument, advanced by several of the country&#8217;s largest electronics brands, is that the floor distorts the market and constitutes an unfair financial burden.</p><p style="text-align: justify;">In April 2025, a group of major OEMs &#8212; Daikin, Samsung, LG, Havells, and Voltas among them &#8212; challenged the floor pricing mechanism in the Delhi High Court. The case is ongoing. It captures the central tension in the system: the government is trying to make formal recycling economically viable; the brands whose products create the waste are pushing back on what that costs them.</p><h2 style="text-align: justify;">What compliance looks like in practice?</h2><p style="text-align: justify;">For appliance and consumer electronics brands, the shift from theoretical compliance to actual accounting showed up in earnings calls from around FY 2023&#8211;24 &#8212; roughly when CPCB moved from accepting broad industry data to issuing specific, company-level targets.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>You would be aware that the government had brought out the E-waste regulation particularly consumer durables a few years back but at that time there was no clarity on how that should be treated. Now the government / CPCB has come out with a lot of clarity and we all the industry players have submitted all sort of data so they have come out with the specific number which every company needs to comply with.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Rajiv Goel, Executive Director, Havells India | Q3 FY24</p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">This is the moment the rules became real for companies. Until CPCB issued company-specific numbers, the obligation existed but the liability was undefined. Once defined, it had to be provisioned. And the quantum is not small &#8212; nor is it stable.</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Bajaj Electricals, whose lighting and appliance business generates significant e-waste obligation under the Consumer Electrical and Electronics Equipment category, gave a clean accounting of where it stands.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>So EPR for this year is about Rs. 9.5 crores and last year also was similar. Going forward next year it will be a charge of about Rs. 18 crores.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; E.C. Prasad, CFO, Bajaj Electricals | Q4 FY25</p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The cost is essentially doubling. And this isn&#8217;t an anomaly &#8212; it&#8217;s arithmetic. EPR targets step up every two years; the compliance cost scales accordingly. For Havells, a company with broader product categories and a larger sales base, EPR has graduated into a named line item alongside commodity inflation and energy efficiency regulation changes.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>I think it is consumed, and we are hoping for better contribution margins. It&#8217;s not comparable as against last year because EPR liabilities have also increased in the current year, which obviously when the season comes, when we are in a position to pass on that price to the market, we&#8217;ll have to do that. But right now, because of low season, we&#8217;ve also been restrained to do so.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Anil Rai Gupta, Chairman and MD, Havells India | Q2 FY26</p><p>&#8220;<em>We remain optimistic about a gradual recovery in demand. However, we are cognizant of the industry headwinds such as cost increases on account of commodity inflation, BEE changes, e-waste, etc. We are in the process of taking calibrated price hikes and enhancing operational efficiency.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Anil Rai Gupta, Chairman and MD, Havells India | Q3 FY26</p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The &#8216;BEE changes&#8217; reference is to Bureau of Energy Efficiency star rating upgrades for appliances, which impose their own compliance costs. Companies are now managing a convergence of regulatory cost pressures &#8212; and e-waste is clearly one of them. The costs will eventually move into product prices. The question is timing.</p><h2 style="text-align: justify;">Amara Raja&#8217;s &#8377;700 Crore bet</h2><p style="text-align: justify;">The producer-side response of absorbing costs, buying EPR certificates and timing price increases is one approach to the new compliance reality. Amara Raja Energy &amp; Mobility chose a different one.</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Battery companies operate under a parallel framework to the E-Waste Rules: the Battery Waste Management Rules 2022, notified in August 2022 and effective from February 2023. The structure mirrors the e-waste system &#8212; EPR registration, collection targets, certificate trading &#8212; but the targets are steeper. For automotive and EV batteries, the requirement is 90% collection and recycling by FY 2026&#8211;27, with minimum recycled content mandates in new batteries from FY 2027&#8211;28 onwards.</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Amara Raja is one of India&#8217;s two largest lead-acid battery manufacturers. For a company whose entire business runs on lead &#8212; buying it, forming it into batteries, selling those batteries, and now bearing regulatory responsibility for what happens when they die &#8212; in-house recycling isn&#8217;t just a compliance option. It&#8217;s a raw material strategy.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>The refining operations... are expected to commence the commercial production in the month of September or October. And then we&#8217;ll be using that lead coming from that factory for our purposes. And the battery breaking operations are expected to commence the production, maybe about four, five months after the refining operations are completed.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Y. Delli Babu, CFO, Amara Raja Energy &amp; Mobility | Q1 FY25</p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Lead-acid battery recycling runs in two stages: battery breaking &#8212; shredding spent batteries to separate lead plates, plastic casings, and acid &#8212; and lead refining, which smelts the recovered material into usable metal. Amara Raja&#8217;s facility, called ARCSPL, was being built in phases. Refining came first; battery breaking would follow. This sequencing matters because a refinery without its own breaking operation still buys pre-processed lead from the market. Only once both stages are integrated does the company control the full loop.</p><p style="text-align: justify;">The investment rationale is direct.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>...once we do the entire 1,50,000 tons, that is what is being envisaged in that particular location, that should give us close to about 30% of our overall requirement from our own internal recycling sources. So that&#8217;s the objective of that investment.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Y. Delli Babu, CFO, Amara Raja Energy &amp; Mobility | Q1 FY25</p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Phase 1 is approximately &#8377;500 crore; the board approved an additional &#8377;200 crore for Phase 2. At full scale, the plant would supply 30% of Amara Raja&#8217;s lead from recycled material &#8212; insulating that portion of its raw material from London Metal Exchange (LME) price volatility and from the margins lost when sending scrap to outside smelters.</p><p style="text-align: justify;">By Q3 FY25, the refining phase had commenced commercial operations.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>Then on the recycling plant in this quarter, we have commenced the 1st Phase of commercial operations of the refining capacity of 50,000 tons, we have started the commercial operations in the current quarter, and it will continue to operate at a full capacity for the next quarter as well. And then we are expecting to start the smelting operations, that is the battery breaking operations, sometime towards the end of Q1 of next financial year.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Y. Delli Babu, CFO, Amara Raja Energy &amp; Mobility | Q3 FY25</p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Then came the harder math.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>Amara Raja is running a battery collection program over a period of years. And today, we are able to collect 75% to 80% of the batteries sold. As per the BWMR regulations from the current financial year, we have an obligation to collect 90% of the batteries sold 3 years ago. This percentage was 70% till last financial year, and we met our obligations.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Swajitha Rapeti, Head, Corporate Finance, Amara Raja Energy &amp; Mobility | Q2 FY26</p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">A 10&#8211;15% shortfall in collection means buying EPR certificates. And buying EPR certificates means provisioning for a cost that is uncertain today and likely to rise.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>We are also buying our EPR credit wherever there is a shortfall, and we anticipate the demand for this EPR certificate may go up in future. Hence, on a prudent basis, we have provided for EPR credit cost in our books based on our revised estimates on scrap collection program. Going forward, as we ramp up our collections, provided the scrap recycling price is competitive with the LME rates, these provisions may come down or even may not be required.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Swajitha Rapeti, Head, Corporate Finance, Amara Raja Energy &amp; Mobility | Q2 FY26</p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The clause &#8216;provided the scrap recycling price is competitive with the LME rates&#8217; contains the whole economics of formal battery recycling in one sentence &#8212; and it&#8217;s worth unpacking, because it explains why regulation alone can&#8217;t fix the supply problem.</p><p>The LME &#8212; London Metal Exchange &#8212; is the global price benchmark for industrial metals. Lead trades on the LME the same way oil trades on Brent: it sets the reference price that every buyer and seller in the world uses to negotiate. When Amara Raja buys lead as a raw material, it pays something close to LME spot. When it processes scrap through ARCSPL, the value of the lead it recovers is also measured against LME. So the economics of recycling are simple: if your cost to process scrap into usable lead is lower than the LME price, recycling makes sense. If it&#8217;s higher, you&#8217;re better off just buying virgin lead at market price.</p><p>The problem is what this does to scrap collection. A formal recycler &#8212; paying GST, running compliant acid disposal, employing workers with safety equipment, maintaining regulatory certifications &#8212; carries significant overhead. That overhead limits how much it can afford to pay for used batteries at the collection point and still turn a profit after processing. The informal sector carries almost none of these costs. No GST. No compliant disposal. Often no safety equipment at all. Their lighter cost structure means they can offer battery sellers &#8212; auto repair shops, retailers, consumers &#8212; a higher price for scrap than formal recyclers can while still making money.</p><p>This is the outbidding problem. Batteries flow to whoever pays more. In most parts of India, that is still the informal operator. Amara Raja&#8217;s collection program falls short because the scrap it needs is being outbid at the source. The gap then has to be closed with EPR certificate purchases &#8212; which is a financial cost, not a recycling solution.</p><p>Amara Raja&#8217;s own recycling plant partially changes the equation. When you process your own scrap, you capture the full value of recovery without paying a middleman. You also have more control over what you pay to collect &#8212; because you&#8217;re not relying on an external recycler&#8217;s pricing. The question, as Delli Babu frames it, is whether the plant&#8217;s recovery ratios are good enough to make in-house processing cheaper than buying lead at LME prices. That&#8217;s the real test still ahead.</p><p>That said, by Q3 FY26, the recycling plant was contributing to margins &#8212; modestly, but measurably.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>Our lead recycling plant led to a margin accretion of around 0.6% at EBITDA level during the quarter. At a LAB level, we are able to sustain the operating margins of about 12% despite cost pressures at raw material levels.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Swajitha Rapeti, Head, Corporate Finance, Amara Raja Energy &amp; Mobility | Q3 FY26</p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The battery-breaking phase &#8212; when Amara Raja begins shredding its own scrap rather than buying pre-processed material &#8212; was expected in Q4 FY26.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>The battery breaking is going to start from Q4. And as Swajitha has articulated earlier, the refining operations are providing that additional margin comfort at this point of time. But we hope after the battery breaking gets into full shape, I think we should see some mitigation of the lead cost that we are currently incurring. But of course, recycling operations are always kind of lower margin business. So we hope with the technology, what we have put in place, our recovery ratios will be better, and then we&#8217;ll be able to improve our overall operating margins for the lead acid business.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Y. Delli Babu, CFO, Amara Raja Energy &amp; Mobility | Q3 FY26</p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The last sentence is an important acknowledgment. Recycling is structurally a lower-margin business than manufacturing. The economics work through volume, through recovery ratios &#8212; how much usable metal you can extract from each kilogram of scrap &#8212; and through the avoided cost of buying virgin material at market prices. This is a margin improvement story, not a margin transformation.</p><h2 style="text-align: justify;">The informal sector refuses to die</h2><p style="text-align: justify;">For all the progress on the formal side &#8212; certificate trading, customs enforcement, company-level EPR targets &#8212; the informal sector remains the dominant physical reality.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>...four years ago 99% of e-waste was being recycled in the informal sector and 1% in the formal sector. Today that number is 75% in the informal sector and 25% in the formal sector. That shift is happening...&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Nitin Gupta, Founder and CEO, Attero Recycling | Nov 2024</p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Moving from 1% to 25% formal in four years is real progress. It is also a reminder of how far the system has to go. Studies have found that 76% of workers in informal e-waste units suffer from respiratory ailments. An estimated 4,00,000 to 5,00,000 children between ages 10 and 15 are engaged in e-waste handling across India. They work with lead, mercury, cadmium, and arsenic, typically with no protective equipment, in conditions that cause permanent health consequences.</p><p style="text-align: justify;">The informal sector persists not because of ignorance of the rules but because of a structural economic advantage. Informal operators pay cash, carry no GST overhead, have no compliance costs, and can outbid formal recyclers for scrap at the street level. The 18% GST on e-waste and metal byproducts falls only on registered businesses &#8212; giving the informal sector an embedded cost advantage before any other factor enters the calculation. The minimum EPR floor price of &#8377;22/kg was partly designed to help formal recyclers compete; informal operators aren&#8217;t bound by it.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>Indian policy today is good from a regulation standpoint on EPR angle which is basically shifting the industry from informal to formal, but there has to be a lot of emphasis on capacity creation. There&#8217;s a lot of emphasis on sustainability and critical minerals aspect and probably a lot more financing is required for the sector to be able to develop the capacity and the speed that the capacity needs to develop.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Nitin Gupta, Founder and CEO, Attero Recycling | Nov 2024</p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The ask from the formal recycling industry isn&#8217;t a change in tax rates. It&#8217;s a structural fix to make the market traceable.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>Majority of the supply chain is shifting from informal to formal, there has to be some sort of GST rationalization that is required here and not because of rates. In the metal scrap industry or e-waste or lithium battery, the government should introduce a reverse charge mechanism. We are not saying change the tax rate of stuff but bring in RCM for better transparency in the sector.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Nitin Gupta, Founder and CEO, Attero Recycling | Nov 2024</p></blockquote><p>A note on what Reverse Charge Mechanism would actually do here &#8212; because it sounds technical but the logic is simple.</p><p>Start with how GST normally works. When a kabadiwala sells scrap batteries to a recycler, the kabadiwala is supposed to collect 18% GST from the buyer and remit it to the government. But the kabadiwala is almost certainly not GST-registered. He&#8217;s a street-level collector working in cash &#8212; there are hundreds of thousands like him across India. Enforcing GST registration at that level is practically impossible. So in practice, the transaction happens with no tax collected, no receipt issued, and no record of it anywhere. The e-waste just moves and disappears into the informal system.</p><p>Reverse Charge Mechanism flips who is responsible. Under RCM, the buyer &#8212; in this case, the registered formal recycler &#8212; pays the GST directly to the government, instead of collecting it from the seller. The kabadiwala doesn&#8217;t need to be GST-registered. The formal recycler, who is already in the system, simply includes the purchase in their GST return and pays the tax on it.</p><p>Here&#8217;s what that changes: every time Attero or Amara Raja buys scrap from any source &#8212; registered or not &#8212; the purchase becomes a line in their GST filing. CPCB can then see, at any point, exactly how much material is flowing through the formal recycling system, where it&#8217;s coming from, and at what volumes. Today, none of that is visible. The informal supply chain leaves no paper trail.</p><p>Crucially, the total amount of tax paid doesn&#8217;t change &#8212; RCM is not a rate hike. The economic cost of the transaction stays the same. What changes is that it becomes legible. This matters enormously for EPR compliance, because right now the government cannot reliably verify whether the recycling claimed on EPR certificates actually happened. RCM would attach a paper trail to every purchase at the point where the informal supply chain meets the formal one &#8212; which is the only point where it&#8217;s practical to enforce. That the formal sector has been asking for this for years, while the government hasn&#8217;t acted, says something about how low administrative traceability sits on the priority list.</p><h2 style="text-align: justify;">The urban mine</h2><p style="text-align: justify;">India&#8217;s e-waste rules were designed primarily as an environmental compliance framework. They&#8217;re increasingly becoming something else: a resource security mechanism.</p><p style="text-align: justify;">India has 100% import dependency on several critical minerals &#8212; lithium, cobalt, nickel &#8212; that underpin the EV and electronics supply chains it is simultaneously trying to build. China dominates global rare earth supply and, as of 2025, has imposed export restrictions on several of them. Every tonne of e-waste processed formally is a tonne that partially offsets that dependency.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>The government of India is also considering a significant sort of incentive mechanism for incentivizing the rare earth industry in India to ensure that India becomes self-reliant on the rare earth material supply chain and is not dependent on China. So from that perspective, we will definitely benefit &#8212; as the industry will benefit &#8212; from the current geopolitical shifts that China has announced.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Nitin Gupta, CEO, Attero Recycling | Q1 FY26</p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">A printed circuit board contains roughly 0.02&#8211;0.20% gold, 0.01&#8211;0.45% silver, and trace amounts of palladium and platinum. The value embedded in India&#8217;s 14 million tonnes of annual e-waste is estimated at approximately USD 6 billion &#8212; most of which is currently being captured by informal operators through crude acid-bath processes, or exported as raw scrap to processors elsewhere.</p><p style="text-align: justify;">The formal sector&#8217;s response has been to build digital supply chains capable of competing with informal networks on transparency and traceability, if not always on price.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>Over the last few quarters we have very successfully transitioned our entire supply chain to a complete digital supply chain based on an AI-based pricing engine. Our supply basically is through Metal Mundy which is an online aggregator collection network &#8212; completely digital, completely transparent and traceable.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Nitin Gupta, CEO, Attero Recycling | Q1 FY26</p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Attero claims over 30% market share in the EPR certificate market &#8212; more than three times its nearest competitor. That concentration reflects how new and fragile the formal sector still is. A market where one player holds 30%+ of volumes is not a mature market. It is one in early formation, which is exactly what makes the next few years consequential.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>Completely aligned &#8212; in fact, in the EPR business, we are a leader in the country today. Our market share is more than 30%, the next best player is less than one-third of our size, and there is significant benefit that we are deriving from the government of India&#8217;s EPR policy.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Nitin Gupta, CEO, Attero Recycling | Q1 FY26</p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">India&#8217;s e-waste rules have traveled a long distance since 2012 &#8212; from voluntary to mandatory, from self-reported to customs-enforced, from no market to a digital certificate trading platform with a government-set floor price now being challenged in court. The formal sector&#8217;s share of physical e-waste processing has moved from 1% to 25% in four years. Companies that once treated EPR as a footnote now provision for it as a growing line item.</p><p style="text-align: justify;">But the numbers also show how much distance remains. Three-quarters of India&#8217;s e-waste still flows through an informal system that rules alone cannot reach &#8212; not because enforcement has failed, but because informality has a structural economic advantage that compliance mandates haven&#8217;t closed. The formal sector needs more than rules. It needs GST architecture, financing, and the infrastructure to compete on price.</p><p style="text-align: justify;">And the next wave is already in the pipeline. Solar PV panels are now covered under the E-Waste Management Rules 2022, but India&#8217;s standalone solar waste management framework remains unfinished. By 2030, projections suggest India will generate approximately 340 kilotonnes of solar panel waste, concentrated in five states. EV batteries &#8212; governed by the Battery Waste Management Rules &#8212; will test the recycling infrastructure that companies like Amara Raja are just beginning to build. The rules that found their teeth over the last decade will need to grow a new set.</p><h2 style="text-align: justify;">What to watch?</h2><ul><li><p style="text-align: justify;"><strong>Delhi High Court ruling on EPR floor pricing:</strong> &#9;</p><p style="text-align: justify;">If the court strikes down the minimum price mechanism, formal recyclers lose their margin buffer and the economics of certificate trading shift. The outcome will tell you whether the government can hold the line on making formal recycling financially viable.</p></li><li><p style="text-align: justify;"><strong>Amara Raja&#8217;s battery-breaking operations (Q4 FY26):</strong> </p><p style="text-align: justify;">Full vertical integration of its &#8377;700 crore recycling plant comes online this quarter. The recovery ratios it achieves &#8212; how much usable lead it can extract per kilogram of scrap &#8212; will determine whether formal recycling in India can compete on economics, not just compliance.</p></li><li><p style="text-align: justify;"><strong>GST Reverse Charge Mechanism for e-waste scrap:</strong></p><p style="text-align: justify;">Attero has been advocating for this for multiple quarters. Any indication from the Finance Ministry or GST Council signals whether the government is willing to address the structural cost disadvantage of the formal sector.</p></li><li><p style="text-align: justify;"><strong>Solar Waste Management Rules finalization:</strong></p><p style="text-align: justify;">MNRE and CPCB have the roadmap; standalone solar waste rules haven&#8217;t arrived. When they do, EPR obligations will land simultaneously on Adani Green, Tata Power Solar, Waaree Energies, and Premier Energies  &#8212; companies whose panels are already aging in the field.</p></li><li><p style="text-align: justify;"><strong>India&#8217;s National Critical Minerals Mission linkage to e-waste:</strong></p><p style="text-align: justify;">Whether the government ties urban mining incentives to formal e-waste processing will determine if the sector gets the financing it needs to scale fast enough to matter for the rare earth supply chain.</p></li></ul><div><hr></div><p>That&#8217;s it for now! Your feedback will really help shape how The Chatter evolves. Drop it down in the comments below!</p><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://thechatterbyzerodha.substack.com/p/the-chatter-underneath-the-noise?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share&amp;token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjozMDExNzg5MTMsInBvc3RfaWQiOjE3MjY2NDQxNiwiaWF0IjoxNzU3NTk4NjQzLCJleHAiOjE3NjAxOTA2NDMsImlzcyI6InB1Yi00ODk4NzYwIiwic3ViIjoicG9zdC1yZWFjdGlvbiJ9.TFcDJv32XGvO0oFacHaCKP014RVVZ1pAYaVdcBrgrfE&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Share&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:&quot;button-wrapper&quot;}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary button-wrapper" href="https://thechatterbyzerodha.substack.com/p/the-chatter-underneath-the-noise?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share&amp;token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjozMDExNzg5MTMsInBvc3RfaWQiOjE3MjY2NDQxNiwiaWF0IjoxNzU3NTk4NjQzLCJleHAiOjE3NjAxOTA2NDMsImlzcyI6InB1Yi00ODk4NzYwIiwic3ViIjoicG9zdC1yZWFjdGlvbiJ9.TFcDJv32XGvO0oFacHaCKP014RVVZ1pAYaVdcBrgrfE"><span>Share</span></a></p><p>Disclaimer: We&#8217;ve used AI tools in filtering and cleaning up these quotes &amp; narratives so there maybe some mistakes. Now, if you are thinking why we are using AI, please remember that we are just a small team of 5 people running everything you see on Zerodha Markets &#128556; So, all the good stuff is human and mistakes are AI.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Chatter: HDFC, Groww, Yes Bank, Havells & More]]></title><description><![CDATA[Q4FY26 | Edition #56]]></description><link>https://thechatter.zerodha.com/p/the-chatter-hdfc-groww-yes-bank-havells</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://thechatter.zerodha.com/p/the-chatter-hdfc-groww-yes-bank-havells</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Zerodha]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 24 Apr 2026 12:37:29 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hTtl!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F89d575b5-8156-44df-bf73-b05ac249606c_2400x1350.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hTtl!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F89d575b5-8156-44df-bf73-b05ac249606c_2400x1350.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hTtl!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F89d575b5-8156-44df-bf73-b05ac249606c_2400x1350.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hTtl!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F89d575b5-8156-44df-bf73-b05ac249606c_2400x1350.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hTtl!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F89d575b5-8156-44df-bf73-b05ac249606c_2400x1350.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hTtl!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F89d575b5-8156-44df-bf73-b05ac249606c_2400x1350.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hTtl!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F89d575b5-8156-44df-bf73-b05ac249606c_2400x1350.png" width="1456" height="819" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/89d575b5-8156-44df-bf73-b05ac249606c_2400x1350.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:819,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:461768,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://thechatter.zerodha.com/i/195339161?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F89d575b5-8156-44df-bf73-b05ac249606c_2400x1350.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hTtl!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F89d575b5-8156-44df-bf73-b05ac249606c_2400x1350.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hTtl!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F89d575b5-8156-44df-bf73-b05ac249606c_2400x1350.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hTtl!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F89d575b5-8156-44df-bf73-b05ac249606c_2400x1350.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!hTtl!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F89d575b5-8156-44df-bf73-b05ac249606c_2400x1350.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Welcome to the <strong>56th edition</strong> of The Chatter &#8212; a weekly newsletter where we dig through what India&#8217;s biggest companies are saying and bring you the most interesting bits of insight, whether about the business, its sector, or the wider economy. We read every major Indian earnings call and listen to the interviews so you don&#8217;t have to.</p><p>We&#8217;re always eager to improve&#8212;please share your ideas on how else we can innovate &#8220;The Chatter&#8221; format to better serve your needs.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2" target="_blank" href="https://www.tijoristack.ai/concall-monitor/?utm_source=zerodha&amp;utm_campaign=z_marketing" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png" width="1456" height="364" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:364,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:306481,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:&quot;https://www.tijoristack.ai/concall-monitor/?utm_source=zerodha&amp;utm_campaign=z_marketing&quot;,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://thechatter.zerodha.com/i/193793492?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Check out <a href="https://www.tijoristack.ai/concall-monitor/?utm_source=zerodha&amp;utm_campaign=z_marketing">Concall Monitor</a></figcaption></figure></div><p>In this edition, we have covered <strong>18 companies across 6 industries and a few TV interviews</strong></p><h1>Information Technology</h1><ul><li><p>HCL Technologies</p></li><li><p>Tech Mahindra</p></li><li><p>Persistent Systems</p></li><li><p>Tata Elxsi</p></li></ul><h1>Financial Services</h1><ul><li><p>Billionbrains Garage Ventures Ltd. (Groww)</p></li><li><p>HDFC AMC</p></li><li><p>HDFC Bank</p></li><li><p>ICICI Bank</p></li><li><p>Yes Bank</p></li></ul><h1>Telecom</h1><ul><li><p>Tata Communications</p></li></ul><h1>Capital Goods</h1><ul><li><p>Mahindra EPC Irrigation</p></li><li><p>Transformers &amp; Rectifiers (India) Ltd.</p></li></ul><h1>Retail</h1><ul><li><p>Havells India Limited</p></li></ul><h1>Automotive</h1><ul><li><p>SML Mahindra Limited</p></li></ul><h1>TV Interviews</h1><ul><li><p>HCL Technologies on its Q4 Results</p></li><li><p>Greenpanel Industries on Price Hikes</p></li><li><p>Pearl Global Industries on US Sourcing Shift &amp; Tariff Mechanics</p></li><li><p>MM Forgings on Demand Recovery</p></li></ul><div><hr></div><h1>Information Technology</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/HCLTECH/">HCL Technologies | Large Cap | IT Services</a></h2><p>HCLTech is a global technology services company providing software, infrastructure, and engineering solutions to large enterprises. The firm operates across segments including IT and Business Services, Engineering and R&amp;D Services, and HCL Software.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/4298-21-Apr-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>Management is seeing AI integration in almost every new contract, which has helped them maintain industry-leading growth rates. This suggests the company is effectively capturing market share as enterprises pivot toward AI-driven efficiency.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Client behavior reflected familiar patterns of cost-takeout initiatives coupled with accelerated adoption of AI-led productivity gains. Notably, AI momentum remains strong with nearly all deals incorporating an AI or GenAI component. Given this backdrop, the year marks the third consecutive year that HCLTech is likely to deliver the highest organic revenue growth among scale players.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; C. Vijayakumar, CEO and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>While total deal values appear flat, management notes that AI automation is making projects cheaper to deliver, effectively hiding an increase in work volume. This shift suggests that revenue growth in the AI era may require higher deal volumes to offset lower per-project pricing.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;TCV of net new bookings for the year clocked $9.3 billion, same as last year, despite some of the AI deflation that you see in the TCV net new booking. As we close the quarter and fiscal year, our AI strategy is translating into deeper client engagement and clear market leadership.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; C. Vijayakumar, CEO and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Management expects nearly half of the traditional IT services market to shrink as AI automates routine tasks, while new AI-specific services will boom. Investors should monitor how quickly the company can pivot its workforce from these shrinking areas into high-growth AI categories.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;40% of the industry runs the risk of being disrupted by AI and can shrink at a 3-5% CAGR for a few years and can eventually be 25% of the enterprise spend. ... Finally, there is a market that is AI-native, currently at 5% of the market growing at 30%, which can become 20% plus of the market in 5 years.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; C. Vijayakumar, CEO and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Advanced AI models are making software development much faster, which reduces the number of billable hours per project. This internal efficiency is a double-edged sword that improves speed but puts downward pressure on traditional revenue models.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Starting with the deflation number of 3-5% that I shared, it is mostly based on the industry mix of services. For the specific question on how that changes with respect to model effectiveness, I think most of the enhancement in models is really driving more and more velocity and efficiency in the SDLC lifecycle.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; C. Vijayakumar, CEO and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is successfully securing large-scale infrastructure projects to build data centers optimized for AI workloads. This demonstrates that HCLTech is moving beyond simple consulting and into the core physical build-out of AI systems.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I think AI Factory is where we are seeing tremendous traction. One of the large deals that we called out this quarter is a $100 million plus AI Factory deal for the design, implementation, and support of a next-generation AI data center for a large technology company.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; C. Vijayakumar, CEO and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The software division is seeing lower sales of one-time licenses as it tries to transition customers to more stable recurring subscriptions. This transition is expected to keep software revenue flat or slightly down as the old revenue model fades.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;For the software segment, we continue to work on pivoting the business to more subscription and steady revenue streams away from perpetual license sales. ... Our expectation is low single-digit, flattish, or marginally declining growth for the coming year.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; C. Vijayakumar, CEO and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>AI is providing a new level of productivity savings beyond what was historically possible in IT outsourcing contracts. For investors, this means the company must continuously innovate to prevent these price reductions from eroding their total earnings.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;No, I think we were always careful that this is an incremental impact. The traditional productivity what we normally commit in a Greenfield or in a first-generation outsourcer &#8212; we should now be looking at an incremental impact or reduction in the overall solution.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; C. Vijayakumar, CEO and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/TECHM/">Tech Mahindra | Large Cap | IT Services</a></h2><p>Tech Mahindra is a global IT services company focused on digital transformation, consulting, and enterprise technology solutions, with strong exposure to telecom, manufacturing, and BFSI. The company is currently in a transition phase, improving margins and rebuilding deal momentum while positioning itself around AI-led services and large enterprise partnerships.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/4644-22-Apr-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>The company reported its highest-ever deal wins, including large strategic contracts, indicating strong demand and visibility for future growth.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We closed the year with our highest ever deal wins in the last many years. Notably, we secured two mega deals over consecutive quarters aimed at accelerating innovation, strengthening digital resilience, and delivering AI-led operational efficiencies.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Mohit Joshi, CEO and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Despite modest revenue growth, the company delivered strong margin expansion through disciplined execution, signalling improved operational efficiency.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Full year revenues for Tech Mahindra stand at $6.385 billion, up 1.9% on a reported basis and 0.6% in constant currency. During the year, our focus remained on disciplined execution, staying close to clients, and progressing our solution-led approach. Operating profit is $797 million, up 31.4% year-over-year with margins expanding by about 290 basis points to 12.6%.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Mohit Joshi, CEO and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is transitioning from a traditional outsourcing model to a higher-value strategic partner role, which improves deal stickiness and pricing power.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We closed the year with total deal wins of $3.794 billion, representing a 42% growth year-over-year. Tech Mahindra is increasingly positioned as a strategic partner to clients rather than only as an outsourcing vendor.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Mohit Joshi, CEO and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Margins continued to improve even while the company invested in AI and absorbed transition costs from large deals, indicating strong cost control.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Operating profit for the quarter is at $223 million, up 5.5% quarter-over-quarter, and margin improves by 70 basis points to 13.8%. Project 40, FX tailwinds, and Comviva seasonality contribute positively, while we continue to invest in AI and work through transition costs in our large deals.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Rohit Anand, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>The company announced its highest-ever dividend, reflecting strong cash flows and a shareholder-friendly capital allocation approach.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In line with our stated capital allocation policy, the board has recommended a final dividend of 36 rupees per share, taking the total dividend announcement for the year to 51 rupees per share. This is the highest ever dividend we have announced. The full year dividend payout ratio works out to be 104% of PAT and 91% of free cash flow.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Rohit Anand, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/PERSISTENT/">Persistent Systems Ltd. | Large Cap | IT Services</a></h2><p>Persistent Systems is a global digital engineering provider specializing in cloud-native application development and enterprise modernization. The firm leverages proprietary AI platforms like Tatwa and Iora to serve clients across the BFSI, Healthcare, and High-Tech industries.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/5774-21-Apr-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>Clients are moving their budgets away from routine maintenance and toward major technology overhauls designed to support AI capabilities. This shift is driving demand for Persistent&#8217;s core strengths in modernization and data infrastructure.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We see a real shift in spending from business-as-usual programs to transformation initiatives that are preparing clients to adopt AI at enterprise levels. We are involved in accelerating clients&#8217; transformation journeys in the following areas: improving time-to-market for new product rollouts, transforming complex legacy landscapes, end-to-end modernization of data, and reimagining customer experience.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Bharath Narayanan, Executive Vice President, Global BFSI and Europe Geography Head</em></p></blockquote><p>Management clarified that their goal is to reach a $2 billion revenue pace by the final quarter of the next fiscal year. This target sets a clear benchmark for investors to measure the company&#8217;s growth trajectory over the next 12 to 18 months.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;So, for the USD 2 billion revenue, we are looking at the Q4 FY27 exit as the point where we hit that annualized run rate. Now coming to your other questions regarding the accounts, we have been managing those relationships closely. From the company&#8217;s perspective, we have fairly strong relationships with each of them, and they are still there.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sandeep Kalra, Executive Director and Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>While new platform features like Salesforce Headless 360 allow direct software connections, they also increase complexity for the end customer. This complexity ensures that professional service firms like Persistent remain necessary to implement and manage these advanced systems.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;To keep it short, given the time constraints, if you look at the overall Headless 360, while it gives customers options to use APIs directly, it also increases the technical work. Not every customer is tech-savvy enough to take advantage of these without having that technical competence. So, we are working very closely with Salesforce.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sandeep Kalra, Executive Director and Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Persistent is successfully gaining market share within the healthcare sector, even as larger competitors report slowing demand. This relative outperformance suggests that the company&#8217;s specific offerings are more resilient than the broader industry average.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We play in the same vertical and some of our larger customers are there. We share these customers with a few other strategic tier-one firms as well. As far as we are concerned, we have been able to grow in the same set of accounts despite the headwinds that the industry has faced.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sandeep Kalra, Executive Director and Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is targeting private equity-owned firms as a primary customer base for their cost-saving AI tools. This strategy allows Persistent to tap into a massive segment of the US software market that is currently focused on efficiency and margin improvement.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The fact is that there are more PE-owned companies in the US today than public companies. In the enterprise software space over the last 5 years, many companies have been taken private. If we can partner with the PEs and their portfolio companies to improve their margins using our platforms&#8212;whether we use open-source LLMs or Anthropic&#8212;it is a very big opportunity.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sandeep Kalra, Executive Director and Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Persistent spends roughly $8 million to $9 million annually on developing its own internal data platforms. These investments are proving valuable as clients increasingly seek proprietary software solutions to gain an edge in their AI transformations.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;As far as the capitalization spend we do on our main data systems, that ranges around 8 million to 9 million dollars a year. You can assume our own developed IP is getting a lot of attention and momentum in terms of the benefits provided to clients.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sandeep Kalra, Executive Director and Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management believes that using third-party AI platforms will not hurt their profitability because the technology increases overall worker productivity. This suggests that AI is being viewed as a tool to maintain or enhance margins rather than an added cost burden.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Most of this should be largely neutral or slightly accretive because the entire promise of AI is to do more work with fewer people and more technology. It should not be margin-dilutive. Our margins should stay the same or improve as we use more of this technology.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sandeep Kalra, Executive Director and Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management admits that new AI tools might reduce the size of some traditional coding projects, but they believe they can still grow by taking market share from others. Their relatively small size compared to the total market gives them ample room to expand despite industry-wide shifts.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Even if we see compression in the tech world or cannibalization of our own business, the total addressable market is large, and we are a relatively small company at roughly 1.7 billion dollars. There is enough new outsourcing and market share rotation happening for us to lead the pack.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sandeep Kalra, Executive Director and Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/TATAELXSI/">Tata Elxsi Limited | Mid Cap | IT Services / ER&amp;D</a></h2><p>Tata Elxsi is a leading global provider of design-led technology services across automotive, media, and healthcare sectors. The company specializes in engineering research and development, helping clients innovate through AI, digital transformation, and specialized domain expertise.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/299-21-Apr-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>The company has successfully shifted its focus toward direct deals with car manufacturers rather than just parts suppliers. This strategy is winning new global business even while the broader market remains slow.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In our transportation business, our revenues in Q4 FY26 grew by 0.2% quarter-on-quarter in constant currency terms. We are delighted with two strategic wins: one in the APAC region from a new OEM and another from a next-generation mobility services company in the US, paving the path for business growth in coming quarters. Our investment and efforts to pivot towards OEM business are delivering continued success, underscoring our strength and focused execution of chosen strategies.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, Executive Leadership</em></p></blockquote><p>The company relies heavily on its existing client base for over 97% of its quarterly revenue. This high level of repeat business provides stability but makes the firm dependent on the health of its current accounts.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;If you look at it in any quarter, new customers would contribute maybe 2% to 2.5% of the revenue. So, a large portion of the revenue comes from existing customers and the deals that we win with them. However, we also see a good new set of customers coming in.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, Executive Leadership</em></p></blockquote><p>Management admitted that the timing of deal closures in the healthcare segment missed expectations, leading to a poor quarterly result. They expect these delayed deals to close early in the next quarter, signaling a likely rebound.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We were very optimistic that the healthcare business had reached the bottom and would turn around. We were pretty confident because there were a few deals that we were bidding for. Unfortunately for us, those deals did not close in time, which resulted in the situation we had. However, we still continue to carry those items in our high-probability funnel.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, Executive Leadership</em></p></blockquote><p>New multi-year contracts often lower initial profits because of high setup and transition expenses. Management expects margins to rise in the later years of these contracts as projects become more efficient.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;When we look at a three-year or five-year deal, the initial year would have a lot of costs involved. That could include transition costs or acquisition costs. However, when you look at a multi-year horizon, we definitely look at how we can improve our margin sequentially quarter-on-quarter and year-on-year.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, Executive Leadership</em></p></blockquote><p>Better employee utilization is a primary driver for the company&#8217;s rising profit margins. As the company moves more staff onto billable projects, investors can expect a predictable boost to the bottom line.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The work has been happening in terms of the operating model, operating efficiencies, and leverage. It is not only about utilization, though utilization was below 70% at one point. Now we are inching toward the mid-70s. Every 1% increase in utilization helps by at least 25 to 30 basis points on the margins.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Gaurav, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Global political tensions are making automotive clients more cautious about starting new work. Consequently, management has lowered its growth expectations for this key segment to high single digits.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I am still pretty optimistic about the overall automotive market. However, given the current geopolitical situation and uncertainties, while we have the deals in hand and will look at ramping up, there could be some uncertainty. We are still talking to customers about that. Having said that, we would likely look at a high single-digit exit; we may not get into double digits for automotive.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, Executive Leadership</em></p></blockquote><p>While some competitors are cutting prices by promising AI-driven savings, Tata Elxsi believes the specialized nature of engineering prevents massive price wars. They are maintaining price discipline rather than chasing low-margin work.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I do not think we have seen irrationality in general. ER&amp;D is still very specialized. It is not something where you can use AI or GenAI across the board. That said, we have seen a few contracts where competition has priced very aggressively.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, Executive Leadership</em></p></blockquote><p>The company has officially moderated its annual growth guidance from double digits down to single digits. This reflects a more conservative outlook on how quickly global clients will commit to new spending.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Today, looking at the global situation, we might be looking at a single-digit to higher single-digit growth for the financial year. We may not reach double-digit growth. This could change in the next three to six months based on deal momentum.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, Executive Leadership</em></p></blockquote><p>Management is being cautious about taking on too many fixed-price contracts which carry higher risk if projects go over budget. They want a balanced portfolio to ensure financial stability during complex engineering projects.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;It is not necessarily advisable to shift more of the business to fixed-price. It requires a careful transition because we need the right subject matter experts and architects to execute and deliver margins. It is a double-edged sword. It is not our objective to move to 70% or 80% fixed-price; that would put too much risk on us.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, Executive Leadership</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is quietly expanding into the aerospace and defense sectors to reduce its reliance on automotive and media. Success in these high-barrier industries could provide a new long-term growth engine.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are focusing on aerospace and defense. We have some exciting things happening there, but it is difficult to detail them until they result in large revenues. We are doing good work with defense organizations in India, such as HAL.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, Executive Leadership</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Financial Services</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/GROWW/">Billionbrains Garage Ventures Ltd. (Groww) | Large Cap | Financial Services</a></h2><p>Billionbrains (Groww) is steadily evolving beyond a discount broker into a full-stack investment platform, with a clear push toward wealth and AUM-led growth. While user activity and retention remain strong, the real shift is in how new investors are entering, through mutual funds and long-term products, signalling a more stable and scalable business model going forward.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/59344-20-Apr-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>The company is aggressively scaling its wealth management business to move beyond traditional broking and build a more stable, AUM-driven model.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Going forward, our focus will continue to be on scaling our wealth business. It has been six months since the Fissdom acquisition, and now we have got a lot of learnings on how to look at the problem of scaling. We will continue scaling wealth.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Lalit Keshre, Co-founder and CEO, Billionbrains Garage Ventures Ltd.</em></p></blockquote><p>The company views AI as a critical driver for both operational efficiency and enhanced user engagement in the coming year. For investors, this dual focus could lead to faster product releases and improved operating margins through tech-led productivity gains.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;Secondly, we will continue compounding our existing businesses and growing market share, which we have been continuously doing. Thirdly, we see this year as the inflection point for how AI will start impacting things, and we look at it in two ways. One is how we can improve the customer experience leveraging AI, and second is on the productivity side where our internal teams are shipping much faster and better.&#8221;</p><p>&#8212; Lalit Keshre, Co-founder and CEO</p></blockquote><p>Muted market conditions have prompted a shift in how new users enter the platform, moving from direct stocks to passive products. This trend highlights the platform&#8217;s ability to remain relevant across different market cycles by offering diverse investment entry points.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;Markets have not been doing so great since September 2024. Since then, we have seen that the acquisition funnel has shifted more towards mutual funds and ETFs as products. Hence, the way customers are actually getting introduced to the capital market has become slightly different.&#8221;</p><p>&#8212; Ishan Bansal, Co-founder and CFO</p></blockquote><p>Increased market volatility and the launch of new trading tools have significantly boosted the company&#8217;s derivative market share. This increased activity suggests that the platform&#8217;s active user base is highly responsive to market movements and new product features.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;First, with the new customers coming to the derivatives market, we are driving some benefits from new initiatives, including 9:15. But a large part of this is coming on Groww itself. Second, because the last quarter had a lot of volatility, we saw that our customers who used to trade earlier have started doing more.&#8221;</p><p>&#8212; Ishan Bansal, Co-founder and CFO</p></blockquote><p>The firm is holding back on launching algorithmic trading products until there is more regulatory stability in the sector. This cautious stance protects the company from compliance risks while ensuring future products are built on a solid legal foundation.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;As of now, we do not have a very strong strategy focused on algo. We believe the new regulations that are still getting cleaned up will eventually give us more clarity. We will probably jump into this market once we have full clarity on the regulatory piece.&#8221;</p><p>&#8212; Harsh Jain, Co-founder and COO</p></blockquote><p>Rising employee expenses are a result of strategic hiring for high-growth areas like wealth management and artificial intelligence. These investments are intended to drive long-term value creation even if they weigh on short-term personnel costs.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;On the employee cost, we are investing across multiple functions, including asset management and the wealth side. There are also initiatives on the AI side in Groww where we are investing. This investment typically comes in the form of people, and hence the employee cost has increased a little bit from last quarter to this quarter.&#8221;</p><p>&#8212; Ishan Bansal, Co-founder and CFO</p></blockquote><p>Margin Trade Funding (MTF) is being used to deepen engagement with existing clients rather than as a tool to find new ones. This shift toward longer holding periods among traders can lead to more stable revenue streams from interest income.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;On MTF, it is not an acquisition product for us. Mostly our existing customers are using MTF. Earlier, they might have been doing intraday trading; now they are holding positions for longer.&#8221;</p><p>&#8212; Harsh Jain, Co-founder and COO</p></blockquote><p>Expansion into smaller cities is bringing in a more stable, long-term investor base compared to the typical urban trader. These &#8216;sticky&#8217; customers are expected to have a higher lifetime value, providing a foundation for steady AUM growth.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;What we are seeing currently is that as we expand into tier 2 and tier 3 towns, the profile of the customer is slightly different. These people are now new to stocks, and we have seen that their behavior and their investing habits are more long-term oriented. They are looking at building wealth over time, not just trading in the short term.&#8221;</p><p>&#8212; Lalit Keshre, Co-founder and CEO</p></blockquote><p>Management explains that industry expansion is non-linear and heavily dependent on bull market cycles to attract new cohorts. Investors should expect periods of rapid growth followed by stabilization as the industry follows a steady 10-15% long-term growth path.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;Growth typically comes in those bull runs and then stabilizes. When the next bull run comes, that is when the market will expand, and that expansion is typically very high. In a longer frame, the industry is growing at a 10-15% CAGR.&#8221;</p><p>&#8212; Harsh Jain, Co-founder and COO</p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/HDFCAMC/">HDFC AMC | Large Cap | Financial Services</a></h2><p>HDFC AMC provides a diverse range of mutual funds through active and passive strategies across equity, fixed income, hybrid, and multiasset solutions. The company also offers portfolio management services, alternative investment funds, and caters to HNIs, corporates, trusts, and institutions with tailored investment solutions.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachLive/988afa1b-34d6-46ed-a41c-541db589948e.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>The company plans strategic expansion into non-mutual fund businesses such as PMS and alternatives, indicating a diversification of revenue streams.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Over the next several years, apart from the mutual funds, we also see opportunities to grow the non-mutual fund side of the business, which includes our PMS capabilities... and on the alternatives side.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Navneet Munot, Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Indian domestic investors are demonstrating growing maturity, adopting a long-term perspective and understanding the advantages of systematic investing.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;One thing is quite clear that domestic households are increasingly investing with a long-term mindset. And they are beginning to appreciate the benefits of rupee cost averaging.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Navneet Munot, Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Investors exhibited mature, contrarian behavior by capitalizing on market downturns and volatility to increase their investments.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I mean that clearly shows that in extreme volatility and when markets were not doing well, the Nifty and the other indices were down, investors use that an opportunity to put more money to work. I mean that clearly shows a very mature behaviour of investors.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Navneet Munot, Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>India&#8217;s nascent stage of savings financialization presents a substantial growth opportunity that HDFC AMC aims to fully leverage.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are in a growth business. And I would emphasize we are at very early stage of financialization of savings in India. We want to make the most of the opportunity which lies ahead.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Navneet Munot, Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>HDFC AMC is taking a cautious and deliberate approach to launching SIF products despite regulatory approval, prioritizing thoughtful design over being first to market.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;On your question on SIF, so we have secured all necessary regulatory approvals... So, we are not approaching this as a race. In a category like this, being early doesn&#8217;t necessarily create an advantage. In fact, the first few products will end up shaping investor expectations for the entire segment. So, we would much rather be thoughtful and deliberate.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Navneet Munot, Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>While the company is proud to secure prestigious government mandates like EPFO and SPFO, these non-discretionary PMS segments operate with very narrow profit margins.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The non-discretionary, particularly the EPFO and SPFO kind, these are Government of India mandates and among the most prestigious and very tightly contested opportunities. So, we are honored to have been selected. That said, this is a segment that operates under very, very tight economics.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Navneet Munot, Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>The company&#8217;s balance sheet equity holdings, mandated by SEBI&#8217;s &#8216;skin in the game&#8217; rule, experienced a decline in value due to the market correction in Q4.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The equity investment in mutual funds that we have on the balance sheet is largely due to the skin in the game circular from SEBI. So that portion of the equity investments saw a drawdown because of the market correction in the Q4, right.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Naozad Sirwalla, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/HDFCBANK/">HDFC Bank  | Large Cap | Financial Services</a></h2><p>HDFC Bank and its subsidiaries offer various banking and financial services such as retail banking, wholesale banking, treasury operations, insurance, and asset management. With overseas branches in multiple countries, the bank operates in segments including Wholesale Banking, Treasury, and Retail Banking.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/129-18-Apr-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>The bank achieved 12% credit growth, significantly outperforming the previous year&#8217;s low growth. This shows that the bank is regaining its lending momentum as the broader economy improves.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We had estimated a system credit growth to be around 10.5-11.5%. We did 12%, up from 5.5% last year. As you can see, there is positive momentum as we had expected.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sashi Jagdishan, CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Massive expansions in branch networks and customer bases are being viewed as long-term investments rather than just immediate costs. This setup creates a foundation for future profit growth as these new touchpoints become more efficient.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The distribution nearly doubled to 9,700 branches. The number of customers nearly doubled to 100 million customers. Our tech investments more than quadrupled to around a billion dollars. The merger with mortgage company HDFC Limited too is an investment for the future.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sashi Jagdishan, CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management clarified that regulatory ratios regarding loans and deposits are no longer a major hurdle for their operations. This removes a key concern for investors who were worried about the bank&#8217;s ability to grow its loan book.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The loan to deposit ratio is not a constraint; the regulator has come out and talked about it. We have demonstrated our ability to gain market share on deposits every year, almost around 30-50 basis points over the last five years. Hence, it is no longer a binding constraint.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sashi Jagdishan, CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>HDFC Bank has developed an internal AI platform to automate complex tasks and speed up customer service. This technology-first approach is expected to reduce operating costs and improve overall profitability over time.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;But the real story is how we created in-house the unified AI platform, which is going to be the center that stands across the entire organization. It allows us to deploy AI agents quickly without building custom interfaces between systems. The platform brings together enterprise search, document extraction, voice-based agents, and a full AI development lifecycle.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sashi Jagdishan, CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Despite global political tensions, management sees continued high demand for loans from sectors like electronics and semiconductors. Sustained corporate demand is a positive sign for the bank&#8217;s commercial lending business.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;For the growth drivers, first from the corporate side, you have seen in our release the increase that we have done over the previous year. We do see this sustaining, as there has been demand. Of course, we will have to temper it given the fallout of what we see in the geopolitical area, which hopefully should not be more than a couple of months going into this financial year.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, Executive Team</em></p></blockquote><p>While wholesale deposits spiked at the end of the year, the bank is keeping its focus on steady retail money. Maintaining a high percentage of retail deposits makes the bank&#8217;s funding source more stable and less prone to sudden withdrawals.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;If you look at the composition between retail and wholesale, there is some level of wholesale deposits that come in the March quarter naturally because of relationships as well as how the corporates manage their balance sheets towards the end of their financial year. You&#8217;ll see that the average of the retail versus wholesale is about a percentage point or two different in this quarter; in our earnings stack, you would notice that there is 82% against 84% in retail.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, Executive Team</em></p></blockquote><p>Small-ticket deposits now make up nearly half of the bank&#8217;s new deposit growth. This shift towards granular retail money reduces the bank&#8217;s dependence on expensive or volatile large-scale corporate funds.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In fact, the less than 3 crore deposits mobilized in 2026 on a net basis has grown almost about 74% over the net incremental deposits for FY 25 on the less than 3 crore bucket. So what constituted 31% of the total net accretion in FY 25 now constitutes 47%. These are very less volatile and very sustainable.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, Executive Team</em></p></blockquote><p>Loan rates dropped faster than deposit costs during the recent rate cycle, putting temporary pressure on interest margins. This reminds investors that the bank&#8217;s profitability is sensitive to how quickly the central bank adjusts interest rates.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;On the deposit side, the transmission that has happened is only about 50-60 basis points so far. It hasn&#8217;t fully offset what the asset pricing move was. Now, due to the geopolitical situation and uncertainty, the rate cycle is currently on pause.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, Executive Team</em></p></blockquote><p>Management emphasized that they prioritize Return on Assets (ROA) over other metrics to ensure they aren&#8217;t taking excessive risks just to boost growth. This focus on high-quality returns suggests a disciplined approach to capital allocation.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;ROA is what we should focus on. ROE is an intermediate metric. If you take higher risks and bring that into the top line, you may lose it in the credit loss below the ROA line. So, we focus on the returns on assets.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, Executive Team</em></p></blockquote><p>The bank has successfully converted half of its home loan customers into regular banking customers, up from about a third previously. This successful integration proves the bank is capturing more value from its large merger.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;36% of the people who had home loans with HDFC had their liabilities with us. Net of attritions and acquisitions, over this journey, this 36% has come as high as 50% within the last 2.5 years. That tells you the strength of the liability franchise.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, Executive Team</em></p></blockquote><p>Current account and savings account (CASA) balances from the merger group have grown significantly in just two and a half years. This growth in low-cost deposits helps the bank maintain better profit margins.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Secondly, the actual CASA balances have grown. At that point in time, we had about 50,000 crores in CASA balances. We have today grown that to 86,000 crores. That&#8217;s the growth in 2.5 years in terms of both the numbers and the engagement of the accounts.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, Executive Team</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/ICICIBANK/">ICICI Bank | Large Cap | Financial Services</a></h2><p>ICICI Bank is a leading private sector bank in India providing a wide range of financial products and services to retail, SME, and corporate customers. With a strong presence across urban and rural areas, the bank offers digital banking solutions, international services, and financial solutions to businesses and government entities.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/4255-18-Apr-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>The bank has largely finished adjusting its balance sheet to the recent cycle of interest rate cuts. Investors should expect more predictable interest income levels in the upcoming quarters.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Most of the rate cut impacts have moved through the system, though there was a small cut in December. Overall, we expect margins to be stable from here.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, Executive Leadership Team</em></p></blockquote><p>Significant growth in rural lending is being driven by a strategic push into secure gold-backed loans. Maintaining provisions for agricultural loans shows a cautious approach to regulatory compliance in the priority sector.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Higher demand for gold loans and our enhanced machinery in that segment are the primary drivers. On the agricultural priority sector provision, we are still holding those as of March while we work through the portfolio to bring it into conformity with regulatory requirements.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, Executive Leadership Team</em></p></blockquote><p>The bank is committed to &#8216;positive jaws,&#8217; where its revenue grows faster than its operating expenses. This focus on operational efficiency is a key driver for improving the bank&#8217;s overall cost-to-income ratio.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;OpEx was largely in line with expectations, though costs related to priority sector compliance and labor code remuneration were higher. Our objective is to keep OpEx growth below top-line growth.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, Executive Leadership Team</em></p></blockquote><p>A shift in consumer behavior away from high-interest &#8216;revolving&#8217; credit card debt is putting pressure on industry margins. However, ICICI Bank believes its credit card business remains fundamentally sound and profitable due to its focus on high-quality spenders.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The Q4 decline is a function of spends and revolvers. While the decline in revolvers has impacted industry profitability over the last two years, it remains a very profitable business for us.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, Executive Leadership Team</em></p></blockquote><p>Despite general industry concerns about liquidity, ICICI Bank maintains a healthy buffer of liquid assets. This comfortable position ensures that the bank can continue lending without being restricted by a shortage of new deposits.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our average LCR is very comfortable at about 126% for the quarter. Deposit flows are healthy and more than adequate, so deposit growth will not be a constraint for our loan growth.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, Executive Leadership Team</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/YESBANK/">Yes Bank | Large Cap | Financial Services</a></h2><p>Yes Bank is a full-service commercial bank in India providing a wide range of retail, MSME, and corporate banking solutions. The bank has completed a significant multi-year transformation following its 2020 reconstruction and is now focused on sustainable growth and profitability.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/4547-18-Apr-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>Management is aggressively scaling its retail lending engine to drive growth and improve yields across the total loan book. The rapid pace of retail disbursals suggests the bank is confident in its risk models and its ability to capture market share.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Retail disbursals in particular have gained significant momentum, registering 41% year-on-year growth in Q4 FY26. We remain focused on balanced and profitable growth across retail, commercial, and wholesale businesses, supported by disciplined risk selection and effective pricing.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Vinay M. Tonse, Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>The bank is guiding for loan growth to accelerate to industry levels of 14-15% after a period of deliberate calibration. This move toward market-matching growth signals that the bank&#8217;s rebuilding phase is fully complete and it is ready to compete for volume.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We believe that momentum should certainly continue and it is now becoming more secular across segments. Retail disbursement growth rates are quite aggressive as we move fast now given our confidence on asset quality and profitability. Net-net, we should certainly aim to grow in line with industry, if not more, which anchors around the 14-15% range.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Vinay M. Tonse, Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>The bank has provided a clear roadmap for the maturity of its low-yielding RIDF assets over the next few fiscal years. This predictable rundown provides investors with high visibility into a guaranteed tailwind for interest income and margin expansion.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We think that next year the minimum reduction should be about 6,500 crores, and that could go as high as 9,000 crores by the end of March 27. The reduction of RIDF for FY28 and FY29 will be equally split, with some maturities in FY30. The base of the structure starts getting thinner.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Niranjan Banodkar, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management utilized excess recovery gains to create a voluntary buffer of 341 crores, rather than just flowing it all to the bottom line. This conservative approach strengthens the balance sheet against future uncertainties without indicating actual credit stress.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our core NPA credit cost is substantially lower quarter-on-quarter. These factors provided buffers to create provisions. We follow conservative provisioning policies, as seen with our PCR remaining above 80% for the last 3 quarters. As part of that philosophy, we reviewed our portfolio and determined that some proactive, prudent provisioning was appropriate.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Niranjan Banodkar, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management remains cautious regarding the ongoing AT1 bond litigation currently awaiting a Supreme Court verdict. While they maintain their legal stance was correct, the final judgment remains a key binary risk factor that investors must monitor.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have previously stated that we believe the actions we took were in line with contractual obligations and the allowed process. However, we must respect the court proceedings and wait for the decision. I would refrain from passing a judgment on what we expect.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Vinay M. Tonse, Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Despite global geopolitical conflicts, management reports that its MSME and corporate portfolios remain resilient with no immediate signs of credit deterioration. This suggests that the bank&#8217;s tight underwriting standards implemented post-reconstruction are currently holding up against macro shocks.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are proactively monitoring our portfolio. Currently, all our clients, including MSME and larger corporate clients, are managing well and have not shown signs of stress. We will continue to watch this space closely as it could impact inflation and lead to second-order effects.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Vinay M. Tonse, Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Telecom</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/TATACOMM/">Tata Communications | Mid Cap | Telecom</a></h2><p>Tata Communications powers the digital economy with next-gen connectivity, cloud, IoT, and cybersecurity services. Its global network and integrated digital solutions simplify complexities for enterprises, enabling new opportunities in the evolving digital landscape.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/342-22-Apr-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>Digital platforms now constitute over half of data revenue, indicating a significant and successful shift in the company&#8217;s business mix towards higher-growth areas.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our digital platforms are now, for the first time, contributing more than 50% of our data revenue.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ganesh Lakshmi Narayanan, MD and CEO designate</em></p></blockquote><p>Customer engagements reveal a shift from basic connectivity needs to a demand for advanced AI-driven solutions, such as AI agents for customer service.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The conversations with my customers are very encouraging because they are not just talking about connectivity. For example, I met an insurance customer, and the conversation was about how we can build AI agents that can operate as relationship managers for their field service agents.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ganesh Lakshmi Narayanan, MD and CEO designate</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is actively monitoring geopolitical risks, noting some demand-side postponements but no significant impact on costs currently.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Let me address the geopolitical situation first... On the demand side, we are seeing some risks; some events are being postponed or canceled... On the cost side, we are tracking energy costs and chip-related costs. Currently, we do not see a big issue with costs. We are assessing this daily and if there is anything material, we will report it.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ganesh Lakshmi Narayanan, MD and CEO designate</em></p></blockquote><p>Management quantified the opportunity from AI-led data center expansion, especially in India.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Data center to data center connectivity&#8230; in India&#8230; we expect this to be at least a billion-dollar opportunity by 2030&#8230; We expect a four-fold increase in data center bandwidth needs.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is actively pursuing an IPO of STT GDC&#8217;s Indian asset as the preferred method to monetize its stake and achieve optimal value discovery.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;STT GDC has already issued a press statement saying they are looking for a potential IPO for their Indian asset... if we get the right value, an IPO would provide the right value discovery for our stake. We have engaged with STT and the new buyer to secure our monetization rights, with an IPO being the lead option.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, CFO designate</em></p></blockquote><p>The company leverages its unified infrastructure strengths in security, connectivity, and voice for AI solutions, aiming for ROI from its Commotion platform and open to AI partnerships.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our building blocks allow us to capitalize on the unified infrastructure required. It is not just about the agent; the agent needs security, connectivity to enterprise data, and voice infrastructure. Those are our strengths. The Commotion investment gives us an opportunity to participate in generating real ROI. We will also look to partner with other AI companies.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ganesh Lakshmi Narayanan, MD and CEO designate</em></p></blockquote><p>Tata Comm is winning bundled deals combining multiple capabilities, increasing deal sizes and stickiness.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;It is a true digital fabric win which included both our network fabric and the interaction fabric&#8230; enabling GCCs with a secure, cloud-ready, globally connected environment.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ganesh Lakshminarayanan, MD &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management framed long-term growth around two large opportunities: backend digitization in emerging markets and AI-driven enterprise transformation.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;There are two big trends shaping the future&#8230; the back-end is still yet to be digitized&#8230; The second trend&#8230; is the AI-led transformation&#8230; To power enterprise AI at scale&#8230; customers will need a unified infrastructure.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Ganesh Lakshminarayanan, MD &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Capital Goods</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/MAHEPC/">Mahindra EPC Irrigation | Nano Cap | Engineering &amp; Capital Goods</a></h2><p>Mahindra EPC Irrigation Limited was incorporated in 1981 having its registered office in Nashik, India. It is engaged in the business of Micro Irrigation Systems such as Drip and Sprinklers, Agricultural Pumps, Greenhouses and Landscape Products.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/2533-22-Apr-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>Cash flow constraints are almost exclusively driven by delayed payments from states where the company is most active. Management is trading off higher receivables for the sake of securing business in high-margin geographic areas.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The pressure on cash flow in this industry is almost entirely due to receivables. While we have managed working capital through tight inventory controls, receivables build-up has happened in key states where margins are good and there is strong demand. We are currently in a period where there has been a build-up of pendency.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ramesh Ramachandran, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is actively building the operational expertise required to bid for significantly larger irrigation projects. Successfully scaling into the 50-100 crore project tier could drastically change the company&#8217;s revenue profile and market position.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have been taking projects of 5-20 crores. Any plans to take larger projects of 50-100 crores? We are preparing for a step-up from our current size. It requires us to align certain internal capabilities and experience, which we are building on.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ramesh Ramachandran, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Management believes that increasing costs and weather volatility are pushing farmers to view irrigation technology as a necessity for survival. This shift from a discretionary purchase to a core productivity investment supports long-term demand growth.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Rising cultivation costs and climate-related risks are increasing the relevance of solutions that improve input efficiency and productivity. Micro-irrigation, by enabling savings in water, fertilizer, energy, and labor, while at the same time improving yields, continues to be viewed as a value-enhancing investment by farmers rather than a mere capital expense.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ramesh Ramachandran, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>India&#8217;s impending water scarcity will force a reduction in agricultural water consumption to support industrial and urban growth. This transition creates a massive regulatory and economic tailwind for water-efficient irrigation solutions.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;As per current estimates, per capita water availability in India is expected to drop from 1,545 cubic meters in 2011 to 1,140 cubic meters by 2050. It should then classify India as a potentially water-scarce nation. Additionally, India is likely to see faster growth rates in the secondary and tertiary sectors... a larger share of water available in India needs to be provided to these sectors.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ramesh Ramachandran, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Current market penetration remains remarkably low, with over 80% of identified potential land yet to adopt micro-irrigation. The total addressable market could expand even further if surface water usage is successfully integrated into irrigation networks.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;With this background, as we look at the potential and the existing penetration of micro-irrigation in India, we see only about 17-18% penetration of the total identified current potential, which is 72 million hectares. This estimated potential is based mostly on groundwater availability and some portion of surface water. If most of the surface water is also assumed to be available for agriculture, then the potential for micro-irrigation will just double from the 72 million hectares.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ramesh Ramachandran, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The company significantly outperformed the broader industry growth rate despite severe cost and funding headwinds. This suggests effective execution and market share gains even in a volatile operating environment.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In what we estimate as an industry that may register a growth of 6-7% versus FY25, your company registered a growth of 14.8% with 315.8 crores in revenue versus the FY25 revenue of 275.1 crores. This growth was despite the challenges faced in Q4 FY26, a quarter which saw the highest ever raw material prices accompanied by the challenge of states not releasing funds as planned.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ramesh Ramachandran, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>While the central government has improved its funding procedures, delays at the state level have caused industry-wide receivable balances to rise. This highlight the ongoing working capital risks associated with government-dependent revenue streams.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Despite a smoother process of the Mother Sanction released by the Government of India, key states took longer to release the state mandatory funds and the state top-up funds. This led to a pile-up of receivables for the industry in FY26, which significantly increased over the FY25 opening status.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ramesh Ramachandran, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Management is responding to raw material price volatility by adjusting their product mix and timing inventory purchases more carefully. These tactical moves are essential for protecting margins when raw material costs spike unexpectedly.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We definitely see volatility in raw material prices as one of the risks for FY27. There are ways we are looking to mitigate the risk by way of our company strategy. This includes focusing on specific products within our mix, selectively looking at price increases in certain markets, and being careful about when we procure raw material.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ramesh Ramachandran, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/TRIL/">Transformers &amp; Rectifiers (India) Ltd. | Small Cap | Heavy Electrical Equipment</a></h2><p>Transformers &amp; Rectifiers (India) Ltd. is a manufacturer of high-quality power, distribution, and specialty transformers for global markets. The company is strategically focused on backward integration and entering the high-barrier High Voltage Direct Current (HVDC) segment.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/4872-21-Apr-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>Management is actively investing in making their own components to reduce reliance on external suppliers and avoid disruptions. This strategic move is expected to improve their internal operations and protect them from sudden market price changes.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The backward integration journey is well on course. Site preparation is progressing well and the plant and machinery orders for the long-lead items have already been placed. This backward integration, along with our technology, will enhance our in-house capabilities, reduce our dependency on external sources, and improve our supply chain resilience.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Satyen Mamtora, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management highlights that the HVDC market is an oligopoly with very few global competitors. By becoming the sole Indian entrant, the company is positioning itself to capture significant market share with high pricing power.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;There are only four major players in HVDC: Hitachi Energy, Siemens, GE, and I think TBEA. Since TBEA is not able to compete with us in other tenders, there are only three major competitors. We are the only Indian player entering the HVDC space.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Satyen Mamtora, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is capping its order book to about two years&#8217; worth of work to avoid being locked into low prices if raw material costs rise. This disciplined approach protects the company from the long-term pricing risks common in the heavy engineering sector.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are deliberately not taking orders currently because, as we previously mentioned, we want to limit our exposure to no more than 18 to 24 months. We want to be very selective in which orders we take in terms of delivery and pricing. As long as we are booked for the next 24 months, we do not want to take any further orders.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Satyen Mamtora, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is nearly doubling its production capacity to meet strong demand for power infrastructure. Investors should watch for the successful commissioning of these plants as the primary driver for future revenue growth.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our Changodar facility will be up and running from Q2, and after that, we will take up the Moraiya plant expansion. After these two plants, the capacity would increase from 40,000 MVA to 75,000 MVA. The Changodar plant will start in H2.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Satyen Mamtora, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Internal component production will soon cover all the company&#8217;s requirements, with potential to sell excess to competitors. This shifts the company&#8217;s business model toward becoming a critical component supplier, diversifying its revenue streams.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The current plan is to cater to 100% of our needs. Going forward, with further expansion, we will also look at third-party sales. We will basically become CTC suppliers to other transformer manufacturers as well.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Satyen Mamtora, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The order book has been &#8216;cleaned up&#8217; of older, less profitable contracts that were weighing down earnings. This implies that the current multi-billion rupee backlog is composed of high-quality, profitable work that should improve overall financial performance.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have already executed the bulk of the older orders. For the last six months, we have been critically analyzing every order we take. None of the orders in the current 5,000 crore order book have issues in terms of margins or cost pass-through.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Satyen Mamtora, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Retail</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/HAVELLS/">Havells India Limited | Large Cap | Fast Moving Electrical Goods</a></h2><p>Havells India is a leading Fast Moving Electrical Goods (FMEG) company with a wide range of products including switchgear, cables, lighting, and fans. The company also has a significant presence in the consumer appliance market through its Lloyd brand and is expanding into the renewable energy sector.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/1952-22-Apr-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>The company is strategically aligning with solar module manufacturers to scale its renewable energy business. This move signals a long-term commitment to diversifying its product portfolio into high-growth green energy sectors.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our renewable energy initiatives continue to scale. As you are aware, during the period we have recently divested investments. This investment allows us to leverage Goldi Solar module manufacturing capabilities to expand our solar portfolio.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Anil Rai Gupta, Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Industrial demand is currently the primary driver for the cables business as the residential wire segment faces a high base and dealer inventory adjustments. This highlights the company&#8217;s reliance on infrastructure and industrial recovery to sustain its growth momentum.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The cable and industrial cable segment has grown much faster than the domestic wire segment. During the quarter, there was some destocking in domestic wires and a very high base last year. If you remember, Q4 FY25 saw a major buildup and stocking.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Anil Rai Gupta, Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Profitability is being managed through phased price hikes triggered by both regulatory changes and volatile raw material costs. These adjustments are critical for maintaining margins as global supply chain disruptions continue to impact production costs.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Price increases actually happened in two stages. The first increase happened due to the energy efficiency ratings change during the quarter. And then, of course, there are raw material changes which are happening.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Anil Rai Gupta, Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Cooling product sales were delayed by a slow start to summer, but demand is now picking up in major regional markets. Normalized channel inventory by the end of the month suggests that primary sales to dealers will likely improve in the upcoming quarter.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The first half of April was also slow. So there were some channel inventories, but now it is evening out. South and west have started a good summer and I think it is now coming in the north as well. So hopefully by the end of this month, there will be normalized inventories at the channel.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Anil Rai Gupta, Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The company&#8217;s cable plants are running near full capacity, necessitating a second phase of expansion to meet demand. Timely execution of this new capacity is vital for capturing further growth in the industrial and infrastructure sectors.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Whatever capacities were added, we have still been operating at high capacity utilization. More capacities will come up during the year. Hopefully, by the end of this year or early in Q1 next year, we will have the entire capacity we planned for.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Anil Rai Gupta, Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Havells is committing 800 crores this year to expand manufacturing, while also pivoting toward long-term R&amp;D investments. The pause in new capex for Lloyd indicates a shift in focus toward sweating existing assets and improving profitability in that segment.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;A significant amount of that is happening in this financial year, around 800 crores. The rest is a big investment going into a new R&amp;D center, which will happen over the next 2 to 2.5 years. There is no major new capex in the Lloyd segment.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Anil Rai Gupta, Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Automotive</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/SMLISUZU/">SML Mahindra Limited | Small Cap | Commercial Vehicles</a></h2><p>SML Mahindra is an Indian commercial vehicle manufacturer that produces a wide range of trucks and buses for cargo and passenger transport. Following its acquisition by the Mahindra Group, the company is focused on scaling its market share through technological integration and shared distribution networks.</p><p>[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/695-20-Apr-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>Mahindra&#8217;s acquisition of a majority stake in SML Isuzu has triggered immediate integration efforts. This control allows Mahindra to drive strategic changes and operational improvements across the combined entity.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;On August 1, we completed the transaction and acquired a 58.96% controlling stake in SML Isuzu. The same day, the Board of Directors and the key leadership of SML was reconstituted. We immediately kicked off synergy and integration projects, which I will discuss briefly and update you on the key developments.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Vinod Sahay, Executive Chairman, SML Mahindra</em></p></blockquote><p>SML is leveraging Mahindra&#8217;s scale and research capabilities to lower the costs of developing advanced features like ADAS. These R&amp;D synergies directly improve margins and speed up product time-to-market.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;For example, there is a new ADAS (Advanced Driver Assistance Systems) regulation. This is a combined project for both companies, which has led to significant savings in both component pricing and a substantial reduction in development costs for SML. Sourcing synergies have kicked in, and SML will see the benefit in coming years.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Vinod Sahay, Executive Chairman, SML Mahindra</em></p></blockquote><p>The company will maintain both brands separately to avoid cannibalization and protect existing dealer investments. This cautious approach ensures they retain customer loyalty while maximizing total market coverage.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Regarding brand strategy, we have marked this yellow because anything facing customers, partners, or employees requires more time and thought. Both brands have their own strengths and stand for different things in the market; they mostly do not cannibalize each other. They have independent networks and are continuing as such.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Vinod Sahay, Executive Chairman, SML Mahindra</em></p></blockquote><p>A significant replacement cycle in the cargo segment is driving volumes following regulatory reforms. This structural demand provides a favorable tailwind for sales growth in the coming quarters.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Regarding cargo, the industry has huge pent-up demand from a replacement cycle and fleet expansion post-GST reform. We have clear action plans for various scenarios depending on how things evolve.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Vinod Sahay, Executive Chairman, SML Mahindra</em></p></blockquote><p>The addressable market for commercial vehicles is vast and closely tied to India&#8217;s economic expansion. This macro-alignment suggests a durable long-term growth trajectory for the business.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The long-term outlook for the industry is very positive as it is directly linked to India&#8217;s GDP growth. India is one of the four largest CV markets globally. The industry revenue pool for the 3.5-ton-plus segment where we play was 1.25 lakh crores last year.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Vinod Sahay, Executive Chairman, SML Mahindra</em></p></blockquote><p>The upcoming launch of an electric bus marks the company&#8217;s entry into a high-growth, green mobility segment. Focusing on commercial viability for tenders indicates a disciplined approach to capital allocation in EVs.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our electric bus is under development, and we will be launching it this financial year. Post-launch, we will evaluate every tender on its commercial viability and return profile.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Vinod Sahay, Executive Chairman, SML Mahindra</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>TV Interviews</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/HCLTECH/">HCL Technologies on its Q4 Results</a></h2><p>HCL Technologies is a leading Indian IT services company providing software and digital solutions to global enterprises. The company reported a softer-than-expected Q4, impacted by delays in deal closures and a slowdown in discretionary spending. Management indicated a moderate near-term outlook, with client-specific issues weighing on performance, even as the company focuses on improving deal quality and sustaining margins.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rq3z2WICECQ">Reference</a>]</p><p>The company experienced a sudden drop in software procurement and reduced client spending on non-essential projects at the end of the quarter. This unexpected volatility in the telecom sector directly caused the firm to miss its internal performance targets.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Specifically talking about the last quarter in March, we saw a slowdown in procurement decisions in the software business, which largely contributed to the lower performance than what we expected, and in services, we had some slowdown in discretionary spend, especially towards the end of the quarter. The slowdown in discretionary spend was restricted to the telecom sector, or you saw it in retail and manufacturing.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; C Vijayakumar, CEO &amp; Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Management clarified that recent project delays are linked to specific client decisions rather than a broad industry-wide collapse in demand. They emphasised that their primary market in North America continues to show healthy demand despite some softness in Europe.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I would not do a broad brush of the sector itself. Specific clients had certain programs that they had deprioritised, and I talked about two situations in telecom and two SAP programs. North America overall, as a market, and whatever we are seeing remains quite robust.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; C Vijayakumar, CEO &amp; Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The company has set a lower growth target for the next fiscal year as AI-driven automation begins to reduce the cost of traditional service contracts. This expected deflation suggests that while efficiency is rising, it is currently putting pressure on overall revenue growth.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In FY27, the 1.5 to 4.5% guidance midpoint is at 3%. So this is really 80 basis points lower than last year&#8217;s organic growth, and we did call out that AI will create some deflation in the existing services, which we said would be 2 to 3%.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; C Vijayakumar, CEO &amp; Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is prioritising long-term profitability and strategic focus over high-volume, low-margin contracts. By walking away from unattractive billion-dollar deals, management is signalling a commitment to maintaining healthy margins and investing in future technologies.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I think what I&#8217;m very confident of is we have a growth model, we have focus on all the right areas, and we are less concerned about the traditional areas. That&#8217;s where I did call out that we walked away from more than a billion-dollar kind of booking because that did not make sense. We would rather spend the management team&#8217;s bandwidth and energy on newer areas which are going to create a lot more cascading positive impact.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; C Vijayakumar, CEO &amp; Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The company has increased its margin guidance due to internal efficiency gains and higher employee utilisation rates. Programs like Project Ascent are successfully driving structural cost savings that help offset wage inflation.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We do see some scope in utilisation. We can possibly increase it further and get the benefit. That&#8217;s why we felt comfortable with 17.5 to 18.5%, and Project Ascent is working well for us. Last year, it gave us 80 basis point benefits, and we expect similar benefits next year as well.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Shiv Walia, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/GREENPANEL/">Greenpanel Industries on Price Hikes</a></h2><p>Greenpanel Industries is a leading manufacturer of MDF and wood panel products in India. The company has taken multiple price hikes to offset sharp inflation in raw material costs, particularly chemicals, while maintaining stable margins. Despite export disruptions due to Middle East tensions, domestic demand remains steady, with management continuing to focus on volume growth and market share gains amid a highly volatile environment.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CNtYINq0clw">Reference</a>]</p><p>The company has implemented total price hikes of 15% to offset massive spikes in raw material costs, indicating a clear focus on protecting margins amid inflation.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The first one was 5%. On top of that, there is another 10% which has been implemented earlier this fiscal. So this is largely to counter the hyperinflation that we&#8217;ve seen on our raw materials.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Himanshu Jindal, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Key chemical inputs, which form a significant portion of raw material costs, have seen sharp inflation due to geopolitical disruptions.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Chemicals are largely under three heads, which are resins, dyes and wax, and we&#8217;ve seen the prices of the underlying elements, whether it&#8217;s methanol, phenol, melamine or wax, going up by anything between 50% to doubling or tripling as well in a short period post the onset of the war in the Middle East.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Himanshu Jindal, Chief Financial Officer.</em></p></blockquote><p>Management believes current price hikes are sufficient to protect margins as input costs begin to soften.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Whatever price increases that we&#8217;ve taken are sufficient at this point in time, but things are changing every single day. There is a bit of softening in certain elements already, so we&#8217;ll see. At this point in time, on chemicals, we are protected, timber is largely stable, so I don&#8217;t think there is a major impact on margins at this point in time.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Himanshu Jindal, Chief Financial Officer.</em></p></blockquote><p>Exports to the Middle East, a key market, have been severely impacted due to geopolitical tensions.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;March, we did zero to the Middle East for obvious reasons. Now, how much would we be able to do in April, May, and June? We&#8217;ll have to see.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Himanshu Jindal, Chief Financial Officer.</em></p></blockquote><p>Domestic demand continues to remain strong even after significant price increases, indicating healthy market absorption.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;No, not really. We implemented the 5% increase. Did it make sense? Yes, it made sense. Post the 10% hike coming in, did we get orders? We are getting orders.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Himanshu Jindal, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/PGIL/">Pearl Global Industries on US Sourcing Shift &amp; Tariff Mechanics</a></h2><p>Pearl Global Industries is a leading multinational apparel manufacturer providing end-to-end supply chain solutions to global retailers. The company operates diverse manufacturing facilities across India, Bangladesh, and Vietnam to serve major international brands in the US and Europe.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i5SxNiZVdyU">Reference</a>]</p><p>Large US retailers like Walmart are increasingly looking to India as a primary sourcing hub for garments. This shift suggests a significant long-term growth opportunity for Indian exporters to gain market share on global retail shelves.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;See, like India, in terms of competitiveness, as yet in that particular sector is just moving in. So Walmart has started investing and sourcing out of uh India, and they&#8217;re ramping it up. So you will see more and more of Indian goods in Walmart.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Pallab Banerjee, MD &amp; Group President</em></p></blockquote><p>Entering elite retail channels like Costco requires long-term planning and high manufacturing standards that India is just starting to meet. The company is working to match the integrated ecosystems of rival Asian manufacturing hubs to secure these high-volume contracts.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Costco does planning of a very very long term, and they have a particular way of working. So it&#8217;s going to happen, but I think we are just I think entering into that uh global competitiveness of manufacturing. We have the other Asian tigers who have been uh there for some time, and uh they have created a very strong ecosystem to be in these stores.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Pallab Banerjee, MD &amp; Group President</em></p></blockquote><p>Most Indian garment exports use a shipping model where the US buyer, rather than the supplier, pays the import duties. This means that any future refunds on US tariffs will mostly benefit the retail customers&#8217; balance sheets rather than the company&#8217;s own profits.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;If we are doing landed duty paid kind of shipments some of the vendors do India there are very few like you know when you&#8217;re talking about all these big suppliers to Walmart and Costos from the far east or from China they do a lot of their landed uh goods duty paid and all but otherwise most of the Indian manufacturers who are supplying to customers they do FOB shipment that means freight on road from here from the country of origin so the majority chunk of these tariff if if it is uh now rolled back and if there&#8217;s a refund that happens it will go to these retailers and the brands.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Pallab Banerjee, MD &amp; Group President</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/MMFL/">MM Forgings on Demand Recovery</a></h2><p>MM Forgings is an auto component manufacturer catering largely to global OEMs, with a strong exposure to the US market. Management highlighted that demand has picked up meaningfully in both the US and domestic markets, although inflation and fuel costs remain key variables to watch. While volumes are expected to improve, the overall mix may shift as the base expands, indicating steady but measured growth ahead.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i5SxNiZVdyU">Reference</a> - Time Stamp - 06:04 Minutes]</p><p>Management reports strong demand in both the US and domestic markets, indicating healthy order flow across geographies.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Demand is pretty strong from the US as of now, and also within the country. So the US appears to be chugging along.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Vidyashankar Krishnan, Chairman &amp; MD.</em></p></blockquote><p>While demand is currently strong, management remains cautious about the impact of fuel prices and inflation on future consumption and policy.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;However, higher gasoline rates and mild inflation arising out of that, the impact of all these will be known over a period of time, which is why I think even the FED is on wait and watch.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Vidyashankar Krishnan, Chairman &amp; MD</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><p>That&#8217;s it for now! Your feedback will really help shape how The Chatter evolves. Drop it down in the comments below!</p><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://thechatterbyzerodha.substack.com/p/the-chatter-underneath-the-noise?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share&amp;token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjozMDExNzg5MTMsInBvc3RfaWQiOjE3MjY2NDQxNiwiaWF0IjoxNzU3NTk4NjQzLCJleHAiOjE3NjAxOTA2NDMsImlzcyI6InB1Yi00ODk4NzYwIiwic3ViIjoicG9zdC1yZWFjdGlvbiJ9.TFcDJv32XGvO0oFacHaCKP014RVVZ1pAYaVdcBrgrfE&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Share&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:&quot;button-wrapper&quot;}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary button-wrapper" href="https://thechatterbyzerodha.substack.com/p/the-chatter-underneath-the-noise?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share&amp;token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjozMDExNzg5MTMsInBvc3RfaWQiOjE3MjY2NDQxNiwiaWF0IjoxNzU3NTk4NjQzLCJleHAiOjE3NjAxOTA2NDMsImlzcyI6InB1Yi00ODk4NzYwIiwic3ViIjoicG9zdC1yZWFjdGlvbiJ9.TFcDJv32XGvO0oFacHaCKP014RVVZ1pAYaVdcBrgrfE"><span>Share</span></a></p><p>Quotes in this newsletter were curated by Kashish, Meher, Shahid &amp; Vignesh.</p><p>Disclaimer: We&#8217;ve used AI tools in filtering and cleaning up these quotes so there maybe some mistakes. Now, if you are thinking why we are using AI, please remember that we are just a small team of 5 people running everything you see on Zerodha Markets &#128556; So, all the good stuff is human and mistakes are AI.</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>We&#8217;re now on <a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/marketsbyzerodha/">Reddit</a>!</strong></h2><p>We love engaging with the perspectives of readers like you. So we asked ourselves - why not make a proper free-for-all forum where people can engage with us and each other? And what&#8217;s a better, nerdier place to do that than Reddit?</p><p>So, do join us on the subreddit, chat all things markets and finance, tell us what you like about our content and where we can improve! Here&#8217;s the <a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/marketsbyzerodha/">link</a> &#8212; alternatively, you can search r/marketsbyzerodha on Reddit.</p><p>See you there!</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Chatter: TCS, ICICI Pru, HDB Financials & More]]></title><description><![CDATA[Q4FY26 | Edition #55]]></description><link>https://thechatter.zerodha.com/p/the-chatter-tcs-icici-pru-hdb-financials</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://thechatter.zerodha.com/p/the-chatter-tcs-icici-pru-hdb-financials</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Zerodha]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 17 Apr 2026 15:07:54 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ckc2!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd113fa42-1730-4009-8209-82aa38db13d4_2400x1350.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" 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stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p></p><p>Welcome to the <strong>55th edition</strong> of The Chatter &#8212; a weekly newsletter where we dig through what India&#8217;s biggest companies are saying and bring you the most interesting bits of insight, whether about the business, its sector, or the wider economy. We read every major Indian earnings call and listen to the interviews so you don&#8217;t have to.</p><p>We&#8217;re always eager to improve&#8212;please share your ideas on how else we can innovate &#8220;The Chatter&#8221; format to better serve your needs.</p><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://thechatter.zerodha.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe now&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="https://thechatter.zerodha.com/subscribe?"><span>Subscribe now</span></a></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2" target="_blank" href="https://www.tijoristack.ai/concall-monitor/?utm_source=zerodha&amp;utm_campaign=z_marketing" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" 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class="image-caption">Check out <a href="https://www.tijoristack.ai/concall-monitor/?utm_source=zerodha&amp;utm_campaign=z_marketing">Concall Monitor</a></figcaption></figure></div><p>In this edition, we have covered <strong>17 companies across 5 industries and a few TV interviews</strong></p><h1 style="text-align: justify;">Information Technology</h1><ul><li><p>Tata Consultancy Services</p></li><li><p>Sagility India</p></li></ul><h1>Automobile</h1><ul><li><p>Bosch Limited</p></li></ul><h1>Chemicals</h1><ul><li><p>Krishana Phoshchem</p></li></ul><h1>Financial Services</h1><ul><li><p>HDB Financial Services</p></li><li><p>ICICI Prudential Asset Management</p></li><li><p>Anand Rathi Wealth</p></li><li><p>ICICI Prudential Life Insurance</p></li><li><p>ICICI Lombard General Insurance</p></li><li><p>Anand Rathi Share</p></li></ul><h1>Telecom</h1><ul><li><p>Tejas Networks</p></li></ul><h1>TV Interviews</h1><ul><li><p>Baba Jewellers</p></li><li><p>Parle on cost shock</p></li><li><p>Paras Defence on Bandak deal</p></li><li><p>Mirae Asset Management on Energy transition</p></li><li><p>Nomura on India</p></li></ul><div><hr></div><h1 style="text-align: justify;">Information Technology</h1><h2 style="text-align: justify;"><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/TCS/">TCS | Large Cap | Software Services</a></h2><p style="text-align: justify;">Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) is a global IT services company with deep industry expertise. They offer a wide range of services including application development, digital transformation, AI, data and cloud services, engineering, cybersecurity, and products.</p><p style="text-align: justify;">[<a href="https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachLive/07ae2d32-1050-4e80-96ff-eb2d98378d4e.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Despite macro uncertainty and geopolitical tensions, TCS delivered sequential growth and reported a strong deal pipeline. The order book performance in Q4 reflects continued client confidence in long-term transformation programs, especially AI-led engagements.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our order book performance was also very strong in Q4 with 12 billion in TCV, including three mega deals&#8230; This underscores the strength of our five-pillar strategy and our AI-led positioning across services.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; K. Krithivasan, Chief Executive Officer &amp; Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">FY26 marked a structural shift in enterprise AI adoption. Clients are now investing in scaling AI rather than piloting use cases, which is expanding deal sizes and scope.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;For the first time since the advent of generative AI&#8230; the shift from experimentation to scaled AI deployment showed a marked improvement. AI became a core part of our every customer conversation and solutioning.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Aarti Subramanian, Chief Operating Officer &amp; Executive Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">TCS is building large-scale AI infrastructure capacity through its HyperVolt initiative, positioning itself across the AI stack&#8212;from infrastructure to applications.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Demand signals remain strong and are translating into structured engineering and commitments&#8230; this infrastructure layer is forming the foundation of our full spectrum play from infrastructure to intelligence.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; K. Krithivasan, Chief Executive Officer &amp; Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management acknowledged that AI could initially cannibalize traditional services but expects it to drive net growth over time.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We expect AI revenue to increase and eventually overcompensate for the reduction in traditional service areas.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; K. Krithivasan, Chief Executive Officer &amp; Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Early signs indicate that AI-led work delivers superior productivity, although margins are still evolving due to upfront investments.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Revenue productivity in AI and data is definitely much better than the company average for traditional business&#8230; it is difficult to call out margins currently because we are in the initial phase of heavy investments.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Samir Seksaria, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">TCS is reinvesting margin tailwinds into AI capabilities, ecosystem partnerships, and talent, impacting near-term margins but building long-term growth engines.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We consciously reinvested these tailwinds back into strengthening our capabilities and growth engines&#8230; including talent, partnerships, and go-to-market expansion.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Samir Seksaria, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Annual increments effective April will impact margins in the near term, similar to prior cycles.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;For the wage increment cycle, you should expect a margin impact in the range of 150-200 basis points.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Samir Seksaria, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">BFSI clients continue to invest but are prioritizing efficiency, regulatory resilience, and outcome-driven transformation.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Spending patterns shifted from experimentation to industrial business-driven transformation with emphasis on cost discipline and regulatory resilience.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; K. Krithivasan, Chief Executive Officer &amp; Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Contrary to fears, clients are not postponing spending to wait for better AI models; instead, adoption is accelerating.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have not seen that&#8230; clients are quite interested in leveraging AI now&#8230; there is no major benefit in waiting for the next best model.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; K. Krithivasan, Chief Executive Officer &amp; Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management expects AI to be a long-term growth driver, contributing more than any deflation in legacy services.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our expectation is that it will be net accretive&#8230; over time AI-related revenue will grow faster than any deflation in other parts of the service model.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; K. Krithivasan, Chief Executive Officer &amp; Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management highlighted that Q4 marked the third consecutive quarter of sequential growth, despite a difficult external environment. Growth was broad-based across geographies, suggesting improving execution and demand stability.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are very pleased to announce the third consecutive quarter of sequential growth. We delivered a strong 1.2% sequential growth on a constant currency basis in the backdrop of intensifying geopolitical conflicts and macroeconomic uncertainty.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; K. Krithivasan, Chief Executive Officer &amp; Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">TCS pointed to broad-based strength across key markets in Q4. This matters because it suggests the recovery is not being driven by one isolated geography.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;This momentum was broad-based across major markets with North America growing 1.4% quarter-on-quarter, UK growing 2.4%, and Europe growing 1% on a constant currency basis.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; K. Krithivasan, Chief Executive Officer &amp; Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">TCS called out healthier additions across revenue bands after a gap of more than two years. That points to reduced client leakage and better wallet-share traction.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Every revenue band saw healthy additions this quarter after a gap of over 2 years. This speaks to the early signs of stability and growth returning to our mid-sized and large accounts.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; K. Krithivasan, Chief Executive Officer &amp; Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">TCS maintained tight execution discipline through a weak revenue year. Margin delivery stands out because the company was simultaneously investing in AI, talent, and partnerships.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We maintained a strong focus on execution to deliver an operating margin of 25%. This is the highest operating margin achieved in the last 4 years.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; K. Krithivasan, Chief Executive Officer &amp; Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management said clients are showing more willingness to enter multi-year transformation partnerships. That reflects both vendor consolidation and trust in TCS&#8217; delivery capabilities.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Clients showing greater willingness to commit to long-term multi-year multi-million dollar partnerships. This reflects the trust they place in us through uncertainty on value at scale over extended transformation journeys.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; K. Krithivasan, Chief Executive Officer &amp; Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">TCS increased external consultant spending as part of the &#8220;build&#8221; strategy. This indicates near-term capacity support while internal AI and niche capabilities are being scaled up.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We saw higher external consultant costs of 40 basis points to capture the demand and to ensure delivery timelines and quality were protected, while we continue to scale internal capabilities.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Samir Seksaria, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">TCS is framing modernization not just as cost takeout or tech refresh, but as essential preparation for scaled AI adoption. That helps expand the strategic value of these programs.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;While our customers want to accelerate AI adoption, their current enterprise stack lacks the readiness to scale. We are working with our customers to address this gap by upgrading their infrastructure to be scalable and secure, modernizing their core applications, and setting the data foundation.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Aarti Subramanian, Chief Operating Officer &amp; Executive Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Instead of only pursuing large, long-cycle transformation programs, TCS has built a repeatable deployment model to solve high-value client problems quickly.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have created an AI Acceleration Playbook: Innovate with AI, Build with AI, and Scale with AI&#8230; to solve high-value business problems in rapid deployment cycles of 12-16 weeks.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Aarti Subramanian, Chief Operating Officer &amp; Executive Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">TCS sees AI-led renewals, cost optimization, and vendor consolidation as the main routes to market share gains. This is important in a slow-growth environment where wallet-share matters more than market growth.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;This aspiration is powered by capitalizing on AI-led renewals, vendor consolidation, and cost-optimization deals resulting in market share gains.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; K. Krithivasan, Chief Executive Officer &amp; Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2 style="text-align: justify;"><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/BSE/SAGILITY/">Sagility India | Small Cap | Software Services</a></h2><p style="text-align: justify;">Sagility India is a pure-play healthcare focused services provider offering technology-enabled business solutions to clients in the U.S. healthcare industry. Their clientele includes Payers such as U.S. health insurance companies and Providers like hospitals, physicians, and medical devices companies.</p><p style="text-align: justify;">[<a href="https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachHis/a0ae97e4-5248-4843-a863-7790d2c3d177.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p style="text-align: justify;">The core investor concern was whether AI could deflate Sagility&#8217;s revenue model the way automation pressure has shown up in some IT services businesses. Management&#8217;s answer was that while AI will create efficiency-led revenue pressure in some scopes, it should also expand Sagility&#8217;s addressable work through broader, outcome-led contracts and deeper client integration.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are looking at AI as a force multiplier. We are not looking at AI as a disruptor&#8230; today with AI and Agentic AI, we think it&#8217;s a capability that will really open up additional opportunities for us&#8230; We believe that this is essentially going to help us even grow faster than we have in the past.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ramesh Gopalan, Group CEO and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Sagility says current demand backdrop is actually a tailwind, not a drag</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The cost, the profitability challenges are real and in that environment over the last three, four years we have continued to show sustained growth across our portfolio of clients.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ramesh Gopalan, Group CEO and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">To support the above point, management disclosed recent portfolio growth metrics. This is one of the clearest hard datapoints in the transcript and matters because it suggests Sagility is still gaining wallet share even as payer clients face utilization and margin pressure.</p><blockquote><p><em> &#8220;You can see in the last 12 months which is December 2025 over 2024, the top five grew close to 10%. 9.9% is the growth of our top five and if you look at the rest of the clients it&#8217;s even more healthier. It&#8217;s 28% growth.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ramesh Gopalan, Group CEO and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">When asked directly what growth rate management was willing to commit to, the CEO avoided formal near-term guidance ahead of the May earnings call but still offered a clear directional framework.</p><blockquote><p><em> &#8220;We believe that there is no reason for us not to grow at historical growth rates&#8230; what we see, at least for the near term&#8230; is we will continue to grow at historical rates in the, like I said, low double-digits to mid-teens kind of a number.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ramesh Gopalan, Group CEO and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;"> Management drew a sharp distinction between taking cost out of an existing process and driving down medical costs for payers. This matters because MLR-linked work potentially expands Sagility&#8217;s revenue pool rather than just protecting current scopes from automation.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;All the discussion then no longer happens on I&#8217;m spending $10 million on my Care Management and I have to bring it down to $9 million&#8230; when we are having discussions in MLR Reduction it&#8217;s about the impact rather than just getting 10% saving on a given process like a managed services model.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Roopam Narayan, Executive Vice President, Solutions &amp; Practice</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management says the market is expanding, not shrinking, because clients are adding spend to high-ROI care programs</p><blockquote><p><em> &#8220;Clients are actually adding the cost to come with new programs in Care Management, because it&#8217;s likely to have 3x, 4x, 5x ROI&#8230; So, it&#8217;s a new market for us. So that&#8217;s where we are saying is that market is actually expanding for us including AI platforms and not reducing.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Roopam Narayan, Executive Vice President, Solutions &amp; Practice</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Sagility used this as proof that its value proposition is increasingly enterprise cost-avoidance rather than invoice reduction. The remark is material because it demonstrates measurable savings from domain-led point solutions layered with process mining, analytics, and agentic automation.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;For that particular use case for 2025, we saved close to around $15 million of late claim payment interest.</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Srikanth Lakshminarayanan, Senior Vice President, Healthcare Practice</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management also cited a broader transformation example where most value was not from simple invoice cuts. That distinction matters because it supports the argument that AI and transformation can deepen Sagility&#8217;s relevance even if unit pricing in individual tasks declines.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Say one of the Medicare national plans, our admin cost reduction has been close to around $11.5 million for last year. Of this only 10% to 12% are probably invoice reduction. Most of it is enterprise transformation&#8230;&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Srikanth Lakshminarayanan, Senior Vice President, Healthcare Practice</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The clinical section was one of the strongest in terms of quantified ROI. Management argued that combining utilization management, care management, and post-acute interventions through AI-enabled workflows can reduce both immediate and downstream medical costs.</p><blockquote><p><em> &#8220;UM typically can reduce anywhere between 5% to 15% of medical spend&#8230; On the left side, we just enabled and enhanced their UM integrated program, resulting in about a $24 million savings for not spending too much more on the UM operation.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Krithika Srivats, Senior Vice President, Clinical Practice</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Payer revenue mix is roughly one-third claims, one-third clinical/payment integrity, one-third member/provider lifecycle</p><blockquote><p><em> &#8220;Our payer revenues are around 90% of our total revenues. One-third of our payer revenues are claims revenues, one-third of our payer revenues are your clinical and payment integrity and the other one-third is a member and provider life cycle.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Abhishek Kayan, Deputy Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management acknowledged the key investor concern &#8212; AI could reduce per-unit revenue. However, they framed this as a trade-off where total contract value expands through scope consolidation and outcome-based pricing.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Yes, in some areas AI may reduce the unit price&#8230; but because we are able to take on a much larger scope and deliver outcomes, the overall deal value becomes significantly higher.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ramesh Gopalan, Group CEO and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">This is a structural shift in the business model. Sagility is actively moving away from traditional FTE billing toward outcome-linked contracts, especially in AI-led engagements.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are increasingly moving towards outcome-based pricing models rather than traditional FTE-based pricing.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ramesh Gopalan, Group CEO and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management emphasized that discussions are evolving beyond cost reduction to measurable business impact &#8212; a key change in positioning.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The conversation is no longer just about reducing cost&#8230; it is about delivering measurable value and outcomes to the client.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Roopam Narayan, Executive Vice President, Solutions &amp; Practice</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Reinforcing earlier points on Synchrony, management highlighted that platform ownership fundamentally changes contract durability.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Once the platform is embedded into the client&#8217;s operations, the switching cost becomes significantly higher.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Roopam Narayan, Executive Vice President, Solutions &amp; Practice</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management sees the current phase as early adoption, with a sharper ramp expected as clients move from pilots to scaled deployments.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are still in the early stages&#8230; but we expect adoption to accelerate meaningfully over the next 12 to 24 months.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ramesh Gopalan, Group CEO and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">This is a strategic positioning shift &#8212; moving up the value chain from execution to transformation ownership.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are positioning ourselves not just as an operations partner but as a transformation partner to our clients.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Ramesh Gopalan, Group CEO and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1 style="text-align: justify;">Automobile</h1><h2 style="text-align: justify;"><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/BOSCHLTD/">Bosch Limited | Large Cap | Auto Components</a></h2><p style="text-align: justify;">Bosch Limited is a leading provider of technology and services in the mobility and industrial sectors within India. The company is currently consolidating its market position by acquiring Robert Bosch India Chassis to strengthen its portfolio in advanced safety and braking systems.</p><p style="text-align: justify;">[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/350-13-Apr-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Bosch&#8217;s newly acquired business produces safety components that work regardless of whether a vehicle uses a gas engine or an electric motor. This ensures the company remains relevant and gains more value per vehicle as the market shifts toward electric mobility.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The RBIC product portfolio is largely powertrain agnostic, providing flexibility as OEMs transition platforms and diversify their model lineups. With increasing EV penetration, RBIC is well-positioned as it drives significant demand for next-generation braking solutions such as iBooster and Integrated Power Brakes, which are essential for regenerative braking integration, improved efficiency, and enhanced performance.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, Company Representative</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Stricter government safety regulations for Indian vehicles are creating a reliable and long-term source of demand for the company&#8217;s braking systems. Investors should see this as a predictable growth driver that is less dependent on general economic cycles.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The growth for this portfolio is driven by structural tailwinds. First, a strong regulatory push. We are seeing a clear roadmap for enhanced vehicle safety in India with mandates for airbags, ABS, ESP, and the adoption of the Bharat New Car Assessment Program. This continued tightening of safety norms provides a sustainable and predictable demand catalyst for RBIC&#8217;s core products.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, Company Representative</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Integrating the chassis business will significantly increase Bosch&#8217;s total revenue and overall operating profit margins. This demonstrates that the acquired business is more profitable than Bosch&#8217;s existing portfolio, leading to better financial health for the group.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Bosch Limited&#8217;s consolidated revenue from operations will increase by 22% from 18,000 crores to 22,000 crores on a pro forma basis for FY 2025. Looking at the historical trend on a comparable pro forma basis, the revenue from operations CAGR would have been 11.2% compared with 10.1% over FY 2023-25. The FY 2025 EBITDA margins will improve from 12.8% to 13.9% on a pro forma basis led by the higher margins of RBIC.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, Company Representative</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management decided against acquiring the automotive electronics unit because it currently requires too much capital and doesn&#8217;t offer high enough profits. This shows a disciplined approach to capital allocation, prioritizing high-margin acquisitions over just increasing size.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;At this point, we did not find a good commercial logic to bring that business in when it is not currently accretive, does not contribute much to margins, and requires heavy investment intensity. We thought it was best to leave it out for now. Going forward, we constantly look at opportunities and what makes sense from a Bosch Limited point of view, while the Bosch Group monitors the overall India strategy.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, Company Representative</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The market is moving toward more advanced Electronic Stability Programs, which require a higher number of sensors per vehicle. This trend allows Bosch to sell more components for every car manufactured, driving organic revenue growth.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have seen a heavy shift towards ESP systems, and the largest part of our activity now involves ESP. All of this is coupled with a significant increase in the number of sensors introduced whenever there is a system upgrade. More sensors bring in additional revenue.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, Company Representative</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Bosch saves money on expansion by repurposing manufacturing equipment from its global parent company for use in India. This strategy reduces the amount of new investment needed and helps maintain high profit margins.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have carefully and cleverly deployed capex in a modular way, utilizing idle lines from the international production network within the Bosch Group to set up capacities in India. This led to significant improvements in the bottom line. We view these margins as stable.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, Company Representative</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management issued a small amount of new shares to global parent entities to ensure they keep a direct stake in the Indian business. While the deal is mostly cash, this structure maintains long-term alignment between the Indian subsidiary and the global group.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;To ensure that continuity within the Bosch Group, we opted for a very small preferential allotment in Bosch Limited for both those companies. This was a preferential issue to the promoters. We appreciate the feedback on our governance framework. We constantly try to improve our governance, and we will take your suggestion into account.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, Company Representative</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">A partnership with Tata AutoComp is being used to scale up the production of electric vehicle parts like motors and axles. This collaboration combines Bosch&#8217;s technology with Tata&#8217;s local supply chain to capture the growing EV market more effectively.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We believe the JV is a very good step towards the consolidation of volumes and creating synergies. Tata AutoComp has a great track record and an established supply chain. We have significant technology regarding e-axles. Given how the market is evolving, we feel a joint venture approach to build synergies and consolidate efforts is the best way to create customer value during this electrification wave.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, Company Representative</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">By sourcing more materials and small parts within India, the company has managed to keep its production costs low. This focus on local manufacturing is a key reason why they have been able to improve their profit margins over time.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Additionally, localization has a major impact&#8212;not just for finished goods but also for child parts and raw materials. Our manufacturing is very efficient and quality-focused, which helps maintain a lower cost base. These lean structures have significantly improved both top and bottom lines.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, Company Representative</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Despite spending 9,000 crores on the acquisition, the company will remain debt-free and hold significant cash reserves. This strong financial position ensures they can continue to invest in new projects without needing to borrow money.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The enterprise value includes cash held within the company, which is sufficient for its operation. The 10,000 crore shown on our balance sheet is recorded at cost; the market value of those funds is much higher. Both Bosch Limited and the acquired entity have very positive cash flows. After the deal, both companies will be debt-free and will have sufficient funds for future capex and activities.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, Company Representative</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1 style="text-align: justify;">Chemicals</h1><h2 style="text-align: justify;"><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/KRISHANA/">Krishana Phoschem | Small Cap | Fertilizers</a></h2><p style="text-align: justify;">Krishana Phoschem is a company specializing in the manufacturing of specialized chemicals for the textile industry. Initially engaged in BRP production, it has expanded to include SSP and GSSP. The company now diversifies into intermediate dyes and other allied chemicals, providing products like H acid, E K acid, and PNCBOSA.</p><p style="text-align: justify;">[<a href="https://nsearchives.nseindia.com/corporate/KRISHANA_14042026142727_NSETRANINV140426TOUP.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Global input costs for ammonia and sulfur increased significantly from mid-February due to supply constraints and higher logistics costs, creating cost pressure for the industry.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;From mid-February onwards, the global market witnessed a firming trend driven by supply-side constraints, tightness in gas and logistics, and higher freight costs. As a result, ammonia prices moved up sequentially during the quarter. Sulfur prices also firmed up towards March.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Praveen Oswal, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The industry&#8217;s high dependence on imported intermediates makes it highly vulnerable to global price fluctuations, directly affecting the company&#8217;s cost structure.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Given the industry&#8217;s reliance on imports for 90% of key intermediates, global movements have a direct impact on our cost structure.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Praveen Oswal, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Integrated fertilizer manufacturers with diverse product offerings are strategically better equipped to manage volatile input costs and adapt to changing market demands.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;As a result, integrated players with diversified product portfolios are structurally better positioned to navigate input volatility while capturing evolving demand patterns.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Praveen Oswal, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company successfully completed a major capacity expansion, increasing NPK and DAP capacity by 50% and total phosphatic fertilizer capacity to 6,15,000 metric tons per annum.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;During the year, we successfully completed a significant capacity expansion. NPK and DAP capacity was enhanced by 50% to 4,95,000 metric tons per annum, and existing SSP capacity stands at 1,20,000 metric tons per annum, taking total phosphatic fertilizer capacity to 6,15,000 metric tons per annum.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Praveen Oswal, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company secured a 10-year green ammonia agreement, enhancing future supply security, supporting decarbonization efforts, and improving long-term cost predictability.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;As part of our long-term sustainability strategy, Krishna Phoschem Limited has entered into a 10-year green ammonia agreement under India&#8217;s National Green Hydrogen Mission for 70,000 metric tons per annum. This initiative enhances supply security, supports decarbonization, and improves long-term cost visibility.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Praveen Oswal, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Despite supply disruptions, domestic fertilizer demand is inherently stable and secure due to India&#8217;s large population and reliance on agricultural output, with any demand drops impacting imports first.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The 140 crore population of India needs to be fed. Unlike consumer items, you cannot compromise on agricultural output. Farmers must produce, and they need fertilizers. Domestically manufactured products will not face demand pressure. Even if demand were to drop hypothetically, India imports almost 40% of its fertilizer requirements. As domestic manufacturers, our demand is secure; it is the imports that would be affected first.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Praveen Oswal, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company plans to protect margins by passing on reasonable price increases to customers, anticipating a slight margin pressure in Q1 but expecting to recover afterwards.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are currently working on how to protect our margins. Reasonable price increases will be passed on to the customer because the subsidy has already been announced. While we expect some downturn in the first quarter, we will be able to pass on price hikes to customers after that.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Praveen Oswal, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Green ammonia supply is 3 years away, but current domestic ammonia supply has been restored, easing immediate concerns, and future green ammonia agreements will provide long-term strength.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Regarding green ammonia, that will be available after 3 years. For the time being, we rely on standard ammonia. Recently, supply to domestic ammonia manufacturing has been restored to 100%, and we expect supply to ease out in the next 7 days. Further signing of green ammonia agreements will strengthen the company in the long term.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Praveen Oswal, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Krishna Phoschem is one of only three major players in India with access to high-grade rock phosphate, indicating a significant competitive barrier to entry for others.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;As far as high-grade rock phosphate is concerned, there are only three major players in India. One is the Government of Rajasthan, another is Madras Agrochemical, and the third is Krishna Phoschem Limited. It is not easily available to anyone else.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Praveen Oswal, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Despite a slightly weaker monsoon forecast, the company expects stable fertilizer demand due to healthy reservoir levels and no anticipated stress on the agricultural sector.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;A forecast of 95% is not a major variation. Major reservoirs and water levels are high compared to previous times. We are not expecting any stress on the agricultural sector, and fertilizer demand should remain stable.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Praveen Oswal, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">FY27 margins are expected to be slightly lower than FY26 due to cost absorption across the value chain, but the company is committed to overall profitability despite potential Q1 challenges.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Margin will be under pressure. The margins we had in FY26 may not be fully possible; there will be a slight reduction as some costs are absorbed by us, some by the government, and some passed to the farmer. We will try our best to maintain profitability. While Q1 may be difficult, we are committed to sustaining profits over the full year.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Praveen Oswal, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Following the recent subsidy announcement, the company anticipates increasing product MRPs by 20-25% in the near future.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Since the subsidy announcement just came out, we are expecting a price increase of 20-25% in the coming days.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Praveen Oswal, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1 style="text-align: justify;">Financial Services</h1><h2 style="text-align: justify;"><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/HDBFS/">HDB Financial Services | Mid Cap | Financial Services</a></h2><p style="text-align: justify;">HDB Financial Services Ltd., a subsidiary of HDFC Bank, is India&#8217;s 7th largest retail-focused NBFC with a &#8377;1068.78 billion loan book as of Mar 31, 2025. Classified as NBFC-UL by RBI, it offers diverse loans via Enterprise, Asset, and Consumer Finance.</p><p style="text-align: justify;">[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/58540-15-Apr-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p style="text-align: justify;">The company is utilizing AI bots to handle more than half of its early-stage collection reminders, leading to measurable efficiency gains. This technological intervention helps stabilize credit costs and reduces the manual labor required for collection efforts.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In Q4, over 50% of our customers who needed a nudge were assigned a bot, which resulted in improved collection efficiency of about 25 basis points in the early buckets. As I said, this is still an early stage and we have seen a lot of improvement going forward.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ramesh Ganesan, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management has set a target for loan book growth that significantly outperforms India&#8217;s nominal GDP. This target suggests high management confidence in taking market share from competitors over the next few years.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have always stated that in the medium term, we look at a nominal plus 6-7% growth. We are very focused on making sure we deliver on that.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, HDB Financial Services</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Despite market fluctuations, the company has successfully maintained its lending rates to protect profitability. This disciplined approach ensures that growth does not come at the expense of margin dilution.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;One of the biggest things we pride ourselves on is holding our rates over the last three quarters. That continued this quarter; across every single product, we have made sure we held our rates to ensure good risk-adjusted returns.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Jaykumar Shah, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">HDB&#8217;s shift toward paperless, point-of-sale credit delivery is reducing the company&#8217;s reliance on physical branch infrastructure. This fundamental change in operations supports a more lean and efficient growth model going forward.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The digitalization of processes has changed everything. Sales officers no longer carry files to branches; credit is delivered at the point of sale. We don&#8217;t need a physical office in immediate proximity to the salesperson anymore.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, HDB Financial Services</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company is targeting a major shift toward financing used vehicles to increase its presence in a high-yield market segment. This strategic pivot could drive higher average yields for the asset finance vertical over the medium term.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In asset finance, we are aiming for a 50/50 mix between new and used over a 4-year period. We want to grow our used business significantly, as we are much smaller than established players.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, HDB Financial Services</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">HDB is successfully pivoting toward digital-first lending, which has already led to a more than doubling of disbursements via its self-service platform. Investors should view this as a positive driver for lowering acquisition costs and improving scalability.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Focus on digital sourcing channels through our DIY (Do It Yourself) platform helped us multiply our disbursements by about 2.2 times in FY26, and we expect this momentum to continue. We have made significant investments in our technology capabilities including AI, which has started yielding positive results for our customers.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ramesh Ganesan, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management highlighted that Q4 saw the highest-ever quarterly disbursements, supported by improving demand across segments. This is a key leading indicator for loan book growth into FY27.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Disbursements for the quarter ended March 31, 2026, were &#8377;19,922 crores&#8230; an all-time high for HDB.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Jaykumar Shah, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Net interest income saw robust growth both sequentially and annually, reflecting a combination of loan book expansion and improved margins.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Net interest income for the quarter was &#8377;2,399 crores, an increase of 5% quarter-on-quarter and 21.6% year-over-year.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Jaykumar Shah, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management indicated a conscious strategy to reduce reliance on volatile short-term funding and maintain stability in funding costs.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We still have very low CP levels as dry powder and a healthy mix of bank loans below 50%.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Jaykumar Shah, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">After a period of caution, management expects unsecured lending to pick up again as portfolio quality stabilizes.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We expect positive momentum on our unsecured business going forward, where we have seen significant improvement in asset quality.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ramesh Ganesan, Managing Director &amp; Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Growth in consumer finance is being driven by strong demand in discretionary segments, reflecting improving consumption trends.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;This was led by consumer durables followed by auto loans&#8230; we expect momentum to continue.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ramesh Ganesan, Managing Director &amp; Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management highlighted external macro risks that could impact growth and inflation, though no immediate impact is visible yet.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The West Asia conflict and probable weather disruption from El Ni&#241;o may have an impact on growth and inflation&#8230; [these] remain key monitorables.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ramesh Ganesan, Managing Director &amp; Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2 style="text-align: justify;"><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/ICICIAMC/">ICICI Prudential Asset Management | Large Cap | Financial Services</a></h2><p style="text-align: justify;">ICICI Prudential Asset Management Company Ltd. is a joint venture between ICICI Bank and Prudential plc, and one of India&#8217;s largest AMCs. It manages mutual funds, PMS and AIF products across equity, debt and hybrid categories with strong nationwide distribution.</p><p style="text-align: justify;">[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/59180-13-Apr-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Management observed that industry-wide equity inflows increased even as benchmark indices faced significant declines during the quarter. This trend suggests that retail investor commitment to equity remains resilient despite short-term market volatility.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;During this quarter, the equity category continued to be at the forefront, alluring net inflows of 1.24 trillion rupees. It is important to note that the industry level net flows in equity have seen a positive increase quarter-on-quarter, despite declining markets.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Fintech platforms have become the dominant channel for new customer acquisition, accounting for more than half of industry growth. The AMC&#8217;s deep integration with these platforms ensures it remains a primary beneficiary of the rapid digitization of Indian finance.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Upwards of 50-60% of new customers across the industry come through fintechs, and we benefit as one of the largest players integrated with them. Regarding our investment book, a large component is seed money for our products. We look for opportunities across asset classes, so the deployment in REITs and AIFs reflects where we find value.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The launch of Specialized Investment Funds (SIF) targets a new segment of retail investors without cannibalizing the existing high-ticket PMS business. This tiered product approach allows the company to capture a wider range of the wealth spectrum while maintaining its premium services.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The customers in SIF are largely fresh. There is no significant migration from PMS because the ticket size for SIF is 10 lakhs compared to 50 lakhs for PMS. Regarding SIP flows, many customers look at sectoral and thematic funds. We emphasize asset allocation, so we see significant flows into multi-asset funds. Regarding customer behavior, young first-jobbers entering through digital platforms are maintaining their SIPs. In fact, many people increase their SIPs when markets are down, treating it as an opportunity.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management is prioritizing the acquisition of &#8216;digital native&#8217; investors who now view mutual funds as their core savings tool. By leveraging its established digital infrastructure, the company aims to secure long-term growth from a younger, tech-savvy demographic.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;A lot of young Indians are looking at mutual funds as a primary investment vehicle rather than an alternate one. These digital natives are a major focus area. Our long history and investment in digital platforms give us an edge in capturing a large share of digital customers.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">New regulatory guidelines for Total Expense Ratios are expected to compress gross yields by 3 to 4 basis points in the upcoming quarter. The company&#8217;s ability to renegotiate distributor payouts or optimize costs will be critical in protecting net margins from this regulatory headwind.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;If you are referring to regulatory changes effective April 1 regarding TER, there is an impact of 3 to 4 basis points on a gross basis before any payouts. We have identified certain steps and are in discussions. We will have a crystallized impact within the next two months.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management highlighted that investors are increasingly using market dips as buying opportunities rather than pulling capital out. This behavioral shift supports the durability of the company&#8217;s equity AUM even during geopolitical or economic uncertainty.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In the past, people have seen so many V-shaped recoveries that in the month of March, while I agree there is a spillover, people have been investing on the days the markets have been falling. Inflows have continued on those days. Until now, the trends that were there in March and April are continuing.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2 style="text-align: justify;"><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/ANANDRATHI/">Anand Rathi Wealth Limited | Mid Cap | Financial Services</a></h2><p style="text-align: justify;">Anand Rathi Wealth Limited is one of India&#8217;a leading non-bank wealth management firms catering to high and ultra-high net worth individuals. The company specializes in providing data-driven wealth solutions through mutual fund distribution and structured products with a focus on risk-adjusted returns.</p><p style="text-align: justify;">[<a href="https://files.tijorifinance.com/insight/india/7048/Conference%20Call/CC-Apr26.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Management confirmed that the company has achieved a major milestone by crossing the INR 1 trillion mark in assets under management. This scale highlights the firm&#8217;s growing market presence and its ability to capture equity market upside for its clients.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;As of yesterday&#8217;s date, we have crossed INR1 lakh crores of AUM post the recent positive movement in the equity markets. This is a 5-digit number. So we were very intrigued to see when we would reach there.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Feroze Azeez, Joint CEO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company has maintained a consistent trajectory of high profitability growth for over four years regardless of market cycles. This reliability in earnings growth distinguishes the firm from its peers in the broader financial services sector.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;This is our 18th quarter where we&#8217;ve been able to declare PAT growth Y-o-Y greater than 20%, which is, again, a rarity in Nifty 500. We are one of the very few, which can be counted on a fingertip of how many companies have been able to achieve that feat.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Feroze Azeez, Joint CEO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management has provided a forward-looking roadmap for the next fiscal year targeting significant growth in both revenue and profit. The conservative guidance philosophy suggests that these targets represent a floor for the company&#8217;s expected performance.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have given FY &#8216;27 revenue guidance of INR 1,415 crores and PAT guidance of INR 460 crores, again, going with the principles which Rakesh sir Rawal and Rathi ji has always taught and every elder in the company has taught us that under commit, over deliver. Under the same principle, we are guiding you INR 1,415 crores and INR 460 crores for PAT.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Feroze Azeez, Joint CEO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company reported an industry-leading return on equity, reflecting an extremely capital-efficient business model. This high ROE indicates that the firm generates superior value from its equity base while managing significant operational costs like ESOPs.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Return on equity on an annualized basis stood at best in industry at 46.74% for FY &#8216;26. Reported number that includes fair value gains on investment of INR 54.6 crores, ESOP expenses of INR 39.3 crores and the related combined tax effect of INR 3.8 crores, total revenue for FY &#8216;26 was reported at INR 1,253 crores.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Jugal Mantri, Group CFO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management clarified that their growth is driven by human capital and relationship quality rather than intensive financial capital. Investors should view the firm as a talent-led services business where scaling requires deliberate hiring and training of relationship managers.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Wealth management is not a capital business. A relationship manager cannot handle thousands of clients. The business is actually a linear business, not an exponential business.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Feroze Azeez, Joint CEO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company prioritizes building a strong distribution network and client trust before aggressively expanding into product manufacturing. This strategy mitigates the reputational risks associated with product failures that can damage a wealth management brand.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Ideally, manufacturing mistakes are very, very, very, very scarring to a franchise. So quite a few people build a wealth management business starting manufacturing on the day zero. So we believe this is a backward integration business. Distribution is first, manufacturing later.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Feroze Azeez, Joint CEO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The firm focuses on internal talent development rather than hiring expensive external talent to ensure a consistent corporate culture. Having leadership active in client relationships ensures the management remains grounded in the realities of the business.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;So lateral hires cannot be a substantive portion of your strategy. Every leader in the company has to be an RM first. Very tough to achieve, easy to speak. So CEO is an RM, joint CEO is RM, unit head is RM, team leader is an RM.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Feroze Azeez, Joint CEO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management does not anticipate significant margin pressure on mutual fund yields despite potential regulatory changes in fee structures. Their historical shift to a trail-only model has already insulated the business from the most aggressive commission cuts.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Do I see any material change in 1.09, not significant. Like we have guided, we are at the fag end of any cycle, like 2016, we went all trail before SEBI made it mandatory in 2018, okay? That&#8217;s something which I take pride in till date because we were the first one who&#8217;s voluntarily said, I don&#8217;t want upfront income.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Feroze Azeez, Joint CEO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company is planning for long-term growth by utilizing product features like rollover options that increase asset stickiness. This structural setup provides high revenue visibility and reduces the risk of massive sudden outflows.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We work on a plan of not 2026. We play -- we work on a plan of 2031, which is 5-year hence, because most of our structured products have a rollover option now. So 99% of our business comes with a rollover option that implies. If clients, no need money, it rollover.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Feroze Azeez, Joint CEO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The firm attracted positive net inflows during a period when the broader industry saw negative net purchases in active equity funds. This outperformance suggests that their client base is more resilient and disciplined during market volatility.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;What I&#8217;m happy about as a professional is that in a year or a quarter like last year, last quarter, we got monies. People lose money also, right? Today, if you see industry&#8217;s net flows ex the SIP number, today, AMFI has given the number just now, INR 32,000 crores is the SIP number. Last month, the number was -- if you remove the SIP number, the net purchase was negative in equity 3 category.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Feroze Azeez, Joint CEO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company is seeing an increase in inbound interest from ultra-high-net-worth individuals without active solicitation. This organic pipeline from extremely wealthy families signals a strengthening brand that appeals to the market&#8217;s top tier.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;It is surprising that people with INR400 crores are reaching out, INR 500 crores. I did one meeting in Gurgaon. We had never seen these green shoots of people who need a service of wealth management reaching out to us and uncomplicated appealing to a large guy.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Feroze Azeez, Joint CEO</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2 style="text-align: justify;"><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/ICICIPRULI/">ICICI Prudential Life Insurance Company Limited | Large Cap | Life Insurance</a></h2><p style="text-align: justify;">ICICI Prudential Life Insurance is a leading private sector life insurer in India providing a variety of protection, savings, and retirement products. The company focuses on a diverse distribution network and technology-driven operational efficiency to drive value for shareholders and customers.</p><p style="text-align: justify;">[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/5760-14-Apr-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p style="text-align: justify;">The company is transitioning its financial reporting to Ind AS standards to better align with international insurance practices. This move is intended to provide investors with a more transparent and comparable view of the company&#8217;s financial value creation.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;On the regulatory front, we welcome the transition to Ind AS, which will align our financial reporting with global standards. This shift enhances transparency and market comparability, ensuring that our financial statements reflect an improved picture of value appreciation.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Anoop Bagchi, MD and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Recent GST reforms in late 2025 have acted as a massive catalyst for demand in the retail protection segment by reducing costs for customers. This structural change significantly accelerated the company&#8217;s sum assured growth compared to previous periods.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Life insurance products, particularly the retail protection segment, received a significant boost, partly aided by the GST reform effective September 2025. The retail sum assured growth for the industry was higher by 2.5 times in the post-reform period as compared to the pre-reform period.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Anoop Bagchi, MD and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Investments in digital tools have successfully lowered the expense ratios for the company&#8217;s savings business even as assets under management continue to scale. Investors should view this as a sign of operating leverage and improving profitability within the core business segments.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Notably, technology and digital solutions have enabled us to increase efficiency, resulting in a reduction of 40 basis points to 12.1% in our savings cost-to-premium ratio during FY26. Our AUM stood at 3.14 trillion and a total in-force sum assured grew by 16.9% year-on-year to 46.11 trillion at March 31, 2026.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Dhiren Salian, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management views the retail protection market as largely under-penetrated, suggesting a very long runway for growth ahead. This high-margin segment is being prioritized as a key driver of future Value of New Business (VNB).</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;With an estimated 13% of the addressable population currently being covered through retail protection, we believe this segment offers a multi-decadal growth opportunity. Group protection, which includes credit life and group term business, grew by 7.1% year-on-year in FY26.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amit Palta, Chief Product and Distribution Officer</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company successfully increased its profitability margins during the fiscal year through a better mix of products and favorable economic adjustments. This expansion indicates that the company is extracting more value from each unit of new business sold.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;VNB margin expanded by 190 basis points year-on-year to 24.7% in the current year. Margin expansion has been led by improvements in the new business profile and economic assumption changes.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Dhiren Salian, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">A specific annuity product line suffered from higher-than-expected policy cancellations due to changing regulations and market liquidity needs. This variance represents a risk to long-term embedded value if customer behavior remains volatile in this product category.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Persistency variance is a negative 2.64 billion, which is largely on account of the 100% premium back annuity products where the persistency experience fell short of long-term assumptions. As you realize, it was an industry-first product and coincided with regulatory discussions aimed at increasing surrender values for traditional savings products during the year.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Dhiren Salian, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management has adjusted its forward-looking margin assumptions to reflect current challenges in policy retention and expenses. This resets the baseline for future earnings expectations, making them more resilient to recent negative trends.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Whatever is known at this point, we will incorporate into our assumption setting. If experiences are temporary or pertain to specific portfolios, we allow those to go through the variance. At this point, we have factored what we know on persistency, mortality, and expenses into our margins.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Dhiren Salian, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The transition to Ind AS reporting is facing minor delays as the company seeks more clarity on specific accounting inputs like the Contractual Service Margin (CSM). While the company is ready, investors can expect a gradual shift as these technical details are finalized with regulators.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are technically live, but as approved by the board, we will be seeking a transition period. Some decisions around inputs for computing the CSM still await clarity from the joint expert group. Also, it is a short time to transition given we are typically live with our results within the first 15 days of the quarter.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Dhiren Salian, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">High interest rates on bank deposits are creating significant competition for insurance-based savings products. This clarifies why growth in the non-participating segment has been challenging, as customers seek higher immediate returns elsewhere.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Regarding growth in non-par, our products are compared to bank FD rates. In the current environment where FD rates are steep, products priced off the government security (G-Sec) look less attractive relative to the longer-term G-Sec yields. When there is a dichotomy between deposit rates and non-par pricing, customers can swing between the two.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Dhiren Salian, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Rising interest rates provided a buffer that allowed the company to maintain competitive pricing without sacrificing margins. This stability in pricing helps support sales volume in a competitive environment where other costs are rising.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Normally, we should have changed pricing, but the improving yield curve allowed us to hold prices. There have been very marginal price changes in certain cohorts, but not on mass.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Dhiren Salian, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company is prioritizing absolute profitability and value creation over simply chasing top-line revenue growth. This disciplined approach ensures that the company does not destroy shareholder value just to gain market share in low-margin products.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Cutting margins to deliver growth on non-par might not be accurate for shareholders. We focus on absolute VNB rather than pushing a particular product for growth.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Anoop Bagchi, MD and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The 18% cost reduction from GST changes is being directly passed to policyholders, making protection much more affordable. This structural tailwind is driving strong renewal behavior and new customer acquisition in the high-margin protection segment.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have innovated and created new propositions, but the biggest tailwind has been the GST reform. This is felt most in retail protection because the 18% cost reduction is passed to the customer. This benefit is available for both new and existing customers paying renewals.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Anoop Bagchi, MD and CEO</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2 style="text-align: justify;"><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/ICICIGI/">ICICI Lombard General Insurance Company Ltd. | Large Cap | General Insurance</a></h2><p style="text-align: justify;">ICICI Lombard is one of India&#8217;s largest private sector general insurance companies, offering a wide range of products across motor, health, fire, and marine segments. The company focuses on technology-driven underwriting and multi-channel distribution to maintain its market leadership and operational efficiency.</p><p style="text-align: justify;">[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/5975-15-Apr-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p style="text-align: justify;">The Indian insurance regulator is moving the industry toward global accounting standards starting in April 2026. The company views this transition as a major benefit for transparency and better comparison with international peers.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;IRDAI has mandated insurers to prepare and present their financial statements in accordance with the applicable Ind AS effective April 1, 2026. We view this as a positive step, as the enhanced disclosure requirements under the Ind AS framework will meaningfully improve transparency and align the reporting standards of Indian insurers with global practices.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sanjeev Mantri, MD and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company&#8217;s retail health segment is growing more than twice as fast as the rest of the insurance industry. This rapid expansion has allowed them to gain significant market share and double their new business volume in health indemnity.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our retail health business continued to demonstrate strong growth of 51.1% for FY26, significantly outpacing the industry growth of 19.9% in the same period. Consequently, our market share has improved from 3.3% in FY25 to 4.1% in FY26. For the year, the company has seen 2x growth in the new retail health indemnity business sourced compared to the previous year.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sanjeev Mantri, MD and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management confirmed they are sticking to their conservative approach for setting aside money for future insurance claims. They advise investors to look at annual trends rather than quarterly fluctuations to gauge the true health of their reserves.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;If you ask us if any of our reserving philosophy has undergone a change, the short answer is no. We continue to maintain prudence in terms of maintaining our loss reserves. So hence, I think you have to keep looking at numbers more on a full-year basis as compared to any given quarter.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Gopal Balachandran, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Switching to Ind AS accounting is expected to artificially lower the company&#8217;s combined ratio by up to 4.5% during the first year. Investors should note that this is a change in accounting methods rather than a change in the actual underlying profitability of the business.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We always said in the past also that in the year of transition, there will be a significant decline in the combined ratio; it could mean a reversal of maybe 400 to 450 basis points. But look, that is only the accounting part of economic value; over a period of time, it is expected to converge.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Gopal Balachandran, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management is willing to lose some market share in commercial lines if it means avoiding risky or poorly priced contracts. They prioritize disciplined underwriting over growing the business at any cost in high-risk categories.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Even last year, we had said that there was a marginal loss of market share for us on that side, purely on the account that we will do what is comfortable. These are all very exposure-driven products, and you have to be cautious of what you pick and what you don&#8217;t.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sanjeev Mantri, MD and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company does not set fixed targets for its crop insurance business, choosing instead to participate only when the risk-reward ratio is favorable. This selective approach protects the company from the high volatility often associated with agricultural insurance.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have always maintained our plan that crop will be purely on a selection basis of what we feel is appropriate rather than a target segment. We do not have a specific target like &#8220;we must do this much.&#8221; That is not the way we look at it.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sanjeev Mantri, MD and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company successfully increased its customer retention rate by 5% in retail segments, which is driving faster growth than just new sales alone. Maintaining this high retention rate is a key strategic priority for the upcoming fiscal year.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;At an aggregate company level, predominantly in retail lines, we have seen an improvement in our overall retention numbers by almost 500 basis points. That is something we will continue to stay focused on even as we head into FY27. Beyond new vehicle sales, the growth acceleration is a function of that improved retention.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sanjeev Mantri, MD and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management suggests that the final loss ratio is a more accurate measure of profitability than the total dollar amount of reserves. They are entering the next year with confidence as they have grown the business while keeping claim costs within their expected range.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The absolute amount of the reserve number is not necessarily the right metric to track; the better metric is the loss ratio outcome. We have seen a clear rebound of growth while maintaining our loss ratio expectations. We are very positive as we head into FY27.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Gopal Balachandran, CFO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">ICICI Lombard believes it has a competitive advantage because it already operates within strict regulatory expense limits that some competitors struggle to meet. If the regulator enforces these limits strictly across the industry, it could level the playing field in the company&#8217;s favor.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Any signing on a uniform basis across the industry would place ICICI Lombard at a significant advantage because we have remained within the EOM limits. If others fall in place, we can only see better times ahead for our industry. It just needs to be practiced uniformly.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Gopal Balachandran, CFO</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2 style="text-align: justify;"><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/ANANDRATHI/">Anand Rathi Share &amp; Stock Brokers Ltd. | Mid Cap | Financial Services</a></h2><p style="text-align: justify;">Anand Rathi Share &amp; Stock Brokers Ltd. is a full-service financial services firm specializing in stockbroking, margin trading, and investment product distribution. The company utilizes a relationship-driven approach supported by digital platforms to serve retail and HNI clients across India.</p><p style="text-align: justify;">[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/58627-15-Apr-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Management is highlighting a difficult year where geopolitical tensions and technological changes hurt investor confidence. This context helps investors understand the external volatility that pressured the company&#8217;s trading volumes and market performance.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;FY26 was a challenging year for global economies and financial markets. The world was dealing with multiple headwinds at the same time, including ongoing geopolitical tensions, shifting global trade dynamics, tariff-related uncertainties, and fast-paced technological shifts that disrupted established business models. As the year progressed, these pressures intensified with fresh bouts of adverse news, including the recent West Asia conflict, further weakening risk appetite.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Pradeep Gupta, Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Retail interest in Indian capital markets is growing rapidly, as seen in the double-digit increase in demat accounts and mutual fund assets. For investors, this structural shift suggests a long-term expansion of the company&#8217;s addressable market.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The steady rise in demat accounts from 15.14 crore in March 2024 to 22.2 crore by February 2026 clearly reflects sustained retail participation and deep market penetration. Similarly, Assets Under Management (AUM) in the mutual fund industry rose from 65.74 lakh crore as of March 2025 to approximately 82.02 lakh crore by February 2026, representing a 24.8% year-on-year increase. The growth underscores the continued financialization of household savings and a rising preference for market-linked investment avenues.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Pradeep Gupta, Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Recent regulatory changes by SEBI are designed to protect investors and reduce market leverage at the cost of short-term disruption. These reforms are viewed as positive because they create a more stable and professional environment for long-term growth.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;SEBI has been proactive in introducing a series of regulatory measures aimed at strengthening risk management frameworks, curbing excessive leverage, enhancing investor protection, and improving the ease of doing business in capital market transactions. While some of these reforms may have required short-term adjustments and led to near-term discomfort for a few participants, they are critical in laying the foundation for a more transparent, resilient, and sustainable capital market ecosystem over a long period. Overall, we believe that the industry is moving in a constructive direction, although near-term conditions have clearly remained uneven.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Pradeep Gupta, Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company is intentionally diversifying its income to rely less on volatile stockbroking fees and more on stable distribution income. Achieving this 50:50 split should lead to more consistent earnings that are less vulnerable to sudden market crashes.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our strategic direction remains clear and unchanged. As guided earlier, we are fully focused on maintaining a balanced revenue mix with a targeted revenue split of 50:50 between non-broking and broking segments and growing both segments at a steady rate. This approach is central to improving the overall quality, sustainability, and predictability of our earnings over the long term.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Pradeep Gupta, Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The addition of insurance distribution provides the company with a new stream of high-margin, recurring fee income. This expansion allows the company to capture more of its clients&#8217; financial spending beyond just stock trading.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We received the corporate agency license to distribute insurance products in the same financial year. Since then, we have commenced distribution of both life and health insurance products to our clients, green-lighting a huge source of fee-based income for the company. Lastly, we continue to remain focused on enhancing client servicing and satisfaction by adopting new initiatives aimed at delivering superior customer experiences.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Pradeep Gupta, Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Income from selling financial products like mutual funds and bonds grew by over 40% due to better cross-selling to existing clients. This rapid growth indicates the company is successfully extracting more value from its current customer base.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our distribution income for FY26 amounted to 1,129 million, reflecting a strong year-on-year growth of about 44.1%. This growth reflects improved cross-selling across our client base as per our focused approach to grow our distribution business. Our objective is to address the broader financial needs of our clients.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Pradeep Gupta, Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company prioritizes cash-market investing over speculative derivatives trading to encourage more sustainable client behavior. A higher reliance on the cash segment often leads to higher quality and more stable brokerage earnings over time.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Within the broking segment, we continue to maintain a healthy balance between equity cash, equity derivatives, and other segments. This reflects our philosophy of encouraging an investment-focused approach among our clients rather than speculative trading. For the full year FY26, the revenue mix across equity cash, F&amp;O, and other segments stood at 51%, 41%, and 8% respectively.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Rupkishore Guthra, Whole Time Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Changes in central bank policy restricted the company&#8217;s ability to borrow from banks to fund its margin trading loans. This regulatory constraint is a key risk because it limits the expansion of a highly profitable business segment.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;However, we saw a downfall in MTF by 10.53% in the quarter ended March 2026. The main reasons behind this are as follows: Change in RBI policy for capital market intermediaries. That change in policy reduced the avenues available from banks to meet the working capital requirements of the company. As a result, we had to control our growth in the MTF book.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Rupkishore Guthra, Whole Time Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Despite a tough market, the company has managed its lending risks perfectly with no bad loans in its margin trading portfolio. The focus on smaller, granular accounts reduces the danger that a single large client default could hurt the company&#8217;s finances.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We continue to maintain zero NPA on our MTF book as of March 31, 2026, once again reflecting our judicious underwriting practices. The book also remained granular, with approximately 61% of the outstanding exposure coming from clients with individual balances below 1 crore.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Rupkishore Guthra, Whole Time Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management clarifies that this specific entity focuses on execution and product distribution rather than high-end advisory services. This distinction is important for investors to understand the competitive positioning and margin profile of this business versus its sister company.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In our group, we have a wealth management company separate from this company. This company is by and large focusing on broking and distribution of products. Having said that, as a philosophy, we are addressing all the investment needs of a specific customer by providing various different investment products suitable to that particular investor.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Pradeep Gupta, Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company is digitizing its services to match the personal touch of a physical advisor, with over half the clients already using digital tools. Increasing digital adoption should lower the cost of serving customers and improve long-term scalability.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Regarding our technology side, we are strengthening that platform every day, trying to provide it in such a way that all the deliveries available from a relationship manager in the marketplace are available on our digital platform. Our broking platform is already there, which we are constantly improvising. Almost 60% of our customers are already using our digital platform.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Pradeep Gupta, Chairman and Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company uses an internal committee to strictly screen which stocks can be used as collateral for loans. This conservative approach is meant to protect the firm from sudden market crashes that could wipe out client equity.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;First, we always ensure that we operate in a business where customer interest is protected at the first level. Second, we are conservative in our approach toward risk management. A simple example is our MTF product. On the regulatory side, a basket is defined, and we have an internal committee for stock selection to ensure margin levels and risk controls are managed effectively.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Rupkishore Guthra, Whole Time Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company has drastically reduced its debt levels relative to its equity over the last year. A cleaner balance sheet gives the company more financial flexibility to navigate future market downturns without distress.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;As you might have observed in the numbers, we have improved our debt-to-equity ratio significantly to 0.62 from 1.8. I hope this clarifies your question.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Rupkishore Guthra, Whole Time Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company is very close to reaching its goal of a perfectly balanced revenue stream between broking and distribution. This balance is key for investors seeking a financial firm that is less exposed to the volatility of trading cycles.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;If you look at our performance this year, 51% comes from broking and 49% from distribution. We have seen a good amount of traction on the distribution side, which has grown by almost 44%. What we are trying to achieve over time is that 50:50 scenario.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, Corporate Team</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Even during months when the market indices fell, the company saw growth in its client count and total assets managed. This indicates strong customer retention and a resilient business model that can grow despite poor market sentiment.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;While the market level was down about 3%, the positive part is that the total number of clients has increased and the AUM from existing clients is also increasing on a constant basis. We are a customer-centric company and our policy is to look after the customers&#8217; and investors&#8217; interests first while simultaneously growing the company over time.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management, Corporate Team</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1 style="text-align: justify;">Telecom</h1><h2 style="text-align: justify;"><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/TEJASNET/">Tejas Networks | Small Cap | Telecom</a></h2><p style="text-align: justify;">Tejas Networks Limited specializes in designing, developing, and selling high-performance products to various industries including telecommunications service providers, internet service providers, utility companies, defense companies, and government entities. Their products are utilized in high-speed communication networks for carrying voice, data, and video traffic over optical fiber, offering programmable software-defined hardware architecture for easy development and upgrades.</p><p style="text-align: justify;">[<a href="https://files.tijoristack.ai/concall/transcript/5783-15-Apr-2026.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Management attributed the weak financial performance in FY26 to delays in large projects, especially after the peak execution of BSNL-related work in FY25. They emphasized that the demand environment remains intact and the issue is timing of execution.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;FY26 has been a year of consolidation. Our BSNL 4G/5G network went live across 100,000 sites&#8230; Several large projects we planned for were delayed, resulting in a revenue shortfall and financial loss. However, we have not cut R&amp;D investments due to our positive outlook&#8230; While it has been a tough year, we have set a path for the future.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company reported a sharp increase in its order book, driven largely by India business and private/global customers. Importantly, management clarified that this number excludes the large BSNL 4G project, indicating broader underlying momentum.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We had growth in our order book at the end of Q4, ending with &#8377;1,514 crores compared to &#8377;1,019 crores at the end of Q4 FY25&#8230; India once again dominated our business at 88%. Our order book was also dominated by the India business&#8230; [and] this does not include the BSNL 4G project.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company has made significant investments in its technology partnership with NEC, which is now expected to start generating revenues as milestones are achieved and commercial adoption begins.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;This consists of our product development efforts and the technology licensing agreement we signed with NEC&#8230; A large part is done&#8230; we expect the balance to be completed within the next two quarters&#8230; Yes, we will see revenue from the new contract with NEC in FY27.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Tejas has secured initial deals and is in advanced stages of trials across multiple geographies. These are expected to contribute meaningfully to revenues starting FY27.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We signed an agreement with NEC to manufacture and supply our 5G massive MIMO radios for global customers&#8230; We also received an initial order for the expansion of 4G networks from a customer in South Asia&#8230; A lot of the 5G massive MIMO business will generate revenue in FY27&#8230; more expansion expected this year.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Concerns around high inventory levels (especially linked to BSNL) were addressed by clarifying that products are standardized and can be sold to other customers globally.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We expect significant BSNL collections this year&#8230; The inventory procured is not unique to BSNL; these are 4G and 5G radios that can be sold to other global customers or for private networks.&#8221;<br> &#8212; Management</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company deliberately chose not to cut R&amp;D spend, highlighting its long-term strategy to remain competitive in deep-tech telecom infrastructure.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Being in deep tech, failing to invest in technology is a bigger risk&#8230; We took the call to continue investments despite the business shortfall in FY26&#8230; In FY27, the balance between investment and revenue will be tighter.&#8221;<br> &#8212; Management</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management anticipates a long-term surge in network demand as artificial intelligence traffic forces service providers to upgrade their infrastructure. This structural shift positions Tejas&#8217;s high-capacity optical and edge products for a potential multi-year growth cycle.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Looking forward, AI will drive network transformation. By 2030, AI traffic is predicted to be more than 60% of total network traffic. This will require low latency and jitter. This trend will drive a network infrastructure build super cycle.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Arnab Roy, MD and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company expects future investments to be centered around high-speed optical networks and edge infrastructure to handle AI-driven workloads.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Communication service provider networks will need to handle immense growth, with 50% of new AI traffic processed at edge nodes&#8230; We will see significant investment in 400G and 800G connectivity at the edge.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Rising input costs, particularly memory components, are being addressed through pricing renegotiations and product optimization.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Memory cost does impact us&#8230; we are addressing this through new technology and renegotiating prices with customers to protect our margins.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company is actively pursuing global deals, with multiple field trials across geographies, which could convert into orders in FY27.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have multiple ongoing field trials for our 4G and 5G RAN products across South Asia and the Americas&#8230; recently completing a successful 5G POC in South America&#8230; We are chasing large opportunities, particularly international wireless deals.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management framed current investments as enabling multi-fold growth rather than incremental improvement, especially as global opportunities scale.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our investments are aimed at significant growth&#8212;multiples of what we did in FY26&#8230; While projects like BSNL create spikes, the underlying trend without those one-offs should show consistent growth.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Management</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1 style="text-align: justify;">TV Interviews</h1><h2 style="text-align: justify;">Baba Jewellers | Gold &amp; Diamond Jewellery | Retail</h2><p style="text-align: justify;">Bawa Jewellers is a heritage jewellery brand specializing in gold, diamond, and silver ornaments, backed by a legacy of craftsmanship and trust since 1928. Led by Gaurav Bawa, the brand offers a diverse range of traditional and contemporary designs, blending timeless artistry with modern aesthetics to suit evolving customer preferences. Bawa Jewellers provides certified jewellery, fair pricing, and value-driven services, continuing to serve generations with a reliable and refined jewellery shopping experience.</p><p style="text-align: justify;"><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ty8-P5beqrc">Reference</a></p><p style="text-align: justify;">The company has observed that jewellery demand is becoming less sensitive to price hikes as consumer purchasing power grows. This comes despite a broader environment marked by inflationary pressures and global uncertainties, indicating relative resilience in this segment.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;If you look at it closely, people&#8217;s spending capacity has increased over time. In terms of quantity, at our store, we&#8217;ve seen consistent year-on-year growth over the last three to four years. Price fluctuations don&#8217;t seem to affect demand much.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Gaurav Bawa, CEO, Bawa Jewellers.</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2 style="text-align: justify;"><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/BSE/PARLEIND/">Parle Products Private Limited | Cost Shock Reveal |</a></h2><p style="text-align: justify;">Parle Products is one of India&#8217;s leading FMCG companies in the biscuit and packaged foods segment, built on a high-volume, mass-market distribution model. Recent management commentary highlights rising cost pressures from fuel constraints and packaging inflation, with the company absorbing these increases to protect demand.</p><p style="text-align: justify;"><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7rVVaae67M8">Reference.</a></p><p style="text-align: justify;">While fuel availability is recovering from its lows, the industrial supply of LPG remains significantly below full capacity. Investors should note that until supply reaches 100%, the company will continue to face inefficient production cycles and higher unit costs.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Earlier, LPG availability was capped at 50%, which has now increased to around 70%, and supply continues to improve. Despite this, both production capacity and conversion costs have been impacted.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Mayank Pravinchandra Shah, Vice President, Parle Products.</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Energy supply risks are systemic across the industry because the entire fuel basket is tied to volatile crude oil markets and government priority shifts. This implies that even companies with diversified fuel sources remain vulnerable to broader energy shortages.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In terms of LPG dependency, around 25 to 30% of industry capacity runs on LPG, while the rest uses other fuels. However, since all fuels are linked to crude oil, the prioritisation of crude for LPG, petrol, and diesel impacts overall fuel availability across industries.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Mayank Pravinchandra Shah, Vice President, Parle Products.</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company is facing a sharp double-digit spike in packaging expenses due to rising global commodity prices. This significant inflation in non-food inputs will likely compress gross margins unless offset by pricing or volume gains.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Another major cost component affected is packaging material. Packaging costs have increased by approximately 15 to 20%.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Mayank Pravinchandra Shah, Vice President, Parle Products.</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management is currently choosing to protect market share by absorbing higher input costs rather than passing them to consumers immediately. This strategy signals a temporary hit to profitability to maintain volume growth in a volatile environment.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;While price hikes may become necessary if costs remain elevated, no immediate action is being taken due to market volatility. Companies are currently absorbing the increased costs, but this is not sustainable in the long term.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Mayank Pravinchandra Shah, Vice President, Parle Products.</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2 style="text-align: justify;"><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/PARAS/">Paras Defence on deal with Bandak Aviation</a></h2><p style="text-align: justify;">Paras Defence and Space Technologies operates in high-precision defence and aerospace systems with a focus on indigenisation. Recent management commentary highlights a strategic partnership to bring air-to-air refuelling systems to India, opening a large long-term opportunity in a niche, import-dependent segment with limited domestic competition.</p><p style="text-align: justify;">[<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qlhyg9OtgIg">Reference</a>]</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Paras has entered into an exclusive agreement to localise air-to-air refuelling technology in India for the first time. This partnership targets a significant market opportunity previously dominated by foreign suppliers.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;What we have signed with Bandak Aviation is an agreement that we are going to work together to make sure that a critical technology in aviation, such as air-to-air refuelling systems, is brought to India. It is supplied to the end customers, and this will open up a huge funnel which is already on the cards, and that funnel will run into hundreds of millions of dollars worth of opportunity. Now these opportunities will include all the platforms that already have air-to-air refuelling systems.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amit Mahajan, Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The agreement covers not just new equipment sales but also the servicing and upgrading of refuelling systems on existing aircraft. This dual focus on new hardware and maintenance provides both growth potential and steady recurring revenue.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Now these opportunities will include all the platforms that already have air-to-air refuelling systems. Those will be required to be upgraded. Those will be required to be serviced, and those will be required to be overhauled as well. And at the same time, new systems or the replacement of certain systems will be required on existing platforms. Always an opportunity for new platforms to have an indigenous air-to-air refuelling system. So it&#8217;s a huge plethora of opportunities that we are eyeing with this particular agreement.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Amit Mahajan, Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Paras is positioning itself as the only domestic manufacturer for a critical aviation subsystem that is currently 100% imported. Being the sole local provider aligns with India&#8217;s defence indigenisation push and creates a strong competitive moat.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;This becomes a very critical subsystem. So we will work with the platform manufacturers, and currently, these kinds of systems are imported. So there is a big gap that we see that an indigenous player can step into and make the most of this opportunity. Currently, there is no Indian company that is doing something like that.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Amit Mahajan, Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management conservatively estimates the total addressable market for these refuelling systems to be worth nearly one billion dollars. While this revenue will be realised over time, it represents a significant expansion opportunity.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;See, it is a very early stage for us to estimate, but like I&#8217;m telling you, the overall opportunity size, if I may be very conservative, will be very close to a billion dollars. But it&#8217;s spread across many years, and we will have to take it in a gradual fashion.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Amit Mahajan, Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The current partnership is a strategic starting point that management expects will eventually transition into a formal joint venture, enabling deeper collaboration over time.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Initially, when you are working with two companies that have not had earlier business relations, the linkage is purely based on the opportunities that you get and a joint recce kind of thing that both companies have done. Our relationship is fairly new, and as the relationship builds, it starts off with an agreement. Even if you see all the earlier JVs that we have done, we&#8217;ve had good working relations in the past. We&#8217;ve had our agreements in the past. So agreement is a first step, and then as the companies start gelling with each other, understanding each other&#8217;s business and way of working, then we get into more of a JV, like a permanent entity. So by the time we get into that, this can be a phase two if the business needs.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amit Mahajan, Director</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company has reiterated confidence in its growth trajectory, supported by a strong order book and execution visibility.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;While we are currently around 415 cr in terms of trailing 12 months topline, we are on a good trajectory, and we will maintain it for sure. We are maintaining that trajectory; neither are we discounting it, nor are we saying that there is going to be any negative change to it. It is going to be the same orbit.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Amit Mahajan, Director</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2 style="text-align: justify;">Mirae Asset Management on Energy Transition</h2><p style="text-align: justify;">Mirae Asset Investment Managers is a global asset management firm offering investment solutions across equity and diversified strategies.The management remains positive on EV adoption, small-cap earnings recovery, and demand across key sectors like auto and defense. While near-term cost pressures persist, the broader outlook continues to stay constructive.</p><p style="text-align: justify;">[<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RRAMWCXNGQ4">Interview</a>]</p><p style="text-align: justify;">The transition from internal combustion engines to electric vehicles is expected to gain momentum through new government policy support. Following global trends like China&#8217;s, India is likely to see an accelerated adoption rate for EVs in the near future.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I think, you know, the shift from ICE to EVs, as far as auto is concerned, will further get strengthened, and I would expect in the next few months various state governments and the central government to come up with more programs on that side. So, if you look at China today, almost every second car which is sold is an EV, and I think India will also be forced to accelerate this transition going forward.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Varun Goel, Senior Fund Manager, Mirae Asset Investment</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Smaller companies are emerging from a period of stagnant earnings growth over the last two years. Management anticipates a 20% or higher growth rate in earnings by FY26 due to the current low base and cyclical recovery.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I think specifically, if you look at the small-cap space, we have seen almost a two-year kind of earnings holiday, and the earnings in FY26 will be very similar to what they were in FY24. On that very low base, we expect 20% plus kind of earnings growth, even despite the war that is going on. Before the war, the estimates were upwards of 25%.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Varun Goel, Senior Fund Manager, Mirae Asset Investment.</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Tax incentives and government spending are driving strong demand across the automotive, defense, and railway sectors. This positive momentum is expected to continue through the peak festive season.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I think auto, auto ancillary, consumer durables, the whole auto system space remains one of the biggest beneficiaries of the GST cuts, and we believe that momentum will sustain at least till Diwali. If you look at the whole capex-related activities, defense and railways, we expect a further boost to capex on that side.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Varun Goel, Senior Fund Manager, Mirae Asset Investment.</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2 style="text-align: justify;"><strong><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/LT/">L&amp;T on India&#8217;s Nuclear Scale-Up</a></strong></h2><p style="text-align: justify;">Larsen &amp; Toubro (L&amp;T) is an Indian multinational conglomerate engaged in engineering, construction, and high-tech manufacturing. The management indicates a clear scale-up in India&#8217;s nuclear program, with visibility on capacity addition and a fast-tracked reactor pipeline. With opportunities across large reactors, SMRs, and lifecycle services, nuclear is emerging as a meaningful growth driver for L&amp;T.</p><p style="text-align: justify;">[<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=isfC-aH2svE">Interview</a>]</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Management believes the target for nuclear capacity expansion is historically achievable, based on precedents from other major global economies. This suggests a strong multi-year tailwind for L&amp;T&#8217;s high-tech manufacturing and engineering divisions.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;India needs to add capacity at a rate of 4.3 gigawatt on average per year, and these rates have been achieved in the past by countries like the USA and, to a lesser extent, France and China. That was in the late 80s and early 90s. Today, with the latest technologies available, I think this is very much possible and realistically achievable.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Anil V Parab, Whole-time Director &amp; Sr Executive VP.</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The government is moving into a fast-track expansion phase for stage two nuclear reactors after the prototype milestone, providing clear visibility on future capacity addition.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I would say now, having started stage two, we will have to scale it up where more such fast breeder reactor capacities will be added by the government. The immediate plan is that after about a year of operation of this prototype fast breeder reactor, they intend to add two more reactors of similar capacity at the same location, which can be set up on a fast-track basis, and then more will be added for stage two.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Anil V Parab, Whole-time Director &amp; Sr Executive VP.</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">The company highlights a clear market split between large-scale utility reactors and Small Modular Reactors (SMRs), with the latter catering to emerging industrial and data-driven demand.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Now, in nuclear, there are two parts. One is the power reactors, which are 700 megawatt and higher in size, and the second part is India&#8217;s commitment to achieve a net-zero carbon footprint by 2070 and support cutting-edge technologies like artificial intelligence. There, you need small modular reactors, which are more for captive consumption of hard-to-abate industries and hyperscaler data centers.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Anil V Parab, Whole-time Director &amp; Sr Executive VP.</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">L&amp;T plans to expand its nuclear business beyond equipment supply into long-term plant services, aiming to capture value across the lifecycle of nuclear assets.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;So we will continue to play and be the industry trendsetter and market leader in nuclear in this particular segment, and over a period of time we will also extend our offerings to plant services, which will be required as more capacity comes on stream. These nuclear power plants, for reliable operation, will need such life extension plant services, which L&amp;T will also address over a period of time.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Anil V Parab, Whole-time Director &amp; Sr Executive VP.</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">L&amp;T expects strong growth visibility in its nuclear segment, with revenues projected to scale significantly depending on the pace of government execution.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Beyond that, I can&#8217;t really share on such media, but what I can tell you is that our current nuclear revenue will, in a realistic way, increase 3 to 3.5 times over the next five years, depending on how the government launches various new reactor plants. If it is faster, growth can be faster; if it is slower, it will depend accordingly.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Anil V Parab, Whole-time Director &amp; Sr Executive VP of L&amp;T</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Management clarifies the cost structure of nuclear projects, highlighting the share of high-value components relevant for L&amp;T.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I think, first of all, what you shared is only one type of technology, that is the pressurized heavy water reactor, which is the Indian domestic technology. Other technologies like light water reactors are different. Generally, if you see the breakup, plant and machinery, depending on the technology selected, will be around 20 to 30 to 35% of the total cost. The remaining will be construction and associated commissioning costs.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Anil V Parab, Whole-time Director &amp; Sr Executive VP.</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2 style="text-align: justify;"><strong>Nomura on India: From Overweight to Neutral</strong></h2><p style="text-align: justify;">Nomura Holdings is a global financial services firm offering research, investment banking, and asset management services across international markets. The firm has turned neutral on Indian equities, signaling a shift in relative positioning within Asia. While markets may move together, the real question is where capital flows next, and whether India can hold its ground amid rising competition from tech-driven markets and evolving global cues.</p><p style="text-align: justify;">[<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CafWkexneXo">Reference</a>]</p><p style="text-align: justify;">Nomura has shifted its rating on Indian equities to neutral, indicating that the market is expected to perform broadly in line with its regional peers rather than outperform.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;When we say we are downgrading our stance from overweight to neutral, all we are trying to suggest is that we think the market performance of India will be broadly in line with regional markets. The thesis is very simple. If the war were to deescalate and we start to see normalization of oil and energy flows through the Straits of Hormuz, I think all the markets in Asia will rally.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Chetan Seth, Asia-Pacific Equity Strategist, Nomura Holdings</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Chetan expects that while India may participate in a regional rally, tech-driven markets like Korea and Taiwan are better positioned to outperform.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Some markets will rally more. We think tech-oriented markets like Korea and Taiwan will probably rally more. India will also rally, but it is hard for us to expect India to outperform from here.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Chetan Seth, Asia-Pacific Equity Strategist, Nomura Holdings</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Persistent foreign selling in India is being driven by capital reallocation towards global technology opportunities rather than a deterioration in domestic fundamentals.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The reason for India&#8217;s underperformance, or persistent net selling by foreigners, is very simple. Investors can find opportunities elsewhere, particularly in tech, and that is where they have been buying. They had to sell somewhere to fund those positions.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Chetan Seth, Asia-Pacific Equity Strategist, Nomura Holdings</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Weak inflows into active emerging market funds are forcing portfolio shifts, increasing the need to sell existing positions like India to allocate capital elsewhere.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;It&#8217;s not that emerging market active funds are getting a lot of money. Passive funds are getting more inflows, but active funds are not. So whenever you have an opportunity elsewhere, you have to cut exposure somewhere and allocate capital to that opportunity.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Chetan Seth, Asia-Pacific Equity Strategist, Nomura Holdings</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: justify;">Currency movement remains closely linked to foreign investor flows, creating a feedback loop that continues to impact market sentiment.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The other problem for India is also the rupee. The rupee and equity flows are a bit of a chicken-and-egg situation. If flows start to normalize and we see inflows into India, the rupee will stabilize. But as long as foreigners are selling, the rupee will remain under pressure.&#8221;</em></p><p><em> &#8212; Chetan Seth, Asia-Pacific Equity Strategist, Nomura Holdings</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><p>That&#8217;s it for now! Your feedback will really help shape how The Chatter evolves. Drop it down in the comments below!</p><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://thechatterbyzerodha.substack.com/p/the-chatter-underneath-the-noise?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share&amp;token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjozMDExNzg5MTMsInBvc3RfaWQiOjE3MjY2NDQxNiwiaWF0IjoxNzU3NTk4NjQzLCJleHAiOjE3NjAxOTA2NDMsImlzcyI6InB1Yi00ODk4NzYwIiwic3ViIjoicG9zdC1yZWFjdGlvbiJ9.TFcDJv32XGvO0oFacHaCKP014RVVZ1pAYaVdcBrgrfE&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Share&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:&quot;button-wrapper&quot;}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary button-wrapper" href="https://thechatterbyzerodha.substack.com/p/the-chatter-underneath-the-noise?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share&amp;token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjozMDExNzg5MTMsInBvc3RfaWQiOjE3MjY2NDQxNiwiaWF0IjoxNzU3NTk4NjQzLCJleHAiOjE3NjAxOTA2NDMsImlzcyI6InB1Yi00ODk4NzYwIiwic3ViIjoicG9zdC1yZWFjdGlvbiJ9.TFcDJv32XGvO0oFacHaCKP014RVVZ1pAYaVdcBrgrfE"><span>Share</span></a></p><p>Quotes in this newsletter were curated by Kashish, Meher &amp; Shahid</p><p>Disclaimer: We&#8217;ve used AI tools in filtering and cleaning up these quotes so there maybe some mistakes. Now, if you are thinking why we are using AI, please remember that we are just a small team of 5 people running everything you see on Zerodha Markets &#128556; So, all the good stuff is human and mistakes are AI.</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>We&#8217;re now on <a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/marketsbyzerodha/">Reddit</a>!</strong></h2><p>We love engaging with the perspectives of readers like you. So we asked ourselves - why not make a proper free-for-all forum where people can engage with us and each other? And what&#8217;s a better, nerdier place to do that than Reddit?</p><p>So, do join us on the subreddit, chat all things markets and finance, tell us what you like about our content and where we can improve! Here&#8217;s the <a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/marketsbyzerodha/">link</a> &#8212; alternatively, you can search r/marketsbyzerodha on Reddit.</p><p>See you there!</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Has the microfinance credit cycle turned? ]]></title><description><![CDATA[Plotlines #4]]></description><link>https://thechatter.zerodha.com/p/has-the-microfinance-credit-cycle</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://thechatter.zerodha.com/p/has-the-microfinance-credit-cycle</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Zerodha]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 12 Apr 2026 03:30:43 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uxWj!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e890ac9-1688-423d-8a97-3cc531f409b9_2560x1440.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" 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class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div class="pullquote"><p>Hi, I&#8217;m <a href="https://www.linkedin.com/in/kashishkap00r/">Kashish</a> and I work on Plotlines. </p><p>It builds on Chatter, but with a more structured lens. Instead of looking at management commentary from earning concalls in isolation, we track a single theme across companies and over time to connect the dots. The goal is to piece together how narratives evolve, and surface the deeper structural shifts shaping industries.</p><p>Today, we cover the microfinance credit cycle.</p></div><div id="youtube2-sOqDUyVLKvI" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;sOqDUyVLKvI&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/sOqDUyVLKvI?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2" target="_blank" href="https://www.tijoristack.ai/concall-monitor/?utm_source=zerodha&amp;utm_campaign=z_marketing" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DvhQ!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd94e0e1f-b28a-482b-a25a-7f2e3246c7b8_8192x2048.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DvhQ!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd94e0e1f-b28a-482b-a25a-7f2e3246c7b8_8192x2048.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DvhQ!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd94e0e1f-b28a-482b-a25a-7f2e3246c7b8_8192x2048.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DvhQ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd94e0e1f-b28a-482b-a25a-7f2e3246c7b8_8192x2048.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DvhQ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd94e0e1f-b28a-482b-a25a-7f2e3246c7b8_8192x2048.png" width="1456" height="364" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/d94e0e1f-b28a-482b-a25a-7f2e3246c7b8_8192x2048.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:364,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:306481,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:&quot;https://www.tijoristack.ai/concall-monitor/?utm_source=zerodha&amp;utm_campaign=z_marketing&quot;,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://thechatter.zerodha.com/i/193780467?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd94e0e1f-b28a-482b-a25a-7f2e3246c7b8_8192x2048.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DvhQ!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd94e0e1f-b28a-482b-a25a-7f2e3246c7b8_8192x2048.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DvhQ!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd94e0e1f-b28a-482b-a25a-7f2e3246c7b8_8192x2048.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DvhQ!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd94e0e1f-b28a-482b-a25a-7f2e3246c7b8_8192x2048.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DvhQ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd94e0e1f-b28a-482b-a25a-7f2e3246c7b8_8192x2048.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Check out <a href="https://www.tijoristack.ai/concall-monitor/?utm_source=zerodha&amp;utm_campaign=z_marketing">Concall Monitor</a></figcaption></figure></div><p><em>From &#8220;not expecting any known risks&#8221; to &#8220;the issues are clearly behind the industry&#8221; &#8212; eighteen companies, eight quarters, and a credit cycle that rewrote the rules of Indian microfinance, told entirely through the words of the people who lived it.</em></p><h2><strong>The Goldilocks Trap</strong></h2><p>In March 2024, the Indian microfinance industry was in a celebratory mood. Asset quality had recovered from the pandemic. Growth was strong. Guidance was ambitious. The sector had disbursed record volumes and the worst of COVID-era stress was firmly in the rearview.</p><p>Satin Creditcare&#8217;s HP Singh called FY24 a &#8220;momentous chapter&#8221; in the company&#8217;s 33-year journey. Muthoot Microfin&#8217;s CEO saw a clear path to 4.5% ROA. CreditAccess Grameen, the country&#8217;s largest pure-play microfinance NBFC, set its sights on numbers that would have seemed outlandish just two years earlier.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>Assuming a stable operating environment, we look forward to achieving loan portfolio growth of 23% to 24% in FY25. We are anticipating credit cost of 2.2% to 2.4%... Overall, we aim to achieve ROA of 5.4% to 5.5% and ROE of 23.0% to 23.5% in FY25.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; <em>Udaya Kumar Hebbar, Managing Director, CreditAccess Grameen | Q4 FY24</em></p></blockquote><p>Bandhan Bank, which had spent three painful years cleaning up pandemic-era stress in its microfinance book &#8212; the &#8220;Emerging Entrepreneurs Business&#8221; in Bandhan parlance &#8212; declared the legacy behind them. Its SMA-0 pool had halved. Slippages were trending down. The technical write-off of the old book was done.</p><p><em>SMA-0 pool is the set of loan accounts that are overdue by up to 30 days, indicating the earliest stage of repayment stress.</em></p><p><em>Slippages are loans that move from standard (performing) to NPA status during a period.</em></p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>So I think as Rajeev said, we believe that decisively, we are out of the pandemic problem. In fact, all the parameters, as you see, you can clearly see that practically the slippages has come down significantly. Recovery rates have improved. DPD pool has dried down.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; <em>Ratan Kesh, Executive Director and COO, Bandhan Bank | Q4 FY24</em></p></blockquote><p>When analysts asked CreditAccess&#8217;s managing director what risks he saw on the horizon, his response carried the confidence of a man who had navigated COVID, demonetization, and the Andhra Pradesh crisis &#8212; and come out the other side each time.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>We are not expecting any known risks actually. Known risk if you see the last 10 years or 15 years, the risks which have come to this industry are unknown. Whether it is COVID or demonetization, the second COVID, all are unknown. The industry has not lost because of any known risks.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; <em>Udaya Kumar Hebbar, Managing Director, CreditAccess Grameen | Q4 FY24</em></p></blockquote><p>It was a reasonable statement grounded in history. Every previous microfinance crisis &#8212; Andhra Pradesh in 2010, demonetization in 2016, COVID in 2020 &#8212; had been triggered by an external shock that no one could have modelled for. The sector&#8217;s risk management frameworks were built around this assumption: the threats come from outside, and when they pass, business returns to normal.</p><p>Not everyone agreed. A few voices struck a different note that quarter. Kotak Mahindra Bank&#8217;s new CEO Ashok Vaswani looked at the same data and saw a warning sign rather than an all-clear.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>If you look at what is happening in the industry and look at loss rates and stuff like that post the COVID provisions, it has really been a Goldilocks period for the last 2-3 years at least since COVID. Now, all of us know that credits go through cycles. At this point in the cycle, to go out and get aggressive on credit, I don&#8217;t think it is a smart thing to do.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; <em>Ashok Vaswani, MD &amp; CEO, Kotak Mahindra Bank | Q4 FY24</em></p></blockquote><p>HDFC Bank was quietly building buffers while the sun was shining &#8212; creating what it called &#8220;countercyclical provisions,&#8221; essentially setting money aside during good times for the bad times it expected would eventually come.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>We have, as a part of prudent risk management, created a countercyclical provision, which is a provision in good times.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; <em>Sashidhar Jagdishan, MD &amp; CEO, HDFC Bank | Q4 FY24</em></p></blockquote><p>IndusInd Bank, one of the largest MFI lenders through its subsidiary BFIL, was even more specific about where it saw cracks. Its CEO Sumant Kathpalia said the bank had spotted stress building in Punjab eleven months before the rest of the industry acknowledged it.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>We saw Punjab coming 11 months ago. We saw the waves of Punjab coming and even some parts of Odisha and Bihar also coming and some parts of UP also. We started exiting those portfolios at that point.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; <em>Sumant Kathpalia, MD &amp; CEO, IndusInd Bank | Q4 FY24</em></p></blockquote><p>Whether the early detection translated into early protection would become one of the more revealing questions of the cycle.</p><p style="text-align: center;">&#8226; &#8226; &#8226;</p><h2><strong>Something Breaks</strong></h2><p>The first tremors arrived in Q1 FY25 &#8212; the April-June quarter of 2024. A brutal heatwave across northern India made fieldwork difficult for loan officers accustomed to collecting repayments door-to-door. General elections in April and May disrupted collection schedules &#8212; in several states, political activists ran &#8220;Karj Mukti Andolans,&#8221; loan forgiveness campaigns that encouraged borrowers to stop repaying.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>Majority of that activity has stopped. It was almost linked with the election activity that was going on during that period in Q1. So now we don&#8217;t have too much of activism.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; <em>Sadaf Sayeed, CEO, Muthoot Microfin | Q1 FY25</em></p></blockquote><p>These were plausible, temporary explanations. Heat waves pass. Elections end. But underneath the seasonal noise, something structural was breaking. At IDFC First Bank, the JLG collection efficiency &#8212; the percentage of current-bucket borrowers who pay on time &#8212; slipped from 99.7% to 99.2%. Half a percentage point sounds trivial. In microfinance, where the entire model depends on near-perfect repayment discipline, it was a red alert.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>Normally, pre the floods, our credit loss in the JLG book used to be around 1.6%. Now our estimate of credit cost for this year on the joint liability group, because we are 60% concentrated in Tamil Nadu, it is expected around 5% or a little short of it.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; <em>V. Vaidyanathan, MD &amp; CEO, IDFC First Bank | Q1 FY25</em></p></blockquote><p>A brief detour is useful here to understand what was actually going wrong. Microfinance in India works primarily through the Joint Liability Group model &#8212; small groups of borrowers, typically 5-10 women, who collectively guarantee each other&#8217;s loans. The model&#8217;s genius is that it replaces traditional collateral with social pressure: if one borrower defaults, the group faces consequences. It works remarkably well in normal times, keeping credit costs at 1.5-2.5% despite lending to some of the most economically vulnerable households in the country.</p><p>But the model has a critical weakness. It doesn&#8217;t control how many groups &#8212; or how many lenders &#8212; a single borrower joins. And since 2022, something had quietly shifted. Credit bureau data showed that borrowers were taking on loans from more and more institutions simultaneously. Ticket sizes were creeping up. Total indebtedness per borrower was rising fast.</p><p>Fusion Finance, a mid-sized NBFC-MFI, laid this out in stark numbers.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>I would like to draw your attention to Slide #8 on our customer leverage. As you can see, our outstanding per customer is mostly below INR 40,000. But 33% of these customers have outstanding greater than 1 lakh across micro finance loans. This increased from 23% in March to 32% March &#8217;24.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; <em>Devesh Sachdev, MD &amp; CEO, Fusion Finance | Q1 FY25</em></p></blockquote><p>In twelve months, the share of borrowers carrying more than Rs 1 lakh in microfinance debt had jumped by 10 percentage points. And these were just the loans visible on credit bureaus. Equitas SFB&#8217;s veteran founder P.N. Vasudevan &#8212; who had been in microfinance for nearly two decades &#8212; identified another layer that was harder to track.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>What is not really understood or clear is also there&#8217;s some kind of a parallel lending happening to the same set of borrowers by so called app loan companies.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; <em>P.N. Vasudevan, MD &amp; CEO, Equitas SFB | Q3 FY25</em></p></blockquote><p>Spandana Sphoorty&#8217;s data quantified the damage from overleveraging: borrowers with five or more lenders were just 12% of the company&#8217;s AUM but contributed 21% of its arrear bucket. The more lenders a borrower had, the more likely they were to default &#8212; and the industry had spent two years adding lenders to each borrower&#8217;s profile.</p><p>The most important observation of Q1 came from Vasudevan, who named what nobody else was willing to say clearly: for the first time in living memory, this crisis wasn&#8217;t caused by something that happened to microfinance. It was caused by microfinance itself.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>For a change, the crisis or it&#8217;s not the word crisis, but at least a stress levels in microfinance for a change is not induced by an external one. This is the first time, I think, in the last 15 years that I know or 17 years that I have been in this business that I&#8217;m saying that it&#8217;s not an external event trigger, but it&#8217;s something inherently coming up from the sector itself.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; <em>P.N. Vasudevan, MD &amp; CEO, Equitas SFB | Q1 FY25</em></p></blockquote><p>Not everyone agreed with this framing. Spandana&#8217;s MD Shalabh Saxena pushed back on the idea that overleveraging was systemic.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>I personally do not believe there is a systemic over-leverage issue across the industry. I firmly believe that. There could be a few pockets, a few institutions here and there.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; <em>Shalabh Saxena, MD &amp; CEO, Spandana Sphoorty | Q1 FY25</em></p></blockquote><p>Within two quarters, the data would prove him wrong.</p><p style="text-align: center;">&#8226; &#8226; &#8226;</p><h2><strong>The Guardrails</strong></h2><p>In July 2024, MFIN &#8212; the Microfinance Institutions Network, which functions as the sector&#8217;s self-regulatory organization &#8212; rolled out what became known as the <a href="https://mfinindia.org/assets/upload_image/news/pdf/Press%20Rel%2025%20Nov%2024.pdf">Guardrails</a>. These were a set of industry-wide lending norms, agreed upon by members representing roughly 87% of the microfinance market, aimed at curbing the overleveraging that was now clearly driving the stress.</p><p>The key rules: no borrower should have loans from more than four microfinance lenders. Total unsecured indebtedness, including microfinance, should not exceed Rs 2 lakh. Lenders were required to check bureau data before every disbursement, not just at onboarding.</p><p>The guardrails were a significant step, but they were forward-looking &#8212; they could prevent new overleveraged loans from being created, but they couldn&#8217;t fix the existing book. Borrowers who already had five or six lenders would continue to struggle. The stress already embedded in portfolios would need to be absorbed through provisions, write-offs, and time.</p><p>The impact on new business was immediate. At Muthoot Microfin, about 11% of loan applications that would previously have been approved were now being rejected under the new rules. Satin Creditcare reported that at the time the guardrails kicked in, just 1% of their existing clients exceeded the four-lender cap &#8212; a sign that some companies had been more disciplined than others.</p><p>Fusion stopped disbursements entirely in 104 of its branches. CreditAccess tightened credit filters. Spandana paused new member acquisition in 230 branches and stopped sourcing new-to-credit customers altogether. The industry was simultaneously trying to fix the new pipeline while absorbing damage from the old one.</p><p>The CreditAccess team tried to quantify the timeline.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>We however, expect the delinquency trend to stabilise in the coming quarter and credit cost within the guided range of 2.2% to 2.4% for the year.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; <em>Udaya Kumar Hebbar, Managing Director, CreditAccess Grameen | Q1 FY25</em></p></blockquote><p>That guidance would not survive the next ninety days.</p><p style="text-align: center;">&#8226; &#8226; &#8226;</p><h2><strong>Into the Storm</strong></h2><p>By September 2024, the scale of the problem was undeniable. What had started as &#8220;stress in some pockets&#8221; was now a full-blown industry credit cycle. The heat waves and elections were months behind, but collection efficiencies were still deteriorating. Equitas&#8217;s Vasudevan captured the moment of realization.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>The industry and us included were quite caught by surprise when the collection efficiency dipped further in Q2 for no apparent external reasons. In our case, it dropped from 98.9% of Q1 down to 98.2% in Q2. And when this happened across geographies, it was clear that an important reason for the stress was as much internal as external.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; <em>P.N. Vasudevan, MD &amp; CEO, Equitas SFB | Q3 FY25</em></p></blockquote><p>CreditAccess Grameen, which six months earlier had guided for 23-24% portfolio growth and 5.4% ROA, rewrote its entire outlook.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>In light of the current industry landscape and short-term challenges encountered, we have revised our estimate for FY25 annual performance guidance. We anticipate loan portfolio growth of 8-12%, NIM of 12.8-13.0%, credit cost of 4.5-5.0%, ROA of 3.0-3.5%, and ROE of 12.0-14.0%.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; <em>Udaya Kumar Hebbar, Managing Director, CreditAccess Grameen | Q2 FY25</em></p></blockquote><p>Growth guidance halved. ROA guidance cut by nearly 40%. Credit cost guidance doubled. And CreditAccess was among the better-positioned players &#8212; it had been conservative relative to its peers, with a diversified geographic footprint and a long track record. For the more concentrated and leveraged players, the numbers were far worse.</p><p>Fusion Finance reported a quarterly credit cost of Rs 693 crore &#8212; a number large enough to trigger covenant breaches with lenders. This is worth pausing on: Fusion&#8217;s borrowing costs and credit lines depended on maintaining certain financial ratios. When its losses blew through those thresholds, its own access to capital came under threat. The stress wasn&#8217;t just flowing from MFI borrowers to MFI companies &#8212; it was threatening to flow from MFI companies to their lenders, creating a potential second-order shock.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>I would like to mention that post the review of our auditors, our actual credit cost for Q2 FY25 has been determined at Rs. 693 crore. The elevated provisioning has been due to us proactively taking accelerated provisions... Looking at our portfolio performance and challenges faced by the sector, our auditor wants to bring to the attention that there are covenant breaches that will require waivers.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; <em>Devesh Sachdev, MD &amp; CEO, Fusion Finance | Q2 FY25</em></p></blockquote><p>IDFC First Bank&#8217;s V. Vaidyanathan, who had spent the previous quarter framing the Tamil Nadu floods as a one-off episode, acknowledged the broader reality and took an aggressive provisioning stance.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>Now, what we have done this quarter is because microfinance is an issue and we cannot wish it away because the microfinance portfolio is disturbing in many parts of India. So, what we have done is that in SMA-1 and SMA-2, we have taken provisions and therefore... almost 99% of SMA-1 plus SMA-2 has been provided for by the Bank, fully.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; <em>V. Vaidyanathan, MD &amp; CEO, IDFC First Bank | Q2 FY25</em></p></blockquote><p>Ujjivan Small Finance Bank, one of the larger microfinance-focused SFBs with a significant presence in southern states, saw its PAR &#8212; the portfolio at risk, measuring any loan that&#8217;s even one day overdue &#8212; climb sharply.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>On asset quality, as mentioned earlier, we are observing stress in the microfinance segment, due to which our PAR has increased to 5.1% in September 24 vs 4.2% in June 24. PAR 0 for our group loan portfolio has increased to 5.5% in September 24 versus 4.1% in June 24.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; <em>Sanjeev Nautiyal, MD &amp; CEO, Ujjivan SFB | Q2 FY25</em></p></blockquote><p>IndusInd Bank&#8217;s CEO Sumant Kathpalia &#8212; who had claimed to spot the trouble eleven months early &#8212; was now projecting confidence that the worst would be over within weeks.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>In my opinion, if everything goes well, within two months we should start seeing the flow rates coming down in this business... I am very bullish on the microfinance segment, and I think you will see the stability coming in very soon.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; <em>Sumant Kathpalia, MD &amp; CEO, IndusInd Bank | Q2 FY25</em></p></blockquote><p>That timeline would prove wildly optimistic. Kathpalia himself would not see it through &#8212; within months, he would exit the bank amid a governance crisis triggered in the bank&#8217;s derivative portfolio.</p><p>Vasudevan, characteristically more measured, offered the hardest truth of the quarter.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>This is the first time I&#8217;m seeing where an extended period of nearly 9, 10 months, we have been seeing high slippages and it&#8217;s by all of us and in many markets. So it&#8217;s very difficult to tell you within what time frame we expect it to come back to normalcy.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; <em>P.N. Vasudevan, MD &amp; CEO, Equitas SFB | Q1 FY25</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: center;">&#8226; &#8226; &#8226;</p><h2><strong>The Darkest Quarter &#8212; and the Turn</strong></h2><p>Q3 FY25 &#8212; October through December 2024 &#8212; was when the stress peaked for most companies. Bandhan saw microfinance slippages of Rs 1,196 crore in a single quarter. Its collection efficiency outside West Bengal dropped to 96.3%. Satin Creditcare&#8217;s PAR-1 rose to 6.8%. RBL Bank described conditions on the ground as being &#8220;in a flux.&#8221;</p><p>But this quarter also contained the single most important inflection point of the entire cycle: December 2024.</p><p>For months, the data had been uniformly grim. Then, almost simultaneously, company after company reported the same thing &#8212; the first material improvement in the current bucket, the pool of borrowers who are not yet overdue. When this pool stops deteriorating, it means fewer borrowers are falling into trouble for the first time. It doesn&#8217;t fix the existing NPAs, but it signals that the pipeline of future stress is narrowing.</p><p>CreditAccess&#8217;s MD, who had initially expected the peak in September, acknowledged the delay but confirmed the reversal.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>Our initial assessment of the current delinquency cycle being transitory in nature has come true as we see the new delinquency addition rate slowing down across various geographies in mid-November 2024... The new delinquency trend reversal was materially visible across various markets beginning mid-November, getting further stronger in December and January.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; <em>Udaya Kumar Hebbar, Managing Director, CreditAccess Grameen | Q3 FY25</em></p></blockquote><p>RBL Bank saw the same inflection.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>In the JLG segment, the situation on the ground has been in a flux for most of the past months, but December has seen the first material uptick in collection efficiency and the recoveries of old NPAs.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; <em>R. Subramaniakumar, MD &amp; CEO, RBL Bank | Q3 FY25</em></p></blockquote><p>Fusion&#8217;s Devesh Sachdev, whose company had been among the hardest hit, was watching a different metric &#8212; the new loans disbursed under tighter guardrails since August.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>Even I can tell you one more data, that the new sourcing which we are doing, which we changed in the middle of August. And now when I look it&#8217;s a five-month MOB, though it is too early, it&#8217;s just a 5 months MOB, but I believe the numbers are infant or early delinquency is clearly showing trends which we have seen in year 2022, &#8217;23.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; <em>Devesh Sachdev, MD &amp; CEO, Fusion Finance | Q3 FY25</em></p></blockquote><p>This was quietly one of the most significant data points of the cycle. Loans written under the new guardrails weren&#8217;t just marginally better &#8212; they were performing like pre-crisis vintage. The guardrails were working.</p><p>But Bandhan&#8217;s new MD Partha Pratim Sengupta &#8212; who had replaced Ratan Kesh in yet another leadership change during the crisis &#8212; offered a note of caution that tempered the optimism. The SMA-0 book was improving, but the backlog of loans already deeper in arrears still needed to work through the system.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>So, maybe the level of slippage could not be 1,196 in EEB book, what we have witnessed in Q3, but it will be substantial... But slippages, we are seeing the trend, but at the same time as you are witnessing, you see that our SMA-0 book is improving... But the trend is reversing.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; <em>Partha Pratim Sengupta, MD &amp; CEO, Bandhan Bank | Q3 FY25</em></p></blockquote><p>The green shoots were real. But the cleanup was far from over.</p><p style="text-align: center;">&#8226; &#8226; &#8226;</p><h2><strong>The Reckoning</strong></h2><p>Q4 FY25 &#8212; January through March 2025 &#8212; became the quarter of reckoning. The turn in collection efficiencies was confirmed, but the damage from the preceding three quarters had to be absorbed. Companies took massive write-offs to clear the decks. The numbers were staggering.</p><p>Equitas SFB revealed the full toll. Its microfinance credit cost went from 2.3% in FY24 to 11.37% in FY25 &#8212; a nearly fivefold increase that wiped away Rs 630 crore of profit and dragged the bank&#8217;s overall ROA down to 0.32%.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>Last year turned out to be a tough year. We had credit cost in Microfinance portfolio moving up from 2.3% in FY &#8217;24 to 11.37% in FY &#8217;25, wiping away about INR 630 crores of profit of the bank.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; <em>P.N. Vasudevan, MD &amp; CEO, Equitas SFB | Q4 FY25</em></p><p>&#8220;<em>In response to these headwinds, the bank slowed down its fresh disbursements in Microfinance, leading to a drop in the MFI advances from INR 6,265 crores in March &#8217;24 to just around INR 4,500 crores in March &#8217;25.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; <em>P.N. Vasudevan, MD &amp; CEO, Equitas SFB | Q4 FY25</em></p></blockquote><p>Spandana Sphoorty posted a net loss of Rs 1,035 crore for the full year. CreditAccess wrote off Rs 1,124 crore, including Rs 479 crore in accelerated write-offs of non-paying 180+ DPD accounts. Muthoot Microfin saw its GNPA climb to 4.84% &#8212; but its CEO called this the peak.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>So our GNP levels are at 4.84%, which is at an elevated number. But this is the peak of these GNPAs. We feel that in coming quarters, these numbers will only come down because we are seeing better collection efficiency.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; <em>Sadaf Sayeed, CEO, Muthoot Microfin | Q4 FY25</em></p></blockquote><p>RBL Bank took perhaps the most aggressive provisioning step of the entire cycle &#8212; writing its JLG net NPA to zero in a single quarter.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>In the JLG business, we normally take 25% provisioning each quarter on NPAs, but we have now taken 100% provisioning on the NPA as at March 31, 2025. This means we have a nil net NPA in the JLG business. We have also taken 75% provisioning amounting to INR 283 crores on SMA-0, 1 and 2.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; <em>R. Subramaniakumar, MD &amp; CEO, RBL Bank | Q4 FY25</em></p></blockquote><p>And then there was IndusInd Bank. In an industry already reeling from credit stress, IndusInd disclosed something that went beyond a credit cycle &#8212; it was a governance failure. An internal review found that microfinance loans at its subsidiary BFIL had been misclassified, concealing Rs 1,885 crore in under-provisioning and unrecognized NPAs.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>The review has also identified the misclassification of certain microfinance loans has resulted in under-provisioning and non-recognition of NPAs aggregating to Rs 1,885 Crores. The Bank has addressed the underlying cause and is in the process of taking actions for staff accountability.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; <em>Sunil Mehta, Chairman, IndusInd Bank | Q4 FY25</em></p></blockquote><p>The disclosure triggered a leadership overhaul. Rajiv Anand replaced Kathpalia as MD &amp; CEO. The microfinance subsidiary&#8217;s governance framework was restructured for &#8220;greater transparency.&#8221; It was a stark reminder that credit cycles don&#8217;t just stress balance sheets &#8212; they expose operational weaknesses that good times had papered over.</p><p>Meanwhile, the industry&#8217;s aggregate footprint was shrinking. This is a number that didn&#8217;t get much attention in individual earnings calls but told a dramatic story at the sector level.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>The overall loan outstanding at the sector, which was about INR 4.4 lakh crores in March &#8217;24, came down to about INR 3.75 lakhs in March &#8217;25 and further down to INR 3.5 lakh crores in June &#8217;25.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; <em>P.N. Vasudevan, MD &amp; CEO, Equitas SFB | Q2 FY26</em></p></blockquote><p>From Rs 4.4 lakh crore to Rs 3.5 lakh crore in fifteen months &#8212; the entire Indian microfinance industry shrank by 20%. That&#8217;s roughly Rs 90,000 crore of credit that was withdrawn from some of the poorest households in the country. The human cost of an industry correcting its own excesses.</p><p>IDFC First Bank&#8217;s Vaidyanathan, whose bank had taken provision hits early and heavily, offered a framing that captured what this quarter was &#8212; not the start of a new problem, but the crest of a wave.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>You think of this 2025 as a year that this has happened because of microfinance. You think of it that 2026, we will stage a smart recovery. And FY 27, FY 28, FY 29, we should be back winning ways.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; <em>V. Vaidyanathan, MD &amp; CEO, IDFC First Bank | Q4 FY25</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: center;">&#8226; &#8226; &#8226;</p><h2><strong>The Proof</strong></h2><p>The first sign that the recovery was real &#8212; not just hoped for &#8212; came from CreditAccess Grameen&#8217;s Q1 FY26 results. The company that had slashed guidance a year earlier now reported its highest-ever first-quarter disbursement.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>Our Q1 FY&#8217;26 performance has created a new benchmark, achieving the highest ever 1st Quarter disbursement in our history. This is a testament to our resilience and agility that define us given that we are coming off the back of a challenging credit cycle.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; <em>Ganesh Narayanan, CEO and MD Designate, CreditAccess Grameen | Q1 FY26</em></p></blockquote><p>Note the leadership change here too &#8212; Ganesh Narayanan had taken over from founding MD Udaya Kumar Hebbar, whose guidance had shaped the company through both the confidence of Q4 FY24 and the crisis that followed. CreditAccess wasn&#8217;t alone. Bandhan had moved from Ghosh to Kesh to Sengupta in the span of two years. Spandana&#8217;s MD Shalabh Saxena &#8212; who had pushed back on the overleveraging thesis &#8212; had exited, replaced by Ashish Damani as interim CEO. Fusion brought in Sanjay Garyali. The cycle had churned leadership across the sector.</p><p>But the data was now more important than the names on the door. The deleveraging that the MFIN guardrails had set in motion was showing up in every company&#8217;s investor presentation with striking consistency. The overleveraged borrower pool that had caused the crisis was being systematically drained.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>GLP of borrowers with greater than 3 pre-lenders stood at 11.1% in June 2025 versus 25.3% in August 2024. GLP of borrowers with greater than 2 lakh unsecured indebtedness stood at 9.5% as of June 2025 compared to 19.1% in August 2024.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; <em>Ganesh Narayanan, CEO and MD Designate, CreditAccess Grameen | Q1 FY26</em></p></blockquote><p>Muthoot Microfin saw the same pattern from the industry-level data.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>If you look at the overall industry, the leverage customers were around 20%. They have come down to around 8%, which is more than 4 loans.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; <em>Sadaf Sayeed, CEO, Muthoot Microfin | Q1 FY26</em></p></blockquote><p>And the proof that the guardrails were producing a fundamentally better book &#8212; not just a smaller one &#8212; came from Equitas.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>We had implemented the MFIN Guardrail 2.0 from Jan &#8217;25. Out of the portfolio created between Jan to June of &#8217;25, the X-bucket efficiency is about 99.6%, which is more or less what we used to have before this whole crisis started sometime in the first quarter of last year.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; <em>P.N. Vasudevan, MD &amp; CEO, Equitas SFB | Q1 FY26</em></p></blockquote><p>New loans, written under new rules, were performing at pre-crisis levels. Spandana&#8217;s data was even more definitive &#8212; its FY26 disbursements were tracking at 99.9% collection efficiency. The problem had been in the origination standards, the guardrails had fixed the origination standards, and the new book was proving it.</p><p>Fusion Finance, which less than a year earlier had reported covenant breaches and a Rs 693 crore quarterly credit cost, showed a steady trajectory of decline.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>Credit costs have steadily declined QoQ from Rs. 571 Cr in Q3 FY25 to Rs. 253 Cr in Q4 FY25 and further to Rs. 178 Cr in Q1 of FY26. GNPA improved from 7.92% in Q4 FY25 to 5.43% in this quarter.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; <em>Devesh Sachdev, Managing Director, Fusion Finance | Q1 FY26</em></p></blockquote><p>Muthoot Microfin, which had posted a loss-making FY25, reported a small but symbolically significant quarterly profit &#8212; Rs 6.2 crore. Modest. But the direction mattered more than the magnitude.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>Though it&#8217;s a very modest profit, more importantly, it indicates a firm ushering of a turnaround within the operation and the financial performance of the company.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; <em>Sadaf Sayeed, CEO, Muthoot Microfin | Q1 FY26</em></p></blockquote><p style="text-align: center;">&#8226; &#8226; &#8226;</p><h2><strong>The Industry Exhales</strong></h2><p>In April 2025, Guardrail 2.0 kicked in &#8212; tightening the lender cap from four to three, and further restricting indebtedness limits. Some companies, like Spandana, had already implemented stricter rules from January. The immediate effect was another spike in rejection rates and a temporary pause in the recovery of collection sentiment. Utkarsh Small Finance Bank&#8217;s CEO noted the disruption.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>From 1st of April 2025, they changed it to 3 lender caps. Because of that, we saw some more slippages or little elevated credit cost during this quarter. And you must have seen that is more or less industry phenomena.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; <em>Govind Singh, MD &amp; CEO, Utkarsh SFB | Q1 FY26</em></p></blockquote><p>But by Q2 FY26, the adjustment was absorbed. And the tone in earnings calls shifted from cautious optimism to something closer to relief. IDFC First&#8217;s Vaidyanathan, who had spent five quarters absorbing microfinance losses, said what many were feeling.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>Looking ahead, our own sense is that this microfinance issue is behind us. It&#8217;s really taken a lot out of us in the last 5 or 6 quarters. Many of you may have almost begun to lose confidence in us.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; <em>V. Vaidyanathan, MD &amp; CEO, IDFC First Bank | Q2 FY26</em></p></blockquote><p>By Q3 FY26 &#8212; December 2025 &#8212; the normalization was broad-based. Collection efficiencies across the sector had returned to 99.4-99.7%, close to or at pre-crisis levels. Monthly PAR accretion &#8212; the rate at which new loans fall overdue &#8212; had collapsed. CreditAccess reported the number at 18 basis points in December, down from 47 bps in September.</p><p>Fusion Finance returned to profitability &#8212; a PAT of Rs 14 crore. Its new CEO described it as an inflection point.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>Q3 represents an important inflection point for Fusion. The business has now entered a phase of controlled stabilization and disciplined execution. I&#8217;m pleased to share that we have returned to profitability this quarter.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; <em>Sanjay Garyali, MD &amp; CEO, Fusion Finance | Q3 FY26</em></p></blockquote><p>Lenders who had pulled back from the sector during the crisis were returning. Fusion noted that &#8220;several banks have freshly opened up&#8221; and institutions that were in &#8220;wait-and-watch mode&#8221; had started actively re-engaging. The wholesale funding squeeze &#8212; the second-order effect of the credit cycle &#8212; was easing.</p><p>RBL Bank&#8217;s JLG disbursals had crossed Rs 700 crore monthly, with early bucket collection efficiency at 99.5%.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>The disbursal in the JLG segment is at a run rate of INR 700 crores per month versus INR 550 crores in the previous quarter. The good news is that the early bucket collection efficiency is 99.5%. This is as good as one has got in this segment for a long time.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; <em>Jaideep Iyer, Head of Strategy, RBL Bank | Q3 FY26</em></p></blockquote><p>Bandhan declared the de-growth phase in its microfinance book over. Muthoot was back to normalized disbursements of Rs 850 crore a month. Ujjivan SFB reported bucket-X collection efficiency of 99.7% in December &#8212; its highest in the current fiscal &#8212; with 10 out of 10 states at 99.6% or above.</p><p>Satin Creditcare&#8217;s HP Singh, who a year earlier had been deploying 1,100 dedicated collection staff to manage overdue buckets, offered a simple verdict.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>The headwinds are practically over. You can see green shoots now coming in. I think overall it bodes well for the industry as well as for us.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; <em>Dr. HP Singh, CMD, Satin Creditcare | Q3 FY26</em></p></blockquote><p>And Equitas&#8217;s Vasudevan, who had been the first to diagnose this crisis as self-inflicted, delivered the closing line for the cycle.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>As we sign off, I can only reiterate that I think the issues of microfinance is clearly behind not just us but the industry. And going forward, let&#8217;s hope for better times for all of us.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; <em>P.N. Vasudevan, MD &amp; CEO, Equitas SFB | Q3 FY26</em></p></blockquote><p>While the MFI players had been fighting for survival, the large diversified banks had watched from a very different vantage point. HDFC Bank&#8217;s microfinance exposure was less than 1% of its total book. SBI&#8217;s chairman noted their MFI portfolio of Rs 10,000-11,000 crore &#8220;does not really add up to anything.&#8221; By Q3 FY26, HDFC Bank&#8217;s deputy MD was using language that felt like it belonged to a different industry entirely.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>The banking industry right now to borrow a term is going through a Cinderella phase where you&#8217;ve got very strong balance sheets... We have the lowest accretion of gross NPAs and net NPAs are at decadal lows.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; <em>Kaizad Bharucha, Deputy MD, HDFC Bank | Q3 FY26</em></p></blockquote><p>A Cinderella phase for large banks. A near-death experience for several MFIs. The same economic cycle, experienced at entirely different altitudes depending on how much microfinance a company carried on its books.</p><p style="text-align: center;">&#8226; &#8226; &#8226;</p><h2><strong>What Changed</strong></h2><p>The industry that emerged from this cycle was not the one that entered it. The changes were structural, deliberate, and in some cases, permanent.</p><p>Every major player shrank its microfinance portfolio as a share of total assets. Equitas took its MFI mix from 20% to 8.5% and intended to stabilize at 10%. IDFC First expected its microfinance book to bottom at Rs 7,500 crore &#8212; half its peak. Bandhan&#8217;s non-microfinance book now accounted for 63% of advances, up from 45% two years earlier. RBL shrank its JLG book by 23% and targeted keeping it at 6-7% of advances, down from 9%. The consensus: microfinance at 7-10% of the balance sheet, not 20%+.</p><p>Companies were also insuring against the next cycle. CGFMU &#8212; the Credit Guarantee Fund for Micro Units &#8212; had existed before the crisis but was lightly used. Now it was becoming standard.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>The intent is to take that to 100% and thereby eliminating the tail risk on the microfinance business. So, if you are able to do that and manage the proportionality of the business somewhere between 7% - 8% of the asset side, I do believe that we can build a more predictable and profitable microfinance business going forward.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; <em>Rajiv Anand, MD &amp; CEO, IndusInd Bank | Q3 FY26</em></p></blockquote><p>RBL reached 80%+ CGFMU coverage on its standard JLG book. IDFC First had been insuring since January 2024 &#8212; one of the earliest movers.</p><p>Kotak Mahindra went further than portfolio caps and insurance. It did something more fundamental &#8212; it replaced the joint liability group model itself.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>What we have done is that we have replaced the joint liability group model with individual underwriting risk-based models. And therefore, the way we are dispersing and where we are not dispersing has a lot to do with what the model says are the propensity for repayment.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; <em>Ashok Vaswani, MD &amp; CEO, Kotak Mahindra Bank | Q1 FY26</em></p></blockquote><p>It was a quiet admission that the JLG model &#8212; the foundational innovation of microfinance &#8212; had weakened. Social pressure among group members was no longer enough to ensure repayment in an environment where borrowers had loans from five different institutions. Individual credit assessment, powered by bureau data and machine learning, was being layered on top of or replacing the group guarantee.</p><p>And the baseline expectations for the business had permanently shifted. The &#8220;old normal&#8221; of 1.5-2% credit costs was gone. Vasudevan was explicit about what the &#8220;new normal&#8221; looked like.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>Post corona, we thought around 3% is a normal credit cost for microfinance. Now post this 2024 overleveraging crisis, probably anywhere between 3% to 4% could be a normal credit cost for microfinance.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; <em>P.N. Vasudevan, MD &amp; CEO, Equitas SFB | Q1 FY26</em></p></blockquote><p>Three to four percent, not two. The industry had recovered, but to a worse steady state than before. The premium for lending to this segment had been repriced &#8212; not by a regulator, but by experience.</p><p>Vasudevan also offered the most honest structural assessment of the sector &#8212; one that explained why every company was simultaneously declaring the crisis over while also reducing its exposure to the business that had built them.</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;<em>And in spite of that, we have been seeing a series of crisis in the Microfinance sector time and again for various reasons. The reasons change, but the repetitiveness of the crisis doesn&#8217;t change.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; <em>P.N. Vasudevan, MD &amp; CEO, Equitas SFB | Q4 FY25</em></p></blockquote><p>The industry had survived. The cycle had turned. But the companies that came out the other side were building for a different future &#8212; one where microfinance remained in the portfolio but never again dominated it. Smaller books, government guarantees, individual underwriting, tighter guardrails, higher steady-state credit costs. The cycle didn&#8217;t just create losses. It created a new architecture.</p><p style="text-align: center;">&#8226; &#8226; &#8226;</p><h2><strong>What to Watch</strong></h2><blockquote><p>&#8226; <strong>The &#8220;new normal&#8221; credit cost. </strong>Most companies guide for BAU credit costs of 2.5-3.5% going forward, up from the pre-crisis expectation of 1.5-2%. Whether this holds through FY27 will confirm the repricing is real and not just post-crisis caution.</p><p>&#8226; <strong>Karnataka. </strong>The last major geography to stabilize. Several companies still flag it as lagging behind the rest of the country. CreditAccess expects Karnataka&#8217;s PAR accretion to normalize by end of Q1 FY27.</p><p>&#8226; <strong>CGFMU as industry standard. </strong>IndusInd targeting 100%, RBL at 80%+, IDFC First already covered. If credit guarantee becomes universal, the tail risk profile of microfinance changes permanently &#8212; but it also adds ~1% to the cost of lending, which has to be passed on somewhere.</p><p>&#8226; <strong>Guardrail 2.0&#8217;s growth ceiling. </strong>The 3-lender cap is structurally limiting the addressable borrower pool. Several managements now expect industry growth to settle at 10-15% &#8212; a far cry from the 25%+ that was standard before the crisis. Whether this is a temporary adjustment or a permanent reset will shape the sector&#8217;s economics.</p></blockquote><div><hr></div><p>That&#8217;s it for now! Your feedback will really help shape how The Chatter evolves. Drop it down in the comments below!</p><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://thechatterbyzerodha.substack.com/p/the-chatter-underneath-the-noise?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share&amp;token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjozMDExNzg5MTMsInBvc3RfaWQiOjE3MjY2NDQxNiwiaWF0IjoxNzU3NTk4NjQzLCJleHAiOjE3NjAxOTA2NDMsImlzcyI6InB1Yi00ODk4NzYwIiwic3ViIjoicG9zdC1yZWFjdGlvbiJ9.TFcDJv32XGvO0oFacHaCKP014RVVZ1pAYaVdcBrgrfE&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Share&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:&quot;button-wrapper&quot;}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary button-wrapper" href="https://thechatterbyzerodha.substack.com/p/the-chatter-underneath-the-noise?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share&amp;token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjozMDExNzg5MTMsInBvc3RfaWQiOjE3MjY2NDQxNiwiaWF0IjoxNzU3NTk4NjQzLCJleHAiOjE3NjAxOTA2NDMsImlzcyI6InB1Yi00ODk4NzYwIiwic3ViIjoicG9zdC1yZWFjdGlvbiJ9.TFcDJv32XGvO0oFacHaCKP014RVVZ1pAYaVdcBrgrfE"><span>Share</span></a></p><p>Disclaimer: We&#8217;ve used AI tools in filtering and cleaning up these quotes &amp; narratives so there maybe some mistakes. Now, if you are thinking why we are using AI, please remember that we are just a small team of 5 people running everything you see on Zerodha Markets &#128556; So, all the good stuff is human and mistakes are AI.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Chatter: Reliance, PayTM, Nykaa & More]]></title><description><![CDATA[Q3FY26 | Edition #54]]></description><link>https://thechatter.zerodha.com/p/the-chatter-reliance-paytm-nykaa</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://thechatter.zerodha.com/p/the-chatter-reliance-paytm-nykaa</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Zerodha]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 10 Apr 2026 13:28:02 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!pgrM!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7895f10c-dcf2-4f0e-acee-44da1eccb73c_2400x1350.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link 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stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Welcome to the <strong>54th edition</strong> of The Chatter &#8212; a weekly newsletter where we dig through what India&#8217;s biggest companies are saying and bring you the most interesting bits of insight, whether about the business, its sector, or the wider economy. We read every major Indian earnings call and listen to the interviews so you don&#8217;t have to.</p><p>We&#8217;re always eager to improve&#8212;please share your ideas on how else we can innovate &#8220;The Chatter&#8221; format to better serve your needs.</p><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://thechatter.zerodha.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe now&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="https://thechatter.zerodha.com/subscribe?"><span>Subscribe now</span></a></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lv5g!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0318e471-d17f-43ba-9c3f-64a041ff09eb_8192x2048.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source 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class="image-caption">Check out <a href="https://www.tijoristack.ai/concall-monitor/">Concall Monitor</a></figcaption></figure></div><p>In this edition, we have covered <strong>12 companies across 5 industries.</strong></p><h1>Financial Services</h1><ul><li><p>The New India Assurance Company</p></li><li><p>Nippon Life India Asset Management</p></li><li><p>SBI Life Insurance</p></li><li><p>Max Financial Services</p></li><li><p>PB Fintech</p></li><li><p>One 97 Communications (PayTM)</p></li></ul><h1>Energy</h1><ul><li><p>Reliance Industries</p></li></ul><h1>Retail</h1><ul><li><p>Dabur India</p></li><li><p>Jubilant FoodWorks</p></li><li><p>FSN E-Commerce Ventures</p></li></ul><h1>Chemicals</h1><ul><li><p>Pidilite Industries</p></li></ul><h1>Steel</h1><ul><li><p>Tata Steel</p></li></ul><div><hr></div><h1>Financial Services</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/NIACL/">The New India Assurance Company Ltd | Large Cap | General Insurance</a></h2><p>The New India Assurance Company is India&#8217;s largest non-life insurer with a significant global footprint across 24 countries and a century-long legacy. The company maintains leadership in the domestic market through a diversified portfolio including health, motor, fire, and marine insurance.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachHis/bcf2da94-53e5-433a-b0ff-e8850f56a363.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>The company is intentionally walking away from low-margin corporate contracts to prioritize more profitable retail and small business segments. This strategy aims to improve the overall quality of the insurance book and reduce capital consumption.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Over the past few Quarters, we have taken deliberate steps to recalibrate our portfolio by exiting or restructuring select large corporate accounts where pricing did not adequately compensate for risk or capital consumption. This has been offset by an increased focus on Retail, SME and better quality risk. Our operating philosophy continues to emphasize prudent risk assessment at the policy level, ensuring that growth is aligned with profitability and capital efficiency.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Girija Subramanian, Chairman cum Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Recent underwriting losses were primarily caused by large one-time provisions for employee wage revisions and pension arrears. Despite these heavy costs, the company managed to maintain a slightly higher year-on-year profit after tax.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The underwriting results were mainly impacted by the provision towards wage arrears and the retirement benefits of active employees where we had provided Rs. 759 crore for Quarter 3 of the Financial Year 2025-2026 and Rs. 1,877 crore for the 9 months ended 31st December 2025. After making provision for tax, our Profit after Tax stood at Rs. 372 crore for the Quarter of this year as compared to Rs. 353 crore for the Quarter of the previous year.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Mary Abraham, General Manager of Finance</em></p></blockquote><p>Management is diversifying beyond the highly competitive motor and health markets by entering niche areas like parametric insurance. This shift is intended to find growth in segments with better pricing power and lower competition.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are launching innovative new products with focus on Retail and MSME. We have entered new lines like Parametric Insurance. There is emphasis on growth in segments other than Motor and Health where the competition intensity is high and this further impetus on risk management initiatives.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Mary Abraham, General Manager of Finance</em></p></blockquote><p>Motor insurance growth is slowing because the company is aggressively exiting specific loss-making accounts and risky segments. While this hurts short-term premium growth, it is a necessary step to bring the motor portfolio back to profitability.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;So, the growth on Motor is a little dented because of very strategic and very well-thought-out solutions for these loss-making accounts that we have been suffering from in Motor. So, definitely because of us exiting from many of these segments in Motor, wherever we found the losses exceptionally harsh, growth has come down and this will continue for some time. Maybe we are trying to work with new dealers and new partnerships.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Girija Subramanian, Chairman cum Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>An additional provision of up to 800 crore rupees is expected in the fourth quarter once the government notifies the family pension revision. This indicates that the impact of wage-related costs on the bottom line will persist into the next reporting period.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We will have to provide for this Rs. 700 crore &#8211; Rs. 800 crore, around that amount for the FPS in the last Quarter. Because it cannot be done before the notification comes out. Notification is yet to come out. Yeah, that is prospective. That is why it has not been taken into account.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Girija Subramanian, Chairman cum Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>To improve health insurance margins, the company is either raising prices on group accounts or walking away from those that are unprofitable. They are also significantly increasing mandatory inspections and fraud monitoring to lower the claims ratio.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are either pricing them and negotiating to get closer to the core right price or we are exiting from GMCs that do not give us adequate pricing and going for accounts where pricing is more fair and more adequate. Apart from that, we have increased our anti-fraud activities. Like, we have increased inspections from 30% to 50% compulsorily and we will be increasing it even more in the Quarters to come.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Girija Subramanian, Chairman cum Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is exploring parametric insurance, which pays out automatically based on weather events rather than traditional loss assessments. While currently small, this digital-first approach offers a faster, more automated way to settle claims in catastrophe-prone areas.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Parametric Insurance is a new type of insurance which will take time to pick up in India because it is not exactly on the principles of insurance like wherein there is a threshold fixed for a particular weather-related peril and once the threshold is breached then everything from ground up is paid. So, whether the person suffers from a loss or not, it is paid. So, this involves a lot of active collaboration with FinTech companies, InsureTech companies.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Girija Subramanian, Chairman cum Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/NAMINDIA/">Nippon Life India Asset Management Limited | Mid Cap | Asset Management Company</a></h2><p>Nippon Life India Asset Management is a leading Indian asset management company offering a diverse portfolio of mutual funds, ETFs, and alternative investment products. It leverages a strong retail distribution network and a strategic partnership with Japan&#8217;s Nippon Life Insurance to drive long-term growth.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachHis/7328832d-1c78-414e-9c71-12f3e0b72b87.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>The company is forming a strategic partnership with European giant DWS Group by divesting a minority stake in its AIF subsidiary. This collaboration is expected to enhance the company&#8217;s product capabilities in passive investments and expand its global distribution reach.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our Board of Directors at their meeting on November 13, 2025, authorised the Company to enter into a strategic collaboration with DWS Group (a leading European Asset Manager), wherein DWS intends to acquire a minority stake of up to 40% in Nippon Life India AIF Management Limited by subscribing to fresh issuance of equity shares. Further, as part of a wider collaboration, NAM India and DWS will also work closely in other areas including passive investment products and global distribution.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sundeep Sikka, Executive Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management highlighted massive growth in commodity-based ETFs, with assets under management nearly doubling in a single quarter. This surge indicates a strong shift in investor preference toward physical asset-backed digital instruments for hedging and portfolio diversification.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The Industry continued to witness a surge in Gold &amp; Silver ETF volumes in the quarter. Combined AUM in these 2 ETFs for NIMF was ~INR 688 bn as of Dec 31, 2025, up 54% QoQ. Subsequently, the combined AUM in these 2 ETFs has crossed INR 1 trillion in Jan-2026.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Parag Joglekar, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>The management noted that equity inflows are becoming increasingly concentrated in specific categories like Flexi Cap due to market volatility. This trend requires the company to pivot its marketing and product focus to capture shifting investor demand within the equity segment.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;So, like it was mentioned in the opening speech, there has been a market volatility which is there in the equity market. And if one has seen the AMFI data, the flows in equities are now narrowing down to certain categories. There is one category called Flexi Cap which is a very large category in the MF industry, which is where there is a lot of investment coming in.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Saugata Chatterjee, Chief Business Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management believes the ETF market is a scale game where dominant players capture the majority of liquidity and trading volume. This winner-take-all dynamic benefits the company given its existing large investor base and high trading volumes.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Unlike mutual fund business, ETF business globally, the top 2-3 players always have the lion&#8217;s share. Because I mean unlike a mutual fund where an investor typically likes to diversify in 2-3 different schemes, here the underlying is the same. And typically for us because we have, as we talked about today, more than 56 lakh investors.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sundeep Sikka, Executive Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is positioning its New Asset Class (SIF) as a high-margin business vertical targeting sophisticated investors rather than a mass-market AUM play. This focus on value-added services over sheer size suggests a strategy aimed at protecting and enhancing overall company yields.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I believe when we will be discussing 5 or 10 years down the line, SIF will be a separate business vertical, and we will be discussing that in that much detail. We clearly see if you can add value to the investor, the investor will be willing to pay. So, our strategy for SIF will be not AUM but more profitability.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sundeep Sikka, Executive Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The CEO expects structural pressure on asset management yields to continue due to regulatory and competitive factors. The company plans to offset this revenue compression by improving operational efficiencies to maintain its profitability margins.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;One needs to be mentally prepared that the yields can come down by 1 or 2 basis points year after year and that is the direction we will keep moving. Whatever the reason, the idea is how do you build up efficiency in the Company to absorb that.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sundeep Sikka, Executive Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management is maintaining a cautious stance on small-cap valuations by continuing to restrict lump sum inflows to protect existing investors. This disciplined approach prioritizes long-term portfolio health over short-term asset growth during periods of perceived market overheating.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;See, the small-cap fund, as you know, it has been almost two years, we have stopped taking lump sum investments. We were very clear that at that point in time, the market was getting more heated, and I think we were right to have arrested more flows in this fund. As we speak, we continue to be in that camp.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Saugata Chatterjee, Chief Business Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>The company argues that high liquidity in their ETF products provides a superior experience through lower tracking errors, giving them a competitive advantage. This liquidity-driven moat allows the company to maintain premium pricing compared to smaller, less liquid competitors.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;But the only thing, generally, when we talk of ETFs, and I&#8217;m not sticking to gold or this thing, liquidity helps the investor get a lower impact cost, low tracking error, and these two things put together, if you get it right, it allows you the capability to charge higher. Whether you charge or not is a different thing, but it allows you to charge higher.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sundeep Sikka, Executive Director &amp; CEO</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/SBILIFE/">SBI Life Insurance Company Ltd. | Large Cap | Life Insurance</a></h2><p>SBI Life Insurance is a leading private life insurer in India, operating as a joint venture between the State Bank of India and BNP Paribas Cardif. The company leverages an extensive bancassurance network and diverse agency channels to provide comprehensive life insurance, pension, and protection products.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachHis/70cf3e58-47e2-4f46-a934-6e024af5ef53.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>There is a massive jump in the total insurance coverage being sold, which shows a shift toward high-value protection products. This is a positive sign for future profitability as these products generally offer better margins than simple savings plans.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The growth in sum-assured reflects strong consumer confidence and rising awareness of financial protection. Individual and group new business sum-assured increased by 74% and 67% respectively compared to the same period last year, while rider sum-assured has grown significantly now contributing 30% of the individual sum-assured.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amit Jhingran, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Reported profits were weighed down by one-time costs related to new tax rules and labor laws. Underneath these adjustments, the core business is growing much faster than the headline numbers suggest.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Taking these factors into account, the Company&#8217;s profit after tax for the period ended 31 December 2025 stood at INR 16.7 billion, representing a 4% growth over the corresponding period last year. Excluding this impact, the profit after tax for the period ended 31st December 2025 would have been INR 21. 5 billion with a growth of 34%.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amit Jhingran, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The key measure of new business profitability is rising despite the headwind of new taxes on commissions. Management is successfully using a better mix of products to keep margins within their target range.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Value of new business stood at INR 50.4 billion, reflecting 17% growth with a margin of 27.2% for the period ended 31st December 2025, up from 26.9% in nine-month FY25 driven by both volume growth and favorable shift in product mix. The margin is reported after accounting for the impact of GST. Excluding this impact, the VONB margin would have stood at 28.3% with a gain of 140 bps.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amit Jhingran, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Growth in guaranteed savings products was slightly slower because the sales team focused on a popular new money-back plan. However, the high growth in protection products is helping to balance out the overall business performance.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;So, product mix, as far as you were talking about non-par growth, so I would like to highlight that on IRP basis, the growth in pure non-par products, excluding protection, is 10%. Protection has grown by 44%. The numbers of non-par could have been better, but during the quarter, we launched our participating product, Moneyback, and a lot of our distributors got diverted to that new product, and it showed very strong growth.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amit Jhingran, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The primary sales channel through SBI branches is showing improved momentum after some earlier concerns. This supports the company&#8217;s full-year growth target of 13% to 14%.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Within the channel mix, different channels have their seasonality and third quarter specifically has always been very good for SBI Life. There is some good traction being seen in the SBI also of late and we are very sure that in the 4th Quarter also, we will be able to maintain our overall growth number as per our guidance of 13 %-14% and within that, all the channels are performing as per our expectations.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amit Jhingran, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>A drop in long-term policy renewals was expected because of the specific group of policies sold during the pandemic. Management believes this is the final wave of this trend and that renewal rates will soon stabilize.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Only the 61st month persistency which has come down, which previously also we have communicated that this is the COVID cohort, which is going to hit this year. This is going to be the last cohort, which we are expecting. 25 th month and the 37th month, it is just a marginal, which we are very hopeful that it will cover up in the current quarter itself.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amit Jhingran, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company expects to neutralize most of the negative margin impact from new tax regulations by selling more profitable insurance types. This means the final impact on the bottom line for the year will be very minor.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;And what we are saying that the impact that we are going to get on the new business on account of GST, 150 basis points will get offset mostly by the better product mix in terms of the line of business and within the product and different kind of products. And that will mostly offset and balance remain will be approximately 30-40 basis points at the end of this year.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Prithesh Chaubey, President and Appointed Actuary</em></p></blockquote><p>Customers are increasingly choosing pure insurance over plans that return their premiums, which results in more insurance coverage for less customer money. While this lowers the average premium per policy, it is generally better for the company&#8217;s long-term underwriting risk profile.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;For the same sum assured, TROP has a higher premium than pure protection. Here our mix is improving in favor of pure protection. So, the premium is going down for the same sum assured.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amit Jhingran, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>New savings products offering 30-year guaranteed returns are seeing strong demand from customers seeking long-term certainty. These long-duration products help lock in customer relationships for decades, providing a steady stream of future income.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;So, in the product that we launched in non-par segment we see very good traction in the market. And there are 2-3 reasons for it, because it gives more flexibility and also giving the longer-term guarantee. So, we introduced 30 years kind of guarantee as well.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amit Jhingran, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/MFSL/">Max Financial Services Limited | Large Cap | Life Insurance</a></h2><p>Max Financial Services is the primary holding company for Max Life Insurance, one of India&#8217;s leading private life insurance providers. The company focuses on long-term savings, protection, and retirement solutions through a multi-channel distribution network.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachHis/48652a41-58e5-4219-9807-e9b87890feed.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>The Insurance Act has been amended to allow the merger of insurance companies with non-insurance entities. This change clears the path for the company to consolidate its structure by merging Axis Max Life directly into Max Financial Services.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Section 35 was amended to permit the merger of an insurer with a non-insurer subject to IRDAI approval. This is a positive development for Axis Max Life. Accordingly, we have received in-principle approval from our Board to initiate the process for the proposed amalgamation of Axis Max Life and MFSL.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sumit Madan, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is growing much faster than the rest of the insurance industry, particularly in individual premium sales. This outperformance has allowed them to capture more market share, now nearing double digits in the private sector.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Continuing our strong trajectory, individual adjusted first year premium grew by 20% in 9 months FY &#8216;26, led by 18% growth in the number of policies. Our sales growth is twice the overall industry growth of 10%, translating into a private market share expansion of 53 basis points, taking our share now to 9.8%.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sumit Madan, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management is seeing strong business momentum carry over into the fourth quarter with high double-digit growth in January. This suggests that the core partnership with Axis Bank remains a powerful driver for new sales.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Before we move ahead, happy to note that our growth trajectory continues in the month of January as well. Our sales grew by 29% at a company level with proprietary and partnership channels growing at equal growth rate with a very significant contribution coming from a leading bank partner, Axis Bank.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sumit Madan, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Protection sales, which are high-margin products, saw a massive jump of nearly 100% during the quarter. This shift toward protection and credit-linked insurance is a positive sign for future profitability and risk management.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Retail protection grew by 99% in Q3 with pure protection growing by 95% and riders by over 100%. In addition, our group credit protection business continued to scale steadily, recording 45% growth in Q3 ahead of the industry average, reflecting increasing penetration and a very strong partner engagement.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sumit Madan, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company has finished renegotiating terms with its distributors to help cover the rising costs from tax changes. They are now focusing on redesigning specific insurance products to improve profit margins further.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have, to a fairly large extent, actually executed some of those things. And on the categories which are more critical and important in our assessment, that has largely, it is kind of achieved and done. Beyond this, I think the recovery and recouping would be more the product structure changes, management and navigation of product variants within the product per se to mitigate the impact that kind of came across.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amrit Singh, Chief Financial Officer, Max Life Insurance</em></p></blockquote><p>To prevent mis-selling in bank branches, the company has implemented automated checks to ensure customers actually need and understand the products they buy. This focus on quality should lead to better customer retention and fewer regulatory complaints.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Using a lot of analytics and checks in our journeys, what we had and this is largely implemented in all our large bank relationships, that each and every sale that is done, it is assessed for its suitability. And also, there is a very smart verification process to independently assess whether the quality of sale is adequate and understood by the customer.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amrit Singh, Chief Financial Officer, Max Life Insurance</em></p></blockquote><p>The company remains committed to selling non-participating savings products because they offer guaranteed returns that customers value. They plan to keep innovating in this category to ensure they aren&#8217;t relying too heavily on any single type of insurance.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;But if you step out from quarterly introductions, etcetera, I think a non-participating design with the long-term guarantee proposition that it offers is a very important product, which the consumers can have as part of their asset allocation decisions. We will keep the overall product mix balance and you will keep seeing from our products teams innovations coming in this specific area.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amrit Singh, Chief Financial Officer, Max Life Insurance</em></p></blockquote><p>Management notes a consistent daily improvement in the demand for protection plans over the last few months. This trend indicates that the high growth in protection is a sustained shift in consumer behavior rather than a one-time event.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I think on protection specifically, we have been observing the numbers since 22nd of September. And on a daily basis, we have seen our traction improving as far as protection is concerned. When we were looking at the numbers, other than the exception of Diwali, 1 day prior to Diwali and 1-day post-Diwali, we have seen some very healthy growth as far as protection numbers are concerned.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sumit Madan, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The planned merger between the holding company and the insurance subsidiary is expected to take about a year to 14 months once the application is filed. Investors should watch for the official regulatory guidelines as the next major milestone for this corporate restructuring.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Obviously, there will be a regulatory framework which needs to get created. We await guidance and clarity and direction from the regulator on that aspect. As in once that is closed, from the date of filing of the scheme, we do not expect it to be more than 12 to 14 months kind of a time frame.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amrit Singh, Chief Financial Officer, Max Life Insurance</em></p></blockquote><p>Max Life has successfully established itself within its newest bank partnerships, capturing at least a quarter of the insurance business in those locations. This diversification reduces the company&#8217;s dependence on its primary bank partner, Axis Bank.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The new banks, like I mentioned, across 7 banks, that we have acquired recently in all the 7 banks, we have a counter share of more than 25%. In 3 of those 7 banks, we have already become the number 1 player as far as counter share is concerned.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sumit Madan, Managing Director and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management admits that new rules allowing customers to get more money back if they cancel their policy early are putting pressure on policy retention. This is a risk to long-term profitability as it may lead to more customers dropping their plans in the first year.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;On persistency, what I indicated was, yes, there is some pressure because of 13 months. There are certain specific designs where we are experiencing that pressure. And post post-surrender revision, as you are aware, that there was a surrender value which was accruing immediately. So some of that element also creates some bit of a pressure.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amrit Singh, Chief Financial Officer, Max Life Insurance</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/POLICYBZR/">PB Fintech Limited | Large Cap | Financial Services - Fintech</a></h2><p>PB Fintech Limited is India&#8217;s leading online platform for insurance and lending products, operating the well-known brands Policybazaar and Paisabazaar. The company leverages technology and data to simplify financial decision-making for consumers while providing efficient distribution for insurance and banking partners.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachHis/7f849e2e-139f-4677-8793-07c03fbb1ba3.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>Management notes that consumer trust is increasingly tied to the platform&#8217;s ability to assist during the claims process. This focus on post-purchase service is driving superior growth and customer retention in the Indian market.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;As I start, a very clear thing which is becoming crystal clear to almost everyone and specifically to us, is that people will buy insurance from the person who can help them at the point of claims. This is becoming super clear, and specifically in the Indian market. I think Policybazaar, with the efforts that it has put over the last 3-4 years, is clearly outstanding in that space, and that is leading to a huge amount of positive PR.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Yashish Dahiya, Chairman &amp; Group CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management expects all new business initiatives to achieve profitability or break-even starting from the current period. This shift reflects the operational maturity of the group&#8217;s expansion projects and strengthens the overall consolidated bottom line.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;As I see the new initiatives part of our business, I think here onwards, we should be break-even or profitable. So, I think, as you look at the P&amp;L overall, what&#8217;s starting to happen is, of course, Policybazaar is doing what it&#8217;s doing and Paisabazaar, here onwards, is profitable, and New initiatives here on are going to be at break-even or profitable. So, overall, from a profit perspective, we seem to have very sound ground.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Yashish Dahiya, Chairman &amp; Group CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is actively exploring international acquisitions to leverage its technological edge in large, mature markets. This strategy aims to replicate domestic success in regions where insurance distribution remains traditional and lacks digital innovation.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have spent the last 3-4 years looking across markets, Middle East, Southeast Asia, European markets. As you would appreciate, when we look at these, we look at size of market, and we look at our ability to transform that market. This has two components: what is that we have done in India and how does it apply in that market, and how could we bring that to bear?&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Yashish Dahiya, Chairman &amp; Group CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The current regulatory framework allows flexibility for companies to choose their distribution models within overall expense limits. Management believes its efficient digital-first approach provides a competitive advantage under these industry-wide cost caps.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;And I think this is a great framework, and I&#8217;ll explain why. Because there are different companies at different stages. Some company wants to put money in its own marketing, its own call center, its own employees, and get sales. Perfectly fine. You can do that within 30% or 35%, please go ahead and do it. Some companies would pay somebody on a variable basis, the same amount.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Yashish Dahiya, Chairman &amp; Group CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management remains open to lower take rates as long as the cost savings are passed on to the end consumer. They argue that high-quality business and scale allow them to maintain healthy margins even if industry commissions are compressed.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;You&#8217;ve now got the last 10-12 quarters of recordings and every time I&#8217;ve said I would always welcome reduction in take rates as long as the benefit does get passed on to the consumer. Sarbvir, if you have anything specific to add on that.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Yashish Dahiya, Chairman &amp; Group CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>International markets like the US and Europe offer significant profit potential but lack the digital distribution innovation seen in India. The company intends to export its advanced technology stack to these larger markets to drive global expansion.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;If you look at certain markets. The US is, I think, 50 times bigger than the Indian market; Europe is 15 times bigger than the Indian market; and genuinely, we have been observing, like, I have been particularly observing. They are very profit-rich markets, but they have almost zero innovation. Almost zero. And, of course, they are crying for innovation. So, I do think we will add a lot of value.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Yashish Dahiya, Chairman &amp; Group CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Building a sustainable risk business requires long-term investment in disclosure capture and claims management rather than just paying higher commissions. This high-barrier-to-entry strategy creates a virtuous cycle of customer trust and recurring renewal income.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;-Risk products have to be sold on the basis of disclosure, and the fact that, in general insurance especially, that you are able to produce or help a person at the time of claim, because that&#8217;s the only way that that person will renew the policy again, will stay with you, etc, etc. I think the point that comes through, in risk products, is that it takes a while to build capability. One is in sourcing. One is to attract customers, which you see, Policybazaar has spent 18 years of solid advertising, talking about why you should buy health insurance and term insurance.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sarbvir Singh, Joint Group CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The introduction of Managing General Agents (MGAs) could revolutionize the sector by allowing distributors to manage underwriting and claims. This regulatory shift would empower platforms to offer more tailored products and improve the consumer experience.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Now, on an MGA side, I believe, MGA is the single most transformational move that can happen in the Insurance industry. And I believe that at not just a Policybazaar level, but at a strategic level. And why do I say that? See, when the distributor, who&#8217;s in touch with the consumer, who understands the consumer, at that point, becomes responsible for both the underwriting and the claim settlement, and at a wholesale level, is working with the insurance company.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Yashish Dahiya, Chairman &amp; Group CEO</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/PAYTM/">One 97 Communications (PayTM) Limited | Mid Cap | Financial Technology</a></h2><p>One 97 Communications, known as Paytm, is a leading Indian digital ecosystem offering comprehensive payment services and financial products to consumers and merchants. The company specializes in device-led merchant subscriptions and the distribution of loans, insurance, and wealth management solutions.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachHis/4720712e-95e6-432a-ae09-64d5fb6ff426.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>The company is shifting its consumer growth strategy away from aggressive cash burning and toward high-quality product innovation. Investors should view this as a commitment to more sustainable unit economics and organic market share gains.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;It&#8217;s been a year plus since we had decided that we&#8217;ll head down and execute on our core business principle, core business, which is payment and financial services. And we continue to dominate the merchant ecosystem. And now we have started to build for consumers, and like I had promised earlier, we won&#8217;t throw money on consumers, rather we will throw technology and products on consumers.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Vijay Shekhar Sharma, Founder and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management is clarifying that their financial model does not rely on government subsidies like the Payment Development Fund for profitability. This reduces the risk profile for investors regarding regulatory or subsidy-related income fluctuations.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Does the industry need PIDF? Well, as an industry, we are welcoming every initiative that the government or any other entities look to give us. But at the same point of time, our business model is not based on this. That&#8217;s the key word. We are not sitting here to take grants as our profit and revenue. That&#8217;s it.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Vijay Shekhar Sharma, Founder and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company expects to quickly recover lost subsidy income by raising merchant fees and improving sales efficiency. This shows management&#8217;s confidence in their pricing power and the essential nature of their hardware devices.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our expectation is that obviously the work started immediately and we were ready to recalibrate what we have said, higher subscription revenues and more targeted sales efforts. Our expectation is at least 30 - 40 percent of this will be offset this quarter and more over time. The work, like I said, is starting immediately.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Madhur Deora, President and Group CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>The relaunch of the &#8216;Buy Now, Pay Later&#8217; product is showing much faster adoption rates than previous iterations. Early traction in this high-margin vertical suggests a potential re-acceleration of consumer credit revenues.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Wait and see the numbers that Vijay mentioned. It&#8217;s been three months since launch. We have crossed one lakh customers. And within six months of launch, we expect to cross hundred crores of disbursal. So that&#8217;s the early trajectory. Of course, it&#8217;s much faster than the first time we launched Postpaid.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Madhur Deora, President and Group CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is actively pruning low-value business lines to focus strictly on products that strengthen its competitive moat. This disciplined capital allocation is intended to improve long-term return on investment for shareholders.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;And we don&#8217;t think that, ok, let&#8217;s just do this business. For example, like we used to distribute credit cards and we just stopped that business. Because I was like, it does not add to anything. Just because you have traffic, you can try doing it, is not a business model. Let&#8217;s say that is what we do, which grows your moat and protects and expands the moat instead of just because you are.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Vijay Shekhar Sharma, Founder and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Continuous cost optimization is being used to fund future growth initiatives rather than just cutting expenses. Investors should see this as an attempt to improve operating leverage while maintaining innovation.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;And the good thing is that I&#8217;m removing the deadwood continuously. That project will continue. So there you see relocation happening within the cost. It is not that we are not investing in the future. We are rather investing in the future and removing what we don&#8217;t want to carry forward. That&#8217;s what it is.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Vijay Shekhar Sharma, Founder and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Net payment processing margins are structural and consistently trending above previous guidance levels. This indicates that the core payments business is becoming more profitable as the merchant mix evolves.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Exceeding that [4 basis points] consistently. Some of the instrument mix is helping. Last quarter there was a lot of question whether this was EMI driven or festive driven. That&#8217;s always a part of it, but it is not the major driver. We&#8217;re not guiding to higher numbers right now.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Madhur Deora, President and Group CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>Paytm has moved away from free QR codes to focus entirely on monetizable device-carrying merchants. By targeting competitors&#8217; hardware, they are prioritizing high-value, fee-paying users over simple transaction volume.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;QR only merchants are negligible. I mean, my sales team does not even deploy QR merchants. Internal funnel for device deployment is, churn the other competition&#8217;s device. It is not QR. We used to do it. And we used to deploy QR and upgrade them to Soundbox. Now we&#8217;re like, okay, the bad device is out there. Let&#8217;s churn them into us.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Vijay Shekhar Sharma, Founder and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is focusing on high-quality merchant loans where they have proprietary transaction data rather than simple broad-market loan distribution. This strategy is designed to ensure better asset quality and lower defaults for their lending partners.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;So it may look flat, but internally very important to build a mode of payment led credit instead of just distribution of credit, which is traffic led. Okay. Now, this being the personal loan. Merchant loans are consistently growing. There is a great understanding by the industry - creditors or merchants, both sides that you do good. You get good credit.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Vijay Shekhar Sharma, Founder and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management sees significant headroom to grow loan penetration within its existing merchant base from 7% to potentially 20%. This internal growth runway offers a path to higher margins without requiring massive new customer acquisition costs.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;This number could get as high as 20%. Our whitelist base is 40 to 50%, typically. So, and I&#8217;m assuming that the whitelist based on everyone will need a loan, even once a year. But just to be clear, when we think about the business, we don&#8217;t think about primarily, can we drive penetration higher? We think about product market fit.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Madhur Deora, President and Group CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>Paytm is building its own AI models and agents to drive internal efficiencies and create new commercial use-cases. This technical leadership is intended to maintain their competitive advantage against global and local fintech rivals.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Guys, you are underestimating the power of ability of companies that will not only leverage AI by asking their vendor to deploy, but they will create the use-cases and they will create the use-cases for optimizing cost or expanding the business line items. And I&#8217;m phenomenally very happy to say this. This goes especially to the team that did it. And with that intention that we will keep not just playing along, but we will lead the race of AI in the country.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Vijay Shekhar Sharma, Founder and CEO</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Energy</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/RELIANCE/">Reliance Industries Limited | Large Cap | Oil Gas &amp; Consumable Fuels</a></h2><p>Reliance Industries is a diversified Indian conglomerate with market-leading positions across energy, petrochemicals, retail, and digital services. The company is currently transitioning towards a green energy future through massive investments in an integrated new energy ecosystem.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachHis/26290395-526a-441f-a347-c8ac12e4adf3.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>The company received a credit rating upgrade because its earnings are now coming more from stable consumer businesses than cyclical energy markets. This change will allow Reliance to borrow money at lower interest rates from a wider pool of global investors.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;And just an update, you may have seen that S&amp;P changed our rating from BBB Plus to A Minus, which is really two notches above. They have focused on the fact that higher portion of our earnings are coming from less cyclical businesses, especially the consumer side. And of course, as a company, we will benefit because there are pools of capital which lend only to A-rated consumers, A-rated companies, and liquidity improves, credit spreads come down.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; V. Srikanth, CFO, Reliance Industries Limited</em></p></blockquote><p>Jio has built its entire mobile and fixed wireless network technology internally rather than buying it from global vendors. Controlling the full technology stack allows the company to operate with higher efficiency and lower costs at a global scale.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Today, our whole core of 4G and 5.G run on our own stack, developed in-house. We have, of course, spoken about the fixed wireless solutions technology that we have deployed in India, which is working very well, which has made us the world&#8217;s largest fixed wireless operator already, which is, again, developed completely in-house. It is a completely Jio solution, both the software side, the software stack, as well as hardware, and that is working quite well.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Anshuman Thakur, Head of Strategy, Reliance Jio Infocomm Limited</em></p></blockquote><p>The retail division is seeing explosive growth in its quick commerce business, reaching a run rate of 1.6 million daily orders. This rapid expansion positions Reliance as a dominant player in the high-frequency grocery and delivery market.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Hyperlocal commerce, we are scaling up pretty rapidly. We are almost at; we ended the quarter at 1.6 million. On a quarter-on-quarter basis, the growth was 53% in terms of number of orders on a Y-O-Y basis, 360%. So, we are scaling up this business very, very quickly.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Dinesh Taluja, CFO &amp; Corporate Development, Reliance Retail</em></p></blockquote><p>The FMCG business is planning to double its production capacity for drinks within a single year by setting up several new food parks. This aggressive infrastructure build-up shows management&#8217;s commitment to capturing a massive share of the consumer goods market.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We continue our expansion. We will be more than doubling our capacity on beverages this year. We have high-speed lines across 12 states during the year. We also have started working on our food parks. We have been allocated land across states in multiple states.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ketan Mody, Executive Director, Reliance Consumer Products</em></p></blockquote><p>Reliance has shifted most of its chemical production to use ethane as a raw material instead of the more expensive naphtha. This strategic move protects the company&#8217;s profit margins even when global petrochemical prices are under pressure.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;If you see the blue bars are the ethane cash margins on naphtha feed and whereas the green margins or green bars are the cash margins from the ethane feed. And over last 10 years while the blue bars have come down very sharply from 644 to barely anything in last four years... However, if you see the green bars and these are U.S. ethane price-based numbers landed in Asia, they have remained pretty robust. And our portfolio today, roughly three-fourth of our portfolio is based on these green bars, which has meant that we have been relatively very minorly impacted compared to our competitors.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Amit Chaturvedi, President &#8211; Petrochemicals, Reliance Industries Limited</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is building massive solar component factories that are among the largest in the world outside of China. These plants will secure the company&#8217;s supply chain and provide a significant competitive edge in the global shift to renewable energy.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Polysilicon is probably one of the third, one of the three large polysilicon facilities outside China and glass, again, one of the largest glass plants outside China are the world class for the solar cell and solar modules. During this current year, we will again commission these facilities, fully ramped up to the capacity of 10-gigawatt peak and further expanding it as we progress on 20-gigawatt peak and on capacity.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Karan Suri, Senior Vice President - New Energy, Reliance Industries Limited</em></p></blockquote><p>Management believes their solar manufacturing project is being built at a fraction of the cost required in Western countries. This cost advantage combined with massive local scale makes their green energy business difficult for global competitors to replicate.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I can probably say with much more confidence that I do not think anyone else can build this. Definitely, if the same facilities have to be built in US or Europe, you would be talking about at least five to six times more cost. But even delivery in those geographies with the kind of labour, which is required at the peak, we had some 20,000 workers working to deliver this, is going to be nearly impossible.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Karan Suri, Senior Vice President - New Energy, Reliance Industries Limited</em></p></blockquote><p>Management confirmed that the public listing of Jio is now imminent and expected within the next few months. This highly anticipated IPO will likely unlock significant value for existing shareholders as the digital business matures.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;First one, the Jio IPO, internally we are working on it of course, we are awaiting the new notification to come from the government to see what the final details are going to be. We are working on the assumption that it is in line with whatever SEBI has recommended, but we will still have to wait for that before we finalize and then start the process, but it is imminent now, so we are just awaiting the final notification, so it should happen in the next few months for sure.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Anshuman Thakur, Head of Strategy, Reliance Jio Infocomm Limited</em></p></blockquote><p>Jio aims to grow its revenue per user by 5% to 6% annually through organic shifts in customer behavior rather than just price hikes. The superior quality of their 5G network is the primary driver attracting high-value customers who use more data.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Organically, if we can improve our ARPU by 5% to 6% a year, I think that is a good number, good place to be in, while adding many more customers. The short answer to the second question really the quality of the network, the standalone architecture, which is providing us opportunities to give more, and we have not even launched some of these slice services which also are on the roadmap and will be launched.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Anshuman Thakur, Head of Strategy, Reliance Jio Infocomm Limited</em></p></blockquote><p>Reliance&#8217;s quick commerce division is already making a profit on individual orders, unlike many competitors who are still losing money. By using their existing physical stores as delivery hubs, they can expand into delivering clothes and gadgets with very low extra costs.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The only thing I would say is on a contribution margin level, we are positive. We are pretty uniquely positioned in the way that we are able to leverage our existing network of 2500, 3000 stores to do quick commerce and remember quick commerce is not just grocery it is also we are doing that in electronics, we are doing that in fashion as well.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Dinesh Taluja, CFO &amp; Corporate Development, Reliance Retail</em></p></blockquote><p>The cost of electricity is the biggest expense in making solar components, which is why Reliance is building its own renewable power plants. This integrated approach allows them to manufacture solar panels cheaper than those who must buy power from the grid.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;One of the key components of the cost through the value chain is also the power cost and that is where our ability to move to round the clock green energy and further optimize in the power cost gives us an additional leverage and the benefit through the value chain. I would not necessarily be able to quantify at this point of time, but I can tell you that in a polysilicon production the single most variable is the power cost.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Karan Suri, Senior Vice President - New Energy, Reliance Industries Limited</em></p></blockquote><p>Reliance may not keep all its massive green energy generation assets on its own balance sheet, potentially moving them into separate utility-style structures. This financial strategy allows the company to fund massive growth without taking on too much direct debt.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;What we take for inhouse consumption, what we give for green chemicals absolutely, so the energy supplied will still be in some way utility, so you can look at those kind of power generation assets in a very different way. It need not be that it has to be entirely on our balance sheet, so all that flexibility to take care of in the broader construct of what we are trying to solve and I am being very, very similar to what I have been answering this question right from day zero and this remains unchanged.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; V. Srikanth, CFO, Reliance Industries Limited</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Retail</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/DABUR/">Dabur India Limited | Large Cap | Personal Care</a></h2><p>Dabur India is one of the world&#8217;s largest Ayurvedic and natural health care companies, maintaining a diverse portfolio across health supplements, oral care, and beverages. It operates with a massive distribution network in both urban and rural India while expanding its presence in international markets.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachHis/14805e69-3a19-43ad-af65-d8ded795a087.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>Management observed that consumer demand began to pick up after the initial disruption caused by tax changes. The continued strength in rural areas is a positive sign for the company&#8217;s broad reach and volume stability.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Demand trends in India witnessed a gradual recovery following the GST rate cuts. While the month of October experienced transient headwinds due to GST transition, demand improved over the rest of the quarter. Rural markets continue to outperform urban markets, consistent with recent quarters.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Mohit Malhotra, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Consumers are moving quickly toward herbal and natural products in the toothpaste market. Dabur&#8217;s focus on these segments is allowing it to take market share from traditional, non-herbal competitors.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The Herbal segment grew 530 basis points ahead of non-herbal segment, highlighting a strong and sustained consumer shift towards the natural and herbal oral care products. Capitalizing on this trend, our portfolio outperformed overall category growth, driving gains in market shares.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Mohit Malhotra, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>High-end juice and health-focused beverage products are growing significantly faster than basic offerings. This shift toward premium products is likely to support better profit margins in the food and beverage division.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In Juices and Nectars, the premium portfolio, comprising &#8216;Real Activ&#8217; 100% juices and coconut water, continued to scale up, delivering a robust growth of 38% and 52%, respectively. The Nectar portfolio remained muted on account of an unfavorable season.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Mohit Malhotra, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>A massive spike in coconut oil costs forced the company to raise prices significantly to protect its profits. Investors should note that recent high growth in this segment is driven by higher prices rather than selling more units.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In coconut oils, there has been a huge inflation of roughly around 100% odd. ... So, all companies have taken price increases in coconut. So, if you look at the growth, growths are essentially price-driven growths, which I think is one-off till the time we lap over the base of the cost increases in coconut.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Mohit Malhotra, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Rivalry in the toothpaste market remains intense, particularly in large supermarkets and online platforms. While the pressure eased slightly recently, management is cautious about whether this competition will stay low.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;So, I think competitive intensity in oral care has been inching up, especially in the modern trade side, with the main market leader being very aggressive on the modern trade. And of late, a bit of abatement was seen in the previous quarter, but not so much so that I can say that it is going to be sustained.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Mohit Malhotra, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Dabur is successfully modernizing its health supplements by introducing new flavors and sugar-free options. These new versions are growing much faster than the original products and helping reach more health-conscious buyers.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Gur has done exceedingly well for us. Ratnaprash has done well for us. So, all the newer variants that we have added in Chyawanprash have done. Sugar-free is doing exceedingly well. We have almost doubled our distribution in sugar-free also.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Mohit Malhotra, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management is optimistic that the worst of the demand slowdown and inflation is over. They expect a steady increase in sales performance as consumer spending power recovers in the coming months.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;And gradually, slowly, there will be only improvement on account of the sentiment improving. Consumer confidence levels are improving. Even the CPI inflation has reined in. So, I think the subsequent quarters are going to be better, because the 1st quarter was hit by season, 2nd Quarter was hit by GST, 3rd Quarter has been significantly better, and the 4th Quarter would even be better.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Mohit Malhotra, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>The company expects future growth to come from selling more items rather than just raising prices. While this is healthier for long-term market share, it requires more effort in marketing and distribution to achieve.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The next year growth is going to be more volume-driven growth and not so much price-driven or value-driven growth. So, that is a little remark. And volume-driven growth is a little harder to get as compared to a combination of a value and a volume.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Mohit Malhotra, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>As raw material costs fall, the company intends to spend most of those savings on more advertising to drive growth. They only plan to keep a small portion of these savings to boost their final profit margins.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;And whatever upside in gross margins we will get, a significant portion of that we may want to reinvest in advertising and balance around 20%- 25% of that expansion in gross margin we will give back as operating margin expansion.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Ankush Jain, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is cleaning up its portfolio by removing slow-selling items and focusing on successful new products. This strategy of narrowing their focus to high-growth categories like health juices should improve operational efficiency.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have rationalized a lot of tail products which were there. That has been rationalized. That said, a couple of NPDs are really doing very well for us. One is health juices that we had launched. Health juices are giving a growth of around 17% to 18% for us.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Mohit Malhotra, Chief Executive Officer</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/JUBLFOOD/">Jubilant FoodWorks Limited | Large Cap | Restaurants</a></h2><p>Jubilant FoodWorks Limited is India&#8217;s largest food service company, holding the master franchise rights for Domino&#8217;s Pizza, Popeyes, and Dunkin&#8217; Donuts. The company operates an extensive network of over 3,500 stores across India, Turkey, Sri Lanka, and Bangladesh, supported by a specialized supply chain and technology infrastructure.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachHis/d1f306f5-d6e3-4d1c-a5d6-74defb302b26.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>The Turkey business has reached a self-sustaining stage where it can now service its own acquisition debt through internal cash flows. This removes a major financial burden from the Indian entity and validates the company&#8217;s international expansion strategy.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Turkey business continued to give positive results. It gives us immense pleasure to share with you that along with strong revenue growth and PAT, the business is generating steady cash flows and over the last couple of quarters have been paying dividends to service JFL&#8217;s acquisition-debt obligations. Our international business in Sri Lanka and Bangladesh also reported impressive top line growth and improvement in bottom line.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Hari S. Bhartia, Co-Chairman &amp; Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Management is successfully using premium product innovations to drive sales growth while simultaneously improving unit economics. These margin-accretive launches help offset inflationary pressures in raw material costs like dairy and flour.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our recent new product launches, including Sourdough Pizza and Cheese Lava Pull Apart, have seen an overwhelming response and have scaled rapidly in a short period. Also, these products are accretive to gross margin. India revenues stood at Rs. 18 billion, growing at 11.8% Y-o-Y.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sameer Khetarpal, CEO &amp; MD</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is staying price-competitive by matching the aggressive entry-level pricing strategies of major delivery aggregators. This move protects the customer base in a price-sensitive market, even if it requires short-term tactical adjustments.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;So I do agree that in the last quarter or so, aggregators have brought down their minimum order value to Rs. 99. And in some places, we had to go back and correct and match that to not lose market share. So, we&#8217;ve done that.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sameer Khetarpal, CEO &amp; MD</em></p></blockquote><p>Management is leveraging artificial intelligence to freeze corporate headcount growth and optimize administrative costs. This digital transformation is starting to show up as operating leverage, allowing revenue to grow faster than expenses.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Also we&#8217;ve been very disciplined in head count increase. We&#8217;ve also deployed technology and AI, we&#8217;re beginning to use to drive efficiencies in our corporate G&amp;A, and that has given the leverage. And I think we&#8217;ve been super disciplined in the last 2 years in where to deploy the technology.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sameer Khetarpal, CEO &amp; MD</em></p></blockquote><p>The use of data-driven AI tools for store location selection is reducing the risk of opening underperforming outlets. Improving productivity at mature stores suggests that the brand remains healthy even as the network becomes more dense.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our site selection is totally AI-enabled now and we have a list of 1,000 stores. So I do see that the brand is very strong. Our mature store ADS has been the highest ever in the last quarter.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sameer Khetarpal, CEO &amp; MD</em></p></blockquote><p>Jubilant is successfully shifting its customer base toward its own digital platforms rather than relying on third-party aggregators or walk-in traffic. Controlling the customer data and the delivery experience is a critical competitive advantage for sustaining long-term loyalty.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Post-COVID and more recently, because all the investments are in 20-minute delivery, free delivery, the largest new customer acquisition channel actually is our own app and dine-in or takeaway is lesser. So therefore, both in terms of absolute and percentage growth, our own asset is the largest and the fastest-growing channel, so which augurs well for us.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sameer Khetarpal, CEO &amp; MD</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is beginning to explore ad monetization on its app, targeting 1% of revenue from this high-margin stream. This represents a new, high-ROI revenue vertical that leverages the company&#8217;s massive digital traffic.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;At least my own take is at the right time, I&#8217;m not saying it short-term, we should get about 1% of our revenues on that channel. We should be able to monetize to that extent. Having said that, we have taken a conscious call to not monetize preorder or the preorder journey.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sameer Khetarpal, CEO &amp; MD</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is shrinking the physical size of its stores to align with the dominant trend toward home delivery. Smaller store formats will reduce rental overheads and improve the overall profitability of the store network.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our per square footage of our stores is on a downward trend. Again, like you likely said, if you&#8217;re hitting a 75% delivery mix now as a business, it could vary between the tiers of cities we operate in. Overall, the square footage of our stores is coming down, which will again be an additional flip to our rental, right, going forward.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Suman Hegde, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management expects the margin dilution from newer brands like Popeyes to decrease by 50% in the near term. As these emerging brands reach scale and break even, it will provide a significant boost to consolidated company margins.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;And the reduction of the drag on the EBUs, at the point in time that we had disclosed our numbers, the drag was of Popeyes, Dunkin and Hong&#8217;s was approximately about 230 bps, 250 bps. And we should see that halving in that journey to getting to the overall margins up.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Suman Hegde, Chief Financial Officer</em></p></blockquote><p>Management has decided against a single &#8216;super-app&#8217; strategy, choosing instead to maintain distinct digital identities for its brands. This approach allows for more targeted marketing and preserves the unique customer experience for different food categories.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;So at least my past experience and knowledge suggest that this is not a good investment of technology. The two brands are different. Occasions are different. We&#8217;ve launched Popeyes&#8217; own app.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sameer Khetarpal, CEO &amp; MD</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/NYKAA/">FSN E-Commerce Ventures Limited | Large Cap | Specialty Retail</a></h2><p>Nykaa is a leading Indian digital-native platform specializing in the retail of beauty, personal care, and fashion products through an omnichannel approach. The company operates multiple online platforms and physical store formats while also managing a growing portfolio of owned consumer brands.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachHis/132004f5-80ca-47e1-91ec-36190368640f.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>The fashion vertical is showing significant improvement in profitability and is nearing an EBITDA break-even point. Investors should view this as a reduction in the cash burn traditionally associated with the company&#8217;s newer business segments.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;And from an EBITDA margin perspective, happy to say that this quarter, the fashion business EBITDA margin is minus 2.0%. It&#8217;s come down from minus 5.4% a year ago. And even on a 9-month basis, the losses for the fashion business now stand at minus 3.7% of net revenue.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Falguni Nayar, Executive Chairperson, MD and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Nykaa is expanding its business model to provide full-stack digital and physical operations for major global brands. This shift toward a service-led platform model creates stickier relationships with international partners and diversifies revenue streams.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We have partnered with Nike to run their D2C business. In India Kiehl&#8217;s has similarly trusted us to run their entire India business, be it their D2C website, their stores as well as exclusively e-commerce and sell it on other platforms. There was a similar business we had started doing with Foot Locker earlier, which has been growing.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Falguni Nayar, Executive Chairperson, MD and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>New specialty store formats are successfully attracting a male demographic that was previously under-served. Expanding the customer base beyond women provides a significant new growth lever for the beauty segment.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Interestingly, 45% plus of the business from these stores is coming from men&#8217;s fragrance. So, this store format is definitely playing out the way we expected, which is to have a much wider appeal than just our target female audiences. It&#8217;s also appealing to men in India.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Anchit Nayar, Executive Director and CEO, Beauty</em></p></blockquote><p>The company has fully integrated its store network to support rapid hyperlocal deliveries in major cities. This move directly addresses the rising consumer demand for speed and counters competition from quick-commerce players.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;On top of the fact that we are now live in all seven Tier 1 cities with Nykaa Now. Also, all of our retail stores are now enabled with hyperlocal delivery capabilities across the country. And this is what&#8217;s allowing us to sell a lot of our luxury beauty brands through this quicker delivery model.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Anchit Nayar, Executive Director and CEO, Beauty</em></p></blockquote><p>Management clarified that while new customers spend less initially, their spending increases over time through platform trust and education. This suggests that current customer acquisition costs will yield higher returns as these cohorts mature.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;New customer AOVs tend to be lower than repeat customer AOV. And that doesn&#8217;t really have to do with the quality of the customer. That&#8217;s just how the customer, the more they engage with the platform, the more comfort they get shopping on the platform... we are not seeing the AOVs for them dipping meaningfully.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Anchit Nayar, Executive Director and CEO, Beauty</em></p></blockquote><p>Nykaa has modernized its advertising platform to allow brands to target consumers at every stage of the buying journey. This structural shift toward high-margin ad revenue significantly enhances the company&#8217;s overall margin profile.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Historically, it used to be all top-of-funnel advertising opportunities, but we&#8217;ve built out the technology and what we call as the MarTech stack to enable brands to do advertising across the funnel... So we&#8217;ve just created a much larger bouquet of offerings for brands, which we&#8217;re able to monetize and so that&#8217;s more structural in nature.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Anchit Nayar, Executive Director and CEO, Beauty</em></p></blockquote><p>Management is prioritizing order frequency over individual basket size for their quick-delivery service. If successful, this strategy will lead to higher annual spending per customer despite lower transaction values.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Is there a chance that the average order values for Nykaa Now orders can be lower than mainline platform orders? Yes, that is possible... We&#8217;re more focused on seeing that if the frequency of purchase increases because of Nykaa Now, then that benefit is more than an offset to the potential dilution of average order values.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Anchit Nayar, Executive Director and CEO, Beauty</em></p></blockquote><p>The Nike partnership is structured to mirror traditional e-commerce unit economics while leveraging Nike&#8217;s brand strength. This allows Nykaa to capture high-value sales without the traditional risks of inventory heavy multi-brand retailing.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;It is finally from a unit economic perspective for Nykaa boil down to very similar to e-commerce revenues and margins where there is some inventory, there is margins like an e-commerce company and then there are costs for marketing and everything. But everything is well-structured and covered. So we think this is a very good outcome for us.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Falguni Nayar, Executive Chairperson, MD and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Gross margin improvements are being driven by advertising revenue and the increased scale of private labels. These internal levers help protect profitability even if external market conditions or category mixes fluctuate.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I think there&#8217;s improvement in ad income for the core business. Overall, B2B net retention margins are much lower than gross profit margin of the beauty business... and also owned brands have also had a role to play and improving profitability of owned brands also have a role to play.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Falguni Nayar, Executive Chairperson, MD and CEO</em></p></blockquote><p>Potential trade deals and lower import tariffs could make international premium brands more affordable for Indian consumers. Increased volume from lower prices would benefit Nykaa&#8217;s role as a major importer and distributor.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;So, I think there is probably a benefit to, not only to us, but to our international to our global brand partners in terms of the kind of additional volumes they could do with better pricing, if that&#8217;s the decision they choose to make. So yes, it is definitely, we&#8217;re looking forward to seeing how this plays out.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Anchit Nayar, Executive Director and CEO, Beauty</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Chemicals</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/PIDILITIND/">Pidilite Industries Limited | Large Cap | Specialty Chemicals</a></h2><p>Pidilite is India&#8217;s leading manufacturer of adhesives and sealants, dominated by its flagship brand Fevicol. The company also maintains a significant presence in construction chemicals, art materials, and industrial resins.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachHis/ecbc316a-5f8d-4143-8061-df7980b55a66.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>Lower raw material costs helped expand gross margins, but the gains were temporarily masked by a one-time employee benefit expense. Investors should note that the underlying profitability is better than the reported numbers suggest due to this non-recurring item.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our gross margins at a stand-alone level improved by about 200 basis points as input prices remained benign. However, this benefit in the material cost was offset because of a one-time provision that we took on account of the new Wage Code. Basically, for two elements, gratuity and leave encashment, we have recognized the impact because of the new Wage Code that resulted in a onetime charge of INR47 crores in stand-alone and about INR52 crores in consolidated.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sandeep Batra, Executive Director Finance and CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>The pigments division faced a sharp downturn this quarter because of its high reliance on the American market. This highlight&#8217;s the company&#8217;s vulnerability to specific international trade cycles and tariff discussions.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In our pigments business, we have a direct exposure to U.S. as in we do export to U.S. And U.S. is a large component of our pigment exports overall. So I think that is the piece. This part got affected quite a lot in Q3 of the current financial.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sudhanshu Vats, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Management believes the worst of the export decline is over as they adapt to new trade tariffs and alternative supply strategies. This forward-looking confidence suggests a stabilization of the B2B segment in the coming quarters.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our own sense is that this is largely behind us. We should see action based on the new tariff rate, hopefully, maybe by the turn of this quarter itself, but definitely as we move forward. We also feel that the impact on B2B per se in this quarter and future quarters will also be minimal because of this prolonged negotiation, we had also built a few other plan Bs, if I could say.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sudhanshu Vats, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>A potential trade agreement with the European Union is expected to benefit exports, but the actual impact is several months away due to the long ratification process. Investors should view this as a medium-term catalyst rather than an immediate revenue driver.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;EU trade deal benefits will accrue to us, but there are two things on EU trade deal, perhaps maybe three. I think one is that EU trade deal till the time it is ratified by the European Parliament and all that, is at the very least, 6 months away, maybe 9 months away. So therefore, anything in that in terms of when the rubber hits the road on the ground will happen only towards the end of this year.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sudhanshu Vats, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is aggressively investing in the Roff brand to replicate the mass-market success of Fevicol in the tile adhesive category. This strategy aims to shift the category from a commodity to a consumer-driven brand with higher loyalty.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I think Roff is our next big brand. And when we build a brand, we built a brand holistically. We do not say we are building the brand only for applicators or vice versa only for consumers because some of them are not strictly, in any case, Bazaar brands are not strictly only, India is a DIFM country, so not strictly to be used by the consumers, but consumers are aware of them.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sudhanshu Vats, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The business is largely insulated from housing market slowdowns because nearly three-quarters of revenue comes from repairs rather than new builds. This high exposure to the renovation market provides more stable and predictable earnings for investors.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Our portfolio is not only new construction dependent. Our portfolio has new construction, renovation and repair. And renovation and repair account for maybe 70% plus, I would say, 70% to 75%, and new construction is more like 25%, maybe a little higher, so depending on the cycle.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sudhanshu Vats, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Management is not seeing the real estate cooling that some analysts fear, noting steady activity across residential and commercial projects. This positive on-the-ground view contradicts broader market concerns about a construction downturn.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;As of now, I can confirm to you that we haven&#8217;t seen any slowdown whatsoever even in residential. And by the way, within the industry, we keep talking to each other who are in the allied businesses. And as of now, we do not see any slowdown in any part of the construction segment.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Kavinder Singh, Joint Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is intentionally prioritizing top-line growth and brand investment over maximizing immediate profits. This balanced approach aims to capture higher market share while keeping margins within a healthy, sustainable range.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are also very conscious that we should have right profitability, at the same time, focus on building capabilities, building brands. And all of that is leading to improved in revenue growth, as you pointed out. So the question is, from where we stand, from our vantage point, the way we are seeing, we are seeing improvement in top line growth.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sudhanshu Vats, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The Dr. Fixit brand is seeing its strongest growth performance in several years, indicating a successful ramp-up in the waterproofing segment. This suggests that competitive pressures in construction chemicals are being effectively managed.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;If you look at Dr. Fixit&#8217;s growth this year is better than the growth has been in the last 2 to 3 years. I can tell you that. I think it is distinctly better. So we pushed this up a little bit.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sudhanshu Vats, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>Management intends to use their strong brand power to take small, tactical price increases even when raw material costs are low. This ability to maintain a &#8216;pricing gap&#8217; over volume growth helps protect margins against future inflation.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We always continue to identify such opportunities where we can take pricing without actually hurting the premium that we charge, without the premium going way beyond our comfort corridor. So this kind of gap that you saw in the third quarter, as Sudhanshu said, anywhere between 100 bps or so, should get maintained.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sandeep Batra, Executive Director Finance and CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>Growth in the tile adhesive market is currently limited to walls, as many builders still use cheaper cement for floors. The long-term growth story for the Roff brand depends on successfully educating the market to switch to adhesives for all surfaces.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Tile adhesive as a category is a replacer of cement, as you know. And it is definitely more expensive than cement, okay, and significantly expensive. So while the conversion from cement to tile adhesive is going on reasonably well in the vertical surfaces, the conversion on the flooring piece is not as good as it could be because people do not see the need to replace cement on the floor.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Kavinder Singh, Joint Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The new NioPro premium range is showing early success, allowing the company to segment the market more effectively. This premiumization strategy helps protect margins and caters to specialized high-end construction requirements.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I want to share it on behalf of the team that NioPro is doing very well Jay. So therefore, I just want to leave you with saying that as we are in this game, we will have a Roff range of products and premium NioPro range of products, which will be selectively available, available to very select dealers and to the project teams.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sudhanshu Vats, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is working on entering the high-tech electronics and automotive adhesive markets, which have long and difficult approval cycles. While this takes time, successful entry would create a significant, high-barrier-to-entry business for the future.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Testing in most of these spaces, whether it&#8217;s consumer electronics, electronic autos is very rigorous. It goes through a couple of rounds, but each of the round could be 12 months, 12 to 18 months. So this is a rigorous process. We are at it though.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Sudhanshu Vats, Managing Director</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1>Steel</h1><h2><a href="https://zerodha.com/markets/stocks/NSE/TATASTEEL/">Tata Steel Limited | Large Cap | Iron &amp; Steel</a></h2><p>Tata Steel is a major global steel producer with significant manufacturing operations in India, the United Kingdom, and the Netherlands. The company is currently focused on scaling its Indian capacity while transitioning its European assets toward sustainable, low-carbon technologies.</p><p>[<a href="https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachHis/7e178a2e-ea18-4b55-8e55-56e03dc5bea5.pdf">Concall</a>]</p><p>High levels of Chinese steel exports are currently pressuring global trade and causing price variations across different regions. Despite these external pressures, the company managed to expand its profit margins significantly over the first three quarters of the fiscal year.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;At the same time, Chinese finished steel exports have crossed 110 million tons for the second time in a row, which had a significant impact on the regional as well as the global trade in steel. Steel prices diverged across the regions during the quarter and amidst this, Tata Steel has delivered a consistent performance with our consolidated EBITDA margin improving by about 300 basis points YoY for the nine months ended 31st December 2025.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; T. V. Narendran, CEO &amp; MD</em></p></blockquote><p>The implementation of the new European carbon tax is now directly affecting steel imports by adding significant costs based on carbon emissions. This regulatory change is designed to benefit local producers like Tata Steel by making cheaper, high-emission imports less competitive.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;On January 1st, 2026, CBAM entered its definitive phase with carbon costs being embedded into imports and structurally improving the competitive landscape for the EU producers. The CBAM&#8217;s definitive phase requires importers to verify embedded emission intensity. Verification is expected to take time and importers who fail to verify will face carbon costs calculated using the default values by the country of origin.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Koushik Chatterjee, ED &amp; CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>Management anticipates that European steel prices will decouple from lower Asian price levels and trend higher toward US benchmarks. This shift would lead to better profitability for the company&#8217;s European operations as trade protections take full effect.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;But, because of these actions, we expect that prices in Europe will move away from Asian prices and move towards the US steel prices. It may not reach the levels of US steel prices but certainly will move closer to that.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; T. V. Narendran, CEO &amp; MD</em></p></blockquote><p>The company sees a massive internal opportunity to more than double its steel production capacity in the state of Odisha. A potential new project in Maharashtra would complement this growth by providing better access to markets in western and southern India.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;So, in Odisha, we have the opportunity to go up to 35 million tons as against the current 14 million tons. Maharashtra is in addition to that and gives us optionality on the iron ore and servicing western and southern markets.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; T. V. Narendran, CEO &amp; MD</em></p></blockquote><p>Management is firmly committed to building a new electric arc furnace in the UK to replace aging, high-cost technology. Delaying this capital investment would only prolong the current losses and postpone the site&#8217;s return to profitability.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;So, the point is that if we were to not progress with the EAF, we are going to delay that transition into a more profitable unit. So, I think there is no upside in delaying the investment.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; Koushik Chatterjee, ED &amp; CFO</em></p></blockquote><p>Tata Steel management believes that domestic steel prices reached a five-year cyclical bottom during the recent quarter. This suggests a more favorable pricing environment for investors to look forward to in the coming months.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I think December quarter prices, particularly the first part of that quarter was probably the lowest in the last five years for flat products, and pretty low for long products as well. So, in some sense, that was the bottom as far as the prices are concerned.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; T. V. Narendran, CEO &amp; MD</em></p></blockquote><p>The company is diluting its older, high-cost operations by expanding its newer and more efficient steel plants. This structural shift is narrowing the cost gap between Tata Steel and its most efficient competitors in the Indian market.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;As Tata Steel grows more and more in Kalinganagar, Meramandali, etc., the impact of the legacy costs in Jamshedpur keeps coming down and we are addressing the legacy costs in Jamshedpur. So, because of these actions, the cost disadvantage we may have in some sites vis-&#224;-vis our peers will keep reducing.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; T. V. Narendran, CEO &amp; MD</em></p></blockquote><p>The company&#8217;s strategy focuses on dominating specific high-value customer segments rather than just overall market volume. This focus on premium market share typically results in better overall price realizations and more stable profits.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Generally, in Tata Steel, we always look at whether our market share in attractive segments be twice our overall market share. So, if we are a 15-20% market share player, then in the attractive segments, we should be at least 40% or more.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; T. V. Narendran, CEO &amp; MD</em></p></blockquote><p>A significant restructuring of the European steel supply is likely as older blast furnaces reach the end of their lives without being replaced. This reduction in traditional capacity could lead to a tighter market and better supply-demand balance over the next several years.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I don&#8217;t think anyone is going to reline a blast furnace in Europe now. So, it&#8217;s more of a question of running it as long as you can and then if you have the ability, invest in a new process route.&#8221;</em></p><p><em>&#8212; T. V. Narendran, CEO &amp; MD</em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><p>That&#8217;s it for now! Your feedback will really help shape how The Chatter evolves. Drop it down in the comments below!</p><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://thechatterbyzerodha.substack.com/p/the-chatter-underneath-the-noise?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share&amp;token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjozMDExNzg5MTMsInBvc3RfaWQiOjE3MjY2NDQxNiwiaWF0IjoxNzU3NTk4NjQzLCJleHAiOjE3NjAxOTA2NDMsImlzcyI6InB1Yi00ODk4NzYwIiwic3ViIjoicG9zdC1yZWFjdGlvbiJ9.TFcDJv32XGvO0oFacHaCKP014RVVZ1pAYaVdcBrgrfE&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Share&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:&quot;button-wrapper&quot;}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary button-wrapper" href="https://thechatterbyzerodha.substack.com/p/the-chatter-underneath-the-noise?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share&amp;token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjozMDExNzg5MTMsInBvc3RfaWQiOjE3MjY2NDQxNiwiaWF0IjoxNzU3NTk4NjQzLCJleHAiOjE3NjAxOTA2NDMsImlzcyI6InB1Yi00ODk4NzYwIiwic3ViIjoicG9zdC1yZWFjdGlvbiJ9.TFcDJv32XGvO0oFacHaCKP014RVVZ1pAYaVdcBrgrfE"><span>Share</span></a></p><p>Quotes in this newsletter were curated by Kashish.</p><p>Disclaimer: We&#8217;ve used AI tools in filtering and cleaning up these quotes so there maybe some mistakes. Now, if you are thinking why we are using AI, please remember that we are just a small team of 5 people running everything you see on Zerodha Markets &#128556; So, all the good stuff is human and mistakes are AI.</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>We&#8217;re now on <a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/marketsbyzerodha/">Reddit</a>!</strong></h2><p>We love engaging with the perspectives of readers like you. So we asked ourselves - why not make a proper free-for-all forum where people can engage with us and each other? And what&#8217;s a better, nerdier place to do that than Reddit?</p><p>So, do join us on the subreddit, chat all things markets and finance, tell us what you like about our content and where we can improve! Here&#8217;s the <a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/marketsbyzerodha/">link</a> &#8212; alternatively, you can search r/marketsbyzerodha on Reddit.</p><p>See you there!</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Are paint companies facing the Birla Opus heat?]]></title><description><![CDATA[Plotlines #3]]></description><link>https://thechatter.zerodha.com/p/are-paint-companies-facing-the-birla</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://thechatter.zerodha.com/p/are-paint-companies-facing-the-birla</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Zerodha]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 05 Apr 2026 03:30:50 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lRXJ!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F269cf1ee-196e-40af-9f08-b0ea59d2b254_2560x1440.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" 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stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div class="pullquote"><p>For those of you who&#8217;ve been following <em>The</em> <em>Chatter</em>, we initially experimented with <a href="https://thechatter.zerodha.com/s/plotlines">Plotlines</a> but couldn&#8217;t quite get it right. We were still figuring out what the ideal &#8220;Plotline&#8221; should look like.</p><p>We&#8217;ve now arrived at a structure we&#8217;re genuinely happy with.</p><p><em>Plotline</em> is designed as an extended version of <em>Chatter</em>&#8212;one where we track a single theme across companies and across time. We bring together management commentary, trace how narratives evolve over quarters, and connect these insights to build a coherent storyline.</p><p>Consider it a more structured version of The Chatter and this is our first proper edition. We&#8217;d love to hear what you think.</p><p>Going forward, we&#8217;ll take one theme at a time, explore it across sectors and timelines, and try to make sense of it through the lens of company management commentary.</p></div><p><em>Birla Opus entered the paint market with aggressive pricing and a deep wallet. Three quarters of earnings calls later, here&#8217;s what the incumbents have been saying &#8212; and doing &#8212; as they adjusted.</em></p><p style="text-align: center;">&#8212; &#8212; &#8212;</p><p>When Birla Opus launched in FY25 &#8212; backed by Aditya Birla Group&#8217;s balance sheet, priced well below the market, and offering extra grammage on top &#8212; it was the first serious new entrant the Indian paint industry had seen in decades. The working assumption, among analysts and investors, was that this would force a race to the bottom. Incumbents would match the discounts, margins would compress, and the sector&#8217;s premium valuations would need rethinking.</p><p>Three quarters of earnings calls have produced a different, messier picture. What follows is what the managements of five listed paint companies said &#8212; and, at points, what Birla said about itself &#8212; quarter by quarter, as the industry figured out what the entry actually meant.</p><p style="text-align: center;">&#8212; &#8212; &#8212;</p><h2><strong>Q1 FY26: &#8220;The initial euphoria is over&#8221;</strong></h2><p>By Q1 FY26, Birla Opus had been in the market for roughly a year. The first thing incumbents wanted to talk about was what was happening at the dealer counter.</p><p>Berger&#8217;s Abhijit Roy was the most direct:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The initial euphoria is over completely. That&#8217;s gone. You know that initially, that curiosity, the enthusiasm that was there, something new, something great is happening &#8212; that is completely gone.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Abhijit Roy, MD &amp; CEO, Berger Paints | Q1 FY26</p></blockquote><p>The reason, he said, was straightforward economics. More Birla dealers meant more competition between them &#8212; which meant thinner margins for each.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Once with the network expansion happening heavily and inter-dealer competition increasing, that margin of profit has reduced considerably. And as a result of that there is a little bit of a loss of interest from the dealers. People might be feeling that some of these dealers might be coming back to the legacy companies with whom they have been dealing in the past, because once they see that there is no great margin, and the movement of the product is nothing great.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Abhijit Roy, MD &amp; CEO, Berger Paints | Q1 FY26</p></blockquote><p>Akzo Nobel was seeing something similar and had launched a formal program for it. Rohit Totla, Akzo&#8217;s Whole-time Director, described the counter-offensive:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Wherever we saw an action, we were very quick in talking to our retailers and bringing them back to the fold, what we call a program called &#8216;Ghar Wapsi&#8217;. And that is where within a quarter we were able to bring back. In the last five quarters, this aggressive competition was there but we were able to do better than the market.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Rohit Totla, Whole-time Director, Akzo Nobel India | Q1 FY26</p></blockquote><p>Nerolac&#8217;s Pravin Chaudhari reported the same:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In fact, we are seeing the reversal now. Many dealers of ours who started batting with competition has now started coming back to us. I think they are realizing power of Nerolac brand as well as groundwork that our team does as well as consumer and painter activity that we&#8217;re doing.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Pravin Chaudhari, MD, Kansai Nerolac Paints | Q1 FY26</p></blockquote><p>Birla, for its part, had a different reading of the same quarter. Rakshit Hargave, CEO of Birla Opus, pointed to a starker picture of the industry without his company in it:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;On a QoQ annual basis, the market has grown only at 5%. And if you remove Birla Opus, then the market is actually minus one or zero. So, obviously, Birla Opus has taken a lion&#8217;s share of the growth, which has happened on an annual basis.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Rakshit Hargave, CEO, Birla Opus (Grasim Industries) | Q1 FY26</p></blockquote><p>But the impact wasn&#8217;t uniform. Akzo&#8217;s Rajiv Rajgopal mapped the disruption geographically &#8212; and the pattern was uneven:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;If I break India into four regions, the impact of the new competition was highest in South, followed by a bit in West, Punjab and North largely, and East has been very minimal.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Rajiv Rajgopal, Chairman &amp; MD, Akzo Nobel India | Q1 FY26</p></blockquote><p>Nerolac confirmed. South was the pressure point, particularly for players already weak there:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;South continues to be a problem for us because as such, we are weak there. And given the onslaught of competition and extra focus on South by most of the leading player, there has been the issue for us.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Pravin Chaudhari, MD, Kansai Nerolac Paints | Q1 FY26</p></blockquote><p>Asian Paints, the market leader, framed the disruption differently. Amit Syngle argued that Birla&#8217;s discounting was pulling in the trade &#8212; contractors and dealers &#8212; not the end consumer:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Sometimes it is the intermediary who benefits a little bit more in terms of looking at what extra the person is getting because that might result in a higher margin for the intermediary which could be a contractor, which could be a dealer. So, to some extent it is like a discount... and not too much of a consumer proposition.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Amit Syngle, MD &amp; CEO, Asian Paints | Q1 FY26</p></blockquote><p>One thing all five companies agreed on: the disruption was playing out at the bottom of the market, not the top. Berger&#8217;s Roy:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In the luxury, premium segment, brand plays a far bigger role there. It is difficult to change a customer in this particular area. However, at the lower end or at the mid-lower end, it is relatively possible, with the effort of the influencers to change customer preferences.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Abhijit Roy, MD &amp; CEO, Berger Paints | Q1 FY26</p></blockquote><p>And then there was Indigo Paints &#8212; the niche player that had spent Q1 pushing back on the doomsday narrative:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The prediction of outsiders was that this will devastate the margins of the paint industry. And we were all collectively saying that, that is not going to happen. Everybody&#8217;s gross margin is more or less the same as what it was a year ago or 1.5 years ago.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Hemant Jalan, Chairman &amp; MD, Indigo Paints | Q1 FY26</p></blockquote><p>That was Q1. Dealers reportedly drifting back. Regional variation. Premium holding. Margins intact. The tone across boardrooms was cautious but composed.</p><p style="text-align: center;">&#8212; &#8212; &#8212;</p><h2><strong>Q2 FY26: &#8220;Let&#8217;s not kid ourselves&#8221;</strong></h2><p>By Q2, the composure started showing cracks. Not because anything dramatic happened &#8212; but because growth hadn&#8217;t.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The overall industry would not be growing more than about 3.5 to 4%. Therefore, we were very clear that we need to really shift our gear in terms of how we really galvanize the market, how do we look at playing to our strengths in a very strong manner.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Amit Syngle, MD &amp; CEO, Asian Paints | Q2 FY26</p></blockquote><p>Akzo&#8217;s Rajgopal dropped the most candid assessment of the quarter:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;There is a fight happening in the market between a market leader and a very strong challenger. Let&#8217;s not kid ourselves in saying that it has had impact on the profitability of the industry and also the market shares of all the players, maybe lesser on some of us, more on a few others. But the reality is it has had an impact.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Rajiv Rajgopal, Chairman &amp; MD, Akzo Nobel India | Q2 FY26</p></blockquote><p>He also mapped where, specifically, the new entrant had gained ground:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;80% of the growth has come from mass market, economy, putty, textile, construction chemicals. And these are segments where some of the established players found it too difficult to react because it would be hugely dilutive to the margin and the profitability of the business.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Rajiv Rajgopal, Chairman &amp; MD, Akzo Nobel India | Q2 FY26</p></blockquote><p>Something else had changed at Akzo between quarters. The Jindal family had taken a controlling stake, and the mandate from new ownership was unambiguous:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The brief from Mr. Parth Jindal has been very clear to us as a team &#8212; let&#8217;s get after revenue and get back to high growth and get back to market share gain. So our endeavor starting from September has been to look at where are we significantly premium. And that&#8217;s where we&#8217;ve been taking some price corrections to make sure we are far more competitive.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Rajiv Rajgopal, Chairman &amp; MD, Akzo Nobel India | Q2 FY26</p></blockquote><p>Those corrections were already underway &#8212; cumulative price cuts of 1.5-2% across the portfolio.</p><p>On the other side, there were signs that Birla&#8217;s initial sprint was flattening. Berger&#8217;s Roy:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;By stabilization, I mean, the sales figure is not jumping upwards, as was happening in the past few quarters. The numeric reach is not expanding at a very fast clip. It&#8217;s improving, but at a normal pace, as would happen for any industry player.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Abhijit Roy, MD &amp; CEO, Berger Paints | Q2 FY26</p></blockquote><p>Indigo&#8217;s Jalan was blunter:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;New player is now stagnating. They were taking a 5%, 6% market share in the first year. Now they are more of a status quo.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Hemant Jalan, Chairman &amp; MD, Indigo Paints | Q2 FY26</p></blockquote><p>Birla&#8217;s own filings suggested otherwise. By Q2, all six manufacturing plants were operational &#8212; 1,332 million litres of annual capacity. Himanshu Kapania, Birla Opus&#8217; business head:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;This makes Birla Opus the second largest decorative paints company commanding 24% of the industry capacity, a feat unmatched around the globe for speed and cost. Now we focus all our energies to bridge the gap between our volume market share and capacity share.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Himanshu Kapania, MD &amp; Business Head, Birla Opus (Grasim Industries) | Q2 FY26</p></blockquote><p>The extra grammage scheme &#8212; where Birla offered 10% more paint per can &#8212; was also being scaled back:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;For most products, this extra grammage that they were giving, originally in 4-liter, 10-liter and 20-liter cans, I believe that they have discontinued it in the 4-liter and 10-liter cans. And there are rumors in the trade that this extra grammage even in the 20-liter cans may get discontinued before the end of the fiscal.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Hemant Jalan, Chairman &amp; MD, Indigo Paints | Q2 FY26</p></blockquote><p>Nerolac, meanwhile, was making a deliberate choice &#8212; pulling back from the segments where the fight was fiercest:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We are reducing our exposure on all the ancillaries and parties, which is actually getting into commodity play and people are using it as more of an entry kind of product. Despite reducing our inputs on these products, there was no major impact as far as the network defection is concerned.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Pravin Chaudhari, MD, Kansai Nerolac Paints | Q2 FY26</p></blockquote><p>And Berger flagged an asymmetry that defined the competitive dynamic &#8212; in the ad spend war, the new entrant was outspending its position:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The new entrant, their share of voice is much higher compared to their market share. In our case, we used to be similar to our market share, but now it is slightly below that.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Abhijit Roy, MD &amp; CEO, Berger Paints | Q2 FY26</p></blockquote><p>Q2 was where the industry moved from acknowledging the disruption to responding to it. Growth was tepid. The mass market had been conceded to a degree. Price corrections had begun. And Birla&#8217;s growth curve was bending.</p><p style="text-align: center;">&#8212; &#8212; &#8212;</p><h2><strong>Q3 FY26: &#8220;It will still take 2-3 quarters&#8221;</strong></h2><p>By Q3, the language across the sector had shifted from &#8220;disruption&#8221; to something more settled &#8212; a recognition that the new competitive landscape was now simply the competitive landscape.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;From a point of view of competitive intensity, it is bound to remain now. We have obviously newer competition; we have also amalgamation of two players which is coming in the market. So, I think we will have the competitive environment continue as we go ahead.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Amit Syngle, MD &amp; CEO, Asian Paints | Q3 FY26</p></blockquote><p>Akzo&#8217;s Rajgopal, still the most forthcoming voice in the room, laid out the pricing gap in full:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;You are talking of a new entrant which has come at prices which are anywhere up to 12% lower than the prices at which we operate, in addition to additional discounts, and then there was the 3-litre which while you say it&#8217;s been called off, it&#8217;s still there in a few markets. So, you are talking of a band between 12% and 18% lower pricing which is not a small sort of a negate.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Rajiv Rajgopal, Joint MD &amp; CEO, Akzo Nobel India | Q3 FY26</p></blockquote><p>And then a striking admission. Akzo had been benchmarking its own pricing and found it wasn&#8217;t just Birla undercutting them &#8212; they&#8217;d been off-market for a while:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We looked at our pricing across our premium brands and some of our other offerings versus some of the lead players. And we did see that we were usually overpriced between 5% and 9%, which is what had led to volume erosion. We have addressed some of those.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Rajiv Rajgopal, Joint MD &amp; CEO, Akzo Nobel India | Q3 FY26</p></blockquote><p>His timeline was sober:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;I would love to believe that the worst is behind us, but I think the reality is that it will still take 2-3 quarters for it to really play out.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Rajiv Rajgopal, Joint MD &amp; CEO, Akzo Nobel India | Q3 FY26</p></blockquote><p>Berger&#8217;s Roy offered the clearest picture of market share movement across the industry:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Market leader has also lost market share. It has gone mostly to Birla. If you take Birla also into one of the categories &#8212; given that whatever they say, we assume that this is what they have done &#8212; then there is a slight gain in market share for them, and losses for everyone else in the system.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Abhijit Roy, MD &amp; CEO, Berger Paints | Q3 FY26</p></blockquote><p>Birla&#8217;s own numbers quantified the gain. Kapania claimed revenue market share had expanded by over 300 basis points year-on-year:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Birla Opus accelerated its market share gain with revenue growth of nearly 3x the Indian decorative paints industry growth rate, inclusive of Birla Opus.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Himanshu Kapania, MD &amp; Business Head, Birla Opus (Grasim Industries) | Q3 FY26</p></blockquote><p>He also named the asymmetry at the heart of the spending war:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The player that you spoke about is much in excess of the market share that they hold, and that&#8217;s their entry strategy, which they don&#8217;t have to worry about their profitability. We do, and we are very conscious about it.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Abhijit Roy, MD &amp; CEO, Berger Paints | Q3 FY26</p></blockquote><p>One area where the incumbents remained secure: the premium end had held.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;In premium, I don&#8217;t think that the order is really reversed. While people have tried &#8212; one of the faster growing newer emerging players, when they got into the project business, they started getting consumer complaints and we started getting some of those businesses back.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Rajiv Rajgopal, Joint MD &amp; CEO, Akzo Nobel India | Q3 FY26</p></blockquote><p>Birla had started nudging prices upward &#8212; two increases totaling 2-2.5%. But starting from 5% below market, the incumbents were unmoved.</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;The price change about Birla Opus is not very significant. 2%, 3%, I don&#8217;t think is going to really change much as far as industry is concerned. As such, Opus was lower by 5%.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Pravin Chaudhari, MD, Kansai Nerolac Paints | Q3 FY26</p></blockquote><p>Though in some segments, the gap was genuinely narrowing:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;They were at 5% discount in DPL itself. Now, they have taken price increase &#8212; two price increases totaling 2 to 2.5% approximately. Some of them are now almost matched in the luxury category.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Abhijit Roy, MD &amp; CEO, Berger Paints | Q3 FY26</p></blockquote><p>Birla&#8217;s explanation for the increases was matter-of-fact:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;We always want to maintain a particular distance from the market leaders, and we felt the distance was slightly more than what was necessary and we are bridging that gap. That is the objective of price increase and there is no other objective.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Himanshu Kapania, MD &amp; Business Head, Birla Opus (Grasim Industries) | Q3 FY26</p></blockquote><p>Indigo&#8217;s Jalan, who had spent three quarters arguing the disruption was overstated, delivered his closing assessment:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Time has borne itself out that we were right. Nobody&#8217;s profitability has been impacted. Yes, a new entrant may have taken some market share at a significant cost to itself &#8212; that is their business.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Hemant Jalan, Chairman &amp; MD, Indigo Paints | Q3 FY26</p></blockquote><p>He also hinted at Indigo&#8217;s own next move &#8212; using the highest gross margins in the industry as ammunition:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Why should we not think of going even more aggressively on trade discounts and maybe sacrifice a percentage point from our gross margin &#8212; we&#8217;ll still be the highest. But if sales can grow disproportionately higher, then our EBITDA margins will not be impacted.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Hemant Jalan, Chairman &amp; MD, Indigo Paints | Q3 FY26</p></blockquote><p>Meanwhile, the elevated competitive intensity hadn&#8217;t eased:</p><blockquote><p><em>&#8220;Ending Q3, we have not seen any change in the intensity on all the fronts &#8212; whether it is influencer, whether it is dealer discounting, or investment in the manpower.&#8221;</em></p><p>&#8212; Pravin Chaudhari, MD, Kansai Nerolac Paints | Q3 FY26</p></blockquote><p style="text-align: center;">&#8212; &#8212; &#8212;</p><div class="poll-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;id&quot;:488134}" data-component-name="PollToDOM"></div><p style="text-align: center;">&#8212; &#8212; &#8212;</p><p>Over three quarters, the conversation in Indian paint boardrooms moved from cautious first reactions to active recalibration to a quieter acknowledgment: this is how the industry works now. The extra grammage is being wound down. Birla&#8217;s growth has flattened. But the spending hasn&#8217;t come down, and the pricing gaps remain wide in the segments that matter most.</p><p><strong>What to watch</strong></p><ul><li><p><strong>Birla&#8217;s price trajectory. </strong>Two increases so far, totaling 2-2.5%. They&#8217;re still meaningfully below market in most segments. Whether that gap keeps narrowing will shape the next phase.</p></li><li><p><strong>Akzo under Jindal ownership. </strong>The most visible recalibration underway &#8212; price corrections, a revenue-first mandate, market-by-market repricing. The results start showing in Q4.</p></li><li><p><strong>Mass and economy margins across FY27. </strong>This is the segment Birla&#8217;s entry actually reshaped. Whether incumbents can compete here without eroding their margin profile is the open question.</p></li><li><p><strong>The dealer homecoming. </strong>Three companies have reported dealers returning. The painting season will test whether that&#8217;s a structural shift or a seasonal blip.</p></li><li><p><strong>The next entrant. </strong>Asian Paints flagged the JSW-Nippon amalgamation. Another variable entering an already crowded field.</p></li></ul><div><hr></div><p>That&#8217;s it for now! Your feedback will really help shape how The Chatter evolves. 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Now, if you are thinking why we are using AI, please remember that we are just a small team of 5 people running everything you see on Zerodha Markets &#128556; So, all the good stuff is human and mistakes are AI.</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>We&#8217;re now on <a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/marketsbyzerodha/">Reddit</a>!</strong></h2><p>We love engaging with the perspectives of readers like you. So we asked ourselves - why not make a proper free-for-all forum where people can engage with us and each other? And what&#8217;s a better, nerdier place to do that than Reddit?</p><p>So, do join us on the subreddit, chat all things markets and finance, tell us what you like about our content and where we can improve! Here&#8217;s the <a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/marketsbyzerodha/">link</a> &#8212; alternatively, you can search r/marketsbyzerodha on Reddit.</p><p>See you there!</p>]]></content:encoded></item></channel></rss>